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The Plight of Somalia's Displaced For three years, Zeynab Ibrahim watched as her little town shrivelled up and died. The rains never came, the reservoirs were depleted and the farms gradually turned to dust. Hunger and sickness swept through the village, claiming the lives of many, including four of Ibrahim’s 10 children. Displacement and Desperation They joined more than a million displaced people who now live in abysmal conditions in informal settlements across the city. “Our livelihoods depended on what we could grow on the ground, including maize, beans, sesame and vegetables. But the ground dried because there was no rain,” says Ibrahim. The Humanitarian Crisis More than 6.5 million Somalis have been pushed to the brink of severe hunger – nearly a third of the population. Internally displaced people are the worst affected, living on overcrowded sites with limited access to water, sanitation, health and hygiene facilities. The Impact on Children Children are bearing the brunt of the crisis, with nearly 1.9 million under-fives facing acute malnutrition, according to the latest integrated food security phase classification (IPC) report. Nearly 500 nutrition clinics have now closed because of a lack of funding, leaving children such as Ibrahim’s youngest, who is two, without care. The Way Forward The situation is aggravated by the significant international humanitarian aid cuts and President Donald Trump’s war on Iran, with the closure of the strait of Hormuz driving up the cost of fuel, food and transport.

The Looming Hunger Crisis in Iran The World Food Programme (WFP) has issued a stark warning that the ongoing conflict in Iran is driving millions of people towards hunger. The situation is dire, with the WFP highlighting the urgent need for humanitarian assistance to mitigate the impact of the war on civilians. Exacerbating Humanitarian Needs The war on Iran has significantly exacerbated existing humanitarian needs, pushing millions to the brink of hunger. The WFP's concerns underscore the devastating consequences of prolonged conflict on civilian populations, particularly in terms of food security. Urgent Call for Assistance The WFP's warning emphasizes the critical need for immediate and sustained humanitarian assistance to address the growing hunger crisis in Iran. The international community faces a pressing imperative to act swiftly to prevent a catastrophic escalation of hunger and malnutrition among the Iranian population. Humanitarian Impact The humanitarian impact of the war on Iran is multifaceted, with the WFP's data indicating a sharp increase in the number of people facing severe food insecurity. This situation calls for a concerted international effort to provide emergency food assistance and support to those most affected. Future Outlook Looking ahead, the WFP and other humanitarian organizations will likely continue to sound the alarm on the hunger crisis in Iran, advocating for sustained international support to address the immediate and long-term needs of the affected population. The situation remains fluid, with the potential for further deterioration in food security unless concerted action is taken.

The Escalating Humanitarian Crisis in Lebanon The United Nations has doubled its call for aid to Lebanon as it bids to stem a “severe and deteriorating” humanitarian crisis brought on by four months of war with Israel. The UN's Revised Aid Appeal The UN’s humanitarian agency OCHA said on Friday that it needs nearly $640m over the next six months. In March, as the hostilities broke out in response to the United States and Israeli attacks on Iran, the UN had said $308m would be needed. Original appeal: $308m Revised appeal: $640m Amount received so far: $185m The Impact of the Conflict Lebanon’s Ministry of Public Health reports that the death toll from Israeli attacks has risen to 3,526 people, with a further 10,733 wounded since March 2. More than one million people have been forced to flee their homes and remain displaced. The Strain on Essential Services “Repeated displacements, insufficient shelter capacity and limited prospects for safe return are deepening vulnerability,” OCHA said in a statement. “Affected people are rapidly exhausting their coping capacities, and essential services are under increasing strain”. The Economic and Health Consequences The UN said the economy was worsening the situation in Lebanon, as fuel and electricity prices have risen due to the effects of the US-Israeli war on Iran on global energy supplies. The strain on the healthcare economy has forced the closure of 62 hospitals that have been damaged or closed, according to OCHA. Lebanese health authorities also reported that more than 100 paramedics have been killed in the conflict. The Future Outlook Hezbollah has rejected the conditional ceasefire agreed by Lebanese and Israeli representatives in Washington on Thursday, instead demanding a full ceasefire and the full withdrawal of the Israeli army from the country.

The United States’ executive order halting visas for Iran, coupled with a near‑century‑long war launched by the US and Israel, is keeping Iranian fans and other travelers away from the 2026 FIFA World Cup, raising questions about the event’s accessibility and inclusivity.Visa Restrictions Put Iran’s World Cup Plans in JeopardyWhen Iran qualified for the tournament in March 2026, the team did not anticipate needing U.S. visas at the last minute. President Donald Trump signed an executive order in June 2025 that halted visa issuance to a handful of countries, including Iran, which the U.S. labels a “state sponsor of terrorism.” The order forces the Iranian squad to seek entry through Mexico, adding uncertainty to their participation.Financial and Logistical Burdens on FansNearly 150 Ghanaian fans had their visa applications rejected last month.Fans from 27 of the 48 qualified nations must obtain a U.S. visa, costing between $185 and $435 per applicant.Ghanaian applicants pay a $185 U.S. visa fee plus 100 Canadian dollars for a Canadian visa, an amount comparable to the average monthly per‑capita income in Ghana.The FIFA Priority Appointment Scheduling System (PASS) expedites interviews for ticket‑holding fans but does not guarantee approval.Geopolitical Tensions Undermine Tournament InclusivityThe war has already claimed thousands of Iranian lives, including a missile strike on a school in Minab that the national team commemorated with tiny backpacks. Political reprisals within Iran have led to arrests and executions of individuals accused of spying for the U.S. or Israel, further discouraging travel.Human Rights Watch reported the detention and deportation of an asylum seeker who attended the Club World Cup final in New Jersey, heightening safety concerns for prospective World Cup visitors.Future of Fan Mobility and FIFA PolicyInternational sports lawyer Khayran Noor argues that future FIFA host agreements should address accessibility and mobility obligations before awarding rights. She notes that structural barriers—visa costs, security checks, and war‑related travel bans—risk eroding the “inclusive ideals” the tournament claims to uphold.While Mexico remains the most visa‑friendly host nation and South Africa successfully secured visas for a small supporters group, the broader pattern suggests that without coordinated policy reforms, large segments of the global fan base may remain excluded from the world’s biggest football event.

The Lead: EU Fuel Supply Remains Stable Amid Regional Conflict Despite growing concerns among holidaymakers about potential fuel shortages due to the Middle East crisis, the European Union's transport commissioner has assured there are no signs of jet fuel shortages in Europe currently or in the coming months. This assurance comes as airlines continue to operate with some adjusting routes and raising prices to offset higher fuel costs. The Transport Commissioner's Assessment: Current Fuel Supply Situation European Union Transport Commissioner Apostolos Tzitzikostas has explicitly stated that "There is currently no jet fuel shortage in Europe. We have no signs that we will have a shortage in the coming period." This assessment comes despite the ongoing Middle East conflict and lack of progress to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, a critical shipping lane for oil supplies. Tzitzikostas noted that high jet fuel prices have prompted airlines to cut uneconomic routes, explaining: "This is why we see that some airlines are choosing to cancel some of their routes that didn't make any economic sense." In May alone, airlines cut two million airline seats from their schedules, representing less than 2% of global aviation capacity. The Market Response: Airlines Adjusting to Higher Fuel Costs The aviation industry has responded to soaring fuel prices through several strategies: Route optimization and cancellation of unprofitable routes Increased ticket prices to pass on higher fuel costs Reduced demand through higher fares These measures represent a form of "demand destruction" as high energy costs naturally reduce consumption. British Airways, for example, has implemented fare increases attempting to offset a £1.7 billion fuel cost hit, demonstrating the significant financial pressure airlines face. The Future Outlook: Potential Crisis by Year-End While current fuel supplies remain stable, Tzitzikostas offered a warning about the longer-term outlook: "It's critical that the war stops and that the Strait of Hormuz opens and this needs to happen as soon as possible.... We should always keep in mind that Europe is prepared. We have the emergency stocks in our member states." The commissioner suggested that "the situation would be 'very difficult' by the end of the year if Middle Eastern supplies remained disrupted." This cautionary note comes seven weeks after the head of the International Energy Agency warned that Europe had only six weeks of jet fuel remaining before potential shortages would hit. Regional Economic Impact: Consumer Behavior and Market Stability The broader economic impact of the fuel situation extends beyond aviation. Recent data shows UK consumers returning to high streets as spring sunshine brought relief to retailers who have faced spending constraints since the US-Israel war on Iran began. Consumer confidence surveys indicate a rebound in May as shoppers adjusted to the sharp rise in petrol and diesel prices linked to the Middle East conflict that began in late February. Despite these challenges, European authorities maintain that current market conditions reflect "a certain degree of stability" with emergency stocks available if needed. The situation continues to evolve as the summer travel season approaches, with both consumers and airlines closely monitoring developments in the Middle East and global fuel markets.

The Climate Policy Reversal in Blue States Democratic-led states are eroding their climate policies, as red states are scaling up their clean energy deployment. California on Friday scaled back its cap-and-invest program, offering more than $3bn in free pollution allowances to polluting companies. Earlier the same week, New York weakened its groundbreaking climate law, delaying a plan to regulate carbon from 2024 until 2028 and reducing emissions-slashing targets. Rhode Island's governor, meanwhile, is attempting to roll back aggressive clean-energy programs. The Economic Justification vs. Climate Imperative The moves come as Donald Trump's administration withdraws clean energy incentives and energy savings programs, and as energy prices spike across the country amid trade disruptions stemming from the US-Israeli war on Iran. Proponents have said the changes are necessary to suppress electricity costs, but climate advocates say that view is short-sighted and misguided. "Using affordability as a cudgel to weaken climate policy is a major error that will not solve either crisis, ultimately amplifying both," said Johanna Bozuwa, executive director of the Climate and Community Institute, a left-leaning thinktank. "Extreme weather and fossil-fuel dependency directly inflate costs – for food, energy, transportation, housing, and health – across the economy for working people." American Public Opinion on Climate Change Polls show most Americans are concerned about the climate crisis. An annual poll from Gallup, published in April, shows that 44% of American adults say they worry "a great deal" about global warming – one of the highest levels of concern since 1989, when the poll was first conducted, behind only 2020 and 2017. About 65% of registered voters in the US also think global heating is driving up the cost of living, according to a report published in December by Yale University and George Mason University. Red States Lead Clean Energy Buildout In contrast to many Democratic-led jurisdictions, red states have tended to dominate renewable energy deployment in recent years. In terms of growth of utility-scale renewables, states that voted for Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential election made up eight of the top 10 in the year to March, according to Energy Information Administration data. Indiana tops the list of states with the most clean energy capacity growth in that timeframe, followed by Kentucky and Utah. More broadly, though, it is Texas that has emerged as the country's leading clean energy superpower, despite its strong ties to the oil and gas industry and unsuccessful attempts within the Republican-led legislature to curb the growth of wind and solar. Texas leads the country in wind energy production, followed by fellow red states Iowa, Oklahoma and Kansas, and in March overtook California in utility-scale solar, too. The Paradox of Climate Leadership Meanwhile, the states scaling back their emissions-cutting policies have long called themselves climate leaders. When Governor Gavin Newsom of California extended his state's cap-and-invest program last year, he said: "We're doubling down on our best tool to combat Trump's assaults on clean air … by making polluters pay for projects that support our most impacted communities." The changes could end up giving more money to the fossil fuel producers and distributors who have been increasing consumers' energy prices amid the Iran war, said Bahram Fazeli, Policy Director with Communities for a Better Environment, a grassroots organization in California. "There's no reason to think that giving them more free allowances will actually help motivate them to lower gas prices more," he said. Long-Term Economic Implications New York advocates are also skeptical about whether the weakening of the 2019 Climate Leadership and Community Protection Act – which the state touted as among the strongest climate laws the country – will deliver long-term benefits. The state legislature last week reached a deal with Governor Kathy Hochul to remove a 2030 mandate to cut planet-warming pollution by 40% from 1990 levels, instead including language to aim for a 60% by 2040 if it is "feasible and cost effective" to do so. "Even though you might see bill savings initially, that's going to come at the cost of locked-in, higher energy costs in the future, as the grid has to procure more energy that would otherwise have been saved," Anna Johnson, a senior policy manager State at American Council for an Energy-Efficient Economy, told Baltimore's NPR affiliate WYPR; she estimates that the moves could ultimately increase households' electricity costs by $592m. The True Cost of Inaction The climate crisis itself also costs for working people, said Mar Zepeda Salazar, legislative director of the national environmental justice coalition Climate Justice Alliance. "You can lower costs on paper by weakening protections, but the bill still comes due," she said. "It just shows up in emergency rooms, insurance premiums, utility bills, lost wages, and disaster recovery – that families pay, not industry."

Spring Sunshine Sparks May Footfall Bounce‑BackMay saw a noticeable rise in UK high‑street visits as sunny weather provided a brief respite from the economic strain caused by the US‑Israel war on Iran. The British Retail Consortium (BRC) and accountancy firm BDO both reported a reversal of the sharp footfall decline recorded in April.Retail Sales Edge Up While Overall Footfall Stays Below Last YearBDO reported that total high‑street sales grew 3.4% compared with May 2025. The BRC noted a 2.6% decline in overall footfall versus May 2025, but highlighted a much steeper 10.7% slump in April.High streets: footfall down 1.7% YoYShopping centres & retail parks: footfall down 2.4% YoYConsumer Confidence Climbs to Highest Level Since 2021A YouGov poll, in partnership with the Centre for Economics and Business Research, showed the confidence index rise 2.6 points to 104.9 in May, the biggest jump in five years. Respondents also reported improved perceptions of household finances and house‑price outlooks (from 128.6 to 130.5).Mixed Economic Signals Amid Rising CostsThe OECD upgraded its UK growth forecast to 0.9% for 2026, up from 0.7% in March, but unemployment has unexpectedly risen to 5% and energy bills are set to climb sharply later in the year.Future Outlook: Seasonal Boosts Countered by Geopolitical and Energy RisksIndustry leaders such as Helen Dickinson, BRC chief executive, caution that the late‑May heat wave dampened footfall and that any uplift from events like the World Cup may be offset by ongoing uncertainty from the conflict‑driven energy price surge and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Sophie Michael, head of retail at BDO, warns that higher costs could force consumers to tighten spending, keeping the longer‑term retail outlook “fairly bleak”.

The Controversy Surrounding Trump's Settlement Fund Republicans in the United States Senate have renewed their push to pass a controversial $70bn immigration-enforcement funding bill, a top policy priority for President Donald Trump. However, the effort faced a series of hurdles, with Democrats forcing votes on several amendments that highlighted controversies related to the Trump presidency. The 'Vote-a-Rama' Process The rapid-fire votes on the amendments were dubbed a 'vote-a-rama', and they are slated to include issues ranging from Trump's White House ballroom to his tariff policies and the US-Israel war on Iran. 'Amendment after amendment, vote after vote, Republicans are going to have to answer to the American people,' Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer said. The Data Analysis: Trump's $1.8bn Settlement Fund Early on, Republicans were forced to confront a topic that has dominated headlines in recent weeks: Trump's proposed $1.776bn 'anti-weaponisation' fund. The fund has been controversial on both sides of the aisle, with critics calling it a slush fund for Trump's allies. Several Republicans indicated that the optics of such a fund could be politically catastrophic ahead of November's midterm elections, and the Department of Justice has since backed away from the scheme. The Impact Analysis: Immigration Funding Bill The situation on Thursday was the result of a standoff between Democrats and Republicans over the Trump administration's approach to immigration enforcement. Democrats had pledged not to approve further funding for Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) and Customs and Border Protection (CBP), following the killing of two US citizens during immigration operations in Minneapolis, Minnesota. The Prediction: Future of the Immigration Funding Bill If Senate Republicans remain unified, they are expected to pass the funding bill late Thursday night or early Friday. The Republican-controlled House of Representatives is expected to take up the bill shortly after.

The Record Low Indonesia's rupiah has hit its weakest level ever against the US dollar, breaching the psychological 18,000 threshold amid surging energy costs. The currency hit 18,028 against the greenback on Thursday, despite recent central bank efforts to provide support. The Energy Shock The energy shock driven by the US-Israel war on Iran has placed a significant strain on energy-importing Southeast Asian economies, particularly Indonesia and the Philippines. The resulting pressure on trade balances has contributed to capital outflows and weaker currencies. The Economic Impact Gulf hostilities flared again on Wednesday, sending oil prices up more than 1 percent. Adding to regional uncertainty, the United States has proposed additional import duties of 10 percent or 12.5 percent on goods from 60 economies, including Indonesia, Malaysia and Singapore, over alleged forced labour failures. Expert Analysis Permata Bank chief economist Josua Pardede said that an exchange rate of 18,000 was a “psychological threshold” for market investors. The weakening, he told the AFP news agency, was fuelled by high dollar demand caused by the spike in oil prices and a narrowing trade surplus. Future Outlook “Dollar supply from goods trade is dwindling, while dollar needs for energy imports, raw materials, dividends, foreign debt payments and seasonality needs remain significant,” he said. “This is why the increase in the BI [Bank Indonesia] lending rate and intervention is not enough to reverse the rupiah’s [depreciation].”