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The Lead: Israel's Gaza Expansion Beyond Agreed TermsAfter two years of relentless bombardment and ground invasions, Israel's future in Gaza had appeared to be settled with the signing of United States President Donald Trump's 20-point peace plan on October 9, 2025. Under the terms of that agreement, Israeli forces were meant to withdraw behind what planners called the "Yellow Line", maintaining control of 58 percent of the territory, with their full withdrawal to be set at a date to be determined.The Event Details: Military Expansion and Territorial ChangesThat withdrawal hasn't happened. In fact, in the months since, as well as killing at least 922 people in near-daily strikes on the enclave during the "ceasefire", Israel has expanded its territory by about 11 percent. According to satellite data gathered in March, it has also established at least 32 military outposts, a ground barrier and infrastructure along what was supposed to be a temporary line.The Data Analysis: Humanitarian Crisis and Casualty FiguresSince October last year, numerous humanitarian agencies, including Oxfam, have accused Israel of compounding the humanitarian crisis in Gaza by restricting deliveries of aid and other essential goods. To date, since the onset of its war on Gaza in October 2023, Israeli forces have killed at least 72,819 men, women and children in Gaza, with many thousands more missing and presumed dead under the rubble. By 2025, Israel had caused a confirmed famine in the enclave and has now decimated nearly all infrastructure needed to support life.The Impact Analysis: International Response and Legal Implications"If Israel's ultimate plan is to exercise permanent effective control over the entirety of the Gaza Strip, we are talking about unlawful annexation," Michael Becker, a professor of international human rights law at Trinity College in Dublin, told Al Jazeera. "As the International Court of Justice reaffirmed in a 2024 advisory opinion, annexation constitutes a violation of the bedrock prohibition of the acquisition of territory by force."Hopes that the US might enforce its own conditions on Israel also appear ill-founded. Since announcing a ceasefire in the enclave in October last year, the US has failed to react as Israel has expanded and entrenched its presence in Gaza, choking off access to about two-thirds of the enclave for its inhabitants by April 2026.The Future Outlook: Population Displacement and Regional StabilityIsrael's answer to how Gaza's population can survive in such a reduced territory is what they call "voluntary emigration." "The plan for voluntary emigration from Gaza will also be implemented, all at the proper time and in the proper manner," Defence Minister Israel Katz wrote in a statement. Observers typically acknowledge that this means the ethnic cleansing of the enclave."The idea of permanently removing Palestinians from Gaza smacks of forced displacement and would also violate the fundamental right to self-determination of the Palestinian people," Becker said. However, he noted that the spotlight of international attention has now shifted from the crisis in Gaza to the US and Israel's war on Iran, as well as Israel's actions in Lebanon, where it has occupied large swaths of the south of the country.

The Life and Legacy of Frank Land Frank Land, a trailblazing information systems expert, has passed away at the age of 97. November 2026 marks the 75th anniversary of the world's first commercial job run on a stored program computer, which Land contributed to significantly. Early Contributions to Computing On 29 November 1951, the Bakery Valuations job calculated the costs, earnings, and margins of baked goods produced by J Lyons & Co, the UK's largest catering firm at the time. Land joined Lyons in 1953 and became part of the team that developed the Lyons Electronic Office, known as Leo. The Development of Leo Land helped implement systems for payroll, stock control, and distribution for Lyons' 250 high-street tea shops. He wrote programs for tax tables for the Inland Revenue and a suite of linked programs for blending Red Label and Green Label tea. Academic Career and Impact Land's work with Leo led to his founding of the academic study of information systems. In 1967, he became the UK's first professor of information systems at the London School of Economics (LSE), where he developed postgraduate courses integrating technical computer knowledge with business needs. Later Life and Legacy Land continued to contribute to the field, co-editing 'User Driven Innovation' and creating Leopedia, a catalogue of references and holdings related to Leo. He was appointed OBE in 2019 for his services.

The Drone Incident in RomaniaRomania and its NATO allies have reacted angrily after a Russian drone crashed into an apartment building in eastern Romania, injuring two people. The foreign ministry in Bucharest on Friday labelled the crash of the drone, part of an overnight attack aimed at Ukraine, a serious violation of international law and called on NATO to accelerate the transfer of anti-drone capabilities.The incident is just the latest incursion along the alliance's eastern flank, raising concern that the risk of an open confrontation between Russia and NATO states is rising.Technical Details of the CrashRomania said the overnight drone was tracked by radar in its airspace before crashing onto the roof of a residential building in the city of Galati. Two F-16 fighter jets and a helicopter were scrambled, as authorities issued emergency alerts to residents. Two people suffered minor injuries and several residents were evacuated after a fire was triggered by the crash.Geopolitical RamificationsThe incident is just the latest of several, as the war in Ukraine has spilled over into neighbouring NATO countries, raising fears of potential escalation. Estonia, Lithuania and Latvia, as well as Finland have all reported repeated incursions into their airspace in recent months. Drone incursions sparked a government collapse in Latvia earlier this month.Shortly after the crash, Bucharest called for NATO to speed up the transfer of anti-drone capabilities. Outgoing Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan also said that Romania would, within hours, sign a contract which will give it anti-drone defences under the EU's SAFE programme.Diplomatic ResponsesOn Friday morning, Romania summoned the Russia ambassador. "We will officially communicate the consequences that this lack of responsibility on the part of the Russian Federation will have for the diplomatic relations between our countries, as well as the next steps at the European level regarding sanctions packages," Foreign Minister Oana Toiu wrote on social media.President Nicusor Dan stated that Romania will not accept that the war of aggression waged by Russia against Ukraine be transferred to its citizens, and added that he had asked the foreign ministry to present without delay a series of measures regarding the country's relationship with Russia, "proportionate to this very serious situation."International CondemnationNATO allies and others joined the chorus of anger. French Minister for European Affairs Benjamin Haddad said the incident highlighted the threat Russia poses to European security, noting that French troops are stationed in Romania."Regardless of whether it was on purpose or the result of ineptitude, Russia is still dangerous and we must defend ourselves against it," Polish Foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski told the Reuters news agency. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said the incident showed that "Russia's war of aggression has crossed yet another line".A NATO spokesperson also condemned "Russia's recklessness" on social media. Ukraine's Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha pledged "Ukraine stands firmly by Romania" as he branded Russia a threat to the Black Sea region and the wider European continent.Escalation ConcernsUnited Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres warned that the escalating attacks risk spiralling "out of control", with "unknown and unintended consequences". He said more civilians had been killed in the first four months of this year than during the same period in the previous three years, and called for diplomacy, immediate de-escalation and "a full and unconditional ceasefire".Concern that the war is threatening to spillover is building as Russia escalates hostilities in a bid to ward off rising political and economic pressure at home. Ukrainian forces reported that they shot down 217 drones overnight on Friday. Russia attacked with 232 drones and one ballistic missile. Hits were recorded in 14 areas, the air force said.Russia's Strategic PosturingMoscow has said it plans "systematic strikes" on Kyiv and has issued a barrage of threats at Ukraine's European allies, listing facilities in Europe that it said are involved in manufacturing drones and components for Ukraine. Moscow's Foreign Intelligence Service recently warned the Baltic nations that their NATO membership won't protect them from retaliation should they allow Ukraine to launch attacks from their territory, with analysts warning that the risk of an open confrontation between Russia and NATO states is rising.Article 5 Under ScrutinyThat heightens concern regarding NATO's Article 5 collective defence clause, which President Donald Trump has hinted the United States may not honour in some cases. However, the alliance's Secretary General Mark Rutte insisted on Friday that NATO will defend all of its territory."Russia's reckless behaviour is a danger to us all," he wrote on social media. "Last night showed yet again that the implications of their illegal war of aggression don't stop at the border." "We will continue to strengthen our deterrence and defence at home and continue our support for Ukraine as they defend against Russia's aggression," he added.

The LeadThe Guatemalan government has firmly denied reports that it agreed to permit United States military strikes against drug traffickers within its borders, while simultaneously confirming its request for security cooperation with Washington. This clarification comes amid growing concerns about US military operations in Latin America and the complex relationship between regional governments and Washington's anti-drug policies.The Government's Position on Military Operations"There is no agreement authorising foreign military operations by any country within national territory," the government of President Bernardo Arevalo stated in a formal release on Thursday. This denial directly responds to a New York Times report citing unnamed sources who claimed Arevalo had agreed to US military action in Guatemala.Accompanying the government statement was a note from a letter by Guatemala's Defense Minister Henry Saenz to his US counterpart Pete Hegseth, dated May 28. The letter reveals that Guatemala "desires to lead, with US assistance, active military operations" against drug groups identified as "designated terrorist organisations" (DTOs) by Washington."In accordance with existing bilateral agreements and arrangements, such combined Guatemala-led operations would further bilateral interests in defeating DTOs and advancing regional and hemispheric security," Saenz wrote in the document.The Regional Context of US Anti-Drug OperationsThe Guatemalan clarification emerges against a backdrop of increasingly assertive US anti-drug policies in Latin America. Under President Donald Trump, the United States has demonstrated a willingness to use military force in the region, including conducting air strikes against alleged drug boats in the Caribbean Sea and Pacific Ocean.These operations have resulted in at least 194 deaths and drawn criticism from rights advocates who characterize them as extrajudicial killings. The US has also taken more direct action, including the abduction of Venezuela's President Nicolas Maduro in January, whom it accused of drug trafficking.Following Maduro's removal, his vice president Delcy Rodriguez has improved relations with Washington and allowed greater foreign involvement in Venezuela's oil sector, though the US continues to exert control over the country's oil exports.The Impact on US-Latin America RelationsMany countries in Central and South America have struggled to contain gang violence related to the drug trade, creating a complex security landscape. In January, Guatemala's Arevalo declared a 30-day state of emergency after suspected gang members killed at least 10 police officers, highlighting the severity of the security challenges.Latin American leaders have consistently demonstrated a nuanced approach to US involvement - wary of direct military intervention but open to intelligence sharing and security cooperation. This delicate balance reflects both the genuine security needs of these nations and the historical sensitivities surrounding US intervention in the region.President Arevalo, elected in 2023 on an anticorruption platform, appears to be navigating this complex terrain carefully, seeking assistance while maintaining sovereignty over military operations within Guatemala.Future Outlook for Regional Security CooperationThe situation in Guatemala suggests a likely continuation of this pattern of conditional cooperation. Regional governments will likely continue to seek US assistance in combating drug trafficking and organized crime while resisting direct military operations on their soil.The coming months may see increased diplomatic efforts to define the boundaries of security cooperation, with Guatemala potentially serving as a model for other nations seeking to balance security needs with sovereignty concerns.As the US continues its anti-drug operations in Latin America, the region's response will likely shape the future of hemispheric security policies and determine whether cooperation can be achieved without compromising national sovereignty.

Tensions Rise in the Taiwan Strait Taiwan has said it is monitoring the second Chinese “joint combat readiness patrol” near the island in a week, accusing Beijing of being the sole source of instability in the Asia Pacific. Details of the Chinese Patrol Taiwan’s National Defence Ministry said on Tuesday it had detected 29 Chinese aircraft, including fighter jets, and seven warships operating around the island. The ministry reported that 24 of the aerial sorties had crossed the median line, an unofficial maritime and aerial buffer zone that runs through the middle of the Taiwan Strait. The Impact on Regional Stability Joseph Wu, secretary-general of Taiwan’s National Security Council, accused China of being the sole source of instability in the Asia Pacific region. “For the 2nd time in a week, shortly after the Beijing summit, the PLA conducted a ‘joint combat readiness patrol’ around Taiwan. We also spotted the Liaoning carrier group in the West Pacific. This is unprovoked. The PRC is the sole source of instability in the IndoPacific,” he wrote on X. The US Role in the Region The US is Taiwan’s largest weapons supplier and is bound by law to provide the island with the means to defend itself. In December, Trump approved the largest-ever US weapons package for its ally. However, last week, Washington said it was pausing a $14bn arms sale to Taiwan to conserve munitions for the war on Iran. The Future Outlook Earlier this month, President Xi Jinping warned Trump that their two countries could clash over Taiwan if the issue is mishandled. Since then, Trump has cautioned Taipei against formally declaring independence from China, prompting the island to issue a statement saying it was “sovereign and independent” but planned to maintain the status quo.

The Rise of Recursive Self-Improvement in AIThe word "recursion" is the latest buzzword in AI circles. Two separate startups have taken on the name, and many more have started referencing recursive self-improvement (RSI) in their roadmaps. Like AGI before it, RSI has become a three-letter byword for a cataclysmic AI takeoff – even if there's still a little disagreement about what it exactly means.In basic terms, RSI refers to an AI system that can continuously upgrade itself. Once AI systems can manage the upgrade cycle better than humans, the process can become a closed loop, limited only by the compute power they can access, and humans are no longer necessary or even helpful.Scary or not, that's a vision that a lot of AI labs are eager to chase.Key Players Pursuing Recursive SystemsEarlier this month, well-known AI researcher Richard Socher launched the aptly named Recursive Superintelligence with RSI as an explicit goal. "Our main focus is to build truly recursive, self-improving superintelligence at scale," Socher told TechCrunch at launch, "which means that the entire process of ideation, implementation, and validation of research ideas would be automatic."A number of other prominent researchers are already chasing that same goal, hoping for a breakthrough that will make recursive self-improvement possible.One of the most prominent is Andrej Karpathy, a legendary figure from Tesla and OpenAI, who is using agent swarms to train LLMs on simple tasks for a project he calls Auto-Research. Karpathy has been unusually open about the project, tweeting about milestones regularly and making the building blocks available through a public GitHub repo. So far, the work has mostly been confined to making minor improvements on a GPT-2 scale model — as Karpathy noted in March, "It's not novel, ground-breaking 'research' (yet)" — but it's been enough to convince lots of other researchers to follow the RSI dream. And with Karpathy now working on pre-training at Anthropic, he will have plenty of opportunity to apply the idea at a larger scale.Adaption — founded by Cohere and Google alum Sara Hooker — recently launched a similar tool called AutoScientist in an effort to automate frontier training. Like Karpathy's auto-researchers, the system trains agents to make incremental improvements — but for Adaption, the goal is to make it easier to train a full-scale frontier model. If those same researchers start to push the frontier forward, the system could quickly spiral into something very much like RSI.Disarray founder Doris Xin drew more specific RSI interest when her self-trained machine learning agent took home 28 medals in a recent Kaggle competition, beating out many human-trained agents. As she sees it, the major challenge is reliability."I would argue, given infinite compute and infinite time horizon, we are already there," Xin told me. "I want to make an argument that this is not a creative endeavor, really. It's just a lot of meat-and-potatoes engineering."The Current State of Self-Improving AIThere's also plenty of evidence that the AI industry isn't very close to recursive systems in any meaningful way — and is still grappling with talking to a wary public about its progress. So Google CEO Sundar Pichai basically admitted in a recent podcast interview."It's a continuum, and we are all definitely making progress," Pichai said. "But in the way people describe RSI, that would represent a next level of acceleration and would have a lot of implications, but we aren't quite there yet."But the continuum includes an awful lot of self-improving AI systems.In January, one of Anthropic's lead programmers for Claude Code estimated that "close to 100%" of his team's code was written by the tool — a frank admission that Claude Code was literally writing itself.Just because engineers are using an AI tool doesn't mean the tool can replace them — but Anthropic seems to be getting close to replacing engineers too. In a recent survey tied to the Mythos preview, five out of 18 Anthropic engineers believed that, with harness improvements, this version of Mythos could soon substitute for an L4 engineer — a midlevel programmer who can take on involved projects without supervision.Still, there were some of the same weaknesses you might expect."Some of Claude's major reported weaknesses compared to an L4 include: self-managing week-long ambiguous tasks, understanding org priorities, taste, verification, instruction-following, and epistemics," the report reads.In other words, its weaknesses are everything involved with self-direction, which is the cornerstone for RSI. But sure, for everything else, Claude is ready to step right in.Expert Perspectives on RSI TimelinesJust like the AGI term before it, the AI industry also can't tell us how far away it is from showcasing a meaningful recursive system. When Georgetown's Center for Security and Emerging Technology assembled a group of experts to study RSI last year, the group found a major split in assessments — some expecting an imminent "superintelligence" style explosion while others expected slower progress and an eventual plateau. But all agreed that recursion made the future especially difficult to predict.Helen Toner, director of CSET and a former board member at OpenAI, told TechCrunch that simply using AI tools to do AI research isn't enough to qualify as RSI. "They're just using AI for as much as they can," Toner told TechCrunch. "And I think that is different from the classic definition of RSI, which is really that there are no humans needed."Toner pointed to a recent post by METR's Ajeya Cotra, which distinguishes different milestones on the path to the AI research takeover. One step, which Cotra calls "adequacy," would come when the system can still perform research after all humans are removed — even if the resulting research isn't as valuable or efficient. "Parity" comes when an AI-only system is as good at research as a human-only system. "Supremacy," the final stage, comes when an AI-only system outperforms a collaborative system between humans and AI.Ultimately, Cotra concludes that AI is very close to the adequacy threshold of being able to produce some work on its own — similar to the incremental changes made by Karpathy's Auto-Research system. "I wouldn't be totally shocked if you told me this milestone had already passed, and I expect it to happen in the next couple years," Cotra wrote.She was less clear on when parity will come, but once it does, she thinks it would "massively accelerate the pace of AI progress, leading to AI research supremacy within another year."The Challenges Ahead for Recursive AIWith so much of AI built on scaling laws, there's a strong tendency to think RSI will follow the same curve. Toner thinks that many of those pursuing AI research and development via RSI "think of it as a pretty smooth ladder, where you can just keep scaling up."But even if AI researchers are able to make incremental improvements like Karpathy's auto-researchers, there will be larger challenges in handing off the whole process of research. Toner put it in terms of the history of computing, which has seen human beings handing off more and more of the process while still directing things from the top."We went from machine languages to assembly language and compiled languages; you're getting further and further from the guts of the computer," Toner said. "But the human is still, in some intuitive sense, running the show."Moving beyond that paradigm will take significant challenges, both in engineering and alignment. But even with the massive investments happening, there's no infinite compute available — and the basic trade-off between human labor and machine intelligence will be hard to overcome.The Future of Recursive Self-ImprovementAs for a total recursive AI system of apocalyptic visions? The only thing researchers essentially agree on is that, like AGI, it's not here yet.

The Lead-Up to the By-Election In a scenario few could have predicted, voters in a northern English market town near Manchester could determine the United Kingdom’s future political leadership. The surprise resignation of the Labour Party’s Ashton-in-Makerfield MP Josh Simons in late February left the supposedly safe seat open, paving the way for the popular mayor of Manchester, Andy Burnham, to step in. The Event Details If he wins the seat in a crucial by-election set for June 18, he could ultimately topple embattled Prime Minister Keir Starmer. Standing in his way are the voters, many of whom Burnham has yet to convince of his credentials for the job, and the right-wing insurgent Reform UK party, which has promised to “throw everything” at the election in a bid to block Burnham’s path to the UK Parliament. The Data Analysis Makerfield has been a safe Labour seat since its creation in 1983, but Starmer’s party lost all eight of its local council seats there to Reform in May during local elections. Recent local council elections in May 2026 saw a shift, with Reform UK winning 49.8% of the area's vote compared to Labour's 24.3%. The Impact Analysis The constituency is difficult to categorise, political scientists said. It neither fits the stereotype of the declining industrial towns of northern England nor carries much of the metropolitan optimism typified in the soaring glass tower blocks of the nearby Manchester city centre. Instead, it is best understood as “a place in-between”, political science Professor Rob Ford wrote in his blog last week. The Prediction Few observers have been brave enough to call the current contest. However, while political scientists are puzzled, 61-year-old resident Tracy Walker, who works in a charity shop, is resolute. “I want Andy Burnham. … I think we should give him a go. He’s from the north,” she said, contrasting Burnham with the long line of premiers from the country’s south.

The Life and Legacy of Marc Johnson Marc Johnson, the influential professional skateboarder whose inventive street style and Bay Area roots helped define modern street skating, has died at the age of 49. Johnson's death was announced in a statement attributed to longtime friend and fellow professional skateboarder Louie Barletta and shared by Thrasher Magazine. A cause of death was not immediately disclosed. Tributes Pour In from the Skateboarding Community “He was one of the most talented and creative people to ever step on or off a skateboard,” Barletta wrote. Johnson was known for his precision, creativity, and unconventional trick selection, emerging as one of the defining skaters of his era. Born in Winston-Salem, North Carolina, in 1977, Johnson rose from a difficult upbringing to become one of the most respected figures in skateboarding. A Pioneer in Street Skating Johnson first gained national prominence skating for Maple before later founding skate brand Enjoi. His career reached a peak in 2007 when Thrasher Magazine named him Skater of the Year, one of the sport’s most visible honors. That same year, his part in Lakai’s landmark video, Fully Flared, became one of the most celebrated sections in the history of street skating videos. A Life of Creativity and Resilience Johnson was also candid about the personal and financial pressures of his sport and discussed his recovery from alcohol addiction in interviews later in life. Barletta said Johnson had visited him in San Jose less than a month ago and appeared “sober, healthy, and full of life”. The two reportedly spent time reminiscing about skating and discussing future plans. The Impact of His Passing News of Johnson’s death spread rapidly across the skateboarding community, with tributes pouring in from professional skaters, brands, and fans. “Without a shadow of a doubt, Marc Johnson was the single most influential person in my life,” Barletta wrote. “Everything he did was art.”

The Papal Warning on AI's Ethical Crisis Pope Leo XIV has denounced the "culture of power" driving the rapid rise of artificial intelligence while warning that the technology must be subject to the "most rigorous" ethical constraints as it infiltrates everything from work to war. In his first major encyclical of his papacy, titled Magnifica Humanitas (Magnificent Humanity), the Pope presented the document himself during an event at the Vatican, marking a significant papal intervention in the global AI debate. The Encyclical's Core Ethical Framework The encyclical represents one of the highest forms of teaching from a pope to the Catholic church's 1.4 billion members, outlining his priorities while highlighting what he considers society's major issues. Pope Leo, who has previously identified AI as the biggest threat to humanity today, called for the "disarming" of AI, stating that some autonomous weapons systems are "practically beyond any human reach" to control. "Disarming AI means freeing it from the mentality of 'armed' competition," the Pope wrote. "To disarm does not mean rejecting technology, but preventing it from dominating humanity," adding that the technology should be "human-friendly", accessible to all and opened to discussion and debate. AI's Role in Modern Warfare In a significant warning about military applications, Leo referred to "a troubling revival of war as an instrument of international politics" and said AI was helping to facilitate the "normalization of war." He emphasized that "the development and use of AI in warfare must be subject to the most rigorous ethical constraints, to guarantee respect for human dignity and the sanctity of life and to avoid a race to develop such arms." The Concentration of Digital Power In a passage that appeared to be targeted at Silicon Valley, the Pope warned that power over digital systems, infrastructure and data "does not rest with states but with major economic and technological actors." He cautioned that when such power is concentrated "in the hands of the few" it tends to "become opaque and evade public oversight, increasing the risk of distorted forms of development that give rise to new dependencies, exclusions, manipulations and inequalities." The Vatican's Engagement with Tech Industry The Vatican has been seriously engaged on questions surrounding AI for several years, including having regular dialogues with Microsoft, Google and other big technology firms. Christopher Olah, a co-founder of Anthropic who attended the Vatican event, supported the need for greater oversight, stating that "the development of AI cannot be left solely to technology companies, urging greater oversight from religious leaders, governments and civil society." Olah warned there was "a real possibility" that AI would displace human labor "at very large scale," adding that "if that happens, supporting those displaced will be a moral imperative of historic proportions." Historical Reflections and Digital Slavery In a notable historical reflection, Pope Leo apologized for the Catholic church's long delay in condemning slavery, describing it as "a wound in Christian memory." He also spoke of the "new forms of slavery" due to the digital economy, particularly noting his family history includes both enslaved people and enslavers. "It is impossible not to feel deep sorrow when contemplating the immense suffering and humiliation endured by so many in stark contrast to their immeasurable dignity as persons infinitely loved by the Lord," the Pope wrote. "For this, in the name of the church, I sincerely ask for pardon." The Future of AI Regulation and Oversight The Pope emphasized that the Catholic church wanted to work with AI developers to discuss proper use of the technology. According to Christopher White, a senior fellow at Georgetown University's Initiative on Catholic Social Thought and Public Life, "Leo has done in this document is put the full weight of his office behind the Catholic church's efforts to be in dialogue with big tech." White noted that the Pope "is clearly approaching AI from a position of humility and making it clear that the church doesn't have all of the answers when it comes to what sort of policies are necessary for AI regulation. But he is being clear-eyed that AI development can't simply be the wild west like some of its advocates would like to see."