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The LeadEleven weeks after the start of the Iran war, the Strait of Hormuz has remained closed to naval traffic, bleeding the global economy far beyond the Gulf. Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) maintains an iron grip over this narrow, strategic waterway, while a corresponding United States naval blockade on Iranian ports has failed to reopen it.Before the war began, between 120 and 140 ships travelled through the strait each day, about half of them oil tankers carrying some 20 million barrels of oil between them. Now, only a few vessels whose owners have negotiated with the IRGC are permitted to pass.The Strategic Control of HormuzOn Wednesday, Iran said it coordinated the transit of 26 vessels through the Strait of Hormuz in 24 hours, two days after announcing the formation of the Persian Gulf Strait Authority (PGSA), a new body to provide "real-time updates" on operations in the strait.Since the announcement of a temporary ceasefire between the US and Iran in April, Iran has been working on formalising a mechanism to charge a transit fee from ships crossing the critical chokepoint, through which 20 percent of the world's oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) are shipped during peacetime.Tehran has reportedly already charged fees as high as $2m per ship for transit since the war started. Even though countries opposing Tehran say this is illegal, it may still be less expensive than the overall cost of the closure of the strait each day.The Economic Cost of BlockadeNearly one-fifth of global oil and LNG exports were shipped by Gulf producers through the Strait of Hormuz before the US and Israel bombed Iran on February 28, triggering the Iranian closure of the waterway. The strait is the only waterway linking Gulf producers to the open ocean – there is no other route through which they can ship exports.About 20.3 million barrels per day of oil passed through the Strait of Hormuz in peacetime – nearly 27 percent of global maritime oil trade. The lion's share of that crude went to Asian markets.Global LNG trade has been similarly hard hit. On the day before the war broke out, Brent crude – the global benchmark for oil prices – closed at $72.48 per barrel. After Iran closed the waterway on March 4 and began attacks on vessels attempting to sail through, traffic came to a standstill, stranding about 2,000 ships on either side of the strait.In terms of lost oil revenues, this amounts to $114.8bn of losses per day. About 10 billion cubic feet of LNG per day also used to pass through the strait, worth a further $7.8bn.The Cost-Benefit Analysis of Transit FeesFor hundreds of ships stranded in the Gulf with thousands of sailors on board, the cost of remaining anchored is steep, including crew wages, loan repayments, repair and management, coupled with inflated war risk premiums.In turn, Iran has reportedly been charging up to $2m for authorisation to pass. Experts say many will see this as worthwhile purely in terms of monetary cost."There is no doubt that paying Iran is cheaper than a continuous blockade because a sitting tanker bleeds money," said Nader Habibi, an Iranian American economist."It makes sense from an economic point of view, but it is not politically feasible," he added. "The companies are under pressure from the US sanctions and not to make arrangements with Iran. This is not just a purely economic cost-benefit analysis, but long-term considerations that are taken into account."International Legal PerspectivesInternational law protects free transit through strategic waters such as natural straits like Hormuz, barring countries from imposing passage tolls even where the waterways fall entirely into territorial waters, like in the case of Hormuz.However, services such as security controls, inspections and insurance regimes can be charged for. Chargeable fees also partly depend on whether a waterway is a man-made passageway or a natural one.These are three different precedents in maritime traffic flow:Panama Canal: An artificial waterway connecting the Atlantic and Pacific oceans. Vessels pass through a unique system of locks that raise and lower vessels across elevated terrain. Since Panama built, maintains and operates the canal, it can charge transit fees based on vessel size, cargo capacity and booking priority. These range from several hundred thousand dollars per transit to some slots sold for millions of dollars.Suez Canal: Another artificial canal, linking the Mediterranean and Red seas. Egypt charges transit fees for the use of canal infrastructure, maintenance and traffic management services through the narrow waterway. Container ships and oil tankers pay from several hundred thousand dollars to more than one million dollars per voyage.Turkiye's Bosporus Strait and Dardanelles: These are different because they are natural straits, rather than man-made canals. Turkiye charges for navigation-related services such as lighthouse operations, rescue readiness, medical support and traffic management – and tightly controls ship scheduling and navigation.Regional Cooperation PossibilitiesIran's newly-formed PGSA published a new map of Hormuz, stretching from Kuh-e Mubarak in Iran to south of Fujairah, in the UAE, at the eastern entrance of the strait, and from the tip of Qeshm Island to Umm al-Quwain at the western entrance.Given how the Iran war has spilled over into the Gulf region – with the UAE taking the brunt of Iranian strikes – economist Mohammad Reza Farzanegan said "regional cooperation with Iran is the most realistic path to stable transit through the Strait of Hormuz."The UAE, Oman, Qatar and Iran will have to work together because their economies require it, he argued. A workable arrangement could include a joint maritime authority, shared monitoring, emergency coordination, environmental protection and service-based contributions for maintaining safe passage."This would give Iran a recognised role in the security of the waterway while giving Persian Gulf economies more predictability," Farzanegan added. "Such a framework is also more realistic than relying on external military enforcement, which has been more a source of trouble for these states."The Future OutlookWhile it may seem that the economics of the closure of the strait are currently skewed towards Iran, Aniseh Tabrizi, an associate fellow on the Middle East and North Africa Programme at think tank Chatham House, noted that "the economics by itself is not going to be the driver to change calculation or move from the current standpoint."She emphasized that Iran and the US need to reach a "diplomatic compromise, with other calculations linked in to the economic factor", before there can be an end to the energy supply crisis.Farzanegan added that if the world expects stable access to the Strait of Hormuz, then paying Iran could well be accepted as the price of keeping the vital waterway predictable. "From an economic perspective, a negotiated transit arrangement [with Iran] now makes more sense than continued closure," he concluded.

The Lead When the founders of a mental health app for men called Mental discovered that one feature — AI interactive audio — was resonating strongly with users, they recognized a significant opportunity. This insight led to the creation of The Path, a new AI therapy application co-founded by renowned motivational speaker Tony Robbins and former Calm employees, which has now secured $14.3 million in seed funding. The Birth of a Safer AI Therapy Platform The Path emerged from observations made by co-founder and CEO Anson Whitmer and co-founder Tyler Sheaffer, who previously worked together at meditation app Calm. Whitmer's personal experiences with suicide in his family inspired him to pursue mental health technology. After working at Calm until 2021, he felt he could make a greater impact by addressing the unique, personal nature of people's mental health challenges. Whitmer sees large language models (LLMs) and AI as the bridge to providing personalized mental health care to everyone, especially given the shortage of therapists worldwide. "What's exciting and game-changing is that, for the first time in my career, I've seen that there's actually this possibility for every single person to have the personalized sort of access and care that they need to really get the help," he said. Funding and Celebrity Endorsement The Path has successfully raised $14.3 million in seed funding, led by Prime Movers Lab where Tony Robbins is a partner. Other notable investors include Olympic speed skater Apolo Anton Ohno, boxer Deontay Wilder, and Designer Fund. After Prime Movers invested, Robbins initially consulted on branding but his enthusiasm grew, leading to him becoming a co-founder. The author has since helped shape The Path into a therapy-plus-coaching app that incorporates his popular self-improvement methods. The app currently offers 11 virtual AI therapists that users can customize based on their preferences for directness and other details. While it's currently free to gain users, The Path plans to eventually charge $40 per month for the service. Superior Safety Benchmarks A key differentiator for The Path is its specially trained AI model, which has scored a 95 on the Vera-MH mental health safety AI benchmark. This significantly outperforms consumer chatbots, which top out at 65 on the same benchmark. According to Whitmer, consumer chatbots are "optimized for engagement," which is counterproductive to effective therapy and coaching that should focus on deep understanding rather than quick solutions. "It's meant to challenge you. It's not just meant to agree with you," Whitmer explains. The Path's AI is designed to help users dig out their assumptions and discover their own solutions rather than simply reinforcing ideas to keep users engaged. The startup's model is post-trained from open source models and doesn't use major consumer LLMs, positioning it as a specialized therapeutic tool rather than a generic chatbot wrapper. Market Potential and Future Outlook The mental health tech market is experiencing significant growth, with OpenAI reporting that at least 900 people use ChatGPT for mental health-related queries every week. This demonstrates the clear demand for AI-powered mental health solutions. However, The Path aims to capture a specific segment of this market by focusing on therapeutic rigor and safety. As mental health awareness continues to grow and technology becomes more sophisticated, AI therapy platforms like The Path could play an increasingly important role in addressing global mental health challenges. The combination of Tony Robbins' brand recognition, the technical expertise of the Calm alumni team, and the specialized focus on therapeutic safety positions The Path as a notable contender in the emerging field of AI-powered mental health care.

The LeadWhen producers of the revived Baywatch series hit unexpected permitting roadblocks on Venice Beach, the incident quickly morphed into a political flashpoint, with opponents of Mayor Karen Bass branding Los Angeles “not film friendly” and using the controversy to sharpen their mayoral campaigns. The Baywatch Production Standoff on Venice BeachAfter receiving a $21 million state tax credit, the Baywatch team arrived in February to film on Venice Beach. Within four days, the County Beaches and Harbors Department barred the use of camera drones, night shooting, and even limited the sand area and parking options, forcing production to halt. Tax credit: $21 million Restrictions: no drones, no night shoots, limited sand and parking Production downtime: four days before a full stop Financial Stakes and Shooting‑Day MetricsThe Baywatch dispute arrived at a moment when the city was trying to reverse a long‑term decline in film activity. Industry loss: nearly 50 % drop in shooting days since 2018 (cited by challenger Nithya Raman) Recent rebound: 10.7 % increase in total productions Q4 2025 → Q1 2026 Feature‑film surge: 45 % rise in shooting days over the same period Political Fallout in the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral RaceOpponents seized the Baywatch saga to question Bass’s leadership. Right‑wing challenger Spencer Pratt called the incident “political fecklessness,” while left‑leaning councilmember Nithya Raman highlighted the broader decline in shooting days. Bass responded by coordinating with the state coastal commission, FilmLA, and city council to clear the bureaucratic hurdles. What the Next Months Hold for LA’s Film PolicyMayor Bass announced a series of reforms: streamlined permitting across agencies, accelerated sound‑stage certification, waived fees for “microshoots,” and a six‑month pilot by FilmLA to cover permits for low‑impact productions. If these measures sustain the recent 10.7 % production uptick, they could become a cornerstone of Bass’s re‑election narrative, while challengers will likely continue to press for faster, more transparent reforms.

The latest S&P; Global purchasing managers' index shows UK services activity slipping to a 48.5 reading in May, marking the steepest drop in a decade and signalling a broader economic slowdown.Sharp Drop in UK Services PMI Marks Decade‑Worst DeclineIndex fell to 48.5 in May, down from 52.6 in April.Lowest reading since January 2021 and the lowest since July 2016 when Covid data are excluded.Services sector accounts for roughly 80% of UK GDP.PMI Numbers Reveal Contraction Below Growth ThresholdThe composite output index, which blends manufacturing and services data, dropped below the critical 50‑point mark, indicating contraction. Economists had forecast a reading of 51.6, making the actual figure notably worse.Payrolls fell for the 20th consecutive month, echoing ONS data that showed a loss of 100,000 payrolled employees in April.Manufacturing showed a modest rebound, hitting a three‑month high as firms front‑loaded orders.Broader Economic Implications for GDP and Monetary PolicyAndrew Wishart of Berenberg warned that a sustained PMI slump could push quarterly GDP growth from 0.6% in Q1 to -0.2% in Q2. Meanwhile, the Bank of England may keep its policy rate at 3.75% after recent inflation data showed a slowdown to 2.8% in April and wage growth easing to 3.4%.Outlook: Potential Further Slowdown Amid Geopolitical TensionsAnalysts attribute the downturn primarily to the ongoing Iran war and heightened uncertainty around Keir Starmer's leadership. If these pressures persist, the services sector could see continued job cuts and reduced spending, while manufacturers may face tighter order books, as noted by the CBI.Overall, the flash PMI suggests a cautious near‑term outlook for the UK economy, with policymakers likely to adopt a wait‑and‑see stance on interest‑rate adjustments.

Turning Empty Space into a Physical Presence: Christo’s “Air” InstallationThe new show at Gagosian, Grosvenor Hill, London re‑imagines a vacant gallery as a sculptural object. By suspending a colossal polyethylene bag across the room, Christo makes the intangible—air—visible, heavy and almost flesh‑like, compelling viewers to negotiate the space physically.The Installation’s Core Concept: Enveloping Air in PolyethyleneChristo’s original 1960s idea to “contain air” was limited by the technology of the time. Fifty years later, a horizontal sack, anchored by white ropes, sags into the centre of the room, creating a bulge that feels like a body pressing against a garment. The work is a direct continuation of his earlier wrapped‑bubble experiments and the infamous 1968 Documenta tube, now realised with modern materials.Visitor Experience and Spatial DynamicsGuests must crouch beneath the sagging sack, turning a passive viewing into an embodied encounter. The installation’s dimensions—roughly a 4‑metre‑high room split by a 3‑metre‑wide bag—are not disclosed in the review, but the visual weight is emphasized through the bag’s droop and the tension of the ropes. The exhibition runs until 21 August 2026, giving ample time for audiences to experience the shift from empty void to tactile mass.Why the Work Resonates in Contemporary Art DiscourseBeyond its visual novelty, “Air” interrogates themes of memory, preservation and the body’s relationship to space. A wrapped Volvo, rescued from a dealer’s garage, serves as a “monument to its own past,” linking personal history to the broader gesture of containment. Critics note the paradoxical blend of the profound and the ridiculous, positioning the piece as a commentary on how simple materials can evoke deep emotional responses.Future Implications for Site‑Specific and Conceptual ArtThe successful materialisation of an abstract element suggests new pathways for artists seeking to make the invisible visible. As museums and galleries explore immersive, sensor‑driven experiences, Christo’s “Air” demonstrates that minimal intervention—rope, sheet and plastic—can still generate powerful discourse about presence, weight and the limits of perception.Exhibition dates: Opening 2026 – 21 August 2026Location: Gagosian, Grosvenor Hill, London

The Symbolic SummitThe hopes and dreams of Palestinian children from Gaza have reached the top of the world as a kite bearing their handwritten messages was carried to the summit of Mount Everest by a team of mountaineers. The group summited the world's highest peak at 10:48am local time (05:03 GMT) on Thursday, Jordanian Palestinian mountaineer Mostafa Salameh, who was spearheading the expedition but did not summit, confirmed in a social media post.The Humanitarian MissionA team of Nepali Sherpas – led by Italian filmmaker and explorer Leonardo Avezzano – carried the kite to ensure that the dreams of children in the besieged Strip could make it "to the top of the world", Salameh told Al Jazeera from the Everest base camp last week. The 56-year-old climber launched this expedition to raise $10m towards medical aid for children in the Strip and draw global attention towards the difficulties they have faced during the Israeli genocide in Gaza.A Personal Connection to Palestine"After months of preparation, sacrifice, training, fear, hope, prayers, and carrying the weight of a message much bigger than themselves… the kite carrying the dreams of the children of Gaza is now flying above the highest point on Earth," Salameh said in a video posted to Instagram. "From the rubble and pain of Gaza … to the roof of the world. A dream refused to die," he wrote in the caption.The Climbers' JourneySalameh, who has previously summited Everest, stayed at the first base camp due to frostbite and a blood clot in his left hand. "Tonight, at 8,848 metres (29,029 feet) in the death zone where every step feels like a battle between life and exhaustion, Leonardo carried that kite with courage, heart, and purpose," Salameh added. "I am so proud of my brother Leonardo for believing in this mission and for carrying the voices, names, hopes, and dreams of children who deserve to be seen by the world."The Explorer's LegacySalameh is one of 20 people to have completed the Explorer's Slam – the accomplishment of reaching the North and South poles and climbing the highest peaks on all seven continents. He has summited Everest four times, the first being in 2008, the year he was honoured with knighthood by King Abdullah II of Jordan. "What I do best is climb mountains," he told Al Jazeera in an interview last week from the base camp. "I did promise lots of people in my life not to go back to Everest, but this is worth it. As a mountaineer, what I can do is bring the story and suffering of every Palestinian child all the way to the top of the world."From Darkness to LightSalameh acknowledged the immense risks – including death – that come with scaling Mount Everest at 8,000 metres with only 15 percent oxygen, but insisted it was "absolutely nothing" compared with what the Palestinians in Gaza have endured. "This time is very personal for me," Salameh said in another video. "This one hits home for the child in me, because I know what it feels like to be a child at a refugee camp, and I feel for the children of Gaza and what they go through."The Path ForwardSalameh said the "mission [was] not accomplished yet" since summiting Everest was only the halfway point; returning to base camp safely was the next goal for Leonardo and his team. "Tonight, the kite flies above Everest; tonight, the dreams of Gaza touched the sky," Salameh said, ending the video with a chant of "Free, Free Palestine". He emphasised that the summit was not only about climbing a mountain but about humanity, hope, and proving that "even from darkness, something beautiful can still rise into the sky."

Executive Overview: A War That Will Unfold in Four Global WavesThe war in Iran has moved beyond a regional confrontation, positioning itself as a catalyst for a series of interconnected crises that will hit the world in four distinct phases. Immediate disruptions are already evident, and the trajectory points toward deeper systemic shocks.Phase 1 – Energy Market Turbulence and Price VolatilityIran’s pivotal role in the global oil supply chain means that any sustained conflict immediately translates into supply constraints. Since the outbreak, oil prices have climbed by several percentage points, prompting a scramble for alternative sources and heightening inflationary pressures in import‑dependent economies.Phase 2 – Trade Route Interruptions and Supply‑Chain StrainKey maritime corridors in the Persian Gulf face heightened security risks.Export‑import balances for neighboring Gulf states are being recalibrated.Manufacturing hubs in Asia and Europe report longer lead times for petrochemical inputs.These disruptions are expected to ripple through global supply chains, raising costs for a broad range of goods.Phase 3 – Humanitarian Fallout and Migration PressuresCasualties and displacement within Iran are projected to generate a sizable refugee flow toward neighboring countries and, eventually, into Europe. Humanitarian agencies are already mobilising resources, but funding gaps threaten an effective response.Phase 4 – Geopolitical Realignment and Diplomatic StrainThe conflict is forcing major powers to reassess alliances. The United Nations faces renewed calls for mediation, while regional actors such as Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Russia navigate a delicate balance between involvement and containment.Projected Outlook: A Prolonged Multi‑Wave ShockAnalysts anticipate that the four waves will overlap, creating a compounded impact that could persist for 12‑18 months. Mitigation will require coordinated energy policy, diversified trade routes, robust humanitarian funding, and a renewed diplomatic push to de‑escalate the conflict.

The Gritty Evolution of British Skateboarding A new photographic collection from The Guardian documents the raw and authentic evolution of UK skateboarding during the 1980s and 1990s. Unlike the polished American skate scene that dominated media at the time, British skate culture developed its own distinct identity characterized by rougher conditions, DIY ethics, and a unique social commentary through the lens of camera lenses. Documenting the Underground Movement The photography collection showcases how British skateboarders adapted to their urban environment, transforming mundane architectural elements into creative skate spots. With fewer dedicated skate parks compared to the US, UK skaters developed innovative techniques to navigate stairs, handrails, and other urban obstacles, creating a style that was both technically impressive and contextually unique to British surroundings. A Visual Contrast with American Skate Culture While American skateboarding of the era often presented a more commercialized and aspirational image, the UK scene captured in these photographs reveals a more authentic, working-class aesthetic. The images depict skaters in everyday locations, often in less-than-ideal conditions, highlighting the movement's roots in counter-culture and rebellion rather than corporate sponsorship. The Social Fabric of Skate Communities Beyond the technical aspects of skateboarding, the photographs reveal the tight-knit communities that formed around the sport in British towns and cities. These images capture not just the act of skateboarding itself, but the social dynamics, fashion, and music that surrounded the scene, providing a comprehensive cultural snapshot of a generation finding its identity through alternative sports. Legacy and Influence on Modern Skateboarding The influence of this gritty UK skate aesthetic can still be seen in contemporary skate culture, particularly in the emphasis on street skating and creative use of urban environments. As skateboarding continues to evolve, these historical photographs serve as an important reminder of the sport's authentic roots and the unique cultural contributions of the UK scene during its formative decades.

The Lead Iranian state media reported on Thursday that the country's Ministry of Foreign Affairs is reviewing the United States's response, received via mediator Pakistan, to Tehran's latest proposal to end the war. Iran's Diplomatic Efforts Iran's President Masoud Pezeshkian said 'all paths' to a diplomatic solution with the US 'remain open from our side', while warning that attempts to force Tehran into surrender through pressure or threats are 'nothing but an illusion'. Iran's parliament speaker and chief negotiator, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, accused the US of trying to reignite the conflict and force Tehran into submission. The newly established Persian Gulf Strait Authority announced the creation of a 'supervision area' in the Strait of Hormuz, saying vessels will now require permission to transit the strategic waterway. The Data Analysis In the past 24 hours, 26 vessels, including oil tankers, container ships, and other commercial vessels, transited the Strait of Hormuz with coordination and security provided by the IRGC navy. The Impact Analysis Global condemnation is growing after Israel's far-right National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir posted a video appearing to taunt activists from a Gaza-bound aid flotilla while they were allegedly being mistreated by Israeli prison guards. UAE urges Iraq to 'immediately' prevent attacks launched from its territory after accusing armed groups in Iraq of being behind a drone strike targeting a UAE nuclear plant. US warns Iran of massive military response, with White House Deputy Chief of Staff Stephen Miller saying Tehran faced a choice between accepting a US-backed agreement or facing military consequences. The Prediction Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmaeil Baghaei said Tehran was reviewing Washington's latest response to a proposed ceasefire framework after several rounds of message exchanges mediated by Pakistan.