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The Lead Pointing to a photograph of dry brown long grass hugging the shoreline, Gerardo Bolaños stands in front of a green oasis of seedlings and trees potted in black plastic bags. "This is what Playa Guiones looked like when we started in 2011," says the executive director of Costas Verdes, a Costa Rican nonprofit. The Coastal Transformation As howler monkeys growl in the background, Bolaños points to the picture next to it – an image of the same patch of land but with scores of flourishing, lush green trees. Today, he says, this is how the beach looks. The reason for the stark difference, says Bolaños, a straight-talking man with a coloured tattoo of the turquoise-browed motmot bird on his left arm, is a sustained tree-planting programme that Costas Verdes started in 2011. The Roots of Reforestation Costas Verdes was founded by then Costa Rican university student Max Tattenbach in 2009. A keen surfer, he wanted to restore the shoreline at his favourite surf spot, Playa Hermosa. "Playa Hermosa is about 6km [3.5 miles] of beach, and it only had one [area of] shade along the entire beach," says Tattenbach. "I used to go surfing there and take my then girlfriend and now wife. She didn't surf and liked to read and chill on the beach, but Playa Hermosa had no shade, so she didn't like going, and it started to become an issue. I promised her I would reforest Playa Hermosa so we could enjoy the beach." The Environmental Impact The project has transformed deforested Pacific coastlines into thriving ecosystems through a community-driven environmental project that has planted more than 100,000 native trees across 34 beaches, reviving wildlife habitats and combating decades of deforestation from cattle farming. Walk along the seafront in Nosara, over 100km further down the coast from Hermosa, and the plan appears to have paid off, with thousands of trees such as tropical almond trees, madero negro (Gliricidia sepium) and frangipani lining the trails and offering shade to beachgoers, creating a thriving ecosystem for wildlife. The Historical Context of Deforestation Bolaños, who joined the organisation as a volunteer in 2011, became project director three years later and executive director in 2024, says deforestation has changed the area's landscape. "Last century, we had great coastal forests all along the Pacific coast of Costa Rica," he says. Bolaños estimates that between the 1940s and 1970s, Costa Rica lost 70% of its forest cover, including along the Pacific coast. He puts this down to a boom in livestock farming. "Farmers burned the ecosystems and grew grass to feed the cattle. It was extremely aggressive, poorly planned," he says. "The beachfronts were devastated by cattle farming." The Future of Coastal Restoration What began as a personal quest for shade has evolved into a community-driven environmental movement with significant implications for coastal conservation. The success of Costas Verdes demonstrates how small-scale, community-led initiatives can have a substantial impact on environmental restoration, offering a model for other regions facing similar deforestation challenges. As climate change continues to threaten coastal ecosystems worldwide, the reforestation efforts in Costa Rica provide a hopeful example of how human intervention can help restore natural habitats and build resilience against environmental degradation.

Executive Summary: A Climate Alarm Bell RingsThe UN has issued a stark warning that El Niño is likely to re‑emerge this year, bringing a wave of super‑charged weather extremes. With an 80% probability of formation before September and a 90% chance of lasting until November, the pattern threatens to amplify global warming, disrupt food supplies and intensify floods and droughts.UN and WMO Forecast an Imminent El Niño DevelopmentThe World Meteorological Organization (WMO) released its latest outlook on Tuesday, noting that most climate models project the return of the cyclical phenomenon at “at least moderate” strength, with some indicating a potentially strong event. Scientists caution it could become the strongest El Niño of the 21st century.Formation window: before September 2026Persistence window: through November 2026Strength: moderate to strong, possibly the strongest this centuryKey Numbers: Probabilities, Temperatures and Regional ImpactsThe WMO’s quantitative outlook highlights:80% chance of El Niño onset before September90% chance it will continue into NovemberUnusually high temperatures forecast for nearly all regions over the next three monthsIncreased likelihood of extreme rain in South America, the southern US, the Horn of Africa and Central AsiaDrier conditions expected in Central America, the Caribbean, Australia, Indonesia and parts of South AsiaWhy This Matters: Global Climate, Food Security and Economic RisksEl Niño acts as a “fuel‑on‑the‑fire” for a warming planet, according to António Guterres, UN Secretary‑General. The pattern can:Push global temperatures higher, contributing to record‑breaking heat years (2024 already set new highs)Exacerbate droughts that strain water supplies and agricultural yieldsTrigger severe flooding and landslides, as seen in Tanzania’s April 2024 rainsInfluence hurricane formation—enhancing storms in the central/eastern Pacific while suppressing them in the AtlanticExperts like Gareth Redmond‑King of the Energy & Climate Intelligence Unit warn that the looming El Niño could jeopardise already fragile food systems, especially as fertilizer supplies are constrained by geopolitical conflicts.Looking Ahead: 2027 and the Next Decade of Climate RiskThe UN stresses that the most severe impacts may materialise in 2027, when El Niño could drive the hottest year on record. Preparing now means:Accelerating the transition away from fossil fuelsScaling renewable‑energy deploymentStrengthening early‑warning systems for vulnerable communitiesImplementing climate‑resilient agricultural practicesFailure to act could lock in a trajectory of escalating heat, water scarcity and food insecurity for the coming decade.

The Lead US Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth has been discussing key foreign policy issues for Washington at a defence summit in Singapore. Hegseth's Comments on China On Saturday at the Shangri-La Dialogue, Hegseth commented on America’s main rival, China, as well as Iran, NATO and Taiwan — a major point of contention between Washington and Beijing. “There is rightful alarm regarding China’s historic military buildup and the expansion of its military activities in the region and beyond,” Hegseth said. The Data Analysis The US and Israel launched their war on Iran in late February, rattling global markets, triggering an energy crisis and causing shortages of critical US munitions, including Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) interceptors, which cost about $12m each. In a report published on Wednesday, the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) said it would take two years — and in some cases more than three — to replenish four critical munitions used heavily during the war. The Impact Analysis Hegseth used his speech to call on US allies in the region to increase defence spending in an attempt to offset China’s growing power. “A Pacific dominated by any hegemon would unravel the regional balance of power,” Hegseth said. “No state, including China, can impose its hegemony and hold the security or prosperity of our nation and our allies in question.” The Prediction Hegseth also discussed Iran — a key issue for much of the world as well as the US. Tehran and Washington are believed to be close to signing a memorandum of understanding to bring the war to a permanent end. Hegseth, who has played a key role in the US-Israeli war on Iran as defence secretary, warned that the US would resume attacks on Iran if a satisfactory deal isn’t reached.

The Environmental Advocate's New MissionEnvironmental activist Erin Brockovich, famous for her legal battle against Pacific Gas & Electric that was dramatized in a film starring Julia Roberts, has turned her attention to data center transparency. Brockovich has launched a new initiative aimed at bringing more openness to data center construction and their impact on surrounding communities.Crowdsourced Data Center Mapping ProjectBrockovich recently unveiled a website featuring a map of data centers across the United States. The map is described as "a work in progress" that includes data centers reported by members of the surrounding community. This grassroots approach allows local residents to document and share information about data center projects in their areas.Community Concerns and Transparency IssuesIn a Substack post, Brockovich revealed that after calling for reports of data center-related issues in April, she received nearly 4,000 submissions in the first month alone. The single most common concern across these submissions was not noise, water usage, or rising utility bills, but rather transparency."The one word that keeps appearing in submission after submission: transparency," Brockovich wrote.Industry Impact and Community RelationsBrockovich clarified that she is not "making a blanket argument against data centers" or AI technology. Instead, her initiative targets specific problematic practices: projects announced after permits are already secured, developers who don't return calls, and local officials who sign non-disclosure agreements before their neighbors even know a project is being considered.This pattern of limited community engagement has created significant friction between data center developers and local residents in many areas where these facilities are being constructed.Future of Data Center Development and Community RelationsBrockovich's initiative comes at a time when data center construction is accelerating to meet growing demand for cloud computing and AI services. Her crowdsourced mapping project may pressure both developers and local governments to adopt more transparent practices in the planning and approval of these facilities.The environmental activist's involvement suggests that community opposition to data centers, particularly when perceived as lacking transparency, could become a significant factor in the siting and approval of future projects.

The LeadJapanese Defence Minister Shinjiro Koizumi has dismissed claims that Tokyo is pursuing “new militarism” and accused China of rapidly expanding its military with limited transparency. Koizumi's Address at Shangri-La DialogueKoizumi made these statements on Sunday at the Shangri-La Dialogue in Singapore, where he emphasized that China's external approach and military activities are matters of serious concern for Japan and the international community. He highlighted China's increasing defence spending and questioned why Japan is labelled 'new militarism' despite having neither nuclear weapons nor strategic bombers. The Data Analysis China continues to increase its defence spending at a high level. Japan has been reshaping its own defence policy, including scrapping a ban on lethal weapons exports. The Impact AnalysisKoizumi stressed Japan's commitment to international law and the United Nations Charter, as well as its efforts to uphold a “free and open international order.” He also emphasized the importance of transparency and dialogue, lamenting that China had not sent its defence minister to the conference. The PredictionKoizumi reaffirmed Japan’s commitment to dialogue with China and other regional players to foster stability. He also praised US Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth for his commitment to the Asia Pacific and stressed the continued need for strong coalitions globally, stating, “Division weakens deterrence. Unity strengthens deterrence.”

Lead: A Bittersweet Triumph in the Club's Final MatchIn what became a farewell showcase, Moana Pasifika defeated the finals‑bound ACT Brumbies 21‑19 at GIO Stadium, snapping a 12‑game losing run while the franchise was placed into liquidation.Moana Pasifika's Final Victory Over the BrumbiesThe under‑strength side rallied after Faleto'i Peni received a second yellow card and was sent off. Substitute Melani Matavao scored the decisive try in the 73rd minute, sealing the win and ending a potential record‑equalling 13th loss.Numbers That Matter: Scores, Records and Ladder ImpactFinal score: Moana Pasifika 21, ACT Brumbies 19Moana Pasifika record: 2‑12 (avoided a 13th loss)Brumbies record: 7‑7, dropping from a potential fourth‑place finish to sixth on the ladderSuper Rugby Pacific will shrink to 10 teams in 2027 if no rescue materialisesWhy This Matters: The End of a Pacific‑Focused FranchiseThe liquidation of a club introduced in 2022 removes a key platform for Pacific‑heritage players and threatens the growth of rugby union in the region. With the competition set to lose a team, the Pacific islands lose a vital pathway to elite professional rugby, potentially accelerating talent migration to the NRL.Looking Ahead: What Comes Next for Pacific Rugby?Unless a last‑minute investor rescues the franchise, the void left by Moana Pasifika could see a reshaped Super Rugby schedule and increased pressure on remaining Pacific‑based teams. Stakeholders are likely to explore alternative funding models or new expansion bids to preserve the Pacific rugby footprint.

The United States and India are at a pivotal moment in their economic partnership, as both nations weigh the benefits of deeper trade cooperation against the backdrop of a rising China. Recent diplomatic engagements suggest a willingness to reset the relationship, but lingering policy differences and geopolitical concerns pose significant challenges.US‑India Trade Relations at a CrossroadsNegotiations have focused on reducing tariffs, expanding market access for technology and agricultural products, and aligning regulatory standards. Both sides cite the need for a more resilient supply chain that can counterbalance Chinese dominance in key sectors.Economic Stakes and Recent Trade DataBilaterally, trade has shown steady growth over the past five years, with both countries seeking to double the value of exchanged goods by the end of the decade.U.S. firms are increasingly looking to India for manufacturing and software services, while Indian exporters aim to capture a larger share of the U.S. consumer market.Geopolitical Implications of a Renewed PartnershipThe prospect of a stronger US‑India trade bond is intertwined with strategic concerns about China’s expanding influence in the Indo‑Pacific. Both Washington and New Delhi view economic cooperation as a tool to reinforce shared security objectives and to present a united front in regional forums.Challenges Hindering Full ReconciliationDifferences over intellectual property protections and data localization requirements.Domestic political pressures in both countries that caution against rapid liberalization.Ongoing disputes related to market access for certain sectors, such as pharmaceuticals and renewable energy.Future Outlook: Paths to a Sustainable PartnershipAnalysts suggest that incremental agreements—starting with sector‑specific pacts—could pave the way for a broader trade framework. Continued high‑level dialogues and joint initiatives on technology standards are likely to shape the trajectory of US‑India economic ties in the coming years.

The LeadThe Guatemalan government has firmly denied reports that it agreed to permit United States military strikes against drug traffickers within its borders, while simultaneously confirming its request for security cooperation with Washington. This clarification comes amid growing concerns about US military operations in Latin America and the complex relationship between regional governments and Washington's anti-drug policies.The Government's Position on Military Operations"There is no agreement authorising foreign military operations by any country within national territory," the government of President Bernardo Arevalo stated in a formal release on Thursday. This denial directly responds to a New York Times report citing unnamed sources who claimed Arevalo had agreed to US military action in Guatemala.Accompanying the government statement was a note from a letter by Guatemala's Defense Minister Henry Saenz to his US counterpart Pete Hegseth, dated May 28. The letter reveals that Guatemala "desires to lead, with US assistance, active military operations" against drug groups identified as "designated terrorist organisations" (DTOs) by Washington."In accordance with existing bilateral agreements and arrangements, such combined Guatemala-led operations would further bilateral interests in defeating DTOs and advancing regional and hemispheric security," Saenz wrote in the document.The Regional Context of US Anti-Drug OperationsThe Guatemalan clarification emerges against a backdrop of increasingly assertive US anti-drug policies in Latin America. Under President Donald Trump, the United States has demonstrated a willingness to use military force in the region, including conducting air strikes against alleged drug boats in the Caribbean Sea and Pacific Ocean.These operations have resulted in at least 194 deaths and drawn criticism from rights advocates who characterize them as extrajudicial killings. The US has also taken more direct action, including the abduction of Venezuela's President Nicolas Maduro in January, whom it accused of drug trafficking.Following Maduro's removal, his vice president Delcy Rodriguez has improved relations with Washington and allowed greater foreign involvement in Venezuela's oil sector, though the US continues to exert control over the country's oil exports.The Impact on US-Latin America RelationsMany countries in Central and South America have struggled to contain gang violence related to the drug trade, creating a complex security landscape. In January, Guatemala's Arevalo declared a 30-day state of emergency after suspected gang members killed at least 10 police officers, highlighting the severity of the security challenges.Latin American leaders have consistently demonstrated a nuanced approach to US involvement - wary of direct military intervention but open to intelligence sharing and security cooperation. This delicate balance reflects both the genuine security needs of these nations and the historical sensitivities surrounding US intervention in the region.President Arevalo, elected in 2023 on an anticorruption platform, appears to be navigating this complex terrain carefully, seeking assistance while maintaining sovereignty over military operations within Guatemala.Future Outlook for Regional Security CooperationThe situation in Guatemala suggests a likely continuation of this pattern of conditional cooperation. Regional governments will likely continue to seek US assistance in combating drug trafficking and organized crime while resisting direct military operations on their soil.The coming months may see increased diplomatic efforts to define the boundaries of security cooperation, with Guatemala potentially serving as a model for other nations seeking to balance security needs with sovereignty concerns.As the US continues its anti-drug operations in Latin America, the region's response will likely shape the future of hemispheric security policies and determine whether cooperation can be achieved without compromising national sovereignty.

The Erosion of the Quad's Cohesion The Quadrilateral Security Dialogue alliance, or Quad, has been struggling to define its purpose in recent months. The grouping, which consists of India, Japan, Australia, and the US, was formed to counterbalance China's rise in the Asia Pacific region. However, under US President Donald Trump's second term, the coalition has sputtered, say analysts, with Washington pivoting away from the region as its top priority back to the Western Hemisphere and the Middle East. Uneven Alignment and Structural Problems The Quad's cohesion has waxed and waned amid shifting US priorities. A planned leader-level Quad meeting in New Delhi last year failed to materialise amid diplomatic tensions and competing priorities. The grouping has pursued low-risk initiatives such as vaccines, critical technologies, supply chains, and maritime domain awareness, but these are seen as second-order achievements. As US Forces Leave Asia, Fears Grow Within the Quad The redeployment of US forces and warships from the Asia Pacific to the Middle East has further deepened unease within the bloc. When Washington moved troops from Japan to the Middle East, Tokyo saw it as a removal of a direct check on Chinese power at a time when Beijing is conducting large-scale military exercises around Taiwan. Anxiety Over Abandonment Fuels Deeper Asia Pacific Hedging For Japan, the optics of the Trump-Xi summit were alarming. Tokyo has responded by doubling down on ramping up its own security, with a defence budget up 9.4 percent for fiscal 2026, hitting 2 percent of GDP two years ahead of schedule. Beijing sees the same hedging dynamic playing out across other Quad members, with India, Australia, and Japan each recalculating their position.