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The conflict in the Middle East is expected to have a significant impact on the UK's economy, with the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) warning of rising inflation and downgrading the UK's growth forecast to 0.7% this year.The OECD's analysis suggests that the UK economy will grow by just 0.7% this year, compared to its last forecast of 1.2% for 2026. This downgrade is attributed to a weakening of the UK jobs market and a contraction in business investment towards the end of 2025.The UK's economy is expected to suffer higher inflation than previously expected, with the OECD citing the country's dependence on international trade and imports of fuel as a major factor. In contrast, France, Germany, and Italy are expected to suffer a more modest hit to growth of 0.2 percentage points.The OECD's chief economist noted that the evolving conflict in the Middle East will test the resilience of the global economy, which is expected to grow at an average rate of 2.9% this year. However, the organization warned of a significant downside risk to the outlook, citing persistent disruptions to exports from the Middle East and potential repricing in financial markets.UK Chancellor Rachel Reeves responded to the OECD's warning, stating that the government plans to take steps to build a stronger, more secure economy, including handing more powers to regional mayors, embracing AI and innovation, and establishing a closer relationship with the EU.

The ongoing energy crisis in Britain has exposed the consequences of successive governments' reliance on short-term, vote-winning policies, leaving the country vulnerable to strategic coercion, particularly in the energy sector. Britain has significant potential in tidal stream energy, with about 50% of Europe's tidal resources available within its territorial waters. This energy source is predictable, inexhaustible, and can be operational within three years of consent, independent of global energy prices and weather variability. Despite its potential, government support for tidal stream energy remains a tiny fraction of that provided to offshore wind, well under 1%. With stronger support, its costs could fall to parity with wind within five years. Operational projects in Scotland have already generated more than 70 GWh, while costs are falling by around 17% a year. The constraint on tidal stream energy is not technical, but political short-termism. It is time for the government to act and provide stronger support for this industry. Additionally, the article suggests that rooftop solar and battery storage can be encouraged to provide more renewables without blighting the countryside. An obligation can be put on energy companies to encourage their customers to install solar, and customers can be encouraged to include battery storage with the solar panels. Over time, this can lead to grid-level storage hosted over the whole grid, providing resilience for the energy companies and a way for renewables to provide many of the UK's energy needs.

The UK government has unveiled a new policy to prioritise British suppliers for public contracts in key sectors deemed vital to national security. Shipbuilding, steel, AI, and energy infrastructure will be the primary areas where British suppliers will be given preference. Under the new guidance, departments will be required to use British steel or justify sourcing it from overseas. This move is part of a broader effort to bolster national security and economic resilience, particularly in the face of global supply chain disruptions highlighted by the war in the Gulf. A Public Interest Test will also be introduced, obliging departments to assess whether outsourced service contracts over £1m could be delivered more effectively in-house. This test is expected to cover more than 95% of central government contracts by value. Chris Ward, a Cabinet Office minister, emphasised that these reforms aim to support British jobs, protect national security, and grow the economy. The policies are part of the National Security Strategy, which seeks to align national security with economic growth and build the resilience of British supply chains. While the UK is still subject to international obligations such as the Agreement on Government Procurement (GPA) – World Trade Organisation (WTO) rules, national security exemptions are being utilised to implement these new rules. Larger departments spending over £100m annually will need to publish an “insourcing” strategy, outlining plans to bring services back in-house where they offer better value. The government will also prioritise community impact in buying decisions, encouraging firms to demonstrate how their bids will create local jobs and apprenticeships. Additionally, a new suite of AI tools has been developed to streamline the commercial process, making it simpler, faster, and fairer for small businesses and charities to bid for work.

Wales' dreams of qualifying for the 2026 World Cup were cruelly extinguished in a penalty shootout against Bosnia and Herzegovina, with the visitors prevailing on spot-kicks after a 1-1 draw in an electrifying encounter at the Cardiff City Stadium.The match saw Wales dominate possession and create numerous chances, with Daniel James scoring a stunning goal seven minutes into the second half. However, Edin Dzeko's header in the 65th minute forced the game into extra time, where neither team could find a winner.The game ultimately went to penalties, where Bosnia and Herzegovina goalkeeper Nikola Vasilj made a crucial save from Neco Williams to seal the win. The result marks a devastating blow to Wales' World Cup aspirations and a significant upset given their strong performance throughout the match.Daniel James's goal had given Wales a 1-0 lead, but Dzeko's equalizer ensured Bosnia and Herzegovina stayed in the game. The visitors' resilience and determination ultimately paid off as they secured a spot in the next round of the playoffs.

The deadly conflict in Iran has precipitated what the International Energy Agency describes as the worst oil crisis in history, creating a complex situation for global clean energy efforts. While climate advocates are calling for accelerated transition away from fossil fuels, the war simultaneously presents both opportunities and significant challenges for renewable energy development.US-Israeli strikes on Iran have critically disrupted supply routes through the Strait of Hormuz, a maritime channel through which 20% of global oil flows. The conflict has also seen direct attacks on fossil fuel infrastructure by all parties involved, creating additional market shocks and uncertainty.Interestingly, reduced reliance on oil and gas is proving beneficial for some regions navigating the ongoing fuel crisis. As Jan Rosenow, a professor of energy at Oxford University, explains: Electricity generated from wind and solar is largely insulated from fossil fuel price volatility – once built, the fuel is free.Countries with substantial renewable energy investments are demonstrating greater resilience. Spain and Portugal have witnessed electricity prices decline in recent weeks, while Pakistan has experienced a surge in rooftop solar installations over the past five years, helping the nation weather oil and gas market disruptions.The electric vehicle revolution is also providing some economies with protection against gasoline price increases. In China, more than 50% of all new cars sold are electric, while in Nepal, that figure reaches an impressive 70%.However, the war is creating near-term challenges that could impede clean energy growth. The conflict has disrupted transport routes for metals essential in solar panel construction, particularly aluminum. The Middle East accounts for approximately 9% of global aluminum production, and regional producers have begun scaling back operations amid the hostilities.Furthermore, the inflationary pressures stemming from the conflict pose significant hurdles for renewable energy projects, which require substantial upfront investment for construction, equipment, and installation.Paradoxically, the war and resulting energy shocks have provided a short-term boon for fossil fuels, including coal. Many Asian countries heavily reliant on imported liquefied natural gas (LNG) are burning more coal to meet energy demand as LNG supplies through the Strait of Hormuz become constrained.The conflict has also incentivized increased oil and gas drilling and exploration, as countries scramble to replace disrupted LNG supplies and higher prices make previously unviable projects economically viable. US company Venture Global recently announced a new five-year contract to supply LNG, while Canadian energy company TC Energy indicated that Iran war disruptions are increasing the likelihood of expanding a massive LNG export facility.The Trump administration has further incentivized oil expansion, recently announcing plans to pay a French company $1 billion to abandon offshore wind farm projects in favor of fossil fuel initiatives.Experts propose various policy responses to encourage the green transition during this crisis. Rosenow advocates for tax reform to reduce the disproportionate burden on electricity compared to gas. Professor Gregor Semieniuk suggests imposing windfall taxes on oil and gas companies during the war, while Lauren Pagel of Earthworks calls for ending fossil fuel subsidies and making polluters pay for their environmental impact.Despite the current challenges, Kingsmill Bond, a strategist for the energy thinktank Ember, maintains that this crisis could ultimately accelerate the clean energy transition: This is the first oil shock in history where oil faces a superior alternative. Solar, wind and EV are cheaper, local, faster to deploy, and huge.

Retailer Next has reported a £1.16bn pre-tax profit for the full year, with the Middle East conflict expected to add only £15m to fuel and air freight costs. This amount, which assumes a three-month disruption, is considered minimal and can be offset by savings elsewhere.Chief Executive Simon Wolfson added £8m to this year's profit forecast as a mechanical read-through from last year's outcome, indicating that trading had been “encouraging” in the UK and “strong” overseas until late February.The main concern for Next is the potential long-term impact of the conflict on supply chain resilience, freight rates, factory gate prices, and consumer demand. Wolfson emphasized that the company has no insight into the duration and implications of the conflict, stating, “As yet, we have no feel for the medium-term effects”.If higher costs persist, Next may put up prices, but this remains “a contingency, not a plan”. The company will provide a clearer view in its first-quarter update in May.Wolfson also offered nuanced insights, suggesting that consumer confidence may not have collapsed as much as some, like the British Retail Consortium, have claimed. He noted that UK consumers tend to react to actual higher prices, not the threat of them.Additionally, Next's spring-summer ranges are already in stores, online, and warehouses, minimizing the immediate need for adjustments. Any increases in fabric costs or production disruptions in Asian factories would mostly affect autumn-winter ranges.The stock market responded positively, with Next's shares rising 5% to £125.40. This resilience could indicate potential for a profit upgrade in May if the £15m in extra costs turns out to be the worst of it.However, no retailer will be immune if the energy price shock persists and the OECD's prediction of UK economic growth of just 0.7% this year materializes.

The film 'DJ Ahmet' tells the story of a 15-year-old boy from an isolated farming community in North Macedonia who becomes an unlikely star on TikTok after a video of him chasing his sheep through an illegal rave goes viral. The movie, directed by Georgi M Unkovski, is a charming coming-of-age tale that tackles serious issues with kindness and a sunny worldview.The protagonist, Ahmet, played by Arif Jakup, is a teenager who had to quit school to care for his sheep. His life is tough, but he finds solace in music and becomes a DJ to impress his neighbor, Aya, played by Dora Akan Zlatanova. The film's cast, including non-professional actors, deliver natural and lovely performances.The movie explores themes of patriarchal oppression and the challenges faced by young people in conservative communities. However, it approaches these issues with generosity and sensitivity, offering a hopeful and uplifting message. The film's tone is warm and moving, with a standout moment featuring the imam at the local mosque.'DJ Ahmet' is set to release in UK and Irish cinemas from March 27, and is a must-watch for fans of coming-of-age stories and charming, feel-good cinema.

The UK government has announced a significant intervention in the country's industrial sector, investing £100m to reopen a carbon dioxide plant on Teesside. The Ensus plant, which was mothballed in September, will restart operations for an initial three-month period, with hopes that it could then remain open indefinitely.The decision to reopen the plant comes amid concerns that the war in Iran could trigger shortages of CO2, a gas that has various uses ranging from carbonating drinks and keeping food fresh to medical procedures and the sedating of animals for slaughter. The plant's reopening is expected to bolster production of CO2 and help ensure the resilience of supply chains.The Business Secretary, Peter Kyle, approved the reopening of the plant, stating that the government would 'always do what's needed to ensure resilience and protect British businesses from the worst impacts of global uncertainty.' The move is part of wider government efforts to ensure the UK maintains access to critical industrial resources during global supply shocks.The UK's food and drink industry faced a CO2 crisis in 2021, after the easing of pandemic restrictions sent the price of wholesale gas soaring, pushing up the manufacturing costs of fertiliser production, which also produces the gas as a byproduct. The crisis resulted in the government providing a temporary bailout to the American company CF Fertilisers to help restart CO2 production at its Teesside factory.The Ensus plant has had operations on Teesside since 2010, using distillation and fermentation to convert wheat into bioethanol. CO2 is a byproduct of this process, as well as high-protein animal feed. The company, which is headquartered in Middlesbrough, employs about 100 people.

UK clothing and homeware retailer Next has issued a warning that the ongoing conflict in the Middle East could lead to increased costs and potential price hikes. The company expects the conflict to add £15m to its costs over the next three months.Next stated that it is currently offsetting additional costs on fuel and air freight with savings elsewhere, and it does not expect any impact on profits for the year ahead. However, if the conflict persists beyond three months, prices will have to go up.The company has upped its profit guidance by £8m to £1.2bn for the year to January 2027, following better-than-expected sales in January. Next also noted that sales in the Middle East, which account for 6% of group turnover, could be adversely affected until the summer.Next's pre-tax profits rose 14.5% to £1.16bn in the year to January, with sales increasing by almost 11% to £7bn. The company is focused on cutting costs, including the increased use of AI in warehouse operations to improve efficiency.The retailer has increased its stock holdings by 6% to protect against potential supply chain delays. Next also noted that the conflict's impact on supply chain resilience, freight rates, factory gate prices, and consumer demand is uncertain and will depend on the conflict's duration and its impact on the world's energy infrastructure.