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The LeadBritain is experiencing a profound political-economic churn as Andy Burnham's potential rise to power challenges the established economic order. The recent market reaction to Burnham's fiscal rule proposals reveals how deeply entrenched Britain's economic settlement has become and the formidable barriers facing any attempt to transform it.The Political-Economic Churn ExplainedBritain is currently experiencing two simultaneous churns. The first is electoral, evidenced by May's local elections where Labour lost roughly 1,100 councillors, Reform won 1,257 seats and 10 councils, and the Greens won Hackney and Lewisham. This fragmentation of the progressive vote has visibly weakened the container for transformative politics.The second churn is deeper, touching Britain's fundamental political economy. As Burnham noted, Britain has been 'on the wrong course for 40 years' – referring to the financialisation, privatisation, hollowed-out public services and wealth transfer that have characterized the late 1970s to present economic settlement.The Fiscal Rules BattleBurnham's potential project requires a state capable of funding major social-democratic initiatives: council homes, clean energy, public transport, water, skills and resilience. These ambitions collide with Rachel Reeves's fiscal rules – self-imposed borrowing limits that are political choices, not laws of nature.Three weeks ago, Burnham tested these boundaries by proposing a 'defence carve-out' allowing extra borrowing for defense outside fiscal rules, similar to Germany's approach. The subsequent market reaction – pound pressure, rising gilt yields, warnings against public ownership of Thames Water – forced a retreat. Burnham's team subsequently announced he would make no changes to Reeves's fiscal rules if he became prime minister.Market Discipline and PowerThe retreat reveals how power operates in Britain's economic architecture. It's not merely 'the markets' but Treasury rules, Bank of England decisions, pension fund structures and investor expectations that combine to discipline any politics threatening the established settlement.Chancellors have always rewritten fiscal rules when convenient – Gordon Brown had his golden rule, George Osborne his surplus target, Philip Hammond and Rishi Sunak revised frameworks, Jeremy Hunt and Reeves changed them again. The crucial question is who gets to change them and for what purpose.The Three Progressive FightsProgressives now face three critical battles. First, fiscal: democracy must regain power to invest based on national need rather than market nerves. This requires a Bank of England mandate recognizing that inflation stems from both excessive demand and insufficient capacity.Second, ownership: public goods should be built and owned in the public interest. Thames Water entering special administration offers a starting point, with regional public housing corporations potentially building at scale on public land.Third, constitutional: proportional representation for Westminster, an elected second chamber and deeper devolution are not procedural details but essential conditions for progressive power in a fragmented country. PR could allow a broad progressive majority to govern together against established forces.Burnham was right: Britain has been on the wrong course for 40 years. But last week demonstrated the harder truth – the old settlement will not politely bow out. It will price risk, police boundaries and demand reassurance before the argument even begins. The churn is far from over.

The Disappearance of Indonesia's 'Eternity Glaciers' An expedition to document the end days of the last tropical glaciers in Oceania has revealed sombre footage of “planetary destruction on fast-forward”. The State of Puncak Jaya's Glaciers The once-mighty ice sheets on Puncak Jaya, a mountain surrounded by dense rainforests in West Papua, Indonesia, have survived beyond projections they would disappear by 2026 but have shrunk to a fraction of their original size. The most significant of the two remaining glaciers, which are known locally as “eternal snow” and referred to in English as the “eternity glaciers”, has lost 95% of its area since 2002, the expedition found. The Data Behind the Disappearance Papua’s tropical glaciers lost 97% of their ice mass between 1980 and 2024, Indonesian researchers found in a study published last month. Four of its six glaciers have completely disappeared, and they project the final two will be gone by the end of the decade. 97% of ice mass lost between 1980 and 2024 4 out of 6 glaciers have completely disappeared The remaining 2 glaciers are expected to disappear by the end of the decade The Impact of Climate Change Carbon pollution and the destruction of nature has heated the planet by about 1.4C since preindustrial times, making it less hospitable to human life. Glaciers are projected to lose a quarter of their global mass by 2100, even in a best-case scenario for cutting emissions, with devastating consequences for drinking water and food security. The Future Outlook “The ice will be gone: it’s not a question of if, it’s a question of when,” said Klaus Thymann, a Danish explorer and the founder of Project Pressure, an environmental charity. “And ‘when’ is coming very, very soon.”

The Lead: Juventus Faces Unprecedented CrisisFormer Juventus president Andrea Agnelli and sporting director Fabio Paratici found themselves at the center of a storm as the Italian football club faced mounting financial and ethical challenges. In a revealing podcast, Agnelli expressed feeling like he was "selling my soul" amid the turmoil that would eventually lead to the departure of the club's leadership and significant sanctions from Italian football authorities.The Financial Practices Under ScrutinyThe crisis at Juventus centers on controversial financial practices, particularly around player transfer valuations known as "plusvalenze." These accounting methods allowed the club to inflate the value of player sales, creating an artificial balance sheet that masked the club's true financial position. The investigation revealed a systematic approach to financial manipulation that extended over several years, involving complex structures to move player rights and inflate values.The Leadership FalloutAs the investigation intensified, Agnelli and Paratici faced increasing pressure. Agnelli's emotional admission of feeling like he was "selling my soul" reflects the moral compromises he believed were necessary to maintain Juventus' competitive edge. The leadership duo eventually resigned in 2023, ending an era that had seen Juventus dominate Italian football but also accumulate significant financial and reputational risks.The Impact on Italian FootballThe Juventus crisis sent shockwaves through Italian football, raising questions about financial governance across Serie A. The scandal prompted a broader investigation into financial practices at other clubs and led to significant sanctions, including point deductions and financial penalties. The incident has damaged the reputation of Italian football globally and forced a reckoning with financial practices that had become normalized in the sport.The Future Outlook for JuventusIn the aftermath of the crisis, Juventus faces the challenge of rebuilding both its financial stability and its reputation. The club has implemented new governance structures and financial controls to prevent similar issues in the future. However, the sanctions have hampered their on-field performance, and regaining their position as Italy's dominant football club will require both time and a renewed commitment to ethical practices. The crisis has also prompted discussions about reforming financial regulations in Italian football to prevent similar situations in the future.

The Lead The European Union's deregulation agenda has sparked controversy, with critics arguing that it may undermine the EU's regulatory power and ability to shape global markets. The agenda, championed by Ursula von der Leyen, aims to simplify laws and reduce regulatory burdens on businesses. The Event Details In July 2024, a European Union law came into force requiring plastic bottle caps to remain attached to their bottles. The regulation was widely mocked by social-media jokesters and Silicon Valley billionaires alike. However, the evidence behind it shows that plastic bottle caps have been identified as among the top items found littering European beaches. The Data Analysis The OECD's latest data shows that the regulatory burden on European business has arguably risen only modestly over the past 15 years. The European Commission's own estimate of the annual savings from its entire simplification programme is €12bn, or roughly 0.07% of EU GDP. The Impact Analysis The deregulation agenda playing out in Brussels is precisely what Washington has been demanding through every available lever: weaker European rule-making, greater access for American firms and a continent less able to offer an economic or even ideological alternative to the US model. Europe's rules are not necessarily constraints, but at their best, they are instruments of power. The Prediction The timing of this push for deregulation is not a coincidence. The Trump administration formally designated Europe's digital rules as trade barriers, threatened punitive tariffs if Brussels refused to weaken them and demanded their rollback as a condition for any deal on steel and aluminium. The question is whether Europe retains the will to be itself – a political project that uses rules to protect its people and shape global markets – or whether, in the name of competitiveness, it surrenders that power to exactly the interests that want that power gone.

The Return of Alleged ISIL Supporters A group of 19 women and children with alleged links to ISIL (ISIS) has returned to Australia, with the government warning that anyone found to have engaged in criminal activity will be prosecuted. The six women and 13 children arrived from a Syrian refugee camp on Tuesday, with one group landing in Sydney and the other in Melbourne. Government Response and Public Reaction It is the second cohort of Australian women and children to return from Syria this month. Responding to criticism over their arrival, the Australian government said it had not assisted them in any capacity. “These are people who have made the horrific choice to join a dangerous terrorist organisation and to place their children in an unspeakable situation,” Minister for Home Affairs Tony Burke said. The group’s return has sparked anger in some sections of Australian society. According to local media, a large police presence was deployed at Melbourne airport, where a scuffle reportedly broke out as the group of women and children was escorted out through a side entrance. Background and International Context Australian women began travelling to Syria to marry members of ISIL in 2012, with some allegedly taken against their will. At the height of its power in 2015, ISIL controlled territory across Syria and Iraq roughly equivalent in size to the United Kingdom. Australia is one of several Western countries that have shown reluctance to repatriate citizens who travelled to the Middle East to join ISIL about a decade ago. Both France and the UK have expressed opposition to allowing former ISIL members to return. Security Concerns and Expert Analysis Afzal Ashraf, a visiting fellow at Loughborough University specialising in international relations and security, said the risk posed by people returning from countries including Syria needs to be viewed proportionately. “There will be some security challenges, because people like this are likely to suffer from issues such as PTSD,” Ashraf told Al Jazeera. “The fact of the matter is that there are security challenges in Australia and other countries, but statistically speaking, the return of these nationals doesn’t increase that risk very much, while the threat to life from terrorism is far lower than the threat posed by road accidents, for example.”

The Lead: Zero-Hours Contracts Divide Ministers and BusinessesMinisters should press ahead with a ban on zero-hours contracts, campaigners say, despite claims by business leaders that it would deter hiring and lock more young people out of the labour market. The Child Poverty Action Group and the union umbrella organisation the TUC were among eight signatories to a letter to the department of business and trade calling on the government to "ignore the noise" from businesses, which want zero-hours contracts to remain.The Political Standoff: Campaigners vs. Business LeadersThe debate over zero-hours contracts has created a clear divide between worker advocates and business interests. Campaigners argue that these contracts create insecurity for workers, while business leaders warn that banning them would reduce flexibility and potentially lead to fewer jobs. The British Retail Consortium and UKHospitality have written to Business Secretary Peter Kyle stating that reduced flexibility in work contracts will lead to fewer jobs. Meanwhile, a new report by the Institute of Directors showed that 86% of business leaders believe the Employment Rights Act will have a negative impact on UK economic growth, up from 72% a year ago.The Regulatory Timeline: From Royal Assent to Implementation DelayLast year, the Employment Rights Act gained royal assent, but many of the detailed provisions were left blank, allowing ministers to phase in implementation over a period of years. Peter Kyle, the business secretary, has overseen a delay in the launch of a planned consultation on zero-hours contracts that was due to begin in January. It is understood the department will ask for submissions before the end of the summer, before implementing new rules next year. Business leaders are concerned that delays in the consultation process will not give them time to adjust their workplace practices if new rules are agreed.The Economic Impact: Business Leaders' ConcernsBusiness leaders have expressed significant concerns about the potential economic consequences of banning zero-hours contracts. Lord Wolfson, chair of the retailer Next, stated that while he favours eliminating zero-hours contracts in most sectors, the new rules would prove costly for retailers "because the risk is you then have to contract for those hours for ever." The Institute of Directors report highlighting that 86% of business leaders believe the Employment Rights Act will negatively impact UK economic growth underscores the depth of business concern about this regulatory change.The Worker Perspective: Insecurity and PovertyFrom the workers' perspective, zero-hours contracts create significant financial insecurity. More than a million people in the UK work to a zero-hours contract, from hospitality and warehouses to the NHS. Hundreds of thousands of them have worked for the same employer for years, yet lack guaranteed hours. Paul Nowak, the TUC general secretary, noted that many workers do not know how much they will earn each week, "and lack of security over hours makes it hard for workers to plan their lives, budget and look after their children." Many are unable to get mortgages and other forms of cheap credit when employers can reduce their hours to zero. Alison Garnham, chief executive of the Child Poverty Action Group, emphasized how these contracts affect working parents: "All too often working parents find themselves without enough to make ends meet – as their hours are cut at a moment's notice or they pay for childcare only to find their shifts are cancelled."The Government's Dilemma: Balancing Rights and Business InterestsThe government faces a difficult balancing act between protecting workers' rights and maintaining a business-friendly environment. The upcoming report by former health secretary Alan Milburn is expected to accuse the government of failing to meet the needs of young people out of work, education and training, putting further pressure on Business Secretary Peter Kyle to show that new employment laws will support job creation. The TUC has attempted to address business concerns by noting that the right to a regular-hours contract would not affect holiday jobs as it "is set to be based on a reference period over several months which will even out peaks and troughs." Other signatories to the letter urging action include the women's rights group the Fawcett Society, the employment thinktank the Work Foundation, and the campaigning organisations 38 Degrees and the Young Women's Trust.

The Passing of a Jazz Colossus: Sonny Rollins at 95Legendary saxophonist Sonny Rollins has died at the age of 95, leaving behind a legacy that redefined the boundaries of jazz improvisation. Often hailed as the "greatest living improviser," Rollins was not merely a musician who played songs, but a visionary who transformed them into spontaneous, ever-evolving masterpieces.The Art of the Spontaneous MasterpieceRollins's genius lay in his ability to treat familiar standards—such as St Thomas and Mack the Knife—as mere triggers for his extraordinary imagination. His performances were characterized by a unique blend of dissonance and melodic recall, described as a "conjuror spinning plates" that kept the familiar melody in motion while exploring abstract variations.Technical Mastery: His "inner metronome" was so strong that he often pulled bands along rather than following them.Physicality: His stage presence was iconic, marked by a lurching, shambling figure and a characteristic emphatic shoulder shrug on accents.Iconic Albums: Landmark recordings like Saxophone Colossus (1956) and Way Out West (1957) remain essential listening for jazz enthusiasts.A Legacy of Enduring Record Sales and Cultural RecognitionRollins's career spanned over seven decades, a rarity in the music industry. His influence is quantified not just by sales, but by the profound respect he garnered from peers and institutions alike.Historical Impact: He was a pivotal figure in the hard-bop movement, working alongside Clifford Brown and Max Roach.Civic Honors: In 2010, he was awarded the National Medal of Arts by Barack Obama at the White House.Longevity: He continued to perform solo sets into his 80s, maintaining a rigorous touring schedule without a support act.Redefining Jazz Improvisation and PerformanceRollins's approach to music was revolutionary. He pioneered the use of the Williamsburg Bridge in New York as a practice space, leading to the creation of his 1962 album The Bridge. His later work, influenced by trips to India and Japan, incorporated elements of funk, soul, and calypso, expanding the genre's reach beyond traditional jazz circles.The Lasting Resonance of the "Saxophone Colossus"While Rollins battled self-doubt and took significant sabbaticals to refine his craft, his return to the stage always brought a renewed intensity. His death marks the end of an era for jazz, but his recordings ensure that his unique voice—blending lyrical storytelling with aggressive, freewheeling spontaneity—will continue to inspire musicians for generations to come.

The Editorial’s Core ArgumentThe piece contends that successive governments have proclaimed a recovery in Britain’s pockets long before ordinary people have felt it, turning optimistic rhetoric into a political tool.Historical Use of “Green Shoots” as Political RhetoricIn October 1991, Chancellor Norman Lamont warned of “green shoots” amid a deep recession. The phrase resurfaced under George Osborne in 2013 and most recently under Prime Minister Rishi Sunak ahead of the 2024 election, only to be rejected by voters who elected Labour in a landslide.Mixed Economic Data Undercut the OptimismUnemployment rose unexpectedly to 5% in the last quarter, with one in seven young people job‑seeking.Vacancies fell to their lowest level since early 2021.The Resolution Foundation projects real household disposable income to grow by just 1.1% over the next five years.Productivity, according to Prof John Van Reenen, is now rising at 1.6% per year since Q3 2024, up from 0.3% in the previous decade.Chancellor Rachel Reeves cites the IMF’s approval as validation, but the data suggest a fragmented picture.Political Consequences of Overstated GrowthThe editorial warns that Labour’s narrative of a rapid take‑off may be premature. Voters are not feeling better off, and the comparison should shift from post‑2014 politics to a Labour‑vs‑Tory analysis under “Trussonomics”, where fiscal rules and private‑investment reliance dominate.What the Next Year May Hold for the UK Economic NarrativeIf productivity gains prove sustainable, they could eventually translate into broader prosperity, but without stronger wage growth and job creation the political narrative will likely falter. The coming months will test whether Labour can convert early signs into tangible improvements for households or whether “green shoots” will remain a rhetorical flourish.

The Rise and Fall of a Rising ManagerAfter Francesco Farioli surrendered a nine-point lead in his final five matches at Ajax, he felt the word 'loser' had been stamped across his forehead. Clubs that had pursued him quietly stepped back and his rise abruptly stalled. This dramatic fall from grace came just months after he had been considered one of European football's brightest managerial talents.Now, after an impressive campaign at Porto, the 37-year-old Italian is again one of Europe's most sought-after coaches. His journey from the depths of despair to the pinnacle of success in Portuguese football serves as a compelling narrative about resilience and the unpredictable nature of football management.The Porto TransformationPorto's title triumph, wrapped up with two games to spare, came 12 months after Ajax's collapse enabled PSV to become Dutch champions. It is a sign of Farioli's status that he was linked with Chelsea before they appointed Xabi Alonso, raising fears among Porto supporters of an early departure. They remember what happened 15 years ago when André Villas-Boas was prised away to Stamford Bridge after winning the league.Farioli, though, insists the club and fans have nothing to worry about. "I feel I need to go again and push again – now the expectations are even higher," he says. "Three weeks ago, from the outside, I had big question marks on my head. Now there is an exclamation mark that needs to be confirmed and proved."A Calculated Risk Pays OffVillas-Boas is Porto's president these days, voted in just over two years ago, and the trust he placed in Farioli has been good for both parties. Porto had gone three seasons without the title before Farioli's arrival."I was really looking for a club with people who had the same motivation I had – a spirit of overturning a failure or something that went wrong – after the very heavy season I had at Ajax," Farioli says. The Italian inherited a Porto squad that had experienced a chaotic season marked by two managerial changes, a third-placed finish and the loss of Champions League football."The president's decision to give me this opportunity was remarkable, especially after a year with two young coaches [Vítor Bruno and Martín Anselmi] already," Farioli says. "Choosing a third one – and someone who had 'loser' stamped on his head – was not a rational move. But André Villas-Boas had faith and deep belief."An Unconventional Path to SuccessFarioli's path has differed greatly from that of most elite managers. At 23 he was studying philosophy at the University of Florence and he started working in top-level football as a goalkeeping coach under Roberto De Zerbi at Benevento and Sassuolo.His first head coach role came six years ago at Fatih Karagumruk in Turkey, when he became the youngest manager in Turkish top-flight history. Since leaving that country he has spent a season each at Nice (finishing fifth), Ajax and Porto.The Defensive MasterclassWith those three teams he recorded the best defensive record in the league, Porto conceding 18 goals in 34 matches last season. Their change in attitude under Farioli was unmistakable. Porto pressed relentlessly, never backed down from duels and stayed united in difficult moments. The commitment was obvious to supporters, who applauded the players' effort in every match."Metrics like total distance, high-speed running and sprint distance have been very reliable indicators for us throughout the season," Farioli says. "In almost all matches we managed to outperform our opponents in these areas, and that gave us important confirmation about the effectiveness of our physical planning and workload management."Emotional Resilience and Team UnityThe squad also united emotionally after the death of Jorge Costa, the football director, at the training ground in the opening days of the season. The club flag that covered his coffin was hung inside the stadium from one of the stands – a constant reminder of what they were fighting for.Farioli held tightly to one sentence Costa uttered in his final days: "We have a team again." As part of his reboot Farioli took new players to the club museum. "Porto needed to reconnect with certain values and rediscover the mystique that, in recent seasons, had partially faded away," he says. "But it was also essential to change the emotional atmosphere around the team: to bring back enthusiasm for the work, serenity inside the environment, and the desire to feel like a true team."Tactical Philosophy and Key PlayersFor Farioli, the goalkeeper is the keystone tactically – creating numerical superiority in the first phase of buildup and attracting pressure to open central spaces. In Diogo Costa, the Portugal keeper who passes with the poise of a midfielder, he found the ideal fit. Costa can pinpoint the free man under heavy pressure. "The goalkeeper has a very particular perspective on football because he sees the game globally," Farioli says.In front of Costa, the Polish duo Jan Bednarek and Jakub Kiwior formed a towering defensive wall. Often they were the only players behind the halfway line as Porto operated with an exceptionally high defensive line. Just ahead of them stood the team's breakout star, Victor Froholdt. The 20-year-old Danish midfielder, signed for €20m (£17.3m) from Copenhagen, was initially regarded as a risky investment but emerged as a key player in Farioli's system.The Road AheadAs Porto celebrates their title triumph, questions arise about Farioli's future. His name has been linked with several top European clubs, and his success at Porto has only increased his market value. The 37-year-old manager, however, remains focused on the present and the challenges that lie ahead."They had the freedom to hit us with a bazooka," Farioli says of the anonymous questionnaires he gives his players as he prepares for next season. This approach of seeking honest feedback and maintaining open communication exemplifies his management style and commitment to continuous improvement.Whatever the future holds, Francesco Farioli has already proven that he can overcome adversity, transform struggling teams, and silence his critics. His journey from being branded a 'loser' to becoming a champion manager serves as an inspiration in the unpredictable world of football management.