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The Decline of the European Green Wave European Green parties have entered a phase of stagnation and crisis, marking a sharp contrast to the 'green wave' that swept across the continent in 2019. While Green parties secured their best-ever result in the European parliament elections that year—winning 74 seats—they have since been forced out of nearly all governing coalitions. This period is characterized by a 'greenlash,' a growing public backlash against climate policies and green projects, leading to election results that have failed to meet expectations. The UK Green Party's Resurgence under Zack Polanski In stark contrast to the continental downturn, the Green Party of England and Wales has experienced a meteoric rise under its new leader, Zack Polanski. Since winning the leadership election in September 2025, the party has shifted its messaging strategy significantly. Polanski has moved away from environmental protection as the sole dominant theme, instead focusing on economic inequality, the cost of living, housing, and rent prices. The party has also adopted a clear stance on social issues, including condemnation of the genocide in Gaza and support for trans rights, positioning itself firmly against the Labour party on these fronts. Economic Inequality as a Driver of Support Data analysis of the UK elections reveals a critical shift in voter demographics. The party's strategy of emphasizing redistribution and social justice has proven highly effective. A report by Persuasion UK indicated that Green voters were equally likely to cite redistribution and taxes as their primary motivators as they were climate breakdown. Notably, the Greens have found a strong foothold among financially insecure voters. Among this demographic with liberal social attitudes, 47% voted for the Greens, compared to only 25% for Labour. This contrasts with many European Green parties, which traditionally rely on support from highly educated, financially secure voters. Beyond Left vs. Right: The Three Pillars of Success The UK model offers three distinct lessons for European parties seeking to reverse their fortunes: Emphasize Economic Inequality: Broadening the agenda to include redistributive policies does not damage credibility on climate issues; rather, it expands the electoral coalition. Hold Strong Positions on Social Issues: Taking a clear, unwavering stance on progressive identity politics (such as trans rights) creates space to discuss economic agendas without getting bogged down in culture wars. Embrace Progressive Identity Politics: The party has successfully become a home for activists and voters disillusioned with traditional party structures, engaging with nightlife and cultural spaces to build a grassroots movement. The Future Outlook: A Dominant Left-Wing Coalition? The perceived 'greenlash' has caused many European Green parties to become hesitant and moderate, watering down their demands. However, the UK experience suggests a different path: be bolder and clearer in messaging. Given the current weakness of many social democratic parties across Europe, there is a unique opportunity for Green parties to broaden their appeal. By adopting this strategy of economic focus and progressive identity, Green parties could potentially evolve from niche movements into the dominant left-of-centre force in European politics.

The Clash of Eras: A Final for the AgesThe 2026 Champions League final was a heavyweight encounter that pitted the ambition of a rising Arsenal side against the established dominance of Paris Saint-Germain. For Arsenal, the stakes were historic: a first Champions League trophy to follow their first Premier League title in 22 years. For PSG, it was an opportunity to cement a dynastic status by retaining the trophy. The match ended in a 1-1 draw after extra time, with the silverware ultimately decided by the unforgiving nature of a penalty shootout.Defensive Solidity vs. Star PowerMikel Arteta’s tactical masterclass was evident in his selection. Prioritizing defensive stability, he started four center-backs—Gabriel Magalhães, Myles Lewis-Skelly, Piero Hincapie, and Cristhian Mosquera—to stifle PSG's world-class attacking talent. This suffocated the Parisians for large spells, allowing Kai Havertz to score a brilliant early goal. However, Ousmane Dembélé equalized from the penalty spot in the 65th minute, forcing extra time where both sides pushed for a winner but failed to find one.The Decisive Moments of the ShootoutRound 1: Eberechi Eze (Arsenal) missed the target.Round 2: David Raya (Arsenal) saved Nuno Mendes's penalty.Round 3: David Raya (Arsenal) saved Nuno Mendes's penalty again.Round 4: Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (PSG) scored.Round 5: Gabriel Magalhães (Arsenal) missed high, handing PSG the trophy.The turning point came when Gabriel, tasked with the final kick, missed high, allowing PSG to celebrate with red flares. The final scoreline was PSG 5, Arsenal 4 in the shootout.Shifting the Power Balance in European FootballThis victory cements PSG as a dominant European force, breaking the monopoly of traditional powerhouses. For Arsenal, the heartbreak is significant, but the foundation for future success is laid. The tactical shift towards defensive solidity over flair has proven viable at the highest level. Arsenal’s resilience, particularly from their defensive unit, suggests they are a team on the cusp of greatness, despite this final heartbreak.The Road to the Treble for the New KingsWith the trophy secured, PSG will look to complete a domestic treble, leveraging their squad depth and star power. For Arsenal, the focus will shift to regrouping and retaining their core squad to challenge again next season, with the psychological barrier of the final now broken.

The Lead: Malta's Political Crossroads Voters in Malta are heading to the polls for early elections, a move that reflects significant political developments in the small Mediterranean island nation. The snap election comes at a crucial time for Malta, which has been navigating various political and economic challenges. Early Elections: Political Catalyst in Malta The decision to call early elections indicates a pivotal moment in Maltese politics. While the specific trigger for the early vote isn't detailed in the source, such moves typically follow political crises, leadership challenges, or strategic positioning ahead of major policy decisions. Polling Dynamics and Voter Behavior Early polling data suggests a competitive race between Malta's major political parties. Voter turnout will be critical, with both the Labour Party and Nationalist Party working to mobilize their respective bases. The electorate's response to current economic conditions and EU relations will likely influence voting patterns. Regional Ramifications Across the Mediterranean Malta's political direction holds significance for the broader Mediterranean region. As a member of the European Union, Malta's stance on migration, economic policy, and regional security cooperation could impact neighboring countries and EU dynamics. The election results may also affect Malta's relationships with other Mediterranean nations. Malta's Political Trajectory Post-Election Regardless of the outcome, these early elections mark a defining moment in Maltese politics. The winning party will face immediate challenges in addressing economic concerns, healthcare improvements, and navigating Malta's complex relationship with the European Union. The election could potentially set precedents for future political developments in the island nation.

The Lead-Up to Colombia's Presidential Election On May 31, 2026, voters in Colombia will head to the polls to decide on their next president. The election presents a critical choice for the South American country: continue with the leftist policies of outgoing President Gustavo Petro or shift towards a right-wing government. The Candidates and Their Platforms A total of 14 candidates are running in the first round of voting. The primary candidates on the left are Senator Ivan Cepeda, who has pledged continuity with Petro's platform, focusing on social and economic policies to reduce inequality and advocating for a 'Total Peace' approach to resolve the country's internal conflict through negotiations with armed groups. On the right, Abelardo de la Espriella is running on a hardline security platform, similar to those of Salvadoran President Salvador Bukele and Argentina's Javier Milei. He has promised to end negotiations with armed groups, bomb rebel camps, and resume aerial fumigation of coca crops. Paloma Valencia, a candidate with the Democratic Centre Party, offers a more moderate alternative, advocating for a stricter approach to crime, expanding the police and armed forces, cutting taxes, and promoting pro-business policies. The Data Analysis: Polling and Voter Concerns Recent polls indicate that Ivan Cepeda is leading, with 33.4% of voter support, followed by Abelardo de la Espriella at 30.9%, and Paloma Valencia at 12.6%. However, the polls also suggest that Cepeda would struggle to win a runoff against either of the two right-wing candidates. Key issues dominating the campaign include security (37% of voters), basic needs and unemployment (17% and 16%, respectively), and corruption (11%). The Impact Analysis: Why This Election Matters This election is significant as it marks the first presidential election after Colombia's first leftist administration. The outcome will determine the country's approach to resolving its six-decade-long internal conflict, which has driven significant displacement and violence. A shift to the right could see a return to more militarized approaches to security, while continuity with the left could focus on negotiations and social policies. The Prediction: What's Next? If no candidate wins more than 50% of the vote in the first round, a runoff election will be held on June 21, 2026, between the top two finishers. The undecided voters, estimated to account for up to 28% of the electorate, will play a crucial role in determining the outcome. The election's result will have profound implications for Colombia's future, affecting not only its internal policies but also its relations with international partners and its path towards peace and economic stability.

The Race for a $1 bn Balkan Gas PipelineAAFS Infrastructure and Energy is close to winning a concession to construct and operate a trans‑Balkan pipeline that would transport US‑sourced fossil gas, replacing Russian supplies. The project, valued at over $1 bn, is being pitched as “the most important infrastructure project ever in Bosnia and Herzegovina” by senior Bosnian officials.Financial Scope and Contractual MilestonesConcession value: $1 bn+Pipeline length: multiple hundred kilometres across Bosnia, Croatia, Serbia and Montenegro (exact figures not disclosed)Projected timeline: negotiations ongoing as of May 2026Trump‑Linked Personal Networks Behind AAFSThe firm’s leadership includes a Washington lawyer who has represented the Trumps in political cases and the brother of former national‑security adviser Michael Flynn. Both individuals were active in the 2020 effort to overturn the US presidential election, linking the venture directly to the former president’s inner circle.Geopolitical Ripple Effects in the Former YugoslaviaUS backing for the pipeline could undermine the 1995 Dayton peace agreement that ended the Bosnian war, raising concerns among regional ethnic leaders. American officials have signaled that the Trump administration expects a green light for the project, while EU diplomats warn of potential diplomatic fallout.What Comes Next for the Balkan Energy Landscape?If AAFS secures the concession, the pipeline could shift the Balkans’ energy dependence from Russia to the United States, altering trade flows and political alignments. Analysts anticipate heightened scrutiny from the EU and possible legal challenges from rival energy firms, while the Trump‑linked network may leverage the contract to expand its influence in European infrastructure projects.

The Failed Dealmaker: Trump's Iran Dilemma For weeks, Donald Trump has tried to find a way to end the war he started with Iran – a deal that would allow him to declare victory and move past the conflict before it causes severe damage to the global economy and sinks Republican chances in the US midterm elections. But the self-proclaimed master dealmaker can't seem to stop sabotaging his own negotiations or to acknowledge that Iran is now in a better position to demand concessions than it was before the war. Strategic Missteps: From Military Action to Negotiation Deadlock Over the Memorial Day holiday, Trump skipped his eldest son's wedding in the Bahamas and canceled plans to spend the weekend at his New Jersey golf club. The last-minute changes heightened speculation that Trump was ready to unveil a deal to end the war. Trump then announced that he would hold a cabinet meeting at Camp David, the presidential compound in Maryland that has been the site of historic diplomatic summits. But that meeting was moved back to the White House, as it became clear that Trump had not been able to close a deal he could announce with great fanfare. The Art of the Deal: Trump's Negotiation Paradox Why has an agreement eluded the business titan who wrote the bestselling 1987 book The Art of the Deal? Trump admires strongman leaders and is loth to project any sign of weakness – and he's afraid of reaching a deal with Iran that makes him look weak. The president is also sensitive to criticism that any agreement he negotiates will be worse for the US than the 2015 nuclear deal between Iran and six world powers, which was brokered by Barack Obama's administration. Leverage Reversed: How Iran Gained the Upper Hand Trump's main problem is that Iran has more leverage than he does – and Iranian leaders are well aware of that advantage. On 28 February, Trump launched a joint US-Israeli war against Iran, killing the supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, and other top military and political officials. But Iran retaliated with missile and drone strikes against US military bases across the Middle East, and it targeted the energy infrastructure of its Gulf neighbors. Iran also deployed its most effective economic weapon: it closed the strait of Hormuz, through which more than a fifth of the world's oil supply passed each day. Economic Fallout: Global Disruption and Rising Oil Prices The closure of the Strait of Hormuz – along with Iranian attacks on pipelines and gas fields in Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates – disrupted the global economy and increased oil prices. In the US, average gas prices have jumped by 50%, up to nearly $4.50 per gallon, since Trump launched the war. Trump and his ally, the Israeli prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, could not topple the Islamic regime that rose to power after Iran's 1979 revolution. Instead, they ended up strengthening it – by allowing Tehran to deploy its geographic control of the strait of Hormuz into a weapon that could instigate a global energy crisis and a worldwide recession. The Emerging Deal: Limited Concessions and Unresolved Issues The emerging deal is focused on solving a problem that didn't exist before Trump started this war: fully reopening the strait of Hormuz to commercial shipping so that oil prices can stabilize. Under a draft agreement being circulated to US allies, Washington would also lift its blockade of Iranian ports and allow Tehran to access about $12bn in frozen assets. Once again, Trump seems to be aiming for a limited deal with Iran that defers the most difficult questions to future talks, which could drag out for months or even years. Iran's Resilience: Military Strength Preserved In some ways, Iran has emerged stronger after a war intended to decimate its military capabilities. A CIA report sent to Trump earlier this month found that Tehran had managed to retain a significant part of its missile capabilities. The analysis said Iran preserved about 70% of its prewar stockpile of missiles and about 75% of its mobile launchers. The report also concluded that Iran was more resilient than US officials had claimed, and it could survive a naval blockade for months. Political Calculations: Midterm Elections and Trump's Dilemma At his cabinet meeting, Trump said he didn't care about the midterm elections and wasn't in a rush to reach a deal. "It's got to be perfect," Trump told reporters, adding: "I didn't do this to get a crummy agreement." Despite his weak position, Trump insists that he will strike a better deal with Iran than the one negotiated by the Obama administration in 2015. That agreement provided Tehran with relief from international sanctions in exchange for limits on its nuclear enrichment. The Unintended Consequences: Strengthening the Adversary Trump could have avoided starting a regime-change war that failed, leaving the world to deal with its consequences. Instead, the master negotiator handed Iran a new economic weapon – and more leverage to extract a favorable deal. The worst thing you can possibly do in a deal is seem desperate to make it. That makes the other guy smell blood, and then you're dead. Trump wrote in his famous book. The best thing you can do is deal from strength, and leverage is the biggest strength you can have.

The Inflation Conundrum For such an uncannily successful politician, Donald Trump exhibits a perplexing political myopia. His most recent own-goal was endorsing Ken Paxton, a state attorney general, against four-term senator John Cornyn in the Republican primary for Senate in Texas. Trump's Inflationary Gambits What truly screams “I want us to lose the midterms” is what Trump is doing about inflation, which is becoming his most vulnerable issue. According to a New York Times/Siena poll of registered voters earlier in May, Trump’s approval on handling the cost of living is underwater by 42 percentage points. The Data Analysis Inflation rose at the fastest pace in three years in April, driven by the Iran war and other factors. The nationwide average price of regular gasoline is hovering around $4.50 a gallon, about $1.30 higher than a year ago. Consumer prices increased 3.8% in the year to April, their highest annual rate in two years. The Impact Analysis People’s attitudes about inflation are difficult to parse. They think less about the alphabet of indices policymakers focus on, such as CPI and PCE, and more about how much the price of eggs and gas have risen since they last remembered. The Prediction This may not be statistically robust, but since George HW Bush lost to Bill Clinton in 1992, there has been only one presidential election in a year with inflation as high as it is today. The incumbent, George W Bush, lost to Barack Obama.

The Lead Voting has begun in Malta's snap parliamentary election, which will determine who governs the Mediterranean island nation for the next five years. Malta's Snap Election Underway Polling stations opened on Saturday in a contest widely viewed as a two-horse race between the governing Labour Party and the centrist Nationalist Party. Prime Minister Robert Abela, who leads the Labour Party, called the election a year ahead of schedule against the backdrop of the Iran war, which is impacting markets globally. Economic Concerns Dominate the Election The economy is set to dominate this year's election, with rising rents and ailing infrastructure at the forefront of many voters' minds. Malta's public health service is also under increasing pressure following a population surge in what is already the European Union's smallest and most densely populated country. The Impact of Past Events The election takes place under the shadow of the assassination of investigative journalist Daphne Caruana Galizia, who was killed by a car bomb in 2017. Caruana Galizia exposed corruption in Malta, with her death ultimately leading to the resignation of former Prime Minister Joseph Muscat. The Future Outlook Opinion polls suggest Abela's party is on course to win the snap election, with Labour dominating Malta's political landscape during the past decade. However, the Nationalist Party's new leader, Alex Borg, hopes to unseat Labour and become Malta's youngest-ever prime minister at the age of 30. Election results are expected to be announced at about midday on Sunday.

The Historic AppointmentJo Yapp has been named the head coach for the first women's British & Irish Lions tour, which will travel to New Zealand in 2027. The former England captain is currently the head of the women's pathway at the Rugby Football Union and previously led Australia to the quarter-finals of last year's Rugby World Cup.Yapp was preferred for the role over England head coach John Mitchell, who led England to World Cup glory in 2025 and had publicly expressed interest in the Lions position. The 46-year-old will work part-time for the Lions from July before taking a sabbatical from her RFU role next year to commit fully to the position.Coaching CredentialsAfter retiring from playing in 2009, Yapp built an impressive coaching career. She started with England Under-20s before becoming skills coach at Worcester's women's side, later being promoted to head coach until the side folded in 2023. Her most recent role was as head coach of Australia, making her the first woman to lead the Wallaroos.With Australia, Yapp led them to the WXV2 trophy in 2024, securing their place at the 2025 World Cup where she was one of only three female head coaches at the tournament. The Wallaroos reached the quarter-finals but were knocked out by eventual runners-up Canada. As a player, Yapp was capped 70 times for England and represented her country at three World Cups.The Tour DetailsThe Lions will tour New Zealand in September 2027, with the schedule including three Tests against the Black Ferns. New Zealand will be led by Whitney Hansen, who took over in December 2025. The rest of the coaching staff, selected from the four home nations (England, Ireland, Scotland, and Wales), has yet to be confirmed."To lead the first British & Irish Lions women's team is an incredible honour and something I'm immensely proud of," Yapp said. "The Lions represents the very best of our sport and this tour to New Zealand is an opportunity to create something truly special and help shape the future of women's rugby for years to come."Significance for Women's RugbyThis appointment marks a significant milestone for women's rugby, with Carol Isherwood, chair of the Lions women's committee, calling it "a hugely significant appointment for women's rugby and an exciting new chapter in Lions history."Ben Calveley, Lions chief executive, emphasized the importance of the selection process: "The selection process was rigorous, competitive and international in scope as befitting the significance of this historic appointment. For a moment that represents such a step forward for the game, it was important to us that this appointment serves our desire to grow and support all aspects of the women's game including the promotion of female coaches."Yapp's experience facing the Black Ferns as a player—losing to them in World Cup finals in 2002 and 2006—gives her unique insight: "I know from experience how challenging it is to face the Black Ferns on home soil, but that challenge is exactly what makes this tour so exciting."