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The Lead Sunday marks 100 days since the United States and Israel launched a war on Iran – a conflict that has triggered a global energy crisis and darkened the global economic outlook. Global Reactions to the War The war, which Iran has called an “unprovoked act of aggression”, has expanded to Gulf nations as well as Lebanon. A fragile ceasefire has been in place since April 8, but Israel has continued its offensive in Lebanon, killing more than 3,000 people. The Gulf Region's Response Gulf states have been caught up in the war since it began on February 28, with Iran launching missile and drone strikes against US military assets hosted on their soil. Here's how some countries have been reacting: Oman – Expressed dismay at the war and accused the US of “losing control of its own foreign policy”. Qatar – Condemned Iran's attacks and called for de-escalation and dialogue. United Arab Emirates (UAE) – Condemned Iran's attacks and reportedly carried out dozens of air strikes against Iran. Bahrain – Called attacks on its territory “treacherous” and actively used its UN diplomacy to push resolutions condemning Iran's actions. Kuwait – Denounced Iranian attacks as a “flagrant violation” of international law. Saudi Arabia – Condemned Iranian attacks and warned of “dire consequences”. Other Countries' Reactions Iraq – Condemned US-Israel strikes on Tehran while trying to prevent its territory from being dragged into the conflict. Turkiye – Called on all parties to end the spiral of violence and urged an end to the war. Jordan – Urged the warring parties to halt hostilities and called on Israel to end its war on Lebanon. Egypt – Expressed deep concern and called for de-escalation and a diplomatic resolution. African Union – Condemned aggression against Gulf states and urged immediate de-escalation. India – Called for restraint and avoidance of escalation, while condemning Iranian attacks on Gulf nations. The Impact Analysis The war has had significant impacts on the global economy, including rising oil prices and market volatility. Countries have been affected in various ways, including: Disruptions to navigation through the Strait of Hormuz, a vital shipping route. Attacks on oil facilities and energy infrastructure. Economic worries, including a case of force majeure on oilfields developed by foreign oil companies in Iraq. The Prediction As diplomacy to negotiate a deal between the warring parties drags on, it is likely that the conflict will continue to have far-reaching impacts on the global economy and regional stability. Pakistan's efforts to mediate talks and the extension of a US-Iran ceasefire are seen as positive steps towards de-escalation.

Lead: A Deadly Market Attack in Central SudanA drone strike on Saturday devastated the main market in Abu Zaeima, a paramilitary‑controlled town in North Kordofan, killing at least 11 civilians and wounding dozens more, according to the rights group Emergency Lawyers. The incident adds to a pattern of aerial assaults that are inflating Sudan’s death toll and displacement figures.What Happened on the Ground: Details of the Abu Zaeima StrikeThe strike hit the market during peak trading hours. Emergency Lawyers, which monitors violations since the conflict erupted in April 2023, did not attribute responsibility, noting that neither the Sudanese army nor the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) have claimed the attack. Within 24 hours, similar drone hits struck nearby villages and a civilian vehicle, and a second drone struck a fuel station in el‑Obeid, the state capital.Numbers That Tell the Story: Recent Drone‑Related Casualties11 confirmed dead in the Abu Zaeima market.At least 70 killed in two separate drone strikes across West and North Kordofan over the past week.The United Nations reported 880 civilian deaths from drone strikes nationwide between January and April 2026.More than 300,000 people have fled front‑line areas in Kordofan and Blue Nile since October 2025.Overall, the war has displaced nearly 13 million Sudanese, creating the world’s largest displacement and hunger crises.Why This Matters: Humanitarian and Strategic ImplicationsThe targeting of civilian hubs like markets and fuel stations signals a troubling shift toward indiscriminate aerial warfare, eroding any remaining protection for non‑combatants under international humanitarian law. Kordofan’s oil‑rich and arable lands serve as a strategic corridor linking RSF strongholds in Darfur to army‑controlled eastern Sudan, making it a focal point for both sides. Continued drone use threatens to exacerbate food insecurity, hinder aid delivery, and push more civilians into displacement.Looking Ahead: Potential Trajectories for Sudan’s ConflictIf drone attacks remain unchecked, the humanitarian situation could deteriorate further, prompting increased international condemnation and possible sanctions against parties facilitating aerial warfare. Conversely, heightened pressure may force the warring factions to negotiate limited cease‑fires for humanitarian corridors, though past attempts have faltered. Monitoring satellite imagery and UN reports will be crucial to gauge whether aerial strikes intensify or recede in the coming months.

The Rescue Operation The Nigerian army says it has secured the release of 360 people abducted by the Boko Haram armed group earlier this year in the country’s northeast. The rescue operation unfolded in a Boko Haram stronghold in the south of Borno state, the military said in a statement on Sunday. Forces descended upon the Mandara mountains where Boko Haram fighters were holding hundreds of people “under harsh conditions”, it said. Conditions During Captivity Two infants “succumbed to exhaustion occasioned by the extremely challenging mountainous terrain” and the conditions they endured during captivity, army spokesperson Haruna Sani said. “The remaining rescued abductees were successfully evacuated to safe locations for medical care and humanitarian support, marking a major operational success and a significant setback for the terrorist group,” Sani added. The Military's Strategy The military statement said troops had gathered intelligence and used “psychological operations” to sow “mistrust within the insurgent ranks” before “the commencement of the assault phase”. Several Boko Haram fighters fled into the surrounding mountains, while others surrendered, though the army did not say whether it completed arrests. Growing Insecurity in Borno State Borno state is the epicentre for armed groups, bandits and separatists driving northeastern Nigeria’s security crisis, which accelerated in 2009 when Boko Haram began its bloody attacks. The group regularly carries out kidnappings and raised about $1.66m in ransom payments between July 2024 and June 2025, according to Lagos-based consultancy SBM Intelligence. In response, the Nigerian military has ramped up efforts to confront Boko Haram and its breakaway group, the ISIL affiliate in West Africa Province (ISWAP).

SpaceX has formally filed an S‑1 registration statement seeking to raise more than $75 billion in an IPO that could value the rocket maker at $1.75 trillion, positioning it as the world’s most valuable public company and potentially making Elon Musk the first trillionaire.IPO Filing Unveils SpaceX’s Multi‑Phase Growth PlanThe filing, released on Wednesday, details a roadmap that hinges on the imminent test flight of the next‑generation Starship rocket and an aggressive expansion of the Starlink satellite network. It also highlights Musk’s ambition to build AI‑powered data centres in orbit, with a target compute capacity of 100 terawatts—equivalent to 100,000 one‑gigawatt nuclear reactors.Valuation Targets, Revenue Base, and Underlying NumbersValuation goal: $1.75 trillion, eclipsing Saudi Aramco’s 2019 record.Revenue 2025: $18.67 billion, driven primarily by the Starlink constellation of ~10,000 satellites.Proposed raise: > $75 billion, with a share sale expected as early as June 11 and listing the next day.AI exposure: The nascent xAI unit remains unprofitable, but the filing projects a total addressable market of $28.5 trillion across AI‑related services.Bookrunners: Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, Citigroup and JP Morgan.Strategic Implications for the Space and AI SectorsThe IPO could cement SpaceX’s dominance in reusable‑rocket economics, forcing rivals such as Blue Origin to accelerate their own cost‑cutting initiatives. By tying future growth to AI‑centric infrastructure, the company is betting on a convergence of space logistics and high‑performance computing that could reshape both industries. Analysts caution that the lack of comparable public peers makes valuation benchmarking difficult, placing Musk’s celebrity persona at the centre of investor sentiment.Projected Timeline, Market Reception, and RisksShares are slated to trade on the Nasdaq under the ticker SPCX. A significant portion of the offering is earmarked for retail investors, a move that may broaden the shareholder base but also expose the stock to volatility driven by Musk’s public profile. Concerns remain about Musk’s ability to juggle multiple trillion‑dollar enterprises, and any delay in the Starship test flight could pressure the IPO’s pricing narrative. Nonetheless, if the filing meets its valuation target, SpaceX would become the second Musk‑owned company—after Tesla—to surpass the $1 trillion market‑value threshold.

The Lead The World Health Organization (WHO) has declared the latest outbreak of a rare strain of the Ebola virus in Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) and Uganda a 'public health emergency of international concern.' The Event Details The epicentre of the latest outbreak is in DRC's northeastern province of Ituri, close to the borders with Uganda and South Sudan. The virus has spread into neighbouring provinces of DRC and beyond its borders, with the toll rising to an estimated 131 deaths from 513 suspected cases. The Data Analysis The Bundibugyo strain of Ebola has a case fatality rate ranging from approximately 30-50 percent. The current outbreak is particularly concerning due to the lack of licensed vaccines or specific therapeutics for Bundibugyo virus disease. The Impact Analysis The outbreak has gripped both countries, with fear spreading among residents and street vendors. The WHO chief, Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, expressed deep concern over the scale and speed of the epidemic. The Prediction Vaccine development timelines are difficult to predict, but the scientific community is not starting from zero. Organisations such as CEPI have already recognised the need for broader 'multivalent' filovirus vaccines that could protect against multiple Ebola species. Until a vaccine is developed, medical supplies, including personal protective equipment (PPE), are being sent to the DRC.

The Lobito Corridor: A New Model for US-Africa Ties? When veteran naval officer Frank Garcia was appointed by the United States Senate as assistant secretary of state for African affairs, he praised the administration of Donald Trump for affirming Washington’s engagement in “trade and investment for mutual benefit” in the African continent. In particular, Garcia highlighted the Lobito Corridor – a strategic 1,300km (810-mile) rail and transport route linking the Atlantic port of Lobito in Angola to the mineral-rich regions of the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) and Zambia – as an example of this new direction during his confirmation hearing before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee on March 5. The Event Details: Lobito Corridor's Strategic Importance The Lobito Corridor connects the mineral-rich Copperbelt to the Atlantic Ocean via Angola’s Lobito Port, amid a global surge in demand for critical minerals to secure supply chains for the global energy transition. Its foundational infrastructure, the Benguela Railway, was first developed in 1902 as a colonial trade corridor to transport raw minerals from Africa’s inland to international markets in Europe and the Americas. The Data Analysis: Investment and Impact The US government committed billions of dollars to the initiative to increase Lobito’s transport capacity and reduce the cost of moving critical minerals. In 2022, the US – under former President Joe Biden – the European Union and other G7 members signed a memorandum of understanding pledging to mobilise $600bn for infrastructure development over five years, of which the US committed $200bn. The International Development Finance Corporation (DFC) pledged a $550m loan to support the project. The Impact Analysis: Concerns and Criticisms For some, the Lobito Corridor is an example of how US investments can boost Africa’s regional trade, create jobs, and improve infrastructure while offering investment opportunities. But critics say it mainly serves US efforts to secure alternative supply chains for critical minerals needed for the manufacture of electric vehicles, clean energy technologies and defence, furthering regional instability and conflicts. The Prediction: Future Outlook The Lobito Corridor project is one of five key trade, transit and development routes in Southern Africa. It aims to significantly improve transport efficiency in the region, reducing both the time and cost of moving goods to coastal ports. However, concerns remain about its impact on local communities and regional stability, with some critics arguing that it may exacerbate existing crises rather than offering solutions.

The Daily Rhythm of War Tehran, Iran – The “Ramadan War”, as the US-Israel war on Iran is popularly known, disrupted daily life in Iran. Universities, schools and industries were bombed, and streets were emptied out. Mehran, a 47-year-old teacher based in central Tehran, has been forced to teach his students online from a cramped corner of his modest apartment as distance learning has become the norm. The Digital Bottleneck Mehran’s day begins with a gruelling battle for bandwidth. Following the curbs on the internet during the early days of the war, the education system shifted to the domestic “Shad” e-learning platform. “The national internet is available, but it has become frustratingly weak due to the massive surge in users,” the teacher explained with an exhausted smile. “Sometimes my voice breaks up, and suddenly dozens of students just vanish from the platform.” The Cost of Survival When the virtual school bell rings, Mehran heads to a nearby pharmacy to buy heart medication for his mother. At first glance, the shelves look neat and well-stocked, but a closer look reveals that dozens of essential medicines have been unavailable for over a month. According to Mehri, a young pharmacy worker, prices for both domestic and imported drugs have skyrocketed. An Illusion of Normalcy Exhausted by the market, Mehran takes a break at the nearby Osta public park. The scene is jarringly serene: children bouncing around colourful playgrounds, families picnicking under ancient trees, and young men vigorously using outdoor gym equipment. “For a second, looking at this, you forget we are living under a blockade,” Mehran reflected. “You see Tehran wresting its right to live from the jaws of breaking news and a relentless war.” Searching for Rhythm in the Dark As night falls over Tehran, Mehran does not head home. Instead, he makes his way to Enghelab (Revolution) Square near Tehran University. Here, hundreds of men and women gather nightly to chant nationalistic slogans and sing in support of the state and its armed forces. “These gatherings make us feel like we are all in the same trench,” he said. “We might not have stealth bombers or aircraft carriers, but we have our voices and our physical presence. The war may have stolen our comfort, but it gave us back our social solidarity.”

The Shift to Agricultural Entrepreneurship In Kericho County, Kenya, Chepkorir Rotich, a 33-year-old mother of two, has turned to farming as a way to earn a living. After graduating from college, she struggled to find a job in the formal employment sector and eventually took up contract work. However, she found that farming was a more lucrative and fulfilling career path. Farming with Code: AI Reshaping Rural Agriculture Rotich and other young farmers like Geoffrey Kiprop are using AI tools to improve their agricultural practices. Kiprop, a 32-year-old IT graduate, uses apps like Plantix and Virtual Agronomist to manage his crops and livestock. These tools help him detect crop diseases, predict weather patterns, and optimize his farming practices. The Rise of Digital Agriculture Young farmers are using social media to market their produce and share knowledge with others. AI tools are being used to improve crop yields, detect diseases, and optimize farming practices. The use of digital skills is becoming increasingly important in agriculture. The Future of Agriculture in Kenya Experts believe that young people like Rotich and Kiprop are the future of agriculture in Kenya. With the help of AI tools and digital skills, they are able to increase their productivity and earnings. However, they also face challenges such as access to land, funding, and markets. Conclusion The story of Rotich and Kiprop highlights the potential of AI tools and digital skills in transforming agriculture in Kenya. As the country continues to face challenges in the job market, farming is becoming an increasingly attractive career path for young people.

The Economic Toll of War A hundred days into the US-Israel war on Iran, Americans are facing increasing financial pressure at the pump and at the grocery store in an economy already facing headwinds from United States President Donald Trump’s domestic and foreign policies, including tariffs. Consumer Expenses Hit US consumers are especially feeling the pinch in their wallets. On average, households have spent $750 more in expenses due to the war, according to an analysis from Moody’s Analytics. The bulk of the spending is on energy-related expenses, with Americans spending an average of $447.19 more than usual. The Data Analysis Petrol prices surged to $4.22 per gallon, up from $2.98 per gallon on February 28. Energy prices jumped 5.5 percent in the latest Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report. Inflation overall jumped to 3.8 percent from 3.5 percent the month prior. Food prices jumped 0.5 percent in April, marking the biggest increase since November 2022. The Impact Analysis The war's economic impact is being felt across various sectors, including: Airline industry: Spirit Airlines ceased operations due to increased fuel prices, while other carriers have adapted their pricing. Food production: Fertilizer prices are expected to jump by 31 percent, affecting food producers. Real estate: Mortgage rates have increased, with the average rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage jumping from 5.98 percent to 6.5 percent. The Prediction Due to the surge in inflation, it is unlikely that the central bank will cut interest rates in the near term. In fact, a recent analyst at JPMorgan Chase suggested that the Fed will not change rates until mid-2027, at which point the bank expects a rate increase rather than a decrease.