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Executive Summary: Trump‑Xi Summit Sets the Stage for a US‑China Power Contest Donald Trump will meet Xi Jinping in Beijing on May 14‑15, 2026. The talks, delayed by the US‑Israel war on Iran, are expected to focus on trade, debt, military spending and emerging technologies, marking the first US presidential visit to China in nearly a decade. Trade Metrics Highlight China’s Export Supremacy According to the World Bank’s WITS, China exported $3.59 trillion of goods in 2024, surpassing the US’s $1.9 trillion. China now leads 145 economies in trade volume, while the US trails with a trade deficit of roughly $1.2 trillion (imports $3.12 trillion vs exports $1.9 trillion). Top Chinese exports: Machinery & electrical machines $1.68 trillion, metals $286 bn, textiles $268 bn. Top US exports: Machinery & electrical machines $447 bn, mineral products $364 bn, chemicals $245 bn. Numbers Behind the Trade Gap, Debt and Military Budgets In 2024 China posted a trade surplus of over $1 trillion, while the US ran a deficit of about $1.2 trillion. Government debt stands at 115 % of GDP for the US and 94 % of GDP for China, with the US national debt exceeding $39 trillion. Military spending in 2025 was $954 bn for the US (3.1 % of GDP) versus $336 bn for China (1.7 % of GDP). Strategic Implications for the Global Power Balance The data underscore a shift: China now leads in export volume, rare‑earth reserves (44 million tonnes vs US 1.9 million tonnes), and green‑energy investment ($290 bn vs US $97 bn). The US retains advantages in AI corporate spending ($109 bn in 2024) and semiconductor technology. Both powers dominate global military outlays, together accounting for over half of worldwide defence spending. Outlook: What the May Summit May Determine Analysts expect the summit to address tariff levels (US average tariff on Chinese imports ~31.6 %), rare‑earth supply security, and coordination on climate‑energy policy. A de‑escalation could stabilize trade flows and reduce debt‑driven fiscal pressures, while a hard‑line stance may deepen the bifurcation of technology supply chains and reinforce competing growth models.

The Trump-Xi Summit: A Pivotal Moment in US-China Relations Donald Trump's state visit to China this week – the first by the US president in nearly a decade – comes amid a time of geopolitical upheaval, a new and intractable conflict in the Middle East, and a sometimes rocky relationship between the world's two major superpowers. There is much for Trump and Xi Jinping to discuss, but a few key issues are likely to dominate the agenda. Five Critical Issues on the Summit Agenda The high-stakes meeting between the two leaders addresses several pressing matters that could reshape the global landscape: The Iran Conflict and Hormuz Strait Crisis Trump is eager for China to lean on Tehran to advance peace talks and reopen the strait of Hormuz. To now, Beijing has sat back and watched the US struggle against Iran, at least publicly. But with about half of China's crude oil imports passing through the strait, Xi does want the waterway unblocked. China knows its exports will suffer if a global recession results from an oil supply crisis. Complicating the picture, the US this week put sanctions on several Chinese firms accused of assisting Iranian oil shipments and supplying satellite imagery allegedly used in Iranian military operations, claims that Beijing denied. Trump's arrival comes after Iran's foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, visited Beijing last week. Taiwan: The Flashpoint in US-China Relations Beijing is keen to push the US on Taiwan, with Trump saying he is prepared to raise the issue of arms sales to the island, which China claims as a breakaway territory despite never having ruled it. In December, Trump authorised an $11bn arms package for Taiwan, the largest weapons sale ever to the island, but no shipments have been made yet. Xi may seek changes in how the US refers to Taiwan. Ideally, from the perspective of Beijing, this would be a statement from Washington "opposing" Taiwan's independence rather than "not supporting" it. Taiwan will be watching closely. Just two weeks ago, China's foreign minister in a phone call with Marco Rubio urged the US to "make the right choices" on Taiwan. With Trump known to veer off script, John Kirby, a former US state department and Pentagon spokesperson cautioned: "They just have to be so extraordinarily precise when you're talking about Taiwan because, quite frankly, the stakes are enormously high." The AI Cold War: Technological Supremacy at Stake China and the US are locked into a race on artificial intelligence that is becoming something of a technological cold war. In April, the White House accused China of stealing US AI labs' intellectual property on an industrial scale, claims Beijing denied. Meanwhile, Beijing has been frustrated by Washington's reluctance to allow Nvidia to export its most powerful processing chips to China. In January, the White House said Nvidia could export its second most powerful chip, the H200, but no shipments have been sent yet. Analysts and ethics leaders hope Trump and Xi will discuss non-binding AI guidelines, including sharing information about AI misuse and safety, which are seen as critical guardrails amid the advent of AI weaponry and military adoption. Trade War: Rare Earth Minerals and Economic Leverage Trump has repeatedly threatened China over trade, imposing tariffs above 140% last year. But Xi held some cards of his own and did not fold. Instead, China blocked exports of its rare earth minerals and magnets to the US. Trump, finally, backed down. The US has depleted notable levels of its weapons arsenal in the war against Iran, with many weaponry components requiring critical minerals that are linked to supply chains dominated by China. China is expected to announce purchases related to Boeing airplanes, American agriculture and energy, US officials have said. In turn, Beijing wants the US to ease curbs on exports of advanced semiconductors. Beijing also wants to reduce barriers to investment in the US, and hopes to establish a Board of Investment to match the Trump-back Board of Trade. Fentanyl: The Drug War and Political Posturing Fentanyl is a key item on Trump's agenda this week, Politico reported, citing an administration official granted anonymity to preview the closed-door sessions. The US has long accused Chinese businesses of knowingly supplying the chemical precursors to Mexican cartels who use them to make the drug. Trump knows that being seen to press China hard over fentanyl and precursors plays well with his Maga base. But Trump lost important leverage on the fentanyl front when China defied his tariffs threats. In March, the US and China clashed over fentanyl and trade at a UN drugs meeting. China wants to be removed from the state department's annual list of "major drug transit or illicit drug producing countries", due to be updated in September.

The Unparalleled Experience of CannesNothing prepares you for the shock that is the Cannes film festival: the adrenaline, the fatigue, the elation and the emotion, but also the hunger, the anger, the magic and the ridicule. For young cinephiles, and for almost everybody who works in the film industry, it is the mecca of cinema and has been so for nearly eight decades. Anyone going for the first time this week, as I did 25 years ago, should not listen to the old grognards – Cannes' battle-worn veterans – who will lament that the festival has become an abominable circus and swear this year will be their last. It is a circus, and you can bet they will be back for as long as their knees can take it. For there is nothing quite like it.From Resistance to Global Cinema HubBorn to counteract Benito Mussolini's Venice film festival, its first edition was planned for September 1939, but Adolf Hitler had other plans. The previous year, under pressure from Berlin and Rome, the Venice film festival's top prize, the Coppa Mussolini, was handed to Leni Riefenstahl's propaganda film Olympia, prompting the French, British and American delegates to walk out. Hence Cannes, conceived as the festival of the "free world". More than 80 years later, for all its sins, it has remained faithful to that founding promise.The Expansive Scale of Modern CannesOver the decades, Cannes has mutated into an ever-hungrier mammoth, needing more space, and more venues, as it attracts an increasing number of journalists and professionals. A purpose-built Palais des Festivals had to be erected in the 1980s. "The bunker", as we have come to call it, is not exactly beautiful but brutally efficient at managing Cannes' mind-boggling crowds. This year, about 40,000 accredited festival-goers are descending on the French Riviera from 140 different countries, with dozens of films selected across all sidebars. At the same time, the Marché du Film, running alongside the festival since the late 1960s, is gathering about 16,000 participants, with thousands of films and projects up for sale. Cannes is both a summit for the cinema elite and a giant film bazaar.Three Worlds Colliding at La CroisetteFor 11 days in May, three different worlds lead parallel lives – critics, deal-makers and red-carpet royalty – colliding almost by accident on the seafront boulevard known as La Croisette. Hundreds of critics watch multiple films a day with monastic discipline. When they give in to parties, they bitterly regret it the next morning. You can spot some of us sleeping through entire screenings; how some colleagues manage to review films is a mystery. I remember a well-known French critic who had such vivid dreams in the darkness that he became convinced they were scenes in the films. His reviews were full of brilliant analysis of moments that did not exist.We critics rush between screenings, press conferences, interviews, our desks and the bunker's free espresso machines, often forgetting to eat or even pee. Downstairs, in the bunker's basement, and in hotel suites and rented apartments, the film market runs day and night: buyers juggle numbers, producers charm, directors and screenwriters fight for their vision. Above them floats Cannes' top layer – stars and "talent" spending hours in hair and makeup before climbing the 24 steps of the red carpet in borrowed couture and jewellery. When people in the industry groan, "oh God, it's Cannes again", it is this collision of financial anxiety, choreographed glamour and sheer exhaustion they are bracing themselves for.The Magic and Meaning Behind the GlamourThese worlds sometimes collide in the most poetic or grotesque ways. One morning, rushing to my first screening at 7.30am, I was walking along the Croisette when I saw, coming towards me, slightly dishevelled in a tuxedo, Jack Nicholson on his way back to his hotel after a long night. I smiled, he smiled back. He was alone, no bodyguards, no chaperones. Those were the days. I also shared a lift with Takeshi Kitano in full samurai attire, and I will never forget turning into a hotel corridor and finding myself nose to nose with Max von Sydow – Ingmar Bergman's medieval knight from The Seventh Seal. My cinephile heart skipped a beat.One of my favourite sidebars in Cannes, alongside the competition where you watch the year's best crop of films, is Cannes Classics, showing restored world masterpieces and documentaries about cinema. I always start the festival there: it is the best way to reset and begin afresh. Then I am ready for the 10-day onslaught of motion pictures, and for the magic moment that precedes each Cannes screening – the festival's own jingle, a palm ascending the red carpet from underwater and then into the sky, lifted by the ethereal arpeggios of Camille Saint-Saëns's Carnival of the Animals.Cannes: Enduring Symbol of Cinematic ResistanceIn 1955, Cannes gave its first official Palme d'Or to Delbert Mann's Marty; half a century later I found myself befriending its wonderful star, Betsy Blair, on the Croisette. I had the joy of seeing Ken Loach twice climbing those steps to collect the Palme, escorted by police outriders from Nice airport as if he were a head of state. I watched Iranian directors Jafar Panahi and Mohammad Rasoulof showing films at peril to their lives. For all the craziness of the red carpet and the samurai outfits, Cannes never forgets that it was founded as a gesture of resistance. That, as much as the glamour and the exhaustion, is why we keep going back.

Trump’s Beijing Arrival Sets Stage for a High‑Stakes SummitDonald Trump is scheduled to land in Beijing on Wednesday evening, marking the first visit by a U.S. president to China in nearly ten years. The two‑day meeting with President Xi Jinping is framed as a chance to restore U.S. prestige after the protracted war in Iran.Diplomatic and Business Agenda of the VisitThe delegation will include more than a dozen American business leaders, notably Elon Musk of Tesla and Tim Cook of Apple. Trump has promised a “big, fat hug” from Xi and expects headline‑grabbing deals, including a new board of trade to coordinate bilateral purchases.Economic Stakes: 500 Boeing Jets and a Fragile Trade Truce500 Boeing 737 Max jets are slated for sale – one of the largest orders in the aircraft maker’s history.The U.S. and China remain under a “fragile tariff truce” established last autumn.China’s economy is under pressure from sluggish domestic demand and a prolonged property crisis.Geopolitical Ripple: Iran War, Taiwan, and Global EnergyThe Iran‑Israel conflict has entered its third month, with Tehran tightening control of the Strait of Hormuz, a route that carries roughly a fifth of the world’s oil supply.Washington has sanctioned several Chinese firms for allegedly supporting Iranian oil shipments.Trump’s willingness to discuss U.S. arms sales to Taiwan could signal a shift in the long‑standing U.S. policy of not consulting Beijing on Taiwan matters.Looking Ahead: Scenarios for the Trump‑Xi DialogueAnalysts see three possible outcomes: a breakthrough that eases sanctions on China and secures Iranian de‑escalation; a stalemate that leaves the tariff truce intact but no substantive progress on Iran; or a deterioration that could reignite trade tensions and complicate U.S. commitments to Taiwan.

The Case Against Yermak A former top aide to Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has appeared in court as prosecutors seek his arrest on charges of involvement in a multimillion-dollar money laundering scheme. Prosecutors allege that Yermak, 54, funnelled about 460 million Ukrainian hryvnias ($10.5m) into a high-end Dynasty housing complex in Kozyn, near Kyiv. Investigation and Allegations Investigators suspect that funds used in the development may have originated from corruption at Energoatom, Ukraine’s state nuclear energy company. The prosecution has asked the court to remand Yermak in custody, with bail set at 180 million Ukrainian hryvnias ($4m). Yermak denied the allegations. Broader Anticorruption Efforts The case is part of a broader anticorruption operation, dubbed “Midas”, led by the National Anti-Corruption Bureau of Ukraine (NABU) and the Specialised Anti-Corruption Prosecutor’s Office (SAPO). The operation was unveiled last November, when Timur Mindich, a former business associate of Zelenskyy, was accused of orchestrating a $100m kickback scheme at Energaotom. Implications and Reactions Some lawmakers, including members of ⁠Zelenskyy’s governing Servant of the People party, saw a silver lining in the case against Yermak, saying it served as an encouraging sign of Ukraine’s drive to fight corruption. “Partners see that Ukraine has an independent anticorruption system that is performing its function,” said Oleksandr Merezhko, head of the parliamentary foreign-affairs committee.

The Abrupt End of Australia's Sprint CampaignKaden Groves, Australia's premier sprinting hope at the 2026 Giro d'Italia, has been forced to abandon the race due to injuries sustained in a mass crash during the opening stage in Bulgaria. The 27-year-old, who was aiming to surpass Caleb Ewan's 11 Grand Tour stage wins and move second on the Australian all-time winners' list, joins compatriot Jay Vine in exiting the race prematurely due to crash-related injuries.The Opening Stage Crash That Changed the RaceGroves was among several riders injured in a mass crash occurring just 600 meters from the finish line as the race opened in Bulgaria on Friday. Despite appearing bloodied and limping immediately after the incident, his team Alpecin Premier-Tech initially reported that he seemed "OK." However, it later became clear that the 10-time Grand Tour stage winner was suffering from shoulder and neck bruising that proved more serious than initially assessed."I didn't ride yesterday. I hope after a complete day off the sensations have improved. I'll take it day by day and see how things are on the climb. I don't need to risk anything," Groves said before his withdrawal, indicating the severity of his condition despite his initial description of the injuries as "just a few superficial scrapes all over my body."Australian Cycling Suffers Double BlowThe withdrawal of Groves compounds a difficult start to the Giro for Australian cycling, following Jay Vine's earlier exit due to concussion and a broken elbow suffered in a crash on stage two. The two high-profile departures significantly reduce Australia's representation in the race's competitive aspects.In the absence of their big name duo Mathieu van der Poel and Jasper Philipsen, the Belgian team had anointed Groves, who was wearing No 1 in the race, as their main sprinter. With his exit, Francesco Busato will now lead Alpecin's sprinting efforts, though 25-year-old Australian Jensen Plowright may also receive opportunities after finishing 18th on stage three.Race Dynamics Shift as Sprinters ExitThe absence of key sprinters has altered the competitive landscape of the Giro. Ecuador's Jhonatan Narvaez capitalized on the changing dynamics to win stage four, providing a welcome boost for Vine's UAE Team Emirates XRG. Orluis Aular (Movistar) finished second, while Giulio Ciccone took third place and claimed the race leader's pink jersey.Two Australian general classification contenders remain in the race, with Red Bull-BORA hansgrohe's co-leader Jai Hindley and Jayco AlUla's Ben O'Connor both sitting handily 10 seconds behind new race leader Ciccone, alongside pre-race favorite Jonas Vingegaard (Visma Lease-A Bike).The Challenge Ahead: Mountain Stages AwaitWith sprinters exiting the race, attention now shifts to the climbers as the Giro prepares for its most demanding stages. Wednesday's fifth stage features nearly 4000m of climbing on the 203km route from Praia a Mare to Potenza, a profile that could significantly shake up the general classification standings.For Groves, the withdrawal represents a setback in his quest to add to his career tally of 10 Grand Tour stage victories. The Australian had just returned after a break of more than two months with knee trouble following a crash in the Omloop Het Nieuwsblad race at the start of March, making this latest injury particularly frustrating for the 27-year-old sprinter.

The International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC) reports that displacement in Colombia doubled in 2025, with over 235,619 people forced from their homes, marking the worst humanitarian year in a decade.The Surge in Displacement Amid Colombia’s Fragmented ConflictSince the 2016 ceasefire with the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC), the conflict has splintered into multiple dissident and criminal groups. The ICRC’s annual report highlights that this fragmentation has reignited violence across the country, especially in the border department of Norte de Santander, where 42 % of the displaced are concentrated.Numbers That Reveal a Humanitarian Crisis235,619 individuals displaced in 2025 (double the 2024 figure)Mass‑displacement events affected > 87,000 peopleExplosive‑related casualties: 965 killed or injuredExplosive incidents rose > 33 % year‑on‑yearLockdowns in small communities increased by nearly 100 %Why the Conflict’s Fragmentation Is Deepening SufferingFragmented armed groups compete for control of illicit economies, leading to a surge in the use of drones and improvised explosive devices. Civilians face “lockdowns” that restrict access to education, crops, and essential services, eroding the social fabric and livelihoods of entire regions.What the Future Holds for Peace Efforts and Civilian SafetyPresident Gustavo Petro’s “Total Peace” negotiations remain stalled as right‑wing factions demand a hardline approach ahead of the May 31 elections. Analysts warn that without a credible security framework, displacement trends are likely to continue rising, pressuring both national and international actors to intervene.

Ukraine's Long-Range Retaliation Strikes Russian Gas InfrastructurePresident Volodymyr Zelenskyy confirmed that Ukraine has targeted gas facilities in Russia's Orenburg region, located more than 1,500km (932 miles) from the Ukrainian border. The attack represents a significant escalation in the conflict, demonstrating Ukraine's capability to strike deep within Russian territory.Zelenskyy framed the operation as symmetrical retaliation, stating: "Ukraine has said that we will act symmetrically in response to Russia." The Orenburg region is home to one of the world's largest gasfields and contains industrial infrastructure considered vital to Russia's military and economy.Russian Governor Evgeny Solntsev claimed that nine Ukrainian drones were repelled over the region, though fragments from the downed drones damaged a residential building, a school, and a kindergarten, without causing any injuries.Escalation After Failed Ceasefire: Six Dead in Russian AttacksUkraine's latest attacks on Russia came hours after Moscow launched a series of overnight assaults on Ukrainian territory, killing six people in the Dnipropetrovsk region. The violence occurred as the three-day ceasefire brokered by US President Donald Trump came to an end.The pause in hostilities had coincided with Russia's Victory Day celebrations, marking the Soviet defeat of Nazi Germany in World War II. Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha revealed that Kyiv had offered to extend the ceasefire, but Moscow refused.Zelenskyy reported that Ukraine had been attacked by more than 200 drones, which damaged energy facilities, apartment buildings, a kindergarten, and a civilian train. He added that drones had been intercepted across six regions.Geopolitical Shifts: Russia's Nuclear Posturing and Peace Talk DevelopmentsOn Tuesday, Russia tested its new nuclear-capable intercontinental missile, which President Vladimir Putin described as the "most powerful" nuclear missile in the world, capable of traveling more than 25,000 kilometres (15,534 miles). Putin claimed the weapon "has the ability to penetrate all existing and future anti-missile defence systems." Analysts have previously accused Putin of exaggerating Russia's military capabilities.The Kremlin has suggested the war in Ukraine, which began more than four years ago, is nearing its end. Spokesperson Dmitry Peskov stated: "This accumulated groundwork in terms of the peace process allows us to say that the completion is indeed approaching." However, Zelenskyy disagreed, warning that Ukraine was preparing for further attacks: "Russia has no intention of ending this war. And we are, unfortunately, preparing for new attacks."European Union foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas interpreted Putin's comments as a sign of weakness: "What his statement really shows is that he's not in a strong position. So, I think there's an opportunity for ending this war."Future Outlook: Stalemate or Breakthrough in the Conflict?Talks aimed at ending the conflict have so far failed to achieve significant breakthroughs, stalling in recent months. US President Donald Trump made ending what has become a war of attrition a key pledge during his 2024 election campaign. As he left for a trip to China, Trump told reporters: "The end of the war in Ukraine, I really think it's getting very close."The Kyiv Independent newspaper reported that Washington was attempting to negotiate another temporary ceasefire that would include sanctions relief for Russia. Ukrainian officials are reportedly concerned that the proposed agreement does not include security guarantees, which Kyiv views as essential to deterring future aggression from Moscow.

The Media Revolution The news industry is once again experiencing a revolution, one that is reshaping news for a new generation of consumers. This disruption transcends all news brands, impacting all journalists and all journalism, everywhere. The Shift in Consumer Behavior We're witnessing a significant shift in how consumers access news. TV news audiences have declined by nearly 4 million people in the past five years, while YouTube has seen a trebling of its news audience and TikTok a 10-fold increase. This shift is not just about platforms; it's about the rise of independent journalists and personalities. The Rise of Creator Journalism Independent journalists like Joe Rogan, Piers Morgan, and Emily Maitlis have built massive audiences on platforms like YouTube and Substack. Joe Rogan has 20.9m subscribers on YouTube, while Piers Morgan's Uncensored YouTube channel has gained significant traction. This creator journalism is not a sideshow; it's becoming the main event. The Data Analysis The global podcast market is projected to grow from $32bn to $114bn by 2030. The UK is Substack's second-largest and fastest-growing market, with over half a million people paying subscriptions directly to writers. The Impact Analysis This revolution matters because it's driven by commentary and conversation, and the established media has yet to break into this new world at scale. The challenge is clear: will we wake up to the existential nature of this great shift in our industry, or will we be left behind? The Prediction The established news media has everything it needs to succeed in this new world, including talented journalists, experienced experts, and brands that have meaning for audiences. However, success is conditional on whether the established media is willing to deploy those assets to win and not be left behind. The priorities are clear: restore trust, reconnect through authenticity, and reinvent the newsroom.