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The LeadThe Epsom Derby and Oaks are just around the corner, and the competition is heating up. Top trainers and horses are gearing up for the prestigious events, with several contenders emerging as frontrunners. Derby Contenders The Derby has several strong contenders, including: Constitution River: With a Timeform rating of 124p and odds of 6-1, Constitution River is a top contender. Trained by Aidan O'Brien, the horse has shown tactical speed, balance, and a finishing kick. Benvenuto Cellini: With a Timeform rating of 118p and odds of 5-2, Benvenuto Cellini is another strong contender. Trained by Aidan O'Brien, the horse has a impressive pedigree and has won the Chester Vase. Item: With a Timeform rating of 117p and odds of 6-1, Item is a dark horse. Trained by Andrew Balding, the horse has won the Dante Stakes at York. Oaks Contenders The Oaks also has several top contenders, including: Legacy Link: With a Timeform rating of 110p and odds of 5-1, Legacy Link is a top contender. Trained by John Gosden, the horse has a priceless pedigree and won the Musidora trial. Amelia Earhart: With a Timeform rating of 112p and odds of 5-2, Amelia Earhart is another strong contender. Trained by Aidan O'Brien, the horse has won the Cheshire Oaks. Abashiri: With a Timeform rating of 106p and odds of 14-1, Abashiri is a dark horse. Trained by Charlie Appleby, the horse has shown talent and has huge scope for improvement. The Impact Analysis The Epsom Derby and Oaks are two of the most prestigious horse racing events in the world. The contenders are carefully selected and trained to perform at their best. The events also have a significant impact on the horse racing industry, with top trainers and owners competing for the top prize. The Prediction Based on the analysis, Constitution River and Legacy Link are likely to be the top contenders for the Epsom Derby and Oaks, respectively. However, horse racing is unpredictable, and other contenders may also emerge as frontrunners.

The Historical Reckoning: US and the Nakba Washington, DC – It is a question that reaches a fever pitch this time of year for Palestinian survivors and rights advocates: Can the United States government create just policy in the Middle East without a full accounting — or recognition — of Palestinian history? Thursday marks the annual day of remembrance for the Nakba, a period that began in 1948 with the mass expulsion of Palestinians and the creation of the state of Israel. Since then, Palestinians have endured decades of displacement and ethnic cleansing. But the US government does not recognise the Nakba, which translates to the "catastrophe" in Arabic, even as it continues to assert gargantuan influence over the region and maintains ironclad support for the Israeli government. The Nakba: A Historical Overview Under the second administration of President Donald Trump, the US has taken a further active role in Palestinian affairs, establishing the controversial "Board of Peace" to oversee the reconstruction of Gaza, even as it continues to take a permissive approach towards Israel's actions in the region. When faced with the question of whether the US can responsibly address Palestinian issues without acknowledging the Nakba, Khaled Elgindy, a senior fellow at the Quincy Institute, believes the answer is simple: No. "If you only acknowledge the humanity and suffering of one side, that forces you also to ignore historical realities that are still with us today," he told Al Jazeera. Elgindy said "political amnesia" has long defined the US government's approach to the Israel-Palestine conflict. The Human Cost: Numbers and Impact For decades, the US has supported Israel with billions in foreign assistance and military aid, despite the Israeli occupation of Palestinian territory and a system of segregation that rights groups say constitutes apartheid. Since October 7, 2023, Israel's war in Gaza has killed at least 75,000 Palestinians. Elgindy told Al Jazeera that the US has played a key role in underwriting the conflict. "For better or worse, mostly for worse, the United States is inextricably tied to the Palestinian issue," Elgindy said. A fundamental – if long delayed – corrective step would be recognition of the Nakba, he said. "It is a historical reality that Palestinians have a collective trauma that is part of their identity and part of their political psychology." The Legislative Push: Tlaib's Resolution On Thursday, US Representative Rashida Tlaib introduced a resolution to officially recognise "the ongoing Nakba and Palestinian refugees' rights". It was the fifth consecutive time she has put forward the bill, with the latest version carrying 12 co-sponsors, up from six when it was first introduced in 2022. In a video conference this week, she explained that it was necessary to draw attention to the Nakba, given that the human rights abuses against Palestinians continue. "Too many of my colleagues in Congress like to act like … the state violence against the Palestinian people began with [Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin] Netanyahu," Tlaib said. "We know that Palestinian history has been one of the ongoing Nakba and the ethnic cleansing campaign since the creation [of Israel] in 1948." All told, about 750,000 Palestinians were violently expelled during the Nakba, displaced to refugee camps across the West Bank, Gaza and neighbouring Arab countries. About 400 cities and villages were depopulated, with massacres committed in Balad al-Sheikh, Saasaa, Deir Yassin, Saliha and Lydda, among others. Shifting Attitudes in American Politics Like in past years, Tlaib's latest legislative effort is largely symbolic, with little chance of progressing in Congress, which remains predominantly pro-Israel. Still, the latest resolution comes amid signs of shifting public awareness, with polls showing increasing sympathy for Palestinians and a rise in negative views towards Israel's government. Polls have shown tanking support for Israel, particularly among Democrats, amid the war in Gaza. Attitudes in Congress have also shown significant, if more incremental, signs of change. Though support for Israel was once considered sacrosanct, legislation to block arms sales to the country has garnered growing support. In April, 40 Democrats in the 100-member Senate voted to block the sale of military bulldozers to Israel, a tool in the ongoing occupation of the Palestinian territories. While legislation to prevent the sale did not pass, advocates hailed the tally as "historic". Thirty members of Congress also challenged the longstanding US policy of "official ambiguity" towards Israel's alleged nuclear programme, a subject that had been seen as off limits for decades. The Historical Context: From Truman to Today Even acknowledging the Nakba on the May 15 anniversary remains controversial. The United Nations held its first-ever commemoration of the Nakba in 2023, marking the 75th anniversary. The US, the United Kingdom, Germany and 30 other countries had voted against a UN resolution recognising the event, though. The US subsequently did not attend the proceedings, with a spokesperson pointing to "longstanding concerns over anti-Israel bias within the UN system". Elgindy pointed out that, in the 1940s and 50s, President Harry Truman "spoke out about the terrorism and terror inflicted by Jewish militias and underground groups", even as his government was the first to recognise the state of Israel. Truman's administration, for instance, supported UN General Assembly Resolution 194, which established a so-called "right to return" for displaced Palestinian refugees – approximately six million are registered with UNRWA today. But Elgindy explained that, broadly speaking, the US acknowledgement of the Nakba declined in parallel with an increasingly full-bore embrace of Israel, beginning most forcefully under President Lyndon B Johnson in the 1960s. The Future Outlook: Recognition and Beyond Supporters of Tlaib's resolution have argued that its significance is as much practical as symbolic. "If policymakers don't factor in the Nakba and remedying it to the extent that it can be remedied today, they're simply going to be perpetuating an unjust status quo," Ruebner said. "Without understanding the crux of the matter, it's almost like trying to fit a square peg into a round hole." The Arab Center's Munayyer agreed that recognition "sets an example for things that we should be doing, not just in terms of recognising the past but also recognising the moment". "It shouldn't take us 80 years to recognise the Nakba in Palestine, and it shouldn't take us another 80 years to recognise the genocide that's taking place in Gaza," he said.

British Prime Minister Keir Starmer faces mounting pressure after a disastrous local election and a series of controversies, with more than 80 MPs calling for his resignation and senior party figures coalescing around Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham as a potential challenger.The Leadership Crisis Hits Starmer’s PremiershipThe Labour Party’s recent local‑election defeat has intensified scrutiny of Starmer’s government. Controversy over the appointment of Peter Mandelson—an associate of the late Jeffrey Epstein—as the UK’s ambassador to Washington has further eroded confidence. On Thursday, Health Secretary Wes Streeting resigned and publicly endorsed Burnham, describing him as “one of the best players on the pitch.” Deputy leader Lucy Powell and the Union of Shop, Distributive and Allied Workers (USDAW) have also thrown their support behind Burnham’s bid to return to Parliament.Numbers That Reveal the Scale of DissentMore than 80 MPs have signed letters urging Starmer to step down.Four junior ministers have already resigned.Burnham would need the backing of 81 Labour MPs (20% of the party’s parliamentary cohort) to trigger a leadership contest.A special by‑election in Makerfield could be held as early as June, pending NEC approval.Former Deputy Leader Angela Rayner cleared her tax affairs, removing a potential obstacle for a future challenge.Implications for Labour’s Governing StabilityIf the National Executive Committee (NEC) permits Burnham to stand, the party could face a rapid succession battle that would distract from its legislative agenda and weaken its standing ahead of the next general election. The prospect of a high‑profile contest also invites external forces; Reform UK leader Nigel Farage has pledged to “throw absolutely everything” at the by‑election, potentially reshaping the constituency’s political calculus. Continued resignations risk eroding public confidence in Labour’s ability to govern, especially on domestic reforms that have already been described as “slow‑moving.”What the Next Weeks Could Hold for Starmer and BurnhamThe NEC is expected to rule on Burnham’s eligibility within days. A favourable decision would trigger a by‑election in Makerfield, after which Burnham must secure the support of at least 81 MPs to mount a formal leadership challenge. Should the NEC block his candidacy, dissent may shift toward other figures such as Rayner or a renewed push from the party’s backbench. In either scenario, Starmer’s capacity to retain the premiership will hinge on his ability to re‑assert authority, manage the resignations, and present a coherent policy agenda before the summer electoral calendar intensifies.

Roberto Martinez told Reuters in Lisbon that age is "only a number" and that Cristiano Ronaldo will be judged on the same day‑to‑day standards as every other player ahead of the 2026 World Cup. The coach’s comments come as Portugal finalises a squad that could feature the 41‑year‑old striker in a tournament that begins in less than a month.Ronaldo’s Form‑Based Evaluation Ahead of World Cup 2026Martinez stressed that his selection process focuses on training performance, tactical fit, and immediate impact rather than past accolades. He said, "We manage the Cristiano Ronaldo that plays for the national team trying to get into the squad for 2026, not the iconic figure." This signals a shift from the symbolic "monument to past glory" narrative that has surrounded the captain.Portugal will have five substitutions per match, allowing a more fluid rotation of players.Martinez views the squad as a "starting team and a finishing team" with interchangeable roles.Numbers Behind the Narrative: Goals, Appearances, and Substitution RulesKey statistics highlighted by the coach include:143 international goals – the all‑time record for a male player.25 goals in 30 appearances under Martinez, a goals‑per‑game ratio of 0.83, higher than under any previous Portugal coach.At 41 years old, Ronaldo could become the first player to feature in a sixth World Cup.The new five‑substitution rule gives Martinez tactical leeway to deploy Ronaldo in specific moments, such as late‑game attacks or set‑piece situations, without requiring him to start every match.Implications for Portugal’s Tactical Flexibility and Squad MoraleBy anchoring selection to form, Martinez aims to preserve squad harmony and avoid the "noise" that surrounds the captain’s presence. He noted that Ronaldo’s "elite brain" and daily pursuit of improvement make him valuable beyond raw statistics, contributing to space creation and defensive discipline.Enhanced squad morale: players understand that merit, not reputation, dictates playing time.Tactical adaptability: the coach can switch between a "starting" and "finishing" lineup, using Ronaldo’s experience in high‑pressure moments.What Lies Ahead: Potential Scenarios for Ronaldo in North AmericaLooking forward, Martinez outlined three realistic pathways:Full‑starter role if training metrics and match fitness remain elite.Impact substitute leveraging the five‑sub rule to introduce Ronaldo late in games where a goal is needed.Mentorship focus where his presence influences younger attackers, even if minutes are limited.Regardless of the scenario, the coach affirmed that "the players are always on the pitch on merit," and that the final squad will reflect the evidence gathered in the days leading up to the tournament.

The Genesis of Meridian Ventures Meridian Ventures was born out of a shared experience: deferred MBAs. Now, founders Devon Gethers and Karlton Haney have raised a $35 million fund to back pre-seed and seed-stage companies started by people like them. The Founders' Background Gethers, 29, and Haney, 28, met in Harvard’s MBA deferred admission program in 2020. Gethers grew up in poverty in Washington State, while Haney grew up on a farm in Arkansas. They both have diverse educational and professional backgrounds, with Gethers studying behavioral science and finance, and Haney studying industrial engineering. The Investment Thesis The duo's thesis is to challenge the common Silicon Valley belief that MBAs don’t make good founders. They believe that MBAs, especially those who have deferred, can bring a unique perspective to building successful companies. The Fund's Strategy The fund will focus on enterprise technology in the United States. Meridian is sector-agnostic, with investments in fintech, logistics, healthcare, and AI. The average check size will be $500,000 for pre-seed and $750,000 for seed. The capital will be deployed over the next three years. The Impact Analysis The new fund aims to address the expanding gap between ambitious founders building frontier technologies and the capital required to help carry those ambitions forward. By supporting MBA-deferred founders, Meridian Ventures hopes to foster innovation and entrepreneurship in the US. The Prediction With this $35 million fund, Meridian Ventures is poised to make a significant impact in the startup ecosystem. As the fund gets deployed over the next three years, it will be interesting to see the types of companies that Meridian supports and the returns they generate.

X has agreed with the UK communications regulator Ofcom to block access from the United Kingdom to accounts tied to proscribed terrorist organisations and to accelerate the review of illegal terrorist and hate content.Agreement Details: Blocking Terrorist‑Linked AccountsAll UK users will be denied access to accounts that post illegal terrorist material and are linked to groups proscribed by the UK government.The platform will also review, within 48 hours, at least 85% of flagged illegal terrorist and hate content.Review outcomes will be guided by expert advice and the UK’s Online Safety Act.Quantitative Commitments in the DealReview window: 48 hours from the time content is flagged.Minimum review rate: 85% of content reported through X’s illegal‑content reporting tool.Regulatory monitoring will continue as Ofcom assesses compliance.Impact on the UK’s Online Safety LandscapeThe commitment arrives amid rising concerns over hate crimes targeting the UK’s Jewish community and criticism that X has historically struggled with moderation. By enforcing a rapid‑review mechanism, the regulator aims to set a benchmark for other platforms operating in the UK.Potential reduction in the spread of extremist propaganda.Increased pressure on X to address broader racism and hate speech, as highlighted by the Antisemitism Policy Trust.Signals to other social‑media firms that stricter compliance may become the norm under the Online Safety Act.Looking Ahead: Regulation and Platform ResponsibilityAnalysts expect that the Ofcom‑X agreement will be a test case for future enforcement actions. If X meets the 85% review target, regulators may expand similar obligations to other content categories. Conversely, any shortfall could trigger fines or more invasive oversight, pushing X to invest further in AI‑driven moderation tools.

The Threat to the Federal Reserve's Independence Jerome Powell, who stepped down as chair of the Federal Reserve, had his hits and misses. The Fed was late to react as prices started rising when the Covid pandemic abated, but they eventually acted forcefully and achieved the most rare of feats: a “soft landing”, curbing inflation without sparking a recession or damaging employment. Powell's Defense of the Fed's Independence Powell's most lasting accomplishment will most likely be his outspoken efforts to defend the independence of the Fed from an assault by the imperial presidency of Donald Trump. The chair managed the president smoothly, ignoring his demands to slash interest rates at every turn. When Trump went for the jugular, threatening to indict Powell over the spurious charge of lying to Congress about the cost of refurbishing the Fed’s headquarters, he pushed back, refusing to step down and publicly condemning Trump’s real motivation: payback. The Data Analysis Even if Kevin Warsh, Trump’s pick to replace Powell, proves to be the president’s sock puppet, eager to cut rates regardless of mounting fears of higher inflation, he is unlikely to convince most of the 11 other members of the federal open markets committee, only two of which are Trump appointees. The Impact Analysis Trump’s ultimate goal is to subjugate the Fed to his will. Though he has failed thus far, he has the right supreme court to do it, run by a conservative majority that buys into the “unitary executive theory”, which in the vernacular means let-Trump-do-whatever-he-wants. The Fed is not safe, and Powell is not the only Fed official harassed by the president. The Prediction The institutional grounding of the US government in limbo. Much of the federal apparatus looks doomed to be trampled by a whimsical president. The Fed’s independence survives, for now, hanging from an arbitrary thread. Powell should be applauded for staying on the board. He can’t stop the supreme court from making a mess. But he can help make the best of the Fed’s autonomy while it has it.

Early signs point to the United States and China moving towards a relationship focused on pragmatic areas of common interest following President Donald Trump's trip to China, according to analysts, setting aside the turmoil that marked 2025. Business‑First Agenda Sets the Tone at the Beijing Summit The three‑day summit in Beijing brought together Donald Trump and Xi Jinping alongside a delegation of top American CEOs, including the heads of Apple, Nvidia, BlackRock and Goldman Sachs. The White House readout highlighted "ways to enhance economic cooperation" and "expanding market access for American businesses into China and increasing Chinese investment into our industries". Notably, the statement omitted any reference to China’s rare‑earth export controls, a strategic lever in the tech and defence sectors. Financial Stakes: $14 bn Taiwan Arms Deal and Market Access Promises $14 bn arms deal for Taiwan reportedly in the works, pending Trump’s sign‑off. Potential expansion of market access for U.S. firms in sectors ranging from semiconductors to finance. Chinese interest in purchasing more American oil to reduce reliance on the Strait of Hormuz. Geopolitical Ripple Effects: From Taiwan to the Strait of Hormuz Both leaders sidestepped several flashpoints. While Xi called Taiwan the "most important issue" in the bilateral relationship, neither side mentioned concrete steps on the island or on future arms sales. The summit also touched on the Strait of Hormuz, with both leaders agreeing it must remain open for global energy flows, despite ongoing conflict in the region. What Comes Next: Potential Shifts in Trade, Security and Energy Cooperation Analysts such as William Yang (Crisis Group) and Chucheng Feng (Hutong Research) view the summit as an attempt to lay a "floor" for the relationship, establishing guardrails while leaving item‑by‑item disagreements secondary. The next months will test whether the business‑first rhetoric translates into tangible policy – from the fate of the Taiwan arms package to renewed Chinese investment in U.S. industries and coordinated efforts to keep the Strait of Hormuz open.

Executive Summary: The Surge in Athlete‑Focused FraudAs sports revenues hit record highs, criminals are exploiting the wealth and public profiles of athletes with ever‑more complex schemes, from classic embezzlement to AI‑driven porn‑star impersonations. The convergence of lax personal security, social‑media exposure, and advanced deepfake technology has turned athlete fraud into a multi‑billion‑dollar industry.How Cybercriminals Exploit Athletes – From Trust Breaches to AI DeepfakesTrust abuse: Former interpreter Ippei Mizuhara stole $17 million from Shohei Ohtani in 2025.Investment scams: Ex‑advisor Darryl Cohen defrauded three NBA players of $5 million (2017‑2020).AI deepfakes: Criminals pose as adult‑film star Teanna Trump to lure athletes into sharing credentials, then monetize accounts.Family targeting: Malware hidden in children’s games gave attackers backdoor access to a professional basketball player’s home network.Financial Scale: Billions Lost and GrowingThe FBI’s IC3 reports > $20 billion in U.S. cyber‑crime losses in 2025, a 26% rise YoY.EY’s analysis identifies nearly $1 billion in documented athlete losses from 2004‑2024.Individual cases range from $5 million (NBA) to $17 million (Ohtani) and undisclosed sums from deepfake extortion.Why Sports Figures Are Prime TargetsHigh public visibility: detailed bios, social‑media posts, and NIL (Name, Image, Likeness) deals expose personal data.Limited security infrastructure: athletes rely on bodyguards, not dedicated cyber teams.Attack surface expansion: AI can generate convincing audio/video, and children’s devices often lack robust protection.Organised‑crime interest: the potential payoff rivals senior corporate executive salaries.Future Threat Landscape and Defensive ImperativesAI‑generated deepfakes will become more realistic, increasing impersonation success rates.Sports leagues and player unions must fund dedicated cyber‑security units and mandatory training.Adoption of multi‑factor authentication, encrypted communications, and secure home‑network protocols is essential.Regulators may consider mandatory breach‑notification standards for athletes’ personal data.