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Video Apr 05, 2026

John Mearsheimer Says No Immediate End to US‑Israel Conflict Over Iran

Political scientist John Mearsheimer asserts that there are no indications of a swift resolution to…
John Mearsheimer has warned that the current US‑Israel war over Iran shows no signs of a rapid conclusion. The scholar’s assessment underscores the deepening complexities in the Middle East and suggests that diplomatic pathways remain limited at this stage. While specific details of the conflict’s trajectory were not disclosed, Mearsheimer’s observation points to a prolonged period of tension, with potential ramifications for regional stability and international diplomatic efforts. Analysts note that such a stance may influence policy deliberations in Washington and Jerusalem, as both nations grapple with strategic calculations amid escalating hostilities.
#mearsheimer #signs #quick
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Economy Apr 02, 2026

US Economy in Turmoil: One Year On from Trump's 'Liberation Day' Tariffs

It's been one year since Donald Trump's 'liberation day' tariffs shook the global economy. Experts …
It's been 12 months since Donald Trump's 'liberation day' on April 2, 2025, when the US president introduced tariffs on nearly every country the US did business with. The move sent shockwaves through the global economy, causing chaos in Washington and beyond. Experts say that if Trump had spent the last 14 months on the golf course instead of in the White House, the US economy would be in a better place. The wholesale slashing of government jobs and defunding of US aid agencies had already signaled that Trump was in a hurry to upset institutions he considered profligate or useless. Investors quickly understood that chaos was an essential tool in Trump's armoury. Almost as soon as he was inaugurated, there was a steady decline in the value of the dollar against other currencies. Investors sold assets denominated in dollars and bought assets elsewhere: Europe, Asia, South America. Dario Perkins, the head of global research at the consultancy TS Lombard, said: 'If you think that discouraging investors from buying assets in the US is a victory, then you don’t believe in a growing economy.' He added that Trump's policies had led to a decline in US manufacturing jobs and a growing trade deficit. The data supports Perkins' claims. US companies stopped hiring almost as soon as liberation day was announced. Significant revisions in February to data covering 2025 pushed payroll employment down by 403,000 jobs, resulting in the addition of just 181,000 jobs last year. This small boost is set against the 163 million people who are employed in the US. Russ Mould, the investment director of the British stockbroker AJ Bell, said: 'America is still home to the world’s largest economy and its reserve currency, as well as the globe’s largest equity and bond markets, but investors continue to reassess their exposure one year on from liberation day.' The next few months of steadily increasing confidence levels followed probably the calmest period in the second Trump presidency. But sentiment began to fall again in the autumn as the White House battled with Congress over the federal budget deficit and much of the public sector was shut down. A poll by the University of Michigan showed consumer confidence at a near record low at the end of 2025. A six-month moving average produced by the Conference Board showed every generation, from baby boomers to gen Xers, had lost confidence in the economy over the past year. Trump’s liberation day executive order stated: 'The decline of US manufacturing capacity threatens the US economy in other ways, including through the loss of manufacturing jobs.' However, the US manufacturing sector shed 100,000 jobs between January 2025 and March 2026. The ratio of manufacturing workers to total nonfarm employment fell to the lowest point since 1939. Bryan Riley, the director of the National Taxpayers Union Foundation’s free trade initiative, said: 'One year after liberation day, the evidence is in. Tariffs failed even by the Trump administration’s own terms. They did not shrink the trade deficit, did not revitalise manufacturing and did not help farmers. It would be a mistake to replace one set of failed tariffs with another.' Some major US companies have redirected their investments to Europe, but China has proved to be one of the main beneficiaries. In the year to February 2026, China’s industrial profits increased by 15.2%. It's a boom that Beijing will struggle to repeat should Chinese companies face fuel and energy shortages and price hikes. But the decline of two major powers can only be to China’s gain.
#Donald Trump #tariffs #US manufacturing jobs
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World Economy Apr 02, 2026

UK braces for deepening recession as Trump‑Iran war triggers worst energy shock since the 1970s

Larry Elliott argues that the United Kingdom is confronting its most severe energy shock since the …
Britain is confronting the most severe energy shock since the early 1970s, as exports of oil, gas and fertiliser from the Middle East have abruptly stopped. The government says a response plan exists, but details remain vague. It is unclear whether the UK is better prepared for the fallout from Donald Trump’s war with Iran than it was for the pandemic six years ago. Ministers are sending a "we have your back" message to the public while simultaneously signalling to financial markets that any assistance will be limited and targeted. Contingency planning is especially difficult when dealing with an unpredictable leader like Trump. Britain’s heavy reliance on imported energy and food means that reassurance can only hold for a short time. The economy entered the conflict already on shaky ground: unemployment rose steadily throughout 2025 and growth stalled to a virtual standstill in the final quarter of that year. The sudden loss of Middle‑East energy and fertiliser supplies now adds a colossal supply shock. Last year, Trump’s “liberation day” tariff hikes served as a dry run for a far more serious confrontation. This time, the war is taking place in a region that is both volatile and crucial to the global economy. In the past two weeks, the repercussions have been felt across Asia – the Philippines declared a state of emergency, Sri Lanka introduced a four‑day work week, and South Korea announced budget measures to help households cope with soaring energy bills. The continent is the most dependent on Gulf‑exported energy, making the impact there the sharpest. The International Monetary Fund warned that the shock will drive higher prices and slower growth worldwide. Shortages push fuel and food prices up, eroding disposable income, prompting businesses to cut staff, and increasing the risk of recession. The UK, already projected to be one of the poorest‑performing major economies in 2026, could see its fresh graduate cohort face a brutal job market. Trump’s claim that the war could end within two or three weeks appears desperate. Even a rapid cease‑fire would leave substantial collateral damage, creating a stagflation scenario that could hurt Republican prospects in the upcoming mid‑term elections. British officials hope a swift resolution will limit economic damage, allowing a short‑term inflation spike to subside and the Bank of England to resume interest‑rate cuts. Treasury plans include scrapping the planned autumn fuel‑duty rise and providing targeted help for the poorest households, though the path is unlikely to be that simple. Currently, the Treasury is hesitant to act boldly for fear of unsettling bond markets. History – the 2008 banking collapse and the 2020 pandemic – shows that governments can act decisively without triggering a market backlash, using tools such as aggressive rate cuts, increased borrowing, and quantitative easing. The Bank of England has warned of a "substantial negative supply shock" and is expected to soften markets for future rate cuts, which are inevitable. Finance Minister Rachel Reeves could mitigate labour‑market pain by reversing recent increases in employers’ National Insurance contributions, subsidising public transport, and even lowering speed limits to conserve energy. The war, like the pandemic and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, underscores the fragility of global supply chains and the need for greater British self‑reliance. Investing heavily in renewable energy is essential, but the UK also imports roughly 40% of its food and has not run a manufacturing trade surplus since 1982. In a world of disrupted supply lines, a robust plan for economic self‑sufficiency is more urgent than ever. Larry Elliott is a Guardian columnist.
#war #but #global
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News Apr 02, 2026

Russia Claims Full Control of Ukraine's Luhansk Region

Russia's Ministry of Defence announced that its forces have taken full control of Ukraine's Luhansk…
Russia's Ministry of Defence has declared that its forces have gained complete control over the Luhansk region in eastern Ukraine. This development comes as Moscow continues its efforts to expand its territorial control in the region. The ministry stated that units of the 'West' military grouping have completed the 'liberation' of the Luhansk People's Republic, a term used by Moscow to refer to the Ukrainian region. However, there was no immediate confirmation of this claim from Ukrainian authorities. Luhansk, along with Donetsk, forms the broader Donbas area. More than 99 percent of Luhansk has been under Russian control since the beginning of the 2022 invasion. The region was one of four Ukrainian territories annexed by Russia in 2022. Additionally, Russia controls approximately three-quarters of Donetsk. The Kremlin reiterated its demand for Ukrainian forces to withdraw from the entirety of Donetsk, which Kyiv has consistently rejected. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov urged Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy to withdraw his forces from the Donbas area, suggesting that this would bring an end to what Russia refers to as the 'hot phase' of the war. In related developments, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy reported that Russia used 339 drones in overnight attacks on Ukraine. These attacks resulted in the deaths of two women in a civilian car in the Kherson region. Zelenskyy also mentioned that he would be holding a video call with US envoys to discuss stalled negotiations with Russia. Meanwhile, Ukrainian drones have been reported to have crossed into the airspace of several countries, including Estonia, Finland, and Latvia. Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha clarified that Ukraine never aimed drones at these countries.
#russia #ukraine #luhansk
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Film Mar 30, 2026

Unveiling the Shadows of al-Qubaysiat: A Muslim Woman's Quest for Freedom and Identity

A documentary film by Jude Chehab explores the secretive Muslim women's movement al-Qubaysiat and i…
Documentary filmmaker Jude Chehab debuts with a complex and moving film that investigates her family's secrets and the secretive Muslim women's order al-Qubaysiat, operating in Lebanon and Syria. Chehab's mother, Hiba, and grandmother, Doria, were devoted followers, and Chehab herself was initiated into the group as a young girl.The film focuses on the emotional fallout of Hiba's expulsion from the group, which inspired feelings of solidarity and freedom but also demanded absolute submission to the leader, known as the Anisa or Teacher. Chehab's storytelling approach eschews sensationalism, instead highlighting the emotional turmoil endured by Hiba and her family.Hiba emerges as a complex figure, not simply a victim, but someone who has undergone a slow liberation. She now leads Muslim study groups, encouraging curiosity and understanding rather than blind faith. This internal emancipation is portrayed as a radical and empowering journey for a Muslim woman rediscovering her voice.The documentary, Q, is set to air on True Story from 3 April, offering a unique perspective on the complexities of faith, identity, and family secrets.
#her #chehab #hiba
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Politics Mar 30, 2026

Sudanese Paramilitary Attack on South Kordofan Kills at Least 14, Including Children

A recent attack by Sudanese paramilitaries on South Kordofan has resulted in the deaths of at least…
A devastating attack by Sudanese paramilitaries on South Kordofan has claimed the lives of at least 14 people, including five children and two women, according to a medical group. The Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and their allies in the Sudan People's Liberation Movement–North launched a hours-long assault on residential areas in the city of Dilling, leaving at least 23 others wounded, including seven children.The Sudan Doctors Network reported that the attack was part of a larger conflict that has ravaged the region. The military, which recently broke an RSF siege on the city, said it successfully fended off the attack on the capital of South Kordofan province.The doctors' group warned of a possible “catastrophic scenario” similar to the one that occurred in the Darfur city of el-Fasher. The RSF's invasion of el-Fasher in October was marked by “hallmarks of genocide”, according to UN-commissioned experts. More than 6,000 people were killed over three days in el-Fasher when the RSF unleashed a wave of intense violence.The war between the Sudanese army and the RSF, which began in mid-April 2023, has led to one of the world's fastest-growing man-made humanitarian crises. Over 12 million people have been forced from their homes, and more than 33 million people are in need of humanitarian aid. According to UN figures, more than 40,000 people have been killed over the past three years, although aid groups believe the true death toll could be significantly higher.Both sides have been accused of war crimes and crimes against humanity, which are being investigated by the International Criminal Court. The fighting has recently centered on Darfur and the Kordofan region, with deadly drone attacks reported daily. The UN Human Rights Office reported that more than 500 civilians were killed in drone strikes this year as of mid-March.
#Rapid Support Forces #Dilling #South Kordofan
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Stage Mar 27, 2026

Miller's Classic Reimagined Through #MeToo Lens in High School Drama

Kimberly Belflower's 'John Proctor Is the Villain' reimagines Arthur Miller's 'The Crucible' throug…
Kimberly Belflower's revisionist take on Arthur Miller's classic The Crucible re-spins the witch-hunts for the #MeToo generation. Set in 2018, the play follows a classroom of teenagers—mostly girls—as they attempt to establish a feminist club, an effort seemingly sparked by contemporary news headlines. This original approach addresses adolescent girlhood in the direct aftermath of the Harvey Weinstein scandal, though the production takes time to build momentum.The narrative centers on Beth (Holly Howden Gilchrist), the class academic; Ivy (Clare Hughes), whose father faces workplace misconduct allegations; Nell (Lauryn Ajufo), the new student; and Raelynn (Miya James), a pastor's daughter dealing with relationship betrayal. Shelby (Sadie Soverall), though absent for much of the play, plays a crucial role in the unfolding drama.Set in a small-town Georgia high school, the feminist club concept initially proves controversial until a charismatic teacher, Carter Smith (Dónal Finn), suggests expanding it to include boys. Directed by Danya Taymor and performed continuously in under two hours, the script pivots around the students' study of Miller's play alongside their developing understanding of intersectional feminism.The production captures the girls' internalization of societal micro-aggressions with humor and pathos, incorporating pop music tributes to artists like Lorde, Taylor Swift, and Beyoncé. While the dialogue authentically portrays adolescent female relationships, the review notes these connections are sometimes flattened by their cuteness rather than reflecting the sharp edges typical of this transitional life stage.A significant parallel emerges between Miller's John Proctor—a morally complex character who ultimately maintains his principles—and the predatory male figure in the contemporary narrative. The review suggests a false equivalence between these characters, as the modern figure is portrayed as a serial abuser rather than a morally conflicted individual.The play concludes with an emotional climax as students reinterpret scenes from The Crucible through interpretive dance, symbolizing their liberation while acknowledging that the predator remains in their midst. This ending, while thematically resonant, is described as feeling neat and easy despite its powerful emotional impact.Despite these criticisms, the production effectively captures the zeitgeist of 2018 for a generation of girls coming of age in the shadow of the Weinstein scandal and the #MeToo movement, raising questions about the movement's lasting impact and current relevance.
#play #but #miller
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Technology Mar 26, 2026

Starmer Commits to Cracking Down on Addictive Social Media Features After Meta, YouTube Liability Verdict

UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer has vowed to tackle addictive features in social media platforms fol…
UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer has announced plans to address addictive features in social media platforms, signaling a potential regulatory shift following a significant US court ruling that held Meta and YouTube accountable for harms caused by their technology designs.The prime minister emphasized that the recent California court verdict reflects rising public expectations for more aggressive regulation of social media platforms. "I'm absolutely clear that we need to go further," Starmer stated, adding that "the status quo isn't good enough" in terms of protecting children online.Starmer specifically mentioned that the government is consulting about banning social media for under-16s and expressed strong commitment to addressing addictive features within social media platforms. These remarks come amid growing international pressure on tech companies to address the potential harms of their products on young users.In the landmark US case, a California jury found Meta and YouTube negligent for failing to provide adequate warnings about the potential dangers of their platforms. The plaintiff, a 20-year-old woman who claimed she became addicted to social media during her childhood, was awarded $6 million (£4.5 million) in damages, with Meta responsible for 70% of the payment and YouTube covering the remainder.The Duke and Duchess of Sussex welcomed the verdict as "a reckoning" for tech companies, stating in a joint statement: "For too long, families have paid the price for platforms built with total disregard for the children they reach." They emphasized that "today, the truth has been heard and precedent has been set" regarding children's safety versus corporate profits.Both Google, which owns YouTube, and Meta have indicated they will challenge the decision. Google claimed the case "misunderstands YouTube, which is a responsibly built streaming platform, not a social media site," while Meta stated it "respectfully disagrees with the verdict and is evaluating our legal options." The verdict came after nine days of deliberation in the first lawsuit concerning social media's alleged harm to young people to reach trial.The ruling has resonated beyond the courtroom, with European Commission digital chief Henna Virkkunen noting that such cases send "a very clear message" to online platforms about the risks they pose. Campaigners for safer social media have celebrated the decision as a potential watershed moment in regulating platforms like TikTok, Instagram, and X.The Molly Rose Foundation, established after the death of 14-year-old Molly Russell who was exposed to harmful content on Instagram, called for legislation that would make "safety and wellbeing the price for tech firms to pay for doing business in the UK." Thomas Lancaster, a computing expert at Imperial College London, emphasized that policies must be effectively enforced to protect those they're designed to safeguard.Sacha Haworth, executive director of the Tech Oversight Project, declared that "the era of big tech invincibility is over," suggesting that the verdict validates concerns about tech platforms' impact on young people that have been raised for years.
#social #media #tech
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