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The Lead-Up to Tuesday's Primaries In the United States, voters in six states are participating in primary elections that will set up the final races in November's critical midterm elections. Tuesday is one of the busiest primaries days of the year, with voting underway in Iowa, Montana, New Mexico, New Jersey, South Dakota, and California. Key Races to Watch Candidates for no fewer than 74 seats in the US House of Representatives are on the ballot today, as voters decide who will progress to November's general election. The outcomes could shape the political landscape for the remainder of President Donald Trump's second term, as frontrunners are decided for the midterms. California's Competitive Races California, a left-leaning state, is holding primaries for no fewer than 52 House races. However, many are unlikely to be competitive. Only California's 22nd district is expected to be competitive, with a heated three-way, nonpartisan primary between Republican incumbent David Valadao, moderate Jasmeet Bains, and progressive Randy Villegas. New Jersey's Senate and House Races In New Jersey, a lot of attention is on the primaries, particularly in the 7th congressional district, where incumbent Congress member Tom Kean Jr. is running unopposed in the Republican primary. However, his seat is vulnerable to a Democratic takeover in a state that can lean purple. Montana's Senate Race In Montana, the incumbent Senator Steve Daines pulled out of the race days before the March deadline, clearing the field for a Trump-endorsed Republican, Kurt Alme. However, five Democrats are racing in the party primary for a chance to compete for Daines's vacant Senate seat in November. Other States' Primaries In Iowa, the Republican Party's best bet is expected to be US Representative Ashley Hinson, a Trump loyalist. In New Mexico, former Interior Secretary Deb Haaland is running for the Democratic nomination for governor, which could make her the first Indigenous woman to be elected governor in the US. In South Dakota, Republicans are hoping to maintain control of an open House seat.

The Fall of a Trump Critic Congressman Thomas Massie, one of the most vocal critics of United States President Donald Trump, has lost his primary race to Trump-backed former Navy SEAL Ed Gallrein in a major political victory for the Republican leader. Trump's Influence on the Republican Party Massie had angered Trump by publicly opposing military action against Iran and sponsoring a bill that resulted in the release of files linked to convicted paedophile Jeffrey Epstein and resisting parts of the president’s agenda. His defeat in the most expensive US House of Representatives primary race in history highlighted Trump’s continued influence over the Republican Party and the political risks faced by Republicans who break with him. Record-Breaking Campaign Spending The race between Massie and Gallrein was the most expensive congressional primary in US history, reaching more than $34m in publicity spending. More than $19m was spent to benefit Gallrein, with nearly $9.4m of that coming from American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC) and other pro-Israel interest groups. Massie's Warning Against Absolute Party Loyalty Massie delivered an unusually long concession speech where he criticised unquestioning loyalty to the president. Arguing for constitutional principles over party loyalty, Massie warned the crowd, “If the legislative branch always votes with the president, we do have a king.” Other Primary Election Results The results also highlighted the continuing political risks for Republicans who openly break with Trump, who still falsely claims the 2020 election was stolen. Georgia’s closely watched Republican race for governor is heading to a June 16 run-off after no candidate secured a majority of the vote on Tuesday.