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The Failed Dealmaker: Trump's Iran Dilemma For weeks, Donald Trump has tried to find a way to end the war he started with Iran – a deal that would allow him to declare victory and move past the conflict before it causes severe damage to the global economy and sinks Republican chances in the US midterm elections. But the self-proclaimed master dealmaker can't seem to stop sabotaging his own negotiations or to acknowledge that Iran is now in a better position to demand concessions than it was before the war. Strategic Missteps: From Military Action to Negotiation Deadlock Over the Memorial Day holiday, Trump skipped his eldest son's wedding in the Bahamas and canceled plans to spend the weekend at his New Jersey golf club. The last-minute changes heightened speculation that Trump was ready to unveil a deal to end the war. Trump then announced that he would hold a cabinet meeting at Camp David, the presidential compound in Maryland that has been the site of historic diplomatic summits. But that meeting was moved back to the White House, as it became clear that Trump had not been able to close a deal he could announce with great fanfare. The Art of the Deal: Trump's Negotiation Paradox Why has an agreement eluded the business titan who wrote the bestselling 1987 book The Art of the Deal? Trump admires strongman leaders and is loth to project any sign of weakness – and he's afraid of reaching a deal with Iran that makes him look weak. The president is also sensitive to criticism that any agreement he negotiates will be worse for the US than the 2015 nuclear deal between Iran and six world powers, which was brokered by Barack Obama's administration. Leverage Reversed: How Iran Gained the Upper Hand Trump's main problem is that Iran has more leverage than he does – and Iranian leaders are well aware of that advantage. On 28 February, Trump launched a joint US-Israeli war against Iran, killing the supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, and other top military and political officials. But Iran retaliated with missile and drone strikes against US military bases across the Middle East, and it targeted the energy infrastructure of its Gulf neighbors. Iran also deployed its most effective economic weapon: it closed the strait of Hormuz, through which more than a fifth of the world's oil supply passed each day. Economic Fallout: Global Disruption and Rising Oil Prices The closure of the Strait of Hormuz – along with Iranian attacks on pipelines and gas fields in Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates – disrupted the global economy and increased oil prices. In the US, average gas prices have jumped by 50%, up to nearly $4.50 per gallon, since Trump launched the war. Trump and his ally, the Israeli prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, could not topple the Islamic regime that rose to power after Iran's 1979 revolution. Instead, they ended up strengthening it – by allowing Tehran to deploy its geographic control of the strait of Hormuz into a weapon that could instigate a global energy crisis and a worldwide recession. The Emerging Deal: Limited Concessions and Unresolved Issues The emerging deal is focused on solving a problem that didn't exist before Trump started this war: fully reopening the strait of Hormuz to commercial shipping so that oil prices can stabilize. Under a draft agreement being circulated to US allies, Washington would also lift its blockade of Iranian ports and allow Tehran to access about $12bn in frozen assets. Once again, Trump seems to be aiming for a limited deal with Iran that defers the most difficult questions to future talks, which could drag out for months or even years. Iran's Resilience: Military Strength Preserved In some ways, Iran has emerged stronger after a war intended to decimate its military capabilities. A CIA report sent to Trump earlier this month found that Tehran had managed to retain a significant part of its missile capabilities. The analysis said Iran preserved about 70% of its prewar stockpile of missiles and about 75% of its mobile launchers. The report also concluded that Iran was more resilient than US officials had claimed, and it could survive a naval blockade for months. Political Calculations: Midterm Elections and Trump's Dilemma At his cabinet meeting, Trump said he didn't care about the midterm elections and wasn't in a rush to reach a deal. "It's got to be perfect," Trump told reporters, adding: "I didn't do this to get a crummy agreement." Despite his weak position, Trump insists that he will strike a better deal with Iran than the one negotiated by the Obama administration in 2015. That agreement provided Tehran with relief from international sanctions in exchange for limits on its nuclear enrichment. The Unintended Consequences: Strengthening the Adversary Trump could have avoided starting a regime-change war that failed, leaving the world to deal with its consequences. Instead, the master negotiator handed Iran a new economic weapon – and more leverage to extract a favorable deal. The worst thing you can possibly do in a deal is seem desperate to make it. That makes the other guy smell blood, and then you're dead. Trump wrote in his famous book. The best thing you can do is deal from strength, and leverage is the biggest strength you can have.

The Inflation Conundrum For such an uncannily successful politician, Donald Trump exhibits a perplexing political myopia. His most recent own-goal was endorsing Ken Paxton, a state attorney general, against four-term senator John Cornyn in the Republican primary for Senate in Texas. Trump's Inflationary Gambits What truly screams “I want us to lose the midterms” is what Trump is doing about inflation, which is becoming his most vulnerable issue. According to a New York Times/Siena poll of registered voters earlier in May, Trump’s approval on handling the cost of living is underwater by 42 percentage points. The Data Analysis Inflation rose at the fastest pace in three years in April, driven by the Iran war and other factors. The nationwide average price of regular gasoline is hovering around $4.50 a gallon, about $1.30 higher than a year ago. Consumer prices increased 3.8% in the year to April, their highest annual rate in two years. The Impact Analysis People’s attitudes about inflation are difficult to parse. They think less about the alphabet of indices policymakers focus on, such as CPI and PCE, and more about how much the price of eggs and gas have risen since they last remembered. The Prediction This may not be statistically robust, but since George HW Bush lost to Bill Clinton in 1992, there has been only one presidential election in a year with inflation as high as it is today. The incumbent, George W Bush, lost to Barack Obama.

The Overnight Drone Attacks Ukraine has launched coordinated drone attacks on Russian energy infrastructure across multiple regions overnight. The most significant strike hit Taganrog, Rostov Oblast, where a major port fire broke out after drones hit a tanker, fuel tank and administrative building, Russia’s RIA Novosti state media agency reported. Details of the Attacks Early on Saturday, Rostov Governor Yury Slyusar confirmed the attack on Max, a Russian state-backed messaging app. “A tanker, a fuel tank, and an administrative building caught fire at the port of Taganrog as a result of a drone attack,” Slyusar wrote. “According to preliminary information, there are no casualties. The information is being clarified.” The attack also injured two civilians when a drone struck a private home in Taganrog. Slyusar added that Russian air defences destroyed multiple drones overnight across four districts. The Data Analysis The attacks resulted in significant damage, including: A gas pipe in a house caught fire after being damaged by a drone in the village of Grekovo-Timofeyevka. Windows in two houses were damaged in the village of Botsmanovo in the Neklinovsky District. The Volgograd oil refinery was forced to shut down following drone strikes. The Impact Analysis The escalating conflict between Ukraine and Russia has resulted in significant damage to infrastructure and loss of life. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy warned on Friday that Russia is organising a new large-scale assault on Ukraine. The Prediction The situation is likely to continue deteriorating, with both sides engaging in further attacks. The international community is closely monitoring the situation, with NATO states slamming Russia after drone crashes in Romania.

The Hurricanes End a Two‑Decade Wait for a Stanley Cup FinalRod Brind’Amour and his squad celebrated on the ice after capturing the Prince of Wales Trophy, marking the franchise’s first trip to the Stanley Cup final since 2006. The emotional scene underscored a long‑awaited breakthrough after eight years of Eastern Conference final setbacks. Dominant Game 5 Performance Overpowers Montreal CanadiensA 6‑1 rout in Game 5 saw Taylor Hall, Logan Stankoven and Eric Robinson each score in the opening period, establishing a 3‑0 lead. Subsequent goals from Jackson Blake, Shayne Gostisbehere, and an empty‑net tally by Seth Jarvis sealed the win, while goaltender Frederik Andersen held a shutout until midway through the third. Series result: Hurricanes win 4‑1. Key turning point: Rebound from a 6‑2 loss in Game 1 to win four straight. Historic run: First team since 1983 to reach the final with only one loss. Statistical Milestones: One Loss En Route to the FinalAccording to SportRadar, the Hurricanes are the only team since the league adopted best‑of‑seven series in all four postseason rounds (1987) to advance with a single defeat. Their 10‑straight‑goal stretch, beginning with Andrei Svechnikov’s overtime winner in Game 3, highlighted offensive firepower. What This Means for Carolina’s Franchise and the Eastern ConferenceThe victory reshapes the Hurricanes’ narrative from perennial contender to genuine championship threat. It also signals a shift in the Eastern Conference hierarchy, with the once‑dominant Canadiens exiting earlier than expected and the Hurricanes poised to challenge the West’s powerhouse, the Vegas Golden Knights. Looking Ahead: The Vegas Showdown and Future ProspectsNext up is a best‑of‑seven series against the Golden Knights, where Carolina’s depth and resilience will be tested. Analysts predict a tightly contested matchup, with the Hurricanes’ balanced scoring and defensive upgrades offering a realistic chance to capture their first Stanley Cup since the franchise’s relocation in 1997.

Why Fans Are the Smart Summer Cooling ChoiceThe Guardian’s award‑winning tech journalist measured 16 fans and several evaporative coolers to see how they perform against a typical portable air‑conditioner that draws 1,000W (about 26p per hour). Fans in the test consumed between 8W and 60W, delivering a far lower electricity bill and carbon footprint while still moving enough air to make a noticeable temperature drop.Power Consumption Numbers Show Fans Beat Air‑ConditionersAirCraft Lume – 18W on top setting; could run 56 hours for the cost of one hour of air‑con.Dreo TurboCool misting fan 765S – 22W, best overall cooling performance.Devola desk fan – 12W, cheapest at £64.99.Shark FlexBreeze Pro Mist – 30W, premium misting option at £249.99.Swan Nordic evaporative cooler – 15W, lowest‑energy water‑based cooler at £69.Cooling Comfort Meets Carbon Savings for UK HouseholdsRunning a fan instead of an air‑conditioner can cut summer electricity use by up to 95 %, translating into lower bills and reduced greenhouse‑gas emissions. For a typical UK home, swapping a 1,000W air‑con for an 18W fan saves roughly £23 per month and avoids about 0.12 tCO₂ of emissions.What’s Next for Home Cooling in a Warming Climate?As heatwaves become more frequent, manufacturers are likely to focus on quieter, smarter fans with integrated sensors that adjust speed automatically. Expect more hybrid designs that combine low‑energy misting with airflow optimisation, giving consumers a wider menu of carbon‑friendly cooling solutions.

The Unconventional Auction Artists Hilary Powell and Dan Edelstyn are auctioning off their work from the past decade and a half to help fund a community-led renewable power station in Nigel Farage's Clacton constituency. The big-ticket item going under the hammer will be the remnants of a gold Ford Transit van containing £1.2m in fake banknotes that the pair blew up in London's Docklands in 2019. The Blown-Up Van The van wreckage and charred banknotes were gathered up and reconstituted as an Alexander Calder-like mobile that, for a while, hung in Cambridge's Fitzwilliam Museum. Now, for perhaps £100,000, this sculpture could be the centrepiece of your living room. Powell hopes that the exploded van will be bought by a public institution. The Fundraising Goal The pair hope to raise at least £250,000 for the project. Alongside the in-person auction, they are hosting an online iteration that will run until 31 May. They currently have £750 and need about 250 times that to fund the project. The Purpose Behind the Project The pair call what they do Method Art. They aim to build a community-owned renewable power station in Reform's first seat as a response to the party's donations from oil and gas interests, highly polluting industries, and climate science deniers. The Future of Community-Owned Renewable Energy The proceeds from the auction will bankroll the work the pair are doing to set up in Clacton and to make a film about the project. If they sell the blown-up van, the proceeds will be core funding for their not-for-profit production company. The funding for the power station will come from issuing shares and other fund-raising to create a community benefit society.

The Filmmaker's Perspective on Indigenous Issues Lucrecia Martel, known for her fiction films like 'Zama' (2017) and 'The Headless Woman' (2008), has spent about 15 years working on 'Landmarks', her first documentary. The film addresses the broader and historical problem of Indigenous rights in Argentina through the case of Javier Chocobar, an Indigenous leader killed in 2009. The Event Details: The Killing of Javier Chocobar The documentary centers on the killing of Javier Chocobar, an activist and leader of the Diaguita people from the Chuschagasta community in the province of Tucumán. He was shot dead inside his territory on October 12, 2009, by Darío Luis Amín, a mining businessman, and two former police officers. Martel was present at the trial, which she described as an 'extraordinary spectacle' that highlighted racism against Indigenous peoples. The Data Analysis: A Historical Pattern of Neglect Martel believes that Argentine racism against Indigenous peoples, who make up about 3% of the population, is tied to how the country sees and projects itself: a 'white' nation shaped by European immigration. She argues that Argentina needs to end its 'fantasy of being a European country' and acknowledge its Indigenous heritage. The Impact Analysis: The Ongoing Struggle for Recognition The Chuschagasta community is still fighting for official state recognition of its land. Martel's film aims to contribute to the history of Argentina and the health of Argentine society by shedding light on the usurpation of Indigenous lands. The documentary shows moments where the centuries-long presence of the Chuschagasta community was questioned, and even the very existence of Indigenous Argentinians was denied. The Prediction: A Call for Change Martel hopes that her film will help bring about change and recognition of Indigenous rights in Argentina. She plans to hand over the rights to the Chuschagasta community, who were the first to see the completed documentary. The film's promotional cycle is coming to an end, and Martel looks forward to its continued impact on raising awareness about Indigenous issues in Argentina.

UK Study Reveals Air Pollution's Impact on Children's Lung DevelopmentResearch shows that air pollution is slowing the lung growth of children in the UK. Scientists tracked the lung function of more than 5,000 people who were born in and around Bristol in the 1990s. Their health was assessed from birth onwards and their lungs were tested as they grew up, at eight and 15 years old and then as adults, aged 24, when their lung function should have reached its maximum.Longitudinal Study Tracks Lung Function From Birth to AdulthoodProf Ann Hansell, of the University of Leicester, who led the study, said: "Much of the evidence on health effects of air pollution relates to adults or pregnancy, but we think it's highly plausible it has impacts on growth and development of children. Those whose lungs didn't grow to maximum potential in childhood may be more vulnerable to the respiratory diseases of later life because they have a lower reserve."Dr Katie Eminson, also of the University of Leicester and a first author of the study, explained: "Lung function was measured using spirometry by trained technicians. Participants were asked to take a deep breath in, then blow out as hard and as fast as possible into a mouthpiece. A machine measured both the amount of air they can breathe out and the speed of that breath, providing an indication of how well their lungs are working."Pollution Exposure Linked to Reduced Lung CapacityThe researchers calculated the children's air pollution exposure in each trimester of pregnancy and then for each year of early childhood. This included particle pollution as well as nitrogen dioxide, a gas that comes mainly from diesel cars and fossil gas boilers.Hansell noted: "We spent literally years creating the particulate air pollution exposure estimates in pregnancy and early life, including sourcing road traffic data from Bristol city council that are not available in the national database."The researchers allowed for other factors that can affect children's health, including premature birth, breastfeeding, parental smoking and home conditions including damp.They found that breathing more air pollution during pregnancy, infancy and early childhood can slow lung development all the way up to early adulthood. The greatest impact was during adolescence, which is the time when lung growth accelerates.Health Implications Extend Beyond Respiratory SystemThose with reduced lung function face multiple health risks. "They are also more vulnerable to poorer health generally," Hansell explained. "For instance, low lung function in adults is associated with the same level of risk of heart disease as having high cholesterol. Research has also shown that people whose lung health has been affected by air pollution may be at greater risk of heart disease."An earlier study found that air pollution was reducing the growth of children's lungs in east London. There, the average nine-year-old's lungs were between 90 and 100 millilitres smaller than they should be—approximately the volume of two hen's eggs.Studies on children in Sweden showed that lung growth increased when air quality improved. Reductions in air pollution might have also allowed the Bristol children's lung growth to return closer to normal rates.Call for Action on Air Quality ProtectionEminson concluded: "While the effects in individual children are small and unlikely to have immediate clinical consequences, they shouldn't be dismissed. Because lung function tends to track from childhood into adulthood, small differences early in life may have implications for long-term health. This reinforces the importance of reducing exposures and protecting children's environments."

U.S. inflation accelerated to its fastest pace in three years in April, as energy prices surged amid the war with Iran, prompting expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain a restrictive rate stance well into next year.April Inflation Surge Tied to Iran ConflictThe war in the Strait of Hormuz disrupted oil shipments, pushing national average gasoline prices up 12.3% in April and lifting overall energy costs by 5.5%. These supply‑chain shocks fed through to broader price indices, reigniting concerns about inflationary momentum.Numbers Reveal Sharpest Price Gains Since 2023Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index rose 3.8% year‑on‑year, the largest increase since May 2023.Core PCE (excluding food and energy) climbed 3.3% YoY, up from 3.2% in March.Month‑on‑month, the overall PCE index advanced 0.4% after a 0.7% jump in March.Goods prices increased 0.7%, with food prices rebounding 0.5%.Consumer saving rate fell to 2.6%, the lowest level since June 2022.Broader Economic and Political RamificationsHigher inflation is eroding real disposable income for the third consecutive month, pressuring household consumption that accounts for more than two‑thirds of U.S. economic activity. The rising cost‑of‑living environment is also denting President Donald Trump's approval ratings ahead of the 2024 election, while the Republican majority in Congress faces heightened scrutiny ahead of the November midterms.Outlook for Fed Policy and Consumer SpendingFinancial markets expect the Federal Reserve to keep its benchmark rate in the 3.50%–3.75% range through 2027. New Fed chair Kevin Warsh has signaled a “reform‑oriented” agenda but faces pressure from the White House to lower rates. Meanwhile, consumer spending edged up only 0.1% in April after a 0.3% rise in March, suggesting a tentative pullback as households grapple with stagnant real wages.