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The Collapse of a European GiantThere were more than seven minutes left to play in a crucial end-of-season match, yet San Siro was already half empty. Milan's Ultras had deserted the Curva Sud to prepare a post-game protest, but even the more forgiving parts of the club's fanbase could not be bothered to stay until the end of another humiliating defeat. Their team was losing 3-0, at home, to Atalanta, and it hardly even felt a surprise.With this loss, inevitable as it now appeared, the Rossoneri had collected just seven points from their last eight games. Only three teams in Serie A had done worse over the same stretch. Two of those – Verona, and Pisa – have been relegated. The third, Lecce, are perilously close to joining them.The Maldini Factor and Management DecisionsWatching their beleaguered team struggle to get the ball out from the back against Atalanta's persistent press, fans started to sing for Paolo Maldini. One of the all-time great defenders, he won seven Serie A titles and five Champions Leagues as a player, extending the legacy of success begun by his father, Cesare.Appointed as a director for sporting strategy and development by Milan's then owners, Elliott Management, in 2018, Maldini was promoted to technical director a year later. He played a central role in player recruitment, helping build the team that won Serie A in 2021-22 – the club's first Scudetto for 11 years.Maldini's position was initially confirmed after RedBird Capital bought Milan in 2022. But he was fired one year later, despite having just overseen a fourth-place finish. The Rossoneri had just finished fourth, and Maldini spoke about a need for further squad investment to stay competitive at the highest level. But Milan's most expensive signing of the previous summer, Charles De Ketelaere, had been a flop, and their new CEO Giorgio Furlani said the objective given to him by RedBird was to get the club "living within our means."The Summer Investment and Early PromiseThe appointment of Massimiliano Allegri this summer was supposed to get things back on track. Here was a man defined by Italy's sporting press as a "guarantee" of Champions League football. An aggressive summer transfer window followed, headlined by the arrival of Luka Modric, and featuring significant outlays on the likes of Christopher Nkunku, Ardon Jashari, Samuele Ricci, Koni De Winter, Adrien Rabiot and Pervis Estupiñán.With no European distractions, Milan looked well equipped for a strong domestic campaign. Up until March, they delivered. The performance to beat Inter was classic Allegri, controlling the game while surrendering possession. Estupiñán scored before half-time, and Milan barely gave their opponents a sniff after that. This had been the mode all season: just win, it does not need to be pretty.The Tactical Breakdown and Player IssuesBut the problem with focusing always on the outcome is that you have nothing to fall back on once that part goes wrong. Milan's form early this season was built on the performances of talented individuals – Modric, certainly, but also Rabiot and especially Christian Pulisic, who had eight goals and two assists in the league, despite missing five games, by the end of December.Allegri's innovation was to move the American inside to operate as a centre-forward. He pulled the same trick with Rafael Leão after the Portuguese returned from a calf injury. Both thrived at first, but as their goals tailed off, Milan have struggled to replace them. Too many square pegs forced into round holes? Or is the picture a little more nuanced? Both Pulisic and Leão have been affected by physical issues as the season progressed.Atalanta were excellent, pressing selectively and executing ruthlessly. Giacomo Raspadori, signed from Atlético Madrid in January, brought a typically high-energy bustle behind the attack and it was his blocked shot that rebounded to Éderson inside the box for the opener. Nikola Krstovic, in the No 9 role, pinned his man expertly before laying the ball off to Davide Zappacosta to make it 2-0 before half-time.Fan Protests and Management ResponseWhat stood out in these moments was the clarity of purpose: each player performing the role they are best suited to and understanding what was required. The contrast with Milan's disjointed assembly of talents was stark. Absent the injured Modric, there was no glue to bind them together.Ultras had already made their feelings known before kick-off with a protest outside the ground then a choreography in the Curva Sud, using their bodies and mobile phone flashlights to spell out the letters "G.F. OUT" – Furlani's initials. Reporters saw a pair of fans attempt a protest, holding up shirts with Maldini's name on the back in front of the section where executives sit, but stewards ushered them away.By leaving early, they almost missed an improbable turnaround. Milan pulled a goal back in the 88th minute, Strahinja Pavlovic heading home from a Ricci free-kick. Nkunku, on as a second-half substitute, then won and converted a penalty. Suddenly the deficit was down to one goal. In the seventh minute of injury time, Matteo Gabbia almost equalised, flashing a header wide from another set-piece.Uncertain Future for Italian Football's PowerhouseMilan exist in a different orbit, still fourth in the table, even if their grip on a Champions League spot looks very loose indeed. It feels absurd to say it now, but before this miserable run they were the team keeping the Serie A title race alive. They were the last team to beat Inter, since crowned as champions, on 8 March. The gap between them, with mocking symmetry, was seven points.The layers to these decisions are complex, each party with their own version of how working relationships grew strained. But Maldini's assessment resonated with fans who want to see their team fight for trophies. Milan finished second in 2023-24 but fell all the way to eighth last season, and now find themselves once again struggling to maintain their position among Europe's elite.With the season approaching its conclusion, the question remains whether this is merely a temporary setback or a sign of deeper structural issues at the club. The contrast between the clear, purposeful football of Atalanta and Milan's disjointed performance suggests that tactical clarity may be as much a problem as player quality or management decisions.

The Lead: Norway's Funding Pause Creates Uncertainty for Global Environmental EffortsThe largest donor to the United Nations Environment Programme (Unep) has paused funding to the body before its revised budget on 12 May, triggering concern among member states and NGOs. The news carries significant implications for the already troubled plastic treaty negotiations being overseen by Unep, which have struggled to reach agreement since 2022.The Event Details: Norway's Financial Support to UnepUnep's executive director, Inger Andersen, met the director general of the Norwegian Agency for Development Cooperation (Norad) the week before last and was told that "all [funding] agreements are on hold" pending budget decisions, according to sources.Norway has been the largest overall donor to Unep in recent years, contributing approximately $12m (£9m) annually to the fund over the three years to 2025. Norway also contributed $19m in 2025 to the Planetary Fund and another $7.8m in earmarked funds in 2025, meaning that even a pause introduces significant uncertainty for future functioning of the global environment agency with the wider UN already facing severe financial pressure.In addition, the Guardian has obtained an email sent to NGOs by Norad advising them that it was postponing a funding call aimed at projects to combat plastic pollution in developing countries. The programme is valued at £4m-£6m a year and, according to Norad, the funding can be used for projects that support countries in the plastic treaty process.The Data Analysis: Financial Impact of Norway's Funding PauseNorway's financial contributions to environmental initiatives are substantial:Approximately $12m (£9m) annually to Unep's fund (2023-2025)$19m contributed to the Planetary Fund in 2025$7.8m in earmarked funds in 2025£4m-£6m annually for projects to combat plastic pollution in developing countriesPotential £79m commitment between 2025 and 2028 as previously announcedThese figures represent a significant portion of Unep's operational budget and the specific funding needed to support developing countries in the plastic treaty process.The Impact Analysis: Implications for Global Plastic Treaty NegotiationsNorway is the co-leader with Rwanda of the high-ambition coalition at the plastic treaty negotiations. The coalition says it is working for an "ambitious" and legally binding instrument on the "full life cycle of plastics". This stands in contrast to a small group of petrostates, who are widely seen as blocking moves to put a cap on plastic production.Christina Dixon, ocean campaign leader at the Environmental Investigation Agency, emphasized the timing: "Any risk to funding could not come at a worse time for the negotiations … sustained funding would reinforce Norway's longstanding leadership toward an ambitious plastics treaty."Karen Landmark, managing director at GRID-Arendal, a Norwegian environmental foundation that works closely with Unep, expressed concern that the funding pause could "give other countries an excuse to lower their level of ambition." She added: "For years, Norway has played a clear and constructive leadership role in pushing for a strong global plastics treaty. When a country in that position signals hesitation or withdraws support, the consequences can extend far beyond its own borders."The Prediction: Future Outlook for Environmental DiplomacyThe plastic treaty negotiations have faced significant challenges, with the chair of the process resigning suddenly last year after talks collapsed with little progress following three years of negotiations. A new chair was elected this year, with negotiations expected to resume in early 2027.Norway's reassessment of Unep funding comes amid a shifting domestic political and economic debate over climate and environmental spending. The country is governed by the centre-left Labour party, which has continued to position Norway internationally as a supporter of climate diplomacy, rainforest protection and efforts to negotiate a global plastics treaty.Per Fredrik Pharo, head of Norad's department for climate and nature, indicated that the assessment process for future cooperation will be finished in mid-2026. However, the vague language surrounding Norway's continued commitment to combating plastic pollution has raised concerns among environmental organizations about the future of these critical initiatives.

The Proposal for Ukraine Peace Talks Russian President Vladimir Putin has suggested that former German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder could coordinate talks with the European Union to secure a peace deal in Ukraine. This proposal has been met with skepticism by EU officials. Who is Gerhard Schroeder? Gerhard Schroeder is an 82-year-old leader of the Social Democratic Party (SPD) who served as Germany's chancellor from 1998 to 2005. He focused on European integration, reducing unemployment, liberalizing German citizenship laws, curbing nuclear power, and rebuilding the economy. Schroeder's Relationship with Putin Schroeder has remained close to Putin since leaving office. He referred to Putin as 'a flawless democrat' in 2004 and has continued to have a close relationship with him over the years. Schroeder has faced criticism in Germany for not publicly condemning Russia's invasion of Ukraine. The Current State of Russia-Ukraine Negotiations The US-backed talks between Kyiv and Moscow have stalled. Despite Putin suggesting that the war may be 'coming to an end,' the two sides continue to carry out strikes against each other. Trust in Schroeder as a Mediator EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas reacted with skepticism to Putin's proposal, stating that Schroeder has been a high-level lobbyist for Russian state-owned companies. Germany has also dismissed Putin's suggestion, saying that any talks with the EU would need to be closely coordinated with member states and Ukraine.

Iran says the United States is demanding “unreasonable” and “one‑sided” terms to end the war, a claim echoed by foreign ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei. Donald Trump dismissed Tehran’s response as “totally unacceptable,” a stance that sent global oil prices sharply higher.The Standoff Over Iran’s Peace ProposalBaghaei told a Monday press conference that Iran’s offer to end the conflict, reopen the Strait of Hormuz and release frozen Iranian assets was “legitimate and generous.” He emphasized that Iran made no concessions, only demanding an end to hostilities, the lifting of the U.S. blockade, and the unfreezing of assets held abroad. The United States, via a Truth Social post, rejected the Iranian counter‑proposal without detailing its contents, reiterating that the terms were “totally unacceptable.”Oil Market Reaction to the Diplomatic ImpasseFollowing Trump’s statement, benchmark Brent crude rose 4.65% to $99.95 a barrel in Asian trade, while the U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) climbed just over four percent to $105.5 a barrel. Traders cited fears of further disruptions to oil flow through the strait, where Iran has maintained a partial blockade since March.Regional Security and Economic StakesEuropean leaders, including French President Emmanuel Macron and British Prime Minister Keir Starmer, are coordinating a coalition of more than 50 countries to safeguard maritime transit in the Gulf. Baghaei warned European navies against “succumbing to U.S. and Israeli hubris,” arguing that any intervention could exacerbate price spikes and deepen the economic fallout for Gulf populations.What the Next Moves Could Mean for the GulfAnalysts note that the impasse risks prolonging the war’s economic toll, with oil markets likely to remain volatile until a mutually acceptable framework emerges. Continued diplomatic rigidity from both sides could prompt further multinational naval deployments, while a breakthrough—such as the release of frozen assets or a verified Iranian guarantee on nuclear facilities—might stabilize prices and reopen the strait for safe passage.

The Discovery Jem Calder's writing career had a fairytale start. Sally Rooney emailed him, impressed with a short story he'd submitted to the literary magazine she was editing soon after Conversations with Friends came out. It was the first story he'd ever completed. Calder was already 'a huge fan' of Rooney's, so the whole thing was surreal, he tells me. 'I can't really imagine what could top that, to be honest.' The Writing Career That story ultimately ended up in Reward System, Calder's 2022 collection of six interconnected tales following a cast of sad young things living in an unnamed city. It was hailed as a book of the year; a review in this paper placed Calder among 'the most talented young writers of fiction at work today'. Now, his debut novel, I Want You to Be Happy, picks up some of the themes of the first book: the trials of modern love, millennial ennui, consumer culture, technology, political and ecological doom. The Novel's Themes The novel explores the challenges of modern relationships, with characters struggling with commitment, addiction, and the search for meaning in a dismal macroeconomic climate. Calder's characters are addicted to instant gratification – buying stuff, social media, vaping, porn – anything to ward off the world's horrors. The Author's Perspective Calder grew up in Cambridge, studied English at Leeds, and has since worked a variety of jobs alongside writing, including those of his protagonists – Joey is a barista, and Chuck is a copywriter. He says he 'truly can't relate' to authors who complain of writer's block – having to work a day job 'gives me such motivation to get back to it and force myself to deal with something difficult in my writing'. The Future Calder could be grouped with a cohort of young novelists to whom the 'voice of a generation' label can easily be applied, alongside the likes of Rooney, Oisín McKenna, Madeleine Gray – writers concerned with how a dismal macroeconomic climate impacts young lives. How does Calder feel about that badge? It 'isn't something I consciously pursue at all', he says. 'It's unavoidable not to critique capitalism in some way if you're trying to address the absurdities of how we live now, but I also don't care about putting my political views in my fiction. The goal is always to just write realistically about how life feels.'

Martin Short's Heartfelt Revelation Martin Short has spoken for the first time about the death of his daughter, Katherine Short, saying her death has been “a nightmare for the family”. Katherine died in February aged 42, at her home in the Hollywood Hills. The County of Los Angeles Medical Examiner’s office confirmed she died by suicide. The Pain of Loss Speaking on CBS News Sunday Morning, the 76-year-old comedian and actor compared his daughter’s death with that of his wife, Nancy Dolman, who died of ovarian cancer in 2010 aged 58. “The understanding [is] that mental health and cancer, like my wife’s, are both diseases, and sometimes with diseases they are terminal,” Short said. A Desire to Raise Awareness Short said he had a “deep desire” to take “mental health out of the shadows” so people wouldn’t be “ashamed” of talking about it. “Not hiding from the word suicide, but accepting that this can be the last stage of an illness,” he said. A Year of Loss Short also spoke of losing several close friends and family in the past year, including his sister-in-law, his daughter and his friends Diane Keaton, Rob and Michele Reiner and Catherine O’Hara. “It’s staggering,” he said, adding: “You just have to breathe in, breathe out.” Katherine's Legacy Katherine was the eldest of three children adopted by Short and Dolman. She largely kept out of the spotlight, though she sometimes attended events and walked red carpets with her father. She received a bachelor’s degree in psychology and gender sexuality studies from New York University in 2006, as well as a master’s in social work from the University of Southern California in 2010, and went on to work in private practice as a licensed clinical social worker. A New Documentary Short spoke to CBS ahead of a new Netflix documentary film about his life titled Marty, Life Is Short, which premieres 12 May. The documentary touches on Short’s many experiences with loss early in life: his older brother David was killed in a car accident when Short was 12, and both of his parents died when he was still a teenager. Resources In the US, you can call or text the 988 Suicide & Crisis Lifeline at 988 or chat at 988lifeline.org. In the UK and Ireland, Samaritans can be contacted on freephone 116 123, or email [email protected] or [email protected]. In Australia, the crisis support service Lifeline is 13 11 14. Other international helplines can be found at befrienders.org

The Lead: A Tale of Repression and Hidden DesiresThere's a common greeting in the Outer Hebrides: the lineage-establishing "Who do you belong to?" By the time this question is posed to 22-year-old gay Harris islander John-Calum Macleod, or Cal, in Douglas Stuart's new novel, there is a sense that Cal is his father John's beyond the ordinary claims of blood – the latter's sway containing undercurrents of domineering ownership.The Novel's Core Themes: Repression and Self-Denial in a Conservative CommunityThe book opens with the two conducting a strange ritual over the phone, performed regularly ever since Cal moved to Edinburgh to study textiles: John, a precentor, reads to Cal in Gaelic from the New Testament and has him sing back "with the full power of his belief". The verse John recites – which prefigures the novel's themes of repression and self-denial – urges the faithful to guide the errant and to stay vigilant against temptation. After receiving Cal's assent, John orders him to return home, ostensibly because Cal's maternal grandmother, Ella, is sick. Though John lives with Ella in her croft house, she is his ex-wife's mother and thus not his responsibility.Set within a tight-knit Free Presbyterian community of farmers, weavers and fishers in what appears to be the 1990s, John of John tells the story of Cal's uneasy homecoming. It's a reprise of the parable of the prodigal son and an ardent exploration of the half-lives of queer men condemned to love, pine and suffer in silence. Intimate yet epic in scale, it contains equal parts pastoral drama, tale of familial fracture, love story and inquiry into various forms of loneliness: the loneliness that can reside between fathers and sons, between lovers, between man and God, and between a small place and the big world.Character Analysis: Complex Relationships and Hidden TruthsJohn disapproves of Cal's appearance, his sartorial choices and his long, "flame-coloured" hair, disturbed "by the confused signal they were sending, the strange tension between the masculine and the feminine". Cal's disinclination to be "saved" creates a rift between them that later erupts in violence. Meanwhile, childhood friend and hookup partner Doll gives Cal the brush-off, cross that he's been away for so long. Wearied by his ultraconservative environment, where connection feels out of reach, Cal takes a fancy to his dad's sole friend, confirmed bachelor Innes MacInnes. Cal is struck by Innes's "gentleness, his benevolence – which Cal had never appreciated before, which, if he were honest, he would have said he found boring, unsexy in younger men".This, however, can never be the merry May-December romance Cal wishes it to be. Innes and John are lovers, we learn fairly early on, and it is this pair's tortured relationship since their teenage years – kept secret from everyone, including Cal – that forms the novel's centre of gravity. Masters of discretion, John and Innes are, to townsfolk, neighbouring sheep farmers. The first time we see them alone together, at Innes's, they go through the motions of a long-established routine, allowing themselves to draw close only after John has made sure each room is empty and they are really alone. Later, as John prepares to leave, Innes loudly seeks his assistance over an unspecified "two-man job", "all in case someone should find out and ask what exactly John Macleod was doing upstairs in the MacInnes house at such an ungodly hour".Literary Context: Stuart's Evolution as a StorytellerThe novel tries their bond in ways small and big. Aside from the difficulty of Cal, there is the matter of John's other liaison with a married man, and the tenancy of Ella's house soon to be transferred to Cal's mother. Innes floats the idea of John moving in with him but intuits "how, even under the threat of homelessness, a life together with him seemed no consolation at all". John is a man tormented by the idea of his own depravity: "He loved God. He loved Innes. He loved God and God hated how he loved Innes." At one point he entertains the possibility of Innes, Cal and himself being a family, but even in fantasy, the thought of Cal being gay, like him, remains unimaginable: "They would live like this every day, be useful, peaceful, happy on their land, looking forward to the day Cal married a local girl and filled their croft with grandchildren."The novel is outstandingly canny and wrenching on self-contempt, on the toilsome art of deceit, and on the contradictions we all contain, as well as the friction that can exist between the personal and the collective. As secular values gain ground, there is the suggestion that John and Innes living together could deal a death blow to their local congregation, leaving us wondering whether John and Cal will – or can – come out to one another. Amid all this, Stuart finds the space to touch on crofter subservience to absentee landowners, the scorn and prejudice of mainlanders, and the place of the Western Isles within the English imagination.Critical Reception: A Complex but Ultimately Rewarding ReadJohn of John is certainly enthralling, but the ambient Weltschmerz and the characters' frequent self-pity can be draining. Stuart's first two novels, the Booker-winning Shuggie Bain and its follow-up, Young Mungo, were feats of heartfelt, operatic storytelling, composed as though in defiant response to our age of irony and subtlety. Despite their occasionally miserabilist tenor, the emotions felt guileless and real, whether Shuggie's love for his doomed, alcoholic mother, Agnes; Jodie's for her brother Mungo; Mungo's for his birdkeeping neighbour James or his own doomed, alcoholic mother, Maureen. The impoverished Glaswegian milieus where they were set – marked by Thatcherite ruination, homophobia, sexual predation and sectarian strife – made for sobering reading; but these were novels so lavishly and graciously imagined, so very moving, that you gladly faced up to their gloom.Here Stuart leans heavily on melodrama and sensationalism as a shortcut to tragedy. Towards the end, the novel is eventful to a fault and surfeited with pathos: we have a pregnancy; an attempted shotgun wedding ("What in the world of Thomas Hardy?" says Cal); a death and a momentous departure from the island. While this book will not appeal to those with a low tolerance for excess, diehard romantics will find much to love; I see Cal, John and Innes – knottily entangled and imperfectly endearing – being cherished with readerly devotion. And that is no small feat.

The Rise of a Provocative Comedy StarOnce in a while, you get to see a legend at the absolute top of their game," booms a voice at the beginning of Robby Hoffman's Netflix special, Wake Up, welcoming her to the stage. High praise indeed – especially since the voice is that of the leading US comedian John Mulaney, who directed the special, and who clearly thinks this 36-year-old New Yorker is one of the hottest talents around.Over the last year, Hoffman's star has risen at a stunning pace. She is currently on TV in Rooster, a college campus comedy starring Steve Carell, as well as the fifth season of the critically acclaimed sitcom Hacks. This is only her second season as talent agency assistant Randi, but last year the role earned her an Emmy nomination.From Religious Upbringing to Hollywood Success"Last week, I was a Hassidic Lubavitch Jew living in Crown Heights, New York," was Hoffman's first line as Randi. "Now I'm in LA, I'm gay and probably an atheist." Hoffman's own life has taken a similar about-turn after being thrust into the spotlight. Randi, a role that was created for her by writers Lucia Aniello, Paul W Downs and Jen Statsky and draws on Hoffman's own background, has been "a life-changing part," she says on a video call from the home in Los Angeles that she shares with her wife, the reality TV star Gabby Windey.Home life in Montreal was chaotic, living in a house that was "so packed with so many people," Hoffman says. She would frequently get into physical fights with her brothers and "cried every single day … sometimes I was kicking and screaming on the floor." She got out as soon as she could, at 17, when she began renting a place of her own, taking on a part-time job to support herself through her Cégep, a type of pre-university college unique to Quebec.Awards, Recognition, and Controversial Comedy StyleAlthough Hoffman insists she isn't trying to offend ("I do think that a lot of my jokes are misinterpreted"), she also doesn't think being offended is the worst thing: "Being poor is." She's speaking from experience: she grew up in a family that relied on welfare payments, the seventh of 10 children.Wake Up includes gags about "disgusting" women ("always the hottest ones are sickest") and abortion ("we raise the age of abortion till 10, we got a lot of well-fucking-behaved kids on our hands"). Not to mention the jokes about paedophilia. But although her punchlines make some audience members bristle, "I just don't get to choose my thoughts," the comedian says. "I'm just sharing it with you. I wish I didn't know some of these things. I truly wish paedophilia was not something that I was introduced to or heard about. I think it's more democratic that I joke about everything, you know?"The Changing Landscape of ComedyThe comedian's proclivity for referring to women, including herself and her mother, as "bitches" is an aspect of her onstage coarseness that carries over into our call, in which she is otherwise much more mellow and thoughtful. Sure, she doesn't follow the typical Hollywood script of simpering self-deprecation, instead unapologetically backing herself and frequently talking about how great it is to be rich. But you get the impression that this is self-conscious gaucheness, a send-up of convention rather than outright rudeness."I come in hot," Hoffman admits – especially on stage. But she is not pretending to be something she's not – unlike, she says, supposedly "kind and nice" figures such as Will Smith, who was banned from the Oscars after slapping the comedian Chris Rock, or Ellen DeGeneres, whose talk show was cancelled after allegations that junior staff had been bullied.Future Prospects and Industry ImpactHoffman is endearingly grateful for her success. "Am I not living one of the greatest lives you've heard about?" she said during her recent appearance on Late Night With Seth Meyers. "I really do feel that," she says. When she started out in comedy, it felt like "such a risk" to pursue a career with no promise of financial stability: "It's becoming harder and harder to go from no money to money, so when we get one of our guys in, it always feels miraculous."She wishes it wasn't so miraculous – Hoffman is a Bernie Sanders supporter and believes "everybody's entitled to dignity." She resents being an example of someone who "did it" – got herself out of poverty via talent and determination. "You shouldn't have to be this special, you shouldn't have to be this talented," she says. Throughout her adolescence, she was "so sick of being poor," so focused on working hard at the Jewish private school for which her grandfather had helped her win a scholarship, then pursuing a degree in accounting.

The Lead: Warsh Confirmation Signals New Era for Federal ReserveThe US Senate is expected to confirm Kevin Warsh this week as chair of the Federal Reserve, as Donald Trump continues his campaign to influence the world's most important central bank. The Fed's influence over the economy spans from the job market to mortgage rates, and its every move is carefully scrutinized by investors on Wall Street.The Event Details: Warsh's Background and Political AlignmentWarsh served on the Fed's board as a governor from 2006 to 2011 and developed a reputation as a so-called "inflation hawk" during the 2008 recession crisis – advocating for higher interest rates to mitigate rising prices. However, since Trump started his second term, Warsh publicly aligned himself with the president's stance that interest rates are now too high. In a Wall Street Journal op-ed last November, Warsh called the Fed's leadership "broken" and called the bank "an institution whose reach has extended far beyond its grasp."The Political Battle: Trump's Assault on Fed IndependenceThe vote is expected to be split along party lines. Democrats criticize Warsh for being Trump's "sock puppet" at a time when the president has pushed past the typical boundaries between the White House and the nonpartisan Fed. Trump's battle with the Fed culminated in a criminal investigation against the outgoing Fed chair, Jerome Powell. Trump accused Powell of fraud over renovations at the Fed's headquarters that went over budget.The Impact Analysis: Central Bank Independence at RiskWarsh told the Senate that he will be an "independent actor" as Fed chair, but resisting pressure from the White House will be difficult amid the legal assault Trump has foisted upon the central bank for going against his wishes. When pushed by Democrats in Congress, Warsh refused to answer whether Trump had lost the 2020 election. Though the justice department ended its investigation after a Republican senator said he would hold up Warsh's nomination, Powell announced last month that he would stay on the Fed's board as a governor until any inquiry into the renovations are "well and truly over with transparency and finality."The Prediction: Future of Monetary Policy Under WarshIn his last press conference as chair, Powell noted that Warsh testified that he will withstand political pressure from Trump and that he will "take him at his word". But the outgoing Fed chair also made some of his most pointed remarks to date about the current risk to Fed's independence, which is crucial for the health of the economy. "The institution is being battered over these things. We're having to resort to the courts to enforce our ... ability to make monetary policy without political considerations," Powell said. "I'd like to think we can get out of that era and go back to respecting what the law says and what custom has been."