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The LeadRhetoric surrounding Sudan's ongoing war has escalated with both sides indicating preparedness for a decade-long conflict, with devastating humanitarian and economic consequences for the nation.Commanders' War DeclarationsRapid Support Forces (RSF) commander Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo, known as "Hemedti," recently announced that his soldiers were prepared to keep fighting "until 2040 if necessary." His remarks came days after his rival and Sudan's army chief Abdel Fattah al-Burhan vowed to keep fighting until Sudan was "cleansed" of the RSF and estimated the war could last until 2033.Both sides increasingly appear to view the war as a long-term struggle for survival and control of Sudan, with UNDP Sudan Representative Luca Renda cautioning that "the longer the war continues, the greater the misery," describing the conflict as "the economics of suffering."Humanitarian CatastropheAccording to a joint report by the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) and Institute for Security Studies, more than 150,000 people have been killed since fighting began in 2023. Nearly 15 million people have been displaced, up to 24 million face food shortages and at least 19 million lack access to safe drinking water and sanitation.The report warns that Sudan's state institutions are on the verge of total collapse, with governance paralysed, healthcare and education systems shattered, markets destroyed, and production in agriculture, manufacturing and services severely weakened.Economic DevastationThe report projects that under a "Protracted Conflict" scenario with the war lasting until 2030, Sudan's GDP in 2043 would be US$34.5 billion lower than it would be with no war, GDP per capita would fall by roughly $1,700, while more than 60% of the population would be living in extreme poverty."A conflict lasting to 2030 would push an additional 34 million people into extreme poverty – that is the entire population of Ghana," Renda said. He warned that a $1,700 fall in per capita income in Sudan "is the difference between being a family that can eat and one that can't, between being a child who goes to school and one who goes to work."Despite Sudan's vast natural resources – including oil, gold and some of Africa's most fertile agricultural land – the war has crippled the infrastructure needed to sustain the economy. "Natural resources don't feed people on their own," Renda said, "and every year of war moves those resources further out of reach".Healthcare System CollapseHealthcare indicators point to an even more severe long-term crisis. Since the war began, an estimated 70–80 percent of health facilities in conflict zones have become non-functional because of targeted attacks and looting.At least 145 verified attacks on healthcare facilities and personnel have been documented, leaving about 65 percent of Sudan's population without adequate access to medical care. In Khartoum, only one in four hospitals remains operational in the capital.The report finds that Sudan was already seeing deaths increasing from non-communicable diseases, such as heart disease and stroke before the war. But the situation worsened after fighting escalated, with conflict-related injuries surging sharply, with more than 61,000 deaths estimated between April 2023 and June 2024 alone.Infant mortality is projected to worsen dramatically, with Sudan forecast to become one of the worst-performing low-income countries in Africa by 2043.Athar Abdalla Mohamed, a doctor and community medicine resident at the Sudan Medical Specialisation Board (SMSB), warned that the consequences of collapsing healthcare systems may continue for years after the war. "A child missing a vaccination today may become part of a preventable epidemic years later," she said.Education Crisis and Displacement"Nineteen million school-aged children have had their education disrupted, and only one in five schools is currently open," Renda said. "We are talking about a lost generation."He also warned that displacement is accelerating state collapse, as Sudan endures one of the world's worst displacement crises. "When doctors flee, clinics close. When teachers leave, schools shut," Renda explains. "Displacement doesn't just uproot people – it destroys communities and the fabric of the state, making it harder and harder to rebuild."Path to RecoveryRenda suggests that recovery remains possible if the war ends and reforms are implemented. Under a "Sudan Rising" scenario built around peace, governance reforms and economic reconstruction, Sudan's GDP could reach US$58.2 billion by 2043 – nearly US$20 billion higher than under current trends.Average economic growth could accelerate to five percent, while 17.3 million people could be lifted out of extreme poverty. "Our modelling shows what would be possible with peace this year and serious investment," Renda said. "That is a generation of work, but also a reason for hope and an irrefutable argument for doing everything possible to end the war now."Despite the scale of destruction, Dr Athar is optimistic that ongoing recovery efforts can lay the foundations for rebuilding Sudan. "I hope the ongoing efforts succeed in restoring hope, preserving what remains and helping build sustainable growth," she said.However, the trajectory appears to be moving in the opposite direction, with the doctor warning that Sudan is approaching a critical point. "Sudan cannot continue at this rate," she said. "The long term outcome depends greatly on whether efforts are made now to preserve essential services and invest in recovery before the damage becomes irreversible."Future OutlookWith both Hemedti and Burhan publicly signalling readiness for years – even decades – of war, Sudan risks becoming trapped in a cycle of state collapse, economic ruin and humanitarian devastation that could define an entire generation.

The LeadCasemiro's Manchester United career has taken a dramatic turn from potential departure to revered figure, with the Brazilian midfielder set to exit Old Trafford at the end of the season on his own terms. After being advised by pundit Jamie Carragher to 'leave the football before the football leaves you,' the 34-year-old has responded with one of his most productive seasons, earning a place back in the Brazil national team and the adoration of supporters who now plead with him to stay.The Career RevivalJust two years after Carragher's damning assessment and amid reports that Manchester United's co-owner Sir Jim Ratcliffe viewed his recruitment as questionable, Casemiro has undergone a remarkable transformation. Under manager Ruben Amorim, the five-time Champions League winner has found new life, particularly in the Europa League campaign where he started all matches from the last-16 onward. Amorim himself admitted he initially got it wrong about the veteran midfielder, stating: 'In the beginning he was behind every midfielder, even Toby [Collyer], but he fought and he worked, and now he is back in the national team.'The Statistical ResurgenceCasemiro's current season statistics tell a compelling story of rejuvenation. He has scored nine goals (second only to Benjamin Sesko at Manchester United), provided two assists, and played 2,417 minutes across 31 starts from 32 appearances. Remarkably, he has finished 13 games, including seven of the past nine. This production from a defensive midfielder in his mid-30s is exceptional, especially considering his downturn in form during the 2024-25 season when he was an unused substitute for five consecutive league matches.The Impact AnalysisCasemiro's revival has significant implications for both Manchester United and veteran players across football. His success under Michael Carrick, who played in the exact same role for United until his late 30s, demonstrates the importance of having a manager who understands and values experience. Carrick's approach—trusting experienced players to know themselves and speaking to them on a level of understanding—has clearly benefited Casemiro. This relationship has allowed the Brazilian to maximize his strengths without overexerting himself physically, a crucial factor for players in their mid-30s competing in the relentless Premier League environment.The Future OutlookDespite pleas from supporters to extend his stay, Casemiro remains firm on his decision to leave Manchester United at the end of the current campaign. This departure, on his own terms, represents a strategic career move to ensure he 'leaves football before it leaves him.' The 34-year-old is expected to continue his career at another elite level, possibly in Major League Soccer or Saudi Arabia, rather than risk the performance decline that has affected other veteran players like Mohamed Salah. His case may serve as a blueprint for how aging players can plan their exits while still performing at a high level, maintaining their dignity and value rather than overstaying their welcome.

The Stakes at Old Trafford: A Champions League Qualification BattleManchester United sit third in the table, three points ahead of Liverpool, and need just two more points to lock in a top‑five finish. The match on Sunday, May 3 at 3:30pm GMT could be the decisive step toward Europe’s elite competition.Match Preview: United’s Momentum Under Caretaker Michael CarrickSince taking over after Ruben Amorim was dismissed, caretaker manager Michael Carrick has overseen a marked improvement, lifting United from a 15th‑place finish last season to a genuine European challenger. Carrick describes the fixture as a “standout” rivalry, emphasizing the club’s recent consistency and the importance of the result for Champions League qualification.Key Numbers Shaping the ContestCurrent league positions: United 3rd (68 points), Liverpool 4th (65 points)Head‑to‑head record: 243 meetings – United 92 wins, Liverpool 82 wins, 71 drawsRecent form: United unbeaten in last 5 league games; Liverpool on a three‑match winning streakIndividual milestones: Bruno Fernandes one assist away from the 20‑assist single‑season recordStrategic Implications for Both ClubsFor United, a win would cement a top‑five finish and provide a psychological edge heading into the season’s final stretch. For Liverpool, missing Mohamed Salah due to a hamstring injury adds pressure to maintain momentum without their talisman, while manager Arne Slot stresses the game’s importance for securing the highest possible league position.Projected Line‑ups and Possible OutcomesUnited (predicted XI): Lammens; Dalot, Maguire, Heaven, Shaw; Casemiro, Mainoo; Mbeumo, Fernandes, Cunha; Sesko.Liverpool (predicted XI): Woodman; Jones, Konate, Van Dijk, Robertson; Gravenberch, Mac Allister; Szoboszlai, Wirtz, Gakpo; Isak.Analysts expect a tightly contested match, with United’s home advantage and recent defensive solidity potentially offset by Liverpool’s attacking depth despite Salah’s absence. A draw would keep both clubs within striking distance of the Champions League spots, while a win for either side could lock in the final European berth.

The Future of Mohamed Salah at Liverpool Liverpool manager Arne Slot said Mohamed Salah “deserves a big send-off” as he confirmed he expected the departing superstar to return from injury before the end of the season. Injury Update and Return to Action The Egypt forward, who will leave Anfield at the end of the campaign, was forced off in last weekend’s 3-1 win at home to Crystal Palace, prompting fears he may have played his final game for the Reds. Liverpool confirmed on Wednesday that Salah, 33, had suffered a “minor muscle injury” and was expected to be able to return to action before the campaign comes to an end. The Impact of Salah's Departure Salah has scored 257 goals in 440 appearances since his arrival at Anfield in 2017, behind only Ian Rush and Roger Hunt in Liverpool’s list of leading goal scorers. Clubs in the Saudi Pro League and the Major League ⁠Soccer (MLS) in the United States have been linked with moves for Salah. The Send-off and Future Outlook “If there’s ever a player who deserves to get a big send-off, it’s definitely Mo,” Slot said. Liverpool have four games remaining, starting with their trip to face Manchester United on Sunday.

The Departure of Liverpool's Legends Liverpool is on the cusp of a significant transition as several legendary players are set to leave the club. The departures of Mohamed Salah and Andy Robertson at the end of this season, coupled with Trent Alexander-Arnold's move to Real Madrid last summer, mark the end of an era for the Reds. The Impact of Experienced Players Leaving The players leaving are not just any ordinary players; they are highly experienced and have been instrumental in Liverpool's success over the years. Virgil van Dijk, Alisson, Robertson, and Salah have all been part of Liverpool's top-performing squad, contributing significantly to their Premier League title win five years ago and last season's success. The Data Analysis Salah (313) and Robertson (273) are fifth and seventh, respectively, for most Premier League appearances for Liverpool. Robertson and Salah have played 257 Premier League games together; only 15 duos have played together more in Premier League history. The Impact Analysis The departure of these experienced players will undoubtedly have a significant impact on the team's dynamics. Their experience of playing alongside one another is invaluable, and building up that rapport matters. New players will need to step up and form strong connections with the remaining team members. The Prediction Liverpool has already started rebuilding with the arrival of Florian Wirtz, Alexander Isak, and Milos Kerkez last summer. While it's a challenging task to replace the departing legends, these new players have shown glimpses of their potential. The team's ability to adapt and form a cohesive unit will be crucial in determining their success in the upcoming seasons.

The Surge in Oil Prices Oil prices soared more than 6 percent on worries about prolonged supply disruption in the Strait of Hormuz and fears of a lengthy US siege of Iranian ports, settling at their highest levels in weeks. Market Reaction and Price Increases US crude settled up 6.95 percent at $106.88 per barrel on Wednesday, and Brent crude, the international benchmark, was up 6.08 percent, or $6.77, at $118.03 after earlier touching its highest price since June 2022. Brent crude futures for June continued to rise on Thursday to $119.94 per barrel as of 00:57 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate futures were at $107.51. The Impact of the US-Iran Conflict Oil prices continue to surge with no resolution in sight to the two-month-long US-Israel war on Iran, and as supplies of fuel remain snarled in the Strait of Hormuz, where Iranian forces have imposed a blockade on the transit of vessels and the US is besieging Iranian ports and shipping. US Response and Potential Mitigation Measures A White House official said on Wednesday that US President Donald Trump had asked US oil companies about ways to mitigate the impact of a potentially months-long siege of Iranian ports. The president and the oil executives “discussed the steps President Trump has taken to ⁠alleviate global oil markets and steps we could take to continue the current blockade for months if needed and minimize impact on American consumers,” the White House official said. Regional Impact and Economic Concerns “Prospects for any near-term resolution to the Iran conflict or a reopening of the Strait of Hormuz remain dim,” IG market analyst Tony Sycamore said in a note on the current situation. Al Jazeera’s Barnaby Lo, reporting from Seoul, South Korea, said almost the entire Asia Pacific region is dependent on oil imports and much of those supplies come from the Middle East. “So with the price of Brent crude touching $120 a barrel, there is no doubt that is going to have a huge impact on the region. The Asian Development Bank already cutting its growth forecast for the region from 5.1 percent to 4.7 percent this year,” Lo said. UAE's OPEC Exit and Market Implications President Trump on Wednesday also welcomed the announced withdrawal of the United Arab Emirates (UAE) from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), saying, “I think it’s great”. The UAE’s President Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan was “very smart” and probably wanted to go his “own way”, Trump said. “I think ultimately it’s a good thing for getting the price of gas down, getting oil down, getting everything down,” Trump added.

Lead: In a stark warning to Moscow, the Tuareg‑led Azawad Liberation Front told French officials in Paris that its primary objective is the permanent withdrawal of Russian mercenaries supporting Mali’s military junta. The statement follows a multi‑city assault that killed Defence Minister Sadio Camara and saw rebels seize key northern towns. The Rebels’ Call for a Permanent Russian Exit Spokesperson Mohamed Elmaouloud Ramadane of the FLA told AFP that the movement’s “objective” is for Russia’s Africa Corps to “withdraw permanently” from Mali. He framed the demand as a response to the junta’s reliance on Russian forces, which he said “supported people who committed serious crimes and massacres.” The rebels emphasized that their grievance is with the regime in Bamako, not with any foreign nation. Casualties and Territorial Shifts Since the Saturday Offensive Defence Minister Sadio Camara killed by a car‑bomb in Kati. Rebel alliance (FLA, JNIM, Fulani and Arab groups) captured Kidal, Sevare, and reported advances toward Gao, Timbuktu and Menaka. Russian fighters were observed leaving Kidal in trucks after a negotiated corridor to Anefis. Malian forces reclaimed Menaka and reported presence in Mopti and Gao. Regional Power Dynamics: France, Algeria, and the Sahel The appeal to France underscores the lingering influence of the former colonial power, which has urged its citizens to evacuate Mali. Algeria’s mediation reportedly facilitated the Russian pull‑out from Kidal, highlighting its role as a regional broker. Meanwhile, the continued presence of Russian mercenaries keeps the Sahel’s security calculus volatile, affecting EU and UN counter‑terrorism initiatives. What the Next Weeks Could Hold for Mali’s Security Landscape If the rebels maintain momentum, they may consolidate control over northern hubs and impose a “moderate form of Sharia law” as outlined by the FLA. A failure to secure a Russian exit could provoke further escalation, prompting renewed French or UN intervention. Analysts anticipate that the junta’s next move will be a decisive military push to “neutralise” armed groups, while diplomatic pressure on Moscow may intensify through Algeria and Western partners.

The Lead Mohamed Salah is expected to play again for Liverpool before the end of his farewell season after being diagnosed with a minor muscle injury. The 33-year-old Egypt international was substituted in the 59th minute of Liverpool's 3-1 win over Crystal Palace on Saturday with a hamstring problem. The Injury Details Salah's reaction at the time – applauding all four sides of Anfield before heading straight down the tunnel – raised concerns that he was facing a lengthy spell on the sidelines and might have played his final game for the club. Liverpool have allayed those fears, however, in a statement that confirmed: "Mohamed Salah is expected to be available to play again before the end of this season." The statement added: "The issue that caused his withdrawal has now been confirmed as a minor muscle injury. It is, however, anticipated Salah will return to action ahead of 2025-26's conclusion and his departure from the Reds this summer." The Season Impact Arne Slot's side have only four games remaining this season – against Manchester United, Chelsea, Aston Villa and Brentford – as they attempt to secure qualification for next season's Champions League. No timeframe has been placed on Salah's absence but he appears certain to miss Sunday's visit to Old Trafford and Chelsea's trip to Anfield on 9 May. The Farewell Context The Liverpool great announced last month that he would be leaving the club after nine years at the end of the season despite having 12 months remaining on his contract. There will be an opportunity for Salah to end his illustrious Liverpool career with a home game against Brentford on the final day of the season.

The Lead Police in the Maldives have raided the offices of a critical news outlet and barred its editors from leaving the country after it published a documentary alleging an affair between President Mohamed Muizzu and a former aide. The government defended the operation as lawful, while press freedom advocates condemned it as an unprecedented attack on media freedom in the country. The Government's Response to Allegations The government on Tuesday defended the operation against Adhadhu Online as a lawful response to what Muizzu has described as "baseless lies." Police were "right to investigate and raid the news outlet over false [adultery] allegations against the President," Minister of Homeland Security Ali Ihusaan said in a post on X. "Press freedom is guaranteed, but not a free pass to destroy reputations with lies," he added. The Documentary and Its Timing The documentary, titled "Aisha" and posted on Adhadhu's X and Facebook accounts on March 28, featured an anonymized interview with a woman who claimed she had had a sexual relationship with Muizzu. The woman, described as a 22-year-old single mother, said the affair took place last year, shortly after she joined the President's Office as an administrator. Muizzu is 47, married, and a father of three. The documentary was released days before a constitutional referendum that delivered a stinging midterm rebuke to Muizzu, with 69 percent of voters rejecting a government proposal to align presidential and parliamentary election cycles. Unprecedented Legal Actions The raid on Adhadhu – aligned with the opposition Maldivian Democratic Party – comes amid mounting concerns over press freedom in the Maldives. The warrant accused the outlet and its staff of "qazf" or the false accusation of adultery or unlawful sexual intercourse. The offence carries a prison term of one year and seven months, and can also include 80 lashes. Adhadhu CEO Hussain Fiyaz Moosa, who was slapped with a travel ban over the documentary, condemned the police's actions as an attack on press freedom. "This is being done by the police, with the influence of the government, on the government's order, to directly stop our work," he told Al Jazeera. Regional and International Reactions The Committee to Protect Journalists (CPJ) on Tuesday called on the government to return the seized equipment and lift the travel bans. "The raid on Adhadhu and subsequent travel bans are an attempt to criminalize investigative journalism under the guise of religious and national interests," said CPJ's Asia-Pacific Program Coordinator Kunal Majumder. "Using religious laws to bypass civil media regulations sets a chilling precedent. Authorities must allow the press to hold government offices accountable." The Maldives Journalists Association also expressed alarm, stating that "The government is crossing a clear red line" and demanding "an immediate end to the intimidation of journalists and the suppression of press freedom." Future Implications for Media Freedom The raid on Adhadhu was not the first on Maldivian newsrooms, but the criminal use of "qazf" against a news outlet and the wholesale seizure of journalists' computers and storage devices are both unprecedented. These actions signal a concerning trend of using legal frameworks to suppress critical reporting in the Maldives. As the country continues to navigate its democratic institutions, the treatment of media outlets and journalists will likely remain a contentious issue, with potential implications for the nation's international reputation and democratic development.