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The Inflation Conundrum For such an uncannily successful politician, Donald Trump exhibits a perplexing political myopia. His most recent own-goal was endorsing Ken Paxton, a state attorney general, against four-term senator John Cornyn in the Republican primary for Senate in Texas. Trump's Inflationary Gambits What truly screams “I want us to lose the midterms” is what Trump is doing about inflation, which is becoming his most vulnerable issue. According to a New York Times/Siena poll of registered voters earlier in May, Trump’s approval on handling the cost of living is underwater by 42 percentage points. The Data Analysis Inflation rose at the fastest pace in three years in April, driven by the Iran war and other factors. The nationwide average price of regular gasoline is hovering around $4.50 a gallon, about $1.30 higher than a year ago. Consumer prices increased 3.8% in the year to April, their highest annual rate in two years. The Impact Analysis People’s attitudes about inflation are difficult to parse. They think less about the alphabet of indices policymakers focus on, such as CPI and PCE, and more about how much the price of eggs and gas have risen since they last remembered. The Prediction This may not be statistically robust, but since George HW Bush lost to Bill Clinton in 1992, there has been only one presidential election in a year with inflation as high as it is today. The incumbent, George W Bush, lost to Barack Obama.

The LeadArsenal manager Mikel Arteta is on the cusp of leading the team to their second Champions League final, 20 years after their heartbreaking loss to Barcelona in 2006. The Event DetailsThey left London in their thousands, full of hope and devotion, heading for Paris in the springtime, yet romantic anticipation lasted all of 18 minutes, which was when Arsenal’s goalkeeper, Jens Lehmann, was sent off in the 2006 Champions League final against Barcelona at the Stade de France. The Data AnalysisThe club's financial struggles began with the construction of the Emirates Stadium, which was funded by a £47m deal with Granada for 10% of the club and 50% of the “internet rights”. The club also took out a £120m loan from Barclays and secured a £140m shirt deal with Nike and a £100m naming rights and shirt sponsorship deal with Emirates. The Impact AnalysisThe loss to Barcelona marked a turning point for Arsenal, as the team began to break up and key players left for other clubs. The club's financial struggles continued, and they were unable to compete with the likes of Chelsea and Manchester City, who were backed by wealthy owners. The PredictionAs Arteta prepares to lead Arsenal into their second Champions League final, he will be hoping to avoid a repeat of the heartbreak of 2006 and bring a trophy to the club. The team's journey to redemption has been long and arduous, but with a talented young squad and a experienced manager, they have a good chance of success.

The Uncertain Future of US College Sports Female athletes and Olympic sports athletes in US colleges are facing an uncertain future. Their college prospects may lie in the hands of a surprising savior – Donald Trump. Trump's Involvement in Sports Trump has a history of involvement in various sports, including owning the New Jersey Generals in the USFL, hosting the Tour de Trump, and participating in the 2004 Olympic torch relay. His Department of Education ensured that Name, Image and Likeness (NIL) compensation need not be equitably distributed under the principles of Title IX. The Executive Order Trump's executive order reads: "Without a national solution to protect the future of competition and opportunity in all college sports, it is possible that the largest college football programs will be forced to seek stability through a negotiated solution that may result in the withdrawal of financial and other resources from women’s and Olympic sports." The Congress is strongly encouraged to expeditiously pass legislation that satisfactorily addresses these issues. The Data Analysis Men's tennis has dropped significantly in Division I – 258 programs in 2010, down to 237 in 2025. Men's wrestling continues to lose its foothold in many schools. Several other Olympic sports are stagnant or slipping. The median college in the Power Five Conferences lost $153.5m in total revenue against $167.2m in total expenses in 2024. The Impact Analysis The concern is legitimate and widely shared. College football coaches like Georgia's Kirby Smart are concerned that "we're going to ruin all the other sports." The new landscape isn't bad for Olympic-sports athletes, but if forced to choose between paying for a couple of basketball players and paying for a wrestling team, colleges would likely lean toward the former. The Prediction If Trump's efforts succeed, some of the status quo will be maintained. If not, schools will be free to make choices of which sports they'll fully fund – or participate at the varsity level at all. Perhaps 25 schools will use all of their allotted track and field scholarships while letting the swimming program skate by with less, and vice versa. Colleges may opt for quality over quantity, focusing on fully funding five or six sports and doing the bare minimum in others.

The Overnight Drone Attacks Ukraine has launched coordinated drone attacks on Russian energy infrastructure across multiple regions overnight. The most significant strike hit Taganrog, Rostov Oblast, where a major port fire broke out after drones hit a tanker, fuel tank and administrative building, Russia’s RIA Novosti state media agency reported. Details of the Attacks Early on Saturday, Rostov Governor Yury Slyusar confirmed the attack on Max, a Russian state-backed messaging app. “A tanker, a fuel tank, and an administrative building caught fire at the port of Taganrog as a result of a drone attack,” Slyusar wrote. “According to preliminary information, there are no casualties. The information is being clarified.” The attack also injured two civilians when a drone struck a private home in Taganrog. Slyusar added that Russian air defences destroyed multiple drones overnight across four districts. The Data Analysis The attacks resulted in significant damage, including: A gas pipe in a house caught fire after being damaged by a drone in the village of Grekovo-Timofeyevka. Windows in two houses were damaged in the village of Botsmanovo in the Neklinovsky District. The Volgograd oil refinery was forced to shut down following drone strikes. The Impact Analysis The escalating conflict between Ukraine and Russia has resulted in significant damage to infrastructure and loss of life. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy warned on Friday that Russia is organising a new large-scale assault on Ukraine. The Prediction The situation is likely to continue deteriorating, with both sides engaging in further attacks. The international community is closely monitoring the situation, with NATO states slamming Russia after drone crashes in Romania.

The Lead: This Week's Entertainment HighlightsThis week's entertainment landscape offers a diverse array of critically acclaimed shows and films, from hilarious comedies to chilling horror. Channel 4's "Make That Movie" stands out as one of the funniest shows of the year, while Netflix's "The Four Seasons" returns with a brilliant second season. Horror fans can explore the disturbing world of "Backrooms," while Marvel offers a stylish take with "Spider-Noir."TV Comedy Gold: Make That MovieChannel 4Summed up in a sentence Last One Laughing finalist delivers one of the funniest shows of the year, with this mockumentary about a director who makes awful films.What our reviewer said "So ostentatiously silly that it deserves to be paraded around the streets." Stuart HeritageRead the full reviewFurther reading "People are like: you're a crackpot": how Sam Campbell became comedy's oddball superstarNetflix Triumph: The Four Seasons ReturnsNetflixSummed up in a sentence Tina Fey triumphs again with the return of this comedy about a group of middle-aged friends who reunite during holidays throughout the year.What our reviewer said "Even more perspicacious, poignant and hilarious than the first." Chitra RamaswamyRead the full reviewMarvel's Stylish Take: Spider-NoirPrime VideoSummed up in a sentence In Marvel's witty homage to the hard-boiled films and fictions of the 40s – which can be watched in colour or black-and-white – Nicolas Cage plays Ben Reilly, who gave up being superhero "the Spider" five years ago.What our reviewer said "Everything is shot with style and confidence." Lucy ManganRead the full reviewFurther reading The life of PIs: the strange case of 2026's resurgence of hard-boiled detectivesHidden Gem: PoniesNow/Sky AtlanticSummed up in a sentence Emilia Clarke and Haley Lu Richardson have heaps of fun as two widows who become cold war spies in this espionage comedy-drama.What our reviewer said "It's a mashup of genres and tropes, but it is its own thing too – and an unexpected treat at that." Lucy ManganRead the full reviewHorror Innovation: BackroomsIn cinemas nowSummed up in a sentence A debut from 20-year-old director Kane Parsons that examines memory, reality and fear in an icily disturbing horror, in which Chiwetel Ejiofor accesses an infinite series of hidden rooms that all feel creepily askew.What our reviewer said "Backrooms progressively raises its game towards the big finish with jump scares, squirm scares and tiny shiver scares. There is real fascination in exploring this vast, invisible city state of fear." Peter BradshawRead the full reviewFurther reading Are you sitting uncomfortably? How Backrooms upended the horror movieMusic and Bromance: Power BalladIn cinemas nowSummed up in a sentence Nick Jonas and Paul Rudd star in a comedy of bromance and betrayal from Irish writer-director John Carney that brilliantly brings together Rudd's washed-up wedding singer and Jonas's insecure ex-boyband superstar.What our reviewer said "Power Ballad is about making it and dreaming big, about every busker never giving up on hopes of one day being mega. But as so often with Carney, it's about something else, usually left unacknowledged in movies about music or any sort of show business: the terrible binary of success and failure." Peter BradshawRead the full reviewUnexpected Pairing: TunerIn cinemas nowSummed up in a sentence Playing a piano tuner with super-sensitive hearing, Leo Woodall's relationship with Dustin Hoffman is a tender highlight in this safe-cracking thriller.What our reviewer said "What a pair they are; they are a real pleasure to watch in an easy, unforced drama that mixes romcom moments with a relaxed crime thriller. It's like the Safdie brothers in chill-out mode." Cath Clarke

Gluten‑Free Bread Prices Edge Toward £4 Consumers with coeliac disease are facing a new financial hurdle: a branded 480 g gluten‑free loaf, such as Promise, now retails at £3.90 in major supermarkets, edging close to £4. By contrast, a regular 800 g white loaf remains under £1. The price gap is prompting alarm that a medically‑necessary diet is turning into a luxury. Price Data Shows Double‑Digit Increases Across Staples Typical 550 g gluten‑free loaf: £1.90 (vs. £0.99 for standard bread). Current average gluten‑free loaf price: £3.12, up 17p (≈6%) since May 2025. Gluten‑free flour: >10% rise to £3.80 (up 36p). Gluten‑free cornflakes (300 g): £1.80 vs. regular 500 g at ~£0.90. Eight‑pack free‑from biscuits: £1.60 vs. regular 30‑pack at £0.65. Weekly gluten‑free shop can be up to 35% more expensive than a standard shop (Coeliac UK research). Rising Costs Threaten Accessibility for Coeliac Consumers Experts link the price surge to several factors: Higher production costs for dedicated gluten‑free facilities. Stricter testing regimes demanded by retailers. Broader food‑price inflation driven by the Iran‑Ukraine conflict, with overall food price growth projected to near 10% by year‑end. Surveys from Mintel reveal that affordability influences diet choices: about 14% of financially comfortable consumers follow a gluten‑free diet, falling to 8% among those on tighter budgets. In April, 59% of shoppers said rising supermarket prices were affecting them, leading many to reconsider specialist products. What Future Price Trajectories Could Mean for the Free‑From Market If inflation persists, analysts warn that: Retailers may reduce the range of gluten‑free items, as seen by a drop from 19% to 12% of new food launches between 2019 and 2025. Manufacturers like Eurostar Commodities could face tighter margins, limiting investment in new gluten‑free products. Policy pressures may increase, especially as the UK government’s withdrawal of adult prescriptions for gluten‑free bread and flour adds strain on households. Supermarkets such as Tesco assert a commitment to keep free‑from prices affordable through Everyday Low Prices and Clubcard discounts, while brands like Doves Farm aim to maintain flour prices between £1.84 and £1.95. The coming months will reveal whether these measures can offset the upward cost trend and preserve access to essential gluten‑free foods.

The Soho Society's New Licensing Mandate A society of residents funded by the council could “destroy Soho’s reputation on the international stage” as London’s entertainment district by ferociously objecting to all new bar and restaurant licences, operators in the area have said. The Soho Society, a group of residents established in 1972 aimed at “preserving the character of Soho”, voted in its AGM on Thursday for a new licensing mandate, meaning it will challenge all new applications for bars and restaurants in the area, including renewals of existing licences. The Impact on Businesses and Jobs The society claims the area in central London has seen an intensification of nightlife and unacceptable noise, as well as crime and litter caused by a proliferation of late-night revellers. However, business owners argue that this could strangle small businesses and limit job opportunities for young people. Rupert Power, the owner of Sophie’s, a steak restaurant, and the underground jazz bar Jack Solomons, both on Great Windmill Street, chairs the Soho business alliance, which is made up of 150 small companies. The Data Analysis The Soho Society is estimated to represent about 10% of the district’s residents. A report by the former cabinet minister Alan Milburn said a lack of hospitality jobs was contributing to high youth unemployment in Britain. The UK has the third-highest rate of 16- to 24-year-olds who are not earning or learning among rich European countries. The Impact Analysis The new mandate means it will be very difficult for businesses to open or expand in the area. Philip Kolvin KC, a planning lawyer, said the mandate would cover “pretty much the whole gamut of licence applications, so that rather than promoting innovation and diversity, it stymies it”. This could lead to delayed licensing applications, spiralling legal costs, and development contracts facing expiry. The Prediction Business owners and experts warn that the Soho Society's actions could have a negative impact on Soho's reputation and the local economy. Power added: “It is strangling small businesses, meaning there are less hours and jobs for young people to work. I really worry for young people. To have a minority be in a position of stifling growth that is funded by the council is not ideal.”

Lead: Sleep Deprivation Emerges as a Possible Driver of Early-Onset CancerResearch presented at the American Society of Clinical Oncology’s annual meeting in Chicago suggests that irregular sleeping patterns could be a significant, yet modifiable, risk factor for cancers diagnosed before age 50.The Study Linking Sleep Disruption to Early-Onset CancerTwo investigations led by MD Anderson Cancer Center analysed health records of over 18 million U.S. adults aged 18‑50. Participants with chronic insomnia showed a markedly higher incidence of bowel, breast, uterine, and ovarian cancers compared with well‑rested peers.Key Numbers Highlight the Scale of the IssueGlobal early‑onset cancer cases rose from 1.82 million (1990) to 3.26 million (2019), an 80% increase in three decades.Cancer deaths among people in their 30s, 40s, or younger climbed 27% over the same period.In the MD Anderson cohorts, insomnia was associated with up to three‑fold higher cancer risk within five years.Why This Matters for Public Health and Clinical PracticeThe data position sleep quality alongside genetics and lifestyle as a potential lever for curbing the surge in early‑onset cancers. Experts caution that the studies show association, not causation, but note that sleep deprivation can impair immune function and promote behaviours (smoking, poor diet, reduced exercise) that are already linked to cancer.Looking Ahead: Research, Screening, and Prevention StrategiesStakeholders anticipate a wave of longitudinal studies to test whether improving sleep can lower cancer incidence. In the meantime, clinicians are likely to incorporate sleep assessments into risk‑stratification tools, while public‑health campaigns may emphasise sleep hygiene alongside anti‑smoking and sun‑safety messages.

The Lead Bordeaux-Bègles' second successive Champions Cup title has solidified France's grip on European club rugby. Their 41-19 victory over Leinster in the final was a testament to their strength, with a blend of youthful talent and seasoned players proving too potent for their Irish opponents. Bordeaux's Dominant Performance Bordeaux's performance was characterized by their exceptional pace and skill. Louis Bielle-Biarrey, just 22, scored two tries, while fly-half Matthieu Jalibert, 27, controlled the game with precision. The team's captain, Maxime Lucu, 33, continues to defy expectations with his outstanding play. The Data Analysis Bordeaux's victory marked their second successive Champions Cup title. The final score was 41-19, with Bordeaux dominating the game. Leinster have now lost five Champions Cup finals in the last eight years. The Impact Analysis This victory cements France's dominance in European club rugby, with no other nation winning the Champions Cup since 2018. The Top 14's financial clout and ability to attract premium foreign talent have given French clubs a significant advantage. Leinster's coach, Leo Cullen, acknowledged that his team needs to adapt to the increasing speed of the modern game. The Prediction With a talented young squad and experienced players, Bordeaux are well-placed to continue their dominance. Leinster, on the other hand, face a significant challenge to regain their former glory. The gap between French clubs and their European rivals appears to be growing, and it may take significant changes for teams like Leinster to bridge this gap.