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SpaceX’s IPO Launch: Ambitious Valuation Meets Hard Financial RealitySpaceX is set to debut on the Nasdaq with a price tag that suggests a $1.77tn market value, despite posting a $4.9bn loss on $18.7bn revenue in 2025. Analysts argue the figure is inflated and warn that a steep valuation correction is likely once the hype settles.The Gap Between Prospectus Valuation and Cash‑Flow RealityThe filing values the company at almost 100 times its 2025 revenue, a multiple that far exceeds comparable aerospace and technology firms. Morningstar’s discounted‑cash‑flow model caps the fair value near $780bn, highlighting a discrepancy of nearly $1tn.Revenue Drivers and Loss ProfileStarlink contributes roughly 60% of total revenue and dominates satellite broadband in remote regions.Reusable launch technology has driven launch costs down to “tens of millions” per flight, a dramatic reduction from historic billions.SpaceX reported a net loss of $4.9bn on revenue of $18.7bn for 2025.AI Ambitions: xAI’s Influence on the Valuation NarrativeThe newly integrated xAI unit, initially valued at $250bn, is positioned as the primary growth engine, with most IPO proceeds earmarked for AI development and potential space‑based data centres.Investor Mechanics: Underwriters, Index Funds, and Momentum RisksGoldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, JP Morgan, and Citigroup are leading the underwriting syndicate, targeting up to $86bn of new shares. Simultaneously, the rush to include SpaceX in major indices forces passive trackers—now about half of US equity holdings—to acquire the stock, amplifying momentum and raising the risk of a later sharp correction.Outlook: Expecting a Post‑IPO Valuation DescentWhile Musk’s brand may sustain short‑term price support, the combination of inflated multiples, heavy index‑driven buying, and modest cash‑flow fundamentals suggests that a “descent to an earthly valuation” is probable within the next 12‑24 months.

The Record‑Breaking IPO PlanSpaceX filed paperwork on 4 June 2026 to launch an initial public offering that could value the company at $1.78 trn, eclipsing the 2019 Saudi Aramco float. The filing outlines a primary raise of $75 bn, with an optional increase to $86 bn if underwriters exercise their share‑sale option.Financial Snapshot: Valuation vs RevenueNet loss in 2025: $4.94 bnRevenue 2025: $18.67 bn (up 33% YoY)Proposed valuation multiple: > 90× annual revenueBy contrast, Morningstar’s discounted‑cash‑flow model places the firm at roughly $780 bn, less than half of the IPO price.Market Reaction and Overvaluation WarningsMorningstar’s senior analyst Michael Hewson called the valuation “significantly overvalued,” suggesting investors may find “more attractive levels after the IPO.” The firm’s warning highlights the gap between the proposed price and traditional profit‑based multiples.“We think the company has been significantly overvalued and investors will have opportunities to buy the stock at more attractive levels after the IPO.” – MorningstarImplications for the Space Economy and InvestorsListing would give SpaceX fresh capital and provide “exit liquidity” for insiders, allowing pension funds and index trackers to acquire stakes in Musk’s broader ambitions, including orbital AI data centres and the Starlink network.Outlook: What Could Happen After the Float?Analysts warn that the lofty price could deter participation, risking an undersubscribed offering. If the IPO proceeds, the company could join the Nasdaq, further legitimising the commercial space sector, but the long‑term price trajectory will hinge on whether revenue growth can close the gap to the $1.78 trn benchmark.

A New Vision for Global ProsperityIn our increasingly dystopian world, the World Justice Report offers a utopian antidote by outlining how to build a prosperous, equitable world within safe planetary boundaries. This ambitious plan from the modern eco-socialist left presents a comprehensive vision for the future that could see the majority of people working less and earning more by the end of the century while keeping temperatures down and avoiding much of the current destruction of nature.The Core Principles of the Justice ReportThe report incorporates important concepts of "sufficiency" and "planetary habitability," addressing the fundamental question of how to reduce the material impact of economic activity—a topic long ignored by the traditional left. By widening the definition of prosperity and emphasizing "sufficiency," the report demonstrates that quality of life is more valuable than quantity of material goods, echoing ancient philosophies of a "golden mean" and Bhutan's concept of "gross national happiness."Challenging Economic OrthodoxyThomas Piketty, one of the coordinators of the report, argues that the ambition of the mega-rich has become unrealistic and undesirable. "Their new dream is to cover the entire planet with data centres," Piketty states, "This is their economic project for the world. But everybody can see that this is just going to increase the material footprint of our economy, that this is going to make global warming even worse."The Alternative to Techno-ExtractivismThe report stands in stark contrast to the far-right techno-extractivist vision currently being championed by the US president and his supporters in Silicon Valley, who are putting artificial intelligence ahead of renewable technology. In the quest for "energy dominance," the US is using tariffs and military power to widen markets for oil, gas and coal—a strategy that drives the world toward catastrophic levels of global heating and inequality.Bridging the Climate Science GapThe report fills a significant hole that has existed since the inception of the global climate science infrastructure in the 1990s. Robert Watson, a former chair of the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, noted that if he could go back in time, he would have added more social scientists to the climate discussion. The "pure scientists" from physics and chemistry initially believed data alone would persuade governments to act, but later wished they had taken more account of social dynamics, economics, politics and psychology.Overcoming the Green Growth IllusionThe report challenges what Piketty calls the "illusion of classless ecology" or the "green growth illusion" that everything will be solved by producing more without worrying about distribution, sufficiency, or structural transformation. This illusion, he argues, has made green policy unpopular for many lower and middle-income voters by ignoring the social dimensions of climate action.The Path to Cultural Transformation"Sufficiency does not mean degrowth," explains Cornelia Mohren, Environmental Coordinator of the World Inequality Lab. "It is about less working hours, a different composition of consumption, and more health and education." The authors emphasize that they don't want to force people to change their lifestyles but rather initiate a cultural shift in how society perceives the good life.A Future Forged in CrisisPiketty acknowledges that crises are inevitable but argues it's important to initiate debates now so that alternatives are already in people's minds and will become more palatable in the future. "People need to get accustomed to the fact that big change will happen in any case," he states. "We are not in a situation where things can just continue as they are forever." The report remains open for suggestions and revisions, inviting global participation in shaping this alternative vision for our shared future.

The Energy Advantage in AI Supremacy In the race against China for AI supremacy, the United States dominates when it comes to access to the most cutting-edge semiconductors. But when it comes to powering the huge data centres that run on AI chips, China holds the clear advantage. That's because data centres, the sprawling computing facilities needed to train and run AI models, require vast amounts of energy. A typical data centre can consume as much electricity as 100,000 households, while next-generation "hyperscale" facilities can gobble up as much power as two million homes, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA). China's access to an abundant supply of cheap electricity places it in the ideal position to meet such colossal energy demands. China already generates more than twice as much electricity as the US, a lead that is expected to widen amid an aggressive state-led investment in the country's energy grid. China's Renewable Energy Expansion BloombergNEF, a research provider, estimates that China will add more than six times as much electricity generation capacity as the US over the next five years. Much of that extra capacity will be in the form of renewables such as solar and wind. In 2025 alone, China increased its wind and solar power capacity by more than 430 gigawatts, accounting for more than half of the additional capacity in the renewables added globally that year. A key element of China's AI strategy involves integrating its data centres into its rapidly expanding renewables sector. Under the "East Data, West Computing" initiative, China's government is concentrating the construction of new data centres in the country's sparsely populated interior, where land and renewable energy sources are abundant compared with the heavily built-up eastern seaboard. Earlier this month, Beijing announced the start of operations at the country's first "large-scale" renewable energy project to be linked directly to a data centre. The 500-megawatt wind and solar project, located in the northwestern Ningxia region, will power a cloud data centre operated by China Datang through a "dedicated transmission line". The US-China Data Center Divide For now, the US still has the largest data centre footprint by a wide margin. According to Stanford University's AI Index, the US had an estimated 5,427 data centres in 2025, compared with 449 in China. The US accounted for 45 percent of the 415 terawatt-hours of electricity consumed by data centres in 2024, followed by China and Europe with 25 percent and 15 percent, respectively, according to the IEA. In 2026 alone, Silicon Valley's Amazon, Microsoft, Meta and Alphabet are projected by Morgan Stanley to spend $630bn on data centres and other AI-related investment, vastly more than Chinese tech giants such as Alibaba, Tencent and ByteDance. But as China constructs data centres at a blistering pace – its number of data centre racks grew 30 percent annually from 2016 to 2023, according to the China Academy of Information and Communications Technology – the gap between the superpowers is rapidly narrowing. US Power Grid Constraints Meanwhile, there are already signs that the AI rollout in the US is bumping up against power constraints. Energy consultancy Wood Mackenzie said earlier this year that the limitations of the US energy grid had resulted in a 50 percent quarter on quarter drop in new data centre projects at the end of 2025. Technical limitations have been compounded by a growing backlash against data centres within communities across the US – driven partly by the strain the facilities place on local grids – a challenge not faced by China, where opposition to the government is heavily restricted. At least 36 data centres were blocked or stalled in the US between May 2024 and June 2025, according to Data Center Watch, a research project by AI security company 10a Labs. US tech leaders, including Tesla's Elon Musk, Nvidia's Jensen Huang and OpenAI's Sam Altman, have openly acknowledged China's edge in the energy domain. "The limiting factor for AI deployment is fundamentally electrical power," Musk said in an interview at the World Economic Forum in January. "Very soon, maybe even later this year, we'll be producing more chips than we can turn on – except for China. China's growth in electricity is tremendous." China's Energy Strategy Challenges Despite Beijing's push to meld its AI ambitions with the wind and solar resources of its remote western regions, most data centres are still located in and around eastern megacities such as Beijing, Tianjin, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen. "These places also face power supply difficulties and have introduced restrictions on new data centres," Anders Hove, a senior research fellow at the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies, told Al Jazeera. Hove added that China's power grid also suffers from a high degree of fragmentation that prevents the seamless flow of electricity between regions. "China's power system is organised and dispatched mainly at the provincial level, with transmission corridors acting primarily as one-way power flows," Hove said. "Though the central government has called for regional wholesale markets and more granular trading intervals, this is proceeding slowly." Data Center Quality and Utilization Concerns Though rapid, China's data centre rollout has also faced quality issues, said Kyle Chan, a research fellow at the Brookings Institution who specialises in Chinese tech and industrial policy. "They are trying to build heterogeneous chip clusters that group together different hardware systems. This makes it more challenging to run AI workloads," Chan told Al Jazeera. "There have been issues with the build quality of some Chinese data centres, particularly when the developer does not have proper experience with such a complex project." China has also has some way to go to narrow the gap between data centre capacity and utilisation, said IMD Business School's Yu. "Beijing's own estimates put it at 20 to 30 percent, and even SMIC's chief has warned the new capacity could sit idle," Yu said. "One way to frame the whole race: the US has the chips and is short on power, while China has the power and is short on chips. Each is sprinting to fix its own bottleneck."

The Lead: Alphabet Announces $80 bn Equity Offering to Accelerate AIAlphabet, Google’s parent, disclosed on June 2 2026 a plan to sell $80 bn of shares to fund its AI infrastructure rollout.Alphabet's $80 bn Equity Offering to Finance AI RolloutThe company will allocate the proceeds to expand compute capacity, data‑center assets, and the Gemini family of AI assistants.$10 bn to be sold directly to Berkshire Hathaway, led by Warren Buffett.$30 bn via underwritten offerings.$40 bn through staggered open‑market sales.Financial Scale: $80 bn Funding Structure and Market ImpactAlphabet’s market capitalisation exceeds $4.5 trillion. After the announcement, shares slipped about 1 % in after‑hours trading.Analysts at Goldman Sachs estimate that U.S. tech giants will spend roughly $800 bn on AI‑related capital in 2026, positioning Alphabet’s raise as a significant share of that total.Strategic Implications for the AI Race Among HyperscalersBy opting for equity rather than debt, Alphabet secures permanent capital, mitigating balance‑sheet strain as it targets capital expenditures of $180‑190 bn this year, with further increases expected in 2027.Industry voices, such as Troy Hooper of Mergermarket, note that compute capacity directly drives future revenue for hyperscalers, and ownership at scale lowers marginal training costs, creating a competitive moat.What the Equity Drive Signals for Alphabet’s Future GrowthThe funding underscores the “existential risk” narrative: under‑investing in AI could erode market position, while over‑investing is merely costly. Alphabet’s move suggests confidence in sustained demand and a bid to secure the largest, most efficient compute platform.Analysts will watch how the capital is deployed across data centres and Gemini services, which could shape the competitive landscape through 2027 and beyond.

The Lead: Iran's Internet Partially Restored Tehran, Iran – Authorities in Iran have reinstated some internet access three months after taking the country offline at the start of the war with the United States and Israel, but restrictions remain in place for most people. The Iranian government said last week that it had started a process to bring internet access back to a pre-war level, which was already very restricted as Iran was at the time still coming off an earlier 20-day shutdown imposed during deadly nationwide protests in January. The World's Longest Internet Blackout Last week's move ended more than 2,000 hours of near-total internet shutdown in the country of 90 million people, the longest-ever nationwide blackout in the world. But according to numerous user reports, local media accounts and expert analysis, Iranians' free access to the global internet is far from restored. Restricted Access and Blocked Services Access to millions of web pages remains blocked by the state, and almost all global services and apps such as YouTube, Instagram, Telegram, WhatsApp, Facebook and Waze are closed off and are not under consideration for reinstatement. Mobile, wireless and landline connections are slow and patchy, to varying degrees, while many local applications and services regularly malfunction or fail to load. The Black Market for Internet Access Most people are forced into a black market for access to the internet, which has proven lucrative for those selling virtual private networks (VPNs) or other circumvention methods, often through affiliations with the state. Those connections have now become cheaper after the authorities restored some internet bandwidth, but demand for VPNs has skyrocketed, and people remain exposed to scammers and malware while navigating the market. The Architecture of Filtering Meanwhile, even after the partial reopening, Iranian authorities continue to impose several complex layers of restrictions that have effectively turned full internet access into a privilege that very few people authorised by the state can enjoy. Many data centres have yet to be fully brought back online, and some internet protocols like IPv6 and HTTP/3 are blocked, while others like UDP are actively disrupted by the authorities, local media reported. Political Conflict Over Internet Policy That has prompted more criticism against Iran's relatively moderate President Masoud Pezeshkian, who campaigned against hardliners, in part, on reopening the internet. The Sazandegi reformist newspaper criticised the government over the "belated opening" in an op-ed on Saturday while the state-linked KhabarOnline news site wrote that the "Internet's technical infrastructure is the victim of the new architecture of filtering". The Tiered-Access Internet System Authorities have also failed to elaborate on what exactly they plan to do with the tiered-access internet system that they began expanding during the war. As part of the system, Iranians get varying degrees of access – or no access at all – to the global internet based on their profession and other classifications made by the state. To implement the scheme, a so-called "Internet Pro" scheme was introduced, which offers slightly less restricted access for about three times the price of a regular, more restricted internet package. Frustration and Limited Normalcy Still, more people have been able to get back on social media, where they have posted more videos from the war, including one that showed a new view as dozens of missiles rained down on the headquarters of Iran's supreme leader in downtown Tehran on February 28. Others are sharing war experiences, including where they were and how they felt when the first bombs hit the capital. But that hasn't alleviated the frustrations for many. "What we have right now is not the internet," said a Tehran resident, who spoke to Al Jazeera on condition of anonymity. "It's a return to the previous half-closed condition that is now being sold as an achievement."

New research commissioned by Friends of the Earth Ireland and Beyond Fossil Fuels reveals that the rapid expansion of data centres in Ireland is silently inflating household electricity bills, creating what the authors call a "hidden data‑centre tax". Datacentre Power Surge Consumes 22% of Ireland’s Electricity According to the Central Statistics Office, data centres used 22% of the nation’s electricity last year – more than the combined consumption of all urban homes. By contrast, the United States and the United Kingdom each see data‑centre demand at roughly 6% of total electricity use. €715 million Drain and €360 Household Cost Spike (2015‑2023) €715 million has been extracted from the Irish economy as a net cost of data‑centre electricity demand. Average household bills rose by a cumulative €360 between 2015 and 2023. Modelling by Seán Fearon, post‑doctoral researcher at the Autonomous University of Barcelona, links the rise to increased hours where gas sets the system price. Ripple Effects on Irish Economy and European Energy Prices Jill McArdle of Beyond Fossil Fuels warns that Ireland’s experience is a warning sign for Europe: unchecked data‑centre growth can amplify energy‑price volatility, especially when combined with fossil‑gas dependence. Industry groups counter that data centres inject capital – €18 billion in recent years – and pay substantial corporate taxes, funding public infrastructure. Future Cost Trajectory: €295‑€644 per Household (2025‑2034) Fearon projects that, depending on growth rates, the average Irish household could incur an additional €295‑€644 in electricity costs over the 2025‑2034 decade, amounting to a national total between €633 million and €1.43 billion. Policy Outlook: Calls for EU Safeguards and Renewable Offsets Stakeholders urge the European Commission to tighten safeguards, ensuring new data centres are matched with renewable‑energy capacity. Without such measures, the sector could lock Europe into a “toxic mix” of high‑demand tech and volatile fossil‑gas pricing.

Urgent Call for Nationwide Rainwater Harvesting and Grey‑Water Reuse In a report published Thursday, the House of Lords Environment and Climate Change Committee warned that England faces a looming daily water deficit of 5 bn litres by 2055 – roughly 2,000 Olympic‑size pools each day. Chaired by Shas Sheehan, the committee urges the government to make rainwater capture, grey‑water reuse and tighter building‑regulation standards central to the country’s drought‑resilience plan. Quantifying the Crisis: 5 bn Litres a Day Shortfall and Leakage Losses 5 bn litres per day projected shortfall by 2055 if current trends continue. Current leakage accounts for 19 % of total water demand, undermining conservation efforts. No new reservoirs have been built in England for over 30 years; nine are planned but will take many years to become operational. The driest spring in 132 years last year triggered prolonged drought conditions across the country. Why England’s Water System Is on the Brink Climate‑change‑driven hotter summers, heavier winter rains and an expanding portfolio of water‑intensive infrastructure – notably data centres – are stretching supply. Population growth and urban expansion increase demand, while aging pipe networks leak nearly one‑fifth of the water that is treated. The report stresses that without a coordinated response, the water system could become a limiting factor for economic and public‑health stability. Key Recommendations from the Lords Committee Amend building regulations to cap new‑home water use at 105 litres per person per day and accelerate grey‑water recycling. Deploy nature‑based solutions such as peat‑bog restoration and river‑flood‑plain reconnection to boost natural retention. Launch a nationwide awareness campaign urging households and businesses to reduce consumption. Commission a full environmental and economic assessment of drought to compare the cost of inaction with the value of resilience. Scale up urban and rural nature‑based projects to complement any future reservoir construction. What the Next Five Years Could Hold for Water Resilience If the government adopts the committee’s roadmap, England could see a measurable drop in daily demand within a decade, easing pressure on existing reservoirs and buying time for the planned new storage sites. Conversely, delaying action risks entrenched water scarcity, higher consumer bills and heightened public opposition to water‑price hikes. The report flags the upcoming El Niño year as a critical test window for any policy rollout.

Anthropic Secures 300 MW of xAI Compute from Colossus 1Earlier this month, Anthropic surprised the AI community by signing a deal to purchase the entire output of the Colossus 1 data centre – roughly 300 megawatts of compute – located near Memphis, Tennessee. The contract runs through May 2029 and includes a short‑term discount while xAI ramps up the facility.Financial Scale: $1.25 B Monthly, $40 B Projected RevenueMonthly payment: $1.25 billionProjected total revenue for xAI: > $40 billion over the contract termTermination clause: either party may exit with 90 days’ noticeThe figures emerged from SpaceX’s S‑1 filing with the SEC, where the deal is described as a way to “monetize unused compute capacity.”Neocloud Model Shifts AI Infrastructure LandscapeThis partnership illustrates a hybrid approach rarely seen in the sector. Traditionally, AI firms either build their own data centres or act solely as cloud providers. By renting out surplus capacity while still relying on the same infrastructure for its own models, xAI is pioneering a “neocloud” strategy that can offset capital expenditures and smooth revenue streams.Strategic Implications for xAI’s Upcoming IPOSpaceX’s filing hints that xAI may have over‑built its compute resources ahead of a public offering. Declining usage of Grok, the company’s flagship assistant, freed up servers that are now being sold to a direct competitor. Monetizing this idle capacity not only improves cash flow but also demonstrates a diversified business model to potential investors.Future Outlook: Competitive Pressure and Market SignalsAnalysts expect the neocloud model to attract other AI players facing similar utilization gaps. If xAI can sustain the high‑price contract, it could set a pricing benchmark for large‑scale compute leasing. Conversely, a slowdown in demand for AI services could pressure xAI to renegotiate terms or seek additional partners, influencing the timing and valuation of its IPO.