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Scientists warn that the Trump administration’s plan to dismantle the U.S. Ocean Observatories Initiative will severely degrade climate and weather forecasting, leaving the world effectively ‘flying blind’. Planned Dismantling of the Ocean Observatories Initiative The Ocean Observatories Initiative (OOI), operated by the U.S. National Science Foundation, is a network of seafloor sensors, underwater gliders and moored platforms that feeds real‑time data to researchers, policymakers and mariners worldwide. The system spans U.S. coastlines, the North Atlantic and the Southern Ocean, supporting studies of marine heatwaves, harmful algal blooms, subduction‑zone earthquakes, ocean acidification and fisheries variability. Cost Savings vs Climate‑Related Economic Losses $368m – annual budget of the OOI slated for reduction. €92m ($107m) – EU’s new OceanEye initiative, with >50% earmarked for the Global Ocean Observing System (GOOS). 163% increase in error for annual ocean‑heating rate estimates if U.S. observations are lost. More than 400 climate‑related disasters (≥$1bn each) in the U.S. from 1980‑2024; $177bn in damages in 2024 alone. How Losing U.S. Ocean Data Degrades Weather and Climate Forecasts Research published in Nature Climate Change shows that removing U.S. observations would be worse than randomly losing 80% of global ocean data. The resulting degradation would affect: Accuracy of El Niño and tropical‑cyclone forecasts. Early‑warning systems that “save lives” for storms and heatwaves. Agricultural planning across the United States and South America, where farmers rely on El Niño outlooks. Economic sectors such as insurance, disaster response and fisheries management. Future of Global Ocean Monitoring Without U.S. Contributions While the U.S. program faces a “descope,” the European Union is accelerating its own monitoring through the OceanEye program. Experts like Sabrina Speich (ENS, Paris) and John P Abraham (University of St Thomas) stress that international cooperation is essential; without U.S. data, the global observing system loses its “eyes and ears.” The outlook hinges on whether alternative funding can fill the critical gaps left by the OOI’s reduction.

The Controversial Non-Runner DecisionHow long must Epsom wait to catch a break? The main elements were all in place for a feelgood running of the Derby on Saturday: a double-figure field, the major trial winners all in the lineup, and fresh incentives launched to encourage walk-up punters back to the infield. The weather gods, though, had other ideas.Would Christmas Day have won on good-to-firm ground? Perhaps. Every horse has its chance, after all. But he was surely not a 7-1 shot had the rain not arrived, having finished only third in the Dante Stakes in May, when he was running on ground without "soft" in the description for the first time. As Ronan Whelan, Christmas Day's rider, put it, the "stars aligned" for Aidan O'Brien's fourth-string, who beat both James J Braddock, the third horse home on Saturday, and Pierre Bonnard, the seventh, on soft ground at Leopardstown in April. As things stand, though, it is hard to see him as anything more than a very average winner of the Derby, and his next race, which could be as soon as the Irish Derby later this month, will do more to establish his place in the three-year-old generation.The Non-Runner Ruling and Its AftermathIf or when he next runs into Maltese Cross, Saturday's runner-up, on good ground or better, my money would be on William Haggas's colt to reverse the form. Tom Marquand had little choice but to drop him into midfield from his wide draw in stall one, and he was the only runner to make significant ground on the winner, who was perfectly positioned throughout, in the closing stages, despite clearly hating the ground.For as long as humans race thoroughbreds, though, Christmas Day will be in the record books as the 2026 Derby winner, so fair play to the "lads" in the Coolmore Stud syndicate for letting him take his chance. And respect too to the punters who read back through his form, pondered the weather forecast and backed him down to single-figure odds, from as big as 25-1 after the final declarations and draw on Wednesday.Respect, though, is no substitute for hard cash, and many of Christmas Day's backers suffered the post-race slap in the face of a 25p Rule 4 deduction in every pound of their winnings after the stewards decided that Benvenuto Cellini, the 3-1 favourite, had been denied a fair start and should be declared a non-runner. Benvenuto Cellini, O'Brien's first-string with Ryan Moore holding the reins, had a hind leg on the inside rail of his starting stall when the gates opened. He was slow to stride as a result and eventually crossed the line in 10th having never threatened to land a blow on his stable companion.This according to Shaun Parker, the British Horseracing Authority's head of stewarding, was enough for the stewards to decide that Benvenuto Cellini's chance had been "materially affected", and that the officials did not "feel we had any choice but to declare him a non-runner". The rule covering Saturday's incident dates back to April 2024, before which horses could be declared non-runners only as a result of faulty action of the starting stalls or if they were riderless at the off. It has been called into action several times since – last month, Cashbox was declared a non-runner at Windsor in near-identical circumstances – but ruling out the 3-1 favourite for Flat racing's showpiece Classic is clearly of a very different order of magnitude.Financial Implications of the DecisionThe rule, as is the case with many of those in racing, is designed with punters in mind, and ensuring that they get a fair run for their money. As Parker framed it on Saturday: "If you'd backed the favourite and that's happened to you at the start, it would be very difficult to explain why we didn't think that it had materially affected his chances and they'd actually lost their money." Benvenuto Cellini's backers were no doubt happy to get their stake money back after seeing their horse trail home down the field, and the betting firms that were willing to take a significant hit by waiving the Rule 4 deduction, including Ladbrokes, Coral and Boylesports, deserve a name-check.In the view of this longtime punter, at least, it was a poor decision, made as the result of a rule seeking to micromanage events that should fall instead into the realm of tough racing luck. All manner of incidents at the start can "materially affect" a horse's chance. It may rear a split-second before the stalls open. Will that be sufficient to see a horse declared a non-runner at Royal Ascot next week? And if not, why not? The stewards' decision also not only cost most backers of Christmas Day money, it cost the sport money given racing draws significant funding from both turnover and betting firms' gross profits, and the Derby is one of the biggest betting races of the year.Impact on Horse Racing's FutureThe "fair start" rule was introduced with good intentions, but while no one enjoys backing an unlucky loser it is an inevitable part of betting on horses. What punters absolutely detest, however, is backing a winner at a good price and then losing a decent chunk of their anticipated return. As for the Classic weekend as a whole, Saturday's weather washed away any hopes of a 60,000-attendance over the two days, but the attendance of 22,557 for the Derby was the highest since 2022 and the two-day total of 48,261 was 28% up on last year.A promising year one, in other words, in the Jockey Club's £6m, five-year plan to revive the Derby. And the weather, we hope, can only be better next year.

Weather Disruption and Match Status The third day of the first Test at Lord's has been marred by persistent rain, leaving players and spectators under gunmetal skies. While the forecast for Day 4 looks promising, today's prospects are bleak, with a high percentage chance of rain through most of the day. The Matt Henry Masterclass and Gay's Debut Milestone The match has progressed at a rapid rate due to skilful bowling on both sides in helpful conditions. Matt Henry delivered a historic delivery to Jacob Bethell, described by Test Match Special as the least bouncing ball in the past 20 years in a specific pitch zone, effectively shooting out the young batter. Meanwhile, Emilio Gay marked his Test debut with a resilient maiden half-century, showcasing the resilience required on this unpredictable pitch. Scoreline and Weather Forecast New Zealand requires 218 more runs to secure victory, with openers Devon Conway and Ravindra Ravindra currently holding the fort. The batting on display has been intense, with Harry Brook and Kyle Jamieson delivering vital contributions in the first innings. Series Dynamics and England's Bowling Pressure England holds a slight edge with three wickets in hand, but New Zealand is only one solid partnership away from turning the tide. The aggressive batting styles seen in the first innings have set a high bar, and the pitch contains the dual threat of unexpected lift off a length and scudding ankle-height balls. Day 4 Outlook With improved weather expected tomorrow, a decisive result is imminent. The match is poised to move from a stalemate to a finish line, making Day 4 the critical day for both teams.

England vs New Zealand Cricket Test Day Two Live Updates Welcome to day two of the first Test of the summer between England and New Zealand. The first day was a dramatic one, with 16 wickets falling and a frenetic pace that left spectators reeling. Key Highlights from Day One England and New Zealand played out a thrilling first day, marked by significant contributions from Harry Brook and Glenn Phillips. Kyle Jamieson took five wickets for 62 runs, while Ollie Robinson claimed four wickets for ten runs, including a remarkable triple-wicket maiden in his first over after a two-year hiatus. Day Two Prospects The weather forecast looks more favorable for day two, which might make batting conditions easier. This could provide some consolation for spectators holding weekend tickets, wondering if they'll have enough to watch. Play is set to start at 11am BST. Join us for live updates throughout the day.

England’s Test Resurgence Begins with Robinson’s SpellAfter a two‑year absence, Ollie Robinson forced his way back into the England squad and, within five minutes, won over the crowd with a devastating three‑wicket first over that sparked a dramatic shift in the opening day against New Zealand at Lord’s. Robinson’s Six‑Over Burst Dismantles New Zealand’s Top OrderRobinson opened the innings with a blistering spell, claiming wickets of Devon Conway (lbw), Kane Williamson (caught at short leg) and Rachin Ravindra (pad‑thumper) in his first over. He continued to trouble the visitors, adding a fourth wicket and finishing with four wickets in six overs as New Zealand slumped to 61/6 at stumps. Statistical Snapshot of the Opening DayRobinson’s figures: 4 wickets for 28 runs in 6 overs.New Zealand’s total at tea: 61 runs for 6 wickets.England’s innings: 140 all out, with Kyle Jamieson taking 5/62.Rain impact: Only 60 overs played on a rain‑affected pitch. Why the Spell Redefines England’s Test OutlookThe early breakthrough not only halted New Zealand’s momentum but also highlighted England’s renewed bowling potency under the Dukes ball and overcast conditions. After a dismal start and a series of low‑scoring innings, the performance suggests a shift away from the overly aggressive “Bazball” approach toward a more balanced attack, giving captain Joe Root and coach Brendon McCullum tactical flexibility. Looking Ahead: Series Implications and Next MovesWith the pitch still offering movement and the weather forecast remaining unsettled, England will aim to capitalize on the psychological edge gained from Robinson’s spell. If the bowlers can maintain pressure, the series could swing back in England’s favour despite the modest total. Conversely, New Zealand will look to regroup, relying on their pace spearhead Matt Henry—who is currently sidelined with back spasms—to lead a comeback.

The Historic Lord's Milestone Morning everyone and welcome to the first Test of the English summer. Ashes, what Ashes? There's a lot to look forward to here. It's the 150th Test at Lord's, the first ground to reach that milestone. The next one looks like being Melbourne, some time in the 2040s, so here is one facet of cricket where England still rules the world. The Evolution of Bazball Strategy It's a reboot for our old friend Bazball, which is now going to be "slightly smarter" (according to Baz McCullum) or "a lot smarter" (according to Ben Stokes). As in Australia, these two seem to be singing from half of the same hymn sheet. New Faces and Last-Chance Opportunities It's a big moment for Emilio Gay, who will make his debut for England and open the batting in place of Zak Crawley, the only head to roll after a sobering winter. It may be an even bigger moment for Ollie Robinson, the prodigal seamer, as he walks into the last-chance saloon. New Zealand's Strong Challenge It's the biggest series for New Zealand since they last faced England in December 2024. They've played only six Tests since, but they've brought a strong squad, stuffed with seasoned batters and talented bowlers. Their last big series away from home went quite well: they beat India 3-0. Weather Threatens Cricket Action It's all set to be a great occasion. But have you seen the weather forecast? Bad for today, even worse for Saturday, bad again for Monday. If a bit of water could just be allowed to seep through the covers, it might be the only hope of a result. Toss and Match Preview The toss is at 10.30am (BST), at least in theory.

England's 12‑Man Squad for the New Zealand Lord’s TestEngland announced a trimmed squad of twelve for Thursday’s opening match of the summer against New Zealand at Lord’s. The list mirrors the strategy used in the first Ashes Test last November, featuring a mix of established players and fringe talent. Notably, spinner Shoaib Bashir is retained over Rehan Ahmed, and all‑rounder Jacob Bethell is fit after a finger injury, offering a backup bowling option. Weather Forecast as the Deciding Factor for Bowling SelectionCoach Brendon McCullum confirmed that the final XI will be chosen with the latest weather data in mind. If the forecast predicts hot, flat conditions – potentially reaching 35°C – the team may opt for the extra “air speed” that Sonny Baker provides, possibly at the expense of Gus Atkinson. Conversely, cooler, overcast conditions would favour bowlers who can extract movement, keeping the traditional Lord’s swing attack. Statistical Snapshot: Atkinson vs. BakerGus Atkinson: 19 wickets in two previous Lord’s Tests at an average of 10.94; also scored a first‑class century at the ground.Sonny Baker: Made T20 and ODI debuts last summer; praised for raw pace and “full noise” style, but lacks a proven Test record. Strategic Implications for England's Pace AttackThe inclusion of Sonny Baker would inject raw speed into a line‑up that already boasts experience in swing and seam. McCullum’s comments suggest a contingency plan: retain a balanced attack that can adapt mid‑match if conditions shift, with Atkinson providing control and Baker offering a potential breakthrough when the ball is less likely to move. Outlook: Potential Debut and Future RoleShould the weather clear, Sonny Baker could earn his Test debut, likely replacing Gus Atkinson for the first innings. Even if he stays on the bench, the discussion underscores England’s willingness to experiment with high‑pace options in the summer, signalling a possible longer‑term role for Baker in the national side.

The Rise of AI Weather Forecasting A new AI weather forecasting tool released by WindBorne Systems offers more frequent and accurate predictions on key variables than the world-leading system developed by European governments. This advancement is thanks to improvements in how sensor readings are fed into deep learning models. WeatherMesh-6: A More Accurate Forecast Founded by a group of Stanford students in 2019, WindBorne began by building a better weather balloon, with the idea of selling weather data. However, with the arrival of weather-forecasting deep learning models in 2022, the team realized they could capture more value by building their own model as well. Today marks the release of the sixth version of that model, WeatherMesh-6, which the company says is more accurate than traditional and AI forecasts produced by the ECMWF. The Data Advantage WindBorne has about 400 balloons in flight gathering sensor readings at any given time, launched from 15 sites around the globe. The advances in its current model come from improvements in how the data collected by the balloons is fed into the models. Outperforming Traditional Forecasts One simple way to understand it is that WeatherMesh-6 "is as accurate five days out as a traditional forecast is the day before," particularly on surface temperature measurements. WeatherMesh-6 produces a forecast every hour, as opposed to every six hours, as traditional models do, and its resolution is now down to 3 km in the continental U.S. The Future of Weather Forecasting The company suffered a scare last year when a United Airlines jetliner flew into one of its balloons. While the plane suffered minor damage, no one was hurt, in part because WindBorne followed U.S. regulations about how large its sensor package could be. Now, however, the company uses the global aviation surveillance system ADS-B to move its balloons out of the way of passing aircraft, in an effort to reduce the odds of another crash. Business Model and Funding WindBorne, which has raised $25 million in venture funding with a reported valuation of $85 million in 2024, sells its balloon data to NOAA, where it is used in the American weather forecasting enterprise, and the U.S. Air Force and Navy. The company also sells its forecasts to investors and commodity traders.

Why I Stopped Checking the Forecast and What I LearnedFor a week I deliberately ignored my weather app, letting the sky dictate my plans. The experiment revealed a mix of pleasant surprises, moments of inconvenience, and deeper insights into how forecasts shape our daily choices.The Week‑Long Experiment: Day‑by‑Day ObservationsDay 1 – Saturday: Sunny start, sudden cloud, then sunshine again; I enjoyed spontaneous outdoor time.Day 2 – Sunday: Expected rain never arrived; a long drive and an 80th‑birthday lunch proceeded without a drop.Day 3 – Monday: Cold morning turned sunny; I dressed simply and adapted to a brief shower.Day 4 – Tuesday: App warned of 15 °C, I ignored it, and the day stayed dry despite a brief heavy shower later.Day 5 – Wednesday: A sudden hailstorm passed while I was inside a café, underscoring the unpredictability of local weather.Numbers That Reveal the Power of ForecastsMore than 50 % of Britons say they would cancel an outing if a forecast shows a 40 % chance of rain.Over 80 outdoor attractions, including Chester Zoo and the Eden Project, complained to the Met Office about lost visitors; Chester Zoo estimates a loss of up to £137,000 in a single day.According to a Harris Poll survey, 37 % of respondents rely only on the headline weather symbol, while 55 % would change plans at a 40 % rain probability.Another 60 % admit they have abandoned a day out only to discover the weather was fine.Reading University’s 2024 accuracy ranking placed the Weather Channel first, AccuWeather second, the Met Office third, Apple fourth and the BBC fifth.How Forecast Bias Shapes Behaviour and BusinessPsychologist Trevor Harley explains that weather apps give an illusion of control in an increasingly uncertain world, especially amid climate‑change anxiety. This “wet bias”—presenting any chance of rain to avoid disappointment—can amplify risk‑averse decisions, driving people to cancel plans or over‑prepare.For businesses, the visual cue of a raincloud can deter visitors, translating into substantial revenue loss. The Met Office’s radar visualisations, while more precise, are still limited by topography and rapid shower development, meaning local accuracy remains a challenge.What the Future Holds for Weather Forecasting and Everyday ChoicesAs hyper‑local radar data becomes more accessible, experts advise checking visualisations rather than summary icons. Meanwhile, mental‑health advocates suggest embracing “weather‑agnostic” habits—stepping outside and observing conditions directly—to reduce anxiety and improve mood.In the coming years we can expect:Greater integration of real‑time radar into mainstream apps.More transparent communication about forecast uncertainty.Public health campaigns promoting outdoor activity regardless of modest rain chances.