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The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has issued a stark warning that the ongoing conflict in the Middle East will lead to higher prices and slower global growth, affecting countries worldwide. The Washington-based organisation emphasised that a rise in energy and food costs will harm economic growth this year and could leave lasting scars on the global economy.The IMF's analysis, published in a blogpost by its main department heads, including chief economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, noted that governments with high levels of borrowing will have limited access to funds to cushion the worst effects of the crisis. The organisation warned that all roads lead to higher prices and slower growth should the conflict continue to disrupt the supply of oil, gas, and fertiliser from the Gulf.While some countries, such as the US, may gain from higher fossil fuel prices as net exporters of oil and gas, the rise in bills for petrol, diesel, and food will harm living standards. Businesses are also forecast to come under pressure to raise prices, possibly forcing central banks to raise interest rates to combat inflation.The IMF highlighted that about a third of fertiliser production travels through the strait of Hormuz, which could push up prices. The UN Food and Agriculture Organisation projects that global prices could average 15% to 20% higher in the first half of 2026 if the crisis persists. Natural gas prices have more than doubled in the UK since last December to about £140 a therm, while a barrel of Brent crude that cost about $60 before the conflict hit more than $116 on Monday before falling back to $112.The IMF added that forecasts for sharp rises in the cost of gas and electricity in Europe next winter are forcing governments to consider higher subsidies and welfare payments to the worst-affected households. The organisation noted that countries such as Italy and the UK are especially exposed by their reliance on gas-fired power, while France and Spain are relatively protected by their greater nuclear and renewables capacity.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has arrived in Jordan as part of his tour to strengthen defence ties in the Gulf region, amid the ongoing conflict with Russia. Security is the top priority, and it is crucial that all partners make necessary efforts toward it, Zelenskyy emphasized.Zelenskyy's visit comes after Ukraine has agreed to cooperate on defence with Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates. Kyiv's anti-drone experts have also been deployed to these countries as Iran targets infrastructure there using drones that Russia has also used during its war with Ukraine.The Ukrainian president has been seeking support from the Gulf states as the Russia-Ukraine war continues, with no end in sight. More than four years since Russia launched a full-scale invasion, Kyiv is struggling to cover its budget deficit and fund domestic weapons production.Ukraine has intensified retaliatory attacks on Russian infrastructure, including refineries, oil depots, and ports, arguing that they were justified targets to sever revenues funding Russia's offensive. A drone strike triggered a fire at Russia's Baltic port of Ust-Luga, which was hit for the second time in several days.According to the Russian regional governor, Alexander Drozdenko, damage was sustained at the port, the fire is now under control, and there were no casualties from the attack. He added that 36 drones were destroyed overnight in the region.

The UK's food self-sufficiency has been on a downward trend, falling from 78% in 1984 to 62% in 2024. This decline is largely attributed to the loss of farmland to non-farming uses such as buildings, roads, and conservation schemes. To address this issue, experts suggest that increasing food production on UK farms is crucial. However, promoting a more plant-based diet, while beneficial for health and environmental reasons, may not necessarily use fewer resources than traditional livestock farming. Beef cattle and sheep are often raised on extensively managed grasslands and mountain heath, which account for 38% of the UK's land area. This land receives minimal fertilizer and chemicals, and the animals are primarily fed on grazed and conserved grass. To improve food security, individuals can make a difference by making informed choices when shopping and cooking. Opting for local, organic, animal-friendly, and fairtrade products can contribute to a more sustainable food system. Additionally, growing one's own food, using seasonal products, and supporting local ventures can also help. Experts emphasize that it is essential to utilize the UK's existing food production resources efficiently, rather than wasting them on unsustainable practices. By adopting a more sustainable approach to food production and consumption, the UK can work towards a more secure food future.

The concept of luck has long been shrouded in mystery, often attributed to chance or fate. However, behavioural neuroscience has made significant strides in uncovering the underlying mechanisms that govern luck. According to research, luck is not just a roll of the dice, but rather a complex interplay of brain chemistry and behaviour that can be influenced and cultivated.The neuroscience behind luck reveals that it operates through identifiable patterns of brain chemistry and behaviour. Studies have shown that the consistently lucky are not blessed by fate, but rather, they possess a unique set of habits and characteristics that enable them to capitalize on opportunities and navigate challenges more effectively. Brain imaging techniques have even identified specific regions of the brain that are activated when individuals perceive themselves as lucky, shifting their perception from threat-detection mode to opportunity-recognition mode.Serotonin production, regulated by morning sunlight, tryptophan-rich foods, and a regular sleep-wake cycle, plays a critical role in determining one's luck. Individuals who prioritize these factors are more likely to experience a boost in serotonin levels, which in turn, enhances their mood, social confidence, and resilience. Conversely, those who lead erratic lifestyles and neglect these factors may find themselves chronically sleep-deprived and less likely to encounter fortunate events.Lucky individuals also tend to possess a clear awareness of their interests and passions, which guides their decision-making and behaviour. By following their 'fascination compass', they are more likely to stumble upon opportunities and experiences that align with their values and goals. Novelty-seeking and a willingness to take calculated risks also characterize lucky individuals, as they understand that each small departure from routine can be a ticket to new experiences and encounters.Generosity and a willingness to help others without expectation of return are also key characteristics of lucky individuals. Brain imaging studies have shown that acts of genuine generosity activate the brain's deepest reward centre, releasing feel-good chemicals that reinforce positive behaviours and build social capital. By investing in others and cultivating meaningful relationships, lucky individuals create a network of opportunities and support that can help them navigate life's challenges.In conclusion, luck is not just a matter of chance, but rather a complex interplay of brain chemistry, behaviour, and habit. By understanding the underlying mechanisms that govern luck and incorporating these insights into daily life, individuals can increase their chances of experiencing fortunate events and leading a more fulfilling life.

The ongoing Iran war has led to a surge in petrol and diesel prices, sparking concerns about fuel rationing across Europe and calls for Britain to increase North Sea oil and gas production. However, experts suggest that a more effective solution lies in promoting electric vehicles (EVs). According to analysis by Mandala Partners, if the UK had the same proportion of electric cars as Norway, its fuel reserve could increase by seven days. Currently, the UK has about three weeks' worth of car fuel in reserve. Norway leads the world with nearly 32% of its cars being fully electric, compared to 5.4% in the UK. Even with the existing number of electric and hybrid cars on British roads, they are already saving about two days' worth of fuel. This is particularly significant given that Shell's chief executive, Wael Sawan, has warned that Europe could face fuel shortages as early as April if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed. The potential impact of EVs goes beyond just reducing petrol and diesel consumption. Every electric car charged from the grid rather than the pump extends the country's fuel reserves. Moreover, with the right technology, EVs could become an active buffer against future energy shocks by storing and resharing energy. Vehicle-to-grid technology, which allows EVs to send energy back into the power grid, could make a significant difference in an energy supply crisis. An electric car usually holds about 40 kilowatt-hours of power, enough for an average UK home for several days. This technology could enable millions of car batteries to supply power to the grid when demand spikes. Despite these benefits, the adoption of EVs and vehicle-to-grid technology faces challenges. Tax policy is a significant barrier, as EV owners pay tax on electricity when filling their car battery and again when selling it back to the grid. Additionally, the hardware for two-way charging is not yet widely available, although many electric cars are already capable of it. The energy regulator Ofgem has suggested that if half of the expected 11m EVs on UK roads by 2030 were capable of two-way charging, they could send 16 gigawatts of power back to the grid each day, almost half the output of Britain's gas-power station fleet.

The ongoing United States-Israeli conflict with Iran has triggered severe disruptions to global LNG supplies in the Gulf, creating the most significant energy market disruptions in recent years. The critical Strait of Hormuz, through which 27 percent of the world's maritime oil trade and 20 percent of LNG shipments pass, has been brought to a near standstill.In response to the conflict, oil-producing nations such as Saudi Arabia have rerouted oil through alternative pipelines, while Qatar has completely halted LNG production at its Ras Laffan and Mesaieed facilities following attacks on its energy infrastructure. This disruption comes as natural gas makes up about a quarter of global energy consumption, raising widespread concerns about the impact on nations heavily reliant on gas imports.Natural gas is formed over millions of years from decomposed organic matter subjected to intense heat and pressure beneath the Earth's surface. LNG represents natural gas that has been cooled to -162 degrees Celsius through cryogenic processing, shrinking it to a 600th of its gaseous volume. In its liquid state, LNG is colorless, odorless, and non-flammable, making it safe and efficient to transport across vast distances.Before liquefaction, the gas undergoes purification through water-based solvents and molecular sieve beds to remove impurities including carbon dioxide, hydrogen sulfide, water, and mercury. Heavier hydrocarbons are then separated from methane and ethane through fractionation. The resulting fuel is typically composed of 85 to 95 percent methane, with small amounts of ethane, propane, butane, and nitrogen.LNG is stored in large insulated tanks without requiring high-pressure infrastructure, then pumped onto double-hulled carriers for shipment to terminals worldwide. At destination facilities, LNG is heated using seawater or warm water baths until it vaporizes—a process known as regasification—before being distributed through pipelines for consumption.Once returned to a gaseous state, LNG serves multiple purposes globally. Residential applications include cooking, heating, and electricity generation, while supporting hot water systems in homes and heating for commercial buildings. In power generation, LNG offers a comparatively low-carbon alternative to coal and oil. Industrial applications span fertilizers, plastics, paints, and medicines, with LNG also used to fuel heavy-duty vehicles and ships.The disruption has particularly affected agricultural production, as Gulf nations export close to half the world's traded urea—a key fertilizer component. Natural gas serves as both the primary feedstock and fuel for fertilizer manufacturing, with the halt in production forcing producers across the region to suspend or reduce operations.While primarily valued as an energy source, LNG processing yields significant by-products with industrial and medical applications. The most notable is helium, extracted during cryogenic processing. With global helium production estimated at 180 million cubic meters annually, the disruption to Qatar's LNG facilities has removed approximately 5.2 million cubic meters from the market each month—accounting for about a third of global monthly production.Helium is critical for cooling superconducting magnets in MRI and CT scanners, with the average MRI machine requiring about 1,700 liters of liquid helium. The element is also vital to the data center industry, where it conducts heat away from silicon components, preventing damage to semiconductors. Additionally, the natural gas value chain generates petrochemical derivatives that serve as feedstock for manufactured goods, including medical-grade plastics.According to the International Gas Union's 2025 World LNG Report, 411.24 million tonnes of LNG were traded in 2024. The United States emerged as the largest exporter with 88.4 million tonnes, followed by Australia (81 million tonnes), Qatar (77.2 million tonnes), Russia (33.5 million tonnes), and Malaysia (27.7 million tonnes). Together, these top five suppliers account for more than three-quarters of global LNG supply.China was the largest importer with 78.6 million tonnes in 2024, followed by Japan (67.7 million tonnes), South Korea (47.1 million tonnes), India (26.1 million tonnes), and Taiwan (21.8 million tonnes). These top five importers constituted nearly 59 percent of all global LNG imports that year.South Asian nations face particularly severe risks from the current conflict. Pakistan, where natural gas accounts for 28 percent of electricity generation for its 250 million people, and Bangladesh, where gas supplies half of all electricity for its 176 million population, are heavily dependent on Gulf imports. Qatar and the United Arab Emirates supply approximately 99 percent of Pakistan's LNG imports and 72 percent of Bangladesh's.In response to the energy crisis, Pakistan has implemented emergency measures including a four-day workweek for government employees and extended school holidays. Bangladesh has reduced gas supplies and is seeking nearly $2 billion in international loans to fund energy inputs and maintain price stability. India, which relies on Gulf nations for about half of its LNG and generates 5 percent of its electricity from gas, has shifted toward coal usage as LNG disruptions continue.

UK car production experienced a significant decline in February 2026, with 17% fewer cars rolling off production lines compared to the same period in 2025. According to the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT), this downturn is attributed to a sharp drop in exports, which fell by 12% overall.The industry is sounding the alarm, describing the situation as 'extremely worrying.' Mike Hawes, chief executive of the SMMT, emphasized that these figures pre-date the crisis in the Middle East, which is expected to further strain the sector. The ongoing conflict has led to soaring global energy prices, potentially denting consumer demand and exacerbating the decline.UK carmakers are facing challenges in key markets, including China, where demand has cratered due to the rise of domestically made competitors. Additionally, US tariffs imposed by Donald Trump have put pressure on UK manufacturers. Exports to the EU did see a 5% increase, but this was offset by a 34% decline in exports to the US and a 66% plunge in exports to China.The production of battery-electric, plug-in hybrid, and hybrid cars also experienced a decline, falling by 3% to 26,629 units. Despite this, these vehicles accounted for 40% of total output.The industry's current challenges stand in stark contrast to the UK government's ambitions, as outlined by Labour, to have 1.3 million vehicles manufactured annually by 2035. This target is nearly double the 764,715 cars and vans produced in 2025.The SMMT has warned that if the UK is not fully included in the EU's proposed 'Made in Europe' manufacturing rules, European sales could take a hit. The Japanese carmaker Nissan has threatened to close its Sunderland plant if these rules are introduced, citing potential damage to the £70 billion-a-year cross-channel trade.

When Hugh Bonneville was first asked to reprise his role as Ian Fletcher in John Morton's workplace satires, his emotions were conflicted. The actor described being 'absolutely delighted' yet 'terrified' at the prospect, calling the experience 'the most painful and horrible' of his television career.Bonneville, now widely recognized for his roles in Downton Abbey and Paddington, first portrayed Fletcher as 'Head of Deliverance of the Olympic Deliverance Commission' in Twenty Twelve. In W1A, he played 'Head of Values' at the BBC. Nine years later, the weary character returns as 'Director of Integrity' at an international football organization hosting a tournament, with its real-world basis deliberately obscured by the production.Despite the seemingly mundane setting of boardroom meetings and PowerPoints, the series stands out for its meticulously constructed naturalism and intricate dialogue. The scripts are twice as long as typical 30-minute sitcoms, featuring stammered half-sentences where the difference between phrases like 'yes well but' and 'but well yes' is profoundly significant.'It's the most impossible thing to learn because sometimes the sentences don't make sense,' Bonneville explains. 'The difference between 'yes well but' and 'but well yes' is profound', he adds, noting that he frequently struggles with the complex dialogue while his co-stars excel.Twenty Twenty Six shifts the setting to Miami, transforming Fletcher from a captain of British politeness into a mediator in American corporate culture. He's reunited with Will Humphries (Hugh Skinner), his hapless intern from BBC days, whose social uncertainty remains unrivalled. 'I'm now describing Will as the Paddington of the office world - he means well, but he's going to bump into everything and set the photocopier on fire,' Bonneville says.The series expands the ensemble with international characters including Belgian chief coordinating attaché Eric Van Dupuytrens, American sustainability head Sarah Campbell, and Mexican 'VP Optics and Narrative' Gabriela De La Rosa. If previous shows examined unspoken British social etiquette, this installment presents more of a culture clash comedy, with Fletcher navigating a world where people express themselves directly rather than through British subtlety.John Morton, the creator, chose the World Cup backdrop not for its football significance but because its unwieldy scale across 16 cities presents fertile ground for comedic mishaps. 'As a writer, you think: hmm, that smells like things could go wrong,' Morton explains. The show addresses contemporary issues including Trump references and environmental concerns, though Morton maintains it's not about football controversies.The filming itself presented unique challenges, with production in a Wembley school transformed to resemble a Miami arts center. Despite the artificial setting, the cast found the UK heat surprisingly authentic to Florida's climate. 'The irony being had we filmed it in Miami, it would have been air-conditioned,' Bonneville laments, capturing the production's British approach to discomfort.

Kimberly Belflower's revisionist take on Arthur Miller's classic The Crucible re-spins the witch-hunts for the #MeToo generation. Set in 2018, the play follows a classroom of teenagers—mostly girls—as they attempt to establish a feminist club, an effort seemingly sparked by contemporary news headlines. This original approach addresses adolescent girlhood in the direct aftermath of the Harvey Weinstein scandal, though the production takes time to build momentum.The narrative centers on Beth (Holly Howden Gilchrist), the class academic; Ivy (Clare Hughes), whose father faces workplace misconduct allegations; Nell (Lauryn Ajufo), the new student; and Raelynn (Miya James), a pastor's daughter dealing with relationship betrayal. Shelby (Sadie Soverall), though absent for much of the play, plays a crucial role in the unfolding drama.Set in a small-town Georgia high school, the feminist club concept initially proves controversial until a charismatic teacher, Carter Smith (Dónal Finn), suggests expanding it to include boys. Directed by Danya Taymor and performed continuously in under two hours, the script pivots around the students' study of Miller's play alongside their developing understanding of intersectional feminism.The production captures the girls' internalization of societal micro-aggressions with humor and pathos, incorporating pop music tributes to artists like Lorde, Taylor Swift, and Beyoncé. While the dialogue authentically portrays adolescent female relationships, the review notes these connections are sometimes flattened by their cuteness rather than reflecting the sharp edges typical of this transitional life stage.A significant parallel emerges between Miller's John Proctor—a morally complex character who ultimately maintains his principles—and the predatory male figure in the contemporary narrative. The review suggests a false equivalence between these characters, as the modern figure is portrayed as a serial abuser rather than a morally conflicted individual.The play concludes with an emotional climax as students reinterpret scenes from The Crucible through interpretive dance, symbolizing their liberation while acknowledging that the predator remains in their midst. This ending, while thematically resonant, is described as feeling neat and easy despite its powerful emotional impact.Despite these criticisms, the production effectively captures the zeitgeist of 2018 for a generation of girls coming of age in the shadow of the Weinstein scandal and the #MeToo movement, raising questions about the movement's lasting impact and current relevance.