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The Lead As the UK marks the 10-year anniversary of the Brexit referendum, it's clear that the event has had a profound impact on British politics and society. The leave campaign's use of lies and disinformation has contributed to a coarsening of the national conversation and a rise in division and hatred. The Brexit Referendum: A Turning Point The Brexit referendum, held on June 23, 2016, was a pivotal moment in British history. The leave campaign, led by figures like Boris Johnson and Nigel Farage, used tactics like fear-mongering and misinformation to sway voters. The remain campaign, on the other hand, was criticized for being too focused on the economic costs of Brexit. The Economic Impact of Brexit The article highlights the significant economic impact of Brexit, including a decline in GDP of between 6% and 8%, and a 15% reduction in trade. The Office for Budget Responsibility estimates that trade is on course to be 15% less than it would have been if the UK had remained in the EU. The Cultural and Social Consequences The article also explores the cultural and social consequences of Brexit, including the rise of a far-right movement and increased division and hatred. The author argues that Brexit has contributed to a coarsening of the national conversation and a decline in respect for facts and truth. The Future of Brexit Despite the challenges, the author remains hopeful that the UK can learn from its mistakes and move forward. A recent poll found that 56% of Britons now support rejoining the EU, compared to 35% who oppose it. The author argues that it may take 20 years to overturn the verdict of 2016, but that progress is already being made.

More than a quarter of British musicians have lost all their EU work since 2021, according to new research by the European Movement UK. This decline signals a critical turning point for the UK's creative economy, where the post-Brexit regulatory landscape has fundamentally altered the feasibility of cross-border touring. The New Bureaucratic Walls of European Touring The primary driver of this crisis is the introduction of complex visa regimes and work permit requirements that differ across EU member states. Musicians now face the Schengen 90-days-in-180 rule, which severely limits the duration of work across the bloc. Additionally, the cost of logistics has skyrocketed; temporary admission (ATA) carnets now cost over £400, and security deposits can reach 40% of equipment value, making extended tours financially impossible for smaller acts. The Financial Fallout: A 45% Earnings Decline The economic impact is stark. The report indicates that average tour earnings have fallen by 45%, with 59% of musicians deeming touring in Europe no longer viable. This represents a massive contraction in revenue streams for a sector that contributed £8bn to the UK economy in 2024, including nearly £5bn in exports. Disruption Across the Creative Supply Chain The repercussions extend beyond individual artists to venues and producers. Mig Schallache, owner of The Louisiana in Bristol, notes that fewer European artists are visiting the UK, creating a void that UK artists cannot fill. This "supply chain" disruption leads to cancelled tours, reduced exports, and weakened collaboration, ultimately depriving audiences of diverse cultural experiences. The Long-Term Risk to UK Cultural Soft Power The loss of Creative Europe funding, which previously invested €111m in UK organizations between 2014 and 2020, further exacerbates the issue. Without addressing these mobility barriers, the UK risks not only economic loss but also a diminished cultural footprint on the continent, threatening the soft power that the music industry traditionally provides.

The Stalled 'Reset' and the July DeadlineThe UK-EU relationship is at a critical juncture as the second 'reset' summit since Brexit faces potential delays. Originally penciled in for June 29, the date has tentatively shifted to July 13, though diplomatic sources suggest it could be pushed back to the autumn. The primary concern among EU officials is the loss of momentum; without a hard deadline, the pressure to finalize agreements diminishes, leading to a negotiation style where deals are often struck only at the last minute.The Youth Mobility Scheme as the Critical Friction PointThe central obstacle to the summit is the deadlock over the Youth Mobility Scheme, which allows under-30s to travel and work in the partner country. The disagreement is structural: the EU insists that its citizens studying in the UK under this scheme must pay 'home' tuition fees, while the UK government is pushing to cap the annual number of EU citizens at between 40,000 and 50,000.EU Position: The scheme is viewed as an investment in the future, with 20 out of 27 EU ministers emphasizing its importance during recent talks.UK Position: Business Secretary Peter Kyle argues that any deal must be 'respectful' of both sides, specifically noting the need to address British voters' concerns regarding migration.The Strategic Value of Youth MobilityBeyond the immediate trade friction, the youth mobility scheme represents a soft-power asset for the EU. EU Trade Commissioner Maroš Šefčovič highlighted its personal and political significance, noting that his own daughter studied in the UK and speaks with a British accent. This personal investment reflects a broader European desire to maintain cultural and educational ties, making the scheme a 'red line' for EU leaders who view it as essential for future cooperation.Future Outlook: The Risk of a Delayed SummitThe biggest risk to the July summit is the lack of transparency and a defined timeline. EU diplomats have expressed frustration that the UK's vision remains unclear, making it difficult to expedite a deal. However, both sides remain optimistic. Kyle described his recent meeting with Šefčovič as 'positive' and full of 'hope and optimism.' The success of this summit will likely depend on whether the UK can demonstrate that the EU delivers tangible benefits to British citizens, thereby winning over public opinion while navigating the tightrope of migration policy.

Burnham's Vision for Social Care Andy Burnham has signalled he would begin transforming England's broken social care system this year if he became prime minister, accusing Westminster of 'flinching away' from tackling difficult policy problems. Plans for Social Care Reform The Greater Manchester mayor said politicians must be willing to take on 'the weight of the system' that stood in the way of radical change, as he began to set out his prospectus for government if he won the Makerfield byelection. Burnham first tried to change the social care system when he was Labour's health secretary in 2009, planning a levy on estates to pay for universal social care. He has talked about replacing inheritance tax with a progressive 'care levy' to fund a national care service. Leadership Ambitions and Labour Party Dynamics Burnham confirmed for the first time that he intends to run in a Labour leadership contest, suggesting there would be no snap election if he replaced Keir Starmer. He defended himself from criticism over a shadow leadership campaign. He argued Labour should be a broad church with more government ministers from the left of the party, but Jeremy Corbyn should not be allowed back in. Economic and Fiscal Policies Burnham denied he had left himself little room for manoeuvre by saying he would stick to the fiscal rules, arguing they had freed up significant resource for public investment. He suggested replacing 'iniquitous' council tax with a land value tax. He proposed reallocating £39bn earmarked for social and affordable housing solely to social homes. Brexit, Immigration, and Future Outlook Burnham argued it would be a mistake to rerun the Brexit referendum but that he wanted the UK to rejoin the EU in his lifetime. He praised Shabana Mahmood, the home secretary, for 'facing up' to the big issues on immigration. He suggested bringing forward the Casey review, tasked with drawing up proposals on funding, to 2026.

The End of an Era for Free-to-Air Cricket As Rudi Koertzen and Billy Bowden removed the bails at The Oval and celebrations began across the country after a grandstand finish to an epochal Ashes, it signalled not only the end of England's 18-year wait to claim back the urn, but the last rites of live Test match cricket on terrestrial TV in the UK. In December 2004, the ECB announced a landmark four-year deal worth £220m that gave Sky exclusive rights to show live cricket, with Channel 4 – which had been showing home Test matches since 1999 – left with nothing. This decision, made more than 20 years ago, remains one of English cricket's most controversial and divisive moments. The Financial Breakthrough Behind the Paywall For Giles Clarke, who led the negotiations in his role as chair of the ECB's marketing committee, it was a simple case of economics. "The alternative was a significant decline in income," said Clarke at the time. "Major cuts would have had to have been made in the funding of the England team, the support structure and to county cricket clubs as well." Clarke insists that the ECB's financial modeling presented a bleak picture if they were to accept Channel 4's bid. "We worked out that at least seven counties would have had to close, and I'm being very serious here. We would have had to cut back on our youth programmes and we couldn't see what we could fund. The game as we knew it, in the opinion of the guys who did the financial modeling, would not exist." In negotiations with Vic Wakeling, Sky's head of sport, Clarke insisted the ECB would need more money if they were to justify the decision to take live cricket off free-to-air. "We sat Vic down and said, 'If you don't [increase your offer], we aren't going to consider doing this with you. You've got to give us a better reason.' We got Sky to increase their bid by £30m. I think we did a bloody good job on the money." The Audience Impact and Accessibility Concerns Channel 4 had innovated in areas that had never been touched before, according to Mark Nicholas, Channel 4's frontman across their seven years as the home of Test cricket in the UK. "We made the game more accessible by the way that we styled it, so it didn't feel too elitist or too difficult." Having won the broadcasting rights before the 1999 season, the same summer that England were defeated by New Zealand on home soil to become officially the worst Test side in the world, Channel 4 brought viewers the team's subsequent rise under Nasser Hussain and then Michael Vaughan, culminating in the Ashes triumph of 2005 when a peak audience of 8.4 million tuned in to watch Ashley Giles and Matthew Hoggard clinch a nail-biter at Trent Bridge. When England sealed the deal at The Oval just over a week later, Channel 4 reported their highest-rating day ever – at 23.2%, the channel's total share of all TV viewing broke the record set by the Big Brother final three years earlier. By then the ink had dried on the ECB's contract with Sky. The Divisive Legacy of the Decision Channel 4 released a statement saying they hoped the ECB "would not come to regret its decision to turn its back on the hundreds of hours of terrestrial exposure that Channel 4 was offering". Their innovative coverage had been widely lauded since they had usurped the BBC to win the broadcasting rights alongside Sky in a two-pronged deal that involved the latter showing one home Test match each summer between 1999 and 2005. Speaking to key figures involved at the time, it's clear that passions still run high. There remains a sense of animosity between the different camps, accusations of underhand PR campaigns, and a refusal to accept that the other side may have a point. There are legacies to protect. In a sense, it's English cricket's Brexit. "We were faced with a horrendous situation but there was no doubt in the minds of all of us who were involved, and there was no doubt in our minds 15 years later, that we did the only thing we could do," says Giles Clarke, reflecting on the deal he struck with Sky 22 years ago. "There have been a lot of lies and rubbish said about this. Channel 4 did not bid for all the Test matches – they only wanted the second series each summer. The BBC said they were not going to bid two days before the did date for bids. Sky had bid for absolutely everything." The Future Outlook for Cricket Broadcasting More than 20 years later, it remains one of English cricket's most divisive and controversial decisions. Did taking live cricket off free-to-air TV secure the future of the English game, or hold it back at exactly the moment it was ready to fly? "When they did the deal in 2004 for 2006 to 2009, they actually only got £55m per year," said Terry Blake, the TCCB's marketing manager and then ECB's commercial director between 1989 and 2003. "So for £10m per year more, which no doubt helped Giles Clarke secure his chairmanship for years to come, they moved it off free-to-air television altogether. I would turn it round and say: imagine the audiences we would have grown and the interest we would have had at the grassroots level had we stayed on free-to-air, even if we'd had to take a slight drop from the £45m per year [received from the 2002-05 deal with Sky and Channel 4]. Whatever money was put into the grassroots because of additional money from Sky, it could never replace the top-down approach." "The music, the graphics, the commentary team, the public's love of it – it had become really rather special," recalls Nicholas. "It was a bit of a cult. The coverage in 2005 was probably universally appreciated more than any other at that stage, so much so that even Kerry Packer in Australia was saying, 'How come they're doing it better than we're doing it?' When you give something such a deep dive, and you're going so well with it, and you feel like you've got so much left to do, it's difficult to stomach that the rights have moved on."

The Brussels Meeting and the 47% CutUK Business Secretary Peter Kyle is scheduled to meet EU Trade Commissioner Maroš Šefčovič in Brussels on Friday to address a critical trade dispute over the drastic reduction of tariff-free steel imports.The core issue is the EU's plan to slash tariff-free imports from non-EU countries by 47% starting July 1, a move the UK steel industry deems "devastating." This meeting marks a significant escalation in post-Brexit trade tensions as the UK seeks to protect its exporters from the new quota regime.Quantifying the Economic ImpactThe European Steel Association (Eurofer) has provided stark figures illustrating the severity of the proposed cuts. The EU's new quota system will drastically limit access for non-EU producers, with specific product categories facing severe restrictions:Hot coil imports: Reduced to 9% of previous levels.Tin mill products: Reduced to 4% of previous levels.Merchant bars: Reduced to 3% of previous levels.Meanwhile, the UK is implementing a 60% reduction in its own quota system, compared to the EU's 50% reduction. Eurofer Director General Axel Eggert warns that these cuts would slash UK exports of organic coated products by 80%, rebar steel by 45%, and steel rails by 38%.Strategic Fracture in the "Steel Club"The dispute highlights the failure of a potential strategic alliance known as the "steel club," where the UK and EU were expected to cooperate against Chinese competition. Instead, the EU is reportedly prioritizing a "mathematical solution" to safeguard rules over a preferential trade deal with a former partner.Industry leaders fear that while the EU is strictly capping its own quotas, it is allocating the remaining quota space to non-European countries, potentially harming British exporters. This shift has fueled fears of retaliatory measures and higher costs for UK consumers.Negotiation Dynamics and Future OutlookThe upcoming meeting between Kyle and Šefčovič is viewed as a critical opportunity to de-escalate tensions. However, industry insiders suggest the UK's low quota figures may be a negotiating tactic rather than a final offer.Axel Eggert expressed hope that the UK's aggressive reduction proposals are merely a starting point for a mutually beneficial settlement. While a zero reduction is deemed impossible, the industry argues the UK deserves preferential treatment due to its historical ties and shared regulatory standards.

The Lead From blacklists for UK passport holders to being asked to work illegally while on holiday, the plethora of extra costs and red tape thrown up post-Brexit are restricting opportunities for British actors seeking work in the EU. Mainland Europe has always been a springboard for those in the creative industries, from gaining crucial first credits on a TV, film or theatre production to building a marketable resume and paying the bills while attempting to make it big in the UK or US. The New Barriers for UK Performers Since Brexit, new barriers that have had a devastating effect for performers include visa rules that only allow work for up to 90 out of 180 days, inclusive of any European holiday time, and myriad customs, tax and other documents that can take an inordinate amount of time and cost to get processed, and can vary between countries. The performers' union Equity cited one common example of a member being taxed on their accommodation costs because that was classified as a "benefit in kind", which had a big impact on their net wages. Spotlight pointed out that, for UK performers, social security costs are deducted in the country where they are working – anywhere from 12% to 22% of their pay. This can be reclaimed but the process can take many months, and often requires paying accountants to chase the money. The Decline in European Opportunities Between 2016 and 2023, performing arts exports to the EU fell from £1.15bn to £929m, according to the Office for National Statistics. By contrast, figures for creative industry exports to non-EU countries show an 18% increase over the same period, from £1.57bn to £1.87bn. The National Theatre halted tours to mainland Europe in 2021 and Europe's largest educational touring company, White Horse Theatre, which has provided English-language performances to schools and theatres across Europe for almost half a century, said last year that Brexit threatened its future. In evidence provided to an investigation being conducted by the culture select committee on the impact of Brexit on performers going to the EU, Spotlight said that jobs on TV commercials were now "almost completely unavailable to UK performers". The Impact on Different Segments of the Industry While performers with star status continue to have a streamlined experience, it is jobbing actors who are often finding they are no longer on the list for parts. One past regular source of work was in adverts filmed abroad, such as the long-running "Get away!" campaign for the now defunct package holiday pioneer Lunn Poly, which featured British tourists filmed in locations such as the Balearic islands. In its written evidence sourced from the experiences of its members, Spotlight said it was "aware of named holiday companies that no longer audition UK-only passport holders" to appear in adverts filmed in the bloc. The difficulty for performers also extends to the many other crew involved. One casting director said that, pre-Brexit, one TV campaign employed 45 people based in the UK but similar campaigns are now being cast from Spain or another EU country. The paperwork involved, and the quick-turnaround nature of shooting, has meant that it is simply easier to not bother auditioning UK talent. The Growing Crisis for Emerging Talent It is young UK performers, and in particular those from a working-class background, who have been most hit by the loss of the EU for work and experience. Students and new graduates would previously have typically secured summer contracts for theme parks, tours and cruises, which are now largely closed off post Brexit because of factors such as the visa changes. According to Spotlight, casting directors have seen a significant decrease in working-class actors in particular picking up jobs in the EU. Unlike actors from wealthier backgrounds, who have access to finances to cover things such as visa costs and sometimes having to wait many months for payments relating to working in mainland Europe, they simply cannot afford to accept a job in the EU. The Future Outlook for UK Performers Agents have turned to encouraging actors to check their heritage to see if they are eligible for some form of dual citizenship, an Irish passport, for example, while some businesses based in the EU now actively blacklist UK-only passport holders. However, the "most concerning" anecdotal evidence is of UK performers being asked to skip getting a legitimate work visa if the paperwork can't be finalised in time, and to lie and work while claiming to be on holiday. Spotlight calls this practice a "ticking timebomb" that could involve the use of sanctions for performers and agents caught taking this route to secure work. The agency said this would include "deportation and potential blacklisting" from future opportunities. "The simple answer is Brexit has been catastrophic for the creative industries," says Jonathan Shalit, founder of InterTalent Rights Group. "We as a country made the decision to leave Europe. This is self-inflicted. Europe don't really want us unless they have to."

The Looming Crisis of Agricultural AntibioticsThe global battle against antimicrobial resistance (AMR) faces a severe setback as a new report from the UN’s Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) projects a 30% increase in livestock antibiotic use by 2040. Driven by surging global meat demand and inconsistent regulatory oversight, this trajectory threatens to undo recent progress and render essential human medicines ineffective.The Resurgence of Antimicrobial Misuse in AgricultureAnimal husbandry currently accounts for nearly three-quarters of all antimicrobial consumption worldwide. While global tonnage of antibiotics used in farming had previously fallen by a third since its 2013 peak, those gains are rapidly eroding. In many regions, herds are still routinely dosed, and producers are increasingly reverting to antibiotics for growth promotion rather than strictly therapeutic use.Global use is projected to surpass 143,000 tonnes annually by 2040, up from 2019 levels.This surpasses the previous historical peak of 118,000 to 130,000 tonnes recorded in 2013.The Staggering Economic Toll of Antimicrobial ResistanceThe financial implications of this agricultural trend are catastrophic. Antimicrobial resistance already drains an estimated €11 billion annually from the European economy alone. If left unchecked, the global cost of AMR is projected to reach a staggering $1 trillion by 2050.For the livestock sector specifically, the vicious cycle of higher antibiotic use leading to greater resistance could result in cumulative losses of $318 billion by 2040. In stark contrast, the FAO estimates it would cost a maximum of just $53 billion to completely phase out the use of antibiotics as growth promoters.Regulatory Divergence and the Global Meat TradeThe report highlights a growing chasm in global agricultural standards. The European Union has banned antibiotic growth promotion since 2006 and is set to implement a strict ban on importing meat, dairy, and eggs produced with such practices starting in September. This move is forcing major exporters like Brazil to tighten regulations.However, the United Kingdom finds itself at a regulatory crossroads post-Brexit. Experts warn that UK standards have not kept pace with the EU, leaving domestic consumers and farmers vulnerable to cheaper, irresponsibly produced imports.The Inevitable Shift Toward Health-Oriented FarmingMoving forward, the FAO and agricultural advocates emphasize that antibiotic effectiveness must be treated as a global public good. The solution lies in a structural overhaul of the industry: transitioning away from intensive, unhygienic farming systems toward health-oriented environments where antibiotics are rarely needed. Governments will face increasing pressure to implement robust import bans and subsidize better farming education to avert a global superbug crisis.

Lead: A Decade‑Long Warning from BrexitThe Guardian’s Richard Partington argues that the ten‑year legacy of Brexit is a stark reminder that “easy solutions” to deep‑seated issues rarely work. Citing economists such as Nick Bloom and former minister Alan Milburn, the piece highlights the persistent economic drag and the political complexity of any re‑entry plan.Brexit’s Ten‑Year Economic TollTen years after the binary referendum, the UK’s departure from the EU has proven far from the promised panacea. The lack of a clear, implementable vision left businesses in limbo, freezing investment and stalling trade.Quantifying the GDP, Investment, Employment and Productivity GapsGDP per head: up to 8% lower than a remain scenario.Business investment: roughly 18% lower than it would have been.Employment: about 4% lower than under remain.Productivity: down up to 4% relative to a stay‑in‑EU trajectory.These figures come from a paper by Nick Bloom for the US National Bureau of Economic Research, reinforcing the scale of the economic setback.Why the Brexit Experiment Undermines UK Growth ProspectsThe fallout stems from a coalition of libertarian Atlanticists and anti‑globalist voters whose expectations diverged sharply. While the former envisioned a “Singapore‑on‑Thames” low‑tax model, the latter demanded higher public spending, such as the £350 m a week for the NHS. The clash made coherent policy impossible, leading to regulatory duplication, trade friction, and a loss of confidence among investors.Geopolitical shifts—U.S. protectionism under Donald Trump, rising tensions with China, and Middle‑East conflicts—have further exposed the fragility of the UK’s trade‑first strategy, prompting renewed calls for closer EU ties.What the Next Decade Could Hold for Britain’s EU RelationsExperts like former BoE policymaker Danny Blanchflower caution that any move to re‑join the EU would be “far too simplistic” without a detailed, negotiated framework covering regulations, standards, and market access. The political landscape, still influenced by figures such as Nigel Farage and the potential rise of a Reform UK government, adds uncertainty that could keep investment muted.In the absence of a clear, expert‑driven roadmap, the UK risks prolonging the economic drag while grappling with other structural challenges, notably a looming youth unemployment crisis projected to exceed 1 million by the early 2030s.