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Renewed Diplomatic Push in TehranThe latest wave of back‑channel diplomacy centers on Mohsin Naqvi's visit to Tehran, where he met Iranian Interior Minister Eskandar Momeni. While details remain confidential, the trip marks the second high‑level Pakistani engagement in less than a week, suggesting a concerted effort to narrow the gaps that have stalled a durable US‑Iran peace settlement.Pakistani Mediation Gains Traction Amid Ongoing HostilitiesKey developments surrounding the visit include:Saudi Arabia reported intercepting three drones on the day after a drone strike targeted the UAE’s Barakah Nuclear Energy Plant.The Iranian IRGC coordinated the transit of 26 vessels through the Strait of Hormuz in the past 24 hours, keeping a critical oil route partially open.Iran is reviewing a new US peace proposal conveyed via Pakistan, while Tehran has submitted a revised 14‑point peace plan to end the war.Quantifying the Regional Stakes: Drones, Vessels, and Energy FlowNumbers underscore the fragility of the situation:20% of the world’s oil and LNG supplies normally pass through the Strait of Hormuz, making any disruption a global market concern.Three drones intercepted by Saudi forces highlight the risk of rapid escalation.The coordinated movement of 26 vessels shows limited but ongoing commercial activity despite diplomatic deadlock.Implications for Gulf Stability and Global Energy MarketsThe convergence of diplomatic talks and security incidents creates a volatile mix:Continued US‑Iran disagreement over Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile and a proposed 20‑year moratorium threatens non‑proliferation goals.Iran’s selective control of Strait of Hormuz traffic, coupled with US threats of a naval blockade, raises the specter of supply shocks.China’s recent hosting of Russian President Vladimir Putin and upcoming meetings with Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif suggest a broader geopolitical contest that could influence mediation outcomes.Outlook: Potential Paths for a US‑Iran Settlement and Regional RealignmentAnalysts see three plausible trajectories:Breakthrough Scenario: Pakistan’s intensified shuttle diplomacy, backed by limited Chinese facilitation, yields a revised framework that addresses uranium concerns and establishes a confidence‑building mechanism for Strait of Hormuz traffic.Stalemate Scenario: Persistent gaps on nuclear enrichment and proxy support keep negotiations at a “borderline” stage, prompting renewed low‑level hostilities and further drone attacks.Escalation Scenario: A miscalculation—such as an unanticipated drone strike or a US naval action—triggers a rapid escalation, threatening regional oil flows and global markets.For now, the diplomatic cadence set by Naqvi and the upcoming potential visit of Pakistan’s army chief Asim Munir to Tehran will be the barometer for whether the talks can move beyond proposal exchanges toward a concrete memorandum of understanding.

The Lead: One Nation's Standalone Climate Denial As the populist right-wing One Nation party gains momentum in Australian polls, it maintains a firm stance against decades of climate science evidence showing the planet and Australia are warming. The party claims to be the only political force in Australia questioning climate science, but experts say this position is not only scientifically baseless but increasingly out of step with global trends in climate misinformation. The Event Details: One Nation's Climate Contradictions One Nation's position on climate change is rooted in denial and conspiracy theories, despite overwhelming scientific evidence. The party's energy and climate policies have previously been literal cut-and-pastes from the now-defunct climate denial group the Galileo Movement. Currently, One Nation rejects the scientific consensus that the planet and Australia are warming, claiming extreme weather was more prevalent before 1960—a position climate scientists have compared to believing the Earth is flat. The party also wants Australia to leave the Paris Agreement and would push to close down the federal climate change department "and all related agencies, regulations and programs." They proudly declare: "We are the only political party to question climate science." The Data Analysis: Australia's Unequivocal Warming Trend Despite One Nation's claims, Australia has experienced significant warming since 1910. The Bureau of Meteorology's official long-term climate dataset shows Australia has warmed by 1.5°C since 1910. Temperature readings before this period are not included in the official dataset because they were often taken with non-standardized equipment, making them less reliable. Research into pre-1910 temperature records shows temperatures from 1860 to 1909 were similar to those from 1910 to 1959. Since 1960, both maximum and minimum temperatures have risen significantly. The independent Berkeley Earth group's analysis of historical temperature data confirms Australia has warmed substantially since the 1880s. One Nation points to a single weather station in Newcastle (Nobby's) to claim no pattern of warming exists—a classic example of cherry-picking data while ignoring the broader evidence showing temperatures are warming across Australia. The Impact Analysis: Political Consequences of Climate Denial One Nation's climate denial positions have significant political implications in Australia. Research from CSIRO a decade ago suggested that views on climate change can be influenced by how a person votes, rather than the other way around. This means votes for One Nation could lead more people to reject established climate science. Dr. John Cook, an expert on climate science denial, notes that One Nation is "not only out of touch with the scientific evidence, they're even out of touch with the rest of the climate denial community." Over the past decade, climate misinformation has transitioned from science denial to attacking climate solutions, as the scientific evidence for human-caused global warming has become undeniable. Prof. Sarah Perkins-Kirkpatrick, a climate scientist at Australian National University, emphasizes: "There's a wealth of evidence that extreme heat events are increasing worldwide since the 1950s. We see increased intensity of droughts and heatwaves and the intensity of tropical cyclones is increasing." The Prediction: Future of Climate Politics in Australia As climate impacts worsen in Australia—with more frequent and intense heatwaves, bushfires, and extreme weather events—One Nation's climate denial stance may become increasingly untenable politically. The party's net zero conspiracies, including claims that climate action is part of a plot to create a "socialist Australia," are based on misinformation and misrepresentations of statements by figures like former World Economic Forum chair Klaus Schwab. One Nation's assertions that renewable energy is causing electricity price increases are also contradicted by experts. Research from CSIRO suggests that if 82% of Australia's electricity came from renewables backed by storage, the cost of generation would be a third less than current prices. The real drivers of rising electricity costs are aging infrastructure and rising international gas prices, not the transition to renewables. As Australia faces increasing climate impacts, political parties that reject established climate science may find themselves increasingly isolated, both scientifically and politically. The future of Australian climate politics may depend on how mainstream parties respond to One Nation's misinformation and whether they can effectively communicate the scientific consensus on climate change.

The LeadEleven weeks after the start of the Iran war, the Strait of Hormuz has remained closed to naval traffic, bleeding the global economy far beyond the Gulf. Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) maintains an iron grip over this narrow, strategic waterway, while a corresponding United States naval blockade on Iranian ports has failed to reopen it.Before the war began, between 120 and 140 ships travelled through the strait each day, about half of them oil tankers carrying some 20 million barrels of oil between them. Now, only a few vessels whose owners have negotiated with the IRGC are permitted to pass.The Strategic Control of HormuzOn Wednesday, Iran said it coordinated the transit of 26 vessels through the Strait of Hormuz in 24 hours, two days after announcing the formation of the Persian Gulf Strait Authority (PGSA), a new body to provide "real-time updates" on operations in the strait.Since the announcement of a temporary ceasefire between the US and Iran in April, Iran has been working on formalising a mechanism to charge a transit fee from ships crossing the critical chokepoint, through which 20 percent of the world's oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) are shipped during peacetime.Tehran has reportedly already charged fees as high as $2m per ship for transit since the war started. Even though countries opposing Tehran say this is illegal, it may still be less expensive than the overall cost of the closure of the strait each day.The Economic Cost of BlockadeNearly one-fifth of global oil and LNG exports were shipped by Gulf producers through the Strait of Hormuz before the US and Israel bombed Iran on February 28, triggering the Iranian closure of the waterway. The strait is the only waterway linking Gulf producers to the open ocean – there is no other route through which they can ship exports.About 20.3 million barrels per day of oil passed through the Strait of Hormuz in peacetime – nearly 27 percent of global maritime oil trade. The lion's share of that crude went to Asian markets.Global LNG trade has been similarly hard hit. On the day before the war broke out, Brent crude – the global benchmark for oil prices – closed at $72.48 per barrel. After Iran closed the waterway on March 4 and began attacks on vessels attempting to sail through, traffic came to a standstill, stranding about 2,000 ships on either side of the strait.In terms of lost oil revenues, this amounts to $114.8bn of losses per day. About 10 billion cubic feet of LNG per day also used to pass through the strait, worth a further $7.8bn.The Cost-Benefit Analysis of Transit FeesFor hundreds of ships stranded in the Gulf with thousands of sailors on board, the cost of remaining anchored is steep, including crew wages, loan repayments, repair and management, coupled with inflated war risk premiums.In turn, Iran has reportedly been charging up to $2m for authorisation to pass. Experts say many will see this as worthwhile purely in terms of monetary cost."There is no doubt that paying Iran is cheaper than a continuous blockade because a sitting tanker bleeds money," said Nader Habibi, an Iranian American economist."It makes sense from an economic point of view, but it is not politically feasible," he added. "The companies are under pressure from the US sanctions and not to make arrangements with Iran. This is not just a purely economic cost-benefit analysis, but long-term considerations that are taken into account."International Legal PerspectivesInternational law protects free transit through strategic waters such as natural straits like Hormuz, barring countries from imposing passage tolls even where the waterways fall entirely into territorial waters, like in the case of Hormuz.However, services such as security controls, inspections and insurance regimes can be charged for. Chargeable fees also partly depend on whether a waterway is a man-made passageway or a natural one.These are three different precedents in maritime traffic flow:Panama Canal: An artificial waterway connecting the Atlantic and Pacific oceans. Vessels pass through a unique system of locks that raise and lower vessels across elevated terrain. Since Panama built, maintains and operates the canal, it can charge transit fees based on vessel size, cargo capacity and booking priority. These range from several hundred thousand dollars per transit to some slots sold for millions of dollars.Suez Canal: Another artificial canal, linking the Mediterranean and Red seas. Egypt charges transit fees for the use of canal infrastructure, maintenance and traffic management services through the narrow waterway. Container ships and oil tankers pay from several hundred thousand dollars to more than one million dollars per voyage.Turkiye's Bosporus Strait and Dardanelles: These are different because they are natural straits, rather than man-made canals. Turkiye charges for navigation-related services such as lighthouse operations, rescue readiness, medical support and traffic management – and tightly controls ship scheduling and navigation.Regional Cooperation PossibilitiesIran's newly-formed PGSA published a new map of Hormuz, stretching from Kuh-e Mubarak in Iran to south of Fujairah, in the UAE, at the eastern entrance of the strait, and from the tip of Qeshm Island to Umm al-Quwain at the western entrance.Given how the Iran war has spilled over into the Gulf region – with the UAE taking the brunt of Iranian strikes – economist Mohammad Reza Farzanegan said "regional cooperation with Iran is the most realistic path to stable transit through the Strait of Hormuz."The UAE, Oman, Qatar and Iran will have to work together because their economies require it, he argued. A workable arrangement could include a joint maritime authority, shared monitoring, emergency coordination, environmental protection and service-based contributions for maintaining safe passage."This would give Iran a recognised role in the security of the waterway while giving Persian Gulf economies more predictability," Farzanegan added. "Such a framework is also more realistic than relying on external military enforcement, which has been more a source of trouble for these states."The Future OutlookWhile it may seem that the economics of the closure of the strait are currently skewed towards Iran, Aniseh Tabrizi, an associate fellow on the Middle East and North Africa Programme at think tank Chatham House, noted that "the economics by itself is not going to be the driver to change calculation or move from the current standpoint."She emphasized that Iran and the US need to reach a "diplomatic compromise, with other calculations linked in to the economic factor", before there can be an end to the energy supply crisis.Farzanegan added that if the world expects stable access to the Strait of Hormuz, then paying Iran could well be accepted as the price of keeping the vital waterway predictable. "From an economic perspective, a negotiated transit arrangement [with Iran] now makes more sense than continued closure," he concluded.

Senegal’s national team has confirmed a 28‑man squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with marquee names Sadio Mane and Kalidou Koulibaly leading a blend of seasoned stars and youthful prospects.Senegal Announces 28‑Man Roster Featuring Mane and KoulibalyCoach Pape Thiaw revealed the list on Thursday, noting that two players will be cut before the final deadline at the end of May. The selection reflects a strategic mix of experience, athleticism, and depth across all positions.Squad Composition and Player StatisticsGoalkeepers: Edouard Mendy, Yehvann Diouf, Mory DiawDefenders: Kalidou Koulibaly, Krepin Diatta, Antoine Mendy, Abdoulaye Seck, Ilay Camara, Moussa Niakhate, Mamadou Sarr, El‑Hadji Malick Diouf, Moustapha Mbow, Ismail JakobsMidfielders: Idrissa Gueye, Habib Diarra, Pape Matar Sarr, Pape Gueye, Lamine Camara, Pathe Ciss, Bara NdiayeForwards: Sadio Mane (34, 53 goals in 126 caps), Bamba Dieng, Iliman Ndiaye, Nicolas Jackson, Assane Diao, Ibrahim Mbaye, Cherif Ndiaye, Ismaila SarrThe squad retains the all‑time leading scorer Mane and the experienced centre‑back Koulibaly, while also integrating promising talents such as 18‑year‑old Bayern midfielder Bara Ndiaye.Implications for African Representation and Tournament ProspectsSenegal entered the tournament as the most potent African qualifier, having topped the recent Africa Cup of Nations. Their Group I draw pits them against France (June 16, New Jersey), Norway (June 22), and Iraq (June 26), offering a challenging path but also a chance to replicate their 2002 quarter‑final run.The inclusion of both veteran leaders and dynamic youngsters signals a clear intent to advance beyond the group stage, potentially reshaping the perception of African teams at the World Cup.What to Expect from Senegal in the 2026 World CupAnalysts anticipate that Mane will spearhead the attack, supported by pacey wingers Ismaila Sarr and Nicolas Jackson. Defensively, Koulibaly provides stability, while the midfield depth—featuring Gueye and emerging talents—offers tactical flexibility.If the squad can stay injury‑free and integrate the new call‑ups quickly, Senegal could challenge for a knockout‑stage berth, aiming to surpass their 2018 group‑stage exit and 2022 round‑of‑16 finish.

Unleashing Inner Rage and Satire Bob Odenkirk, known for his role as Saul Goodman in Better Call Saul, recently opened up about life, satire, and his journey as an action hero. In an interview, he expressed his views on the power of satire and his personal experiences that have shaped his career. The Shift to Action Hero Odenkirk discussed how he transitioned from comedy to action roles, citing his age and desire for a change. He mentioned that at 63, he found it challenging to fit into traditional romantic comedies, leading him to explore action movies. His role in Normal, alongside Henry Winkler, marked a significant shift in his career. Working with Henry Winkler Odenkirk praised Henry Winkler, describing him as the "sweetest guy alive." He noted that working with Winkler influenced him to adopt a more patient and kind approach to life's challenges. Odenkirk highlighted the contrast between Winkler's on-screen and off-screen personas, emphasizing Winkler's genuine kindness. Reflections on Saul Goodman Odenkirk shared insights into his portrayal of Saul Goodman, describing the character as earnest but misguided. He discussed how Saul's talents are used for destructive purposes due to his inner resentment. Odenkirk also speculated on what Saul's next move would be if he were to escape prison, suggesting he would continue his schemes but with more caution. Music and Personal Projects Odenkirk touched on his upcoming album, which features comedy Broadway-style songs. He expressed excitement about the project, highlighting the creative process and collaboration with songwriter Mark Nutter. Physical Challenges and Triumphs Odenkirk compared his experiences hiking the West Highland Way and the Inca Trail, noting that the latter was significantly more challenging due to its demanding terrain and high altitude. He also reflected on his performance in Nebraska, appreciating the opportunity to work with Bruce Dern.

Lead: Neymar’s Calf Issue Won’t Sideline Him From World CupNeymar suffered a minor calf injury but is expected to be fit in time to join Brazil’s camp next week ahead of the 2026 World Cup starting June 11.Squad Confirmation and Injury UpdateThe 34‑year‑old, Brazil’s all‑time leading scorer, was named in the squad on Monday, marking his return after a prolonged injury layoff that kept him out of most qualifiers.Injury: minor calf oedema, reported by Santos’ head of medical services Rodrigo ZogaibRecovery timeline: expected to be fit next week for national team trainingClub: currently playing for Santos after a stint at Saudi club Al‑HilalKey Statistics Highlighting Neymar’s Value79 goals in 128 international appearancesFourth World Cup appearance, seeking first titleBrazil’s group: Morocco (June 13, New Jersey), Haiti, ScotlandImplications for Brazil’s Title QuestCoach Carlo Ancelotti faced scrutiny over whether to recall Neymar. His inclusion restores a proven goal‑scorer as Brazil chase a record‑extending sixth title.Brazil’s warm‑up schedule includes matches against Panama (May 31) and Egypt before the tournament.Outlook: Neymar’s Likelihood to Feature and Potential ImpactIf the recovery proceeds as planned, Neymar should be available for the opening match and could influence Brazil’s attacking options throughout the group stage.

Visa Applications Ahead of the World Cup Iran's football team have attended visa appointments in Turkiye ahead of the World Cup, with the whole squad applying for Canadian visas and some players also submitting applications for entry into the United States. Details of the Visa Applications A number of players submitted applications in the Turkish capital Ankara on Thursday, an Iranian football federation official told Reuters news agency. The whole squad attended appointments for Canadian visas, while some players who had not applied for American visas before the US and Israel attacked Iran in February also submitted their visa applications in person at the embassy. World Cup Preparation The World Cup will ⁠⁠be cohosted by the US, Canada and Mexico, with Iran due to play all three of their group-stage matches on the US West Coast. Iran are scheduled to face New Zealand on June 15 and Belgium on June 21 in Los Angeles before taking on Egypt in Seattle five days later. They would require access to Canada if they progress to the knockout rounds. Impact on Team Preparation Iran is holding a pre-tournament camp in Turkiye following the suspension of the Iranian domestic league in March, leaving many players short of match fitness. The team trained in Antalya earlier this week as coach Amir Ghalenoei attempted to prepare his squad after most domestic-based players went seven weeks without competitive football during the suspension of the Iranian league. Future Outlook Iran qualified early for the expanded 48-team World Cup, but preparations have been overshadowed by uncertainty over travel and security arrangements following the US-Israeli war on Iran. Iran are due to play Gambia in a friendly on May 29 before Ghalenoei names his final 26-man World Cup squad by FIFA's June 1 deadline.

Mauritania has turned to an unconventional counter‑terrorism tool: women trained in Islamic scholarship who work in schools, prisons and community centres to undermine extremist narratives. Since the Ministry of Islamic Affairs launched the mourchidates programme in 2021, the country has avoided the large‑scale attacks that have ravaged its Sahel neighbours. The State‑Backed Religious Guidance Model The mourchidates are certified by the state, receiving formal training in Quranic interpretation, Islamic jurisprudence and social counselling. Their role mirrors Morocco’s programme launched after the 2003 Casablanca bombings, but Mauritania has expanded their deployment to every region of the country. Training includes theological study and community‑engagement techniques. Guides operate under the Ministry of Islamic Affairs, ensuring official backing. They address both extremist ideology and the socio‑economic factors that fuel radicalisation. Prison as a Battleground for Ideas In Mauritanian prisons, mourchidates sit with detainees linked to Sahel armed groups, challenging the theological justifications for violence point‑by‑point. By offering alternative readings of Islamic texts, they create space for detainees to reconsider violent paths. Preventive Outreach in Communities Beyond prisons, the guides travel to schools, youth centres, mosques and markets, delivering lessons on tolerance, charity and accountability. Their presence aims to intercept radicalisation before it takes root, especially among unemployed youth vulnerable to extremist recruitment. Impact on Regional Stability While exact metrics are scarce, Mauritania’s relative calm compared with Mali, Burkina Faso and Niger is widely attributed to this holistic approach. Analysts cite the programme as a case study in combining intelligence, community trust and religious reform to blunt extremist growth. Future Outlook and Replicability Critics note limited resources and question whether the model can be exported to other Sahel states where state‑society trust is weaker. Nonetheless, the success of the mourchidates suggests that investing in credible, female religious leadership could become a cornerstone of non‑military counter‑terrorism strategies across the region.

Sardar Azmoun, Iran's second‑leading scorer, posted an emotional message on social media after being left out of coach Amir Ghalenoei's preliminary World Cup 2026 squad, declaring his unwavering love for his country and wishing the team success.Azmoun’s Heartfelt Social Media Message Amid Squad OmissionThe 31‑year‑old striker wrote that many misunderstandings have led to premature judgments about him, referencing earlier accusations of disloyalty after a photo with Dubai’s ruler. He emphasized his pride in representing Iran, his Turkmen heritage, and his commitment to the fans, especially children in remote towns.Statistical Snapshot: Azmoun’s International Record57 goals in 91 appearances for IranPart of Iran’s last two World Cup finals squadsSecond‑leading scorer in the nation’s historyThese numbers underscore his on‑field importance despite the current exclusion.Potential Ripple Effects on Iran’s World Cup CampaignAzmoun’s public affirmation may bolster fan morale and counteract narratives of disloyalty that have circulated in Iranian media. However, his absence could affect the attacking depth of a squad that will face New Zealand, Belgium, and Egypt in the United States, placing greater pressure on forwards like Mehdi Taremi.What Lies Ahead for Team Melli and AzmounTeam Melli continues its preparation at a training camp in Turkey, with travel to the U.S. slated for early June. While Azmoun remains sidelined for the tournament, his message may influence future selection decisions and highlights the broader conversation about ethnic minorities and national identity in Iranian sport.