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The Failed Dealmaker: Trump's Iran Dilemma For weeks, Donald Trump has tried to find a way to end the war he started with Iran – a deal that would allow him to declare victory and move past the conflict before it causes severe damage to the global economy and sinks Republican chances in the US midterm elections. But the self-proclaimed master dealmaker can't seem to stop sabotaging his own negotiations or to acknowledge that Iran is now in a better position to demand concessions than it was before the war. Strategic Missteps: From Military Action to Negotiation Deadlock Over the Memorial Day holiday, Trump skipped his eldest son's wedding in the Bahamas and canceled plans to spend the weekend at his New Jersey golf club. The last-minute changes heightened speculation that Trump was ready to unveil a deal to end the war. Trump then announced that he would hold a cabinet meeting at Camp David, the presidential compound in Maryland that has been the site of historic diplomatic summits. But that meeting was moved back to the White House, as it became clear that Trump had not been able to close a deal he could announce with great fanfare. The Art of the Deal: Trump's Negotiation Paradox Why has an agreement eluded the business titan who wrote the bestselling 1987 book The Art of the Deal? Trump admires strongman leaders and is loth to project any sign of weakness – and he's afraid of reaching a deal with Iran that makes him look weak. The president is also sensitive to criticism that any agreement he negotiates will be worse for the US than the 2015 nuclear deal between Iran and six world powers, which was brokered by Barack Obama's administration. Leverage Reversed: How Iran Gained the Upper Hand Trump's main problem is that Iran has more leverage than he does – and Iranian leaders are well aware of that advantage. On 28 February, Trump launched a joint US-Israeli war against Iran, killing the supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, and other top military and political officials. But Iran retaliated with missile and drone strikes against US military bases across the Middle East, and it targeted the energy infrastructure of its Gulf neighbors. Iran also deployed its most effective economic weapon: it closed the strait of Hormuz, through which more than a fifth of the world's oil supply passed each day. Economic Fallout: Global Disruption and Rising Oil Prices The closure of the Strait of Hormuz – along with Iranian attacks on pipelines and gas fields in Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates – disrupted the global economy and increased oil prices. In the US, average gas prices have jumped by 50%, up to nearly $4.50 per gallon, since Trump launched the war. Trump and his ally, the Israeli prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, could not topple the Islamic regime that rose to power after Iran's 1979 revolution. Instead, they ended up strengthening it – by allowing Tehran to deploy its geographic control of the strait of Hormuz into a weapon that could instigate a global energy crisis and a worldwide recession. The Emerging Deal: Limited Concessions and Unresolved Issues The emerging deal is focused on solving a problem that didn't exist before Trump started this war: fully reopening the strait of Hormuz to commercial shipping so that oil prices can stabilize. Under a draft agreement being circulated to US allies, Washington would also lift its blockade of Iranian ports and allow Tehran to access about $12bn in frozen assets. Once again, Trump seems to be aiming for a limited deal with Iran that defers the most difficult questions to future talks, which could drag out for months or even years. Iran's Resilience: Military Strength Preserved In some ways, Iran has emerged stronger after a war intended to decimate its military capabilities. A CIA report sent to Trump earlier this month found that Tehran had managed to retain a significant part of its missile capabilities. The analysis said Iran preserved about 70% of its prewar stockpile of missiles and about 75% of its mobile launchers. The report also concluded that Iran was more resilient than US officials had claimed, and it could survive a naval blockade for months. Political Calculations: Midterm Elections and Trump's Dilemma At his cabinet meeting, Trump said he didn't care about the midterm elections and wasn't in a rush to reach a deal. "It's got to be perfect," Trump told reporters, adding: "I didn't do this to get a crummy agreement." Despite his weak position, Trump insists that he will strike a better deal with Iran than the one negotiated by the Obama administration in 2015. That agreement provided Tehran with relief from international sanctions in exchange for limits on its nuclear enrichment. The Unintended Consequences: Strengthening the Adversary Trump could have avoided starting a regime-change war that failed, leaving the world to deal with its consequences. Instead, the master negotiator handed Iran a new economic weapon – and more leverage to extract a favorable deal. The worst thing you can possibly do in a deal is seem desperate to make it. That makes the other guy smell blood, and then you're dead. Trump wrote in his famous book. The best thing you can do is deal from strength, and leverage is the biggest strength you can have.

The Milburn Review: A Warning on the 'Instability of Worklessness'A government-commissioned review has warned that the UK is facing a critical juncture where youth unemployment is directly fueling a surge in homelessness. The report highlights that without immediate intervention, the number of young people not in education, employment, or training (Neet) could rise by 25% to 1.25 million by the early 2030s, pushing a generation into unstable housing.Rising Numbers: The Statistics Behind the CrisisThe Milburn Review identifies the 'instability of worklessness' as a primary driver of this social crisis. It notes that the third consecutive year of rising youth homelessness figures—reaching nearly 124,000 in 2024-25—signals a systemic failure in the safety net for young people.Neet Projection: Potential rise to 1.25 million by early 2030s.Homelessness Rise: 6% increase in youth homelessness in 2024-25.Regional Impact: North-West saw a rise of more than a third.Big Issue Vendors: 60% increase in vendors aged 18-24 since 2022.The 'Experience Trap' and the Scarcity of Entry-Level JobsThe data reveals a grim economic landscape for the UK's youth. The youth unemployment rate stands at 14.7%, its highest level in over a decade. The UK ranks third among wealthy European countries for this demographic. Furthermore, the Big Issue reported a 60% increase in vendors aged 18 to 24 since 2022, jumping from 449 to 720 individuals.The crisis is exacerbated by a 'catch-22' where young people cannot gain the experience needed for jobs because entry-level opportunities are scarce. Personal testimonies from individuals like Josh, who applied for over a thousand jobs, illustrate the psychological toll of rejection and the financial desperation that leads to homelessness. Charities argue that the narrative blaming young people ignores the structural lack of work opportunities.Future Outlook: Breaking the Cycle of Youth HomelessnessUnless the government intervenes to create more entry-level positions and address the housing shortage, the UK risks normalizing youth homelessness. The projection of 1.25 million Neets suggests that without a pivot in policy, the next decade will see a permanent increase in the number of young people locked out of the workforce and the housing market.

The Inflation Conundrum For such an uncannily successful politician, Donald Trump exhibits a perplexing political myopia. His most recent own-goal was endorsing Ken Paxton, a state attorney general, against four-term senator John Cornyn in the Republican primary for Senate in Texas. Trump's Inflationary Gambits What truly screams “I want us to lose the midterms” is what Trump is doing about inflation, which is becoming his most vulnerable issue. According to a New York Times/Siena poll of registered voters earlier in May, Trump’s approval on handling the cost of living is underwater by 42 percentage points. The Data Analysis Inflation rose at the fastest pace in three years in April, driven by the Iran war and other factors. The nationwide average price of regular gasoline is hovering around $4.50 a gallon, about $1.30 higher than a year ago. Consumer prices increased 3.8% in the year to April, their highest annual rate in two years. The Impact Analysis People’s attitudes about inflation are difficult to parse. They think less about the alphabet of indices policymakers focus on, such as CPI and PCE, and more about how much the price of eggs and gas have risen since they last remembered. The Prediction This may not be statistically robust, but since George HW Bush lost to Bill Clinton in 1992, there has been only one presidential election in a year with inflation as high as it is today. The incumbent, George W Bush, lost to Barack Obama.

Opening the Pig & Swill: A Community‑Driven Taphouse in CardiffOn a hot Thursday evening in Canton, Cardiff, locals streamed between the bar and garden of the newly launched Pig & Swill. Co‑founders Lewis Dwyer and Andy Aston reported an immediate surge of customers, crediting the neighbourhood’s appetite for a quality night‑cap spot.Numbers Behind the National Pub Decline and Welsh Counter‑Trend161 pubs closed in the UK during Q1 2026 – roughly two per day.Closures were 26% higher than the same period in 2025.The shutdowns represent the loss of about 2,400 jobs, according to the British Beer and Pub Association (BBPA).In contrast, Wales saw three new pubs open, including the Pig & Swill, Vicino (Cardiff) and The Nelson (Rhyl).The Pig & Swill’s Kickstarter campaign raised £29,000 for the refit.Why Wales Is Holding Its Own Amid Economic HeadwindsIndustry observers note that Welsh hospitality still faces pressure, with more restaurant and hotel closures than openings. However, strong local patronage, the proximity to the popular Michelin‑listed restaurant Hiraeth, and a cultural love for the “sesh” are helping new venues thrive. David Chapman, executive director of UK Hospitality Cymru, stresses that supportive policies – such as reforming business rates – are crucial for sustaining this momentum.Looking Ahead: Policy, Community Support, and the Future of Welsh PubsWith the new Welsh government signalling a commitment to hospitality in its manifesto, the next steps will determine whether the current optimism can scale. Continued community funding, eased cost pressures, and targeted government action could turn Wales into a blueprint for reversing the broader UK pub‑closure trend.

Rising rates of youth unemployment have created a split at the top of government over how fast it should meet its promise to give young people the full minimum wage.The Manifesto Promise vs. The Reality CheckPeter Kyle, the business secretary, is understood to believe now is not the time to give 18- to 20-year-olds the full minimum wage, which Labour promised to do in its manifesto. Others believe there is little evidence to show that recent pay rises for low-paid workers have had any effect on unemployment.Torsten Bell, a Treasury minister, told the BBC on Friday morning: “If you look at what the Low Pay Commission said in their annual report, they didn’t find evidence that previous increases in the minimum wage for young people had had an effect on their employment.”The £125bn Cost of InactionThe splits have emerged following a landmark government-backed report this week by the former Labour minister Alan Milburn, who found that youth unemployment was costing Britain more than £125bn a year. Milburn’s report revealed the number of young people not working or studying had surpassed a million for the first time in more than a decade, prompting calls to reduce the pace of youth minimum wage increases.Current Youth Rate: £10.85 (up 8.5% this year)Main Minimum Wage: £12.71 (up 4.1% this year)NEETs (Not in Education, Employment, or Training): Over 1 millionThe Hospitality Sector DilemmaMilburn himself told the News Agents podcast this week: “To get the jobs there for them, you’ve got to make sure the employers are willing to take the risk. If you’re in, say, the hospitality sector or the retail sector, margins tend to be very low. These tend to be sectors that were really badly hit by the cost of living, hospitality in particular.”Tony Blair, the former prime minister, warned in an essay this week that policies such as increasing the minimum wage – which he brought in – had created “headwinds, not tailwinds, for businesses.”The October Low Pay Commission VerdictLabour promised in its manifesto to equalise the rates of the minimum wage for 18- to 20-year-olds with those of workers who are 21 and over but did not say how quickly this would be achieved. Bell said on Friday: “We’re committed to our manifesto that we stood on and we will deliver it. But that manifesto did not set out the timeline.”While he and others in the government believe they should slow down the pace of rises in youth rates of the national minimum wage if there is evidence that it has an impact on employment, they do not yet believe that evidence exists.The commission will tell the government in October what it is recommending for the financial year starting on 1 April 2027; some in government privately hope it will give a recommendation significantly lower than this year’s. Earlier this year ministers even changed their guidance to the LPC to reflect the concerns in government over unemployment among young people, telling it to prioritise employment rates instead.

The Day After Djokovic: A New Era Opens at Roland Garros Bonjour et bienvenue au jour sept de notre couverture de Roland Garros 2026! After Novak Djokovic's departure in the match of the tournament against the 19-year-old Brazilian sensation João Fonseca last night, opportunity knocks louder than ever before for the remaining men, with a first-time grand slam champion guaranteed next Sunday. The Men's Draw: Shattered Hopes and Rising Stars Today the players in the top half of the draw get the chance to underline their credentials, and with a huge Jannik Sinner-sized hole in that section, along with the exits of Ben Shelton, Daniil Medvedev and Alexander Bublik, the highest-ranked man in action is Félix Auger-Aliassime, and the fourth seed doesn't play until tonight. It means Sinner's conqueror Juan Manuel Cerundolo gets another day in the sun, as does his brother Francisco, but a bigger buzz surrounds the 17-year-old overnight, hometown hero Moise Kouame, who will have Roland Garros rocking when he takes on Chile's Alejandro Tabilo. The 10th seed Flavio Cobolli against the rising American Learner Tien could be tasty too, while Frances Tiafoe and the resurgent Matteo Berrettini are also in third-round action. Women's Powerhouse: Champions and Challengers The leading names today are undoubtedly on the women's side, which is still stacked with slam champions past and present: Coco Gauff continues her title defence, Aryna Sabalenka plays the former semi-finalist Daria Kasatkina, while Naomi Osaka and Madison Keys will be hoping to avoid the same fate as Djokovic when they take on the stupendously talented teens Iva Jovic and Victoria Mboko respectively. Amanda Anisimova plays too. Tournament Turning Point: What Happens Next With Djokovic's unexpected exit, the path to the title has been dramatically reshaped. The French Open has historically been unpredictable, but this year's tournament is on track to crown a first-time grand slam champion, adding to the tournament's legacy of creating new tennis legends. L'action commence: 11h à Paris/10am BST. Allons-y!

The Wildlife DisturbanceDisturbing scenes of wildlife being disrupted at Hampstead Heath went viral on social media after swans and their 12-day-old cygnets were harassed by hordes of swimmers as temperatures reached a record 35C in London. In one particularly distressing video, a swan was seen poking an unhatched egg with its beak after it fell into the water during the chaos.The protected pond, clearly marked with signs prohibiting swimming to protect wildlife, became a makeshift swimming pool as people obliviously splashed around nesting birds including coots, moorhens, and swans who were trying to guard their eggs and young.The Government ResponseEnvironment ministers Mary Creagh and Emma Hardy have written a formal letter to Gregory Jones KC, the chair of the Hampstead Heath committee at the City of London, expressing their "deep concern" over the incident. They described the sight of an adult swan watching an unhatched egg after it fell into the water as "truly heart-wrenching."The ministers referenced the Wildlife and Countryside Act 1981, which makes it illegal to damage or destroy the nests of wild birds or their eggs, carrying potential penalties of unlimited fines and up to six months in prison for each offense. They specifically asked what steps the City of London would be taking to prevent such incidents from recurring.The Conservation ConcernConservationists responded with dismay after witnessing the scenes, which the local authority, the City of London, called "utterly appalling." Nature charities including the RSPB have criticized the swimmers, emphasizing that this is "a crucial time of year for breeding birds which just want to nest and care for their young in peace."The bird charity urged people to use authorized, lifeguarded swimming spaces rather than nature reserves, highlighting the growing conflict between urban recreational activities and wildlife protection efforts in increasingly crowded city environments.The Future OutlookThe incident has brought renewed attention to the challenges of balancing human recreation with wildlife conservation in urban green spaces. With climate change leading to more extreme heat events, similar conflicts may become more frequent as people seek cooling options in natural areas.The City of London now faces pressure to implement stronger measures to protect the wildlife ponds, potentially including increased patrols, clearer signage, physical barriers, or even designated swimming areas elsewhere on Hampstead Heath to redirect visitors away from sensitive ecological sites.

The Hurricanes End a Two‑Decade Wait for a Stanley Cup FinalRod Brind’Amour and his squad celebrated on the ice after capturing the Prince of Wales Trophy, marking the franchise’s first trip to the Stanley Cup final since 2006. The emotional scene underscored a long‑awaited breakthrough after eight years of Eastern Conference final setbacks. Dominant Game 5 Performance Overpowers Montreal CanadiensA 6‑1 rout in Game 5 saw Taylor Hall, Logan Stankoven and Eric Robinson each score in the opening period, establishing a 3‑0 lead. Subsequent goals from Jackson Blake, Shayne Gostisbehere, and an empty‑net tally by Seth Jarvis sealed the win, while goaltender Frederik Andersen held a shutout until midway through the third. Series result: Hurricanes win 4‑1. Key turning point: Rebound from a 6‑2 loss in Game 1 to win four straight. Historic run: First team since 1983 to reach the final with only one loss. Statistical Milestones: One Loss En Route to the FinalAccording to SportRadar, the Hurricanes are the only team since the league adopted best‑of‑seven series in all four postseason rounds (1987) to advance with a single defeat. Their 10‑straight‑goal stretch, beginning with Andrei Svechnikov’s overtime winner in Game 3, highlighted offensive firepower. What This Means for Carolina’s Franchise and the Eastern ConferenceThe victory reshapes the Hurricanes’ narrative from perennial contender to genuine championship threat. It also signals a shift in the Eastern Conference hierarchy, with the once‑dominant Canadiens exiting earlier than expected and the Hurricanes poised to challenge the West’s powerhouse, the Vegas Golden Knights. Looking Ahead: The Vegas Showdown and Future ProspectsNext up is a best‑of‑seven series against the Golden Knights, where Carolina’s depth and resilience will be tested. Analysts predict a tightly contested matchup, with the Hurricanes’ balanced scoring and defensive upgrades offering a realistic chance to capture their first Stanley Cup since the franchise’s relocation in 1997.

The Dartford Warbler's Comeback More than half a century after the Dartford warbler almost vanished from the English countryside, the charismatic heathland bird appears to be staging a comeback. A survey has revealed the highest number of Dartford warblers ever recorded on reserves run by the bird conservation charity RSPB, with 264 pairs counted in 2025, a 44% increase in five years. Habitat and Characteristics Dartford warblers are small birds that may be glimpsed perched on top of gorse singing a scratchy song, and are found on lowland heathland in southern England. They are grey-brown, with a distinctive red eye ring, russet breast and long tail. They are particularly sensitive to harsh winter weather and, as a ground-nesting species, rely on dense gorse in areas of mature heathland for food and shelter. Conservation Efforts The RSPB says their comeback is thanks in part to conservation efforts by nature reserve staff and volunteers to restore the birds' heathland habitat. A heathland birds survey puts the UK population at approximately 4,100. Lowland heathland is one of the most threatened habitats in the UK, with 80% lost since the 1800s owing to forestry and change of land use. Impact of Conservation To help counter this, RSPB staff and volunteers have been restoring the habitat on nature reserves by removing conifer plantations, reverting arable land to heath, and joining up areas of fragmented heathland, providing Dartford warblers with the dense gorse they need. Spiky gorse provides a safe nesting place and hunting ground for the warblers, which specialise in picking spiders and caterpillars from their hiding places. Future Outlook Dartford warblers were recorded at 14 RSPB nature reserves, including 97 pairs at RSPB Arne, in Dorset. The sound of Dartford warblers singing is everywhere now, according to Peter Robertson, the reserve's senior site manager. This resurgence offers hope for the long-term survival of the species and highlights the importance of continued conservation efforts.