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The Lead: Deadly Israeli Strikes in LebanonA series of Israeli airstrikes targeting vehicles in Lebanon has resulted in 12 fatalities, marking a significant escalation in tensions between the two neighboring nations. The attack, which occurred on May 13, 2026, has drawn international attention to the already volatile Middle East region.The Event Details: Coordinated Airstrikes on Civilian VehiclesAccording to reports from Al Jazeera, Israeli forces conducted precision strikes on multiple vehicles in Lebanon, resulting in the deaths of 12 individuals. The nature of the targets and the specific locations within Lebanon have not been fully disclosed, though the strikes appear to have been carefully planned and executed.The Data Analysis: Casualty Count and Regional ImplicationsThe confirmed death toll of 12 represents a significant loss of life in the context of the ongoing Israel-Lebanon tensions. This incident follows a pattern of sporadic cross-border exchanges between Israeli forces and Lebanese groups, though the scale of this particular attack suggests a deliberate escalation by Israeli authorities.The Impact Analysis: Escalating Middle East TensionsThis attack is likely to further destabilize an already fragile peace in the region. Lebanon, which is still recovering from its own economic crisis and political instability, may face increased pressure as a result of these strikes. The international community, including the United Nations, is likely to respond with calls for de-escalation and restraint from both sides.The Prediction: Future Outlook for Israel-Lebanon RelationsIn the coming days, we can expect heightened diplomatic activity as various nations attempt to mediate the situation. The Lebanese government will likely protest the attacks, while Israel may justify them as necessary security measures. This incident could potentially trigger a broader conflict if not carefully managed by international stakeholders.

The Global Obesity Landscape: Not a Uniform EpidemicA continuing rise in obesity around the world is not inevitable, research suggests, with rates in some countries levelling off or potentially in decline. Researchers say focusing on what has been described as a global epidemic of obesity hides large variations in trends across different countries, sexes and age groups.Majid Ezzati, a professor of global environmental health at Imperial College London and author of the study, said: "I think the thing that's really important is this diversity exists even across countries that have really similar economic, environmental, technological features. So countries may look the same on the surface of it but obesity looks different."Comprehensive Analysis Reveals Complex PatternsWriting in the journal Nature, the international team, which involved a network of almost 2,000 researchers, described how for each country they calculated the change in the prevalence of obesity each year between 1980 and 2024. They drew on data from 4,050 population-based studies involving 232 million participants aged five years and above.They found that the prevalence of obesity increased in almost all countries over the 45-year period. However, in most high-income countries, a rapid rise in the prevalence of obesity has been replaced by a slower increase, a plateau, or a potential decline.Regional Variations in Obesity PrevalenceThe rate of growth in obesity is slowing in adults in the US and UK, reaching a prevalence of 40-43% and 27-30% respectively in 2024. Obesity is increasing steadily in Finland, has plateaued in Germany and may have started to decline in France, where 24-25%, 20-23% and 11-12% of adults respectively were thought to have the condition in 2024.Slowdowns were often seen in children and adolescents before adults. For the former group, the slowdown started as early as 1990 in Denmark and rates stabilised in most high-income countries by the mid-2000s. Obesity has plateaued in boys and girls in the UK, US, Germany and Japan at prevalences of 10-12%, 20-23%, 7-12% and 3-7% respectively.Meanwhile, obesity among young people and adults in many low-income and middle-income countries continues to rise and in some cases this is accelerating.Understanding the Drivers Behind Divergent TrendsThe team say it is important now to unpick what is behind the trends in different countries. The situation is complex: while there may be shared reasons for obesity, such easy access to unhealthy foods or a decrease in physical activity, the team say country-specific factors rooted in social, economic and policy considerations could also be important, from perceptions around body image to the presence or absence of interventions such as healthy school meals.Naveed Sattar, a professor of metabolic medicine at the University of Glasgow, who was not involved in the work, said the study highlighted how obesity trends were diverging sharply across countries. "English-speaking nations are doing particularly poorly, with the UK now among the countries with the highest obesity levels worldwide," he said.Sattar said it was encouraging that some countries appeared to have reached a plateau in obesity rates. "Understanding what has worked in those settings is crucial as it could help shape more effective public health strategies for the UK," he said, although he noted there could be country-specific aspects or customs at play.Future Outlook and Potential InterventionsHe said the rapid rise in obesity across many developing countries was especially concerning, not least as it could result in increases in diabetes and cardiovascular conditions.He added: "Looking ahead, it will be important to see how wider use of effective weight-loss medicines affects obesity trends, particularly in the UK and the United States. Recent signs of stabilisation in the USA suggest there may be room for cautious optimism. Combining evidence-based medicines with strong public health measures could begin to shift obesity rates in the right direction."

The Lead: Russia's New Nuclear PowerhouseRussia has successfully test-launched the Sarmat intercontinental ballistic missile, a weapon that President Vladimir Putin proudly declares as 'the most powerful missile in the world.' This development comes just days after Putin suggested the fighting in Ukraine is nearing its end, marking a significant moment in Russia's nuclear arsenal modernization efforts. The Sarmat, designed to replace the aging Soviet-built Voyevoda missiles, represents a substantial leap in Russia's strategic capabilities and is scheduled to enter combat service by the end of 2026.The Technical Breakthrough: Understanding the Sarmat MissileThe RS-28 Sarmat, codenamed 'Satan II' in Western intelligence circles, is an intercontinental ballistic missile with a minimum range of 5,500km (about 3,400 miles). According to Putin, the missile has a maximum range exceeding 35,000km (21,750 miles) – a claim disputed by Western analysts who estimate the actual range to be approximately 18,000km (11,000 miles). Despite this discrepancy, both figures would theoretically allow the missile to reach virtually any target on Earth from Russian territory.Development of the Sarmat began in 2011, and it will eventually replace about 40 Soviet-built Voyevoda missiles. Notably, one test in September 2024 reportedly ended in a catastrophic failure, highlighting the challenges in developing such complex weaponry. The Sarmat reaches 35.3 meters (116ft) in length, 3 meters (9.8ft) in diameter, and weighs 208.1 tonnes, with a maximum payload capacity of 10 tonnes.The Specifications: Capabilities and Design FeaturesThe Sarmat represents a significant advancement over its predecessors in several key areas. Putin claims that while maintaining the power of the Voyevoda, the new missile offers higher precision. Its maximum payload of 10 tonnes allows it to carry multiple independently targetable re-entry vehicles (MIRVs), with Putin stating that the combined power of these warheads exceeds four times that of any Western counterpart.One of the Sarmat's most notable features is its ability to reach high speeds quickly and stop burning its engines sooner than traditional intercontinental ballistic missiles. According to Putin, this characteristic gives missile defense systems less time and fewer opportunities to detect, track, and intercept the incoming missile. Additionally, the Sarmat is capable of suborbital flight, meaning it can reach outer space but cannot maintain orbit or complete a full revolution around Earth.The Geopolitical Impact: Russia's Arms Race StrategyThe unveiling of the Sarmat is part of a broader Russian strategy to counter what Moscow perceives as an expanding US missile defense system. Putin has explicitly linked these new weapons to the US withdrawal from the 1972 Anti-Ballistic Missile (ABM) Treaty in 2001, which Russia viewed as destabilizing the strategic balance.Russian military planners fear that a robust US missile shield could tempt Washington to launch a first strike, targeting most of Moscow's nuclear arsenal with the expectation that only a few retaliatory missiles might penetrate the defenses. In response, Russia has developed not just the Sarmat but also the Avangard hypersonic glide vehicle (capable of flying 27 times the speed of sound), the Oreshnik intermediate-range ballistic missile, and is developing the Poseidon underwater drone and Burevestnik cruise missile.The timing of these announcements is particularly significant, coming as Russia claims progress in negotiations to end the war in Ukraine. The display of nuclear capabilities may serve as both a deterrent to Western intervention and a demonstration of Russia's continued military prowess despite the ongoing conflict.The Future Outlook: Implications for Global SecurityThe deployment of the Sarmat missile is likely to intensify the nuclear arms race between Russia and the United States. While Putin claims the missile can 'penetrate all existing and future antimissile defense systems,' the US is simultaneously developing its own 'Golden Dome' missile defense system, estimated to cost $1.2 trillion over the next 20 years.The Sarmat's entry into service by the end of 2026 will mark a significant shift in the global strategic balance. Its capabilities, particularly if they approach Putin's claims rather than Western estimates, could render current missile defense systems obsolete and force a complete reassessment of nuclear deterrence strategies.As Russia continues to modernize its nuclear arsenal while simultaneously engaging in what it claims are peace negotiations over Ukraine, the international community faces the challenge of preventing a new era of heightened nuclear tensions. The Sarmat missile represents not just a technological achievement for Russia but a clear signal of its determination to maintain its status as a nuclear superpower in an increasingly multipolar world.

The Portrait That Merges Masculine Power and Feminine VulnerabilityThe Guardian features Marisol Mendez’s striking photograph of Marta Salinas, a Bolivian theatre actor, standing nude in a bull costume. The work confronts traditional Bolivian representations of women by foregrounding masculine traits—ambition, competitiveness, and the symbolism of the bull—while celebrating bodily autonomy.The Creation of the Bull‑Costume PhotographConceived in 2019, the image emerged from Mendez’s dream of a half‑woman, half‑animal figure in a field. Drawing on the waka tokori dance, which reenacts Bolivian bullfighting where men only taunt the bull, she used the bull as a symbol of masculinity. The setting—a fruit‑and‑bee farm outside Cochabamba—was suggested by Mendez’s mother, who acted as chauffeur and logistical support.Photographer: Marisol Mendez (Bolivia)Subject: Marta Salinas, theatre actor (Bolivia/Argentina)Series: Madre – a study of womanhood and archetypesPrize: 2026 Saltzman‑Leibovitz prize winnerExhibition: Photo London, Olympia, until 17 May 2026Cultural Resonance of Gender Fluidity in Bolivian ArtThe photograph challenges the media’s habit of portraying Bolivian women in strictly feminine roles. By presenting a nude figure who embraces masculine energy, Mendez questions the automatic labeling of such women as “lesbian” and pushes for nuance in gender representation. The work also references the influence of US photographer Ryan McGinley, whose non‑sexualized nudes inspired Mendez’s approach.What Lies Ahead for Mendez and the Madre SeriesWith the Saltzman‑Leibovitz prize spotlighting her practice, Mendez is poised to expand the Madre series internationally. Upcoming shows, such as the Photo London exhibition, will introduce broader audiences to her interrogation of archetypes like the Virgin Mary versus Mary Magdalene. Critics anticipate that her blend of personal narrative, cultural critique, and bold visual language will continue to shape contemporary discourse on gender and identity in Latin American photography.

The Current Champions Argentina head into the FIFA World Cup 2026 as the reigning champions after dethroning France at the Qatar World Cup 2022 to win their third title. Historical World Cup Winners Brazil is the most successful team in the tournament’s history, having won the title five times. Here is a list of all the previous World Cup winners: 1930 – Uruguay – Uruguay hosted and won the inaugural World Cup, defeating Argentina in the final. 1934 – Italy – Italy won the first of their four World Cups in this edition. 1938 – Italy – Italy won the last World Cup before World War II put the tournament on hold for 12 years. 1950 – Uruguay – La Celeste famously defeated Brazil in the final at the Maracana to win their second World Cup. 1954 – West Germany – West Germany won the World Cup hosted by Switzerland. 1958 – Brazil – A 17-year-old Pele scored six goals as Brazil lifted their first World Cup. 1962 – Brazil – Brazil became the second team after Italy to successfully defend a World Cup crown. 1966 – England – Football “came home” for the first and only time so far in 1966 when England won the World Cup at Wembley. 1970 – Brazil – Pele got his hands on the trophy for the third time in 1970. No player in history has won as many World Cups as him. 1974 – West Germany – Led by Gerd Mueller, West Germany won their second World Cup. 1978 – Argentina – Argentina won their first World Cup in 1978, defeating the Netherlands in the final. 1982 – Italy – A Paolo Rossi-inspired Italy won the 1982 tournament in Spain. 1986 – Argentina – The legend of Diego Maradona was written at the 1986 World Cup in Mexico, where the mercurial genius almost single-handedly led Argentina to glory. 1990 – West Germany – Maradona’s Argentina reached the final in 1990 as well but were thwarted by West Germany, which won eight months after the Berlin Wall fell and three months before Germany’s unification. 1994 – Brazil – The first World Cup in North America was won by Brazil, which claimed their fourth title in the United States. 1998 – France – France won the tournament at home with players like Zinedine Zidane, Thierry Henry and Patrick Vieira ushering in a new era of success for Les Bleus. 2002 – Brazil – Brazil won a record fifth World Cup, overcoming Germany in the final. 2006 – Italy – Despite Serie A being rocked by match-fixing allegations, Italy showed great resolve to win the 2006 edition. 2010 – Spain – Spain’s possession style of football saw them win their first World Cup in South Africa in 2010. 2014 – Germany – After making the semifinals in each of the previous two editions, Germany finally got their hands on the trophy again in 2014. 2018 – France – Didier Deschamps, who captained France to their 1998 triumph, won the World Cup for a second time in 2018 as coach. 2022 – Argentina – Lionel Messi, one of the greatest footballers the world has ever seen, won the one title that had eluded him in one of the greatest finals the World Cup has ever seen. After battling France to a 2-2 draw after 90 minutes and a 3-3 draw after extra time, Argentina won 4-2 on penalties. The Legacy of the World Cup Eight countries have won the World Cup in its 92-year history. The tournament continues to be a pinnacle of achievement in international football.

Assessing the USA's World Cup Readiness With only a month to go until the 2026 World Cup in the USA, Canada, and Mexico, experts are weighing in on the country's preparedness to host the tournament. The discussion includes concerns over ticket prices, Iran's participation, visa issues, and the impact of policies like those from ICE and Donald Trump's administration. Key Challenges Facing the USA Ticket prices and availability Visa issues for international visitors Public transport and infrastructure General enthusiasm and support for the tournament The USMNT's Chances and Grassroots Football The podcast also touched on the prospects of the US Men's National Team (USMNT) and the state of grassroots football in the country. Nostalgia for the history of the men's game was another topic of discussion. Support and Engagement Listeners can support The Guardian and engage with Football Weekly on various platforms including Instagram, TikTok, and YouTube.

The Senate StandoffMore than a dozen gunshots rang out at the Philippine Senate as police and marines moved in to arrest a senator wanted by the International Criminal Court for alleged crimes against humanity. Journalists ran for cover as gunfire erupted on Wednesday evening minutes after soldiers with rifles and protective gear went up the stairs of the legislative building. It was not immediately clear who fired the shots during the tense confrontation.Arrest Warrant and Senator's DefiancePhilippine Senator Ronald dela Rosa had earlier anticipated his arrest, urging people to come to the legislature to prevent him from being detained and sent to the ICC. "I am appealing to you. I hope you can help me. Do not allow another Filipino to be brought to The Hague," dela Rosa said in a video posted on Facebook. Philippine law enforcement agents had been gathering outside the Senate building after dela Rosa's message.The ICC Charges and Drug War LegacyThe ICC unsealed an arrest warrant on Monday for dela Rosa, dated November, on suspicion of crimes against humanity, the same crimes 81-year-old Duterte is accused of as he awaits trial in The Hague. Dela Rosa, better known as "Bato", meaning "rock", has been under the protective custody of the Senate since law enforcement agents entered the building on Monday. He has denied involvement in illegal killings, stating "I did everything for the country. I did not enrich myself. I worked faithfully."Political Implications for the Marcos AdministrationFormer police chief dela Rosa, who was the top enforcer of ex-President Rodrigo Duterte's so-called "war on drugs", urged President Ferdinand Marcos Jr on Tuesday not to hand him over to the ICC, adding that he was ready to face justice at home. "Mr President, [you] may one day face a situation like this. You may also encounter problems, and then you will understand, you will feel what I am feeling right now," dela Rosa told reporters, his eyes welling with tears. The incident places the current administration in a difficult position balancing international legal obligations with domestic political considerations.Future Legal ProceedingsDela Rosa was Duterte's top lieutenant and oversaw a fierce crackdown during which police say more than 6,000 suspected drug dealers were killed in official operations. Thousands of drug users were also shot in slumland murders blamed on vigilantes or turf wars. Police say those killed during operations had resisted arrest and reject allegations of systematic murders and cover-ups. As the ICC case progresses, the Philippines faces continued scrutiny over human rights issues and the legacy of the drug war that defined Duterte's presidency and continues to influence the nation's political landscape.

The Daring Debut of Angel's Bone English National Opera takes a bold leap with Du Yun's Angel's Bone, a Pulitzer Prize-winning opera that tackles human trafficking head-on. This inaugural production at ENO's northern base, a collaboration with Factory International and the BBC Philharmonic Orchestra, features Kip Williams' innovative direction. The Unsettling Allegory The opera tells the story of two angels who fall into the clutches of a dysfunctional couple, leading to a descent into physical and sexual abuse. Du Yun's score is a genre-bending mix of contemporary classical and nightclub electronica, performed by a tireless ensemble of 10. The Data Analysis: A Complex Soundtrack The music operates at extremes, with key roles assigned to tuba and lute. The instrumental palette offers textural beauty, but also joyously kicks ass. The score is expertly conducted by Baldur Brönnimann. The Impact Analysis: A Powerful Statement The production is a powerful statement against human trafficking, with a clear and admirably clear storyline. However, the endlessly rotating walls can be problematic, forming an impenetrable barrier that obscures the screens at times. The Prediction: A Must-See Performance Despite some technical issues, the production is a must-see, with standout performances from Allison Cook as Mrs X E and Rodney Earl Clarke as her browbeaten husband. The production transfers to London later in the year, rejigged for the Coliseum's proscenium stage, and is one to catch.

Andriy Yermak, former chief of staff to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, has been named an official suspect in a multi‑million‑dollar money‑laundering investigation linked to a luxury housing development near Kyiv. The probe, the largest since Russia’s 2022 invasion, also implicates other senior allies and raises fresh concerns for Ukraine’s EU bid.The Alleged $10.5 Million Money‑Laundering Scheme Tied to a Kyiv Luxury ProjectUkraine’s National Anti‑Corruption Bureau (NABU) and the Specialized Anti‑Corruption Prosecutor’s Office (SAPO) allege that Yermak participated in an organised criminal group that laundered roughly 460 million hryvnias ($10.5 m) through a high‑end real‑estate venture outside the capital. Yermak, who resigned in November, appeared before a Kyiv court on May 12, 2026 and denied the accusations, calling them “unfounded” in a Telegram post. His lawyer, Ihor Fomin, described the case as “groundless” and suggested it was provoked by public pressure.Other figures mentioned in the expanding probe include:Timur Mindich – businessman and former entertainment‑industry partner of Zelenskyy, now under investigation for a separate $100 m kick‑back scheme.Rustem Umerov – head of the National Security and Defence Council, interviewed as a witness in the same real‑estate case.Financial Stakes: 460 Million Hryvnias and $5.4 Million Bail DemandProsecutors are seeking preventive bail of about $5.4 million for the 54‑year‑old Yermak while the investigation continues. The alleged laundering amount of 460 million hryvnias underscores the scale of the alleged scheme and the potential financial exposure for the Ukrainian state.Political Repercussions for Zelenskyy's Administration and EU Accession ProspectsAlthough President Zelenskyy is not personally accused, the scandal arrives at a critical juncture as Kyiv pushes for deeper Western support and EU membership. U.S. senators Jeanne Shaheen and Lindsey Graham have warned that corruption narratives could erode aid. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz recently cautioned against a rapid EU accession, citing corruption among other concerns. Domestic opposition leader Oleksiy Goncharenko warned that the allegations have reached a point Zelenskyy “personally cannot ignore.”Public sentiment mirrors the political pressure: a May 6 survey by the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology found that 54 % of Ukrainians view corruption as a greater threat than the war itself.What Lies Ahead: Legal Outcomes and Ukraine’s Anti‑Corruption TrajectoryThe case is part of the broader “Midas” anti‑corruption operation launched by NABU and SAPO. If Yermak is convicted, it could set a precedent for the independence of Ukraine’s anti‑corruption institutions, which were briefly threatened by a July law aimed at curbing their autonomy. Anti‑corruption advocates, such as Olena Halushka of the Anti‑Corruption Action Centre, argue the investigation demonstrates that “checks and balances really work.” The next steps will likely include further court hearings, possible asset freezes, and continued scrutiny of other senior officials linked to the scheme.