Iran's Supreme Leader Appears More Active Amid US Talks
The Lead
United States Secretary of State Marco Rubio has said Iran’s Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei appears to be taking a more active role as negotiations between the two countries continue following an April 8 truce.
Iran's Supreme Leader Regains Visibility
Testifying before the US’s Senate Foreign Relations Committee on Tuesday, Rubio said there are signs that Mojtaba Khamenei, who has not been seen publicly since US air strikes killed his father and predecessor on the first day of the war, is alive and more deeply engaged in the country’s affairs.
- Rubio stated that Khamenei's communications have been in writing and through intermediaries.
- The US diplomat indicated that there are indications Khamenei is increasingly engaging at some level.
The Data Analysis
Rubio’s remarks come as Tehran is reviewing the latest version of a US proposal aimed at ending the war, which US President Donald Trump reportedly tightened the terms of in recent days.
- Iran’s semi-official Mehr news agency cited a source close to the country’s negotiating team as saying Tehran is still studying the latest proposal and has not communicated with the US in several days.
- The official stressed Iran was taking a “stern” approach given what it sees as US non-compliance with the ceasefire and general mistrust.
The Impact Analysis
The US-Israel war on Iran that began on February 28 has killed thousands of people, mainly in Iran and Lebanon. It has caused global pain by pushing up energy prices since Iran effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz, which previously carried about a fifth of global supplies of oil and liquefied natural gas.
- The continuing Israeli attacks in Lebanon have become a major point of contention for Iran, which insists a full ceasefire in Lebanon must be part of any agreement with Washington.
The Prediction
“There is the prospect before us, which could happen today, it could happen tomorrow, it could happen next week,” Rubio added. He also stated that sanctions relief would only come after significant concession on the nuclear programme and the enriched uranium.
- Iran’s parliament speaker and chief negotiator, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, said he told Lebanon’s Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri if Israel’s “aggression against Lebanon continues”, Tehran “will not only halt the path of negotiations” with the US, “but we will also be in direct confrontation with the enemy.”