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Politics May 22, 2026

U.S. Sanctions Target Hezbollah MPs and Lebanese Security Officials Amid Rising Tensions

The United States Treasury has sanctioned nine individuals, including Hezbollah parliamentarians an…
Lead: U.S. Treasury Announces Sanctions on Hezbollah‑Linked Politicians and Security FiguresThe United States has designated nine people for allegedly enabling Hezbollah to undermine Lebanon’s sovereignty, marking the latest effort to cripple the group’s financial networks.U.S. Treasury Targets Hezbollah‑Linked Politicians and Security OfficialsIn a Thursday statement, the Treasury said the individuals were sanctioned “for obstructing the peace process in Lebanon and impeding the disarmament” of Hezbollah. The State Department added that the list includes members of Lebanon’s parliament, an Iranian diplomat, and security officials who “abused” their roles.Mohamed Abdel‑Mottaleb Fanich – executive council leaderNizammeddine Fadlallah – elected Hezbollah MPIbrahim al‑Moussawi – longtime officialHussein Al‑Hajj Hassan – longtime officialMohammad Reza Sheibani – Iranian ambassador‑designate to LebanonAhmad Asaad Baalbaki – Amal Movement security officialAli Ahmad Safawi – Amal Movement security officialSamir Hamadi – Lebanese Armed Forces branch chiefKhattar Nasser Eldin – top official at the General Directorate for General SecuritySanctions List and Reward Offer: Numbers and StakesThe Treasury also announced a reward of up to $10 million for information leading to the disruption of Hezbollah’s financial mechanisms.Lebanon’s Ministry of Public Health reports that Israeli attacks since March 2 have killed at least 3,089 people and wounded 9,397.Implications for Lebanon’s Sovereignty and Ongoing ConflictState Department spokesperson Tommy Pigott warned that politicians, business leaders, or security personnel aiding Hezbollah will face “real consequences.” Hezbollah dismissed the sanctions as an “intimidation attempt” with “no practical effect” on its strategic choices.The sanctions arrive amid intensified Israeli air raids and shelling across southern Lebanon, including recent strikes in Tyre district towns that killed civilians and destroyed families.Potential Effects on Peace Talks and Regional DynamicsU.S. officials are simultaneously brokering peace talks between Israel and Lebanon, with political negotiations slated for June 2‑3 and security talks scheduled for May 29 at the Pentagon.Pigott said the sanctions aim to “create space for good‑faith conversations” and counter Hezbollah’s efforts to derail the negotiations.Analysts suggest the sanctions could pressure Lebanese officials to curb Hezbollah’s influence, but the group’s rhetoric frames the measures as a badge of honor, potentially hardening its stance ahead of the upcoming talks.
#United States #Hezbollah #Lebanon
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Sports May 22, 2026

Segaert’s Late Surge Wins Stage 12 as Eulálio Extends Giro Lead

Alec Segaert clinched his first Giro d’Italia stage win with a decisive attack 3 km from the finish…
Alec Segaert stole a march to win stage 12 of the Giro d’Italia on Thursday and his Bahrain Victorious teammate Afonso Eulálio snatched bonus seconds in the intermediate sprint to extend his overall lead.Stage 12: Segaert’s Late Attack Secures VictoryThe 175 km ride from Imperia to Novi Ligure looked set for a sprint finish until the Belgian rider launched his move with 3 km remaining. He held off the chasing pack to take the win on his Giro debut, edging out compatriot Toon Aerts (Lotto‑Intermarche) who claimed second, and former race leader Guillermo Thomas Silva (XDS Astana Team) in third.Time Gains and Bonus Seconds: Quantifying the Lead ShiftEulálio earned an extra 6 seconds at the intermediate sprint, widening his gap over favourite Jonas Vingegaard to 33 seconds.The stage featured a decisive climb at Colle Giovo, where Movistar’s pace brought the peloton back together.Key breakaway rider Johan Jacobs remained over two minutes ahead after 100 km, but was eventually caught.Strategic Implications for Bahrain Victorious and the General ClassificationThe dual success underscores Bahrain Victorious’s tactical acumen. Segaert’s attack forced rival teams to chase, while Eulálio’s bonus seconds reinforce his position as the pink‑jersey holder, putting pressure on Vingegaard and other GC contenders.What This Means for the Rest of the GiroWith the race now entering its second week, the time gaps are tightening. Teams that missed out on stage wins, such as Movistar, will need to animate the race on upcoming climbs to challenge the Bahrain duo.Looking Ahead: Stage 13 and the Battle for PinkFriday’s stage 13 will cover 189 km from Alessandria to Verbania, featuring another climb that could further test the resilience of the GC leaders. All eyes will be on whether Eulálio can defend his lead or if a new attacker, perhaps Segaert, will emerge to reshape the podium.
#Alec Segaert #Afonso Eulálio #Giro d'Italia
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World Wide May 21, 2026

Baker's Resilience: Lebanese Woman Bakes 3,000 Loaves Daily for War-Hit Community

A displaced Lebanese woman demonstrates remarkable resilience by baking 3,000 loaves of bread daily…
The LeadIn a remarkable display of resilience and community spirit, a Lebanese woman displaced by war has taken it upon herself to bake 3,000 loaves of bread daily to feed her war-hit community. Her selfless act has become a beacon of hope amid the ongoing conflict that has displaced thousands and disrupted daily life across the region.Baking Through AdversityThe woman, whose identity has not been fully disclosed, has transformed her baking skills into a lifeline for those affected by the conflict. Working from a makeshift kitchen, she rises early each morning to prepare dough, bake bread, and coordinate distribution to families in need. Her operation has grown from a small effort to a community-wide initiative, supported by volunteers who help with distribution and sourcing ingredients.The Scale of GenerosityProducing 3,000 loaves daily is no small feat. This represents approximately 1,500 kilograms of flour, 750 liters of water, and countless hours of labor. The bread, typically simple flatbreads that are a staple in Lebanese cuisine, provides essential nutrition to families who may otherwise go without. The scale of this operation highlights both the severity of the food crisis and the extraordinary response from ordinary citizens.Community ImpactThe bread distribution has become more than just a food program; it's a gathering point for the community. Families line up daily, not just for sustenance, but for human connection and a moment of normalcy in otherwise chaotic circumstances. The baker has created a network of mutual support, with some recipients helping to distribute bread to those unable to travel, and others contributing what little they have to keep the operation running.Humanitarian ResponseWhile international aid organizations are present in the region, this grassroots effort fills critical gaps in the response. Large-scale aid often takes time to reach those in need, and bureaucratic hurdles can delay assistance. The woman's bakery operates on a neighborhood scale, ensuring that help reaches those most quickly and efficiently. Her work has drawn attention from larger aid groups, who are now exploring ways to support and scale her efforts.Future OutlookAs the conflict continues, the need for such community-based initiatives is likely to grow. The woman has expressed determination to continue baking as long as needed, and has begun training others to take over should she be forced to relocate again. Her story has inspired similar efforts in other displaced communities, suggesting a potential model for grassroots humanitarian response in crisis situations.
#Lebanon #Displacement #Community Support
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Sports May 21, 2026

The 10 Greatest FIFA World Cup Players of All Time

As the FIFA World Cup 2026 approaches, we examine the 10 greatest players to have graced the tourna…
The Lead: Football's Global IconsFootball is a great leveller. Not everyone goes to a school with a rugby pitch and not everyone can afford a pony. However, from the favelas of Rio de Janeiro and the slums of Nairobi to the playgrounds of Monaco and Beverly Hills, you will see children kicking a football about.Arguments over the greatest 10 World Cup heroes have kept friends debating into the small hours for decades. Such arguments will continue for as long as football is played. But here, before the FIFA World Cup 2026, are the 10 we think have been the best:The Legends: Ranking World Cup Greats10. Zinedine ZidaneOne of the greatest and most controversial players of the game, Zidane won the 1998 World Cup for France at home, scoring twice in the final. Injuries kept him largely out of France's short-lived 2002 World Cup campaign, but he went on to be named player of the tournament at the 2006 edition – despite the infamous head butt that sent him off in the final against Italy. Thousands of fans lined the streets of Paris chanting Zidane's name when the team returned home.Having scored 31 goals in 108 matches for France, his talismanic leadership shaped the national team into something much greater than the sum of its parts. As a coach, he went on to win three Champions League titles and La Liga twice with Real Madrid.9. Jimmy GreavesNot even the great Bobby Moore, whose statue greets supporters arriving at Wembley Stadium, was as loved by English fans as Jimmy Greaves. Already a star at home, Greaves gained international recognition after rescuing a pitch-invading dog that had evaded the Brazilian greats during England's 1962 World Cup quarterfinal. Brazil's Garrincha took the dog home, and Greaves became known in Brazil as "Garrincha's dog-catcher".Greaves was part of the 1966 World Cup-winning squad, but a savage injury inflicted by France's Joseph Bonnel that required 14 stitches kept Greaves out of the final. Greaves scored six hat-tricks in an England shirt, a record that still stands. The 1966 campaign continues to be a focal point of English identity, the squad universally adored, and Greaves became a broadcaster, welcomed into the nation's living rooms for decades.8. Ferenc PuskasPuskas was captain of the Mighty Magyars, Hungary's golden team, which flourished under the influence of Jimmy Hogan's Total Football. He scored 84 goals in 85 matches for Hungary and made four appearances for Spain. Hungary were so dominant under Puskas that the 1954 World Cup final was the only game they lost in the entire decade.He scored 702 goals from 705 career games. The giant of European football was a vocal supporter of the 1956 Hungarian Revolution and defected to Spain while on tour after the Soviet army killed 2,500 of his countrymen while crushing the uprising. He returned to Hungary after the collapse of communism and remains worshipped by Hungarians.7. Lothar MatthausGermany's most-capped player, Matthaus scored 23 goals in 150 international matches. A box-to-box midfielder, he featured in five World Cups, helping West Germany win the 1990 edition. The only German to be named FIFA World Player of the Year, Matthaus holds the record for most World Cup games (25). His natural leadership gave him a commanding presence on the field, and his technical ability combined with his tactical awareness gave him an unstoppable dominance on the pitch.The bullish Diego Maradona called him the toughest opponent he ever faced.6. Miroslav KloseIt's rare that you get prizes just for being a good guy, but Germany's record goal scorer, the somersaulting Miroslav Klose, has a handful of them. With a career hallmarked by fair play and decency – he famously refused to accept a penalty awarded to him during a club match because he knew the referee was mistaken – Klose scored in four World Cups, finally lifting the trophy in 2014.A physical powerhouse of a forward, his stature belied his speed. He scored 71 goals in 137 matches in a German jersey. He also scored 16 World Cup goals. No one has ever scored more. He was prolific, and a good guy.5. Ronaldo"The Phenomenon" reinvented the role of striker while playing for Brazil in 98 matches and scoring 62 goals. He lifted the 1994 World Cup trophy at the age of just 17. Four years later, he was named Player of the Tournament after steering Brazil into the final, only to suffer a convulsive fit just hours before the game. He scored twice in the 2002 World Cup final to add to his six in the competition earlier, once more lifting the trophy.A fourth World Cup appearance saw Ronaldo score a then-record-breaking 15th World Cup goal. But it was the way in which he did it that set the world on fire: speed, control, vision, total mastery of the ball, explosive runs, juggling the ball past defenders with acrobatic flicks and tricks, and the goals.4. Franz BeckenbauerNo compilation of World Cup heroes could omit Franz Beckenbauer, one of only three men – along with Didier Deschamps and Mario Zagallo – to lift the World Cup trophy both as a player and a manager. Despite playing as a defender, Beckenbauer scored 14 goals in his 103 appearances for West Germany, captaining the 1974 winning side.After playing in the 1966 World Cup final loss to England, he got revenge four years later, scoring a searing goal to knock the English out and send West Germany to the semifinal. But three World Cup appearances weren't enough for him, and as Germany marched towards unification and a new era, Beckenbauer guided the national team as manager to win the 1990 World Cup.3. Johan CruyffThe three-time Ballon d'Or winner, one of the most influential figures in the sporting philosophy of Total Football, brought a new level of sophistication to the game. Football for Cruyff wasn't just an athletic sport but a blending of mind, body and artistry – an exercise in simplicity and beauty.A creative playmaker with a unique understanding of the geometry of players' pitch positions, he led his team like the conductor of an orchestra. The Netherlands never lost a game in which he scored. And he scored a lot – 33 goals in 48 international matches. Cruyff led the Netherlands to the final of the 1974 World Cup, scoring twice against Argentina and knocking out then-champions Brazil. It was only the defensive heroics of Franz Beckenbauer that frustrated Cruyff's efforts on goal and kept the Dutchman from lifting the trophy.2. Diego MaradonaThe drug-addled "Golden Boy" is widely regarded as one of the greatest players in the history of football. His 60-metre (66-yard) dribble past five England players in the 1986 World Cup quarterfinal led to the "goal of the century", yet its mastery followed the sport's most famous unpenalised handball – the goal that became known as "the hand of God".That game epitomised the two sides of Maradona: the raw, prodigious talent of the Argentinian captain mixed with an absolute disregard for rules, the shameless arrogance of a genius and the belief that one's innate talent sets you apart from – and above – the mere mortals around you. Argentina went on to win the 1986 World Cup, 10 years after Maradona had made his first appearance for the national side aged just 16.1. PeleHas there ever been a more successful football icon than Brazil's Pele? In 1958, when he scored his first World Cup goal – the result of a scuffed mishit that ended Wales's World Cup dreams for the following seven decades – could anyone have known the giant he was to become?With either foot, Pele could produce the sort of magic that inspired generations. Off the pitch, as one of the first truly global Black sports superstars, his outspoken support for improving the lives of the poor made him a national hero. Pele lifted the World Cup three times: 1958, 1962 and 1970. He remains Brazil's leading goal scorer with 77 goals in 92 games. He was so famous, so beloved all around the world that in 1969, both sides in Nigeria's civil war agreed to a ceasefire so they could watch Pele play in an exhibition match in Lagos.The Legacy: World Cup Impact on National IdentityPerhaps the way in which football stars have often escaped humble origins to shine in the sport allows the very best to become icons on and off the pitch and truly become heroes of nations. For many countries, World Cup success has become intertwined with national identity, with players elevated to almost mythical status for their contributions to the sport and their country's prestige on the world stage.The Evolution: Changing Standards of GreatnessAs the World Cup has evolved over decades, so too have the standards by which we measure greatness. Early World Cup heroes were often celebrated for their technical skill and leadership, while modern players are increasingly judged by their statistics, consistency across tournaments, and ability to perform under pressure. The rise of data analytics in football has added new dimensions to the debate about what constitutes greatness in the World Cup context.The Future: Who Will Join the Pantheon?As we approach the 2026 World Cup, the question remains: who will join this pantheon of greats? With players like Lionel Messi already having cemented their legacy, and emerging talents like Kylian Mbappé showing signs of greatness, the debate will continue to evolve. The World Cup has always been a stage where legends are made, and the 2026 tournament promises to be no exception.
#FIFA #World Cup #Football
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Business May 21, 2026

Former LC&F Chief Jailed for Illegal Hot‑Tub Sale and Contempt of Court

Former London Capital & Finance founder Michael Thomson received a six‑month prison term for contem…
Six-Month Contempt Sentence for LC&F; Founder Over Illegal Asset SalesFormer London Capital & Finance chief Michael Thomson was sentenced to six months in prison for contempt of court after admitting he breached a restraining order by selling luxury items, including horse saddles and a hot tub. His wife Debbie Thomson received a suspended six‑month term.Financial Scale of Breaches and Compensation PayoutsBreached SFO restraint order by receiving a £2,000 holiday refund and selling assets worth almost £5,800.Earlier breach involved a £95,000 transfer to his wife to conceal funds.SFO estimates the Thomsons dissipated over £100,000 in assets.LC&F collapsed after selling £236 million of mini‑bonds.As of February 2024, the Financial Services Compensation Scheme has paid out more than £173 million to victims (£58 million from industry funding, £115 million from government top‑up).Implications for SFO Enforcement and Investor Confidence in Mini‑Bond MarketThe case underscores the Serious Fraud Office’s aggressive stance on post‑collapse asset recovery and highlights lingering vulnerabilities in the UK mini‑bond sector, where speculative investments and opaque fund flows contributed to the 2019 failure of LC&F.Future Regulatory Scrutiny and Potential ReformsAccording to Paul Napper, head of proceeds of crime at the SFO, the inquiry will continue on behalf of thousands of investors. The sentencing may prompt tighter oversight of restraint orders and reinforce the need for robust compensation mechanisms for victims of similar schemes.
#London Capital & Finance #Michael Thomson #Serious Fraud Office
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Sports May 21, 2026

PWHL Expands to San Jose as Montreal Wins First Walter Cup

The Montreal Victoire have won the first Walter Cup in the Professional Women's Hockey League (PWHL…
The Montreal Victoire's Historic Win For the first time in the short history of the Professional Women’s Hockey League (PWHL), the Walter Cup is leaving the United States. The Montreal Victoire beat the Ottawa Charge in an all-Canadian final that wrapped up on Wednesday night in four games. Expansion and Growth The day before Montreal won the Walter Cup, the PWHL announced the league is expanding to San Jose for next season. It was the fourth such expansion announcement in the three weeks. With Detroit, Las Vegas and Hamilton, Ontario, receiving the other three expansion franchises, the young league will head into the 2026/27 season with an imbalance in franchises between Canada and the US for the first time. The Data Analysis The PWHL will enter its fourth campaign with seven US franchises and five Canadian. The league saw a 77% season-over-season increase in viewership on YouTube. At the box office, the PWHL sold out Seattle’s Climate Pledge Arena, Boston’s TD Garden and New York City’s Madison Square Garden. The MSG attendance of 18,006 now sits as the US professional women’s hockey attendance record. The Impact Analysis The PWHL is riding record attendance in venues across the US and is hoping to arrive at a league-wide national US broadcasting deal. Coupled with the fact that the PWHL increased its league and team partnership portfolio by 35% season-over-season to 81 corporate partners, saw in-arena merchandise sales double and online merchandise sales increase more than 50%, business is booming for the PWHL. The Prediction With the expansion to San Jose and the success of women’s ice hockey in America, the PWHL is poised for continued growth. The league’s move to California makes sense given the state’s ties to the PWHL itself, with Mark Walter, the owner of MLB’s Los Angeles Dodgers, the NBA’s Los Angeles Lakers and the WNBA’s Los Angeles Sparks, owning the league.
#PWHL #Montreal Victoire #San Jose
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Tech May 21, 2026

Nvidia Posts Record $58.3B Profit Amid AI Chip Boom

Nvidia has announced record quarterly profit of $58.3 billion and revenue of $81.6 billion, driven …
The Record-Breaking Quarter Nvidia has announced record quarterly profit and revenue amid explosive demand for its advanced AI chips. The US tech behemoth said on Wednesday that profit soared to $58.3bn for the February-April period, up 37 percent from the previous quarter and more than 200 percent year-on-year. Revenue jumped to $81.6bn, up 20 percent from the prior quarter and 85 percent compared with the same period in 2025. Nvidia forecast revenue for the current quarter to hit $91bn, more than most analysts' estimates. The AI Chip Surge Nvidia's data-centre business was the main driver of growth, with quarterly revenue surging 92 percent year-on-year to $75.2bn. The Santa Clara, California-based chip giant's hardware unit racked up revenue of $6.4bn, up 29 percent from the previous year. In a sweetener for shareholders, the world's most valuable company said it would buy back an additional $80bn in shares and raise its quarterly cash dividend from $0.01 a share to $0.25 per share. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang hailed the "extraordinary" results as proof of the growing utility of AI. "Demand has gone parabolic," Huang said in a conference call with investors and analysts. "The reason is simple. Agentic AI has arrived," Huang said, referring to the advent of semi-autonomous AI models. "AI can now do productive and valuable work." Market Expectations vs Reality Despite once again blasting past analysts' expectations, Nvidia's latest results received a muted market response. Shares in Nvidia fell nearly 1.3 percent in after-hours trading, an indication of the sky-high expectations attached to a company whose blistering growth since 2022 has lifted its market capitalisation to more than $5 trillion. "Expectations are very high, and when a company like Nvidia has been doing as well as it has for so long, it takes a lot for people to get excited," Jay Goldberg, a senior analyst for semiconductors and electronics at Seaport Research, told Al Jazeera. "That's just kind of the nature of Wall Street." "All these stocks have run a lot this year, but a lot of it is driven by press releases," Goldberg said, adding that tech firms have yet to demonstrate a "broad-based consumer case" for AI. The AI Valuation Debate Nvidia's spectacular rise and the sky-high valuations of other tech giants, such as Microsoft and Amazon, have stirred discussion about whether AI is overhyped and creating a massive market bubble. William Rhind, the CEO and founder of New York-based investment firm GraniteShares, said the muted reaction showed that expectations had "caught up to fundamentals." "Nvidia is no longer beating a high bar – it is the bar," Rhind told Al Jazeera. Rhind said the bullish case for Nvidia nonetheless remains strong, pointing to the dividend hike and share buyback scheme as signs of a company with "more cash than it can possibly redeploy into the business". "When the marginal use of capital starts shifting toward buybacks and dividends, you're watching a hypergrowth story begin to mature in real time," he said. "That's not bearish – it's a different kind of bullish." Future Outlook John Belton, a portfolio manager at Gabelli Funds, said Nvidia's latest results should not "dramatically shift the story one way or another". "Overall, another solid earnings," Belton told Al Jazeera, saying the results mirrored the "strong numbers" of previous quarters "albeit without any new earth-shattering developments." As Nvidia continues to dominate the AI chip market, the company faces the challenge of maintaining its extraordinary growth trajectory while navigating increasing scrutiny about whether current valuations reflect sustainable business fundamentals or speculative enthusiasm.
#Nvidia #AI chips #Jensen Huang
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Sports May 21, 2026

Germany names Manuel Neuer as first-choice World Cup keeper

Germany coach Julian Nagelsmann has named Manuel Neuer as his first-choice goalkeeper for the upcom…
The Comeback of Manuel Neuer Bayern Munich's Manuel Neuer has come out of international retirement to compete in next month's World Cup after being named as the starting goalkeeper in Germany coach Julian Nagelsmann's squad for the tournament. Nagelsmann's Decision Nagelsmann made the decision after having long labelled Hoffenheim's Oliver Baumann as his first-choice keeper. "Yes, I plan with that [with Neuer as number one]," Nagelsmann told a press conference. "The main task was to nominate the best three keepers. So we decided that these three are part of that." Neuer's Career Revival The 40-year-old Neuer, who last competed for Germany at Euro 2024 before his international retirement, is now set to play in his fifth successive World Cup, joining an elite group of football players with five or more tournaments. Neuer, a 2014 World Cup winner, enjoyed a solid season with champions Bayern, who could win the domestic double with victory over VfB Stuttgart in the German Cup final on Saturday. Germany's World Cup Squad There were few other major surprises in Nagelsmann's 26-man squad for the tournament starting next month. But the coach also called up Bayern's teenage player Lennart Karl, who enjoyed a meteoric rise this season, as well as Nadiem Amiri and Leroy Sane, who both had outside chances of earning a spot. Germany's World Cup Goals Germany, who face Curacao, Ecuador and Ivory Coast in Group E at the World Cup, have set their sights on a fifth title after shock first-round exits in the past two editions in 2018 and 2022. "The statement stands," Nagelsmann said. "We want to become world champions. Every player who is nominated needs to show it now every day." Full Germany Squad Goalkeepers: Manuel Neuer, Oliver Baumann, Alexander Nubel Defenders: Nico Schlotterbeck, David Raum, Nathaniel Brown, Jonathan Tah, Waldemar Anton, Pascal Gross, Joshua Kimmich, Felix Nmecha, Malick Thiaw, Aleksandar Pavlovic, Antonio Rudiger, Angelo Stiller Midfielders/Forwards: Leon Goretzka, Maximilian Beier, Jamal Musiala, Nadiem Amiri, Jamie Leweling, Kai Havertz, Lennart Karl, Florian Wirtz, Deniz Undav, Nick Woltemade, Leroy Sane
#Manuel Neuer #Germany #World Cup
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Economy May 21, 2026

The Economics of Hormuz: Calculating the Cost of Iran's Transit Toll

As the Strait of Hormuz remains closed eleven weeks into the Iran war, this analysis examines wheth…
The LeadEleven weeks after the start of the Iran war, the Strait of Hormuz has remained closed to naval traffic, bleeding the global economy far beyond the Gulf. Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) maintains an iron grip over this narrow, strategic waterway, while a corresponding United States naval blockade on Iranian ports has failed to reopen it.Before the war began, between 120 and 140 ships travelled through the strait each day, about half of them oil tankers carrying some 20 million barrels of oil between them. Now, only a few vessels whose owners have negotiated with the IRGC are permitted to pass.The Strategic Control of HormuzOn Wednesday, Iran said it coordinated the transit of 26 vessels through the Strait of Hormuz in 24 hours, two days after announcing the formation of the Persian Gulf Strait Authority (PGSA), a new body to provide "real-time updates" on operations in the strait.Since the announcement of a temporary ceasefire between the US and Iran in April, Iran has been working on formalising a mechanism to charge a transit fee from ships crossing the critical chokepoint, through which 20 percent of the world's oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) are shipped during peacetime.Tehran has reportedly already charged fees as high as $2m per ship for transit since the war started. Even though countries opposing Tehran say this is illegal, it may still be less expensive than the overall cost of the closure of the strait each day.The Economic Cost of BlockadeNearly one-fifth of global oil and LNG exports were shipped by Gulf producers through the Strait of Hormuz before the US and Israel bombed Iran on February 28, triggering the Iranian closure of the waterway. The strait is the only waterway linking Gulf producers to the open ocean – there is no other route through which they can ship exports.About 20.3 million barrels per day of oil passed through the Strait of Hormuz in peacetime – nearly 27 percent of global maritime oil trade. The lion's share of that crude went to Asian markets.Global LNG trade has been similarly hard hit. On the day before the war broke out, Brent crude – the global benchmark for oil prices – closed at $72.48 per barrel. After Iran closed the waterway on March 4 and began attacks on vessels attempting to sail through, traffic came to a standstill, stranding about 2,000 ships on either side of the strait.In terms of lost oil revenues, this amounts to $114.8bn of losses per day. About 10 billion cubic feet of LNG per day also used to pass through the strait, worth a further $7.8bn.The Cost-Benefit Analysis of Transit FeesFor hundreds of ships stranded in the Gulf with thousands of sailors on board, the cost of remaining anchored is steep, including crew wages, loan repayments, repair and management, coupled with inflated war risk premiums.In turn, Iran has reportedly been charging up to $2m for authorisation to pass. Experts say many will see this as worthwhile purely in terms of monetary cost."There is no doubt that paying Iran is cheaper than a continuous blockade because a sitting tanker bleeds money," said Nader Habibi, an Iranian American economist."It makes sense from an economic point of view, but it is not politically feasible," he added. "The companies are under pressure from the US sanctions and not to make arrangements with Iran. This is not just a purely economic cost-benefit analysis, but long-term considerations that are taken into account."International Legal PerspectivesInternational law protects free transit through strategic waters such as natural straits like Hormuz, barring countries from imposing passage tolls even where the waterways fall entirely into territorial waters, like in the case of Hormuz.However, services such as security controls, inspections and insurance regimes can be charged for. Chargeable fees also partly depend on whether a waterway is a man-made passageway or a natural one.These are three different precedents in maritime traffic flow:Panama Canal: An artificial waterway connecting the Atlantic and Pacific oceans. Vessels pass through a unique system of locks that raise and lower vessels across elevated terrain. Since Panama built, maintains and operates the canal, it can charge transit fees based on vessel size, cargo capacity and booking priority. These range from several hundred thousand dollars per transit to some slots sold for millions of dollars.Suez Canal: Another artificial canal, linking the Mediterranean and Red seas. Egypt charges transit fees for the use of canal infrastructure, maintenance and traffic management services through the narrow waterway. Container ships and oil tankers pay from several hundred thousand dollars to more than one million dollars per voyage.Turkiye's Bosporus Strait and Dardanelles: These are different because they are natural straits, rather than man-made canals. Turkiye charges for navigation-related services such as lighthouse operations, rescue readiness, medical support and traffic management – and tightly controls ship scheduling and navigation.Regional Cooperation PossibilitiesIran's newly-formed PGSA published a new map of Hormuz, stretching from Kuh-e Mubarak in Iran to south of Fujairah, in the UAE, at the eastern entrance of the strait, and from the tip of Qeshm Island to Umm al-Quwain at the western entrance.Given how the Iran war has spilled over into the Gulf region – with the UAE taking the brunt of Iranian strikes – economist Mohammad Reza Farzanegan said "regional cooperation with Iran is the most realistic path to stable transit through the Strait of Hormuz."The UAE, Oman, Qatar and Iran will have to work together because their economies require it, he argued. A workable arrangement could include a joint maritime authority, shared monitoring, emergency coordination, environmental protection and service-based contributions for maintaining safe passage."This would give Iran a recognised role in the security of the waterway while giving Persian Gulf economies more predictability," Farzanegan added. "Such a framework is also more realistic than relying on external military enforcement, which has been more a source of trouble for these states."The Future OutlookWhile it may seem that the economics of the closure of the strait are currently skewed towards Iran, Aniseh Tabrizi, an associate fellow on the Middle East and North Africa Programme at think tank Chatham House, noted that "the economics by itself is not going to be the driver to change calculation or move from the current standpoint."She emphasized that Iran and the US need to reach a "diplomatic compromise, with other calculations linked in to the economic factor", before there can be an end to the energy supply crisis.Farzanegan added that if the world expects stable access to the Strait of Hormuz, then paying Iran could well be accepted as the price of keeping the vital waterway predictable. "From an economic perspective, a negotiated transit arrangement [with Iran] now makes more sense than continued closure," he concluded.
#Iran #Strait of Hormuz #Oil Prices
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