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The Deadly Israeli Drone Strikes Three Israeli drone strikes on cars on a major highway linking Beirut to southern Lebanon have killed at least eight people, including two children, Lebanon’s Ministry of Health reported. A photograph of the bombed cars shared by Lebanon’s National News Agency following the attacks on Wednesday in the Jiyeh area, some 20km (12 miles) south of the Lebanese capital, showed the vehicles severely damaged, their exteriors charred and torn apart. Escalating Conflict and Humanitarian Crisis Al Jazeera’s Zeina Khodr, reporting from Tyre in southern Lebanon, said the “conflict is only escalating”. “It is a conflict that is taking a high toll on the civilians who live in these areas,” she said. Lebanon and Israel are expected to hold a new round of direct negotiations in Washington on Thursday, brokered by the United States. Hezbollah, which has been launching attacks on northern Israel and on Israeli troops who have entered and occupied a section of southern Lebanon, says it opposes the negotiations in the US. The Humanitarian Toll On Wednesday morning, the Israeli military issued forced displacement orders for the residents of Meiss el-Jabal, Yanouh, Burj Shemali, Hula, Debl and Aabbasiyyeh, warning that it will soon act against these six southern Lebanese villages “forcefully”. Anyone who remains “endangers their life,” the military said, warning residents to move at least 1,000 metres (0.6 miles) away to “open areas”. After this new round of forced displacement orders – which have been happening almost daily in the past week – Al Jazeera’s Khodr said one of the few remaining hospitals in the area was in the displacement zone. At least 100,000 people still live in the district of Tyre. 13 people were killed in attacks on towns in the south on Tuesday. Two Lebanese Civil Defence paramedics were among the dead. At least 380 people have been killed during the truce. The total death toll since the Israeli invasion and bombardment began on March 2 is more than 2,800. 108 emergency medical services and healthcare workers have been killed in Lebanon during the war. The Future Outlook “All of this is having a huge impact here on the communities in southern Lebanon,” Al Jazeera’s Obaida Hitto said from Tyre. “And there is a growing humanitarian crisis, with over a million people displaced.”

Vistry warned that its first‑half adjusted pre‑tax profit will be "significantly lower" than the prior year, citing the fallout from the US‑Israeli war on Iran. The warning sent the stock down 10.5%, its lowest level in nearly 15 years, and prompted a company‑wide operational review led by new CEO Adam Daniels. Vistry’s Profit Warning Amid Middle East Conflict The housebuilder, owner of Bovis Homes, Countryside and Linden Homes, updated investors hours before its AGM, stating that heightened macro‑economic uncertainty has altered the outlook since the March update. While sales volumes remain above last year, buyer caution has risen sharply due to the conflict. Financial Fallout: Share Drop and Profit Forecasts Key financial signals include: Share price fell 10.5% in early trading, reaching a 15‑year trough. First‑half profit expected to be "significantly lower" than 2025. Adjusted pre‑tax profit for 2026 projected to sit in the "middle of the range" of analyst forecasts. Company halted its share‑buy‑back programme to prioritise debt reduction. Ripple Effects on the UK Housing Market and Supply Chain The conflict has introduced upward pressure on building‑material costs and labour wages, pressures Vistry expects to persist into the second half of the year. To mitigate, Vistry is negotiating with suppliers and offering larger buyer incentives, actions that further compress margins. Industry analysts, such as Anthony Codling of RBC Capital Markets, note that while execution risks remain high, the update reflects a broader slowdown in UK housing activity. Outlook: Operational Review and Path to Recovery CEO Adam Daniels has launched a company‑wide operational review, with findings slated for September. The firm anticipates a partial recovery in the second half of the year, aiming for profits flat with 2025 levels and a return to a more stable growth trajectory thereafter.

The Lead US President Donald Trump departed for Beijing on Tuesday for a high-stakes summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping, saying the two leaders would hold a 'long talk' on Iran even as trade remains the main focus of the visit. Iran's Stance on Peace Iran presses US on peace proposal: Iran's chief negotiator and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf said Washington must accept Tehran's latest peace plan or face failure. Report says Iran retains missile strength: The New York Times reported Tuesday that classified US intelligence assessments say Iran still has substantial missile capabilities, with about 70 percent of its mobile launchers and pre-war missile stockpile still in action. War Diplomacy Chinese supertanker crosses Hormuz: Chinese crude oil supertanker Yuan Hua Hu was reportedly transiting the Strait of Hormuz on Wednesday, ship-tracking data showed, passing Iran's Larak Island while heading out of the Gulf. Hezbollah rules out disarmament talks: Hezbollah chief Naim Qassem said his group's weapons were not part of forthcoming ceasefire negotiations between Lebanon and Israel. Qatar warns over Hormuz pressure: Qatar's prime minister said Iran should not use the Strait of Hormuz, blocked since early in the war, as a means of 'blackmail' against Gulf states. The Gulf UAE gas facility hit by war: The UAE's main gas processing complex, one of the world's largest, will not resume full capacity until next year, its operator said, after it was hit in the Iran war. Kuwait arrests alleged IRGC operatives: The country said it arrested four men accused of belonging to Iran's IRGC after they tried to infiltrate Bubiyan Island by sea and injured a Kuwaiti soldier. In the US Trump on Xi: Trump said he does not believe the US needs China's help to end the war involving Iran, but confirmed the issue would still feature in his talks with Xi Jinping this week. Trump says war's end will bring down inflation: Facing growing domestic pressure over rising prices linked to the conflict, Trump said the war 'will not be long' and argued its end would trigger a sharp drop in oil prices and inflation. US says Iran war has cost $29bn: Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth told lawmakers the war has cost Washington at least $29bn in munitions and equipment over 74 days, excluding damage to bases. The Impact Analysis The ongoing conflict in Iran has significant implications for the global economy, with rising oil prices and inflation being major concerns. The war has also led to a humanitarian crisis, with hundreds of thousands of students displaced and schools destroyed in Lebanon. The Prediction The future outlook for the conflict in Iran remains uncertain, with both sides showing no signs of backing down. However, with growing domestic pressure and international diplomacy, there is a possibility that the conflict could be resolved peacefully in the near future.

The Lead: A High-Stakes Diplomatic Encounter Chinese President Xi Jinping is expected to seek concessions on Taiwan and US tariffs when he meets United States President Donald Trump for a critical summit taking place in the shadow of the war on Iran. Trump's arrival in China marks the first trip by a US leader to the country since 2017, setting the stage for what could be a pivotal moment in US-China relations. The Taiwan Confrontation: Core Interest and Red Lines Unlike Trump's mercurial policymaking approach, Xi is widely seen as predictable in his goals for the summit, particularly concerning Beijing's "core interests" related to national security and territorial integrity. At the top of that list is Taiwan, which Beijing views as an inalienable part of its territory despite Taiwan's self-governing status. China has named Taiwan as the first of "four red lines" that "must not be challenged." In a call with US Secretary of State Marco Rubio last month, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi described Taiwan as "the biggest risk in the China-US relationship." While analysts say it's unlikely the US will change its position on Taiwan due to Chinese pressure, Trump has indicated the summit will include discussions about the $14bn arms package approved by Congress for Taiwan. The Trade War Dynamics: Economic Uncertainty and Strategic Maneuvering Xi is also eager to smooth over US-China relations after a tumultuous 18 months that saw Trump launch a second trade war with the world's second-largest economy. The standoff saw both countries implement escalating tariffs and punitive measures, including export controls, before hitting pause in May. During their last meeting in South Korea in October, Xi and Trump agreed to a one-year reprieve in their trade war, though some trade measures remain in place. China is likely to agree to increase purchases of US agricultural exports and Boeing planes during the summit, but is unlikely to make concessions on rare earths—a sector it dominates—without major political trade-offs from the US. The Geopolitical Chessboard: Iran Conflict and Global Implications The US-Israel war on Iran will loom large over the summit. Although not a direct participant, China has been significantly impacted by the economic fallout of the conflict and the shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz, through which one-fifth of global oil and natural gas supplies typically pass. Beijing has consistently called for negotiations and a comprehensive ceasefire since the conflict began, a message Xi is likely to reiterate. Despite Trump stating he doesn't need China's "help" resolving the war, the White House has pressured Beijing to influence Iran to reopen the strait. China has maintained a "comprehensive strategic partnership" with Iran since 2016 and purchases more than 80% of its oil, though Xi is expected to limit China's role to mediation, consistent with its non-intervention foreign policy principle. The Future of US-China Relations: Strategic Adjustments and Long-term Planning For Beijing, the stakes are particularly high as its view of Trump has shifted from a "predictable transactional counterpart" to a "more action-oriented and harder-to-restrain opponent." Rather than securing immediate concessions, China's priority is "trying to adjust the current strategic position and negotiating pace that are unfavorable to it, and bring US-China interactions back into a framework that it can better control." Xi may also support Trump's plan to create a "Board of Trade" and "Board of Investment" to oversee US-China economic ties, as Beijing seeks predictability and certainty for the remainder of Trump's term through January 2029. This stability would allow China to plan its own economic policies with greater confidence, particularly regarding tariff levels and trade relationships.

The Defence of Misan Harriman Greta Thunberg, Tracey Emin, and Gary Lineker are among those who have signed an open letter in support of Misan Harriman, chair of the Southbank Centre. The letter describes a 'dishonest smear campaign' by media outlets that accused Harriman of promoting Golders Green attack 'conspiracies' and comparing Reform voters to Nazis. The Controversy Surrounding Harriman Harriman was accused by the Telegraph of sharing a social media post containing a 'conspiracy' about the Golders Green attack. Critics said the repost risked minimising the antisemitic nature of the attack. David Taylor, the Labour MP for Hemel Hempstead, said the posts were 'incredibly inappropriate' for the chair of a charity board. The Data Behind the Support Over 245 people signed the letter in support of Harriman, including Riz Ahmed and David Oyelowo. 53,000 people backed a campaign to lobby the press regulator Ipso about the coverage. The Impact on Free Speech The letter reflects concern that public figures are being silenced for speaking out at a moment of heightened tension over antisemitism. The signatories argue that trying to silence responsible critics of Israel by smearing them as antisemitic does not protect Britain's Jewish community. The Future of the Controversy Harriman has stated that he will not be silenced and will continue to use his voice to help others. The Southbank Centre has condemned all forms of antisemitism, hatred, and discrimination, and stated that its board members have the right to exercise their freedom of expression within the law.

The Cultural Phenomenon Returns On a chilly morning at a Silvertown studio behind London City airport, the sunburst intro to Jimmy Cliff's The Harder They Come is on repeat. Dancers run through a routine studded with reggae and dancehall moves. "Get high," commands associate choreographer Neisha-yen Jones with a smile. "Get low!" The ensemble rise and dip. They do the bogle and whine around each other as their watchful director Matthew Xia nods along. They circle Natey Jones who breaks out the opening line: "Well, they tell me of a pie up in the sky." In the distance, a plane leaves the ground. From Film to Theatrical Celebration It's eight months since The Harder They Come's full-throttle takeoff at Stratford East, where the musical was so popular that it is now returning for a second run which will also serve as a eulogy for Cliff who died in November. Playwright Suzan-Lori Parks' adaptation of Perry Henzell's 1972 Jamaican film is bolstered by a handful of her own songs as well as classics including Israelites and Wonderful World, Beautiful People – plus every number on the film's monumental soundtrack. Jones is reprising the role of Ivan (played on screen by Cliff and inspired by real-life outlaw Rhyging), who arrives in Kingston from the country and is dismissed and exploited, before becoming both a hit singer and a fugitive. The Evolution of a Cultural Narrative The original was akin to cinéma vérité, directly evoked spaghetti westerns and veered into blaxploitation territory; Ivan's tale has gained greater warmth, humour and protest spirit on stage. It was the best musical I saw in 2025. "The story is a tragedy but the theatrical event is a celebration," says Xia of his production. Twenty years ago, the film was adapted as a musical with a book by Henzell, also at Stratford East. "It all started at Ivan's Nine Night," Xia recalls. "There was a massive poster of Ivan on the wall, with everyone coming, and it was told in retrospect with vignettes." Choreography and Cultural Connection Shelley Maxwell, recently arrived from Jamaica, was watching the musical in the audience one night and has since become the choreographer of the new production. She has fused the folk dance forms of revivalism and pocomania, learned in her childhood, with reggae, dancehall and moves that today's teenagers can recognise. "I wanted to tap into the youth market," she says. It's brought some enthusiastic feedback from audience members who may not know the film. "Like: 'Oh my God, they did that step I always do at a party!' It allows them to form a connection." Authenticity and Cultural Representation Xia, wearing trainers in the Jamaican flag's colours, and Maxwell, whose tracksuit has the same black, green and gold trim, were intent on instantly transporting their audience to Kingston. The opening, says the director, is an "establishing shot" with characters coming and going on Simon Kenny's magnificent multi-level set, accompanied by Toots and the Maytals' hit Funky Kingston. To borrow from its lyrics, you really can believe everything they do. Even each move in the dominoes game we see is scripted, explains Maxwell, who mapped out the market scene with precision: "Where are you going to? How heavy is the item that you're holding? This is the swing of the hips." Social Commentary Through Performance Xia, whose father came to England from Jamaica in the 1970s, praises the freewheeling realism of the film. "Lots of the background performers are just whoever happened to be in the market that day, or walking through the shantytown. Lots of the actors were people that Perry knew, they had no training." Henzell, says Xia, showed "the part of Jamaica that had always been hidden, people living hand to mouth". The musical depicts a "quartet of oppression" against Ivan, as he takes a stand against individuals representing hypocrisies of the church, law, drugs trade and music industry. Universal Themes and Contemporary Relevance The Harder They Come was both a pioneering example of independent film-making for Jamaicans and a portrait of a newly independent country. Maxwell, who grew up glued to Hollywood musicals, says it was empowering to discover a film full of the Jamaican songs she loved. "I was probably way too young when I saw it. But what I saw was the world around me." She traces how different forms of music played a pivotal part in the country establishing its identity, moving from African forms and American R&B; to mento, ska, rocksteady, reggae and the rise of Bob Marley and Jimmy Cliff. Maxwell captures that chain reaction with a tantalizing question: "What's this groove becoming?" Transforming the Narrative for Modern Audiences The musical also makes its hero's actions more understandable. "In the film, Ivan becomes a kind of wanton murderer," says Xia. In the musical, "he accidentally shoots a police officer when he's under threat, is remorseful, yet also knows that if he gives himself in then that's the end of his journey". Another significant change is the depth given to the principal women – Ivan's mother Daisy and Elsa, with whom he falls in love under the eye of her authoritarian guardian, the preacher. "The moral heart of the piece now resides in those two women," says Xia. Maxwell transforms a brief sequence from the film, in which Ivan imagines a tryst with the devout Elsa, into a floor-trembling set piece when the preacher's congregation lose their robes to indulge in lustful fantasy. The male gaze of the original scene is duly excised: "it had to be like it was both of them in partnership in that fantasy world," says Maxwell, who adds that the nature of dancehall – "grinding, gyrating on another body" required her to use her skillset as an intimacy director.

Executive Summary: Trump‑Xi Summit Sets the Stage for a US‑China Power Contest Donald Trump will meet Xi Jinping in Beijing on May 14‑15, 2026. The talks, delayed by the US‑Israel war on Iran, are expected to focus on trade, debt, military spending and emerging technologies, marking the first US presidential visit to China in nearly a decade. Trade Metrics Highlight China’s Export Supremacy According to the World Bank’s WITS, China exported $3.59 trillion of goods in 2024, surpassing the US’s $1.9 trillion. China now leads 145 economies in trade volume, while the US trails with a trade deficit of roughly $1.2 trillion (imports $3.12 trillion vs exports $1.9 trillion). Top Chinese exports: Machinery & electrical machines $1.68 trillion, metals $286 bn, textiles $268 bn. Top US exports: Machinery & electrical machines $447 bn, mineral products $364 bn, chemicals $245 bn. Numbers Behind the Trade Gap, Debt and Military Budgets In 2024 China posted a trade surplus of over $1 trillion, while the US ran a deficit of about $1.2 trillion. Government debt stands at 115 % of GDP for the US and 94 % of GDP for China, with the US national debt exceeding $39 trillion. Military spending in 2025 was $954 bn for the US (3.1 % of GDP) versus $336 bn for China (1.7 % of GDP). Strategic Implications for the Global Power Balance The data underscore a shift: China now leads in export volume, rare‑earth reserves (44 million tonnes vs US 1.9 million tonnes), and green‑energy investment ($290 bn vs US $97 bn). The US retains advantages in AI corporate spending ($109 bn in 2024) and semiconductor technology. Both powers dominate global military outlays, together accounting for over half of worldwide defence spending. Outlook: What the May Summit May Determine Analysts expect the summit to address tariff levels (US average tariff on Chinese imports ~31.6 %), rare‑earth supply security, and coordination on climate‑energy policy. A de‑escalation could stabilize trade flows and reduce debt‑driven fiscal pressures, while a hard‑line stance may deepen the bifurcation of technology supply chains and reinforce competing growth models.

The Lead A draft United Nations Security Council resolution calling for freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz has gained 112 co-sponsors, according to diplomatic sources. This development underscores the breadth of global concern over the closure of one of the world’s most critical shipping lanes. The Event Details The resolution, tabled by Bahrain and the United States, seeks to protect international waterways, commercial shipping and energy supplies, and to ensure the safety of seafarers. It also calls for an end to Iranian attacks on its Gulf neighbours. Qatar, Saudi Arabia and Kuwait have joined Manama and Washington as principal sponsors, while India, Japan, South Korea, Kenya, Argentina and most member states of the European Union have also signed on. The Data Analysis “The list takes up three full pages,” said Al Jazeera’s correspondent in New York, Gabriel Elizondo. “It’s essentially being co-sponsored by two-thirds of all 193 UN member states.” This level of support indicates a significant international consensus on the need to maintain freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz. The Impact Analysis The diplomatic push comes as peace negotiations between Iran and the US remain deadlocked. The US is demanding that Iran dismantle its nuclear programme and lift its restrictions on the strait. Iran has countered with calls for war reparations, an end to the US naval blockade of its ports and a ceasefire on all fronts, including in Lebanon, where US ally Israel is fighting Iranian-backed Hezbollah. The Prediction No date has been set for a vote on the resolution. However, with 112 co-sponsors, it is clear that there is significant international pressure on Iran to reconsider its stance on the Strait of Hormuz. The outcome of the vote will depend on the positions of key players such as China and Russia, which have voiced reservations about the draft but have not yet indicated whether they will veto it.

Trump’s Beijing Arrival Sets Stage for a High‑Stakes SummitDonald Trump is scheduled to land in Beijing on Wednesday evening, marking the first visit by a U.S. president to China in nearly ten years. The two‑day meeting with President Xi Jinping is framed as a chance to restore U.S. prestige after the protracted war in Iran.Diplomatic and Business Agenda of the VisitThe delegation will include more than a dozen American business leaders, notably Elon Musk of Tesla and Tim Cook of Apple. Trump has promised a “big, fat hug” from Xi and expects headline‑grabbing deals, including a new board of trade to coordinate bilateral purchases.Economic Stakes: 500 Boeing Jets and a Fragile Trade Truce500 Boeing 737 Max jets are slated for sale – one of the largest orders in the aircraft maker’s history.The U.S. and China remain under a “fragile tariff truce” established last autumn.China’s economy is under pressure from sluggish domestic demand and a prolonged property crisis.Geopolitical Ripple: Iran War, Taiwan, and Global EnergyThe Iran‑Israel conflict has entered its third month, with Tehran tightening control of the Strait of Hormuz, a route that carries roughly a fifth of the world’s oil supply.Washington has sanctioned several Chinese firms for allegedly supporting Iranian oil shipments.Trump’s willingness to discuss U.S. arms sales to Taiwan could signal a shift in the long‑standing U.S. policy of not consulting Beijing on Taiwan matters.Looking Ahead: Scenarios for the Trump‑Xi DialogueAnalysts see three possible outcomes: a breakthrough that eases sanctions on China and secures Iranian de‑escalation; a stalemate that leaves the tariff truce intact but no substantive progress on Iran; or a deterioration that could reignite trade tensions and complicate U.S. commitments to Taiwan.