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The LeadOn his show Last Week Tonight, John Oliver delivered a scathing critique of prediction markets, calling out companies like Kalshi and Polymarket for allowing bets on serious events while avoiding gambling regulations through political connections and semantic loopholes.The Rise of Prediction MarketsPrediction markets have seen exponential growth in recent months, with billions of dollars wagered weekly on questions ranging from geopolitical events like "will traffic in the strait of Hormuz return to normal" to trivial matters like "will Mr Beast say 'feastable'." This surge is largely due to aggressive marketing by the two dominant players, Kalshi and Polymarket, which have opened the door to what Oliver describes as a "free-for-all" of questionable betting opportunities.The Financial FacadeBoth companies claim they are not gambling sites but financial exchanges offering "event contracts" that allow people to hedge against future risks. Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour argued his platform was "very important" because it allowed people to bet on student loan forgiveness. Oliver mocked this claim, showing clips of people betting on phrases Donald Trump would say in speeches, calling it "taking advantage of a sundowning geriatric's rapidly declining verbal abilities" rather than legitimate financial hedging.Political Connections and Regulatory LoopholesThe companies have successfully avoided gambling regulations by insisting they are financial exchanges, allowing them to operate in states where gambling is illegal and bypassing age requirements and taxes. Oliver highlighted their strong connections to the Trump family, noting that Donald Trump Jr is an investor and unpaid adviser to Polymarket and a paid adviser to Kalshi. These connections have paid off, as the Trump administration has effectively stripped the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) of its power to regulate these markets, leaving only one commissioner—Michael Selig, a prediction markets advocate—in charge.Societal Impact and Ethical ConcernsOliver expressed deep concern about the ethical implications of prediction markets, particularly when people bet on tragic events like "will Nancy Guthrie's kidnapper be arrested by 28 February." He noted the "chilling" reality that people might be using insider information to bet on life-or-death events, citing a case where someone made $400,000 after betting on the capture of Nicolás Maduro. Oliver also criticized news organizations for "laundering these companies' reputations" by presenting their odds as actual news.Future Outlook and Calls for ReformOliver called for basic guardrails to be put in place to regulate prediction markets, expressing little faith in the current Supreme Court or Congressional action given the Trump family's involvement. He suggested that individuals should reconsider using these markets for gambling, noting they are statistically likely to lose money. Ultimately, Oliver warned against a society where "every aspect of our lives" becomes a bet, where people engage with news not for its meaning but because they have money riding on it.

The $166 Billion Legal WindfallThe US Customs and Border Protection (CBP) has officially launched a digital portal to return illegally collected tariffs, triggering a massive rush from importers seeking refunds. This move follows a Supreme Court ruling that struck down President Donald Trump's emergency tariffs, opening the door for the government to return up to $166bn to businesses.Technical Hurdles in the Refund ProcessWhile the system went live at 8am US Eastern time on Monday, early adopters like toymaker Basic Fun reported minor glitches. The system, designed to handle millions of files, occasionally rejects uploads or requires retries, though it has not crashed under the load. Companies like Basic Fun, with over 500 files to process, are uploading in batches to navigate the initial technical friction.Massive Scale of Claims and EligibilityThe financial stakes are enormous. As of April 9, 56,497 importers had completed the necessary steps to receive electronic refunds, totaling $127bn—more than three-quarters of the total eligible amount. This figure represents claims based on 53 million shipments of imported goods that paid the duties later deemed unlawful.Restructuring US Trade RelationsThis development marks a significant shift in US trade policy, ending the era of emergency tariffs that roiled global supply chains. The refund process is expected to be slow, with refunds taking 60-90 days to process. Consequently, businesses will likely see a trickle-down effect, meaning customers may not immediately see price reductions on goods.Future Outlook for ImportersWhile the portal offers a chance to recover significant capital, analysts predict that procedural delays and technical issues could prolong the payout period. Importers are advised to file claims immediately to secure their position in the queue, as the government plans to process refunds in phases, prioritizing more recent payments.

Amid a wave of Israeli air strikes that have killed hundreds and displaced roughly 20 % of Lebanon’s population from the south, Lebanese banker Antoun Sehnaoui attracted fierce criticism after being publicly praised for his pro‑Israel activities. Sehnaoui, who chairs Societe Generale de Banque au Liban (SGBL), attended an event at the United States Holocaust Memorial Museum – a venue he has financially supported. The commendation came from Morgan Ortagus, the U.S. Middle‑East envoy who, according to reports, is also Sehnaoui’s romantic partner. Ortagus framed support for Israel as a matter of "moral clarity", even when it entails personal risk. She highlighted Sehnaoui’s funding of a U.S.–Israeli opera project, noting that such transactions are technically illegal in Lebanon under the country’s ban on dealings with Israeli entities. Describing the banker’s lineage, Ortagus said he hails from generations of "committed Lebanese Christian Zionists" and that his family has been "trained to support the State of Israel and the Jewish people." She also referenced his father, Nabil Sehnaoui, a principal backer of the Lebanese Forces militia, which allied with Israel during the 1982 invasion and was implicated in the Sabra‑Shatila massacres. The timing of the endorsement proved especially contentious. Since mid‑March, Israel has been accused of employing a “quadruple‑tap” bombing technique designed to maximise civilian casualties, and more than a million southerners have fled their homes, deepening sectarian tensions. Lebanese social‑media users reacted with outrage, calling for Sehnaoui’s imprisonment, accusing him of betraying his nation, and even alleging he had converted to Judaism. One commentator, academic Makram Rabah, argued that while a museum visit should not be controversial, the overt support for Israel amid a fragile ceasefire is. Ortagus’s own record – marked by staunch opposition to Hezbollah and open advocacy for Israel since her appointment in April 2025 – has already drawn scrutiny over her suitability as a neutral broker in the region. Beyond the political backlash, Sehnaoui faces serious legal challenges. Lebanese prosecutors have filed money‑laundering charges against him and SGBL, alleging illicit currency‑trading activities that exacerbated the country’s financial crisis that began in 2019. The bank denies any wrongdoing. In the United States, a 2020 civil lawsuit filed by families of Hezbollah‑linked attack victims accuses SGBL of providing material support to the militant group – a claim the bank also rejects. Lebanese MP Paula Yacoubian warned that Sehnaoui’s recent maneuvers appear designed to secure personal immunity in exchange for facilitating Israel‑Lebanon normalisation, rather than delivering tangible benefits such as the safe return of displaced residents. While the controversy rages, a tenuous ceasefire has allowed tens of thousands of residents to return to the devastated south, many seeking the remains of loved ones or assessing the damage to their homes.

Former NBA player and assistant coach Damon Jones is expected to plead guilty in a landmark US gambling case, marking a significant development in a sweeping investigation that has led to the arrests of over 30 individuals, including reputed mobsters and other basketball figures.A change-of-plea hearing for Jones is scheduled for April 28 in Brooklyn federal court. He faces charges of wire fraud conspiracy and money-laundering conspiracy related to two separate indictments. The first indictment accuses him of profiting from rigged poker games, while the second charges him with providing sports bettors with non-public information about injuries to NBA stars LeBron James and Anthony Davis.Jones, 49, had previously pleaded not guilty to the charges. He was arrested last October alongside Portland Trail Blazers head coach Chauncey Billups and Miami Heat guard Terry Rozier, among others. According to prosecutors, Jones sold or attempted to sell non-public information to bettors, including a tip that James was injured and wouldn’t play in a February 9, 2023, game against the Milwaukee Bucks. He also allegedly received $2,500 for a tip that Davis would see limited playing time against the Oklahoma City Thunder.In the poker scheme, Jones was among former NBA players used to lure unwitting players into rigged poker games. He was paid $2,500 for a game in the Hamptons where he was instructed to cheat. The poker scheme often made use of illegal poker games run by New York crime families that required them to share a portion of their proceeds with the Gambino, Genovese, and Bonnano crime families.Jones, who earned more than $20m playing for 10 teams in 11 seasons from 1999 to 2009, is a native of Galveston, Texas. He played alongside James in Cleveland from 2005 to 2008 and served as an unofficial assistant coach for James’s Los Angeles Lakers during the 2022-2023 season.

West Bengal’s electoral rolls have been slashed by over nine million names, representing roughly 12 % of the state’s 76 million registered voters, after the Election Commission of India (ECI) completed its Special Intensive Revision (SIR) earlier this month. The purge has hit the Muslim community hardest. In districts where Muslims form a sizable share of the electorate, deletions total 460,000 in Murshidabad, 330,000 in North 24 Parganas and 240,000 in Malda. Analysts say the pattern suggests a strategic effort to reshape the voter base ahead of the assembly election scheduled for April 23 and April 29, with results due on May 4. One of the most striking cases is that of Nabijan Mondal, 73, who has voted in every national, state and local election for the past five decades. She discovered her name missing from the new list because her voter card bears the nickname “Nabijan” while her Aadhaar and ration cards use the formal name “Nabirul.” Her husband, children and their spouses remain on the roll, leaving her unable to vote. Overall, nearly six million of the removed voters were classified as absent, shifted, dead or duplicate, while the remaining three million must appeal to special tribunals. However, the Supreme Court of India has ruled that those with pending tribunal cases cannot cast ballots in the upcoming election, though it may permit the ECI to issue supplementary lists. West Bengal’s Muslim population stands at about 25 million (27 % of the state’s 106 million residents). The Trinamool Congress (TMC), led by Mamata Banerjee, has governed the state since 2011 and relies heavily on Muslim support to counter the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP). Banerjee has accused the ECI of partisan bias, claiming the SIR was “selectively applied … to benefit the BJP.” Conversely, the BJP frames the revision as a necessary measure against “illegal infiltrators,” linking the exercise to concerns over cross‑border migration from Bangladesh and Rohingya refugees. Independent research by the Kolkata‑based SABAR Institute supports the allegation of disproportionate impact. In the contested constituencies of Nandigram and Bhabanipur, where the BJP’s Suvendu Adhikari is challenging TMC leaders, over 95 % of the deleted names in Nandigram were Muslims, and 40 % of deletions in Bhabanipur involved Muslim voters, despite Muslims comprising only 25 % and 20 % of the respective populations. Women appear especially vulnerable. Legal scholar Swati Narayan notes that patrilocal customs and frequent name changes after marriage create documentation gaps that the SIR process penalises. Jesmina Khatun, a 31‑year‑old from Gobindapur, lost her name over a minor spelling inconsistency in her father’s surname, illustrating how minor clerical errors can disenfranchise voters. Political commentator Yogendra Yadav warns that the SIR places an “excessive burden” on female voters, who must produce proof from their natal homes while men can rely on documents from their current residence. With tribunals unlikely to clear the backlog before polling day, thousands of eligible citizens risk being excluded from a pivotal election that could reshape the political landscape of India’s most populous state.

Alexandre Ramagem, the former head of Brazil’s intelligence agency, was released from U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) custody on Wednesday, ending a brief detention that began after a traffic stop in Orlando, Florida.Far‑right Brazilian commentator Paulo Figueiredo confirmed the release in a post on X, stating simply, “Alexandre Ramagem is free.” A source from Brazil’s federal police, cited by Reuters, also verified the news.Ramagem, who was sentenced in September 2025 to 16 years in prison for his involvement in a coup attempt supporting former President Jair Bolsonaro, fled Brazil before beginning his term. He allegedly crossed into Guyana illegally before boarding a flight to the United States.In the United States, he was initially detained for a minor traffic violation in Orlando and subsequently transferred to ICE – a routine procedure in Florida, according to Figueiredo. The former intelligence chief also has a pending asylum application, complicating the legal landscape.The Brazilian government has long sought his return. The Brazilian embassy in Washington, D.C., filed an extradition request with the U.S. Department of State on December 30, 2025. President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva publicly urged Washington to hand Ramagem over so he can serve his sentence.Despite the extradition request, ICE has not commented on the release, and Ramagem’s name was removed from the agency’s online detention list as of Wednesday.Ramagem’s conviction also led to his removal from Brazil’s Congress in December 2025, underscoring the political fallout of the coup case. The episode highlights ongoing diplomatic friction between Brazil and the United States, especially as the two nations navigate cooperation on security, immigration, and legal cooperation.For context, former President Bolsonaro is currently serving a 27‑year prison term for related offenses, a case that has drawn international attention, including past criticism from former U.S. President Donald Trump.

Officials from the Palestine Football Association have been denied entry to Canada ahead of a crucial FIFA meeting in Vancouver. The Palestine Football Association had requested FIFA to intervene with Canadian immigration authorities on their behalf.The annual FIFA Congress is set to take place in Vancouver on April 30, serving as an unofficial kickoff to the World Cup, which begins on June 11 in Mexico City. The Palestinian officials had hoped to address the issue of Israeli football clubs playing competitive matches in what the PFA argues is occupied Palestinian territory in the West Bank.Following a submission by the PFA to Congress in 2024 on the issue, FIFA undertook to investigate claims of illegal matches in the occupied territories. However, the report published in March saw FIFA rule it would 'take no action' over the claims. The Palestine Football Association president, Jibril Rajoub, is understood to be one of the three individuals denied a Canadian visa, alongside the PFA's general secretary and head of legal affairs.The decision to deny the officials visas comes amid general concern over access to the World Cup, with travel bans already in place in the United States, affecting Haiti, Iran, Côte d'Ivoire, and Senegal. FIFA President Gianni Infantino has stated that there will be no adverse effects on travel for teams or supporters at the tournament.

A group of 19 UN experts has denounced Israel's attack on Lebanon, which occurred a day after the US and Iran agreed on a ceasefire, as illegal and a blatant violation of the UN Charter. The experts are calling on UN member states to halt all arms transfers to Israel while there is credible evidence of serious violations of international humanitarian and human rights law.The condemnation comes as Israel continues to pound areas of southern Lebanon, resulting in at least 16 deaths, including four paramedics, according to Lebanese state media. The experts also expressed concern over the forced displacement of over 1.2 million people and the targeted destruction of homes, particularly in predominantly Shia areas of the south, which they described as a form of collective punishment that points to ethnic cleansing.The UN experts emphasized that Israel's actions constitute crimes against humanity and urged Israel to cease all military operations in Lebanon. The situation has been a point of tension in US-Iran negotiations, with Tehran pushing for Lebanon to be included in the ongoing ceasefire. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has stated that Israel will continue to target Hezbollah wherever required, despite diplomatic efforts towards a ceasefire.

The biggest public backer of World Liberty Financial, the crypto venture co‑founded by the Trump family, has publicly accused the firm of embedding a covert "backdoor blacklisting" feature that allows it to freeze token holdings at will. On Sunday, blockchain entrepreneur Justin Sun posted on X, alleging that World Liberty’s smart contracts for the WLFI token contain a tool that can unilaterally freeze, restrict, or confiscate any user’s assets without cause or recourse. Sun did not provide evidence, but said his own wallet was locked in September, making him the "first and single largest victim" of the alleged mechanism. World Liberty responded on X, stating, "We have the contracts. We have the evidence. We have the truth. See you in court, pal," and directed observers to its own posts for clarification. The company’s official risk disclosures do note that it may block or freeze addresses deemed linked to illegal activity or terms violations – a practice also employed by other crypto issuers such as Tether. Sun, who invested tens of millions of dollars in WLFI and later increased his stake to at least $75 million according to his 2025 posts, has not shared the purported blockchain records that supposedly show his wallet being blacklisted by a single administrative account. World Liberty, launched in 2024, claimed it would empower small investors through a decentralized‑finance app that has yet to launch. Reuters analysis indicated the venture generated **more than $460 million** for the Trump family in the first half of 2025. In March, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission settled a 2023 lawsuit against Sun for $10 million, alleging fraud and the sale of unregistered crypto securities. Sun made no admission of wrongdoing. The dispute highlights the murky regulatory environment for crypto in the United States, where the SEC has limited jurisdiction and has declined to comment on the legality of token‑freezing practices.