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The LeadOn his show Last Week Tonight, John Oliver delivered a scathing critique of prediction markets, calling out companies like Kalshi and Polymarket for allowing bets on serious events while avoiding gambling regulations through political connections and semantic loopholes.The Rise of Prediction MarketsPrediction markets have seen exponential growth in recent months, with billions of dollars wagered weekly on questions ranging from geopolitical events like "will traffic in the strait of Hormuz return to normal" to trivial matters like "will Mr Beast say 'feastable'." This surge is largely due to aggressive marketing by the two dominant players, Kalshi and Polymarket, which have opened the door to what Oliver describes as a "free-for-all" of questionable betting opportunities.The Financial FacadeBoth companies claim they are not gambling sites but financial exchanges offering "event contracts" that allow people to hedge against future risks. Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour argued his platform was "very important" because it allowed people to bet on student loan forgiveness. Oliver mocked this claim, showing clips of people betting on phrases Donald Trump would say in speeches, calling it "taking advantage of a sundowning geriatric's rapidly declining verbal abilities" rather than legitimate financial hedging.Political Connections and Regulatory LoopholesThe companies have successfully avoided gambling regulations by insisting they are financial exchanges, allowing them to operate in states where gambling is illegal and bypassing age requirements and taxes. Oliver highlighted their strong connections to the Trump family, noting that Donald Trump Jr is an investor and unpaid adviser to Polymarket and a paid adviser to Kalshi. These connections have paid off, as the Trump administration has effectively stripped the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) of its power to regulate these markets, leaving only one commissioner—Michael Selig, a prediction markets advocate—in charge.Societal Impact and Ethical ConcernsOliver expressed deep concern about the ethical implications of prediction markets, particularly when people bet on tragic events like "will Nancy Guthrie's kidnapper be arrested by 28 February." He noted the "chilling" reality that people might be using insider information to bet on life-or-death events, citing a case where someone made $400,000 after betting on the capture of Nicolás Maduro. Oliver also criticized news organizations for "laundering these companies' reputations" by presenting their odds as actual news.Future Outlook and Calls for ReformOliver called for basic guardrails to be put in place to regulate prediction markets, expressing little faith in the current Supreme Court or Congressional action given the Trump family's involvement. He suggested that individuals should reconsider using these markets for gambling, noting they are statistically likely to lose money. Ultimately, Oliver warned against a society where "every aspect of our lives" becomes a bet, where people engage with news not for its meaning but because they have money riding on it.

Out of roughly 43 million Americans who collectively owe close to $1.7 trillion in student loans, only a limited number have seen their balances wiped clean. For those fortunate few, the impact has been profound, reshaping financial stability and opening new career possibilities.Laura Kluss, a 41‑year‑old clinical social worker from Sacramento, California, received forgiveness through the Public Service Loan Forgiveness (PSLF) program at the end of 2025. Her loan, which had ballooned into the six‑figure range, was reduced to zero, allowing her to consider a shift from government work to the private sector without the weight of debt.Earlier this week, the U.S. Department of Education began alerting approximately 164,000 additional federal borrowers that they may qualify for automatic loan discharge. The outreach focuses on individuals who attended any of more than 150 colleges alleged to have misled students about graduation rates, employment outcomes, or true program costs.For borrowers like Kimberly from Pennsylvania, the news feels like “hitting the lottery.” She explained that the forgiveness will enable her to settle other obligations, such as her mortgage and vehicle loan, and she warned that “college is a scam unless you become a doctor or a lawyer,” urging prospective students to consider trade schools instead.Ian Hobbs, a 43‑year‑old adjunct professor in Arizona, also saw his loans discharged, yet he stresses lingering repercussions. He noted that a high debt‑to‑income ratio has blocked mortgage approvals and job opportunities for over a decade, describing the experience as akin to “indentured slavery.”Jennifer Alfonso, a disabled stay‑at‑home wife from Florida, is awaiting a decision on a Total and Permanent Disability (TPD) discharge. She said that relief would prevent automatic deductions from her SSDI benefits, which currently leave her barely able to cover basic living costs.Alfonso also cautioned others to verify a school’s accreditation, recounting her own ordeal with an unaccredited institution that forced her to restart her nursing education after transferring credits.Brad Hufeld, a retiree in Delaware, Ohio, has carried a loan for 23 years after his college closed before he could graduate. He highlighted the personal toll, including the loss of his mother during that period, and urged borrowers to read the fine print before signing up for any program.A woman in her 60s working at a bottling plant in Kentucky, who filed for Chapter 13 bankruptcy two years ago, expressed hope that forgiveness could finally allow her to retire and keep her bills current.Finally, a 65‑year‑old semi‑retired truck driver in Texas, whose loan finances a truck‑driving certification rather than a degree, said that discharge would improve his credit score and provide much‑needed financial relief, adding a reminder to “do your homework before committing to any educational path.”p>

The US Department of Education has been notifying approximately 164,000 federal student loan borrowers about their eligibility for automatic student loan forgiveness. This move comes after allegations of misconduct against more than 150 colleges, including misrepresentation of graduation rates, post-graduation employment, and the cost of degrees.Borrowers whose colleges engaged in such misconduct can apply for loan discharge. The Guardian is seeking to hear from individuals who have successfully had their student loans forgiven. We are interested in understanding how this development will impact their lives, what new plans they will make, and what advice they have for other borrowers.Share your experience with The Guardian using their online form. The form allows for anonymous submissions and includes fields for name, location, background information, and details on how the loan forgiveness affects their life and future plans.If you’re having trouble using the form, click here. Read terms of service here and privacy policy here.