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BP has confirmed that Dame Amanda Blanc, its senior independent director and chief executive of Aviva, will again head the search for a new chair after the abrupt removal of Albert Manifold.BP Re‑instates Amanda Blanc to Steer Chair SearchThe BP interim chair, Ian Tyler, issued a statement saying the board has formally requested Blanc to lead the next chair‑search process. Blanc previously oversaw the 2025 search that resulted in Manifold’s appointment in July. The board emphasizes that the upcoming process will be “rigorous” and involve the entire board, with the final decision reflecting a collective view.Investor Pushback and Shareholder Vote FiguresLarge institutional investors have publicly questioned whether Blanc, who also runs insurer Aviva, is the right person to guide the search.During Manifold’s first annual meeting, 18% of votes were cast against his re‑election after he blocked a climate‑focused resolution from the shareholder group Follow This.Manifold’s removal came after just eight months in the role, intensifying concerns about board stability.Governance Turmoil Signals Deeper Boardroom InstabilityThe ousting of Manifold follows a recent cascade of leadership changes at BP: former chair Albert Manifold removed chief executive Murray Auchincloss after less than two years, and Meg O’Neill was hired from ExxonMobil to become CEO in December, officially starting in April. Earlier, former chair Bernard Looney was forced out in September 2023 over undisclosed relationships. This pattern underscores mounting governance challenges and heightened scrutiny from shareholders.What the Next Chair Search Could Mean for BP’s Strategic DirectionAnalysts note that the new chair will inherit a company pivoting back toward fossil‑fuel extraction while scaling back renewable‑energy investments. The choice of chair could therefore influence whether BP accelerates its “culture shock” strategy or seeks a more balanced energy transition. With investor confidence at stake, the board’s ability to appoint a figure who can restore stability and align with long‑term strategic goals will be critical in the months ahead.

Executive Summary: A Climate Alarm Bell RingsThe UN has issued a stark warning that El Niño is likely to re‑emerge this year, bringing a wave of super‑charged weather extremes. With an 80% probability of formation before September and a 90% chance of lasting until November, the pattern threatens to amplify global warming, disrupt food supplies and intensify floods and droughts.UN and WMO Forecast an Imminent El Niño DevelopmentThe World Meteorological Organization (WMO) released its latest outlook on Tuesday, noting that most climate models project the return of the cyclical phenomenon at “at least moderate” strength, with some indicating a potentially strong event. Scientists caution it could become the strongest El Niño of the 21st century.Formation window: before September 2026Persistence window: through November 2026Strength: moderate to strong, possibly the strongest this centuryKey Numbers: Probabilities, Temperatures and Regional ImpactsThe WMO’s quantitative outlook highlights:80% chance of El Niño onset before September90% chance it will continue into NovemberUnusually high temperatures forecast for nearly all regions over the next three monthsIncreased likelihood of extreme rain in South America, the southern US, the Horn of Africa and Central AsiaDrier conditions expected in Central America, the Caribbean, Australia, Indonesia and parts of South AsiaWhy This Matters: Global Climate, Food Security and Economic RisksEl Niño acts as a “fuel‑on‑the‑fire” for a warming planet, according to António Guterres, UN Secretary‑General. The pattern can:Push global temperatures higher, contributing to record‑breaking heat years (2024 already set new highs)Exacerbate droughts that strain water supplies and agricultural yieldsTrigger severe flooding and landslides, as seen in Tanzania’s April 2024 rainsInfluence hurricane formation—enhancing storms in the central/eastern Pacific while suppressing them in the AtlanticExperts like Gareth Redmond‑King of the Energy & Climate Intelligence Unit warn that the looming El Niño could jeopardise already fragile food systems, especially as fertilizer supplies are constrained by geopolitical conflicts.Looking Ahead: 2027 and the Next Decade of Climate RiskThe UN stresses that the most severe impacts may materialise in 2027, when El Niño could drive the hottest year on record. Preparing now means:Accelerating the transition away from fossil fuelsScaling renewable‑energy deploymentStrengthening early‑warning systems for vulnerable communitiesImplementing climate‑resilient agricultural practicesFailure to act could lock in a trajectory of escalating heat, water scarcity and food insecurity for the coming decade.

Lead: A Milestone Reflection on Climate ActionIn its 250th edition, the Guardian's Down to Earth newsletter pauses to assess how the world's fight against climate change has unfolded since the high‑water mark of Cop26 in Glasgow, 2021.Looking Back: Cop26’s Promise and the Five‑Year Journey2021‑2022: Nations pledged to limit warming to 1.5°C, set net‑zero targets and pledged to phase out coal.2022‑2023: The Russian invasion of Ukraine and the Iran‑oil conflict drove crude prices above $100 /barrel, exposing fossil‑fuel vulnerabilities.2024‑2025: Populist governments rolled back environmental regulations, while renewable technology became cheaper and more widespread.Numbers That Matter: Public Awareness and Emissions GapsThe “Covering Climate Now” survey found that 80‑89 % of the global public recognise the climate threat and demand government action.Current national plans still point to a projected warming of about 2.8 °C, well above the agreed target.Renewable energy costs have fallen by roughly 70 % since 2020, making clean power “cheap, widely available and overwhelmingly popular.”Why the Momentum Slowed: Geopolitics, Economics and PopulismWar‑driven spikes in oil prices, the re‑election of climate‑skeptical leaders and the rise of populist rhetoric have eroded the optimism that surrounded Cop26, pushing many countries to backtrack on commitments.What Lies Ahead: Hopeful Trends and Persistent ChallengesDespite setbacks, advances in clean‑tech, growing public pressure and emerging green‑economy initiatives suggest a pathway forward, but the intertwined climate‑biodiversity‑economy crises demand coordinated global action.

Scientists have unveiled a new giant sauropod from Thailand, naming it Nagatitan chaiyaphumensis. The discovery, detailed in Scientific Reports, positions the species as the largest known dinosaur from Southeast Asia and offers fresh clues about the region’s prehistoric environment.Discovery of Nagatitan chaiyaphumensis in Northeast ThailandThe fossil remains were first spotted by local residents a decade ago in the Chaiyaphum province, but systematic excavation only concluded in 2024. The specimen, recovered from one of the youngest Thai rock formations, displayed unique skeletal features that warranted classification as a new species within the sauropod lineage.Size and Weight Estimates Put Nagatitan Among the Largest SauropodsMeasurements indicate the herbivore stretched 27 metres (89 feet) long and weighed about 27 tonnes, comparable to the mass of nine adult elephants. Researchers note it likely outweighed the famous Diplodocus cast “Dippy” at the Natural History Museum by at least 10 tonnes. The animal is dated to have roamed the area between 100 and 120 million years ago, during the mid‑Cretaceous.Implications for Southeast Asian Paleontology and Regional HeritageAs the biggest dinosaur ever found in Southeast Asia, Nagatitan expands the known geographic range of late‑surviving sauropods, which were thought to have largely disappeared from the region when it became a shallow sea in the Cretaceous. The find underscores Thailand’s growing importance as a paleontological hotspot and adds to the modest list of 14 named Thai dinosaurs.Future Research Directions and Tourist OpportunitiesLead author Thitiwoot Sethapanichsakul—a University College London PhD student—suggests further fieldwork could clarify the dinosaur’s feeding habits, which likely involved bulk browsing of conifers and seed ferns. A life‑size reconstruction now stands at Bangkok’s Thainosaur Museum, hinting at increased scientific tourism and educational outreach in the region.

The Call for Tax Cuts Wes Streeting has called for national insurance tax cuts for businesses, and for the government to drill for oil and gas in the North Sea. The former health secretary and Labour leadership candidate told the Sunday Times there should be a “targeted reduction” of employers’ national insurance contribution as a way to “actively incentivise” hiring, particularly of young people. The Impact of National Insurance Rate Increase In 2024, the rate of national insurance paid by employers was increased from 13.8% on each employee’s salary to 15%. The starting threshold it applied to was lowered from £9,100 to £5,000. The measure aimed to raise £25bn a year, but businesses said it disincentivised hiring lower-paid and part-time staff. Youth Unemployment Concerns A report this week by the former cabinet minister Alan Milburn said a lack of hospitality jobs was contributing to high youth unemployment in Britain. It pointed to a halving of vacancies in the hospitality industry over the past four years alone. Analysis shows Britain has the third-highest rate of 16- to 24-year-olds who are not earning or learning among rich European countries. The Government's Response Pat McFadden, the work and pensions secretary, suggested he disagreed with this view. Speaking on Sky News on Sunday morning, he defended the government’s record, saying that businesses already did not have to pay employers’ national insurance for workers under 21. The Future of North Sea Drilling There has been a debate within Labour about whether to grant drilling consents for the giant oil and gas fields Rosebank and Jackdaw. Though there was a commitment not to give out any more licences for fossil fuels in Labour’s manifesto, there is a loophole that could be exploited; Rosebank and Jackdaw were given exploration licences by the previous Conservative government. They just need consent to drill. Ed Miliband's Decision Ed Miliband, the energy secretary, is due to make a decision on these oil and gas fields in coming weeks. He, along with the North Sea Transition Authority, have to decide whether the drilling would be consistent with the UK’s climate commitments.

New research commissioned by Friends of the Earth Ireland and Beyond Fossil Fuels reveals that the rapid expansion of data centres in Ireland is silently inflating household electricity bills, creating what the authors call a "hidden data‑centre tax". Datacentre Power Surge Consumes 22% of Ireland’s Electricity According to the Central Statistics Office, data centres used 22% of the nation’s electricity last year – more than the combined consumption of all urban homes. By contrast, the United States and the United Kingdom each see data‑centre demand at roughly 6% of total electricity use. €715 million Drain and €360 Household Cost Spike (2015‑2023) €715 million has been extracted from the Irish economy as a net cost of data‑centre electricity demand. Average household bills rose by a cumulative €360 between 2015 and 2023. Modelling by Seán Fearon, post‑doctoral researcher at the Autonomous University of Barcelona, links the rise to increased hours where gas sets the system price. Ripple Effects on Irish Economy and European Energy Prices Jill McArdle of Beyond Fossil Fuels warns that Ireland’s experience is a warning sign for Europe: unchecked data‑centre growth can amplify energy‑price volatility, especially when combined with fossil‑gas dependence. Industry groups counter that data centres inject capital – €18 billion in recent years – and pay substantial corporate taxes, funding public infrastructure. Future Cost Trajectory: €295‑€644 per Household (2025‑2034) Fearon projects that, depending on growth rates, the average Irish household could incur an additional €295‑€644 in electricity costs over the 2025‑2034 decade, amounting to a national total between €633 million and €1.43 billion. Policy Outlook: Calls for EU Safeguards and Renewable Offsets Stakeholders urge the European Commission to tighten safeguards, ensuring new data centres are matched with renewable‑energy capacity. Without such measures, the sector could lock Europe into a “toxic mix” of high‑demand tech and volatile fossil‑gas pricing.

The Race for a $1 bn Balkan Gas PipelineAAFS Infrastructure and Energy is close to winning a concession to construct and operate a trans‑Balkan pipeline that would transport US‑sourced fossil gas, replacing Russian supplies. The project, valued at over $1 bn, is being pitched as “the most important infrastructure project ever in Bosnia and Herzegovina” by senior Bosnian officials.Financial Scope and Contractual MilestonesConcession value: $1 bn+Pipeline length: multiple hundred kilometres across Bosnia, Croatia, Serbia and Montenegro (exact figures not disclosed)Projected timeline: negotiations ongoing as of May 2026Trump‑Linked Personal Networks Behind AAFSThe firm’s leadership includes a Washington lawyer who has represented the Trumps in political cases and the brother of former national‑security adviser Michael Flynn. Both individuals were active in the 2020 effort to overturn the US presidential election, linking the venture directly to the former president’s inner circle.Geopolitical Ripple Effects in the Former YugoslaviaUS backing for the pipeline could undermine the 1995 Dayton peace agreement that ended the Bosnian war, raising concerns among regional ethnic leaders. American officials have signaled that the Trump administration expects a green light for the project, while EU diplomats warn of potential diplomatic fallout.What Comes Next for the Balkan Energy Landscape?If AAFS secures the concession, the pipeline could shift the Balkans’ energy dependence from Russia to the United States, altering trade flows and political alignments. Analysts anticipate heightened scrutiny from the EU and possible legal challenges from rival energy firms, while the Trump‑linked network may leverage the contract to expand its influence in European infrastructure projects.

UK Study Reveals Air Pollution's Impact on Children's Lung DevelopmentResearch shows that air pollution is slowing the lung growth of children in the UK. Scientists tracked the lung function of more than 5,000 people who were born in and around Bristol in the 1990s. Their health was assessed from birth onwards and their lungs were tested as they grew up, at eight and 15 years old and then as adults, aged 24, when their lung function should have reached its maximum.Longitudinal Study Tracks Lung Function From Birth to AdulthoodProf Ann Hansell, of the University of Leicester, who led the study, said: "Much of the evidence on health effects of air pollution relates to adults or pregnancy, but we think it's highly plausible it has impacts on growth and development of children. Those whose lungs didn't grow to maximum potential in childhood may be more vulnerable to the respiratory diseases of later life because they have a lower reserve."Dr Katie Eminson, also of the University of Leicester and a first author of the study, explained: "Lung function was measured using spirometry by trained technicians. Participants were asked to take a deep breath in, then blow out as hard and as fast as possible into a mouthpiece. A machine measured both the amount of air they can breathe out and the speed of that breath, providing an indication of how well their lungs are working."Pollution Exposure Linked to Reduced Lung CapacityThe researchers calculated the children's air pollution exposure in each trimester of pregnancy and then for each year of early childhood. This included particle pollution as well as nitrogen dioxide, a gas that comes mainly from diesel cars and fossil gas boilers.Hansell noted: "We spent literally years creating the particulate air pollution exposure estimates in pregnancy and early life, including sourcing road traffic data from Bristol city council that are not available in the national database."The researchers allowed for other factors that can affect children's health, including premature birth, breastfeeding, parental smoking and home conditions including damp.They found that breathing more air pollution during pregnancy, infancy and early childhood can slow lung development all the way up to early adulthood. The greatest impact was during adolescence, which is the time when lung growth accelerates.Health Implications Extend Beyond Respiratory SystemThose with reduced lung function face multiple health risks. "They are also more vulnerable to poorer health generally," Hansell explained. "For instance, low lung function in adults is associated with the same level of risk of heart disease as having high cholesterol. Research has also shown that people whose lung health has been affected by air pollution may be at greater risk of heart disease."An earlier study found that air pollution was reducing the growth of children's lungs in east London. There, the average nine-year-old's lungs were between 90 and 100 millilitres smaller than they should be—approximately the volume of two hen's eggs.Studies on children in Sweden showed that lung growth increased when air quality improved. Reductions in air pollution might have also allowed the Bristol children's lung growth to return closer to normal rates.Call for Action on Air Quality ProtectionEminson concluded: "While the effects in individual children are small and unlikely to have immediate clinical consequences, they shouldn't be dismissed. Because lung function tends to track from childhood into adulthood, small differences early in life may have implications for long-term health. This reinforces the importance of reducing exposures and protecting children's environments."

Former Prime Minister Tony Blair has called for the UK to scrap its 2050 net‑zero goal and ramp up North Sea oil and gas drilling, prompting a swift backlash from climate experts who label the suggestion “bizarre” amid a historic heatwave and rising energy costs. Blair’s Call to Re‑Open North Sea Oil and Gas E3G programme director Ed Matthew warned that abandoning net zero during the “worst May heatwave on record” would be a “massive setback” for the UK, emphasizing that clean energy is cheaper and has near‑zero operating costs. Economic Stakes: £200 million Heatwave Losses and Fossil‑Fuel Costs Heat stress on livestock and crops is projected to cost the UK economy over £200 million this year. The International Energy Agency’s Fatih Birol notes that new oil fields would have “little impact” on domestic fuel prices. Renewable‑energy growth, especially record‑breaking solar generation, is already reducing household energy bills. Why Renewables Outperform Fossil Fuel Revival in the UK Analysts such as Jess Ralston (Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit) argue that expanding solar and other clean‑power technologies shields consumers from volatile fossil‑fuel markets and supports energy security as the North Sea declines. Comparisons to Spain’s renewable‑driven price stability reinforce the case for electrification as the “obvious route” to lower bills. What the Next Steps Mean for UK Energy Policy Government spokespersons confirm that no new exploration licences will be granted, focusing instead on managing existing fields for the remainder of their lifespan while accelerating the clean‑power mission championed by Energy Secretary Ed Miliband. If the current trajectory holds, the UK is likely to cement its position as a leader in renewable deployment, rendering calls to revive North Sea drilling increasingly marginal in policy debates.