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UK economy is projected to shed 163,000 jobs in 2026, according to forecasting group Item Club, as the ongoing Iran war pushes oil prices up and drags manufacturing, construction, retail and hospitality sectors.Projected Job Losses Amid Iran ConflictThe latest regional outlook from the Item Club warns that the war‑induced energy shock will ripple through the British labour market. With no sign of a cease‑fire, higher energy costs and supply chain disruptions are expected to force firms to cut headcount, especially in regions that rely heavily on manufacturing and construction.Numbers Behind the ForecastNational total: 163,000 jobs lost in 2026South Wales: 5,700 jobsThe Humber: 2,800 jobsLondon (retail & hospitality): 25,000 jobsBirmingham: 12,500 jobsLeeds: 9,800 jobsGlasgow: 6,200 jobsRegional Pain Points and Sectoral SpilloversLower‑income areas such as South Wales and the Humber are hit hardest because they depend on energy‑intensive industries. As households in these regions face tighter budgets, discretionary spending falls, amplifying the slowdown in retail and hospitality nationwide. The forecast also underscores a broader macro‑economic drag: higher oil prices raise production costs, erode profit margins, and dampen investment confidence.What the Outlook Means for Policy and MarketsLabour leader Keir Starmer faces a political test, with rising unemployment likely to fuel criticism ahead of upcoming elections. Policymakers may need to consider targeted fiscal support for the most affected regions, alongside measures to stabilise energy prices. Financial markets are already reacting to the oil rally—Brent futures rose over 4% to around $105 per barrel—which could translate into higher inflation pressures and influence Bank of England rate decisions.

The Historic El Clásico DeciderThree days after a dramatic internal conflict between Fede Valverde and Aurélien Tchouaméni exposed Real Madrid's fragility, the club returned to the Camp Nou to face a Barcelona side hungry for redemption. The outcome was decisive: Marcus Rashford delivered the knockout blow, scoring a sublime free-kick that secured the La Liga title for Hansi Flick’s side with three games to spare. The atmosphere was electric as 62,000 fans began the party, witnessing a match that has not decided the Spanish league in 94 years.The opening goal arrived early, on the ninth minute, setting the tone for a dominant performance. Rashford’s strike was a moment of pure individual brilliance; from the right edge of the area, he curled a ball over a wall of four defenders and past the world’s best goalkeeper, Thibaut Courtois. The Englishman’s celebration was jubilant, chased by his teammates, marking a fitting end to his loan spell if it is indeed temporary.Rashford’s Statistical Surge and Historical SignificanceHistoric Context: This is the first time since 1932 that a meeting of the sport’s greatest rivals has decided the La Liga title.Rashford’s Impact: The English forward finished the season with 14 goals and 14 assists, showcasing elite versatility and efficiency.Team Dynamics: The assist from Dani Olmo to Ferran Torres highlighted Barcelona’s fluid attacking system, which has been the backbone of their title charge.A Crisis of Confidence at the Santiago BernabéuFor Real Madrid, the loss was not just a tactical defeat but a psychological blow. The club had managed to avoid a formal title handover last week by beating Espanyol, but the narrative could not be suppressed forever. The internal strife involving Valverde and Tchouaméni, which saw the vice-captain hospitalized, laid bare a crisis of confidence that has plagued the squad. This season ends with Real Madrid trophyless for the second consecutive year, a rare and uncomfortable drought for the European giants.The absence of club president Florentino Pérez from the directors' box during the trophy ceremony underscored the disconnect between the board and the current reality. As the celebrations erupted around them, Madrid players departed the stadium, leaving behind a club that is now forced to look inward and rebuild.Shifting the Balance of Power in Spanish FootballThe victory for Barcelona signals a definitive shift in the balance of power in Spanish football. Under the tactical guidance of Hansi Flick, Barcelona has rediscovered its identity, blending high pressing with clinical finishing. The team’s control over the league was evident throughout the season, and this win serves as the coronation of that project.Looking ahead, the narrative for the upcoming seasons is clear: Barcelona is the team to beat, while Real Madrid faces a critical period of transition. The pressure will be on Los Blancos to resolve their internal issues and re-establish their dominance, knowing that the window for recovery is closing rapidly in the face of a resurgent Catalan side.

The High-Stakes Meeting US President Donald Trump is set to arrive in Beijing on Wednesday evening to discuss the Iran war and other issues with his Chinese counterpart President Xi Jinping. The meeting, initially scheduled for earlier this year but postponed in March due to the US-Israel war on Iran, comes as the US president struggles to contain the fallout from the war, both at home and abroad. The Agenda: Iran and Trade White House Principal Deputy Press Secretary Anna Kelly said an opening ceremony and meeting will be on Thursday morning, and the trip will conclude on Friday. The US plans to host the Chinese leader during a reciprocal visit later this year. A senior administration official told news outlets in an anonymous briefing on Sunday that Trump could "apply pressure" to China on Iran in areas such as oil sales and Tehran's purchase of potential dual-role military-civilian goods. The Economic Impact US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent last week accused China of "funding" Iran. "Iran is the largest state sponsor of terrorism, and China has been buying 90 percent of their energy, so they are funding the largest state sponsor of terrorism," Bessent told Fox News. Disruptions stemming from the war have disrupted the global economy, with Asian states that depend on imports from the Middle East especially hard hit. The Future of US-China Relations Trump could also bring up China's support for Russia during the talks, along with trade and rare earth minerals, a vital resource for the US tech sector. Business executives from aerospace manufacturer Boeing and a handful of agricultural companies are set to travel with the US delegation. The anonymous administration official said that no change was expected regarding the US stance on Taiwan, a main sticking point in relations between Washington and Beijing.

The Emergence of a New Weapon Recent reports from Lebanon have highlighted the use of a new Israeli weapon that fires tiny metal cubes into people, sparking concerns and drawing parallels to its alleged use in Gaza. Details of the Weapon The weapon in question is described as firing small, potentially lethal metal cubes. While details are scarce, the use of such a weapon raises significant concerns about the escalation of military technology and its humanitarian implications. Comparisons to Gaza The use of this weapon in Lebanon has been compared to its alleged use in Gaza, a region that has seen significant conflict in recent years. These comparisons underscore the potential for such technology to be used in densely populated areas, raising concerns about civilian casualties. International Scrutiny The international community is likely to scrutinize the use of this weapon, given the potential humanitarian implications. The use of such technology in conflict zones could lead to calls for greater regulation and oversight of military advancements. The Future of Military Technology The emergence of this weapon highlights the rapid advancement of military technology and the need for ongoing dialogue about the ethical and humanitarian implications of such developments. As conflicts continue to evolve, the international community will need to address the challenges posed by new and potentially lethal technologies.

The Olive Tree Initiative In a heartwarming display of resilience and determination, volunteers in Gaza have come together to plant olive trees at the ravaged al-Shifa Hospital. The initiative aims to bring a sense of hope and renewal to the devastated area, which has been severely impacted by the ongoing conflict. Reviving a Symbol of Peace Olive trees are often seen as a symbol of peace and tranquility in the Middle East. By planting them at al-Shifa Hospital, the volunteers are not only beautifying the area but also promoting a sense of calm and serenity. The hospital, which was once a beacon of healthcare and medical excellence, has been severely damaged and is in dire need of restoration. A Message of Hope The olive tree planting initiative sends a powerful message of hope and resilience to the people of Gaza. Despite the challenges and hardships they face, the volunteers are taking proactive steps to rebuild and restore their community. The event serves as a reminder that even in the darkest of times, there is always a way forward. The Road to Recovery The road to recovery for al-Shifa Hospital and the surrounding area will be long and arduous. However, with initiatives like the olive tree planting, the people of Gaza are taking the first steps towards healing and rebuilding. The international community has a crucial role to play in supporting these efforts and providing the necessary aid and resources to facilitate the recovery process.

The Lead: Ceasefire Violations Continue Despite Trump's InterventionAt least three people have been killed in Russian attacks on Ukraine in the past 24 hours despite a three-day ceasefire announced by US President Donald Trump that came into effect on May 9. Regional authorities on Sunday reported one death each in Ukraine's Zaporizhia, Dnipropetrovsk, and Kherson regions, highlighting the fragility of the truce.The Event Details: Casualties and Attacks Across Multiple RegionsIn the Kherson region, a 58-year-old woman was killed in a Russian drone attack on the village of Nezlamne on May 9, according to the Kherson Oblast Prosecutor's Office. Governor Oleksandr Prokudin confirmed the death on Telegram, saying the woman had been struck while walking down the street. Seven people, including a child, have also been injured across the region in drone or artillery attacks since early Saturday.Ivan Fedorov, the governor of the southeastern Zaporizhia region, said one person had been killed and three others injured by artillery and drone attacks in the past 24 hours.In the northeastern Kharkiv region, Governor Oleh Syniehubov said eight people, including two children, were injured in drone attacks on the city of Kharkiv and nearby settlements.In the region of Dnipropetrovsk, a 46-year-old woman was killed and another person injured on Saturday in the Mezhivska community near the city of Synelnykove, according to Governor Oleksandr Hanza. On Sunday, a child was injured in a nearby area.The Data Analysis: Scale of Attacks and Counter-ClaimsKyiv's air force said Russia had launched 27 long-range drones at Ukraine overnight, a lower figure than in recent days, and that air defences had intercepted all of them. Ukraine's General Staff said in its daily morning report that 147 battlefield clashes had taken place along the front line in the past 24 hours.Russia's Defence Ministry claimed Ukraine had committed more than 1,000 ceasefire violations by launching drone and artillery attacks against its troops and civilian targets in multiple Russian regions. The ministry said the attacks were recorded in Russia-annexed Ukrainian peninsula of Crimea, as well as the Russian regions of Belgorod, Kursk, Kaluga, Rostov, and Krasnodar. Russian forces said they had shot down 57 Ukrainian drones.The Impact Analysis: Erosion of Trust in Peace ProcessThe continued attacks despite the ceasefire declaration demonstrate the deep challenges in establishing a lasting peace between the warring nations. Both sides are accusing each other of violating the truce, with Russia claiming "Ukrainian armed formations carried out strikes using unmanned aerial vehicles and artillery on the positions of our troops, as well as on civilian targets." Russia's military had "responded in kind," according to the ministry.Two people were reported injured by Ukrainian shelling in the Russian-occupied part of Ukraine's Kherson region, according to Vladimir Saldo, the Moscow-installed head of the area. These reciprocal claims of violations further complicate diplomatic efforts to end the conflict.The Prediction: Fragile Ceasefire Likely to Collapse Without International EnforcementGiven the pattern of attacks and counter-attacks continuing despite the ceasefire declaration, the three-day truce appears increasingly fragile without robust international monitoring and enforcement mechanisms. The high number of battlefield clashes (147) and casualties on both sides suggest that neither side has fully committed to halting hostilities. Future peace efforts will likely require stronger guarantees and verification systems to prevent such violations from derailing diplomatic processes.

The Thrilling Comeback VictoryBrighton fought back from 2-0 down away against Liverpool to win a classic Women's FA Cup semi-final and book a place at Wembley for the first time in their women's team's history. The substitute Nadine Noordam's 95th-minute winner sparked wild celebrations for Brighton, who had been on top throughout the second half before her last-ditch strike made it 3-2 and left Liverpool with a feeling of despair, as they had been 2-0 up and looking in control early in the first half.Match Turning PointsIt was a case of third time lucky for the Sussex club as this was their third semi-final in six seasons, after a 3-2 loss at Manchester United in 2023 and a 3-0 loss at Arsenal in 2021. Liverpool began the game with real purpose and deservedly opened the scoring in the 11th minute when an unmarked Ceri Holland whipped over a dangerous cross from the left and Denise O'Sullivan's angled header found the far corner.The hosts continued to play with good intensity and doubled their lead 11 minutes later when Brighton were punished for failing to clear the ball from their own penalty area and Beata Olsson ruthlessly capitalised, getting to the loose ball and lashing in on the turn. Alejandra Bernabé also struck the crossbar for Gareth Taylor's side.Second Half DominationBrighton were let back into the game when some loose Liverpool defending at a corner allowed Manuela Vanegas to halve the deficit from close range and, from thereon, the away side had by the far the better of the tie, especially in the second half, when they applied significant pressure on the Liverpool goal. Fran Kirby went close to equalising shortly after the break but her near-post effort struck the woodwork. They eventually levelled when Kiko Seike's hanging cross from the right was met at the far post by Madison Haley, who nodded in.Aurélie Csillag then spurned a great chance for Liverpool at the other end but, in general, Brighton were dominating and their pressure finally told deep into stoppage time when Noordam fired in.Historic SignificanceThe joy of reaching the final comes in a poignant season for Brighton and their head coach, Dario Vidosic, whose father, Rado – who was working at the club as head of coaching for women and girls – died of cancer in January. It was an emotional victory for the away side, who celebrated in front of their travelling supporters in the corner of the pitch upon hearing the full-time whistle.Final OutlookBrighton had arrived in St Helens in a great run of form, enjoying a six-match unbeaten streak in all competitions beforehand, which had included wins over Arsenal – away in the quarter-finals – and Manchester City, as well as draws with Manchester United and Arsenal in the league. They will face either Chelsea or Manchester City on 31 May in what will be their first Women's FA Cup final appearance in the club's history.

The Lead: Mortgage Affordability CrisisUK homebuyers are facing the worst mortgage affordability pressures for almost two decades, with initial mortgage repayments typically consuming more than a fifth (21.3%) of a homebuyer's gross income – the highest level since 2008. This financial strain is not evenly distributed across the country, with significant regional variations in affordability challenges.The Affordability Data: A Nationwide SqueezeAccording to UK Finance, the banking industry body, the current affordability crisis stems from a combination of high property prices and elevated borrowing costs. The data, which relates to 2025, doesn't yet account for the economic turmoil unleashed by the Iran war, which has further pushed up mortgage costs. Many new borrowers now face paying hundreds or even thousands of pounds more annually than before the conflict began.Regional Disparities: The Affordability DivideThe headline figure masks significant regional differences in mortgage affordability. The least affordable areas are north Norfolk and the west London borough of Hillingdon, where homebuyers typically spend over a quarter of their gross income on repayments (25.7% and 25.1%, respectively). Eight of the ten least affordable places are in the London commuter belt, including Luton (24.9%), Slough (24.8%), Broxbourne (24.4%), and Harlow (24.2%).At the other end of the scale, seven of the ten most affordable local authority areas are in Scotland. East Ayrshire and Inverclyde top the list, with average homebuyers committing just 17% of their gross income to mortgage repayments. Surprisingly, the City of London ranks as the third most affordable area, which UK Finance attributes to the fact that those who can afford to buy there typically belong to the highest-earning income brackets.Market Impact: Resilience Amidst ChallengesDespite sustained affordability pressures, 2025 proved to be a year of robust activity in mortgage borrowing. The number of mortgages advanced for house purchase reached 723,000 – an impressive 17% increase on 2024. This resilience suggests that while affordability is challenging, demand for homeownership remains strong.James Tatch, head of analytics at UK Finance, emphasized that the pain of affordability pressures is not felt equally across the country. "Property prices, wages and demographics vary greatly across and within regions. All of these have an impact on affordability," he noted.Future Outlook: Navigating Economic UncertaintyThe mortgage landscape has been volatile, with borrowers initially benefiting from cheaper home loans before the Iran war disrupted this trend. The conflict led to numerous fixed-rate mortgage deals being pulled and repriced upward. However, recent weeks have shown a gradual downward trend in fixed-rate mortgage pricing, offering some relief to potential buyers.As economic conditions continue to evolve, the mortgage market will likely remain sensitive to geopolitical events and interest rate decisions. The regional disparities highlighted by this data suggest that housing policies may need to address these localized affordability challenges rather than adopting a one-size-fits-all approach.

The Lead: Norway's Strategic Energy PivotIn a significant policy shift, Norway has announced the reopening of three major gas fields in the North Sea, nearly three decades after they were closed. This decision underscores Norway's commitment to maintaining and expanding its oil and gas production to ensure energy security for Europe, particularly in the wake of geopolitical disruptions from the Ukraine war and Middle East tensions.The Event Details: Reopening of Albuskjell, Vest Ekofisk and Tommeliten GammaEnergy Minister Terje Aasland has made it clear that Norway's strategy is to "develop, not dismantle, activity on our continental shelf." The three gasfields—Albuskjell, Vest Ekofisk and Tommeliten Gamma—will reopen by the end of 2028 to address the current energy shortfall. This decision will help maintain gas and oil production at approximately the 2025 level, which has been stable for nearly two decades.With 97 offshore oilfields currently in operation (three of which came online last year), Norway's Norwegian Offshore Directorate expects the number to reach "100 and beyond" within the next two years. The country continues to produce at least 2 million barrels of oil daily, with the Barents Sea in the high north emerging as the new frontier for gas and oil exploration.The Data Analysis: Financial Impacts and Industry InvestmentsThe energy sector generates substantial wealth for Norway, with the state's 67% stake in Equinor yielding approximately £2 billion in dividends this year. To maintain production levels, Equinor is committed to investing $6 billion (£4.4 billion) annually up to 2035, focusing on increased drilling, new developments, pipeline expansions, and potentially developing smaller fields.Norway's consistent 78% taxation rate on oil and gas firms—unchanged since the 1970s—provides predictability for investors while funding the country's £1.5 trillion sovereign wealth fund. This financial approach has helped Norway maintain a sizeable surplus and supports the 210,000 jobs in the energy sector.The Impact Analysis: European Energy Security vs Environmental ConcernsNorway's expanded production plays a crucial role in European energy security, currently supplying gas for approximately one-third of Europe's consumption. Energy Minister Aasland emphasizes that "the world, and Europe, will have a need for oil and gas for decades to come" and that Norway has a responsibility to remain a reliable supplier.However, this policy has drawn significant criticism. Norway's environment agency has advised against the decision, and the Socialist Left party has accused the government of "greenwashing." Deputy leader Lars Haltbrekken contends that the government is "blatantly ignoring environmental advice from its own experts" and putting vulnerable natural areas at risk.This approach stands in stark contrast to neighboring the UK, which has ruled out new oil and gas exploration licenses, highlighting a significant divergence in energy strategies between North Sea neighbors.The Prediction: Norway's Energy Future Through 2035 and BeyondLooking ahead, Norway appears committed to prolonging and potentially increasing oil and gas production well into the 2030s and beyond. Chief economist Terje Sørenes of the Norwegian Offshore Directorate indicates the aim is to "prolong production as long as possible, and increase output" to maintain Europe's energy security.As Europe continues to navigate its energy transition, Norway's position as a reliable supplier of fossil fuels may create tensions with climate goals. The country's ability to balance economic interests with environmental responsibilities will be closely watched, particularly as other European nations accelerate their renewable energy transitions.