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UK house prices experienced a significant increase in March, rising by 0.9% month-on-month, the largest gain since December 2024. This growth, reported by Nationwide, pushed the average UK house price to £277,186. On an annual basis, house price growth accelerated to 2.2% in March, up from 1% in February.Despite this positive trend, Nationwide warned that the outlook has been clouded by the US-Israel war on Iran, leading financial markets to expect the Bank of England to raise the base rate three times over the next 12 months, from the current 3.75%. This has resulted in a sharp rise in longer-term interest rates, which underpin fixed-rate mortgage pricing.As a result, mortgage rates have risen above 5% in recent weeks, with the average two-year fixed-rate mortgage reaching 5.77% and the five-year fixed-rate mortgage increasing to 5.7%. This rapid deterioration in affordability is expected to soften housing market activity.Northern Ireland continues to show the strongest growth in house prices across the UK, with a 9.5% year-on-year increase in the first quarter to £225,269. In contrast, two regions experienced year-on-year declines: the outer south-east of England (-0.7%) and East Anglia (-0.4%).

The UK's Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) has confirmed that millions of victims of the country's car finance scandal will receive payouts this year. The regulator has unveiled a long-awaited industry-wide scheme to compensate people who were treated unfairly when taking out motor finance to buy a new or second-hand vehicle. The scheme, which will put £7.5bn back into people's pockets, is expected to result in a likely total bill of £9.1bn for lenders. The FCA had previously estimated that 14.2m loan agreements would be considered unfair and therefore due compensation, but this number has been cut to 12.1m. The average payout is expected to be around £830 per agreement, up from the previously estimated £695. The scheme will largely focus on people whose deal included a 'discretionary commission arrangement' (DCA), a type of car finance banned in 2021. Millions of claims will be paid out later this year, with the vast majority settled by the end of 2027. The FCA has advised people to 'complain now to get compensation sooner' and has provided a template letter on its website for those who want to make a claim. Lenders will have three months from the end of the implementation period to let people know whether they are owed compensation and, if so, how much. The payout timings vary, but for a post-April 2014 agreement, a lender must confirm if someone is owed money, and how much, by 30 September this year. The individual has a month to accept or challenge the offer, by 31 October. Then compensation is paid within one month, by November.

Submersible hydroelectric systems are emerging as a pivotal component of North America’s clean‑energy strategy, especially as the Trump administration eliminates key subsidies for solar and wind. The technology, already proven in Alaska and Maine, is now being deployed in the densely populated Great Lakes corridor, where electricity demand and prices are climbing sharply. Last month, Ocean Renewable Power Company (ORPC) announced its first urban installation on the St Lawrence River in Montreal, slated to launch two carbon‑fiber turbine units later this year. ORPC’s CEO Stuart Davies highlighted the river’s “consistent, high‑velocity water” and estimated a 60‑90 MW resource potential for the Montreal area alone. In parallel, ORPC is preparing a second project on the Niagara River near Buffalo, New York, and plans a future deployment on the lower Mississippi River between Baton Rouge and New Orleans. The timing coincides with record electricity price spikes across the Great Lakes. New York’s public service commission approved substantial rate hikes in September, and further increases are scheduled for 2027, while Michigan and Ohio face similar pressures driven by data‑center expansion. These economic pressures are driving interest in marine‑based power. Unlike traditional hydropower, ORPC’s devices resemble “push‑lawn‑mower blades” and can generate between 0.5 MW and 5 MW continuously, offering a potential baseload for industrial users and a reliable backup during grid outages. Environmental considerations remain central. While Quebec benefits from long‑standing, low‑cost hydropower, U.S. projects endure an average eight‑year licensing timeline. Critics worry about impacts on fish and wildlife, though ORPC cites its Alaska deployment—operating since 2019 without recorded fish injuries despite massive salmon migrations—as evidence of minimal ecological risk. Researchers are also expanding the technology’s reach to slower‑moving waters. University of Michigan professor Michael Bernitsas demonstrated the Vivace system on the St Clair River, capable of harvesting energy from currents as low as 0.5 m/s, suggesting broader applicability across the Great Lakes watershed. Operating in fresh water offers a distinct advantage: the absence of salt eliminates corrosion, extending turbine lifespan and reducing costs compared with ocean‑based projects. Some European tidal installations have even anchored devices to riverbeds to avoid ice damage, a practice ORPC may adopt. Financially, the sector benefits from a 40‑50 % investment tax credit that remains intact, even as the Trump administration phases out Biden‑era subsidies for solar and wind. The National Hydropower Association confirms that marine‑energy tax incentives will stay in place through at least 2033, reshaping the competitive landscape and attracting inquiries from entities in over 70 countries. As electricity bills rise and policy shifts favor alternative renewables, submersible hydropower could become a cornerstone of the Great Lakes’ energy mix, delivering resilient, low‑carbon power while navigating regulatory and environmental hurdles.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has issued a stark warning that the ongoing conflict in the Middle East will lead to higher prices and slower global growth, affecting countries worldwide. The Washington-based organisation emphasised that a rise in energy and food costs will harm economic growth this year and could leave lasting scars on the global economy.The IMF's analysis, published in a blogpost by its main department heads, including chief economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, noted that governments with high levels of borrowing will have limited access to funds to cushion the worst effects of the crisis. The organisation warned that all roads lead to higher prices and slower growth should the conflict continue to disrupt the supply of oil, gas, and fertiliser from the Gulf.While some countries, such as the US, may gain from higher fossil fuel prices as net exporters of oil and gas, the rise in bills for petrol, diesel, and food will harm living standards. Businesses are also forecast to come under pressure to raise prices, possibly forcing central banks to raise interest rates to combat inflation.The IMF highlighted that about a third of fertiliser production travels through the strait of Hormuz, which could push up prices. The UN Food and Agriculture Organisation projects that global prices could average 15% to 20% higher in the first half of 2026 if the crisis persists. Natural gas prices have more than doubled in the UK since last December to about £140 a therm, while a barrel of Brent crude that cost about $60 before the conflict hit more than $116 on Monday before falling back to $112.The IMF added that forecasts for sharp rises in the cost of gas and electricity in Europe next winter are forcing governments to consider higher subsidies and welfare payments to the worst-affected households. The organisation noted that countries such as Italy and the UK are especially exposed by their reliance on gas-fired power, while France and Spain are relatively protected by their greater nuclear and renewables capacity.

The UK's retail industry is bracing for the impact of reforms to guaranteed working hours, which could affect over half of retail jobs. The British Retail Consortium (BRC) has warned that the changes, set to take effect from April, may make it harder for shops to employ people, particularly young workers, in part-time roles. The Employment Rights Act will introduce new protections for workers on sick pay, sexual harassment, parental leave, and trade union recognition. Additionally, the act will provide rights to guaranteed hours for those on zero or 'low hours' contracts, flexible working, payment for short-notice cancellation of shifts, and barring fire-and-rehire practices in most circumstances. The BRC, representing major UK retailers, suggests that guaranteed hours protections should only apply to contracts of eight hours a week or fewer, and the reference period to be at least 26 weeks – or ideally a full year. This, they argue, would better reflect seasonal working patterns and ensure reforms address genuine problems without undermining jobs. Helen Dickinson, the chief executive of the BRC, emphasized that flexible retail jobs are vital for millions of people, providing opportunities for students, parents, and those managing health conditions. She warned that if reforms treat flexibility as a problem rather than something workers actively choose, the risk is fewer opportunities and reduced access to work. The BRC noted that 55% of retail roles are part-time, significantly above the UK average of 33%. A survey of 2,000 adults by Opinium for the BRC found that 52% of UK adults think the ability to flex working hours around their lives is important. However, the shop workers' union Usdaw and the TUC have expressed support for the reforms, arguing that they will deliver benefits to those in insecure employment, particularly women and disabled workers, and provide greater job security and predictability for working people.

The ongoing US-Israel war against Iran has sent shockwaves through global markets, resulting in a substantial increase in everyday living costs for many Americans. Following the US-Israeli strikes on Iran, which prompted retaliatory attacks on US allies in the region and Iran's decision to close the Strait of Hormuz, a critical maritime passage, costs have surged across the US. In particular, gas prices have spiked sharply, with the national average rising by roughly 30% over the past month. Additionally, grocery bills, mortgage rates, and fertilizer costs have also climbed. As a result, many Americans are being forced to reassess their finances and cut back drastically on basic necessities such as food, clothing, and electricity. Individuals from various parts of the country, including Indianapolis, Massachusetts, New York, and Pennsylvania, have shared their struggles with rising costs and how they are impacting their daily lives and long-term financial planning. For instance, an Indianapolis bank employee named Lore has had to reduce his commuting and is holding on to his old car for as long as possible to avoid the financial burden of a new one. A Massachusetts-based librarian's husband has had to take on extra work to keep up with rising expenses, often working 12 to 14 hour days. An elderly woman in New York described living a very frugal existence and struggling to make ends meet each month. The strain is also hitting small business owners, with a tattoo artist and father in Pennsylvania forced to shut down his private studio after three years due to decreased demand. Rising costs are also intensifying anxieties around healthcare, with a bread factory worker in Michigan expressing concerns about his health and the potential risks he faces simply getting to work.

The ongoing conflict in Iran has caused significant turmoil in the global oil markets, with Brent crude oil prices climbing 51% since the start of March, according to LSEG data. This surge has put Brent crude on track for its biggest monthly gain on record, surpassing the previous record of 46% set in September 1990 during the first Gulf War.On Friday, Brent crude closed at $112.57 a barrel, up from $72.48 a barrel on February 27, the day before the US-Israeli war on Iran began. The price of Brent crude traded as high as $119.50 a barrel during March, its highest level since June 2022, after Iran largely closed the Strait of Hormuz, a critical passage for a fifth of global oil and gas.Despite a coordinated release of 400m barrels of oil from emergency reserves announced on March 11, oil prices continued to climb throughout the month. Analysts at BloombergNEF estimate that 9m barrels of oil per day have been knocked off global oil supply due to the Middle East conflict.The conflict has also had a ripple effect on other assets, with gold prices falling by almost 15% since the start of March, on track for its worst month since 2008. The spot price of gold has been under pressure from the sale of about $3bn of bullion by the Turkish Central Bank last week, which cut its reserves by almost 50 tonnes to 772 tonnes to fund efforts to stabilize the Turkish lira.The Dow Jones industrial average has also been impacted, entering a correction at the end of last week, more than 10% below its record high. Stocks fell despite US President Donald Trump's latest extension on planned strikes against Iran's energy infrastructure, as investors anticipated prolonged disruption to oil from the Gulf.“Markets appear to be placing less weight on White House jawboning and focusing more on the underlying supply risks,” said Fawad Razaqzada, an analyst at City Index. Britain's stock market also had a poor month, with the FTSE 100 index falling more than 8% – on track for its worst month since March 2020, when Covid-19 rocked financial markets.

The UK hospitality sector is facing a crisis in confidence, with one in five businesses fearing collapse in the next 12 months. The impending cost crunch has left the sector warning of multiple business failures unless the burden is 'dramatically reduced'.From Wednesday, many pub, restaurant, and hotel companies will face a higher bill for business rates paid to their local authority, while an increase in minimum wage thresholds takes effect on the same day. The survey respondents, who operate more than 20,000 venues, cited increased employment costs as their top worry, followed by business rates and inflation in the cost of food and drink.UKHospitality estimates that the increase in the national living wage and national minimum wage will result in an extra £1.4bn in costs for the sector. The organisation also expects most of its members to pay more in business rates, with the average hotel in England facing a 30% increase worth £28,900, and the average restaurant facing a 15% increase worth £1,800.The sector is calling for the government to dramatically reduce the cost burden, warning that too many businesses are simply not making any money, and that the only result is lost jobs and business closures. 'Hospitality can be a driving force of growth and jobs, but only if its costs of doing business are dramatically reduced,' said UKHospitality in a joint statement with industry bodies.

The ongoing Iran war has led to a surge in petrol and diesel prices, sparking concerns about fuel rationing across Europe and calls for Britain to increase North Sea oil and gas production. However, experts suggest that a more effective solution lies in promoting electric vehicles (EVs). According to analysis by Mandala Partners, if the UK had the same proportion of electric cars as Norway, its fuel reserve could increase by seven days. Currently, the UK has about three weeks' worth of car fuel in reserve. Norway leads the world with nearly 32% of its cars being fully electric, compared to 5.4% in the UK. Even with the existing number of electric and hybrid cars on British roads, they are already saving about two days' worth of fuel. This is particularly significant given that Shell's chief executive, Wael Sawan, has warned that Europe could face fuel shortages as early as April if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed. The potential impact of EVs goes beyond just reducing petrol and diesel consumption. Every electric car charged from the grid rather than the pump extends the country's fuel reserves. Moreover, with the right technology, EVs could become an active buffer against future energy shocks by storing and resharing energy. Vehicle-to-grid technology, which allows EVs to send energy back into the power grid, could make a significant difference in an energy supply crisis. An electric car usually holds about 40 kilowatt-hours of power, enough for an average UK home for several days. This technology could enable millions of car batteries to supply power to the grid when demand spikes. Despite these benefits, the adoption of EVs and vehicle-to-grid technology faces challenges. Tax policy is a significant barrier, as EV owners pay tax on electricity when filling their car battery and again when selling it back to the grid. Additionally, the hardware for two-way charging is not yet widely available, although many electric cars are already capable of it. The energy regulator Ofgem has suggested that if half of the expected 11m EVs on UK roads by 2030 were capable of two-way charging, they could send 16 gigawatts of power back to the grid each day, almost half the output of Britain's gas-power station fleet.