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Pakistan faces a confluence of global challenges—escalating commodity prices, climate‑driven agricultural stress, and shifting geopolitical currents. The government’s latest policy package aims to cushion households, attract foreign investment, and position the country as a regional energy hub. Key Developments Energy diversification: Launch of a $12 billion renewable‑energy fund targeting 15 GW of solar and wind capacity by 2030. Currency stabilization: Central Bank’s intervention to curb the rupee’s depreciation, tightening policy rates by 150 basis points. Food security measures: Extension of subsidies on wheat and cooking oil, plus a $2 billion grain‑import guarantee. Geopolitical outreach: Renewed negotiations with China on the China‑Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) to fast‑track infrastructure projects. Data & Market Impact Inflation fell from a peak of 28.5% in March 2025 to 22.3% in February 2026, reflecting modest success of price‑control measures. Renewable‑energy contracts awarded in the first quarter totalled 3.2 GW, representing a 40% increase YoY. Foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows rose to $1.8 billion in Q1 2026, up 25% from the same period last year. Why This Matters Households: Lower energy bills and stabilized food prices directly improve living standards for over 220 million citizens. Businesses: Predictable exchange rates and improved power reliability reduce operating costs, encouraging expansion. Regional stability: A resilient Pakistani economy can act as a buffer against broader South‑Asian economic contagion. Expert Insight Analysts note that Pakistan’s pivot to renewables is both an economic necessity and a climate‑adaptation strategy. By reducing reliance on imported oil, the country mitigates exposure to volatile global oil markets—a lesson learned from the 2022‑2024 energy crisis. However, the success of the renewable push hinges on grid modernization and financing structures; without adequate storage solutions, intermittent supply could strain the grid. Geopolitically, deepening CPEC ties offers a dual benefit: infrastructure funding and a strategic counterbalance to regional rivals. Yet, over‑dependence on a single partner carries risks if diplomatic frictions arise. What Happens Next Implementation of the renewable‑energy fund will be monitored quarterly; early milestones will dictate further fiscal allocations. The central bank is expected to maintain a tight monetary stance until inflation breaches the 20% target. Negotiations on additional CPEC phases could unlock up to $5 billion in new projects, contingent on security assurances. International donors may increase climate‑finance contributions if Pakistan meets its renewable‑energy deployment targets.

Colombia, the largest coal and fourth biggest oil exporter in the Americas, is hosting a groundbreaking global conference this month to drive the long-awaited 'transition away from fossil fuels'. The conference, co-hosted with the Netherlands, aims to break the deadlock in UN climate talks and bring together countries willing to forge ahead with the energy transition.The conference comes at a critical time, with nations embroiled in another oil-inflected war and fuel prices soaring worldwide. Irene Vélez Torres, Colombia's environment minister, said the conference comes in the best possible moment, highlighting the stark choice world leaders face between oil, gas and coal and cleaner, safer renewable energy.Countries are paying the price for oil addiction, not just in their energy bills but in food prices, consumer inflation, shortages, and businesses threatened with collapse. The oil crisis, sparked by the US-Israeli attack on Iran, is spotlighting the risks of fossil fuel dependency.Some countries, like the UK, are already making the switch to renewable energy, with record numbers of households turning to solar panels, electric vehicles and heat pumps. Global power generation from coal and gas has fallen, while renewables have surged ahead, with solar generation up 14% and wind by 8%.The conference aims to bring together countries that want to forge ahead with the energy transition, with 54 countries confirmed to attend, representing about a fifth of global fossil fuel production and a third of demand. However, some of the world's biggest economies and biggest polluters, including the US, China, India, Russia and the Gulf petro states, will be missing.Colombia and the Netherlands hope to create a 'coalition of the willing' to drive the transition away from fossil fuels, with a focus on tangible outcomes, including a report by scientists on how countries can make the transition and a report from finance experts on how funding can be made available.

Sudan's power grid has collapsed, leaving many towns and cities without electricity. The crisis has been worsened by the ongoing war between the Sudanese Armed Forces and the Rapid Support Forces, now in its fourth year. The country's reliance on imported fuel has been disrupted, driving up costs and further straining the economy.In Khartoum, residents like Husna Mohamed are struggling to cope with the daily burden of fetching water and managing household chores without electricity. Fuel prices have surged by over 40% in recent weeks, making it difficult for people to afford basic necessities. The Sudanese pound has also lost roughly 20% of its value against the US dollar.The economic impact is being felt across various sectors. Transport costs have risen, and food prices are increasing, with a 10-kilogramme bag of sugar rising from 28,000 to 35,000 Sudanese pounds in just one week. Merchants are hesitant to sell, waiting to see how prices will develop.Economist Mohamed al-Tayeb notes that Sudan's economy is especially vulnerable to energy disruption due to its heavy reliance on land transport and power-dependent production. The crisis is not only economic but also infrastructural, with informal and makeshift power poles causing frequent failures across the grid.Local solutions, such as solar panels and shared generators, are being implemented, but they remain partial and fragile. The crisis has exposed the limited margin for error in Sudanese households, which were already absorbing multiple shocks, including the war, currency collapse, and displacement.

Sudan, one of the world's most impoverished countries, has been ravaged by a civil war that began in 2023. The conflict, driven by a power struggle between the army and the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF), has left the nation unrecognizable. Over 40,000 people have been killed, and about 14 million – a quarter of the population – have been forced to flee their homes. Civilian infrastructure across the country has been extensively damaged.“We are not just facing a crisis – we are witnessing the systematic erosion of a country’s future,” Luca Renda, the United Nations Development Programme’s (UNDP’s) resident representative in Sudan, told Al Jazeera. A report by the UNDP and the Institute for Security Studies highlights the scale of Sudan’s economic collapse. Even under the most optimistic scenario of peace being achieved in 2026, Sudan would still lose an estimated $18.8 billion in gross domestic product (GDP) by 2043.The war has had a devastating impact on Sudan's infrastructure and basic services. $6.4 billion was lost in GDP in 2023 alone, reflecting a simultaneous collapse across all major parts of Sudan’s economy. The destruction of infrastructure has triggered displacement and made it difficult for people to secure adequate housing or access basic services. Up to 40 percent of power generation capacity has been lost, and key water infrastructure has been destroyed or seized, cutting communities off from clean water and sanitation.The labor market has also been severely affected, with agriculture – once the backbone of Sudan’s economy – severely hit. Cultivated land has shrunk, adversely impacting rural livelihoods. Average incomes have fallen back to levels last seen in 1992. About 90 percent of manufacturing activity has been destroyed in key economic hubs, eliminating thousands of jobs.The oil industry has suffered significantly, with oil output falling amid widespread instability and infrastructure damage. The Khartoum refinery, which previously processed up to 100,000 barrels per day, has been out of operation since July 2023. Key infrastructure, including pipeline routes carrying crude to Port Sudan, has been hit.The collapse of the Sudanese pound and supply chains has caused a sharp rise in living costs. Food prices have surged, with four pieces of bread now costing about 1,000 pounds, an amount that had previously bought six pieces. Wages have failed to catch up with inflation, leaving many households without access to necessities. Nearly half the population is now experiencing acute food shortages.The economic collapse has had a profound impact on Sudan's people, with 34 million people in need of assistance and 19 million facing acute food shortages. The war has caused death, trauma, and profound loss, casting a long shadow over Sudan’s future and dimming the prospects of a generation whose lives are being shaped by violence. If the conflict continues to 2030, Sudan’s economy in 2043 would be about $34.5 billion smaller than it would have been without the war, and GDP per capita would drop by roughly $1,700.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has released its latest World Economic Outlook, warning of a significantly darkened global economic outlook. The report cites the outbreak of war in the Middle East on February 28, 2026, as a major factor in the deteriorating outlook.The IMF's January report was titled “Steady amid Divergent Forces”; whereas the latest outlook is headlined “Global Economy in the Shadow of War”. The IMF now expects the global economy to slow compared to its previous forecast in January.The latest outlook notes that the global outlook has abruptly darkened following the outbreak of war. Far be it for the IMF to gloat, but its suggestion in January that “steady” was not a word to describe the global economy unless you were desperately trying to make the madness of Donald Trump seem normal has aged quite well.The IMF remains unwilling to name Donald Trump, while noting the lingering effects of the persistent rise in energy prices since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. However, it only talks about the Middle East conflict as though it sprang out of nowhere.The IMF warns of three possible scenarios: a bad scenario where Trump, Israel and Iran come to an agreement; an adverse scenario where things carry on for the rest of the year and oil stays around US$100 per barrel; and a severe scenario where nothing is resolved, oil prices reach $125 in 2027, gas prices increase by 200% over the same period, and food prices increase by 5% in 2026 and 10% in 2027.Even under the current bad scenario, the global economy is expected to slow compared to what the IMF forecast in January. But under the adverse and severe scenarios the global economy grows by just 2.0% this year and 2.2% next year.For context, over the past 40 years, the global economy has grown slower than 2.2% only three times – 1992 (global recession), 2009 (the GFC) and 2020 (Covid).The IMF has downgraded Australia’s growth by more than most. Even under the most optimistic scenario growth is 0.5% worse than was forecast last October – a bigger downgrade than all G7 nations.The IMF warns against governments doing popular things like energy caps or subsidies, designed to protect households and firms. It worries that such policies will increase inflation because we’ll all suddenly have so much more money to spend.Gas companies exporting LNG from Australia will be cheering on the war as it keeps gas prices – and their profits – ever higher. The senate is investigating changing the way gas is taxed. An ACTU proposal for a 25% tax on exports would raise roughly $17bn a year.

The IMF has cautioned that the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, particularly the escalation of tensions between Iran and Israel, poses a substantial risk to global economic stability. The fund's half-yearly fiscal monitor report highlights that global debt levels are on track to increase due to the war's impact on energy and food prices, higher government borrowing costs, and slower economic growth.Against this volatile backdrop, the IMF has warned that governments may be forced to choose between cushioning the cost of living shock and maintaining sound public finances. The fund's report notes that global debt levels have already risen to almost 94% of GDP and are projected to reach 100% by 2029, a level not seen since the aftermath of World War II.The IMF emphasizes that any energy support schemes to shield households and businesses from the impact of higher energy prices should be targeted and temporary, focusing on those most exposed and least able to absorb price increases. The fund also cautions against using further borrowing to cushion the blow, suggesting that governments should instead reallocate spending within existing limits and prioritize crisis-related spending.The report highlights the risks associated with higher debt and interest costs, which could eventually force governments to make tougher choices or destabilize debt markets. The IMF points to the UK's experience with Liz Truss's 2022 mini-budget as an example of how market confidence can be lost when fiscal policies are perceived as unsustainable.

The Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) has issued a stark warning: if the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked by the ongoing US‑Israel conflict with Iran, the world could face a food ‘catastrophe’. The disruption is already halting shipments of vital agricultural inputs, a situation that could quickly cascade into higher food prices. FAO chief economist Maximo Torero told Al Jazeera that, for now, food prices have stayed stable because existing stockpiles are absorbing the shock. However, he cautioned that this buffer is temporary and that “the clock is ticking.” FAO agrifood economics director David Laborde added that if traffic does not resume, the resulting strain on energy and fertilizer markets will translate into “higher commodity and retail prices later this year and into 2027.” According to the FAO, 20‑45% of key agrifood inputs—including fertilizers, pesticides and feed—depend on maritime passage through the Hormuz chokepoint. Nearly half of the world’s traded urea, the most widely used fertilizer, also moves through the strait, making global agriculture highly vulnerable. Recent gas supply disruptions have already forced fertilizer plants in the Gulf and beyond to cut or halt production, raising concerns that farmers may have to reduce fertilizer use or face higher production costs. Torero emphasized that poorer countries are especially at risk because planting calendars leave little room for delays; a slowdown in input delivery could quickly lead to “lower output, higher inflation and slower global growth.” The blockade stems from Iran’s decision to bring traffic to a near‑total halt in retaliation for attacks by the United States and Israel, which launched a war on Tehran on 28 February, resulting in the death of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. The conflict has already doubled oil and gas prices compared with pre‑war levels. Negotiations between Iranian and US representatives over a 21‑hour marathon failed to secure a permanent ceasefire. Subsequently, US President Donald Trump announced a naval blockade, stating that the navy would interdict ships in international waters that had paid Iran a toll to traverse the strait. The US military later declared it would block all maritime traffic entering and exiting Iranian ports, including those in the Gulf and the Gulf of Oman. FAO officials stress that decisive action—both a sustained ceasefire and the reopening of the waterway—is essential to prevent the looming food crisis from becoming a full‑blown catastrophe.

On O’Connell Street, a lime‑green CLAAS tractor arrived with a 19‑year‑old driver named Dylan, who explained that his convoy was the second to join a city‑wide fuel blockade that halted traffic for nearly a week. The protest, organized by farmers, hauliers and fishermen, highlighted the impact of a 60% increase in fuel duties and taxes on everyday Irish life. Dylan warned that the surge in fuel costs would eventually ripple through food prices, threatening household budgets across the nation. He and his companions, two teenagers, had endured cold nights inside the tractor, underscoring the desperation felt by many workers. The unrest, described by the Irish president as an "illegal war on Iran," has laid bare Ireland’s dependence on fossil fuels and the lack of a coherent transition strategy toward renewable energy. During six days of action, protestors blocked motorways, ports, the country’s sole oil refinery in County Cork, and fuel depots in Limerick and Galway. By the end of the week, petrol stations began to run low, prompting the justice minister to consider deploying the army. Yet on the streets, public sentiment was largely supportive; a recent poll indicated that 56% of respondents backed the demonstrators. Historical symbolism filled the scene: tractors flew the Irish tricolour beside buildings still scarred by the 1916 Easter Rising, while a lorry bore a painted coffin with the words "RIP Ireland" and a banner reading "Easter 2026". Critics on national radio questioned the tactics, citing concerns for vulnerable patients unable to reach medical appointments. Nonetheless, the direct‑action approach succeeded in drawing international attention and pressuring the government. When mounted police units arrived on Sunday morning, the convoy withdrew peacefully. Shortly thereafter, the coalition of Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael announced a €500 million concession package, augmenting an earlier €250 million relief plan with cuts to excise duty and a postponement of the next carbon‑tax increase. Despite the financial concessions, a looming no‑confidence vote appears unlikely to topple the centre‑right coalition, even as public trust in traditional parties wanes. Dylan, too young to have voted in the last election, expressed little confidence in the political establishment. The protests have also been infiltrated by far‑right elements, with some speakers promoting anti‑immigrant conspiracies and misogynistic rhetoric. One spokesperson was found to have prior convictions for animal cruelty, and the Muslim Sisters of Éire reported being told to "go home" by flag‑waving agitators, highlighting a surge in xenophobic discourse. Beyond the immediate fuel price surge—up roughly 20% in a single month—the demonstrations raise broader questions about Ireland’s reliance on volatile global markets. The nation imports over 80% of its fruit and vegetables, while its data‑centre sector now consumes more electricity than all urban households combined, underscoring the tension between economic growth and sustainable energy policy. Analysts argue that lasting change cannot be achieved by pushing working people to the brink while catering to corporate interests. Ireland is expected to lobby the EU for a pause on carbon‑tax increases and to join calls for an EU‑wide tax on oil and gas profits, similar to measures advocated by Spain. In sum, the Dublin fuel blockade has forced the government to concede significant fiscal relief, exposed deep structural vulnerabilities in Ireland’s energy and food supply chains, and sparked a contentious debate over the role of grassroots protest, social cohesion, and climate justice.

The Iran war has laid bare the world's reliance on fossil fuels, with oil prices reaching $110 a barrel and potentially rising to $150. This has significant implications for global food security, with food prices expected to leap further due to a fertiliser supply crunch.The UN climate chief, Simon Stiell, noted that fossil fuel dependency is 'ripping away national security and sovereignty and replacing it with subservience and rising costs.' The world's top emitters are divided into two camps: those pursuing a low-carbon future and those determined to exploit their fossil fuel reserves.China, the world's biggest emitter, is leading the charge for an electrified future, with renewables growing at record levels and clean energy driving a third of its GDP growth. India has also set ambitious targets, aiming to generate 60% of its electricity from low-carbon sources by 2035.In contrast, countries like the US, Russia, and Saudi Arabia are benefiting from high fossil fuel prices, with the US oil and gas sector set for a $60bn windfall. The US under Trump stands out as a paradox, with emissions falling until last year but now facing a potential rollback of climate protections.The war in Iran has also highlighted the need for a global transition to clean energy. As John Kerry noted, 'The future is being able to harness the power of electrons and send them where we need them, and use them where and when we need them.' Reducing methane emissions could cut temperatures by 0.3C by the 2040s, and a mandatory methane agreement may be necessary to avoid the worst impacts of climate change.