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The Connection Between Ebola and Deforestation For decades after the discovery of Ebolavirus in 1976, outbreaks of the disease were relatively small and contained, affecting a few hundred people at most. However, in recent years, outbreaks of Ebola have been much larger, affecting thousands and even tens of thousands of people across multiple countries. The Role of Mineral Extraction in Deforestation The conventional explanation for the increased spread of Ebola has to do with larger and more interconnected human populations. However, a more fundamental driver is the transformation of the underlying ecology of Ebola, which is being re-made, in part, by the rising global hunger for minerals to power the hi-tech economy. The increasing demand for minerals such as cobalt and gold, essential for smartphone production, is driving deforestation in the Congo basin. The Data Analysis: Deforestation and Ebola Incidence With each per cent increase in deforestation in Central Africa, the incidence of malaria and Ebola spikes by 20% to 40%. The 2014 Ebola epidemic was preceded by the loss of 85% of the forest cover in the south-west corner of Guinea, where the outbreak began. The current outbreak of Bundibugyo Ebola fits the pattern, too, being preceded by a record loss of 1.5m acres of Congo basin rainforest in 2024. The Impact Analysis: Broken Ecologies and Pandemics The hunt for minerals alters the ecology of Ebola in peculiar ways that juice the pathogen's ability to spread among us. When people expand their farms, they generally push into forests from the edges. Those who seek minerals, in contrast, plunge deep into the core of the forest. The rising price of minerals attracts people from all over, including those who don't enjoy the acquired immunity of regular forest-dwelling people. The Prediction: Preventing Future Pandemics It's only the third and relatively ignored pillar of policymaking around pandemics that can: preventing the broken ecologies that drive novel pathogens into human populations in the first place. That will mean more attention to the health of ecosystems such as the forests of the Congo basin, and how its minerals might be inside the smartphone tingling in your pocket.

The Lead American pianist Simone Dinnerstein presents two works by Philip Glass, performing alongside her own string ensemble Baroklyn. The album, titled 'Hourglass', offers a refreshing interpretation of Glass's minimalist compositions. The Event Details The album features Suite from The Hours, arranged by Michael Riesman, which splices Glass's score for Stephen Daldry's film into an almost symphonic three-movement work. The other work, Tirol Concerto from 2000, is the first concerto Glass wrote for piano. The central elegy of the concerto is particularly noteworthy, showcasing Dinnerstein's insightful approach. The Data Analysis No specific data was provided in the article. The Impact Analysis Dinnerstein's approach to Glass's compositions allows for a more organic and breathing interpretation, diverging from the typical mechanical rendering of minimalist music. This fresh perspective makes the album a compelling listen for fans of classical music. The Prediction Given the positive reception of this album, it is likely that Simone Dinnerstein and Baroklyn will continue to explore and interpret the works of Philip Glass and other classical composers, potentially leading to more innovative and soothing musical experiences.

The Prevalence of Sexism and Bullying in Sports Women are being shut out of careers in sport by entrenched sexism, discrimination, and workplace bullying, MPs have been told. Female coaches are routinely overlooked, undermined, and denied opportunities despite their qualifications, experts told a parliamentary select committee. The Impact on Female Coaches “These hostile environments are hideous for women trying to build a career in sports. It’s so bad that it’s unfair to put women in those environments,” said Lisa West, head of policy at Women in Sport. The consequences extend far beyond individual careers, experts told the women and equalities committee’s first evidence session of its new inquiry, Beyond Participation: Routes into Sport for Girls and Women. The Data Analysis The committee heard that one in five female coaches reported experiencing harassment or bullying, reflecting deep-rooted biases that continue to shape who is trusted, promoted, and listened to across sport. Despite a growth in women’s sport, women account for only about a quarter of coaching positions in UK Sport-funded programmes, with even fewer in technical leadership roles. The Impact Analysis “A coaching system that sidelines women risks depriving athletes of role models, narrowing the talent pool, and reinforcing the message that, even in a rapidly changing sporting landscape, the most influential positions remain a male preserve,” said Lisa Williams, the head coach of London All Stars women’s basketball team. Highly qualified women are still being passed over in favour of less-experienced men, the panel heard. The Prediction A UK-wide survey by UK Coaching and Women in Sport recently found that harassment, bullying, and discrimination remain key reasons women leave coaching altogether, with many reporting they do not feel safe or supported in male-dominated environments. Experts predict that without change, the number of women in coaching positions will continue to decline, with women aged 18 to 34 being the most affected.

The Lead: Escalating Violence Despite CeasefireIsrael has continued to carry out deadly strikes across Lebanon despite the announcement of a new US-brokered ceasefire agreement reached by Lebanese and Israeli officials in Washington, DC. The violence has pushed the number of casualties higher, with Lebanon's Ministry of Public Health reporting that at least 3,526 people have been killed and 10,733 wounded in Israeli attacks since March 2.The Event Details: Diplomatic Efforts and RejectionsMeanwhile, Hezbollah leader Naim Qassem has dismissed the ceasefire as a 'farce', warning that northern Israel will remain a target as long as Israeli forces continue bombing Lebanon, raising more doubts about the prospects for a lasting truce.The Data Analysis: Rising Casualties and Regional ImpactLebanon casualties: At least 3,526 people killed and 10,733 wounded in Israeli attacks since March 2Oman oil terminal: Suspended crude oil loading operations at Mina al-Fahal terminal after explosion near berthsThe Impact Analysis: Regional Instability and Power DynamicsIran adviser flags concerns over draft deal: Mohsen Rezaei, an adviser to Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, said the draft memorandum of understanding being negotiated to end the war still contains 'ambiguities' that need to be clarified. Speaking to Iranian state television, Rezaei also accused US President Donald Trump of trying to pressure Tehran into accepting Washington's terms while keeping Iran's own conditions 'in a vague state'.Questions over US strategy: Reporting from Washington, DC, Al Jazeera's Kimberly Halkett said the White House is facing growing questions over why a negotiated agreement with Iran is still needed after President Donald Trump repeatedly claimed US military action had 'obliterated' Iran's nuclear programme. Halkett said critics are asking: 'If these military objectives have been achieved, then is there still a need for talks?' She added that 'with each passing week that this war drags on' and negotiations remaining stalled, it is becoming increasingly difficult for the administration to reconcile its claims of success with the continued push for diplomacy.Hezbollah rejects conditional ceasefire: Hezbollah leader Naim Qassem rejected the limited truce agreed to by Lebanese and Israeli representatives in the US, demanding a complete ceasefire and a full Israeli pullout from the country. Qassem also warned of more attacks on northern Israel, highlighting the difficulties in reaching a lasting peace. Both sides have blamed each other for breaking a previous ceasefire announced in April.Oman oil terminal disruption: Reuters reported that Oman has suspended crude oil loading operations at its key Mina al-Fahal terminal after an explosion near its single-buoy mooring (SBM) berths. Citing unnamed sources, the agency said the blast occurred between SBM 1 and SBM 2 and was allegedly caused by a drone attack.Trump says US does not need a deal to access Iran's uranium: The US president said Washington could access Iran's enriched uranium without reaching an agreement with Tehran, arguing the material is effectively 'entombed'. Trump also said he does not plan to meet Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, but he suggested a meeting could be possible if a deal is eventually reached, adding that 'if it happened ... I'd be respectful'.Ultra-Orthodox protest blocks major highway: Hundreds of ultra-Orthodox Israelis blocked Highway 1 in protest against the government's enforcement of military conscription for religious students, according to Israel's Channel 10. The demonstrations began after police stopped two ultra-Orthodox students and transferred one to military authorities. Large numbers of police and border guards were deployed to clear the highway and disperse protesters.Hezbollah rejection raises fears of escalation: Reporting from Beirut, Al Jazeera's Ali Hashem said Hezbollah remains the key actor on the Lebanese side when it comes to decisions about fighting and any potential halt to hostilities with Israel, 'regardless of what the Lebanese government says'. Given Hezbollah's rejection of the US-brokered ceasefire, Hashem warned that further escalation is likely from both Hezbollah and Israel. He noted that southern Lebanon and the western Bekaa Valley experienced significant Israeli air and ground attacks on Thursday, adding that Hezbollah's position suggests 'it is going to be a very difficult situation' in the days ahead.The Prediction: Escalation Likely Amidst Diplomatic StalemateWith Hezbollah rejecting the ceasefire conditions and continuing attacks, and Israel maintaining its military operations, the region appears headed toward further escalation. The diplomatic efforts to resolve the conflict with Iran remain stalled, with both sides expressing distrust and setting conditions that may be difficult to reconcile. The oil disruption in Oman also adds another layer of economic complexity to the already volatile situation.

The Lead UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer has accused Elon Musk of trying to 'whip up division' in the UK over the murder of Henry Nowak, a case that has been exploited by far-right groups. Starmer's Criticism of Musk Starmer's comments come after weeks of posts by Musk on his social media platform about the murder, many of which have used far-right themes and talking points. Starmer met Nowak's family at Downing Street on Thursday to discuss a response to the actions of Hampshire police, who arrested the 18-year-old student as he lay dying from stab wounds after a false accusation of racist abuse by the killer. The Data Analysis The Hampshire Police Federation, which represents rank-and-file officers, has suspended its social media platforms after 'serious threats' against its members. It said: "We had a sudden surge in online trolls and AI going through all platforms trying to find any information they could about our members, with a view to threatening their safety." Misidentified officers have been forced to leave their homes and had serious threats made against their life. The Impact Analysis Starmer said Britain needed to 'assert who we are' as 'reasonable, tolerant people'. He also praised the Labour MP Jess Asato, who is taking legal action against Musk's xAI company after saying its Grok tool had helped a user produce fake sexualised pictures of her. The Prediction The police watchdog is examining the conduct of the officers who handcuffed Nowak after he had been fatally stabbed by 23-year-old Vickrum Digwa. Starmer's spokesperson said this type of misinformation was a matter for Ofcom, the media regulator.

The Lead Microsoft has announced new measures to tighten human rights controls when working with national security agencies after an inquiry into the Israeli military's use of its cloud technology for mass surveillance of Palestinians. Microsoft's Inquiry and New Measures The inquiry was launched last year in response to a Guardian investigation with Israeli-Palestinian publication +972 Magazine and Hebrew-language outlet Local Call, revealing how the Israeli military used Microsoft's cloud to store a vast trove of intercepted Palestinian phone calls. Microsoft terminated the Israeli military's access to cloud and AI services used to support the surveillance project after initial findings showed its spy agency, Unit 8200, had violated the company's terms of service. The Data Analysis Microsoft's inquiry found that Unit 8200 had used Microsoft's Azure cloud platform to operate an indiscriminate system that allowed its intelligence officers to collect, play back and analyse the content of millions of Palestinian cellular phone calls every day. The company has previously said senior executives such as its chief executive, Satya Nadella, were unaware Unit 8200 was using Azure to store intercepted Palestinian communications. The Impact Analysis The revelations prompted concerns at a senior level within Microsoft that some employees at its Israeli subsidiary had not been fully transparent with headquarters about their knowledge of how Unit 8200 used the company's technology. Sources familiar with the inquiry said it had examined how some of Microsoft's Tel Aviv-based employees had felt conflicting loyalties between their obligations to the company and their support for the Israeli military after the Hamas-led 7 October attacks on southern Israel. The Prediction Microsoft has said it will adopt a series of recommendations intended to improve the "effectiveness of our human-rights governance". The company will examine how it manages security clearances "in certain countries" and "make changes to ensure that our employees understand how to navigate security clearance requirements as part of their work for Microsoft". The new measures include periodic reviews to check whether Microsoft's acceptable use policies are being followed by customers when there are "new political circumstances or changes to sensitive projects", as well as steps to strengthen human-rights due-diligence processes in "conflict-affected and high-risk areas".

The Controversy Surrounding Trump's Settlement Fund Republicans in the United States Senate have renewed their push to pass a controversial $70bn immigration-enforcement funding bill, a top policy priority for President Donald Trump. However, the effort faced a series of hurdles, with Democrats forcing votes on several amendments that highlighted controversies related to the Trump presidency. The 'Vote-a-Rama' Process The rapid-fire votes on the amendments were dubbed a 'vote-a-rama', and they are slated to include issues ranging from Trump's White House ballroom to his tariff policies and the US-Israel war on Iran. 'Amendment after amendment, vote after vote, Republicans are going to have to answer to the American people,' Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer said. The Data Analysis: Trump's $1.8bn Settlement Fund Early on, Republicans were forced to confront a topic that has dominated headlines in recent weeks: Trump's proposed $1.776bn 'anti-weaponisation' fund. The fund has been controversial on both sides of the aisle, with critics calling it a slush fund for Trump's allies. Several Republicans indicated that the optics of such a fund could be politically catastrophic ahead of November's midterm elections, and the Department of Justice has since backed away from the scheme. The Impact Analysis: Immigration Funding Bill The situation on Thursday was the result of a standoff between Democrats and Republicans over the Trump administration's approach to immigration enforcement. Democrats had pledged not to approve further funding for Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) and Customs and Border Protection (CBP), following the killing of two US citizens during immigration operations in Minneapolis, Minnesota. The Prediction: Future of the Immigration Funding Bill If Senate Republicans remain unified, they are expected to pass the funding bill late Thursday night or early Friday. The Republican-controlled House of Representatives is expected to take up the bill shortly after.

The Stunning Equalizer Spain's preparations for the World Cup were put to the test in a 1-1 draw against Iraq, with Merchas Doski scoring a stunning equalizer for the underdogs. Spain's Experimental Lineup Luis de la Fuente's side made 11 substitutions during the game, with seven debutants taking to the pitch. The experimental lineup included players who may not be part of the final squad, making it difficult to gauge Spain's true form. The Data Analysis Ferran Torres scored for Spain on 15 minutes. Merchas Doski equalized for Iraq. Spain made 11 substitutions during the game. Seven debutants played for Spain. The Impact Analysis The draw may not be a cause for alarm for Spain, but it does highlight the challenges they may face in the World Cup. The experimental lineup and lack of cohesion may have contributed to the draw, but De la Fuente will be pleased with the opportunity to give playing time to fringe players. The Prediction Despite the draw, Spain are still likely to be among the favorites in the World Cup. They will have a week to prepare and fine-tune their squad before the tournament begins.

The Lead Public-sector pension schemes in the UK have been a topic of discussion lately, particularly regarding their funding. A recent letter from Prof Stephen Caddick highlighted the £1tn in liabilities for public defined-benefit (DB) pension schemes, sparking debate about the fairness and affordability of these schemes. The Event Details There are five large 'unfunded' public-sector pension schemes in the UK: NHS, teachers, civil servants, police, and army. Employers, and ultimately taxpayers, contribute a significant amount to these schemes. However, without a decent pension scheme, these sectors would likely require higher levels of pay to recruit and retain staff, which would also fall on taxpayers. The Data Analysis The £1tn liability figure mentioned is misleading, as it estimates the money the government would have to pay out to cover pensions if there were no income coming from workers and employers. This figure is likely to be around £1.3tn. In contrast, other DB schemes, both public and private, are 'funded' through investment in the stock market. The Impact Analysis Public-sector workers choose their jobs based on the total package offered, including a good pension and strong benefits. These benefits allow the state to attract people who could earn considerably more in the private sector. The current system effectively defers the welfare bill, as generous public-sector pensions are a way of deferring costs to future administrations. The Prediction It would be more honest to raise pay so that staff could fund pensions and benefits themselves. However, no government is likely to do this, as it would create a problem today in exchange for solving one that lands on a future administration.