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The Legacy of Alan GreenspanAlan Greenspan, who has died aged 100, was a dominant figure in the US economy for nearly two decades as chairman of the Federal Reserve. He was widely respected for his leadership during times of economic turmoil, including the 1987 stock market crash and the 1997 Asian financial crisis.The Greenspan Era at the Federal ReserveGreenspan served as chairman of the Federal Reserve from 1987 to 2006, a period during which he was known for his ability to communicate effectively with financial markets and his commitment to low inflation. He was a key adviser to four US presidents: Ronald Reagan, George HW Bush, Bill Clinton, and George W Bush.The Impact of Greenspan's PoliciesGreenspan's policies had a significant impact on the US economy. He was instrumental in averting a global economic meltdown after the 1987 Black Monday stock market crash and again in the 1997 Asian financial crisis. His leadership during these times earned him widespread acclaim, and he was dubbed the Oracle, the Wizard, and the Maestro.The Dark Side of Greenspan's LegacyHowever, Greenspan's reputation was later tarnished by his role in the 2008 financial crisis. A congressional commission concluded that he had championed deregulation of the financial sector and reliance on self-regulation, which contributed to the crisis. Greenspan himself acknowledged that he had made a mistake in presuming that the self-interests of organisations, specifically banks and others, were such that they were best capable of protecting their own shareholders and their equity in the firms.The Future of Economic PolicyGreenspan's legacy serves as a reminder of the importance of effective regulation and oversight in the financial sector. His story is a fable of the land that made him, and his rise and fall serve as a cautionary tale for future generations of economic policymakers.

The LeadAlan Greenspan, the influential economist who ​steered US ⁠monetary policy ⁠during ​his ‌five ‌terms as chairman ⁠of the Federal Reserve ⁠under four presidents, ⁠has died aged 100, ⁠NBC News ​reported ​on ​Monday. His wife, NBC News correspondent Andrea Mitchell, confirmed that he died from complications of Parkinson's disease.The Event DetailsGreenspan chaired the Federal Reserve from 1987 to 2006, serving under the presidencies of Ronald Reagan, George HW Bush, Bill Clinton and George W Bush. His tenure covered significant economic events including the 1987 stock market crash, the dot-com boom and bust, and the early 2000s housing bubble.The Impact AnalysisGreenspan's death marks the end of an era for American economic policy. He will be remembered for his brilliance and his kindness, according to his wife. Being his life partner was the joy of my life, Mitchell stated. His influence on global monetary policy and financial markets extended far beyond his time at the Fed, with his speeches often moving markets and his economic theories shaping central banking approaches worldwide.The PredictionGreenspan's legacy will likely be debated by economists and historians for years to come. His handling of various economic crises and his role in the events leading up to the 2008 financial crisis will continue to be subjects of intense scrutiny. As the world faces new economic challenges, policymakers may look back at Greenspan's tenure for lessons on managing monetary policy in times of uncertainty and technological change.

Donald Trump condemned Israel’s continued bombing of Lebanon at the G7 summit, saying he was “not happy” with Netanyahu’s handling of Hezbollah and the Gaza war. The criticism comes as the U.S.‑Iran cease‑fire agreement, signed by Trump and Iranian counterpart Masoud Pezeshkian, faces Israeli opposition, raising questions about how long the United States will tolerate public friction with its closest Middle‑East ally. The Trump‑Netanyahu Rift Over the Iran Deal Trump warned Netanyahu to be “more responsible” in Lebanon during the G7 meeting in France. Axios reported Trump called Netanyahu “f***ing crazy” after Israeli escalations that left nearly 4,000 dead and 1.2 million displaced. Netanyahu has repeatedly opposed the U.S.‑Iran agreement that mandates an end to hostilities on all fronts, including Lebanon. Financial Stakes and Aid Packages Highlighted The Obama administration approved the largest U.S. military aid package to Israel – $38 billion – despite earlier tensions. George Bush delayed $10 billion in loan guarantees to Prime Minister Yitzhak Shamir until settlement concerns were addressed. Trump’s own deal to end the Gaza war was framed as an opportunity for Israel to deepen its occupation of the Palestinian enclave. Historical Precedents of US‑Israeli Leader Clashes Eisenhower vs. David Ben‑Gurion (1956‑57): Eisenhower demanded Israeli withdrawal from Egypt during the Suez Crisis, threatening economic and diplomatic pressure. George Bush vs. Yitzhak Shamir (1991‑92): Bush postponed $10 billion in loan guarantees over settlement expansion after the Gulf War. Bill Clinton vs. Benjamin Netanyahu (1996‑99): Clinton’s aides recalled Netanyahu’s confrontational style, yet the administration still brokered the 1998 Wye River Memorandum. Barack Obama vs. Benjamin Netanyahu (2009‑16): Disputes over Israeli settlements and the 2015 Iran nuclear deal culminated in a public congressional address by Netanyahu, followed by a $38 billion aid package. What the Current Tension Means for Future US‑Israel Cooperation Analysts at Chatham House note that Trump’s transactional approach aligns with Netanyahu’s self‑serving style, but the relationship is now “more fragile” because bipartisan U.S. support for Israel is waning. If Israel is increasingly viewed as a strategic burden, future U.S. administrations may leverage public criticism to extract policy concessions. Nevertheless, shared strategic interests in counter‑terrorism and regional stability suggest that, despite personal frictions, deep security cooperation is likely to endure.

The Presidential Pardon United States President Donald Trump has issued a pardon to Stephen Buyer, a former Republican congressman from Indiana who served nearly two years in prison for making illegal stock trades based on inside information after he left office. The pardon was dated Thursday and released by the White House late Friday night. The Conviction and Sentence Buyer was sentenced to 22 months in prison in 2023 for trades made while working as a consultant and lobbyist. He was ordered to forfeit more than $350,000, representing the amount of the illegal gains, as well as pay a $10,000 fine. He was released in 2025. The Supreme Court in May rejected Buyer's appeal without comment or noted dissent. Trump's Justification In granting "a full, complete, and unconditional pardon" to Buyer, Trump cited the Republican's work, both as a judge advocate general in the US army and as a politician in the US House. Trump described his career as "distinguished and highly productive". Buyer's Response Buyer said the pardon "corrects a politically motivated prosecution" and that it was "horrific to be imprisoned for a crime that I did not commit". He maintains that he is innocent. The Political Support Trump used his Truth Social media platform on May 31 to share a pair of letters requesting a presidential pardon for Buyer, a lawyer and Gulf War veteran who left office in 2011. He was a House prosecutor at Democratic President Bill Clinton's 1998 impeachment trial, and in 2016, he served on Trump's transition team, focusing on veterans' issues. A letter signed by more than 40 former Republicans in Congress said Buyer was "targeted by the deep state" because of his involvement in Clinton's trial. "Like you, Mr. President, Steve has been the victim of lawfare conducted by the Biden Administration," they wrote in the April 2025 letter. A second letter, from five current House Republicans, said pardoning Buyer would bring justice to his case. The June 2025 letter was signed by Tom Cole of Oklahoma, Ken Calvert of California, Marlin Stutzman of Indiana, Jack Bergman of Michigan and Pete Sessions of Texas. The Case Details Buyer, 67, was convicted in connection with insider trading involving the $26.5bn merger of T-Mobile and Sprint, announced in April 2018, and illegal trades in the management consulting company Navigant when his client Guidehouse was set to acquire it in a deal publicly disclosed weeks later. The Power of Presidential Pardon The US Constitution gives a president broad power to grant pardons for federal crimes. The pardons do not erase a recipient's criminal record but can be seen as act of mercy or justice.

Court Blocks Trump's Transgender Military BanA United States court of appeals has ruled that a policy under President Donald Trump to expel transgender troops from the military was a violation of the Constitution. Monday's decision was a split one among the three-judge panel of the US appeals court for the District of Columbia.One judge, Robert Wilkins, an appointee of former Democratic President Barack Obama, upheld a lower court ruling rejecting the Trump administration's policy as it pertains to already enlisted service members. A second judge – Judith Rogers, who was picked by former Democratic President Bill Clinton – agreed with his opinion, but only in part. She felt it should extend to those who seek to enlist, too.And the third judge, Trump pick Justin Walker, issued a dissent questioning the court's ability to second-guess US military policy.Origins of Trump's Controversial PolicyThe case focused on one of the earliest actions Trump took during his second term in office. On January 27, 2025, a week after his second inauguration, Trump issued an executive order called "Prioritizing Military Excellence and Readiness".In it, he denounced the US armed forces as having been infiltrated with "radical gender ideology". He proceeded to describe transgender people as unfit for service for embracing a "false 'gender identity'"."A man's assertion that he is a woman, and his requirement that others honor this falsehood, is not consistent with the humility and selflessness required of a service member," Trump wrote.The executive order became the basis for a 13-page Pentagon memorandum, issued in February 2025 under Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth. It declared that any service member who has "symptoms" of gender dysphoria, or who has used hormone therapy or surgery to affirm their gender, would be "disqualified from military service".Military Service Record of Transgender PlaintiffsIn Monday's ruling, Wilkins described the policy as blatantly discriminatory. The policy, he wrote, "appears to be driven by the bare desire to harm a politically unpopular group: persons who identify as transgender"."To add insult, the President labeled transgender persons as dishonorable, undisciplined, arrogant, selfish liars," Wilkins added, pointing to the executive order.He pointed out that the transgender plaintiffs in the case had a combined 130 years of military service and had earned more than 80 commendations for their work.In the face of such evidence, Wilkins said the Trump administration had "forfeited any argument" that "retaining these service members will harm national security".Divided Rulings and Legal ImplicationsBut Wilkins stopped short of fully upholding a lower court ruling against the policy. Previously, Judge Ana Reyes had issued a temporary injunction against Trump's executive order, finding that the discrimination against transgender troops was unconstitutional.Wilkins agreed with Reyes that the Trump administration could not dismiss those already in the military's employ. But, he added, the harm was less for those seeking to enlist.Monday's ruling, therefore, strikes down the part of Reyes's injunction that would have barred the Trump administration from banning transgender people from the enlistment process.Rogers, the Clinton appointee, disagreed with that distinction. She pointed to testimony indicating that excluding transgender recruits from joining the military would deprive "our force of qualified personnel who have proven their ability to serve".Meanwhile, the dissent from the Trump appointee, Walker, hinged on his argument that the court had violated the separation of powers in the US government.Courts, he argued, should not be able to rule on the composition of the military."We have neither the expertise nor the authority to decide whether the military can exclude the plaintiffs from its ranks," Walker wrote. "The Constitution assigns that authority to Congress and the Commander in Chief."What Happens Next in the Legal BattleThe split decision is unlikely to have an immediate effect on US military policy. The appeals court has stayed the preliminary injunction from Reyes, as the legal fight continues, and last year, the US Supreme Court also halted an injunction against Trump's anti-transgender policy, in the case United States v Shilling.In a short, four-word social media post, Hegseth signalled that the Pentagon would appeal Monday's decision."See you at SCOTUS," he wrote, using the acronym for Supreme Court of the United States.But Democrats and LGBTQ+ advocates hailed the ruling as a victory against prejudice and discrimination in the Trump administration."No one who is qualified and answers the call to serve should be denied that opportunity because of who they are," US Representative John Larson of Connecticut wrote in a statement."Trump's trans military ban is discrimination — plain and simple. We'll keep fighting these attacks on our troops and all transgender Americans."

Judge Halts Implementation of Trump's Controversial FundA United States federal judge has temporarily blocked President Donald Trump's nearly $1.8 billion "anti-weaponisation fund" to compensate victims of alleged government "lawfare." On Friday, US District Judge Leonie Brinkema of the Eastern District of Virginia blocked the Trump administration from "taking any further action" to set up or operate the fund while she hears legal arguments. The judge, who was nominated to the bench by President Bill Clinton, scheduled a June 12 hearing about whether to extend the order blocking payouts.The Legal Battle Over the Fund's CreationThe Department of Justice announced the fund last week as part of an agreement to settle a lawsuit brought on behalf of Donald Trump, in his personal capacity, against the Internal Revenue Service (IRS). He had initially sought $10 billion in damages, stemming from allegations that Charles Edward Littlejohn, a former government contractor, leaked his private tax records to journalists. Though Littlejohn was not an IRS employee, Trump had argued that the tax agency should nevertheless be held accountable for the contractor's actions.The lawsuit and its settlement have raised concerns about conflicts of interest within Trump's government, as the president was suing an agency under his oversight, represented by lawyers in his administration.Financial Implications of the Blocked FundThe proposed $1.8 billion fund would have been overseen by a five-member commission which would release money to applicants who can show that they were victims of "lawfare" and "weaponisation," terms Trump and his allies have used to describe investigations and criminal cases against them. The Justice Department has yet to form the commission, so there has been no money paid out yet or claims accepted.Partisan Concerns and Multiple Legal ChallengesFriday's ruling came in response to a lawsuit filed by Democracy Forward, an advocacy group representing those who believe they would be perceived "by the Trump-Vance administration as ideological or political opponents." Among the group is a former assistant US attorney, Andrew Floyd, who served as a prosecutor on cases related to the riots on January 6, 2021, when Trump supporters stormed the Capitol.The suit claimed that the fund is a partisan tool designed to award payouts to Trump supporters and not those who are seen as adversarial to the president. Floyd's lawsuit is not the only legal challenge to the "anti-weaponisation fund". There are at least two other complaints. One was brought by former Capitol Police officer Harry Dunn and Metropolitan Police Department officer Daniel Hodges, who alleged that Trump created a "taxpayer-funded slush fund to finance the insurrectionists and paramilitary groups that commit violence in his name." Meanwhile, the watchdog group Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics (CREW) also filed a lawsuit in Washington to block the fund. Both cases are being processed in federal courts in Washington, DC.Political Fallout and Eligibility QuestionsThe fund spurred a backlash, even from some lawmakers in Trump's Republican Party. Many expressed anger that rioters who attacked the Capitol on January 6, 2021, would receive taxpayer-funded payouts. During a congressional hearing earlier this month, acting Attorney General Todd Blanche did not rule out the possibility that January 6 participants could be eligible, even if they attacked police.Nearly 1,600 people were charged with federal crimes after the January 6 riot. More than 1,200 were convicted and sentenced before Trump handed out pardons, commuted prison sentences, and ordered the dismissal of every pending January 6 criminal case last year. Questions have also arisen over whether public figures Trump targeted with investigations and criminal charges might also be eligible for payouts under the "anti-weaponisation" fund.Future Outlook for the Anti-Weaponisation FundThe fund comes amid reports this week that the Department of Justice is launching an investigation into E Jean Carroll, the writer who accused Trump of sexual assault. The Justice Department has also launched investigations into Trump's perceived political opponents, in some cases seemingly at the president's request. Last September, for instance, Trump posted on social media a message directed at then-Attorney General Pam Bondi, appearing to pressure her to file criminal charges against critics like former FBI director James Comey and New York Attorney General Letitia James.Comey was subsequently charged with lying to Congress, while James faced an indictment on mortgage fraud. Both cases were ultimately dismissed, but the Justice Department has since filed new charges against Comey, alleging he threatened the president with a message written in seashells. Comey and James have denied the charges against them, arguing that the cases are evidence of Trump using the power of the government for personal aims. In addition, the Justice Department launched an investigation into former Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, as Trump pressured the then-head of the central bank to lower interest rates. That investigation was ultimately dropped as well.

The Inflation Conundrum For such an uncannily successful politician, Donald Trump exhibits a perplexing political myopia. His most recent own-goal was endorsing Ken Paxton, a state attorney general, against four-term senator John Cornyn in the Republican primary for Senate in Texas. Trump's Inflationary Gambits What truly screams “I want us to lose the midterms” is what Trump is doing about inflation, which is becoming his most vulnerable issue. According to a New York Times/Siena poll of registered voters earlier in May, Trump’s approval on handling the cost of living is underwater by 42 percentage points. The Data Analysis Inflation rose at the fastest pace in three years in April, driven by the Iran war and other factors. The nationwide average price of regular gasoline is hovering around $4.50 a gallon, about $1.30 higher than a year ago. Consumer prices increased 3.8% in the year to April, their highest annual rate in two years. The Impact Analysis People’s attitudes about inflation are difficult to parse. They think less about the alphabet of indices policymakers focus on, such as CPI and PCE, and more about how much the price of eggs and gas have risen since they last remembered. The Prediction This may not be statistically robust, but since George HW Bush lost to Bill Clinton in 1992, there has been only one presidential election in a year with inflation as high as it is today. The incumbent, George W Bush, lost to Barack Obama.

The LeadThe United States-Israel war on Iran is not the result of a sudden escalation but the culmination of a long-term Israeli agenda to violently reshape the Middle East, former Qatari Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Sheikh Hamad bin Jassim Al Thani tells Al Jazeera. Netanyahu's 'Illusion' and the US MisstepSheikh Hamad had warned of an impending conflict last year and urged Gulf states to push for a diplomatic resolution to resolve the crisis with Iran and prevent military strikes. He identified a push for a conflict with Iran and blamed it on a 'hardline faction' within Israel led by Netanyahu, who he said had been trying to drag the US into a war over Tehran's nuclear programme since President Bill Clinton's administration in the 1990s. The Strait of Hormuz: A New Global FlashpointAssessing Tehran's strategy, Sheikh Hamad said Iran successfully absorbed the initial military strikes of the war and subsequently dragged its feet on a settlement after realising it could leverage a new strategic advantage: the Strait of Hormuz. Calling the weaponisation of the waterway the 'most dangerous outcome' of the war, he warned that Iran is now treating the vital international chokepoint as its own sovereign territory. A Call for a 'Gulf NATO'In one of his most blunt assessments, Sheikh Hamad declared that the greatest threat to the Gulf is neither Iran, Israel nor foreign military bases but internal Gulf disunity. To counter this, he proposed the creation of a 'Gulf NATO', a joint political and defence project starting with a core group of strategically aligned Gulf nations with Saudi Arabia serving as its natural backbone. Gaza, Normalisation and a Late-1990s SecretTurning to the issue of Palestine, Sheikh Hamad condemned the killing of civilians on all sides but accused Israel of committing a 'moral and political disaster' in Gaza, where more than 72,500 Palestinians have been killed since Israel's genocidal war began in October 2023.

The Current Fracture: Diplomatic Tensions Under King CharlesThe United Kingdom’s ambassador to the United States, Christian Turner, has framed King Charles III's recent four-day visit as a critical effort to "renew and revitalise a unique friendship." However, this diplomatic mission arrives at a precarious moment. The relationship is currently under severe strain due to President Donald Trump's public criticism of Prime Minister Keir Starmer. Trump has accused Starmer of failing to assist Washington in the fight against Iran or help reopen the strategic Strait of Hormuz, famously branding him "not Winston Churchill." This tension is compounded by Starmer's initial refusal to allow US forces to utilize UK military bases for strikes, a decision that has tested the limits of the alliance.Historical Context: From WWII Solidarity to Modern FrictionThe current discord is not unprecedented; it is merely the latest chapter in a century of volatile cooperation. The timeline of the "special relationship" reveals a pattern where the US often prioritizes its own strategic interests over its closest ally.1940-1944 (WWII): The alliance was cemented through the "Germany first" strategy and the Lend-Lease Act, where the US provided crucial supplies to the UK before officially entering the war.1956 (Suez Crisis): The relationship was tested when President Eisenhower pressured the UK and France to halt their invasion of Egypt, forcing a humiliating retreat that signaled a shift in US-European power dynamics.1982 (Falklands War): The US initially refused military assistance to the UK during the Argentine invasion, only providing logistical support after Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher refused Reagan's peace proposals.2003 (Iraq War): The alliance reached a peak of coordination with Prime Minister Tony Blair committing tens of thousands of troops to support President George W. Bush, despite massive domestic protests.Strategic Divergence: Military and Political DisagreementsAnalysis of recent conflicts reveals a recurring theme of divergence between London and Washington regarding the scope of military intervention. During the 1998-1999 Kosovo War, Prime Minister Tony Blair was a vocal advocate for deploying ground forces to halt ethnic cleansing, while President Bill Clinton favoured a limited NATO air campaign. Similarly, in the 2011 Libya War, President Barack Obama later accused Prime Minister David Cameron of becoming "distracted" and failing to invest in the post-conflict management, highlighting a gap in strategic vision.The Future Outlook: Can the Alliance Survive?As the US-UK relationship enters a new era under King Charles and a potentially contentious Trump administration, the alliance faces a critical test. The current friction over the Iran conflict suggests that the "special relationship" is increasingly transactional. While historical precedents show that the two nations can weather periods of intense diplomatic strain, the current lack of unified military support for a key strategic objective—blocking the Strait of Hormuz—could signal a long-term erosion of the trust that defined the post-WWII era.