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Lead: A Milestone Reflection on Climate ActionIn its 250th edition, the Guardian's Down to Earth newsletter pauses to assess how the world's fight against climate change has unfolded since the high‑water mark of Cop26 in Glasgow, 2021.Looking Back: Cop26’s Promise and the Five‑Year Journey2021‑2022: Nations pledged to limit warming to 1.5°C, set net‑zero targets and pledged to phase out coal.2022‑2023: The Russian invasion of Ukraine and the Iran‑oil conflict drove crude prices above $100 /barrel, exposing fossil‑fuel vulnerabilities.2024‑2025: Populist governments rolled back environmental regulations, while renewable technology became cheaper and more widespread.Numbers That Matter: Public Awareness and Emissions GapsThe “Covering Climate Now” survey found that 80‑89 % of the global public recognise the climate threat and demand government action.Current national plans still point to a projected warming of about 2.8 °C, well above the agreed target.Renewable energy costs have fallen by roughly 70 % since 2020, making clean power “cheap, widely available and overwhelmingly popular.”Why the Momentum Slowed: Geopolitics, Economics and PopulismWar‑driven spikes in oil prices, the re‑election of climate‑skeptical leaders and the rise of populist rhetoric have eroded the optimism that surrounded Cop26, pushing many countries to backtrack on commitments.What Lies Ahead: Hopeful Trends and Persistent ChallengesDespite setbacks, advances in clean‑tech, growing public pressure and emerging green‑economy initiatives suggest a pathway forward, but the intertwined climate‑biodiversity‑economy crises demand coordinated global action.

The LeadNew Jersey officials have declared a state of emergency and imposed a curfew in response to intensifying immigration protests that have swept across the state. The measures, announced late Thursday, mark a significant escalation in how authorities are addressing the growing demonstrations that have entered their second week.The Emergency DeclarationGovernor Phil Murphy signed the executive order establishing the curfew, which will run from 9 p.m. to 5 a.m. daily in affected municipalities. The declaration grants state police additional authority to maintain order and restrict assembly during nighttime hours. 'These extraordinary measures are necessary to protect both the protesters and the general public,' stated Murphy during a press conference.The protests, which began as demonstrations against recent federal immigration policies, have evolved into broader expressions of discontent over immigrant rights and treatment. Multiple cities across New Jersey have reported clashes between demonstrators and law enforcement, with property damage and arrests occurring in several locations.The Regional ResponseNew Jersey's action follows similar measures taken by neighboring states, including New York and Connecticut, which have also implemented heightened security protocols. The tri-state coordination represents a unified approach to managing what officials describe as 'unprecedented civil unrest' related to immigration issues.Immigrant advocacy groups have criticized the curfew as an infringement on constitutional rights. 'Peaceful assembly is a fundamental American right,' said Maria Rodriguez, spokesperson for the New Jersey Immigrant Coalition. 'This curfew disproportionately targets immigrant communities and will only escalate tensions rather than address the root causes of the protests.'The Economic ImpactThe ongoing demonstrations and subsequent curfew have begun to affect local economies, particularly in areas with high concentrations of immigrant-owned businesses. Several restaurants, retail shops, and service providers have reported reduced customer traffic and have adjusted their operating hours to comply with the curfew.Local chambers of commerce estimate that businesses in affected areas could lose millions of dollars in revenue during the duration of the emergency measures. Tourism officials are also concerned about potential long-term impacts on New Jersey's reputation as a welcoming destination.The Political FalloutThe curfew has quickly become a political flashpoint, with state legislators already planning hearings to examine the governor's emergency powers. Republican lawmakers have accused Murphy of overreach, while Democratic allies have expressed support for maintaining public safety.Nationally, the situation in New Jersey has drawn attention from both major parties, with immigration advocates and opponents alike using the events to advance their respective narratives. The Biden administration has issued a statement calling for 'calm and dialogue' while acknowledging the 'legitimate concerns' of protesters.The Path ForwardLegal experts anticipate that the curfew will face immediate legal challenges, with civil liberties organizations preparing to file injunctions. Constitutional law professor Jennifer Williams noted that 'while states have broad emergency powers, restrictions on assembly during nighttime hours have historically been subject to strict scrutiny by courts.'As the situation continues to develop, community leaders are calling for dialogue between protesters and officials to address the underlying issues driving the demonstrations. The coming days will likely determine whether the curfew successfully de-escalates tensions or further polarizes an already divided state.

Bipartisan Push to Strip Section 224 from the 2026 NDAADemocratic Ro Khanna and Republican Thomas Massie have announced a joint amendment to delete Section 224, a clause that would create an “executive agent” to synchronize U.S. and Israeli defense‑technology programs. Their collaboration marks an unusual alliance between a progressive and a libertarian as they confront a provision many see as a backdoor to deeper military integration.What Section 224 Would Have MandatedThe provision requires the Secretary of Defense to designate an executive agent responsible for “synchronising cooperative efforts” between the United States and Israel, covering research, development, testing, evaluation, integration and industrial cooperation on defence technology.Creates a permanent liaison office within the Pentagon.Oversees joint AI‑driven surveillance, anti‑drone and anti‑tunnel projects.Blurs the line between foreign aid and joint R&D, potentially masking the cost of U.S. support.Financial Scale and Public SentimentThe 2026 National Defense Authorization Act totals roughly $1.15 trillion. While the bill contains a broader “Matters relating to Israel” section, Section 224 is singled out for its technology‑focused language.Recent polling by The New York Times and Siena College shows 57 % of U.S. voters oppose additional economic and military aid to Israel, and 62 % disapprove of the Israeli‑Palestinian conflict overall. The war in Gaza has already claimed more than 75,000 lives, fueling a historic low in American support for Israel.Political Ramifications for US‑Israel Defense TiesThe bipartisan effort underscores a growing willingness to question the “unconditional” nature of U.S. support. While some Republicans, such as Derrick Van Orden, label criticism of the measure as anti‑Semitic, others argue that the technology partnership could entangle U.S. forces in conflicts where Israeli tactics—such as the 2024 pager‑rigging incident—have caused civilian casualties.Khanna’s amendment also revives a broader anti‑war coalition that previously pushed for the release of Jeffrey Epstein files, indicating a strategic use of defense‑budget oversight to advance transparency and limit overseas entanglements.Outlook: What Happens Next in the Legislative ProcessIf the House Armed Services Committee adopts the amendment, the provision will face a floor vote where party leadership is expected to defend the broader Israel‑friendly provisions of the NDAA. However, the public backlash and the rare bipartisan front could force leadership to negotiate a compromise, possibly reshaping how future defence aid is structured—shifting from direct aid to more transparent, project‑based collaborations.Stakeholders to watch include the Pentagon’s Office of the Secretary of Defense, Israeli defence ministries, and advocacy groups on both sides of the aid debate. The next key dates are the committee markup scheduled for early June and the full House vote slated for late July.

The Lead-Up to the Election Ethiopians vote on Monday in a general election to choose members of parliament, who will in turn select the next prime minister. The National Election Board of Ethiopia (NEBE) said 47 political parties and more than 10,900 candidates are in the race, including 2,198 for the federal parliament, 8,736 for regional and city councils and 73 independents. The Main Political Parties The contest brings together ruling, opposition, regional and independent politicians under Ethiopia’s federal parliamentary system, where the government is formed through a parliamentary majority and MPs select the prime minister. The Prosperity Party (PP) The Prosperity Party is the ruling political party in Ethiopia, led by Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed. It was formed in 2019 following the merger of several regional parties that previously made up the Ethiopian People’s Revolutionary Democratic Front (EPRDF). The party holds a majority in the House of Peoples’ Representatives following the 2021 general election. The National Movement of Amhara (NAMA) The National Movement of Amhara is a regional political party operating mainly in Ethiopia’s Amhara region. It is led by Belete Molla and participates in Ethiopia’s federal parliamentary elections through constituency-based contests. Ethiopian Citizens for Social Justice (EZEMA) The Ethiopian Citizens for Social Justice is a national political party led by Berhanu Nega. Formed in 2019, it has participated in national elections since 2021 and operates across multiple regions. The Peace for Ethiopia Coalition The Peace for Ethiopia coalition is an alliance of smaller regional parties, including the Agew National Council, Gamo Democratic Party, Gambella Peoples’ Freedom Movement, Kaffa Green Party, and Tigray Democratic Cooperation. Electoral Stakes and Political Environment The election will determine the composition of Ethiopia’s federal government and which party or coalition controls parliament. Elected MPs will select the prime minister, who then forms the federal government. Voter Engagement and Demographics NEBE reports that more than 50 million people are registered to vote in the election. Young people make up a large share of the population, with a median age of about 19 years, according to UN population estimates. Women account for around half of registered voters.

Colombian Voters Head to Polls in First Round of Presidential RacePolls opened across the country for the inaugural round of Colombia’s presidential election, featuring a left‑wing lawmaker, an independent businessman and a right‑wing senator vying to succeed President Gustavo Petro. A heavy security presence and a ban on public alcohol sales aim to keep tensions low. Poll Numbers and Candidate StandingsIvan Cepeda (government‑aligned senator) – 33.4% in the latest CNC poll, currently the frontrunner.Abelardo De La Espriella (businessman) – second place, campaigning on hard‑line security and megaprison projects.Paloma Valencia (senator backed by former President Alvaro Uribe) – third, would become Colombia’s first female president if elected.Fourteen candidates in total are contesting the presidency. If no one surpasses the 50% threshold, the top two will face a runoff on June 21. Implications for Colombia’s Political Landscape and SecurityThe result will gauge the durability of Petro’s left‑wing legacy, including his “Total Peace” negotiations with armed groups. A Cepeda victory could extend Petro’s social‑reform agenda, while a win for De La Espriella or Valencia would likely shift policy toward a tougher security stance, echoing approaches seen in El Salvador.Violence remains a concern; last year candidate Miguel Uribe Turbay was assassinated, underscoring the persistent threat from paramilitaries, drug cartels and rebel factions. What the First Round Results Could Mean for a Run‑offShould the vote fall short of the 50% mark, a June runoff will force the left‑wing and right‑wing blocs to consolidate around a single contender, potentially reshaping alliances. Analysts warn that a fragmented right could coalesce behind a hard‑line candidate, while the left may need to rally behind Cepeda to preserve Petro’s reforms.

The LeadJapanese Defence Minister Shinjiro Koizumi has dismissed claims that Tokyo is pursuing “new militarism” and accused China of rapidly expanding its military with limited transparency. Koizumi's Address at Shangri-La DialogueKoizumi made these statements on Sunday at the Shangri-La Dialogue in Singapore, where he emphasized that China's external approach and military activities are matters of serious concern for Japan and the international community. He highlighted China's increasing defence spending and questioned why Japan is labelled 'new militarism' despite having neither nuclear weapons nor strategic bombers. The Data Analysis China continues to increase its defence spending at a high level. Japan has been reshaping its own defence policy, including scrapping a ban on lethal weapons exports. The Impact AnalysisKoizumi stressed Japan's commitment to international law and the United Nations Charter, as well as its efforts to uphold a “free and open international order.” He also emphasized the importance of transparency and dialogue, lamenting that China had not sent its defence minister to the conference. The PredictionKoizumi reaffirmed Japan’s commitment to dialogue with China and other regional players to foster stability. He also praised US Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth for his commitment to the Asia Pacific and stressed the continued need for strong coalitions globally, stating, “Division weakens deterrence. Unity strengthens deterrence.”

Colin Matthews: A Life of Influence on UK Classical Music It's hard to think of a single figure who has been so influential on contemporary UK classical music for so long as Colin Matthews, who turned 80 earlier this year. This release from the Nash Ensemble, conducted by Jessica Cottis, showcases his works for voice and chamber group. The Kaleidoscopic Sound World of Seascapes What's striking throughout these four song cycles is the kaleidoscopic sound world he creates with such forensic precision, whether he has seven players to work with or 17. The songs teem with detail; some would almost work without the singer. And yet the vocal line remains the focus. Exploring the Album's Tracks The Island (2007), setting three poems by Rilke, was written for Claire Booth's cool-water soprano; she's also the soloist in Seascapes (2020) and A Land of Rain (2017), and sounds as vibrant as ever, even if occasionally the words get lost in the supple musical lines she is sculpting. In 2018's As Time Returns, it's the baritone Marcus Farnsworth who sings Ivan Blatný's poetry, with honeyed tone and disarming clarity. A Land of Rain: A Study in Interpretation The largest-scale work is A Land of Rain: 10 songs setting words by the poet Nicholas Moore, taken from the 31 different translations he made of a single Baudelaire poem (entries to a newspaper competition, submitted under 31 variously silly pseudonyms). Matthews's music, moving chameleon-like through different styles, brings them alive as a study in how words can be reinterpreted from a myriad of angles. The last song sets the French original – and as the musical strands finally coalesce, in almost Mahlerian style, it's as if all the other songs were a daydream. Listening to Seascapes Listen on Apple Music (above) or Spotify

The Decline of the European Green Wave European Green parties have entered a phase of stagnation and crisis, marking a sharp contrast to the 'green wave' that swept across the continent in 2019. While Green parties secured their best-ever result in the European parliament elections that year—winning 74 seats—they have since been forced out of nearly all governing coalitions. This period is characterized by a 'greenlash,' a growing public backlash against climate policies and green projects, leading to election results that have failed to meet expectations. The UK Green Party's Resurgence under Zack Polanski In stark contrast to the continental downturn, the Green Party of England and Wales has experienced a meteoric rise under its new leader, Zack Polanski. Since winning the leadership election in September 2025, the party has shifted its messaging strategy significantly. Polanski has moved away from environmental protection as the sole dominant theme, instead focusing on economic inequality, the cost of living, housing, and rent prices. The party has also adopted a clear stance on social issues, including condemnation of the genocide in Gaza and support for trans rights, positioning itself firmly against the Labour party on these fronts. Economic Inequality as a Driver of Support Data analysis of the UK elections reveals a critical shift in voter demographics. The party's strategy of emphasizing redistribution and social justice has proven highly effective. A report by Persuasion UK indicated that Green voters were equally likely to cite redistribution and taxes as their primary motivators as they were climate breakdown. Notably, the Greens have found a strong foothold among financially insecure voters. Among this demographic with liberal social attitudes, 47% voted for the Greens, compared to only 25% for Labour. This contrasts with many European Green parties, which traditionally rely on support from highly educated, financially secure voters. Beyond Left vs. Right: The Three Pillars of Success The UK model offers three distinct lessons for European parties seeking to reverse their fortunes: Emphasize Economic Inequality: Broadening the agenda to include redistributive policies does not damage credibility on climate issues; rather, it expands the electoral coalition. Hold Strong Positions on Social Issues: Taking a clear, unwavering stance on progressive identity politics (such as trans rights) creates space to discuss economic agendas without getting bogged down in culture wars. Embrace Progressive Identity Politics: The party has successfully become a home for activists and voters disillusioned with traditional party structures, engaging with nightlife and cultural spaces to build a grassroots movement. The Future Outlook: A Dominant Left-Wing Coalition? The perceived 'greenlash' has caused many European Green parties to become hesitant and moderate, watering down their demands. However, the UK experience suggests a different path: be bolder and clearer in messaging. Given the current weakness of many social democratic parties across Europe, there is a unique opportunity for Green parties to broaden their appeal. By adopting this strategy of economic focus and progressive identity, Green parties could potentially evolve from niche movements into the dominant left-of-centre force in European politics.

The Legal Setback for Voting Rights AdvocatesThe legal battle over President Donald Trump’s attempt to tighten mail-in voting rules has taken a significant turn. Judge Carl Nichols of the District of Columbia has rejected a request by Democrats and civil rights groups to immediately block the executive order. This decision means the administration can continue moving forward with the implementation of the measure, which seeks to restrict how ballots are distributed.Judge Nichols' Rationale for Denying Immediate ReliefThe core of the ruling lies in the judge's assessment of timing. Nichols, a Trump appointee, ruled that the challengers' case was premature because the executive order has not yet been enforced. He acknowledged that the administration is still developing the specific rules and procedures required to carry out the directive.The Executive Order's Core Requirements: The measure calls on the Department of Homeland Security to compile lists of confirmed US citizens and requires the United States Postal Service (USPS) to send mail-in ballots only to voters on state-specific absentee lists.The Legal Argument: The plaintiffs argued that the order likely violates the US Constitution, which reserves the authority to set election rules for states and Congress, not the President.The Judge's View: Nichols concluded that the potential harms were too speculative at this stage, noting that Plaintiffs could renew their motions if and when the administration enforces the final rules.The Political Stakes in the 2026 MidtermsThe timing of this ruling carries significant weight for the upcoming political landscape. The ruling comes as Trump’s Republican Party faces a tight battle to maintain control of both chambers of Congress in the November 2026 midterm elections. By allowing the order to proceed without an immediate injunction, the court has effectively kept the issue of election integrity and mail-in voting at the forefront of the political discourse.The Constitutional Clash Over Election AdministrationThis ruling highlights a deepening constitutional conflict regarding the separation of powers in election administration. Voting rights groups have warned that relying on federal citizenship databases from the DHS and Social Security Administration could lead to the erroneous exclusion of legally registered voters due to outdated or inaccurate data. Furthermore, the lawsuit raised concerns that placing the responsibility for ballot distribution on the USPS—which does not directly administer elections—could create confusion and disrupt the voting process.The Road Ahead: Future Legal Battles and Potential InjunctionsWhile Judge Nichols has denied the immediate block, the legal fight is far from over. The ruling opens the door for future litigation once the administration enforces the order. US District Judge Indira Talwani in Boston is already scheduled to hear a similar case filed by a coalition of Democratic-led states on June 2. Additionally, the administration is appealing previous rulings that blocked other executive orders on citizenship requirements and ballot deadlines. Analysts predict that as the administration moves to implement these specific rules, the courts will likely face renewed pressure to intervene.