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Politics May 21, 2026

One Nation's Climate Science Denial: Why Australia's Populist Party Is Out of Step With Evidence

As One Nation surges in Australian polls, the party stands alone in its rejection of established cl…
The Lead: One Nation's Standalone Climate Denial As the populist right-wing One Nation party gains momentum in Australian polls, it maintains a firm stance against decades of climate science evidence showing the planet and Australia are warming. The party claims to be the only political force in Australia questioning climate science, but experts say this position is not only scientifically baseless but increasingly out of step with global trends in climate misinformation. The Event Details: One Nation's Climate Contradictions One Nation's position on climate change is rooted in denial and conspiracy theories, despite overwhelming scientific evidence. The party's energy and climate policies have previously been literal cut-and-pastes from the now-defunct climate denial group the Galileo Movement. Currently, One Nation rejects the scientific consensus that the planet and Australia are warming, claiming extreme weather was more prevalent before 1960—a position climate scientists have compared to believing the Earth is flat. The party also wants Australia to leave the Paris Agreement and would push to close down the federal climate change department "and all related agencies, regulations and programs." They proudly declare: "We are the only political party to question climate science." The Data Analysis: Australia's Unequivocal Warming Trend Despite One Nation's claims, Australia has experienced significant warming since 1910. The Bureau of Meteorology's official long-term climate dataset shows Australia has warmed by 1.5°C since 1910. Temperature readings before this period are not included in the official dataset because they were often taken with non-standardized equipment, making them less reliable. Research into pre-1910 temperature records shows temperatures from 1860 to 1909 were similar to those from 1910 to 1959. Since 1960, both maximum and minimum temperatures have risen significantly. The independent Berkeley Earth group's analysis of historical temperature data confirms Australia has warmed substantially since the 1880s. One Nation points to a single weather station in Newcastle (Nobby's) to claim no pattern of warming exists—a classic example of cherry-picking data while ignoring the broader evidence showing temperatures are warming across Australia. The Impact Analysis: Political Consequences of Climate Denial One Nation's climate denial positions have significant political implications in Australia. Research from CSIRO a decade ago suggested that views on climate change can be influenced by how a person votes, rather than the other way around. This means votes for One Nation could lead more people to reject established climate science. Dr. John Cook, an expert on climate science denial, notes that One Nation is "not only out of touch with the scientific evidence, they're even out of touch with the rest of the climate denial community." Over the past decade, climate misinformation has transitioned from science denial to attacking climate solutions, as the scientific evidence for human-caused global warming has become undeniable. Prof. Sarah Perkins-Kirkpatrick, a climate scientist at Australian National University, emphasizes: "There's a wealth of evidence that extreme heat events are increasing worldwide since the 1950s. We see increased intensity of droughts and heatwaves and the intensity of tropical cyclones is increasing." The Prediction: Future of Climate Politics in Australia As climate impacts worsen in Australia—with more frequent and intense heatwaves, bushfires, and extreme weather events—One Nation's climate denial stance may become increasingly untenable politically. The party's net zero conspiracies, including claims that climate action is part of a plot to create a "socialist Australia," are based on misinformation and misrepresentations of statements by figures like former World Economic Forum chair Klaus Schwab. One Nation's assertions that renewable energy is causing electricity price increases are also contradicted by experts. Research from CSIRO suggests that if 82% of Australia's electricity came from renewables backed by storage, the cost of generation would be a third less than current prices. The real drivers of rising electricity costs are aging infrastructure and rising international gas prices, not the transition to renewables. As Australia faces increasing climate impacts, political parties that reject established climate science may find themselves increasingly isolated, both scientifically and politically. The future of Australian climate politics may depend on how mainstream parties respond to One Nation's misinformation and whether they can effectively communicate the scientific consensus on climate change.
#One Nation #Climate Change #Australia
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Entertainment May 21, 2026

Quartet in Autumn Review: A Booker-Winning Vision of Late-Life Office Life

Samantha Harvey, the author of the 2024 Booker Prize winner Orbital, brings her literary depth to t…
Harvey’s Vision for Pym’s Classic Samantha Harvey’s adaptation of Barbara Pym’s novel arrives at the Arcola Theatre with the weight of literary prestige. Harvey, who won the Booker Prize in 2024 for Orbital, takes on the challenge of translating the book's rich interiority into a stage performance. The production focuses on four central characters—Edwin, Letty, Marcia, and Norman—who form a complex web of relationships as they approach retirement. The Cast and Directorial Choices Anthony Calf plays Edwin, a pragmatic widower finding solace in church life. Kate Duchêne portrays Letty, who fears solitude as her best friend enters a romance. Pooky Quesnel brings a neurotic intensity to Marcia, who becomes obsessed with a doctor. Paul Rider is Norman, a blunderer whose deadpan humor rivals The Office. Director Dominic Dromgoole emphasizes the characters' quirks, using Ellie Wintour’s chunky knits and oversized specs to ground the piece in the 1970s, while the set design of facing desks creates a claustrophobic yet intimate office environment. Enduring Relevance of Pym’s Themes One of the most striking aspects of this production is its uncanny ability to feel contemporary. Despite being written in the 1970s, the characters' anxieties regarding rising heating costs and the threat of computerized technology are strikingly familiar to modern audiences. The play captures the "infinite possibilities" of life after work, offering a poignant look at how we define ourselves outside of our professional identities. Outlook for Literary Adaptations The success of Quartet in Autumn suggests a growing appetite for stage adaptations that prioritize character study over spectacle. By stripping away peripheral characters to focus on the quartet's internal monologues, the production validates the idea that literary fiction can thrive on stage when given the right directorial care.
#Barbara Pym #Samantha Harvey #Arcola Theatre
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Business May 21, 2026

French Court Convicts Airbus and Air France of Manslaughter Over 2009 AF447 Crash

A French appeals court has found Airbus and Air France guilty of manslaughter for the 2009 AF447 di…
The Paris Court of Appeal ruled Thursday that Airbus and Air France are "solely and entirely responsible" for the June 1, 2009 crash of flight AF447, marking the first manslaughter conviction in the tragedy that claimed 228 lives. The Paris Court of Appeal Convicts Airbus and Air France of Manslaughter The court ordered each victim’s family to receive 225,000 euros (approximately $261,720), the maximum corporate manslaughter fine under French law. While the amount is largely symbolic, the judgment reverses a 2023 lower‑court acquittal and re‑opens the legal battle over responsibility for the disaster. Financial Penalties and Compensation Calculations Fine per victim: €225,000 Total potential payout: €51.3 million (≈ $59 million) for all 228 victims Legal costs: Not disclosed, but both companies face extensive appeal expenses Implications for Aviation Safety Oversight and Corporate Liability The ruling underscores growing pressure on manufacturers and airlines to address known technical flaws—specifically the pitot‑tube sensor issues that contributed to the crash. Prosecutors, led by Rodolphe Juy‑Birmann, argued that both firms were aware of the defect yet failed to mandate high‑altitude training for pilots. Industry observers warn that the decision could trigger stricter regulatory scrutiny across Europe, prompting airlines to reassess training programs and sensor‑replacement schedules. Potential Appeals and Industry Repercussions Ahead Airbus announced it will appeal to France’s highest court, contending that the finding contradicts the 2023 acquittal. An appeal could extend the legal saga for years, keeping the case in the public eye and influencing future litigation strategies for aerospace firms. Should the conviction stand, it may set a precedent for holding manufacturers criminally liable in aviation accidents, potentially reshaping insurance models and prompting more proactive safety investments. Timeline of Key Events June 1 2009 – Flight AF447 disappears over the Atlantic, killing 228 people. 2011‑2015 – Deep‑sea search recovers black boxes; investigations reveal pitot‑tube malfunction. April 2023 – Lower court acquits Airbus and Air France of manslaughter. May 21 2026 – Paris Court of Appeal convicts both companies and imposes fines.
#Airbus #Air France #AF447
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Business May 21, 2026

BT Warns of Smartphone Price Rises Due to Chip Shortages from AI Boom

BT warns that smartphone prices may rise due to chip shortages caused by the boom in artificial int…
The Impact of AI on Chip Supply Chains BT has warned that the cost of smartphones could rise as technology companies buy up semiconductor chips due to the boom in artificial intelligence, putting pressure on supply chains. Chip Shortages and Price Increases The telecoms company’s chief executive, Allison Kirkby, said she was anticipating shortages as tech firms bought large quantities of memory chips to power the datacentres relied on by AI. Kirkby added that price increases would mainly hit smartphone handsets, but could also affect the cost of routers. The Data Analysis Memory chips are essential for almost every modern item of electronics and are also used in other important components such as graphics cards. The largest manufacturers of laptops and phones, including Microsoft, Samsung and Dell, have already begun to put up prices in response to the chip shortages and have pulled cheaper models from the market. Sony has also hiked the price of its PlayStation 5 consoles, including a $100 (£75) increase in the US, while Nintendo has confirmed a price rise for its Switch 2. The Impact Analysis A global investment spree in AI has led to a huge expansion of server farms, enormous banks of computers filled with high-end memory chips. These requirements are not only consuming the world’s current supply of chips, but also production capacity for the coming years, creating shortages and driving up the cost of electronics. The Prediction Kirkby said she had not yet seen price increases from premium handset manufacturers, but expected companies such as Apple to pass higher costs on to customers. BT plans to cut costs by a further £700m over the next four years and reported flat full-year earnings and falling revenues.
#BT #Artificial Intelligence #Chip Shortage
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Economy May 21, 2026

The Economics of Hormuz: Calculating the Cost of Iran's Transit Toll

As the Strait of Hormuz remains closed eleven weeks into the Iran war, this analysis examines wheth…
The LeadEleven weeks after the start of the Iran war, the Strait of Hormuz has remained closed to naval traffic, bleeding the global economy far beyond the Gulf. Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) maintains an iron grip over this narrow, strategic waterway, while a corresponding United States naval blockade on Iranian ports has failed to reopen it.Before the war began, between 120 and 140 ships travelled through the strait each day, about half of them oil tankers carrying some 20 million barrels of oil between them. Now, only a few vessels whose owners have negotiated with the IRGC are permitted to pass.The Strategic Control of HormuzOn Wednesday, Iran said it coordinated the transit of 26 vessels through the Strait of Hormuz in 24 hours, two days after announcing the formation of the Persian Gulf Strait Authority (PGSA), a new body to provide "real-time updates" on operations in the strait.Since the announcement of a temporary ceasefire between the US and Iran in April, Iran has been working on formalising a mechanism to charge a transit fee from ships crossing the critical chokepoint, through which 20 percent of the world's oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) are shipped during peacetime.Tehran has reportedly already charged fees as high as $2m per ship for transit since the war started. Even though countries opposing Tehran say this is illegal, it may still be less expensive than the overall cost of the closure of the strait each day.The Economic Cost of BlockadeNearly one-fifth of global oil and LNG exports were shipped by Gulf producers through the Strait of Hormuz before the US and Israel bombed Iran on February 28, triggering the Iranian closure of the waterway. The strait is the only waterway linking Gulf producers to the open ocean – there is no other route through which they can ship exports.About 20.3 million barrels per day of oil passed through the Strait of Hormuz in peacetime – nearly 27 percent of global maritime oil trade. The lion's share of that crude went to Asian markets.Global LNG trade has been similarly hard hit. On the day before the war broke out, Brent crude – the global benchmark for oil prices – closed at $72.48 per barrel. After Iran closed the waterway on March 4 and began attacks on vessels attempting to sail through, traffic came to a standstill, stranding about 2,000 ships on either side of the strait.In terms of lost oil revenues, this amounts to $114.8bn of losses per day. About 10 billion cubic feet of LNG per day also used to pass through the strait, worth a further $7.8bn.The Cost-Benefit Analysis of Transit FeesFor hundreds of ships stranded in the Gulf with thousands of sailors on board, the cost of remaining anchored is steep, including crew wages, loan repayments, repair and management, coupled with inflated war risk premiums.In turn, Iran has reportedly been charging up to $2m for authorisation to pass. Experts say many will see this as worthwhile purely in terms of monetary cost."There is no doubt that paying Iran is cheaper than a continuous blockade because a sitting tanker bleeds money," said Nader Habibi, an Iranian American economist."It makes sense from an economic point of view, but it is not politically feasible," he added. "The companies are under pressure from the US sanctions and not to make arrangements with Iran. This is not just a purely economic cost-benefit analysis, but long-term considerations that are taken into account."International Legal PerspectivesInternational law protects free transit through strategic waters such as natural straits like Hormuz, barring countries from imposing passage tolls even where the waterways fall entirely into territorial waters, like in the case of Hormuz.However, services such as security controls, inspections and insurance regimes can be charged for. Chargeable fees also partly depend on whether a waterway is a man-made passageway or a natural one.These are three different precedents in maritime traffic flow:Panama Canal: An artificial waterway connecting the Atlantic and Pacific oceans. Vessels pass through a unique system of locks that raise and lower vessels across elevated terrain. Since Panama built, maintains and operates the canal, it can charge transit fees based on vessel size, cargo capacity and booking priority. These range from several hundred thousand dollars per transit to some slots sold for millions of dollars.Suez Canal: Another artificial canal, linking the Mediterranean and Red seas. Egypt charges transit fees for the use of canal infrastructure, maintenance and traffic management services through the narrow waterway. Container ships and oil tankers pay from several hundred thousand dollars to more than one million dollars per voyage.Turkiye's Bosporus Strait and Dardanelles: These are different because they are natural straits, rather than man-made canals. Turkiye charges for navigation-related services such as lighthouse operations, rescue readiness, medical support and traffic management – and tightly controls ship scheduling and navigation.Regional Cooperation PossibilitiesIran's newly-formed PGSA published a new map of Hormuz, stretching from Kuh-e Mubarak in Iran to south of Fujairah, in the UAE, at the eastern entrance of the strait, and from the tip of Qeshm Island to Umm al-Quwain at the western entrance.Given how the Iran war has spilled over into the Gulf region – with the UAE taking the brunt of Iranian strikes – economist Mohammad Reza Farzanegan said "regional cooperation with Iran is the most realistic path to stable transit through the Strait of Hormuz."The UAE, Oman, Qatar and Iran will have to work together because their economies require it, he argued. A workable arrangement could include a joint maritime authority, shared monitoring, emergency coordination, environmental protection and service-based contributions for maintaining safe passage."This would give Iran a recognised role in the security of the waterway while giving Persian Gulf economies more predictability," Farzanegan added. "Such a framework is also more realistic than relying on external military enforcement, which has been more a source of trouble for these states."The Future OutlookWhile it may seem that the economics of the closure of the strait are currently skewed towards Iran, Aniseh Tabrizi, an associate fellow on the Middle East and North Africa Programme at think tank Chatham House, noted that "the economics by itself is not going to be the driver to change calculation or move from the current standpoint."She emphasized that Iran and the US need to reach a "diplomatic compromise, with other calculations linked in to the economic factor", before there can be an end to the energy supply crisis.Farzanegan added that if the world expects stable access to the Strait of Hormuz, then paying Iran could well be accepted as the price of keeping the vital waterway predictable. "From an economic perspective, a negotiated transit arrangement [with Iran] now makes more sense than continued closure," he concluded.
#Iran #Strait of Hormuz #Oil Prices
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Economy May 21, 2026

Britain's Bond Market Obsession: Why Politicians Should Focus on the Bank of England Instead

British politicians are overly concerned about bond markets and 'bond vigilantes' rather than focus…
The Bond Market Obsession in British PoliticsA spectre is haunting British politics: the bond markets. Recent political discourse has been dominated by fears of "bond vigilantes" punishing fiscal policies they deem irresponsible, as evidenced by Chancellor Rachel Reeves' warnings following local election results. This obsession has created a situation where democratic mandates for change are being vetoed by investors, leading to what economist Thandika Mkandawire termed "choiceless democracies."The Bank of England's Role in Rising Borrowing CostsThe Bank of England has become a significant factor in Britain's high borrowing costs, often overlooked in political debates. Since 2022, the Bank has sold £134bn in gilts, with its share of UK gilt holdings nearly halved in three years. This year alone, it sold £7.6bn in gilts, with another £12bn planned. Investors calculate that active quantitative tightening has added up to 0.7 percentage points to UK borrowing costs—what might be called the "Bailey premium," recognizing the role of Bank Governor Andrew Bailey in the gilt market.The Financial Impact of Inflation-Linked BondsBritain's unique vulnerability to inflation-linked gilts, or "linkers," has created a significant budgetary challenge. With about a quarter of its bonds inflation-pegged—more than twice as many as Italy or France—the British government has had to pay a staggering £153bn in additional debt service since the 2022 Russia price shocks. This creates an ironic situation: when the Bank misses inflation targets, the government pays bond investors compensation, further straining public finances.Pension Funds and the Future of UK DebtThe UK's pension system, particularly defined contribution schemes where workers bear investment risks, is reshaping the government bond market. These funds prefer high-yielding investments like stocks and private equity rather than government bonds. The Office for Budget Responsibility estimates that pension funds will halve their gilt holdings over the next decade, eventually resulting in an increase in annual debt interest costs of about £22bn. This represents a political choice that could be reversed through policy interventions.Toward a Democratic Model of Central BankingIf the UK wants transformative change, it needs a new model of central banking that serves the common good rather than being influenced by bond markets. This includes reevaluating the Bank of England's role, phasing out inflation-linked bonds, and redirecting pension fund investments toward public essentials. The recent Pension Schemes Act 2026 provides an opportunity to channel workers' capital into public ownership of essential services such as housing, water, and transport. These are hard political choices, but they exist for those willing to challenge the status quo of managed British decline.
#Bank of England #Bond Markets #UK Politics
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Politics May 21, 2026

NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani Launches $50 World Cup Ticket Lottery for Residents

New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani announced a $50 ticket lottery that will give up to 1,000 reside…
Mayor Mamdani Unveils Affordable $50 Ticket Lottery Zohran Mamdani will announce on Thursday a new tranche of 2026 World Cup tickets priced at $50 each for residents of New York City’s five boroughs. The tickets will be distributed via a random draw and will include bus transportation to and from MetLife Stadium. Lottery Mechanics and Game Schedule Lottery opens: 25 May 10:00 ET Lottery closes: 30 May 17:00 ET Maximum daily entries: 50,000 Each winner may purchase up to two tickets Eligible matches include five group‑stage games (Brazil v Morocco, France v Senegal, Norway v Senegal, Ecuador v Germany, Panama v England), a Round of 32 on 30 June and a Round of 16 on 5 July. Financial Snapshot: Ticket Allocation and Pricing Total tickets available: 1,000 (approximately 150 per game) Seating: Upper bowl of the 82,000‑capacity MetLife Stadium Transportation subsidy: Bus service included; round‑trip train tickets reduced from $150 to $105, bus tickets priced at $80 Implications for NYC Residents and Ticket Market The initiative marks the first time a World Cup host city offers a dedicated, low‑cost ticket pool to its residents, echoing the discounted access granted to Qatar locals in 2022. By partnering with the NY/NJ host committee led by CEO Alex Lasry rather than FIFA, the program sidesteps the federation’s controversial dynamic‑pricing model that has pushed many tickets into the hundreds of dollars. Future Outlook: Accessibility and FIFA Pricing Debate Mayor Mamdani, who campaigned on affordability, criticises FIFA for prioritising revenue over fan inclusion. If the lottery proves popular, it could pressure FIFA to expand low‑price allocations for future tournaments and inspire other host cities to adopt similar resident‑focused schemes.
#Zohran Mamdani #NYC #2026 World Cup
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Sports May 21, 2026

Thunder's Gilgeous-Alexander Powers Comeback as Oklahoma City Evens Series with Spurs

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander bounced back with 30 points to lead the Oklahoma City Thunder to a 122-113 …
Thunder Even Series Behind MVP's Strong PerformanceShai Gilgeous-Alexander bounced back from a subpar series opener to score 30 points, Alex Caruso added 17 off the bench and the host Oklahoma City Thunder beat the San Antonio Spurs 122-113 on Wednesday night in Game 2 of the Western Conference finals. The victory evens the series at 1-1 as it shifts to San Antonio for Game 3 on Friday.Thunder's Adjusted Defense Contains WembanyamaThe Thunder playbook in Game 2 was about making life as difficult as possible for Victor Wembanyama, hoping to prevent outbursts like the 41-point, 24-rebound gem he put together in San Antonio's 122-115 win in Game 1. Coach Mark Daigneault adjusted his defensive strategy after the first game, implementing a more varied approach to contain the Spurs' star."Every good player, they have to feel the defense," Gilgeous-Alexander said. "It's tough. He's very different to scout. You've got to try to mix things up, you've got try different things. And that's just what we did. Coach tried something in the first game, didn't like it, tried something else. That's what it's about."Bench Depth and Turnovers Prove DecisiveThe Thunder finished with a 57-25 edge in bench scoring, plus a 27-10 advantage in points off turnovers. Chet Holmgren scored 13 points and reserves Jared McCain and Cason Wallace each had 12 for Oklahoma City, demonstrating the team's depth beyond their star players."I thought we all played better," Thunder coach Mark Daigneault said. "I had a quiet confidence about that. I didn't know if we'd win or lose the game, but I was pretty sure after watching Game 1 and knowing our team that we were going to come out and play better tonight."Injuries Mount as Series Shifts to San AntonioThe win was not without cost for the Thunder, who lost guard Jalen Williams in the first half with a recurrence of a hamstring issue. He had already missed six games in these playoffs with a left hamstring strain, putting his availability for Friday into doubt.The Spurs also got banged up. Already without All-Star guard De'Aaron Fox because of ankle soreness, San Antonio lost his replacement in the starting lineup, Dylan Harper, to a right leg injury after he took a couple of awkward falls in the third quarter."Obviously this team is as good as anybody at turning you over, so when you're down some of your primary creators and initiators it causes a little bit of an extra strain, whether that's who to play, what to play, what to run, etc, etc," Spurs coach Mitch Johnson said. "We'll just have to be sharper in that area because it's tough fully loaded against these guys."Series Outlook Shifts After Thunder's ResponseWith the series now tied and heading to San Antonio, both teams face questions about health and adjustments. The Thunder showed their ability to respond after a poor Game 1 performance, while the Spurs must determine how to compensate for their growing list of injuries."The guys brought it tonight," said Gilgeous-Alexander, who was recently named the league MVP for the second straight season. "Knowing what it would have meant if we lost this one, we brought the energy from the jump." The series now becomes a best-of-three with Game 3 set for Friday in San Antonio.
#Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #Oklahoma City Thunder #San Antonio Spurs
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World Wide May 21, 2026

Israel Begins Deporting Gaza Aid Flotilla Activists Amid Global Outcry

Israel has started deporting hundreds of activists who were abducted by Israeli forces while attemp…
The Deportation Process Israel has begun deporting the hundreds of activists abducted by Israeli forces who stormed a Gaza aid flotilla earlier this week, according to the Legal Center for Arab Minority Rights in Israel, Adalah. The rights group told Al Jazeera on Thursday that most of the roughly 430 abducted activists were being transported to Ramon Airport in southern Israel, from where they would be deported. The rest will be deported from Ben Gurion Airport in Tel Aviv. Global Condemnation The abductions have been widely condemned, with the foreign ministers of 10 countries, including Spain, Brazil and India, slamming Israeli forces’ actions as “blatant violations of international law and international humanitarian law”. Israel’s treatment of the activists has since been condemned by more countries, including several key allies, after far-right National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir posted a video on X on Wednesday of him taunting activists who were kneeling on the floor with their hands tied behind their backs. International Repercussions In response, several countries, including France, Canada, Spain, Portugal and the Netherlands, summoned the Israeli ambassadors to their capitals to express their outrage. Meanwhile, European Council President Antonio Costa said he was “appalled” by Ben-Gvir’s behaviour, calling it “completely unacceptable”. “It really goes to show how much Israeli authorities wanted to make a show out of [this] and how it’s very much an extension of the Israeli treatment towards Palestinians, which obviously gets a lot less of a public outcry,” Miriam Azem, the international advocacy coordinator at Adalah, told Al Jazeera. The Future Outlook Earlier, Turkiye announced it was sending chartered flights to Israel to repatriate some of its citizens and those of third countries, including Spanish nationals. Jordan has confirmed that two of its nationals have returned home via the southern crossing with Israel. Reporting from Ramallah in the occupied West Bank, Al Jazeera’s Nida Ibrahim said the ongoing deportations were the fastest Israel has ever carried out, as it scrambles to contain the public relations damage caused by Ben-Gvir’s video. Ibrahim added that many Palestinians believe the incident has gained more international attention because those mistreated were from foreign countries.
#Israel #Gaza #Flotilla
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