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Politics May 29, 2026

Alan Milburn's Scathing Report: UK's Young Generation Betrayed

Alan Milburn's report reveals a dire situation for young people in the UK, with over 1 million not …
The Crisis Facing Young People in the UK Alan Milburn's report paints a grim picture of the lives and chances of young people in the UK. The diagnosis is dire, with over 1 million young people not in work, education, or training (Neets), and this number expected to rise to 1.25 million without radical change. The Extent of the Problem Milburn's report reveals a catastrophic failure in the support systems for young people. There has been institutional neglect, loss of youth and careers services, and chaotic communication between dislocated silos. The result is a 'moral crisis' that requires a 'big idea' and a 'system reset'. The report highlights that: 1.6 million first-rung jobs have vanished in the past 20 years. There has been a 35% fall in apprenticeship starts in the past decade. 60% of Neets have never had a job before. The Impact on Young People's Lives The report captures the misery of young people applying for jobs, facing rejection, and struggling with mental health issues. Many young people are eager to work or pursue apprenticeships, but face significant barriers. For example: 84% of those surveyed wanted to work or do an apprenticeship. 19% wanted to enter education or training. 15% have degrees. 30% have five good GCSEs or equivalent. The Way Forward Milburn's report calls for a comprehensive overhaul of the systems failing young people. He criticizes the current education system, which prioritizes exam results over outcomes and destinations. He also highlights the need for better support for young people with troubled families or poor mental health. The report's recommendations are expected to be released in a future publication, just before the Labour conference. A Call to Action for Labour The report presents a challenge to the Labour party to take action and address the crisis facing young people. As Labour strives for renewed purpose, Milburn's report provides a roadmap for change. The government is urged to ignore previous interventions, such as Tony Blair's recent essay, and instead focus on implementing the recommendations outlined in Milburn's report.
#Alan Milburn #UK Government #Young People
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Politics May 28, 2026

US-Iran MoU: A Fragile 60-Day Truce Awaiting Executive Ratification

In a significant development for regional stability, the United States and Iran have reportedly agr…
The Diplomatic Pivot in the Middle EastIn a significant development for regional stability, the United States and Iran have reportedly agreed to a 60-day truce outlined in a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU). This agreement represents a potential de-escalation of tensions that have defined the geopolitical landscape, though its longevity remains uncertain pending high-level political validation.Negotiating a 60-Day Ceasefire FrameworkThe core of this breakthrough lies in the Memorandum of Understanding, which establishes a temporary cessation of hostilities. This 60-day window is designed to provide a breathing space for diplomatic negotiations, allowing both nations to assess the feasibility of a more permanent peace agreement.60-day timeline set for de-escalation and negotiation.Mou signed between US and Iranian representatives.Hostilities expected to pause during this period.The Critical Role of Executive RatificationWhile the diplomatic groundwork has been laid, the agreement faces a significant hurdle: the pending approval of Donald Trump. This condition implies that the MoU is not yet a binding executive order but rather a proposal requiring political sign-off. The delay or rejection of this approval could immediately unravel the fragile truce.Geopolitical Ramifications and Future OutlookThe outcome of this diplomatic maneuver will have profound implications for the Middle East. If ratified, the truce could stabilize markets and reduce regional volatility. However, if political disagreements stall the process, the region risks returning to heightened tensions. Analysts suggest that the next 48 hours will be critical in determining whether this MoU translates into a lasting peace or remains a temporary diplomatic maneuver.
#United States #Iran #Donald Trump
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Sports May 28, 2026

Rico Verhoeven Seeks Rematch with Oleksandr Usyk After Controversial Stoppage

Dutch former kickboxer Rico Verhoeven is seeking a rematch with unified world heavyweight champion …
The Controversial Stoppage Rico Verhoeven, the Dutch former kickboxer who has switched to boxing, wants an apology as well as a rematch, after being stopped one second before the end of the penultimate round in a WBC title bout with unified world heavyweight champion Oleksandr Usyk last Saturday. The Event Details The stoppage was controversial, with Verhoeven feeling he could have continued and some replays suggesting the bell may have rung before the referee signalled the end of the fight — only Verhoeven’s second since switching to boxing — at the Pyramids of Giza in Egypt. The Data Analysis Scorecards published by The Ring magazine afterwards showed two of the three judges had the fight tied 95-95 going into the 11th of 12 rounds and the other had Verhoeven ahead 96-94. The Impact Analysis “[I want] just an apology. What else can we do? I can’t demand anything else,” Verhoeven told the BBC on Thursday, adding that his team had lodged an appeal with the WBC. The Prediction Germany’s Agit Kabayel is the WBC’s mandatory challenger and Usyk could have to fight him first before any rematch with Verhoeven. “Let’s see what pops up next,” said Verhoeven. “But I have to be honest, it’s got to be big. I feel like I’m the uncrowned king.”
#Rico Verhoeven #Oleksandr Usyk #Boxing
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Tech May 28, 2026

Sesame: From Oculus Founders to Conversational AI Agents on iOS

Sesame, a conversational AI startup founded by Oculus founders, has launched its iOS app featuring …
The Launch of Sesame's Conversational AI On Thursday, the AI startup Sesame, co-founded by Oculus' founders and others from the VR company that sold to Meta, released a public preview of the conversational AI agents it's been developing for over a year. With its new iOS app, Sesame is rethinking the traditional AI chatbot experience popularized by apps like ChatGPT, creating one where conversation flows, even if the AI needs time to think. Reimagining AI Conversation Flow As the company explains in its launch announcement, "There's an inherent tension between replying quickly and taking the time to compose thoughtful responses. A slower response is usually more correct, but it can also feel unnatural if it takes too long." To address this challenge, Sesame claims to have built fast search and retrieval systems, so the AI can have up-to-date information, as well as technology that allows it to run multiple parallel searches while speaking, weaving those results into its responses as it talks. That means the AI will talk more like a human, even pivoting mid-sentence if need be, as it taps into newer information — as a human might when remembering another key fact or point they want to add. User Growth and Development Milestones The app offers four distinct AI agents called Maya, Miles, Simone, and Charlie, each of which have their own distinct voice, personality, point of view, and memory. Maya and Miles were previously available in Sesame's Research Preview of its technology, where they were soon accessed by over one million people within the first few weeks, said Sesame investor Sequoia at the time. (The company had then just raised its $250 million Series B from Sequoia and others and was opening up a beta.) During the beta, Sesame learned from user feedback and rolled out features such as search cards with image results for visualizing concepts, notes for capturing takeaways, a texting mode for those times when speaking aloud is not an option, and support for deep dives where you can get more in-depth results. There's also a new incognito mode for private conversations, which allows the agents access to prior context but saves nothing to memory. Transforming the AI Landscape The app, however, is only the first step toward Sesame's bigger plans for AI involving intelligent eyewear, which the team expects to launch in 2027. Before that, the agents will also learn to do more than just think with you, Sesame hints, suggesting they'll later be able to take action on your behalf — hence why they're called "agents" in the first place, instead of just chatbots. That is potentially even more interesting, as working with agentic tools or apps today requires being able to prompt for what you need and have a specific idea of what you want to happen, and sometimes, even how it should happen. A conversational agent that you could talk to naturally could help you take the next steps, without you having to perfect the command you're giving it. The Road to AI-Powered Eyewear The iOS app is out today in 39 countries, and the full experience is free for the time being. However, there still may be a short waitlist at sign-up. An Android preview is coming in the future, the company says.
#Sesame #Oculus #Meta
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Tech May 28, 2026

RSI is the new AGI — and it's just as hard to pin down

Recursive self-improvement (RSI) has become the latest buzzword in AI, with researchers and startup…
The Rise of Recursive Self-Improvement in AIThe word "recursion" is the latest buzzword in AI circles. Two separate startups have taken on the name, and many more have started referencing recursive self-improvement (RSI) in their roadmaps. Like AGI before it, RSI has become a three-letter byword for a cataclysmic AI takeoff – even if there's still a little disagreement about what it exactly means.In basic terms, RSI refers to an AI system that can continuously upgrade itself. Once AI systems can manage the upgrade cycle better than humans, the process can become a closed loop, limited only by the compute power they can access, and humans are no longer necessary or even helpful.Scary or not, that's a vision that a lot of AI labs are eager to chase.Key Players Pursuing Recursive SystemsEarlier this month, well-known AI researcher Richard Socher launched the aptly named Recursive Superintelligence with RSI as an explicit goal. "Our main focus is to build truly recursive, self-improving superintelligence at scale," Socher told TechCrunch at launch, "which means that the entire process of ideation, implementation, and validation of research ideas would be automatic."A number of other prominent researchers are already chasing that same goal, hoping for a breakthrough that will make recursive self-improvement possible.One of the most prominent is Andrej Karpathy, a legendary figure from Tesla and OpenAI, who is using agent swarms to train LLMs on simple tasks for a project he calls Auto-Research. Karpathy has been unusually open about the project, tweeting about milestones regularly and making the building blocks available through a public GitHub repo. So far, the work has mostly been confined to making minor improvements on a GPT-2 scale model — as Karpathy noted in March, "It's not novel, ground-breaking 'research' (yet)" — but it's been enough to convince lots of other researchers to follow the RSI dream. And with Karpathy now working on pre-training at Anthropic, he will have plenty of opportunity to apply the idea at a larger scale.Adaption — founded by Cohere and Google alum Sara Hooker — recently launched a similar tool called AutoScientist in an effort to automate frontier training. Like Karpathy's auto-researchers, the system trains agents to make incremental improvements — but for Adaption, the goal is to make it easier to train a full-scale frontier model. If those same researchers start to push the frontier forward, the system could quickly spiral into something very much like RSI.Disarray founder Doris Xin drew more specific RSI interest when her self-trained machine learning agent took home 28 medals in a recent Kaggle competition, beating out many human-trained agents. As she sees it, the major challenge is reliability."I would argue, given infinite compute and infinite time horizon, we are already there," Xin told me. "I want to make an argument that this is not a creative endeavor, really. It's just a lot of meat-and-potatoes engineering."The Current State of Self-Improving AIThere's also plenty of evidence that the AI industry isn't very close to recursive systems in any meaningful way — and is still grappling with talking to a wary public about its progress. So Google CEO Sundar Pichai basically admitted in a recent podcast interview."It's a continuum, and we are all definitely making progress," Pichai said. "But in the way people describe RSI, that would represent a next level of acceleration and would have a lot of implications, but we aren't quite there yet."But the continuum includes an awful lot of self-improving AI systems.In January, one of Anthropic's lead programmers for Claude Code estimated that "close to 100%" of his team's code was written by the tool — a frank admission that Claude Code was literally writing itself.Just because engineers are using an AI tool doesn't mean the tool can replace them — but Anthropic seems to be getting close to replacing engineers too. In a recent survey tied to the Mythos preview, five out of 18 Anthropic engineers believed that, with harness improvements, this version of Mythos could soon substitute for an L4 engineer — a midlevel programmer who can take on involved projects without supervision.Still, there were some of the same weaknesses you might expect."Some of Claude's major reported weaknesses compared to an L4 include: self-managing week-long ambiguous tasks, understanding org priorities, taste, verification, instruction-following, and epistemics," the report reads.In other words, its weaknesses are everything involved with self-direction, which is the cornerstone for RSI. But sure, for everything else, Claude is ready to step right in.Expert Perspectives on RSI TimelinesJust like the AGI term before it, the AI industry also can't tell us how far away it is from showcasing a meaningful recursive system. When Georgetown's Center for Security and Emerging Technology assembled a group of experts to study RSI last year, the group found a major split in assessments — some expecting an imminent "superintelligence" style explosion while others expected slower progress and an eventual plateau. But all agreed that recursion made the future especially difficult to predict.Helen Toner, director of CSET and a former board member at OpenAI, told TechCrunch that simply using AI tools to do AI research isn't enough to qualify as RSI. "They're just using AI for as much as they can," Toner told TechCrunch. "And I think that is different from the classic definition of RSI, which is really that there are no humans needed."Toner pointed to a recent post by METR's Ajeya Cotra, which distinguishes different milestones on the path to the AI research takeover. One step, which Cotra calls "adequacy," would come when the system can still perform research after all humans are removed — even if the resulting research isn't as valuable or efficient. "Parity" comes when an AI-only system is as good at research as a human-only system. "Supremacy," the final stage, comes when an AI-only system outperforms a collaborative system between humans and AI.Ultimately, Cotra concludes that AI is very close to the adequacy threshold of being able to produce some work on its own — similar to the incremental changes made by Karpathy's Auto-Research system. "I wouldn't be totally shocked if you told me this milestone had already passed, and I expect it to happen in the next couple years," Cotra wrote.She was less clear on when parity will come, but once it does, she thinks it would "massively accelerate the pace of AI progress, leading to AI research supremacy within another year."The Challenges Ahead for Recursive AIWith so much of AI built on scaling laws, there's a strong tendency to think RSI will follow the same curve. Toner thinks that many of those pursuing AI research and development via RSI "think of it as a pretty smooth ladder, where you can just keep scaling up."But even if AI researchers are able to make incremental improvements like Karpathy's auto-researchers, there will be larger challenges in handing off the whole process of research. Toner put it in terms of the history of computing, which has seen human beings handing off more and more of the process while still directing things from the top."We went from machine languages to assembly language and compiled languages; you're getting further and further from the guts of the computer," Toner said. "But the human is still, in some intuitive sense, running the show."Moving beyond that paradigm will take significant challenges, both in engineering and alignment. But even with the massive investments happening, there's no infinite compute available — and the basic trade-off between human labor and machine intelligence will be hard to overcome.The Future of Recursive Self-ImprovementAs for a total recursive AI system of apocalyptic visions? The only thing researchers essentially agree on is that, like AGI, it's not here yet.
#Recursive Self-Improvement #AGI #AI Research
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Tech May 28, 2026

The Shift in Enterprise AI: Why Operational Stability Matters

Enterprise organizations are not rejecting AI, but rather operational instability. Databricks' co-f…
The Lead Enterprise organizations are not rejecting AI. They are rejecting operational instability. This is the shift many founders still misunderstand — and it is becoming one of the defining realities separating enterprise AI companies that scale from the ones that stall after early momentum. The Event Details At TechCrunch Disrupt 2026, taking place October 13–15 at Moscone West in San Francisco, Arsalan Tavakoli-Shiraji, co-founder and SVP of field engineering at Databricks, will unpack that shift during his AI Stage session, “The Enterprise Isn’t Broken. Your Assumptions About It Are.” The Data Analysis The enterprise AI market is full of successful pilots that never became real deployments. Not because the technology failed. But because the organization could not absorb the operational consequences of adopting it. The Impact Analysis Now the reality founders need to face is that startup AI deals rarely die because the model underperformed. They die because the enterprise lost confidence in what the deployment would require. The AI startups gaining traction inside large organizations increasingly share one thing in common: They reduce uncertainty. The Prediction The startups that succeed in enterprise AI over the next several years may not necessarily be the ones with the most advanced models. They may be the ones that best understand how enterprises actually absorb change. That is the kind of operational pressure that Tavakoli-Shiraji and other speakers on the AI Stage at Disrupt will explore.
#Databricks #TechCrunch Disrupt 2026 #Enterprise AI
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Sports May 28, 2026

Tactical Battle: Arsenal's Full-Back and Midfield Strategy Against PSG's Wings

The Champions League final between PSG and Arsenal hinges on tactical matchups, particularly Arsena…
The Tactical Chess Match of Champions League FinalIt would be easy to look at Saturday's Champions League final between Paris Saint-Germain and Arsenal and see it as a battle of attack versus defence, of beauty against pragmatism, of French elan against English doughtiness, as some sort of tussle for the soul of football. But it would not entirely be true. And where, after all, was the honour at Agincourt? In the vainglorious charges of the dashing French cavalry or the stoic defiance of the British archers arrayed, naked from the waist down, behind their defensive stakes?The final promises to be a fascinating tactical contest between two teams with contrasting approaches but complementary strengths. PSG's devastating wings, featuring players like Desiré Doué and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, will test Arsenal's defensive resolve, while Arsenal's set-piece prowess could provide their route to goal.PSG's Dominant Possession vs Arsenal's Defensive ResilienceThe statistical comparison between the two teams reveals contrasting strengths. In the Champions League this season, Paris Saint-Germain have averaged 63.4% possession, higher than anybody apart from Barcelona; Arsenal's figure is 52.6%, the 11th-highest of the 36 sides who made the league stage. PSG's pass completion has been 89.3% to Arsenal's 85.7% (third-highest to 14th-highest). PSG have scored 44 goals to Arsenal's 29. But on the flip side, Arsenal have conceded six goals to PSG's 22 and won 13.4 aerial duels per game to PSG's 9.4 (sixth-highest to 29th-highest).These figures suggest that PSG will dominate possession, while Arsenal will likely sit deep and look to counter-attack. However, that was not how either leg of the semi-final between the teams last season played out: PSG shaded possession at the Emirates and Arsenal at the Parc des Princes as they chased the game.The Full-Back Dilemma for ArsenalThe biggest danger to Arsenal is probably a counterattack. Most opponents sit deep against PSG, especially in Ligue 1, but the evidence of PSG's wins over Chelsea, Liverpool and Bayern Munich is that they are lethal in transition. Arsenal cannot let Desiré Doué or Khvicha Kvaratskhelia get a run on whoever they have at full-back. Both are rapid, supreme dribblers and terrifyingly direct.Full-back is an issue for Arsenal, especially on the right. Ben White is out with a knee injury and Jurriën Timber is doubtful with a groin problem sustained against Everton in mid-March. Martín Zubimendi started at right-back against Crystal Palace but it would seem more likely that Cristhian Mosquera operates there if Timber has not recovered, if only because he is a more natural defender.Riccardo Calafiori has seemed Mikel Arteta's preferred option on the left. His role will be twofold: to stop Doué and to invert into midfield, particularly out of possession, to try to prevent the counter. It may be that Myles Lewis-Skelly is used ahead of Zubimendi alongside Rice, in part because he is familiar with playing at left-back and so could help double up on Doué, or would be comfortable covering for Calafiori were he caught upfield.Midfield Strategies to Counter PSG's WingsAlthough PSG have scored more goals from non-penalty set plays than Arsenal in the Champions League this season (eight to five), it probably is reasonable to assume that corners and free-kicks offer Arsenal's best chance of a goal. But to counter PSG's midfield dominance, Arsenal may need to embrace a more aggressive approach.The first leg of PSG's semi-final against Bayern was remarkably open, almost basketball-like in its end-to-end attacking. But that should not necessarily be regarded as characteristic. PSG can at times seem a little sloppy, too reliant on their attacking prowess, but their performance away to Bayern, when Fabián Ruiz returned, showed how effective PSG's midfield can be. And that means either that Arsenal have to sit deep and accept PSG will dominate the ball or that they need to ensure their midfield has a destructive edge.Lessons from Previous EncountersChelsea's success against PSG in the Club World Cup final perhaps offers, if not a template, then at least inspiration for how Arsenal can hurt the defending European Champions. Enzo Maresca's approach was asymmetric, using Cole Palmer almost as an inside-right, haunting the channel between Nuno Mendes and the left-sided centre-back while getting in behind the left-back wherever possible.On the left, Marc Cucurella regularly tucked into midfield, just as Calafiori surely will, with Pedro Neto tracking back almost as a wing-back to check Achraf Hakimi's thrusts in support of Doué. If Arteta sees things similarly, that is probably more of a job for Leandro Trossard than Eberechi Eze, who may end up on the bench if Arteta, as he surely must, prefers 4-3-3 to 4-2-3-1.Keys to Victory in Saturday's FinalThere is an irony in this. The stereotype of Arsenal this season has been of a defensive side reliant on set plays, but that is not entirely accurate; rather they are a side whose defensive qualities have been highlighted because of deficiencies of creativity and attacking quality. But to beat PSG, it may be that they have to embrace the narrative and be the side critics say they are.Arsenal's right-back situation remains critical. White links better with Bukayo Saka than any of Arsenal's other full-backs, and Timber is as tactically astute as any player in the squad. Unless Timber is fit, the right-back issue is likely to diminish them from a defensive and an attacking point of view.The final will come down to which team can impose their tactical approach most effectively. Can Arsenal's defense contain PSG's devastating wings, or will PSG's midfield dominance prove too much for Arsenal to handle? The answer will determine who lifts the Champions League trophy on Saturday.
#Arsenal #PSG #Champions League
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Politics May 28, 2026

English Town Braces for Crucial By-Election That Could Determine UK's Future Leadership

A by-election in Ashton-in-Makerfield, a northern English market town, could determine the UK's fut…
The Lead-Up to the By-Election In a scenario few could have predicted, voters in a northern English market town near Manchester could determine the United Kingdom’s future political leadership. The surprise resignation of the Labour Party’s Ashton-in-Makerfield MP Josh Simons in late February left the supposedly safe seat open, paving the way for the popular mayor of Manchester, Andy Burnham, to step in. The Event Details If he wins the seat in a crucial by-election set for June 18, he could ultimately topple embattled Prime Minister Keir Starmer. Standing in his way are the voters, many of whom Burnham has yet to convince of his credentials for the job, and the right-wing insurgent Reform UK party, which has promised to “throw everything” at the election in a bid to block Burnham’s path to the UK Parliament. The Data Analysis Makerfield has been a safe Labour seat since its creation in 1983, but Starmer’s party lost all eight of its local council seats there to Reform in May during local elections. Recent local council elections in May 2026 saw a shift, with Reform UK winning 49.8% of the area's vote compared to Labour's 24.3%. The Impact Analysis The constituency is difficult to categorise, political scientists said. It neither fits the stereotype of the declining industrial towns of northern England nor carries much of the metropolitan optimism typified in the soaring glass tower blocks of the nearby Manchester city centre. Instead, it is best understood as “a place in-between”, political science Professor Rob Ford wrote in his blog last week. The Prediction Few observers have been brave enough to call the current contest. However, while political scientists are puzzled, 61-year-old resident Tracy Walker, who works in a charity shop, is resolute. “I want Andy Burnham. … I think we should give him a go. He’s from the north,” she said, contrasting Burnham with the long line of premiers from the country’s south.
#Andy Burnham #Keir Starmer #Labour Party
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Politics May 28, 2026

Why has Trump threatened to bomb Oman, amid Iran war escalation?

President Trump has threatened longtime ally Oman with military force over potential involvement in…
The LeadUnited States President Donald Trump has threatened longtime ally Oman with military force if it gets involved in the dispute over shipping access to the Strait of Hormuz, as Washington's war on Iran once again risks engulfing the Middle East. Trump's threat to "blow up" Oman came as Muscat reportedly held talks with Iran about overseeing passage through the strategic waterway that handles more than 20 percent of the world's global oil traffic.Trump's Unprecedented Threat Against a Key Ally"Nobody is going to control it," Trump said of the strait during a cabinet meeting in Washington. "It's international waters, and Oman will behave just like everybody else, or we will have to blow them up." This direct threat against a country with which Washington has had relations for more than 200 years has sent shockwaves across the region and drawn international criticism.While Hormuz is an international strait, most of it is located solely in Iranian and Omani territorial waters – not international waters – with parts of its outlying areas reaching United Arab Emirates (UAE) territorial waters. This geographical reality complicates Trump's assertion that the waterway is purely international.The Strategic Importance of the Strait of HormuzAs the only route for Gulf oil producers to ship exports to the open ocean, the strait has served as a free international maritime route for decades. Following the US-Israeli joint attacks on Iran on February 28, however, Tehran closed the waterway and began to assert sovereignty over it, including charging tolls of as much as $2m per ship at times.Under international maritime law, countries are not permitted to charge tolls to shipping passing through natural straits such as Hormuz, even where they are not in international waters. Countries can, however, provide services to shippers, such as insurance, maintenance and docking assistance.Regional Implications of Trump's ThreatShortly before Trump's comment, Iran's state television reported that Iran and the United States were close to agreeing on a memorandum of understanding (MOU) under which Tehran and Muscat would jointly control the strait. The proposal designates payments for passing vessels, framed as "fees for services" rather than "tolls."While the Trump administration has called the claims of such an MoU "a complete fabrication," analysts say his threat suggests that an understanding between Iran and Oman is precisely what the US president is trying to avoid."What Washington wants to prevent is the normalisation of Iranian control over Hormuz, dressed in administrative and legal clothing and given Arab cover by a US ally," Muhanad Seloom, non-resident senior fellow at the Middle East Council on Global Affairs, told Al Jazeera.International Reaction and Legal ConcernsCritics called the threat reckless. Raed Jarrar, the advocacy director at the US-based rights group DAWN, likened the US president's comments to those of a "mafia boss.""The UN Charter prohibits the threat of force against any state, and that prohibition binds the United States exactly as it binds everyone else," Jarrar told Al Jazeera. "Threatening to 'blow up' an Arab country because its waters happen to sit along an oil route Washington wants reopened is the same lawless logic that produced this war in February."Samir Puri, a visiting lecturer in war studies at King's College in London, said Trump's threat to Oman was "really surprising" and warned that it would "send shockwaves across the region."Oman's Diplomatic Role in the US-Iran ConflictOman has played a unique role in the region as a mediator between the US and Iran. Omani Foreign Minister Badr Albusaidi was a key mediator in US-Iran nuclear talks before the war on Iran began. Just before the US-Israeli joint attack on Tehran in February, Albusaidi had been meeting US officials, including Vice President JD Vance, to facilitate negotiations about the future of Tehran's nuclear programme.Unlike other US allies in the Gulf, such as Qatar, Bahrain and the UAE, Oman does not host US forces. It was nevertheless dragged into the conflict when Iran launched attacks on US military assets and energy infrastructure across the Gulf region in the early days of the war.Future Outlook for the RegionSeloom, from the Middle East Council on Global Affairs, said Oman is "one Gulf state that is simultaneously a US security partner and Iran's most trusted Arab interlocutor.""In peacetime, that ambiguity is an asset. In wartime, it becomes a liability, which is precisely the inversion now playing out," he told Al Jazeera.The analyst argued that joint Iran-Oman control over Hormuz was "more posture than probability." "Oman's real interest is not co-owning Iran's blockade; it is brokering the strait's reopening," he said.Still, according to Seloom, the prospect of Iran and Oman jointly shaping the future of the Strait of Hormuz alarms the US president for three reasons: "It would turn Iran's grip on the chokepoint into a permanent post-war fact rather than a temporary act of war; it would set a precedent that littoral states can metre and monetise an international waterway, eroding the freedom-of-navigation principle the United States underwrites worldwide; and it would hand Tehran a strategic win that outlasts any ceasefire."
#Donald Trump #Oman #Iran
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