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Cuba is on the brink of transforming its energy landscape with a bold plan to invest $8bn in renewable energy, which could reduce its reliance on fossil fuels and pave the way for energy independence from the US. The proposal, put forth by the Common Wealth thinktank's Transition Security Project (TSP), suggests that this investment could cover 93.4% of Cuba's electricity generation needs.The US has imposed a crippling energy blockade on Cuba, severely limiting the island nation's access to oil. Since January, Cuba has received only one shipment of oil, from Russia, and its national electric grid has collapsed, leading to repeated blackouts and widespread disruptions.The TSP analysis outlines four different scenarios for Cuba's transition to renewable energy, with costs ranging from $5bn to $19.2bn. The most ambitious proposal would see three-quarters of electricity generation provided by solar power, with wind, hydropower, and bioenergy making up the remainder.The report argues that electricity costs would decrease in every renewable investment scenario, with the cost per unit of energy falling from 14.3¢ per kWh in the baseline scenario to 6.5¢ with $8bn of investment. The transition would require a society-wide transformation, but Cuba has demonstrated its ability to adapt in the past, such as its rapid shift to agroecology and self-sufficiency in the 1990s.The question remains: who would pay for this transition? The report suggests that financing should be understood as "reparative climate finance", with Cubans able to pay back investments through savings on cheaper energy. The transformation would not only benefit Cuba but also set an important example of a rapid energy transition under conditions of external constraint.

New research from the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) shows that the Help to Buy mortgage initiatives launched by the Conservative‑Lib Dem coalition in 2013 mainly benefited higher‑income households, rather than the intended first‑time, lower‑income buyers.The policy comprised two components: a taxpayer‑backed loan that reduced required deposits, and a mortgage guarantee scheme that covered part of lenders’ losses on high loan‑to‑value mortgages. Both applied to properties priced up to £600,000 and, by the 2014‑15 fiscal year, accounted for roughly one‑fifth of first‑time buyer transactions.Using a novel methodology that combined survey responses with local property price data, the IFS concluded that the bulk of the advantage accrued to wealthier purchasers—particularly those outside London and the south‑east, where homes are comparatively cheaper. These buyers were likely to secure a property eventually, even without the scheme.Bee Boileau, a research economist at the IFS and co‑author of the briefing, warned that while Help to Buy can theoretically assist newcomers onto the housing ladder, it also risks inflating prices and shifting loan risk onto the public sector. “Our research indicates that the Help to Buy schemes introduced in 2013 had the largest impact – in terms of making more homes affordable – on higher‑income households,” she said.The study notes that the mortgage guarantee scheme had “limited effects on affordability” because borrowers remained constrained by income‑based borrowing caps. Conversely, the loan scheme proved more influential for most households, yet its impact was muted by its restriction to new‑build properties.Both components appear to have had little effect on social mobility. Boileau suggested that future governments aiming to reduce inequality should target assistance at lower‑income families, acknowledging that such a shift would increase taxpayer exposure to loan risk.Critics have long argued that Help to Buy inflated house prices without expanding supply. A 2022 House of Lords built‑environment committee report echoed this view, recommending that funds be redirected toward increasing housing construction.The mortgage guarantee element was revived in 2021 and made permanent by the Labour government last year to preserve access to 95% mortgages. In response, Conservative housing secretary James Cleverly defended the legacy schemes, claiming they enabled “many thousands of people” to achieve homeownership, even as he warned that Labour policies were making the market harder for first‑time buyers.

The United States' recent move to impose a naval blockade on Iran is poised to intensify the ongoing global energy crisis. By restricting Iran's ability to export oil, the blockade could further tighten an already constrained supply chain, potentially pushing oil prices higher and increasing volatility in international markets. Analysts warn that the measure may have ripple effects beyond the Middle East, affecting nations that rely on Iranian crude to meet domestic demand. With global fuel inventories already low, any additional disruption could heighten inflationary pressures and strain economies still recovering from recent shocks. While the blockade aims to achieve strategic objectives, its broader economic implications underscore the delicate balance between geopolitical actions and energy security. Stakeholders across the energy sector are closely monitoring the situation, anticipating possible policy responses to mitigate the impact on consumers and industries worldwide.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has revised its global economic growth forecast downward to 3.1 percent this year, citing the impact of rising tensions between the United States and Iran on energy and food costs worldwide.The downgrade comes as Iran has retaliated against US and Israeli actions by closing the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint for oil and gas supplies, and attacking energy infrastructure in the region. This has driven up oil prices and squeezed oil and gas supplies, affecting countries reliant on these imports.The IMF's new forecast represents a slowdown from its earlier projection of 3.3 percent growth, made before the escalation of tensions. It also marks a decline from 3.4 percent growth in the previous year. The fund warns that some regions and countries will be hit harder than others.Iran's economic outlook saw one of the largest country-level revisions, with a forecast contraction of 6.1 percent in 2026, down from an initial small growth forecast. The IMF also cut GDP growth forecasts for Saudi Arabia from 4.5 percent to 3.1 percent.The IMF's Chief Economist, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, noted that the current hostilities in the Middle East pose significant policy trade-offs, including fighting inflation and preserving growth. The fund anticipates higher global inflation at 4.4 percent, up 0.6 percentage points from its January forecast.Experts warn that continued strains in the Strait of Hormuz could worsen inflationary pressures. For instance, a sustained $60 increase in gas prices above the average price could put the US firmly in recession territory.Oil prices have dropped on hopes of resumed talks between Iran and the US, with Brent crude futures falling to $95.02 per barrel and West Texas intermediate crude dropping to $91.84. However, prices remain much higher than before the Iran war.

The Valuation Explosion: From $7.5B to $18BFluidstack is currently in advanced talks to secure a $1 billion funding round that would value the AI infrastructure startup at $18 billion. This represents a more than doubling of its valuation from the previous round in December, which reportedly raised around $700 million at a $7.5 billion valuation. The potential lead investor for this new round is Jane Street, a major trading firm expanding into venture capital.Previous Round Details: Led by Situational Awareness, an AGI-focused fund founded by former OpenAI researcher Leopold Aschenbrenner.Supporters: The round was backed by the Collison brothers from Stripe, former GitHub CEO Nat Friedman, and entrepreneur Daniel Gross.Google's Interest: Reports indicate Google was considering a $100 million contribution to the round in February.The Anthropic Partnership: A $50 Billion Bet on InfrastructureThe primary driver behind Fluidstack's skyrocketing valuation is its strategic partnership with Anthropic. In November, Anthropic signed a massive $50 billion deal with Fluidstack to build custom-designed data centers in Texas and New York.Custom Infrastructure: Unlike hyperscalers like AWS or Google Cloud that offer general-purpose computing, Fluidstack builds specialized hardware specifically for AI workloads.Strategic Independence: This deal allows Anthropic to bypass the capacity constraints of public cloud providers and gain greater control over its infrastructure.Market Context: Anthropic primarily relies on AWS and Google Cloud for Claude, but the rapid growth of AI models necessitates bespoke solutions.Strategic Pivot: Relocating HQ and Exiting European ProjectsThe deal with Anthropic has fundamentally altered Fluidstack's global strategy, shifting its focus entirely toward the United States.Headquarters Move: The startup, originally spun out of Oxford and a rising star in Europe, has relocated its headquarters from the U.K. to New York.European Exit: Fluidstack pulled out of a key €10 billion AI project in France to focus exclusively on U.S. opportunities.Client Base: Beyond Anthropic, the company counts Meta, Poolside, Black Forest Labs, and Mistral as key customers.The Future of AI Infrastructure: Specialization Over GeneralizationFluidstack's rapid ascent signals a critical shift in the AI industry. As AI models become more complex and compute-intensive, general-purpose cloud providers are struggling to keep up with demand. The market is increasingly favoring specialized infrastructure providers that can offer bespoke hardware and dedicated capacity, a trend that validates Fluidstack's aggressive expansion strategy.

Ukraine and Germany have agreed on a strategic defence partnership that will enhance cooperation in drone production and bolster Kyiv's air defences. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and German Chancellor Friedrich Merz announced the deal at a news conference in Berlin.The partnership will grant Germany access to Ukraine's advanced drone technology, developed during its conflict with Russia, in exchange for additional military support from Germany. This cooperation will cover various types of drones, missiles, software, and modern defence systems.In a joint declaration, the two countries stated they will strengthen cooperation in the air defence field. Germany will support Ukraine's drone industry and establish drone co-production ventures. The German defence ministry has agreed to fund contracts for several hundred Patriot missiles from the United States, which Ukraine urgently needs to counter nightly Russian drone and missile attacks.Ukrainian Defence Minister Mykhailo Fedorov expressed gratitude to his German counterpart, Boris Pistorius, for the package, which he valued at four billion euros ($4.7 billion). This funding will provide a massive boost for Ukraine's air defence, protecting its cities and critical infrastructure.Ukraine currently has the production capacity to manufacture twice as much military equipment as it is deploying but lacks the necessary funding. President Zelenskyy emphasized that financial constraints hinder Ukraine's ability to scale up production.German Chancellor Merz noted that the deal is mutually beneficial, citing Ukraine's battle-tested military as a valuable asset for European security. The agreement also includes the exchange of digital combat data for developing new weapons systems.The announcement comes as hopes rise that the European Union may soon provide Ukraine with a 90-billion-euro ($105bn) loan, which was blocked by Hungary last month. With the recent election of Peter Magyar in Hungary, who is expected to reverse this stance, Ukraine's financial prospects are improving.The urgency of Ukraine's need for additional arms was highlighted by a missile attack on the city of Dnipro, which killed four people and injured at least 21. Russian troops have also captured territory in the Dnipropetrovsk region and launched attacks in the city of Kherson.

Sergey Lavrov touched down in Beijing as Washington intensified its pressure on Iran by attempting to block the Strait of Hormuz, a waterway that carries roughly one‑third of China’s oil imports. The Russian foreign minister was greeted with a red‑carpet reception, according to photos released by Russia’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Both Beijing and Moscow condemned the United States and Israel over their involvement in the ongoing war on Iran, noting that the conflict has already strained China’s energy supplies. China, a major purchaser of Iranian crude, denounced a newly announced U.S. plan to prohibit vessels from entering or leaving Iranian ports and coastal waters, calling the measure an unjustified interference with international trade. “The Strait of Hormuz is a vital international trade route for goods and energy, and its security and uninterrupted flow serve the common interest of the global community,” Chinese MFA spokesman Guo Jiakun said on Monday. According to Al Jazeera’s Alan Fisher, the U.S. hopes that by choking Iran’s trade it can force China to pressure Tehran into returning to negotiations, given that Beijing imports about a third of its oil from Iran. Lavrov also held a telephone conversation with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, emphasizing the need to prevent any resurgence of hostilities in the Middle East and reiterating Russia’s “unwavering readiness” to assist in a diplomatic settlement. Araghchi relayed details of recent U.S.–Iran talks in Pakistan, which ended without a breakthrough, underscoring the limited diplomatic progress on the issue. The visit comes as China‑Russia relations have deepened since Russia’s full‑scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022. Earlier in the week, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi spoke with Lavrov, agreeing that the two capitals would cooperate to de‑escalate tensions in the region. Beijing’s diplomatic calendar this week also featured meetings with Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez, United Arab Emirates President Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan, and an upcoming visit by Vietnamese President To Lam, highlighting China’s active role in global diplomacy despite its low‑profile stance on the Iran conflict. Analysts note that China’s restrained approach allows it to position itself as a “reliable, stable and predictable partner” for states seeking alternatives to U.S. influence, especially given its extensive trade ties with Tehran. Former U.S. President Donald Trump, slated to visit Beijing next month, warned he would impose a 50 percent tariff on Chinese goods if China provides military assistance to Iran. The claim followed a CNN report citing U.S. intelligence that China might deliver new air‑defence systems to Tehran. Chinese officials dismissed the report as “completely fabricated” and warned of “resolute counter‑measures” should the United States use it as a pretext for additional tariffs.

The Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) has issued a stark warning: if the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked by the ongoing US‑Israel conflict with Iran, the world could face a food ‘catastrophe’. The disruption is already halting shipments of vital agricultural inputs, a situation that could quickly cascade into higher food prices. FAO chief economist Maximo Torero told Al Jazeera that, for now, food prices have stayed stable because existing stockpiles are absorbing the shock. However, he cautioned that this buffer is temporary and that “the clock is ticking.” FAO agrifood economics director David Laborde added that if traffic does not resume, the resulting strain on energy and fertilizer markets will translate into “higher commodity and retail prices later this year and into 2027.” According to the FAO, 20‑45% of key agrifood inputs—including fertilizers, pesticides and feed—depend on maritime passage through the Hormuz chokepoint. Nearly half of the world’s traded urea, the most widely used fertilizer, also moves through the strait, making global agriculture highly vulnerable. Recent gas supply disruptions have already forced fertilizer plants in the Gulf and beyond to cut or halt production, raising concerns that farmers may have to reduce fertilizer use or face higher production costs. Torero emphasized that poorer countries are especially at risk because planting calendars leave little room for delays; a slowdown in input delivery could quickly lead to “lower output, higher inflation and slower global growth.” The blockade stems from Iran’s decision to bring traffic to a near‑total halt in retaliation for attacks by the United States and Israel, which launched a war on Tehran on 28 February, resulting in the death of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. The conflict has already doubled oil and gas prices compared with pre‑war levels. Negotiations between Iranian and US representatives over a 21‑hour marathon failed to secure a permanent ceasefire. Subsequently, US President Donald Trump announced a naval blockade, stating that the navy would interdict ships in international waters that had paid Iran a toll to traverse the strait. The US military later declared it would block all maritime traffic entering and exiting Iranian ports, including those in the Gulf and the Gulf of Oman. FAO officials stress that decisive action—both a sustained ceasefire and the reopening of the waterway—is essential to prevent the looming food crisis from becoming a full‑blown catastrophe.

The ongoing conflict in Sudan has led to a staggering number of births, with 5.6 million children born since the start of the war in April 2023. This translates to 5,000 children a day being born in a country where millions are struggling to survive on just one meal a day.Save the Children has warned that these children are born in overcrowded shelters, under-equipped or damaged health facilities, or while their families are on the move. The charity's country director for Sudan, Mohamed Abdiladif, emphasized that children have a right to receive care and protection, even in conflict.The conflict, which began on April 15, 2023, has killed tens of thousands of people, displaced 12 million, and spawned the world's worst humanitarian crisis, according to the United Nations. Both sides have been accused of war crimes and crimes against humanity, while the RSF has been implicated in atrocities in the vast Darfur region.The healthcare system in Sudan has been pushed to the edge, with widespread violence and attacks on civilian infrastructure straining the country's already fragile healthcare system. The rate of maternal deaths during childbirth has increased by more than 12 percent, from 263 maternal deaths per 100,000 live births in 2022 to 295 per 100,000 in 2025.Save the Children has called for all parties involved in the conflict to ensure the protection of civilians and allow access to reach families in urgent need of assistance.