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The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has released its latest World Economic Outlook, warning of a significantly darkened global economic outlook. The report cites the outbreak of war in the Middle East on February 28, 2026, as a major factor in the deteriorating outlook.The IMF's January report was titled “Steady amid Divergent Forces”; whereas the latest outlook is headlined “Global Economy in the Shadow of War”. The IMF now expects the global economy to slow compared to its previous forecast in January.The latest outlook notes that the global outlook has abruptly darkened following the outbreak of war. Far be it for the IMF to gloat, but its suggestion in January that “steady” was not a word to describe the global economy unless you were desperately trying to make the madness of Donald Trump seem normal has aged quite well.The IMF remains unwilling to name Donald Trump, while noting the lingering effects of the persistent rise in energy prices since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. However, it only talks about the Middle East conflict as though it sprang out of nowhere.The IMF warns of three possible scenarios: a bad scenario where Trump, Israel and Iran come to an agreement; an adverse scenario where things carry on for the rest of the year and oil stays around US$100 per barrel; and a severe scenario where nothing is resolved, oil prices reach $125 in 2027, gas prices increase by 200% over the same period, and food prices increase by 5% in 2026 and 10% in 2027.Even under the current bad scenario, the global economy is expected to slow compared to what the IMF forecast in January. But under the adverse and severe scenarios the global economy grows by just 2.0% this year and 2.2% next year.For context, over the past 40 years, the global economy has grown slower than 2.2% only three times – 1992 (global recession), 2009 (the GFC) and 2020 (Covid).The IMF has downgraded Australia’s growth by more than most. Even under the most optimistic scenario growth is 0.5% worse than was forecast last October – a bigger downgrade than all G7 nations.The IMF warns against governments doing popular things like energy caps or subsidies, designed to protect households and firms. It worries that such policies will increase inflation because we’ll all suddenly have so much more money to spend.Gas companies exporting LNG from Australia will be cheering on the war as it keeps gas prices – and their profits – ever higher. The senate is investigating changing the way gas is taxed. An ACTU proposal for a 25% tax on exports would raise roughly $17bn a year.

Snap Inc, the parent company of Snapchat, has announced plans to lay off 1,000 workers, or 16% of its employees, citing rapid advancements in artificial intelligence as the reason. The social media company informed staff of the decision in an internal memo on Wednesday.The layoffs are part of a wave of tech industry job cuts in the past year, with many firms, including Microsoft, Amazon, and Oracle, blaming AI for the reductions. Snap Inc's CEO, Evan Spiegel, claimed that the layoffs would help the company move towards profitability and suggested that AI could fill the gap left by human labor.In his memo to staff, Spiegel wrote: “While these changes are necessary to realize Snap’s long-term potential, we believe that rapid advancements in artificial intelligence enable our teams to reduce repetitive work, increase velocity, and better support our community, partners, and advertisers.”The company, which employed around 5,200 people as of December last year, had also posted 300 open roles that will no longer be filled. Snap's stock rose around 6% in early trading following the news of the layoffs.The move has sparked concerns about the impact of AI on the labor market, with some experts and workers accusing firms of “AI-washing” layoffs to posture for investors and the market. However, top AI firms such as OpenAI and Anthropic have launched a charm offensive to address AI's potentially harmful effects on the labor market.

Leeds, the largest European city still without a mass‑transit system, may finally see a tram line – but not before the late 2030s. The latest West Yorkshire Mass Transit plan, championed by combined‑authority mayor Tracy Brabin, received a fresh £200 million in development funding, part of a broader £2.1 billion allocation for the region.City council leader James Lewis, who began his career on a 1993 work‑experience placement with the council’s highways department, says the new scheme differs from past attempts. Instead of squeezing trams onto existing bus routes, the proposal envisions a dedicated line that could “float over or under the M621 motorway, similar to the Docklands Light Railway,” linking the White Rose shopping centre, Elland Road stadium, Leeds railway station and St James’s Hospital.The Treasury’s independent review, however, forced the government to demand a fresh business case that proves the need for trams rather than buses. This procedural hurdle has added roughly two years to the timetable, pushing the projected opening into the late 2030s. Brabin acknowledges the setback, noting critics now claim the project is effectively “cancelled,” but she insists the work is merely delayed, not abandoned.Leeds’ transport woes date back to the removal of its historic double‑deck tram network in 1959 and the construction of the M621, which many locals blame for isolating the city’s south side. A 2025 Treasury review warned that previous “Supertram” proposals failed because they could not demonstrate sufficient value for money, leading to the withdrawal of funding in 2005 and the abandonment of a trolley‑bus plan in 2016.Supporters argue the tram is essential for unlocking massive regeneration. Leeds United investor Pete Lowy predicts the line could catalyse up to £1 billion of investment, including 2,500 new homes, retail and leisure space, and a 15,000‑seat stadium expansion. Northern Powerhouse Partnership chief executive Henri Murison points to the emerging South Gateway development in Bradford as evidence that transport‑led investment is already materialising.Critics remain sceptical. Leeds University transport professor Greg Marsden questions how an 18‑year‑long project can still be justified, while local residents voice doubts that a tram can ever be built in a city they consider “not big enough.” Tom Forth, co‑founder of data‑city firm Information Group, blames centralised decision‑making in London, arguing that devolved funding would accelerate delivery.In the meantime, the council is focusing on improving bus services, which will come under public control in 2027. Centre for Cities analyst Rob Johnson notes that increasing bus frequencies could immediately benefit the 390,000 residents currently poorly connected, potentially delivering more mobility gains than a tram in the short term.Nevertheless, Brabin maintains that trams are “more attractive, carry more passengers, and generate more jobs and growth” than buses, and she reaffirms her promise: “I promised a tram, and a tram is what we’re going to get.” The pledge to have “spades in the ground” by 2028 for preparatory works remains on the table, even as the project navigates the Treasury’s stringent process.

The U.S. Southern Command (SOUTHCOM) confirmed on Monday that its forces carried out a kinetic air strike against a boat navigating known narco‑trafficking routes in the eastern Pacific, resulting in the deaths of two men identified as "male narco‑terrorists". The operation was executed under the orders of U.S. Commander General Francis L. Donovan, who cited intelligence reports linking the vessel to Latin American drug‑smuggling networks. A grainy video released alongside the statement shows a stationary craft with outboard engines and nearby fishing‑net floats being hit from the air before erupting in flames. SOUTHCOM described the attack as a "lethal kinetic strike" aimed at disrupting illicit trafficking. This incident marks the second day in a row that U.S. forces have targeted vessels in the Pacific. The previous day, the military reported destroying two boats, killing five individuals and leaving one survivor whose fate remains unclear. SOUTHCOM indicated that the U.S. Coast Guard had been alerted to the survivor's situation. According to SOUTHCOM, the cumulative impact of these operations since September exceeds 170 fatalities across dozens of strikes in the eastern Pacific and Caribbean waters. The figures have drawn sharp criticism from international law scholars, human‑rights organizations, and regional governments, who label the campaign as a series of extrajudicial killings that may have targeted civilian fishermen rather than confirmed cartel operatives. While the Trump administration maintains that the strikes are a legitimate component of its broader war on drug cartels in Latin America, it has yet to provide concrete evidence linking the targeted vessels to illicit drug activities. The lack of transparency continues to fuel debate over the legality and morality of conducting lethal force in international waters.

Washington has activated a naval blockade of Iran’s principal ports, marking the first large‑scale maritime restriction since the 2015 nuclear accord. The move, aimed at pressuring Tehran over regional activities, has raised concerns among shipping firms about disruptions to the vital Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly 20% of global oil shipments pass. Amid the escalation, President Donald Trump asserted that Iran wants a deal ‘very badly’ and that diplomatic avenues remain open. Trump’s remarks suggest a dual strategy of coercion paired with a willingness to negotiate, a stance that could influence upcoming talks in Geneva and affect global energy markets. Tehran, however, has condemned the blockade as piracy, accusing the United States of violating international law. The Iranian military’s statement framed the action as an unlawful seizure of sovereign waters, a narrative that resonates with a growing domestic backlash. In response, thousands of Iranians gathered in Tehran to protest the U.S. measures, chanting slogans against the blockade and demanding the restoration of free navigation in the Hormuz corridor. The demonstrations underscore the political risk for the Iranian regime, which must balance nationalist sentiment with economic pressures from restricted maritime trade. Analysts warn that the standoff could ripple through global markets, potentially inflating oil prices if shipping routes are further constrained. The situation also tests the resolve of allied nations, who must decide whether to support the U.S. posture or call for a diplomatic de‑escalation to safeguard the free flow of commerce through one of the world’s most strategic chokepoints.

The Victoria & Albert Museum has acceded to a Chinese printer’s demand to excise several maps and photographs from recent exhibition catalogues, illustrating how Beijing’s censorship apparatus can reach even Western cultural publications. According to documents obtained by The Guardian through freedom‑of‑information requests, the Chinese company C&C Offset Printing flagged a 1930s British‑empire trade‑route map as non‑compliant with the standards of the General Administration of Press and Publication (GAPP). The printer instructed the museum to either delete the page or replace it with an approved image. Faced with the request, V&A; staff approved the change, acknowledging that the map’s depiction of China’s borders triggered the rejection. An internal email noted the delay caused by the edit, stating that the catalogue’s production was paused while the offending page was revised. Cost considerations lie at the heart of the decision. Like the British Museum, Tate and the British Library, the V&A; routinely commissions Chinese printers because they can deliver catalogues at roughly half the price of European firms. This financial incentive, however, comes with the implicit obligation to obey Chinese content restrictions covering topics such as Buddhism, Taiwan, Tibet, Tiananmen Square and other subjects deemed politically sensitive. The museum’s compliance extended beyond the map issue. For a catalogue accompanying the 2021 Fabergé exhibition, the V&A; also removed a photograph of Lenin after the printer warned that the image could be considered “sensitive” by Chinese authorities. V&A; spokespersons described the alterations as “minor” and asserted that the institution maintains “close editorial oversight” when printing abroad. They emphasized that any change that would compromise the narrative would be rejected, and that the museum would relocate production if necessary. Other cultural bodies have responded differently. The British Museum declined to comment on how it handles similar censorship requests for at least eight publications printed in China, while the British Library claimed it has never encountered such issues. Tate Publishing, meanwhile, confirmed that Chinese printers have produced several of its children’s books but insisted that no content has ever been altered at a printer’s behest. A UK publisher who preferred anonymity highlighted the trade‑off: Chinese printing is markedly cheaper, yet the process introduces delays while materials are screened for politically sensitive content, especially references to Tibet or disputed borders. Former employee of C&C Offset Printing remarked that complying with Chinese government directives is standard practice for domestic firms, underscoring the systemic nature of the censorship. These revelations raise broader questions about the ethical implications of cost‑driven outsourcing for publicly funded institutions and the extent to which they are willing to compromise editorial independence to meet budgetary targets.

Great Britain is on the verge of a record‑breaking summer of wind and solar generation, creating the possibility of the first zero‑carbon electricity periods in the nation’s power system.The government’s ambition to achieve a 95% gas‑free grid by 2030 underpins this push, as electrified transport, heat pumps and low‑carbon industry will need a clean power supply to meet climate targets.National Grid ESO (Neso) forecasts that on sunny weekend afternoons the grid could have more renewable power than demand, leaving excess capacity that would otherwise be wasted.To turn surplus into savings, Neso is urging households and businesses to shift flexible loads—such as charging electric vehicles, running dishwashers or doing laundry—to those high‑renewable windows.Leading suppliers Octopus Energy and British Gas have confirmed participation, offering special tariffs that reward consumers for using electricity when it is abundant.British Gas’s “PeakSave” scheme, for example, provides half‑price electricity from 11 am to 4 pm on Sundays, with an even cheaper “Super Sunday” option from 9 am to 5 pm. The company says the tariff has saved over £45 million for more than 1 million customers since its 2023 launch. Octopus Energy reports helping 2 million households save about £11 million, including £3 million in free electricity during periods of high renewable output.Other providers—including Ovo Energy and EDF Energy—offer similar “time‑of‑use” tariffs that charge higher rates when renewables are scarce, giving price‑sensitive users a clear incentive to shift consumption.Beyond bill reductions, flexible demand curtails the need for “constraint payments” to wind and solar farms—payments that reached almost £1.5 billion last year. By encouraging consumers to “turn up” rather than forcing generators to “turn down,” the grid can avoid these costly curtailments.Businesses are also joining the flexibility movement. Tech firms report that adaptable energy use can cut datacenter grid costs by up to 5% and slash emissions by as much as 40%. Danish engineering group Danfoss estimates that if datacentres operated flexibly for just 1% of the time, the pipeline of new facilities expected by 2035 could be accommodated without overloading the grid.In short, leveraging surplus renewable power now—through smart tariffs and demand‑shifting—offers a cheaper, faster alternative to massive storage or grid‑upgrade projects, while delivering tangible savings for consumers and a decisive step toward a low‑carbon British electricity system.

Paris Saint-Germain proved too efficient for Liverpool, sealing a 4‑0 aggregate victory that ended the English club's European campaign and reminded fans that even Anfield cannot conjure miracles on demand. Despite a spirited second‑leg effort, Liverpool could not overturn the deficit. Early rain and a rousing rendition of "You’ll Never Walk Alone" created an electric atmosphere, yet the home side fell short of the two‑goal comeback that seemed plausible after their 2019 comeback against Barcelona. Key moments swung the tie in PSG’s favour: goalkeeper Matvey Safonov denied Milos Kerkez, and defender Marquinhos produced a crucial block on Virgil van Dijk. A minute earlier, Liverpool’s promising youngster Hugo Ekitiké suffered an Achilles injury, forcing his removal on a stretcher and further destabilising the Red Side. The match also highlighted Liverpool’s strategic disarray. Summer signings—forward Alexander Isak, midfielder Florian Wirtz and striker Mohamed Salah—cost the club a combined £320 million but have logged barely two hours together on the pitch. Their limited chemistry was evident as Isak was withdrawn at halftime after a tentative first half. When the game reached its climax, PSG’s forward Ousmane Dembélé finished the tie, underscoring the French side’s decisive edge in front of goal—a quality Liverpool has lacked all season. For manager Arne Slot, the defeat offers little respite. While Liverpool showed flashes of resilience, the loss eliminates any realistic route to the quarter‑finals and intensifies scrutiny over his tactical direction. In the end, Anfield’s roar could not compensate for a disjointed Liverpool squad, and PSG’s clinical performance reaffirms their status as European champions.

Jamie Dimon, the CEO of JP Morgan, has stated that a potential downturn in the $3tn private credit market would not pose a significant threat to the stability of major banks. According to Dimon, while there are areas of weakness in the unregulated private credit industry, it does not present a 'systemic' risk to the financial system.Dimon made these comments during an earnings call on Tuesday, where he also noted that the actual credit quality had not deteriorated significantly, with only 'pockets' of weakness. He emphasized that very large losses in private credit would be needed before major banks were affected.The private credit market has faced growing concerns over potentially risky loans arranged by firms that lend to companies using investor money, outside the traditional regulated banking system. This has led to a multibillion-pound surge in withdrawals from some private credit funds, such as Blue Owl, which have had to cap the amount of money clients can withdraw.Despite these concerns, Dimon expressed that he is 'not particularly worried' about the impact on major banks. JP Morgan reported a 13% jump in first-quarter profits to $16.5bn, with revenues rising 10% to $49.8bn.