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The Munition Shortage The United States has enough munitions for any plausible scenario in the Iran war, but rebuilding its depleted inventories will “take years”, according to a new report by the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS). Replenishment Timeline Restoring pre-war stockpiles of four critical munitions heavily used by US forces during nearly 40 days of joint fighting with Israel against Iran would take at least two years – and in some cases more than three – the Washington-based think tank said on Wednesday. Land Attack Missile (TLAM) Terminal High Altitude Area Defences (THAAD) interceptors Patriot missiles SM-3 and SM-6 ship-based surface-to-air missiles The Data Analysis The report noted that while US officials publicly project confidence in weapons stockpiles, analysts have said that dwindling munition supplies may be shaping Washington’s calculations over whether to resume the war on Iran. The Impact Analysis “Campaigns against Iran and its proxies – and, for Patriot interceptors, aid to Ukraine – have made the problem more acute,” said the CSIS report. “Alongside replenishing its own stocks, the United States also has to fulfil orders from allies and partners.” The Prediction “Decisions on how to allocate new production have already created bilateral friction, and this friction will continue for the next few years as demand outpaces supply,” the report warned. The main problem is not funding but production time, limited manufacturing capacity and long procurement lead times, with CSIS noting that past procurement levels were relatively low for many systems, slowing replacement efforts despite recent increases in defence spending.

The Guardian editorial argues that the UK must treat the plight of NEETs as a national priority, linking rising youth unemployment to inadequate training, housing costs and a fragmented policy framework.Milburn Commission Highlights Over 1 Million UK NEETsThe commission’s report, due in the autumn, shines a bright light on the 1 million young people aged 16‑24 who are not in education, employment or training. It criticises political attacks on welfare and “kids‑these‑days” rhetoric, insisting that the problem is fundamentally a policy failure.The Scale of the Crisis: Over 1 Million Young People Out of Work or Study1 million NEETs – roughly one in eight of the 16‑24 cohort.60 % are economically inactive, meaning they are not actively seeking work.Health‑related universal credit claims have risen in regions with fewer entry‑level jobs.Apprenticeship starts have fallen 35 % over the past decade.Why the UK Is Falling Behind Europe on Youth EmploymentCompared with other wealthy European nations, the UK records one of the highest rates of young people not in work or study. Contributing factors include:Housing inflation limiting independent living for young adults.Restrictive GCSE combinations that disadvantage less academic pupils.Chaotic further‑education reforms and the poorly‑implemented apprenticeship levy.Automation and AI‑driven profit growth that do not translate into entry‑level opportunities.A National Participation System: Pathway to Re‑engaging Young WorkersThe report proposes a new “participation system” that would coordinate work and pensions, health, education and business departments to pull young people into the labour market. While ambitious, the editorial stresses that without a clear, cross‑departmental mission the UK will continue to lose a generation to inactivity.

New Coalition Takes Shape Amid Drone ControversyLatvia’s parliament has confirmed a fresh governing alliance after the previous cabinet fell apart over disagreements on anti‑drone defenses. The vote marks a decisive step toward stabilising a nation that has been rattled by several wayward Ukrainian drones crossing its borders.Parliament Votes 66‑34 to Install Andris Kulbergs as Prime MinisterBy a margin of 66 deputies out of a 100‑seat assembly, lawmakers endorsed Andris Kulbergs, a 47‑year‑old centrist, as Latvia’s next prime minister. He will lead the country until the scheduled parliamentary elections on October 3. The new cabinet retains outgoing foreign minister Baiba Braze and appoints Colonel Raivis Melnis as defence minister.Numbers Behind the Power Shift: Seats, Votes, and Demographics66 votes in favour, 34 against.Latvia’s population: roughly 1.8 million people.The coalition comprises four parties, giving it a “healthy majority” in the Saeima.Previous prime minister Evika Silina resigned in mid‑May after losing coalition support.Implications for Latvia’s Security and EU/NATO AlignmentThe new government has pledged to reinforce military and border security, a stance echoed by political scientist Nils Muiznieks who noted a “broad consensus on foreign‑policy priorities.” With NATO and EU membership, Latvia is likely to maintain strong solidarity with Ukraine, especially as President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has offered expert assistance for air‑defence upgrades.What Lies Ahead: Policy Priorities and Regional StabilityAnalysts expect the coalition to focus on:Accelerating anti‑drone and air‑defence capabilities.Ensuring economic and energy security amid regional tensions.Deepening cooperation with NATO allies and the EU.Preparing for the upcoming elections while maintaining a pro‑Ukraine stance.

The Plan for World Cup Glory As co-hosts, Canada enter the World Cup with high expectations, despite never winning a match at a previous tournament. Since a Concacaf Nations League semi-final defeat to Mexico in March 2025 the team have lost one of 15 matches at the time of writing, a run that has included some excellent opponents such as Colombia, Ecuador, Ukraine and the USA, whom they have defeated twice in the past two years, including their first win on US soil in 57 years. The coach, Jesse Marsch, has maintained a consistent 4-4-2 with the emphasis on pressing from the front and pace in wide positions. "Some teams press to win the ball back, we press to punish and think about scoring immediately when we recover the ball," said Marsch, who is American, but has captured the hearts of many Canadians since he took the job in May 2024 and guided the team to the semi-finals of the Copa América. Canada's World Cup Schedule 12 June v Bosnia and Herzegovina, Toronto (3pm local, 8pm BST) 18 June v Qatar, Vancouver (3pm local, 11pm BST) 24 June v Switzerland, Vancouver (noon local, 8pm BST) Success at that tournament, and subsequently in friendlies, is based on a defensive structure Marsch worked on immediately when taking the job and playing against the Netherlands and France in his first two matches in charge. Nine clean sheets in 13 matches before the pre-tournament friendlies is even more impressive considering Moïse Bombito, their star centre-back from Nice, and Bayern Munich's Alphonso Davies did not play in any of those matches because of injury. The Coach's Vision Jesse Marsch's first venture into international management has been a successful one, but not one he found easy to adjust to. "From the moment I worked with this group of players in the first camp, I knew I was going to fall in love with these guys," he says. "They are a unique group of really good people, who are very talented, and when I said goodbye to them it was different from what I was used to as a head coach in the club game." Marsch has enjoyed those gaps in his schedule, using time to visit Canadian players across the world and spending a lot of time in the country at the provincial level to help bring a more united approach to the way the game is developed and governed. Star Player's Return Questioned The captain, Alphonso Davies, has not played for Canada since tearing his ACL against USA in the Nations League third-place match last March. Whether to play him at left-back or on the wing has been one of the biggest questions for years, but under Marsch the Bayern Munich man has predominantly been used at the back and has been excellent. However, another injury setback, against Paris St-Germain in the Champions League semi-final second leg – his third in the past three months – has put his participation for the opening game against Bosnia and Herzegovina in doubt. He has started 12 of 29 internationals in the Marsch-era at the time of writing. One to Watch Few players have received more work and attention from his national coach than the midfielder Ismaël Koné, who was dropped during the Copa América as he struggled to make an impact. Since then he has been excellent for Sassuolo in Serie A and has turned into a dynamic box-to-box midfielder for Marsch, learning valuable lessons defensively in Italy, where his discipline and tactical concentration has improved significantly. Expected to start next to the excellent Stephen Eustáquio in a key double-pivot tandem for Canada. Unsung Hero Norwich's Ali Ahmed has become a favourite of Marsch's because of his selfless work on the pitch. Ahmed is asked to lead the press on the left wing, often cutting inside to increase the midfield numbers and bring intensity and energy off the ball. One of the reasons Marsch has not deployed Davies further forward is because he views his team without the ball more than with it and in that vision the former Vancouver Whitecaps man is crucial. Probable Starting XI Canada's likely formation for the World Cup matches will be based on the 4-4-2 system that Marsch has consistently employed, with specific attention to defensive structure and pressing from the front. Fan Expectations Canada is ready to host the world, but the attention is more on this team than other games happening in the country. Being the only side to start on the east coast and move directly to the west coast allows fans in Toronto and Vancouver to watch their team in the group stages. The supporters group The Voyageurs will lead the noise with their flags and chants of "Ooh, Ahh Canada". Canada is known for its cosmopolitan population and cultural diversity, with people from all over the world, and should benefit from playing three group opponents with relatively diverse fan bases.

The Tactical Chess Match of Champions League FinalIt would be easy to look at Saturday's Champions League final between Paris Saint-Germain and Arsenal and see it as a battle of attack versus defence, of beauty against pragmatism, of French elan against English doughtiness, as some sort of tussle for the soul of football. But it would not entirely be true. And where, after all, was the honour at Agincourt? In the vainglorious charges of the dashing French cavalry or the stoic defiance of the British archers arrayed, naked from the waist down, behind their defensive stakes?The final promises to be a fascinating tactical contest between two teams with contrasting approaches but complementary strengths. PSG's devastating wings, featuring players like Desiré Doué and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, will test Arsenal's defensive resolve, while Arsenal's set-piece prowess could provide their route to goal.PSG's Dominant Possession vs Arsenal's Defensive ResilienceThe statistical comparison between the two teams reveals contrasting strengths. In the Champions League this season, Paris Saint-Germain have averaged 63.4% possession, higher than anybody apart from Barcelona; Arsenal's figure is 52.6%, the 11th-highest of the 36 sides who made the league stage. PSG's pass completion has been 89.3% to Arsenal's 85.7% (third-highest to 14th-highest). PSG have scored 44 goals to Arsenal's 29. But on the flip side, Arsenal have conceded six goals to PSG's 22 and won 13.4 aerial duels per game to PSG's 9.4 (sixth-highest to 29th-highest).These figures suggest that PSG will dominate possession, while Arsenal will likely sit deep and look to counter-attack. However, that was not how either leg of the semi-final between the teams last season played out: PSG shaded possession at the Emirates and Arsenal at the Parc des Princes as they chased the game.The Full-Back Dilemma for ArsenalThe biggest danger to Arsenal is probably a counterattack. Most opponents sit deep against PSG, especially in Ligue 1, but the evidence of PSG's wins over Chelsea, Liverpool and Bayern Munich is that they are lethal in transition. Arsenal cannot let Desiré Doué or Khvicha Kvaratskhelia get a run on whoever they have at full-back. Both are rapid, supreme dribblers and terrifyingly direct.Full-back is an issue for Arsenal, especially on the right. Ben White is out with a knee injury and Jurriën Timber is doubtful with a groin problem sustained against Everton in mid-March. Martín Zubimendi started at right-back against Crystal Palace but it would seem more likely that Cristhian Mosquera operates there if Timber has not recovered, if only because he is a more natural defender.Riccardo Calafiori has seemed Mikel Arteta's preferred option on the left. His role will be twofold: to stop Doué and to invert into midfield, particularly out of possession, to try to prevent the counter. It may be that Myles Lewis-Skelly is used ahead of Zubimendi alongside Rice, in part because he is familiar with playing at left-back and so could help double up on Doué, or would be comfortable covering for Calafiori were he caught upfield.Midfield Strategies to Counter PSG's WingsAlthough PSG have scored more goals from non-penalty set plays than Arsenal in the Champions League this season (eight to five), it probably is reasonable to assume that corners and free-kicks offer Arsenal's best chance of a goal. But to counter PSG's midfield dominance, Arsenal may need to embrace a more aggressive approach.The first leg of PSG's semi-final against Bayern was remarkably open, almost basketball-like in its end-to-end attacking. But that should not necessarily be regarded as characteristic. PSG can at times seem a little sloppy, too reliant on their attacking prowess, but their performance away to Bayern, when Fabián Ruiz returned, showed how effective PSG's midfield can be. And that means either that Arsenal have to sit deep and accept PSG will dominate the ball or that they need to ensure their midfield has a destructive edge.Lessons from Previous EncountersChelsea's success against PSG in the Club World Cup final perhaps offers, if not a template, then at least inspiration for how Arsenal can hurt the defending European Champions. Enzo Maresca's approach was asymmetric, using Cole Palmer almost as an inside-right, haunting the channel between Nuno Mendes and the left-sided centre-back while getting in behind the left-back wherever possible.On the left, Marc Cucurella regularly tucked into midfield, just as Calafiori surely will, with Pedro Neto tracking back almost as a wing-back to check Achraf Hakimi's thrusts in support of Doué. If Arteta sees things similarly, that is probably more of a job for Leandro Trossard than Eberechi Eze, who may end up on the bench if Arteta, as he surely must, prefers 4-3-3 to 4-2-3-1.Keys to Victory in Saturday's FinalThere is an irony in this. The stereotype of Arsenal this season has been of a defensive side reliant on set plays, but that is not entirely accurate; rather they are a side whose defensive qualities have been highlighted because of deficiencies of creativity and attacking quality. But to beat PSG, it may be that they have to embrace the narrative and be the side critics say they are.Arsenal's right-back situation remains critical. White links better with Bukayo Saka than any of Arsenal's other full-backs, and Timber is as tactically astute as any player in the squad. Unless Timber is fit, the right-back issue is likely to diminish them from a defensive and an attacking point of view.The final will come down to which team can impose their tactical approach most effectively. Can Arsenal's defense contain PSG's devastating wings, or will PSG's midfield dominance prove too much for Arsenal to handle? The answer will determine who lifts the Champions League trophy on Saturday.

The Lead-Up to the By-Election In a scenario few could have predicted, voters in a northern English market town near Manchester could determine the United Kingdom’s future political leadership. The surprise resignation of the Labour Party’s Ashton-in-Makerfield MP Josh Simons in late February left the supposedly safe seat open, paving the way for the popular mayor of Manchester, Andy Burnham, to step in. The Event Details If he wins the seat in a crucial by-election set for June 18, he could ultimately topple embattled Prime Minister Keir Starmer. Standing in his way are the voters, many of whom Burnham has yet to convince of his credentials for the job, and the right-wing insurgent Reform UK party, which has promised to “throw everything” at the election in a bid to block Burnham’s path to the UK Parliament. The Data Analysis Makerfield has been a safe Labour seat since its creation in 1983, but Starmer’s party lost all eight of its local council seats there to Reform in May during local elections. Recent local council elections in May 2026 saw a shift, with Reform UK winning 49.8% of the area's vote compared to Labour's 24.3%. The Impact Analysis The constituency is difficult to categorise, political scientists said. It neither fits the stereotype of the declining industrial towns of northern England nor carries much of the metropolitan optimism typified in the soaring glass tower blocks of the nearby Manchester city centre. Instead, it is best understood as “a place in-between”, political science Professor Rob Ford wrote in his blog last week. The Prediction Few observers have been brave enough to call the current contest. However, while political scientists are puzzled, 61-year-old resident Tracy Walker, who works in a charity shop, is resolute. “I want Andy Burnham. … I think we should give him a go. He’s from the north,” she said, contrasting Burnham with the long line of premiers from the country’s south.

General Compute, a new inference neocloud, raised a $15 million seed round at a $60 million post‑money valuation and booked a $300 million order for SambaNova’s upcoming SN50 chips. The company promises 600‑700 tokens per second per chip and a deployment model that fits into existing, air‑cooled data‑center infrastructure. General Compute’s Funding and Strategic Partnerships Seed round led by FUSE VC with participation from Carya Venture Partners and Village Global Ventures. Co‑founders Finn Puklowski (CEO) and Jason Goodison (CTO) partnered with SambaNova, an Intel‑backed chipmaker focused on inference. General Compute will be the first neocloud to deploy SambaNova’s SN50 chips, ordering $300 million worth of hardware. Colocation strategy includes traditional data‑center providers and repurposed crypto‑miner facilities. Financial Snapshot: $15 Million Seed and $300 Million Chip Order Seed funding: $15 million raised, valuing the company at $60 million post‑money. Chip commitment: $300 million of SN50 chips on order, enough to power a large inference fleet. Comparable market moves: Nvidia’s $20 billion acquisition of Groq (Dec 2025) and Cerebras’ $57 billion IPO (May 2026) illustrate the scale of inference‑focused investments. Implications for the AI Inference Landscape The shift from GPU‑centric training to specialized inference hardware is accelerating. SambaNova’s memory‑rich, flexible architecture claims to outperform GPUs, Groq, and Cerebras on token‑throughput, delivering 600‑700 tokens/sec versus ~250 tokens/sec for GPUs. Air‑cooled, low‑power chips lower the barrier to entry for colocation, enabling rapid deployment in existing facilities and even in repurposed crypto‑mining sites. This could democratize high‑speed inference, pressure pricing, and spur a wave of niche cloud providers focused on agent‑to‑agent workloads. What the Next Year May Hold for Inference‑First Cloud Providers When SambaNova releases its next‑gen chips later in 2026, General Compute’s early access positions it to capture a sizable share of the fast‑inference market. Expect: Increased competition among inference‑only clouds (e.g., CoreWeave, OpenRouter) to offer multi‑model routing and token‑cost optimization. More venture capital flowing into inference‑focused startups, mirroring the recent $113 million Series B for OpenRouter. Potential consolidation as larger players (Nvidia, Intel) seek partnerships or acquisitions to secure the most efficient inference stacks. Speed and cost efficiency will become the primary differentiators, shaping the architecture choices that dominate the AI future.

The Proposed Suspension of Carbon Tax Ministers are in discussions about suspending a carbon tax on fertilisers, due to come into effect early next year, in an effort to curb food inflation. The move would be part of a package of measures, including the suspension of import tariffs on a range of foods including bread, biscuits and bananas. Impact on Farmers and Food Inflation Government sources said they were looking at suspending tariffs on a range of fertilisers in order to discourage farmers from leaving fields fallow. Farmers have been considering leaving their fields fallow because rising costs mean they risk selling their 2027 crop at a loss. This would increase food inflation, which is already expected to rise sharply as the conflict in Iran raises fuel and fertiliser prices. Fertiliser Costs and Global Supply Chain Fertiliser costs have soared since the beginning of the Iran conflict, during which the strait of Hormuz has been closed. About 35% of the world’s fertiliser passes through the waterway and, since the conflict broke out in late January, about 1m tonnes of fertiliser have been stranded in the Gulf. Fertiliser producers said they expected the new tariffs, which were being put in place to match an existing EU scheme, could add £100 per tonne to costs. The Future Outlook Ministers are also cutting fuel taxes for farmers. The rate for red diesel and rebated biodiesel has been cut by more than a third, which the Treasury said made it the lowest in more than two decades. According to analysis from the Central Association for Agricultural Valuers, a 500-acre wheat farm could make a loss of £70,000 in 2027 because of higher costs caused by the Iran war. With farmers making decisions about 2027 cropping now, the economic outlook means they could be making difficult decisions such as leaving fields fallow.

Former Prime Minister Tony Blair has called for the UK to scrap its 2050 net‑zero goal and ramp up North Sea oil and gas drilling, prompting a swift backlash from climate experts who label the suggestion “bizarre” amid a historic heatwave and rising energy costs. Blair’s Call to Re‑Open North Sea Oil and Gas E3G programme director Ed Matthew warned that abandoning net zero during the “worst May heatwave on record” would be a “massive setback” for the UK, emphasizing that clean energy is cheaper and has near‑zero operating costs. Economic Stakes: £200 million Heatwave Losses and Fossil‑Fuel Costs Heat stress on livestock and crops is projected to cost the UK economy over £200 million this year. The International Energy Agency’s Fatih Birol notes that new oil fields would have “little impact” on domestic fuel prices. Renewable‑energy growth, especially record‑breaking solar generation, is already reducing household energy bills. Why Renewables Outperform Fossil Fuel Revival in the UK Analysts such as Jess Ralston (Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit) argue that expanding solar and other clean‑power technologies shields consumers from volatile fossil‑fuel markets and supports energy security as the North Sea declines. Comparisons to Spain’s renewable‑driven price stability reinforce the case for electrification as the “obvious route” to lower bills. What the Next Steps Mean for UK Energy Policy Government spokespersons confirm that no new exploration licences will be granted, focusing instead on managing existing fields for the remainder of their lifespan while accelerating the clean‑power mission championed by Energy Secretary Ed Miliband. If the current trajectory holds, the UK is likely to cement its position as a leader in renewable deployment, rendering calls to revive North Sea drilling increasingly marginal in policy debates.