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The LeadThe Guatemalan government has firmly denied reports that it agreed to permit United States military strikes against drug traffickers within its borders, while simultaneously confirming its request for security cooperation with Washington. This clarification comes amid growing concerns about US military operations in Latin America and the complex relationship between regional governments and Washington's anti-drug policies.The Government's Position on Military Operations"There is no agreement authorising foreign military operations by any country within national territory," the government of President Bernardo Arevalo stated in a formal release on Thursday. This denial directly responds to a New York Times report citing unnamed sources who claimed Arevalo had agreed to US military action in Guatemala.Accompanying the government statement was a note from a letter by Guatemala's Defense Minister Henry Saenz to his US counterpart Pete Hegseth, dated May 28. The letter reveals that Guatemala "desires to lead, with US assistance, active military operations" against drug groups identified as "designated terrorist organisations" (DTOs) by Washington."In accordance with existing bilateral agreements and arrangements, such combined Guatemala-led operations would further bilateral interests in defeating DTOs and advancing regional and hemispheric security," Saenz wrote in the document.The Regional Context of US Anti-Drug OperationsThe Guatemalan clarification emerges against a backdrop of increasingly assertive US anti-drug policies in Latin America. Under President Donald Trump, the United States has demonstrated a willingness to use military force in the region, including conducting air strikes against alleged drug boats in the Caribbean Sea and Pacific Ocean.These operations have resulted in at least 194 deaths and drawn criticism from rights advocates who characterize them as extrajudicial killings. The US has also taken more direct action, including the abduction of Venezuela's President Nicolas Maduro in January, whom it accused of drug trafficking.Following Maduro's removal, his vice president Delcy Rodriguez has improved relations with Washington and allowed greater foreign involvement in Venezuela's oil sector, though the US continues to exert control over the country's oil exports.The Impact on US-Latin America RelationsMany countries in Central and South America have struggled to contain gang violence related to the drug trade, creating a complex security landscape. In January, Guatemala's Arevalo declared a 30-day state of emergency after suspected gang members killed at least 10 police officers, highlighting the severity of the security challenges.Latin American leaders have consistently demonstrated a nuanced approach to US involvement - wary of direct military intervention but open to intelligence sharing and security cooperation. This delicate balance reflects both the genuine security needs of these nations and the historical sensitivities surrounding US intervention in the region.President Arevalo, elected in 2023 on an anticorruption platform, appears to be navigating this complex terrain carefully, seeking assistance while maintaining sovereignty over military operations within Guatemala.Future Outlook for Regional Security CooperationThe situation in Guatemala suggests a likely continuation of this pattern of conditional cooperation. Regional governments will likely continue to seek US assistance in combating drug trafficking and organized crime while resisting direct military operations on their soil.The coming months may see increased diplomatic efforts to define the boundaries of security cooperation, with Guatemala potentially serving as a model for other nations seeking to balance security needs with sovereignty concerns.As the US continues its anti-drug operations in Latin America, the region's response will likely shape the future of hemispheric security policies and determine whether cooperation can be achieved without compromising national sovereignty.

The Art of Provocation T Venkanna's paintings are like a sucker-punch. His first institutional solo show at London's Studio Voltaire features an overbearing altarpiece, modified by two squat side panels, depicting an orgasmic thicket of desire. The artwork is a commentary on the disparity between puritanical religious doctrine and licentious reality. The Intersection of Myth and Reality Venkanna's work is a way to consider many things, including the myth of religions. He draws inspiration from ancient Indian temples, where people touch the breasts of sculptures, making them smooth and shiny over time. His paintings are not about shocking, but about showing things around us. The Impact of Upbringing Venkanna's childhood in a small town in south-central India, where his father was a Hindu priest, had a significant impact on his work. He grew up in a one-room home with five other family members, and village people would come to ask about rituals and expectations of appropriate behavior. However, Venkanna discovered that these rules had a convenient degree of flexibility. The Evolution of Style Venkanna's artistic journey began with painting and drawing naked figures at home. He was sent to train as a drawing teacher and later enrolled in a fine art college, where he learned printmaking, miniature painting, and how to make and work with tempera. His early work was met with criticism, but he has since gained recognition, including a gold medal and support from teachers who donated their spare materials. The Future of Art Venkanna's work continues to push boundaries, exploring themes of intimacy, isolation, consent, and violation. His paintings are a counterpoint to gender inequality and prejudice, foregrounding women's experiences and depicting them as satiating their sexual appetite. As Venkanna says, 'I don't want to shock. What I'm showing are things around us.' T Venkanna: Sculpture Garden is at Studio Voltaire, London, until 23 August

Sonny Rollins' Enduring Legacy: 10 Essential Recordings Sonny Rollins, a jazz icon, has left an indelible mark on the music world. With a career spanning over seven decades, Rollins has consistently pushed the boundaries of jazz, showcasing his mastery and innovation. Here are 10 of his greatest recordings: Tenor Madness (released on Craft/OJC, 1956) A 30-year-old Sonny Rollins had already made his unique mark with Miles Davis and Thelonious Monk by the time this 1956 session was cut. Hooking up with his contemporary and admirer John Coltrane happened by chance on the two-tenor blues chase of this album's title. Saxophone Colossus (Prestige, 1957) This writer's first connection with Sonny Rollins' music was occasioned not by music but words: poetic New Yorker writer Whitney Balliett's evocative review of Sonny Rollins' 1957 Saxophone Colossus. Rollins was partnered on this classic set by pianist Tommy Flanagan, bassist Doug Watkins, and bebop-pioneering drummer Max Roach. Way Out West (Contemporary, 1957) When UK jazz musician Courtney Pine was blossoming as a teenage saxophonist in the early 80s, he would recall that Sonny Rollins' 1957 recording Way Out West was a key inspiration. The format was a Rollins favourite in his own early years – the demanding setup of a sax improviser with just bass and drums in support. A Night at the Village Vanguard (Blue Note, 1957) Rollins' live recordings are not as abundant as his genius in open situations deserves, but this music from New York's Village Vanguard makes up a lot of the ground. Freed from the march of chords by the absence of a pianist, he's in storming form in the company of rock-solid bassist Wilbur Ware and soon to be legendary Coltrane drummer Elvin Jones. Freedom Suite (Riverside, 1958) Rollins was never a natural composer – like Miles Davis, he preferred tunes that could be sketched on the back of envelopes. But Freedom Suite was an interesting departure for him, occasioned by the political climate of US race relations and civil rights in the late 1950s. The Bridge (RCA, 1962) Rollins took a creative break between 1959 and 1961, and his return came with The Bridge, named after the eccentric refuge he found: practising alone on New York's Williamsburg Bridge with only passing trains for company. Live at Ronnie Scott's (Gearbox Records; recorded January 1965) Rollins' visits as a solo performer to London's Ronnie Scott's club in the late 50s and early 60s introduced his mesmerising magic to UK audiences, and also helped to galvanise the local scene's confidence at a time when European jazz became increasingly emancipated from the US. Sunny Days, Starry Nights (Milestone, 1984) From the 1980s onwards, Rollins settled into a concert groove that was predictable – by his exacting improvisational standards – and frequently dazzling for audiences new to him. Sunny Days, Starry Nights showcased him with partners who would regularly join him on stage for the rest of his life. This Is What I Do (Milestone, 2000) The best and most affectionately closeup manifestation of Sonny Rollins' genius as he hit his 70s. The saxophonist's later-life partners are present, and so is one of contemporary jazz's greatest drums pioneers in Jack DeJohnette. Without a Song: The 9/11 Concert (Milestone; recorded 2001) Sonny Rollins and his wife, Lucille, lived close to the World Trade Center, witnessed the buildings' collapse on 9/11, and had to evacuate their apartment shortly afterwards. Four days later, the saxophonist performed and recorded this evocative session with his regular sidemen at the Berklee School of Music in Boston.

Tensions Rise in the Taiwan Strait Taiwan has said it is monitoring the second Chinese “joint combat readiness patrol” near the island in a week, accusing Beijing of being the sole source of instability in the Asia Pacific. Details of the Chinese Patrol Taiwan’s National Defence Ministry said on Tuesday it had detected 29 Chinese aircraft, including fighter jets, and seven warships operating around the island. The ministry reported that 24 of the aerial sorties had crossed the median line, an unofficial maritime and aerial buffer zone that runs through the middle of the Taiwan Strait. The Impact on Regional Stability Joseph Wu, secretary-general of Taiwan’s National Security Council, accused China of being the sole source of instability in the Asia Pacific region. “For the 2nd time in a week, shortly after the Beijing summit, the PLA conducted a ‘joint combat readiness patrol’ around Taiwan. We also spotted the Liaoning carrier group in the West Pacific. This is unprovoked. The PRC is the sole source of instability in the IndoPacific,” he wrote on X. The US Role in the Region The US is Taiwan’s largest weapons supplier and is bound by law to provide the island with the means to defend itself. In December, Trump approved the largest-ever US weapons package for its ally. However, last week, Washington said it was pausing a $14bn arms sale to Taiwan to conserve munitions for the war on Iran. The Future Outlook Earlier this month, President Xi Jinping warned Trump that their two countries could clash over Taiwan if the issue is mishandled. Since then, Trump has cautioned Taipei against formally declaring independence from China, prompting the island to issue a statement saying it was “sovereign and independent” but planned to maintain the status quo.

Asana's Strategic AI AcquisitionAsana has acquired the workflow automation company StackAI for $75 million, marking a significant step in the company's broader AI pivot. The acquisition aims to position Asana as an "AI-native workplace platform" and integrate StackAI's agent-building capabilities into Asana's existing work management system. The announcement was made Thursday afternoon to coincide with Asana's earnings and investor call.StackAI's Workflow Automation CapabilitiesStackAI, built as an AI workflow-automation system, designs agents to operate within existing business systems, pulling in data from platforms like Salesforce, Slack, and Gsuite. The company, founded by Tony Rosinol and Bernard Aceituno, will join Asana as part of the acquisition. StackAI has faced competition from automation tools like Zapier as well as AI labs like OpenAI and Anthropic in the rapidly evolving AI automation space.Financial Terms and Funding BackgroundThe acquisition comes as StackAI had raised just under $20 million, according to PitchBook data, with most of it coming in a recent $16 million Series A round. That round included funding from Gradient, Epakon Capital, Lobby VC, LifeX Ventures, and Vercel CEO Guillermo Rauch. While the $75 million acquisition price represents a significant premium over StackAI's funding, it reflects Asana's commitment to accelerating its AI capabilities.Asana's AI-Native TransformationWhile users are most familiar with Asana's work management system, the company has been releasing AI-oriented products in recent years, including the AI Studio agent builder and AI Teammates series of pre-built automations. Asana believes its deep integration into existing corporate workflows provides a key advantage, allowing it to distill context and training data that would otherwise be unavailable. This acquisition specifically aims to "agentify the most complex business processes end-to-end," according to CEO Dan Rogers.Future of Human-Agent Work in EnterpriseAsana has struggled on public markets during the AI era, losing more than half its market cap value since the introduction of ChatGPT. However, revenue has continued to grow steadily, and the new leadership is confident that human-agent products will enable a rebound. With this acquisition, Asana aims to accelerate its roadmap into "the next phase of human-agent work," potentially differentiating itself from both traditional work management platforms and standalone AI automation tools in the competitive enterprise software landscape.

Climate Threat to Czech Beer HeritageCzechia, the world's beer-drinking champion with the highest per capita consumption, faces an existential threat to its iconic Saaz hops due to increasing droughts and heatwaves. These climate conditions are reducing water availability, affecting plant cooling, and diminishing both the quantity and quality of the hops that give Czech beer its distinctive character. With only about 25% of Czech hop farms irrigated, the industry is highly vulnerable to these changing conditions.Breeding Resilient Hop VarietiesAt the Hop Research Institute, scientists led by Dr. Vladimir Nesvadba have developed new hop varieties specifically designed to withstand higher temperatures and reduced rainfall. The new cultivars—Saaz Shine, Saaz Comfort, and others—maintain the desirable characteristics of traditional Saaz hops while demonstrating improved resilience in challenging conditions. These innovations represent a scientific breakthrough that balances tradition with adaptation.Economic Impact on Global Beer ProductionThe economic implications extend beyond Czech borders, with approximately 80% of Czech Saaz hops exported to international breweries. US-based BarrieHaus Beer Co, which uses Saaz hops for its award-winning Czech-style pilsner, has experienced significant challenges due to climate-related variations in hop quality. After particularly brutal drought conditions in 2022, imports of Czech hops to the US dropped by roughly half, demonstrating the global economic consequences of this agricultural challenge.Changing Agricultural LandscapesThe climate crisis is forcing agricultural innovation in unexpected places. Sardinian agronomist Federico Puddu, working with Nesvadba, aims to develop hop varieties suitable for traditionally inhospitable regions like Sardinia. This expansion of hop cultivation into new areas represents a fundamental shift in agricultural possibilities, potentially creating new industries while adapting to changing climate conditions. The traditional boundaries of where certain crops can thrive are being redrawn.Future of Traditional Crops in a Warming WorldAs Czechia enters what may be its driest spring on record since 1961, the importance of these resilient hop varieties becomes increasingly critical. While Nesvadba emphasizes that the original Saaz variety will never be completely replaced—calling it 'our gold'—the new varieties offer a pathway to preserve Czech beer traditions in the face of climate change. This scientific approach to agricultural adaptation may serve as a model for other traditional crops and industries facing similar climate challenges worldwide.

The Rise of Heated Rivalry: From Canadian TV to NYC StageWalking into the Culture Club in West Chelsea, New York, for a performance of Heated Rivalry: The Unauthorized Musical Parody last week, I was met by three ghosts left over from when the space was called the McKittrick hotel and it hosted the immersive spookfest, Sleep No More. The first was the phantom of clever detail: cans of Athletic IPAs for sale, a cute, non-alcoholic nod to the mega-popular series' hockey setting. The second was of unnerving fright, as I realized there would be no booze at this singing satire. Would I be able to make it through 90 minutes of jokes about an overexposed Canadian gay sports romance, with zero quality guarantee and an even lower blood alcohol concentration? At least at the downtown premiere of the popular parody Titanique, long before it proved itself worthy of a handful of Tony nominations, you could stand up and order a bucket of White Claws.But then the third specter materialized, the ghost of immersion and surrender, as this very funny production completely won me over. (I've since learned that a liquor license is forthcoming.) Heated Rivalry, for the uninitiated, is a television show adapted from a series of gay romance novels by Rachel Reid, a straight woman who unwittingly launched a thousand discussions about who gets to be horny over whom, how and when. Fans of the books petitioned for a wider release of the show produced for the Canadian streamer Crave, last November and, some six months later, its formerly unknown stars Connor Storrie and Hudson Williams are in easy contention for the most photographed people alive. Heated Rivalry: The Unauthorized Musical Parody is the latest addition to New York City's musical parody cottage industry, which has led me to a theater lobby where a woman in a branded hockey jersey is telling the stranger next to her that she's seen the series "probably not as many times as you think, but still a lot".The Unauthorized Musical: A Masterclass in ParodyThere was a communal giddiness as everyone filed into the unassuming performance space, where less than 200 folding chairs were arranged around a small stage. Super-fans were giddy that their dreams were coming true, and the more reserved types, perhaps blushing at what they deemed beneath them, were still clearly enjoying themselves. I liked the TV show just fine, a bit underwhelmed at what was broadly discussed as "softcore smut" but felt more in line with the twee "naughtiness" of the romance world. I had worried a musical parody put together in a few months would be a cash-grab; plain fan service for those who can't get enough of those six novels or episodes, not jabbing at the culture so much as stroking its ego. Impressively, as written by Dylan MarcAurele and directed by Alan Kliffer, it satisfies all three camps.Framing is everything, and this romp begins with a faux earnest number, à la Waitress, where three suburban Susans detail their newfound pastime: putting their husbands to bed with some iPad time, knocking back an "Ambien margarita" and reveling in their favorite televised "boy aquarium". From there, "Main Susan" (Ryann Redmond, glorious) recaps the years-long flirtation between the feuding players, innocent Japanese-Canadian "Shane Hollander" (Jimin Moon) and brusque Russian "Ilya Rozanov" (Jay Armstrong Johnson).The obligatory double entendres (a song titled Shane Hollander, Slap that Stick! or a line, by Shane's mom, about the "heavy load" her obviously gay son carries) are expertly delivered right between earnestness and tongue-in-cheek, but it's MarcAurele's ability to mock the story's sillier elements that clinched it for me. Shane, whose thumb-twiddling submissiveness often grated me in the TV show, is played by Moon as a dopey bottom with a hopeless romantic complex. What the series plays out as a forbidden romance writ epic across timelines and borders, MarcAurele presents as Shane's borderline delusion in dealing with an uncaring dom for years on end. "I keep replaying things he said," Shane beams after a hookup, "like, 'Ass up, little whore.'" The score's best number, certainly the one best primed for cabaret nights anywhere, is Liza Minnelli's Maybe This Time send-up where Shane croons, "This fuck felt different from the last fuck. This fuck, he asked if I would stay."If reading that inspires eyerolls – totally – Moon (and the rest of the cast, which includes Cherry Torres and Ryan Duncan) are so winning in their deliveries, so in on the joke without reducing their project into one, that it's impossible to resist. As the icy-hot Ilya, Johnson has the less showy role and plays it mostly straight, which makes his song about an outcast childhood made tragic by his impossibly "big ass, cold heart" that much funnier. And, well, let's face it: Johnson and Moon are sexy as hell, and charming to boot. Kliffer's inventive staging, with choreography by Brooke and Tiffany Engen on a resourceful set by Sully Ross, goes long on bunny-hopping glee.The Off-Broadway Parody Boom: A New RenaissanceThe Canadian Kliffer, previously artistic director of famed improv spots like Second City and Asylum NYC, where he helped launch Titanique's improbable boom, later told me that these parodies rarely come together with such speed, let alone quality. He'd loved MarcAurele's Pop Off, Michelangelo! in London and M3gan spoof stateside, and had just bought into Heated Rivalry, courtesy of its amorously optimistic fifth episode, when the writer texted him with the idea. The resulting work fits attractively between the out-and-out bawdiness of the Titanic send-up and the relentless Millennial nostalgia of Ginger Twinsies, which parodied the 90s Parent Trap remake last summer, and Kliffer notes that this very queer, very funny moment downtown – which also includes Cole Escola's Oh, Mary! – points to "a little bit of an Off-Broadway renaissance."This particular renaissance seems to be defined by parodies that are loving but not saccharine, willing to mock their source material while still celebrating what made it appealing in the first place. The success of these shows suggests a hunger for theater that doesn't take itself too seriously but still delivers genuine theatrical craft. In a city where Broadway ticket prices can be prohibitive, these intimate, affordable productions offer a different kind of theatrical experience – one that feels more accessible and immediate.Cultural Impact: Beyond the ParodyHeated Rivalry exists at the intersection of several cultural conversations. The original series, based on novels by Rachel Reid, sparked discussions about who gets to tell LGBTQ+ stories and how those stories should be represented. The parody doesn't shy away from these questions but instead uses humor to explore them. By exaggerating certain elements of the original series, the musical actually highlights what made it compelling in the first place.The show also represents the growing visibility of LGBTQ+ stories in mainstream entertainment. What began as niche content has become a cultural phenomenon, with the original series gaining international attention and its stars becoming unlikely celebrities. The musical parody capitalizes on this popularity while simultaneously commenting on it, creating a meta-narrative that appeals to both fans and newcomers.Moreover, the success of Heated Rivalry reflects a broader trend in entertainment where audiences are increasingly drawn to content that acknowledges and plays with its own artificiality. In an era of heightened awareness about media consumption, audiences seem to appreciate works that don't pretend to be anything other than what they are – crafted, performed, and enjoyed.The Future of Parody Theater: What's Next?As the Off-Broadway scene continues to evolve with these clever parodies, we can expect to see more adaptations of popular TV shows and movies hitting the small stage. The success of Heated Rivalry, following in the footsteps of Titanique and other parody hits, suggests that there's a sustainable market for this type of entertainment.What's particularly interesting is how these parodies are pushing the boundaries of traditional musical theater. They're more immediate, more self-aware, and more willing to break the fourth wall than many conventional productions. This approach seems to resonate with younger audiences who are accustomed to interactive media and meta-commentary.Looking ahead, we might see parodies of other recent cultural phenomena – perhaps streaming hits, viral social media trends, or even political events. The key to success, as demonstrated by Heated Rivalry, will be balancing genuine affection for the source material with sharp, intelligent humor that offers something new to the conversation.

The Lead: A Midlife Comedy Triumph Middle age is a brutal time of life, perfectly suited for mining laughs that are bound up with tears, crisis, and death. Tina Fey's The Four Seasons returns for a second season that is even more perspicacious, poignant and hilarious than the first, proving once again why Fey remains one of comedy's most insightful voices. The Event Details: Season Two's Narrative Structure The second season continues with four fancy holidays split across the seasons, each given two gag-packed episodes. This rigid but neat structural device allows big moments to happen off-screen while we experience the aftermath soundtracked by an avalanche of Vivaldi and bracing jokes about sad lonely donkeys, secret vapes mistaken for thumb drives, and the tragicomedy of being an angry, unravelling fiftysomething man. The three couples have been reconfigured after the death of Nick (Steve Carell) at the end of season one. We follow Kate (played by Fey) and Jack as they workshop their marriage, Danny and Claude as gay, unbearably chic, forever bickering couple, and Nick's ex-wife Anne and the much younger woman for whom he left her, Ginny – now heavily pregnant with his baby. By summer, Anne and Ginny have moved in together with the baby, creating an unconventional but loving family unit. The Critical Analysis: Why This Season Excels The Four Seasons season two delivers moments so hilarious they rival Fey's previous masterpiece, 30 Rock. The show's strength lies in its ability to balance absurd humor with genuine emotional depth. The conversations between Danny and Claude are particularly funny, moving, and sensitively wrought, while Kate and Jack's "freeballing" – their decision to "grow apart on purpose" – evolves into a beautiful meditation on the endurance test of long-term relationships. This season belongs to Anne, who makes a joyous transition from lonely, fearful ex-wife to contented (enough) single woman willing to dress up as a folkloric old witch at an Italian Christmas pageant. She delivers many of the best lines and sports the most fabulous wardrobe, proving that middle-aged women can be both hilarious and fashionable. The Impact Analysis: Redefining Midlife Comedy The Four Seasons stands out in today's television landscape by tackling middle age with honesty and humor. Unlike the aspirational settings of Nancy Meyers movies that the show lovingly mocks, The Four Seasons presents a more realistic – though still beautiful – vision of midlife. The lush lakeside lawns and lobster rolls serve as a lure to reel viewers into the murky depths of actual midlife experience, where good men smash up vintage snack shacks, regrets must be lived with, and people who love each other want completely different things. Fey's special power lies in creating jokes so specific they feel personally tailored to the middle-aged experience. The show's ability to make viewers laugh while simultaneously acknowledging the existential dread that comes with this life stage represents a significant contribution to the comedy genre. The Prediction: The Future of The Four Seasons Given the critical acclaim and the rich narrative possibilities still available, The Four Seasons seems poised for additional seasons. The show has established itself as a worthy successor to Fey's 30 Rock, with the potential to become a modern classic of television comedy. Its unique blend of high-concept settings and low-stakes domestic problems, combined with Fey's signature wit and emotional intelligence, suggests the series will continue to resonate with audiences navigating the complexities of middle age. As streaming platforms increasingly compete for quality content, The Four Seasons represents the kind of smart, character-driven comedy that awards seasons and cultural conversations are built around. If the show maintains this level of quality, it may not only extend its own run but also inspire more television creators to tackle middle age with the same honesty, humor, and heart.

The conflict between the US and Iran has entered a critical phase, with a fragile ceasefire shattering into direct military exchanges near the Strait of Hormuz. The exchange of fire highlights the deepening strategic deadlock and the high stakes involved in the ongoing negotiations.Escalation Near the Strait of HormuzThe Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) launched a counterattack at 4:50 am local time, targeting an American air base in response to a US strike on a location near Bandar Abbas Airport. The US military confirmed shooting down four Iranian attack drones and striking a ground control station preparing to launch a fifth drone. This marks the third direct engagement since the ceasefire was announced, raising serious questions about the durability of the truce.Market Volatility and Oil Price ReboundGeopolitical tensions have directly impacted global markets. Following a 5% drop in oil prices on Wednesday, US crude futures rebounded by more than 3% on Thursday. Concurrently, US stocks fell and the dollar rose, signaling investor anxiety regarding the stability of energy supplies and trade routes.Trump's Diplomatic Deadlock and ThreatsPresident Donald Trump rejected a report suggesting a compromise deal with Tehran, specifically denying claims that the US would lift sanctions or allow joint management of the Strait of Hormuz by Iran and Oman. Trump characterized the waterway as international waters and issued a stark warning to Oman, stating, "They understand that, they’ll be fine," implying military consequences if they do not comply.The Inevitability of a DealExperts suggest that despite the rhetoric, a resolution is becoming increasingly likely. Doug Bandow of the Cato Institute argues that Trump has inadvertently empowered Iran by closing the strait and is unwilling to risk US ships to reopen it. Consequently, analysts believe Trump is in a "very difficult position" where he will likely be forced to negotiate a settlement to Iran's satisfaction to avoid further escalation.