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The Critical Juncture in Somalia's State-Building ProcessThe assertion that Somalia requires an immediate political settlement underscores a critical reality for the Horn of Africa. Without a foundational agreement among its diverse political entities, the nation risks sliding back into systemic fragmentation. A comprehensive political settlement is not merely a diplomatic goal; it is a vital prerequisite for long-term stability, economic recovery, and national survival.The Core Drivers of Political InstabilityAt the heart of Somalia's political deadlock is the ongoing tension between the Federal Government of Somalia and its regional member states. Disagreements over resource allocation, constitutional reforms, and the division of power have repeatedly derailed progress. Key friction points include:Electoral Systems: Deep-rooted disputes over the transition from clan-based indirect voting models to a universal suffrage system.Resource Sharing: Contentious debates over the centralized control of ports, airports, and future natural resource revenues.Security Architecture: The lack of a unified command structure and integration of regional and national security forces.The Human and Economic Cost of StalemateThe absence of a robust political settlement carries severe socioeconomic consequences. Prolonged political uncertainty hampers foreign direct investment, disrupts critical humanitarian aid delivery, and exacerbates poverty levels. Furthermore, a divided political landscape severely weakens the state's capacity to combat the ongoing insurgency by Al-Shabaab, allowing militant groups to exploit security vacuums and capitalize on public grievances against the political elite.Regional Security and Geopolitical RamificationsSomalia's political trajectory has profound implications far beyond its borders. A collapse of governance in Mogadishu threatens to trigger mass displacement and destabilize neighboring countries within the Horn of Africa. Additionally, internal fragmentation invites greater external interference from regional and international actors, complicating the geopolitical landscape and potentially turning Somalia into a theater for proxy conflicts.Navigating the Path to Sustainable GovernanceLooking ahead, the window for securing a viable political settlement is rapidly closing. The federal government and regional leaders must prioritize inclusive dialogue over unilateral action. Implementing a transparent, mutually agreed-upon constitutional framework and electoral model is the only sustainable path forward. If a broad political consensus is not reached promptly, the international community's confidence in Somalia's state-building project will inevitably wane, leaving the nation vulnerable to renewed conflict.

A Critical Portrait of George MichaelIn 1998, George Michael was arrested for public lewdness in an LA lavatory, an incident that finally led the singer to publicly come out. The following day, Sathnam Sanghera found himself unable to leave his room at university: the doorway had been mockingly plastered with tabloid newspaper headlines – "ZIP ME UP BEFORE YOU GO-GO!" – by fellow students aware of his longstanding fandom. As a writer, Sanghera is best known for a series of award-winning books on the British empire, which he calls his "specialist subject". Judging by Tonight the Music Seems So Loud – not a biography so much as a miscellany, a set of themed essays that tend to digress in all kinds of intriguing directions – the life and work of one Georgios Panayiotou runs imperialism and its legacy a very close second.The Complex Legacy of a Pop IconIt is an unashamedly partisan book, although not an uncritical one. Sanghera is as alive to Michael's personal and professional failings (whether the naffness of some of his early work as one half of Wham! or his high-handed treatment of the duo's other half, Andrew Ridgeley) as he is in love with his artistic triumphs. These, of course, range from Careless Whisper and Wham!'s annually inescapable Last Christmas to the 1996 solo masterpiece Older, a peculiar and peculiarly effective cocktail of raw grief at the Aids-related death of his lover Anselmo Feleppa and unrepentant horniness.The Evolution of Critical ReceptionSanghera's love for his subject is evidently sharpened by the opprobrium of others. Indeed if the book has a flaw, it's that the author is old enough to remember an era when George Michael was deemed insufferably uncool by some arbiters of taste (incredibly, when Wham! performed at a 1984 benefit show for striking miners, the only mainstream pop act to show support for the cause, they were received stone-faced by the audience and savaged by the music press for their trouble), and thus has a tendency to underestimate how much both he and his music have been critically re-evaluated in the 21st century.The Artistic Journey of George MichaelHe says one of the spurs to write the book was his belief that "most truly popular music is not generally deemed worthy of serious analysis and George Michael's music most certainly is not". That might have been true once, but certainly not of late: when he died, this newspaper alone ran six features by critics analysing different aspects of his music. "He sang so exquisitely about the marrow of life, about the vital, corporeal things", wrote one, which definitely doesn't amount to taking George Michael insufficiently seriously.double quotation markEven as he skinned up in front of journalists and discussed his drug use and sex life, he was concealing the extent of the addictions that eventually killed himFamily Background and Cultural IdentitySanghera is very good on the climate of homophobia in the 80s, which might have given any gay public figure serious qualms about coming out, and fascinating on Michael's family background: how growing up embedded in north London's Greek Cypriot community impacted on everything from Wham!'s image – not camp, Sanghera suggests, but "the vision of two children of immigrants imagining a kind of glamour they had not actually experienced before" – to his work ethic and control freakery. His dad made good in England by working exceptionally hard, running such a tight ship at his restaurant that he summarily fired his only son for messing up the drinks orders. The fact that the same son went on to hire 12 different saxophonists before finding one that could play the solo on Careless Whisper to his satisfaction doesn't come as a huge surprise.The Perfectionist and Contradictory ArtistThis my-way-or-the-highway perfectionism could yield hugely impressive results – Careless Whisper's sax hook may well be the most famous in pop history – but it could equally lead to intransigence and self-sabotage. Michael worked incredibly hard to transform himself from a member of a teen pop band into a more adult-facing solo artist, but having sold a staggering 25m copies of his 1987 solo debut Faith, he refused to promote its follow-up Listen Without Prejudice Vol. 1, or even make videos for its singles: a better album than its predecessor, it achieved only a fraction of its sales as a result. It was evidence of a deeply contradictory nature that occasionally has Sanghera throwing up his hands in bewilderment.The Public and Private Faces of George MichaelMichael was a polymath, keen to be duly credited as the sole singer, writer, producer and musician on a succession of tracks, but also had a weird habit of talking down his abilities, claiming he couldn't play instruments he was perfectly capable of playing. He was a Stakhanovite who increasingly worked at an agonisingly glacial pace, endlessly fussing over details, a state of affairs not much helped by his gargantuan appetite for marijuana: coupled with bouts of writers' block, it meant he released only six albums of original material in a career that lasted 34 years. He was a Labour voter, booster of the NHS and famously generous philanthropist who also engaged in tax avoidance. After being publicly outed, he became a notoriously frank interviewee ("as if nothing can embarrass him anymore" the Guardian's Simon Hattenstone suggested when he met him in 2009). But even as he skinned up in front of journalists and freely discussed his drug use and sex life, he was concealing the extent of the addictions that eventually killed him.The Decline and Final YearsMichael emerges as a messy, unpredictable but ultimately hugely likable figure, which makes the essay about his demise particularly tough reading. Listed starkly on the page, the facts of his final 10 years make it obvious that he was a deeply unwell man whose life had spun wildly out of control: drug busts, medical emergencies, visits to rehab, rumours of breakdowns and suicide bids and seven incidents in which he either crashed his car or was found comatose at the wheel.The Professional Mask of Personal StruggleThat it somehow didn't appear obvious at the time – that his death at 53 felt like a shock rather than a grim inevitability – seems remarkable, but as Sanghera points out, Michael's professionalism did a lot to paper over the cracks. He was always available to the media and always smart, funny and self-effacing: to use a modern turn of phrase, he controlled the narrative. He was punctilious about his appearance – the star certainly never looked like an ailing drug addict – and unfailingly superb onstage.The Hidden Realities Behind the FameBehind the scenes, it was a different story. He struggled to make new music: at one juncture he booked six months of recording sessions but never turned up to the studio once. His once-acute commercial instincts seemed to desert him: even Sanghera can't muster much enthusiasm for the handful of still-unreleased songs he completed in his final years. He cut off close friends and family who tried to intervene. No one who knew him seems to have been particularly surprised by his death: the list of adjectives used to describe him on his official website now includes not just "icon" "legend" "soul singer" and "philanthropist" but "addict" "repeat offender" and "depressive".An Imagined Alternative LegacyAs the book draws to a close, Sanghera offers a heartbreaking alternative history. He imagines Michael conquering his addictions, coming to a complete accommodation with his musical past (to the end of his life, he was dismissive of Wham!, describing their oeuvre as an exercise in "ignoring my own intelligence" and declining to play most of their hits live) and headlining Glastonbury, "getting pleasure from the audience reaction to Club Tropicana".The Enduring Power of George Michael's MusicIt's affecting because you can imagine it so vividly: the endless succession of hits that anyone with even a passing interest in pop music knows, the pandemonium in the crowd when he breaks out Careless Whisper, the encore of Freedom '90. You don't have to be a fan on Sanghera's level to understand what a triumph it would have been. Tonight the Music Seems So Loud: The Meaning of George Michael by Sathnam Sanghera is published by Picador (£22). To support the Guardian, buy a copy at guardianbookshop.com. Delivery charges may apply.

Executive Summary: A Climate Alarm Bell RingsThe UN has issued a stark warning that El Niño is likely to re‑emerge this year, bringing a wave of super‑charged weather extremes. With an 80% probability of formation before September and a 90% chance of lasting until November, the pattern threatens to amplify global warming, disrupt food supplies and intensify floods and droughts.UN and WMO Forecast an Imminent El Niño DevelopmentThe World Meteorological Organization (WMO) released its latest outlook on Tuesday, noting that most climate models project the return of the cyclical phenomenon at “at least moderate” strength, with some indicating a potentially strong event. Scientists caution it could become the strongest El Niño of the 21st century.Formation window: before September 2026Persistence window: through November 2026Strength: moderate to strong, possibly the strongest this centuryKey Numbers: Probabilities, Temperatures and Regional ImpactsThe WMO’s quantitative outlook highlights:80% chance of El Niño onset before September90% chance it will continue into NovemberUnusually high temperatures forecast for nearly all regions over the next three monthsIncreased likelihood of extreme rain in South America, the southern US, the Horn of Africa and Central AsiaDrier conditions expected in Central America, the Caribbean, Australia, Indonesia and parts of South AsiaWhy This Matters: Global Climate, Food Security and Economic RisksEl Niño acts as a “fuel‑on‑the‑fire” for a warming planet, according to António Guterres, UN Secretary‑General. The pattern can:Push global temperatures higher, contributing to record‑breaking heat years (2024 already set new highs)Exacerbate droughts that strain water supplies and agricultural yieldsTrigger severe flooding and landslides, as seen in Tanzania’s April 2024 rainsInfluence hurricane formation—enhancing storms in the central/eastern Pacific while suppressing them in the AtlanticExperts like Gareth Redmond‑King of the Energy & Climate Intelligence Unit warn that the looming El Niño could jeopardise already fragile food systems, especially as fertilizer supplies are constrained by geopolitical conflicts.Looking Ahead: 2027 and the Next Decade of Climate RiskThe UN stresses that the most severe impacts may materialise in 2027, when El Niño could drive the hottest year on record. Preparing now means:Accelerating the transition away from fossil fuelsScaling renewable‑energy deploymentStrengthening early‑warning systems for vulnerable communitiesImplementing climate‑resilient agricultural practicesFailure to act could lock in a trajectory of escalating heat, water scarcity and food insecurity for the coming decade.

Ethiopians started voting on 1 June 2026 in parliamentary and regional elections, and analysts expect Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s Prosperity Party to dominate the results despite significant security challenges across the country.Voting Begins Amid Exclusion of Tigray and Regional ConflictMore than 50 million citizens are registered to vote, but the National Election Board of Ethiopia (NEBE) has suspended polling in the northern Tigray region, citing “unfavourable conditions” after the 2020‑2022 civil war. In Oromia, clashes with the Oromo Liberation Army have caused hundreds of deaths, while in Amhara the Fano armed group has disrupted voting in at least eight of the region’s 138 constituencies.Numbers Shaping the Election: Voter Registration, Seats, and Projected Growth50 million registered voters on election day.Prosperity Party previously won 410 of 484 parliamentary seats in the 2021 election.Ethiopia’s population stands at roughly 135 million, with nearly half under the age of 18.Official forecasts project national economic growth to exceed 10 percent in 2026, one of the fastest rates on the continent.Implications for Ethiopia’s Political Stability and Regional RelationsThe opposition alleges systematic suppression, including arrests of party leaders and legal obstacles to campaigning, claims the government denies. Human‑rights groups warn that recent crackdowns on journalists and civil‑society actors could reverse reforms introduced after 2018. Meanwhile, renewed rhetoric about Ethiopia’s right to sea access has strained ties with Eritrea, reviving old animosities.What the June 11 Results Could Mean for Ethiopia’s FutureIf the Prosperity Party secures a landslide, it will consolidate Abiy Ahmed’s grip on power and enable continuation of his economic agenda. However, persistent regional insurgencies and a fragmented opposition could limit the government’s ability to deliver on promised growth and could reignite internal conflicts, influencing both domestic stability and Ethiopia’s role in the Horn of Africa.

The Arsenal Bus Parade Incident About 75 people had to be rescued from height and 16 people were arrested during Arsenal’s victory bus parade on Sunday, emergency services said. Details of the Incidents The Metropolitan police said 16 arrests had been made in the area around the parade as of 9pm on Sunday. The force said arrests had been made on charges including drunk and disorderly behaviour, drug offences, sexual assault, and assaulting emergency workers. Officers were called to the scene of a stabbing on Hornsey Road just after 8.30pm and responded with paramedics and the air ambulance. Rescue and Fire Response The London fire brigade (LFB) said it rescued “approximately 75 people” from incidents at height during the event and encouraged fans to refrain from climbing on to rooftops. It also said they attended a fire at a hotel, believed to have been caused by a stray flare. Police Response and Safety Measures Officers have been granted additional stop and search powers responding to incidents in north London around the Arsenal parade. The force said on X that a “Section 60” of the Criminal Justice and Public Order Act 1994 had been authorised overnight for police in north London. Aftermath and Warnings The LFB assistant commissioner Pat Goulbourne said: “Fortunately, the fire caused only a small amount of damage to the exterior of the building. Pyrotechnics are also believed to have triggered the fire alarms at several other locations in the area. As supporters head home, we would urge them to avoid using pyrotechnics, particularly at stations, and to keep them away from buildings and other flammable materials.”

The Discovery of Harpo's Voice For the first time, Harpo Marx, the pantomime star of the Marx Brothers, has been heard speaking. A special recording, unearthed from 1964, reveals Harpo's soft-spoken voice and wit, offering a new side to his character. Harpo's History as a Mute Clown Born Adolph Marx in 1888, Harpo was known for his childlike and mischievous persona, often communicating through his harp and taxi horn. He started performing with his brothers in 1908 and became a mute clown in 1915 due to nerves about speaking on stage. The 1964 Recording The recording, made during a fundraiser for the Riverside Symphony Orchestra in southern California, features Harpo narrating Prokofiev's Peter and the Wolf and delivering a 'Red's Speech.' Historian Robert Bader, author of Four of the Three Musketeers: The Marx Brothers on Stage, says Harpo had a lovely voice and should have spoken more often. The Significance of the Recording Harpo's son, Bill Marx, describes the recording as 'a joy to listen to … a slice of comedic and film and stage history that should endure.' The discovery of these tapes is special because it was Harpo's final public performance, and he died six months later. The Legacy of Harpo Marx The recording, available on Ramseur Records, offers longtime Marx Brothers fans a new side of Harpo, showcasing his wit and soft-spoken voice. As Bader says, 'The people who were longtime Marx Brothers fans are going to see a side of him that they just weren’t aware of.'

Why Ethiopia’s June Vote Is a Turning PointThe upcoming national election, slated for June 2026, marks the first scheduled poll since the 2018 political reforms and the subsequent postponement of the 2020 vote. Observers see it as a litmus test for the durability of the reform agenda and the country’s ability to manage deep‑seated ethnic and security challenges.Key Political Players and the Electoral CalendarThe contest pits incumbent Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed and his Prosperity Party against a fragmented opposition that includes the Ethiopian Citizens for Social Justice (ECSJ) and regional parties representing the Oromo and Tigray regions. The electoral timeline, set by the National Election Board, includes voter registration deadlines in April 2026 and a campaign period that officially opens in May 2026.Economic and Demographic Indicators Shaping Voter SentimentInflation has hovered above 30% for the past year, eroding real wages.Unemployment among youth remains above 20%, fueling discontent.Population growth of roughly 2.5% annually adds pressure on public services.These macro‑economic pressures intersect with regional grievances, influencing how different constituencies view the ruling party’s performance.Potential Ripple Effects Across the Horn of AfricaA credible election could bolster Ethiopia’s role as a stabilising force in the Horn, encouraging investment and cooperation on trans‑border water projects. Conversely, a contested result risks reigniting cross‑border tensions, especially with neighboring Sudan and South Sudan, where refugee flows and trade links are already sensitive to Ethiopian domestic stability.Scenarios to Watch as the Ballot ApproachesScenario A – Peaceful Transfer: International observers certify the vote, opposition gains parliamentary seats, and reforms accelerate.Scenario B – Disputed Outcome: Allegations of fraud trigger protests, security forces intervene, and the political crisis deepens.Scenario C – Postponement or Cancellation: Renewed security concerns lead to another delay, further eroding public trust.Each pathway carries distinct implications for Ethiopia’s democratic trajectory and for regional geopolitics.

The Lead-Up to Ethiopia's Elections Ethiopia will head to the polls on June 1 for its first nationwide elections since the formal end of the Tigray war, a devastating two-year conflict from 2020 to 2022 that concluded with a peace agreement between the Ethiopian federal government and the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF). Ethiopia at a Glance Ethiopia is a landlocked country in the Horn of Africa, covering an area of 1,104,300sq km (426,400sq miles) and bordered by Eritrea, Sudan, South Sudan, Kenya, Somalia and Djibouti. The country has sustained notable economic growth over the past two decades, with the IMF projecting a 9.2 percent expansion in 2026, the highest on the continent. Yet persistent challenges remain, including high inflation (11.7 percent as of April 2026), foreign exchange shortages, and the costly burden of post-war reconstruction. Ethiopia's Ethnic Groups The East African country is one of the most ethnically diverse countries in the world, with more than 80 distinct groups. The Oromo are the largest, making up about 35 percent of the population, concentrated largely in the south and central regions. The Amhara are the second-largest, about 24 percent, and have historically been the politically dominant group. Other significant groups include the Somali (7 percent), in the east; the Tigrayan (6 percent), concentrated in the northern Tigray region; and the Sidama (4 percent), in the southern highlands. Armed Violence Across the Country Ethiopia has been in near-continuous conflict since 2020, across several fronts: Tigray (2020-22): Ethiopian forces (ENDF) and their allies, including Eritrean forces, fought the Tigray defence forces (TDF). Oromia (2019-present): Conflict between Oromia regional forces, the ENDF, and the Oromo Liberation Army (OLA) has killed thousands of civilians. Amhara (2023-present): Amhara militias fought alongside federal troops in the Tigray war, but that alliance collapsed when the federal government reached a peace deal with the TPLF. According to Armed Conflict Location & Event Data (ACLED), an independent conflict monitor, between January 1, 2022 and May 15, 2026, more than 7,400 attacks have been recorded across the country.

The Remix of a Classic Words, words, words. Can Hamlet retain its tragic force without using most of them? This hour-long dance-theatre remix by the late South African choreographer Dada Masilo preserves few speeches and its opening is not auspicious, crashing straight into “To be, or not to be” shorn of context and characterisation. The Dance of Ophelia and Hamlet There follows, as is customary, a meeting between the prince and Ophelia, but Masilo replaces the usual cruel encounter with stolen moments amid a ceremony, as if they are meeting anew like Romeo and Juliet at the Capulet ball. Matching each other’s movements, amid clapped hands, thrusting shoulders and rippling chests, they grow closer with a hint of tango footwork. From this flashback, Masilo practically fast-forwards their choreography with a sense of doom. The Emotional Depth of Gertrude Letting the pair share a tender duet reinforces their romance but also heightens the violence of the nunnery scene where they are traditionally first seen together. Masilo adds another new scene to show Gertrude’s despair upon receiving news of Old Hamlet’s death rather than introducing her as sanguinely remarried to his brother. We see her seek strength amid grief, supported by courtiers whose pulsing, grounded movement is a message of persistence. This is dancing felt in the gut. The Impact of Movement and Music Wooed offstage, Gertrude returns for a convivial ceremony where a young couple are ticked off for getting too raunchy on the dancefloor. Movement styles across generations and cultures are blended by Masilo, who drew attention for remoulding ballet’s classics. Her ensemble is often an industrious force, driven by relentless percussion, as each scene breaks like a wave against Thuthuka Sibisi’s compositions. The Tragic Conclusion The latter stages lose focus but the choreography’s omnipresent sense of returning to the earth foreshadows a climax where all are struck down by the kingdom’s collective sickness, stressed by the lighting of Suzette le Sueur (who also provides some of the elegant costumes). It’s a collection of often piercing scenes that never quite establish full collective power – a tragedy out of joint. At Sadler’s Wells, London, until 26 May