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The Threat to Ocean Monitoring The Trump administration's plan to dismantle an ocean observation system vital to understanding the climate crisis and marine ecosystems would “severely degrade” the accuracy of weather predictions and El Niño forecasts, with economic consequences for the US, European and American scientists have warned. The Ocean Observatories Initiative The Ocean Observatories Initiative (OOI), run by the US National Science Foundation, is a vast network of seafloor systems, underwater gliders and moored surface platforms that feeds data to researchers, policymakers, educators and mariners worldwide. The initiative, which covers both US coastlines and extends into the North Atlantic and Southern Ocean, has been used to study marine heatwaves, harmful algal blooms, subduction zone earthquakes, ocean acidification and fisheries variability. The Data Analysis Decommissioning the US system, which plays a major part in a global ocean observation network, would lead to a massive increase in error in the annual estimates of ocean heating rates, according to research published last month. Removing US observations alone would produce a 163% increase in error for annual ocean heating rates. The Impact Analysis The loss of US observations, in a year predicted to be an El Niño year, with “supercharged” weather extremes, could also “lose the ability to see it coming clearly to act in time”. The stakes are concrete: farmers in the US and across South America use El Niño forecasts to decide what to plant and when – whether to expect drought or flooding shapes every agricultural decision months in advance. The Prediction “The US government wants to save less than a billion in sensors, which are the eyes and ears of the ocean” said Abrahams. “We have hundreds of billions in climate costs per year. The cost of the observation system is a fraction of the climate costs from hurricanes and storms that hit the US. ” The system, is, Abraham said is “quite an inexpensive way to reduce climate-related costs”.

The Guardian's 2025-26 Premiership Team of the Season The final round of the regular Premiership season is approaching, with playoffs yet to come. The Guardian has unveiled their team of the season for 2025-26, with players required to have appeared in at least nine league fixtures to be eligible for selection. The XV features a mix of established stars and emerging talents, with Northampton Saints particularly well-represented in the lineup. Backline Brilliance: Standout Performers in the Three-Quarters The backline showcases some of the league's most exciting talents. At fullback, George Furbank of Northampton has overcome an injury-disrupted start to re-emerge as a key cog in Saints' slick backline and is positioned to regain the England No. 15 jersey. On the wing, 19-year-old Noah Caluori of Saracens has impressed with his aerial ability, contributing 14 tries in just three games against Sale (twice) and Newcastle, and finishing the season with 18 tries in 12 Premiership matches. Midfield Mastery: Tactical Versatility and Strike Power The midfield features players who have demonstrated both tactical intelligence and finishing ability. Tommy Freeman shifts to outside center to accommodate Caluori on the wing, boasting an impressive 16 tries in 13 league matches. At inside center, Rory narrowly edges out competitors like Len Ikitau and Max Ojomoh with his ability to cut smart angles and inject vital pace at crucial moments. On the left wing, Immanuel Feyi-Waboso's return after injury has highlighted his dangerous ability when given space, with five tries in the opening two rounds and consistent ability to leave defenders behind. Halfback Excellence: Vision and Control The halfback pairing features two players who control the tempo of their respective teams. At fly-half, Billy Searle of Leicester has been a revelation this season, with his confidence and skillset underpinned by a competitive edge that has put him on England's radar. At scrum-half, Ben Spencer of Bath edges out Northampton's Archie McParland with his exceptional kicking out of hand and expert game management, though potentially feeling the effects of a long campaign after 27 matches for club and country. Forward Dominance: Power and Versatility in the Pack The forward pack features players who have consistently delivered throughout the season. At loosehead prop, Nicky Smith of Leicester has started every regular season game, earning him a long-term deal with Sale Sharks. At hooker, Gabriel Oghre of Bristol stands out for his multi-dimensional skills, including a remarkable 45-meter kick to touch from a lineout throw. In the second row, Thomas du Toit of Bath provides the power and stability that has been crucial to Bath's success. At blindside flanker, the stat-topping No. 8 has been instrumental in driving his team forward with consistent performances. Statistical Standouts and Impact Analysis The selection is backed by impressive statistics that highlight the players' contributions. Caluori's 18 tries in 12 games places him at the top of the scoring charts, while Freeman's 16 tries in 13 matches demonstrates his exceptional strike rate. Northampton's dominance is evident with four players selected, reflecting their consistent performances throughout the season. The selection also recognizes the impact of returning from injury, with Feyi-Waboso's comeback proving particularly influential for Exeter's resurgence. Future Implications for England and Club Rugby This team of the season provides insight into potential England selections for upcoming international fixtures. Furbank's return to form strengthens the fullback position, while Searle's emergence at fly-half offers an alternative to established internationals. The selection of young talents like Caluori and Feyi-Waboso suggests a bright future for English rugby, with these players expected to develop further. For clubs, the recognition of players like Smith, who has been consistently selected despite modern rotation trends, highlights the value of reliability and durability in the modern game. Looking Ahead: Playoffs and International Rugby As the playoffs approach, this team of the season provides a benchmark against which performances will be measured. Several selected players will be crucial to their teams' playoff hopes, particularly Spencer for Bath and Hutchinson for Northampton. Looking further ahead, the Six Nations and Rugby World Cup preparations will benefit from the form shown by these players, with England likely to draw heavily from this pool of in-form performers. The balance of experience and youth in this selection suggests England will be competitive on multiple fronts in the coming season.

The Launch of The Guardian's Breakdown NewsletterThe Guardian has introduced its new Breakdown newsletter, representing a strategic move in the rapidly evolving digital media landscape. This new initiative aims to provide readers with curated, in-depth analysis and breaking news in a digestible format that caters to modern reading habits.Revolutionizing News DeliveryThe Breakdown newsletter leverages The Guardian's renowned journalistic expertise while adapting to contemporary digital consumption patterns. By focusing on concise yet comprehensive reporting, the publication aims to bridge the gap between traditional long-form journalism and the demand for quick, accessible information in today's fast-paced media environment.Industry Impact and Reader EngagementThis development signals a broader trend in the media industry toward specialized newsletter formats that foster deeper reader relationships. The Guardian's entry into this space with the Breakdown newsletter demonstrates how established media organizations are innovating to maintain relevance and audience engagement in an increasingly competitive digital ecosystem.The Future of Newsletters in MediaAs digital platforms continue to reshape how audiences consume information, newsletters have emerged as a powerful tool for media organizations to deliver direct, unfiltered content to their readers. The Guardian's Breakdown newsletter is positioned to become a key player in this growing segment, potentially setting new standards for quality digital journalism in newsletter format.

The Surging Cost of Protein: Global Meat Consumption TrendsThe global dietary landscape has undergone a seismic shift over the last six decades, with meat consumption soaring to unprecedented levels. A comprehensive UN report highlights that the average person now consumes six times more chicken than their grandparents did, signaling a fundamental change in global food systems that carries profound environmental consequences.The Evolution of Global Protein DietsData from the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) illustrates a dramatic divergence in dietary habits compared to 1961:Poultry: Supply rose from below 3kg per person to 17kg per person.Pork: Supply doubled to 15kg per person.Beef: Supply remained steady at 9kg per person.Total Meat: Global supply rose from 25kg to 47kg per person.Despite the rise in poultry and pork, beef remains the most polluting food source, yet its consumption has plateaued.Quantifying the Environmental TollAgriculture is now the second most polluting sector of the global economy, and its impact is accelerating. The FAO forecasts a 7.6% rise in planet-heating emissions over the next decade, with livestock accounting for 80% of this increase. Additionally, the report highlights inefficiency, noting that approximately 14% of meat and milk is lost during production or wasted after reaching consumers.Inequality and the Climate MandateThe report exposes a stark regional divide in access to animal products. While high-income nations maintain high consumption levels, low- and middle-income countries face affordability constraints. However, scientists criticize the FAO's approach, arguing that the report fails to recommend reduced meat consumption in wealthy nations, despite the IPCC identifying plant-rich diets as a critical tool for cutting emissions.Navigating the Trade-offs of Animal AgricultureLooking ahead, the focus is shifting toward technological solutions rather than consumption reduction. FAO officials argue that existing technologies and innovations can significantly reduce emissions from livestock production. The challenge for policymakers is balancing the nutritional benefits of animal-source foods with the urgent need to mitigate environmental damage.

The Plant-Based Paradox: Growing Alternatives vs. Meat Dominance Should I tuck into a juicy steak or stick a tofu patty in a bun and call it a burger? Twenty years ago, that question was largely seen as a moral dilemma influenced by grim conditions in factory farms and slaughterhouses. Back then, animal rights activists were the loudest campaigners arguing for people to abstain from meat. They had limited success because vegetarians and vegans made up less than 5% of the population in rich countries – and the best fake meats were bland replicas of real flesh. The word flexitarian had not yet made it into the dictionary. The debate has shifted sharply. The pollution from animal agriculture, which makes up 12-20% of planet-heating gas, is now part of public discourse around eating meat. A dramatic rise in rates of obesity and diseases linked to red meat have made health concerns part of individual decisions to eat less of it. Meanwhile, some plant-based alternatives have improved in texture and taste to the point where even meat lovers struggle to tell that they did not come from an animal. The Rise of Plant-Based Alternatives: Market Transformation In one sense, there is a powerful story of personal action to tell. The tiny market share of vegetarians in the early 2000s provided the demand that companies needed to invest in making substitutes taste better. These alternatives are now helping meat eaters reduce their intake – an easier sell than convincing people to give it up entirely. Add that to a growing awareness about the environmental harm that livestock cause, and a rise in public support for stopping climate breakdown, and you have the ingredients for what could be a major societal shift away from damaging levels of meat-eating. Early signs of the trend are visible in countries such as Germany, a sausage-hungry nation where about one in 10 people are vegan or vegetarian and a further 37% describe themselves as flexitarian. Plant-based alternatives have become so common that a third of the population buy them regularly, a government survey found in November, and discount supermarkets have launched their own brands. Village cafes in far-right regions seem perfectly happy to serve oat milk with coffee. The Meat Consumption Data: Global Trends and Statistics The broader picture, though, is still dominated by animals. Data in a new report from the UN's Food and Agriculture Organisation suggests the average person eats six times as much chicken and twice as much pork as their grandparents did, with global meat supply having risen fourfold in the last 60 years. Much of the growth has taken place in poor countries in which better access to meat has helped counter hunger and malnutrition. But consumption is projected to keep rising, albeit at a slower rate, even in rich countries, where climate scientists and doctors recommend cutting down. Livestock are expected to contribute the vast majority of the projected 7.6% rise in global agricultural emissions over the next decade, at a time when global emissions from other parts of the economy, such as electricity generation, are set to fall. Industry Resistance and Consumer Behavior Patterns It is too early to tell whether the backlash signals a reversal or stalling of efforts to shift diets toward plants. In the UK, YouGov data shows the proportion of people who are vegetarians and vegans peaked in 2021 at 10% and has since fallen to 7%, while survey data in many other European countries suggests little change or even continued growth. The meat industry, meanwhile, is working hard to safeguard its dominance. In March, EU politicians voted to ban meaty names such as steak and bacon for plant-based alternatives. In the US, the "Make America Healthy Again" campaign from the Trump administration has enthusiastically promoted eating more meat, including many cow products such as beef tallow, going against medical advice. The pro-meat movement may also benefit from the protein obsession that has gripped rich countries, as well as growing fears about the health risks of ultra-processed food. Doctors are sceptical of the former – protein deficiencies in rich countries are rare, unlike fibre deficiencies – while there is little evidence to say much about the health impacts of processed plant-based products compared with processed meat ones. Future Outlook: Environmental and Health Implications The calculation is made more concerning by the indirect health impacts of meat-heavy diets, which stretch well beyond the risks to the person following them. Knock-on effects from the livestock industry range from stronger extreme weather events caused by climate breakdown to antimicrobial resistance that spreads superbugs. On Wednesday, an FAO report found that the use of antibiotics on livestock would rise by nearly a third in the next 15 years without government intervention, with potentially disastrous consequences for protection from disease. Health research is full of contradictory studies, and some advocates of meat-free diets have made sweeping claims that are not supported by the science. But what is clear, at a population level, is that people in rich countries are eating more meat and fewer plants than doctors consider healthy. And at a global level, the environmental harm from animal agriculture is likely to rise at a time when the planet needs it to fall.

Breathing Earth's Ancient PastMore than 2bn years ago, during the Paleoproterozoic era, the Earth's atmosphere began to fill with free oxygen, enabling the rise of aerobic life and, ultimately, humans. This Great Oxidation Event is now being experienced firsthand by visitors to the Museum of Old and New Art (Mona) in Tasmania, where French-Swiss conceptual artist Julian Charrière has created an extraordinary installation that allows people to inhale oxygen that has been trapped in iron ore since that ancient time.When Charrière came up with the concept for what would become 'Breathe,' Mona's owner David Walsh not only approved the project but created a bespoke space for it, recognizing the unique intersection of science, art, and human experience that the installation represents.The Science Behind the Ancient OxygenThe installation is a marvel of scientific ingenuity and artistic vision. Charrière has sourced ancient iron ore from Australia's Pilbara region, which is processed daily in an on-site laboratory. The water is extracted from the ore using specialized machinery, then put through a Hofmann apparatus—a piece of scientific equipment that electrolyzes water—to liberate the trapped oxygen molecules.This pure, ancient oxygen is then released into a specially designed room where visitors can breathe it in, creating a direct connection to the beginning of life on Earth. As Charrière explains: 'I want people to get all the way back to the beginning of the earth. It's like a time machine.' The installation is designed as a solitary experience, with visitors accessing a vault-like corridor reminiscent of a mining drift, flanked by raw sandstone and lined with deep red rocks from the Pilbara.The Immense Timescale of the InstallationThe timescale involved in 'Breathe' is almost incomprehensible. The oxygen visitors inhale has been trapped in iron ore for over 2.4 billion years—since the Great Oxidation Event that transformed Earth's atmosphere and enabled the development of complex life forms. This installation literally connects each visitor to the primordial beginnings of our planet's atmosphere.As visitors walk through the tunnel, the temperature drops as they approach a high-ceilinged cylindrical room, an underground windowless tower where lighting depends on the amount of sun that can be reflected through a small opening above. Walking over tiles made of polished ancient tiger ore, they circle a floor-to-ceiling clear glass tube that houses the Hofmann apparatus. It is here, at a small opening, that visitors have their closest access to Charrière's pure, ancient oxygen.Redefining the Art-Science Experience'Breathe' represents a groundbreaking fusion of scientific methodology and artistic expression, challenging traditional boundaries between disciplines. The installation creates a profound personal experience that connects visitors not just to art, but to the very essence of life on Earth.What makes this installation particularly powerful is its claim that each visitor is the first human being to ever inhale that specific oxygen. As Charrière explains: 'You are breathing something which is so pure and has not been touched by any being before you... And the beauty of the piece is you will carry it until you die. You're going to become a small part of this installation and you become a big part of the great oxygen cycle, and you will only finally free this oxygen once... once you're going in the other world.'This installation is part of a broader trend in contemporary art that incorporates scientific processes and concepts, creating works that are both intellectually stimulating and viscerally impactful.The Future of Scientific Art Installations'Breathe' is opening alongside Charrière's major new exhibition 'Hard Core,' which showcases both the ambition and scientific curiosity of the Berlin-based artist. Individual elements of 'Hard Core' have been exhibited elsewhere in the world, including at the Venice Biennale, but the full exhibition finds its perfect home at Mona, with its exposed rock, industrial aesthetic, and fusion of science with art.As museums and galleries continue to seek innovative ways to engage audiences, installations like 'Breathe' point to a future where art and science are not just displayed together but are fundamentally intertwined in the creative process. This approach has the potential to create more immersive, educational, and thought-provoking experiences that challenge visitors to see the world—and their place in it—in new ways.Charrière's work demonstrates how art can make abstract scientific concepts tangible and personal, creating connections across vast stretches of time and space. As our understanding of the universe expands, art installations like 'Breathe' will play an increasingly important role in helping us process and relate to these profound concepts.

Study Reveals Wildfire Smoke Reverses Ozone Progress Since 2015The research team, led by Weizhi Deng and colleagues, analyzed satellite data, EPA monitoring records, and meteorological inputs with deep‑learning models. They discovered that the United States shifted from a decline of 0.65 ppb per year in ground‑level ozone before 2015 to an increase of 0.13 ppb per year afterward, effectively erasing a decade of air‑quality gains.Quantifying the Ozone Trend Reversal and Associated MortalityOzone trend change: from -0.65 ppb/yr to +0.13 ppb/yr after 2015.Estimated excess premature deaths: 318 deaths per year in the U.S. since 2013.Global projections: up to 1.4 million annual deaths worldwide by 2100 if wildfire emissions continue unchecked.U.S. forecast: > 70,000 premature deaths per year by 2050 at current fire rates.Implications for US Air Quality Policy and Public HealthThe findings expose a critical gap in current regulatory strategies that focus on reducing anthropogenic ozone precursors from cars, refineries, and industry. Even as those emissions fall, wildfire‑derived carbon monoxide and other gases fuel ozone formation, causing surface ozone levels to plateau. With EPA monitoring stations covering only about 2% of continental U.S. land, the study underscores the need for broader observation networks and integrated climate‑fire‑air‑quality policies.Future Outlook: Climate‑Driven Fires Threaten Air Quality GainsContinued global warming is expected to intensify fire frequency and severity, especially in the western United States and Canada. Mitigation measures—both climate‑change mitigation and proactive fire‑prevention—are essential to restore the downward trajectory of ozone and protect public health. Without decisive action, the United States risks losing decades of progress in air‑quality standards and facing escalating health costs linked to ozone and particulate‑matter exposure.

The Week's Ecological Highlights This week, the natural world provided a fascinating glimpse into animal behavior and breeding success. From the relaxed demeanor of coastal mammals to the delicate hatching of raptors and the genetic rarity of primate births, these events serve as vital indicators of ecosystem health. Three Stories of Nature's Resilience The Lazy Sea Lion: A coastal observation highlighted a sea lion exhibiting unusually relaxed behavior, suggesting a period of rest or a shift in hunting strategies amidst changing environmental conditions. Baby Ospreys: The hatching of baby ospreys marks a successful breeding season for these raptors, signaling a healthy population in their chosen nesting grounds. Rare Lemur Quads: The birth of four lemur quadruplets is a statistically significant event, as multi-births are uncommon in this species, pointing to a successful breeding cycle. Significance of Rare Sightings The observation of rare lemur quadruplets is particularly noteworthy for conservationists. Typically, lemur births are singletons or twins; a litter of four represents a significant reproductive success. This event provides critical data for researchers studying primate population dynamics and genetic diversity. Implications for Conservation Efforts These sightings, widely reported by outlets like The Guardian, reinforce the importance of habitat preservation. The successful nesting of ospreys and the healthy birth rates of lemurs suggest that current conservation measures are effective in maintaining biodiversity. These moments of human-wildlife coexistence remind us of the fragility and resilience of the natural world. Outlook for Wildlife Monitoring As technology advances, the frequency of such detailed wildlife observations is expected to increase. We can predict a rise in citizen science initiatives and remote monitoring, allowing for more frequent documentation of rare events like lemur quadruplets and unique behavioral shifts in species like the sea lion.

Lead: Prices Decline as Geopolitical Tensions Hit AffordabilityUK house prices fell unexpectedly in May, marking the third straight monthly decline. The dip reflects higher mortgage costs driven by the war in Iran, which is stretching buyer budgets and dampening demand.War‑Driven Mortgage Pressure Triggers Third Consecutive Monthly DropAmanda Bryden, head of mortgages at Halifax, said property trends continue to mirror uncertainty from Middle‑East developments. Even after recent mortgage‑rate cuts, inflation expectations keep borrowing costs above early‑year levels, limiting affordability.Data Snapshot: Price, Rate and Inflation FiguresAverage UK home price: £298,806 in May (‑0.1% vs. April).Annual price growth: 0.5% (up from 0.4% in April, below the 1% forecast).Two‑year fixed mortgage rate: 5.66% (up from 4.83% in early March).Five‑year fixed mortgage rate: 5.62% (up from 4.95%).UK inflation (April): 2.8%, the lowest in over a year.Energy‑price‑cap increase expected in July: 13% to £1,850 per year.Impact: A Buyers’ Market Tempered by First‑Time Buyer CautionOnTheMarket president Jason Tebb described the current environment as “the strongest buyers’ market we have seen in many years,” with ample stock and steadier prices. However, Halifax notes that activity among first‑time buyers is “more subdued,” suggesting lingering affordability concerns.Economists warn that the upcoming rise in the household energy price cap could push inflation higher, potentially prompting further mortgage‑rate adjustments.Outlook: Prices Likely to Hold Steady but Vulnerable to Cost PressuresHalifax expects house prices to remain “broadly stable” in the near term, provided mortgage rates do not climb sharply. Yet, the combination of higher energy costs, possible inflation upticks, and persistent geopolitical uncertainty means the market could face renewed downward pressure later in the year.