Breaking AI & Tech News Analyzed

British financial institutions are set to receive Anthropic’s latest AI model, Mythos, within the coming week, despite the company’s own assessment that the technology poses a significant security risk.Anthropic, the creator of the Claude suite, has so far limited Mythos to a handful of U.S. tech giants such as Amazon, Apple and Microsoft. The firm now plans to extend the rollout to major UK banks, a move announced by Pip White, head of Anthropic’s UK, Ireland and Northern Europe operations, during a Bloomberg Television interview.The concern stems from Mythos’s ability to identify and exploit software flaws at a level that rivals the most skilled human hackers. In a recent blog post, Anthropic warned that such capabilities could trigger severe repercussions for economies, public safety and national security if misused.Finance ministers, senior executives and regulators convened in Washington for the IMF and World Bank spring meetings to discuss these emerging threats. Canadian Finance Minister François‑Philippe Champagne emphasized the need for vigilance, describing the AI risk as an “unknown unknown” that demands robust safeguards to protect the resilience of the financial system.Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey, who also chairs the Financial Stability Board, described the situation as a “very serious challenge” and highlighted the dilemma regulators face in timing the introduction of rules: acting too early could stifle innovation, while delaying could allow risks to spiral out of control.European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde echoed these concerns, noting that while Anthropic’s initiative reflects responsible innovation, the absence of a clear governance framework leaves the technology vulnerable to misuse. She called for the development of comprehensive standards to guide safe deployment.As UK banks prepare to integrate Mythos into their operations, the financial sector stands at a crossroads between harnessing AI’s economic benefits and averting potential cyber‑security crises.

Chancellor Rachel Reeves cautioned that the push to raise Britain’s defence budget will likely demand reductions in other spending areas, notably welfare, as the nation confronts escalating geopolitical pressures. She emphasized that the government is exploring a range of options but aims to avoid new taxes or extra borrowing, noting that “we already spend £1 in every £10 on servicing the debt.” Reeves highlighted her willingness to challenge party orthodoxy, pointing to last year’s budget moves that freed additional funds for defence, and said, “I’m willing to make difficult choices for national security.” Speaking on the sidelines of the International Monetary Fund spring meetings in Washington, she referenced the government’s 10‑year defence investment plan and stressed the importance of allocating resources appropriately. While refusing to detail which welfare programmes might be trimmed, Reeves reaffirmed that “national security always comes first” and confirmed that Labour will keep its manifesto pledge to retain the pension triple‑lock. Her stance mirrors Health Secretary Wes Streeting, who earlier warned that welfare reforms could be required to meet “the challenge of the world we face.” The Starmer administration faces mounting pressure from opposition MPs and senior military figures, especially after US President Donald Trump’s threats to withdraw the United States from NATO and the ongoing Iran‑Israel and Russia‑Ukraine conflicts. Current forecasts show UK defence spending reaching 2.6 % of GDP by April 2027, surpassing targets set by both Labour and the opposition before the 2024 general election. Reeves proudly noted that her previous budgets delivered “the biggest uplift in defence spending since the end of the Cold War,” arguing that a robust economy depends on strong national security. The IMF warned that a further escalation in the Middle‑East could trigger a global recession, with the UK potentially hit hardest among G7 nations, and cautioned that government debt is on track to hit its highest level since World War II. To fund household and business support without widening the fiscal gap, Reeves suggested reprioritising other budgets, criticizing the blanket subsidies of the previous Conservative government that cost over £100 billion and contributed to higher inflation and interest rates. She concluded that “the best way to help families and businesses is to keep prices, costs and interest rates down,” underscoring the fiscal balancing act ahead.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has released its latest World Economic Outlook, warning of a significantly darkened global economic outlook. The report cites the outbreak of war in the Middle East on February 28, 2026, as a major factor in the deteriorating outlook.The IMF's January report was titled “Steady amid Divergent Forces”; whereas the latest outlook is headlined “Global Economy in the Shadow of War”. The IMF now expects the global economy to slow compared to its previous forecast in January.The latest outlook notes that the global outlook has abruptly darkened following the outbreak of war. Far be it for the IMF to gloat, but its suggestion in January that “steady” was not a word to describe the global economy unless you were desperately trying to make the madness of Donald Trump seem normal has aged quite well.The IMF remains unwilling to name Donald Trump, while noting the lingering effects of the persistent rise in energy prices since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. However, it only talks about the Middle East conflict as though it sprang out of nowhere.The IMF warns of three possible scenarios: a bad scenario where Trump, Israel and Iran come to an agreement; an adverse scenario where things carry on for the rest of the year and oil stays around US$100 per barrel; and a severe scenario where nothing is resolved, oil prices reach $125 in 2027, gas prices increase by 200% over the same period, and food prices increase by 5% in 2026 and 10% in 2027.Even under the current bad scenario, the global economy is expected to slow compared to what the IMF forecast in January. But under the adverse and severe scenarios the global economy grows by just 2.0% this year and 2.2% next year.For context, over the past 40 years, the global economy has grown slower than 2.2% only three times – 1992 (global recession), 2009 (the GFC) and 2020 (Covid).The IMF has downgraded Australia’s growth by more than most. Even under the most optimistic scenario growth is 0.5% worse than was forecast last October – a bigger downgrade than all G7 nations.The IMF warns against governments doing popular things like energy caps or subsidies, designed to protect households and firms. It worries that such policies will increase inflation because we’ll all suddenly have so much more money to spend.Gas companies exporting LNG from Australia will be cheering on the war as it keeps gas prices – and their profits – ever higher. The senate is investigating changing the way gas is taxed. An ACTU proposal for a 25% tax on exports would raise roughly $17bn a year.

British Chancellor Rachel Reeves has stepped up her criticism of Donald Trump's war on Iran, describing it as a 'mistake' that has destabilized the global economy and damaged living standards around the world.In a marked fraying of the transatlantic relationship, Reeves said Trump's decision to break off from diplomatic talks with Iran and launch airstrikes seemed to have left the president in a worse place than he started.“I think it was a mistake to end those [talks with Iran] and to enter into conflict, because I'm not convinced that we are safer today than we were a few weeks ago,” she told an event in Washington.Reeves' comments added to blunt criticism of Trump she made just before flying out on Tuesday, when she expressed frustration at the 'folly' of his decision to go to war without a clear exit plan.The criticism adds to an increasingly tense atmosphere between Downing Street and the White House, with Trump's attacks on Prime Minister Keir Starmer becoming increasingly personal.The IMF warned on Tuesday that a further escalation in the Iran war could trigger a global recession that would affect the UK more than any of the other G7 nations.Reeves called for the urgent reopening of the strait of Hormuz to calm global energy prices, saying the lack of clear US targets in negotiations with Iran had worsened the situation.“We had the waterway open a few weeks ago. So, if now the objective is to reopen the strait of Hormuz? Well it was open at the beginning of this conflict,” Reeves added.Reeves said she had come to the IMF meetings to “deliver that fair message” that the conflict in the Middle East was hitting living standards worldwide and required urgent de-escalation.

Former Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen sharply criticized President Donald Trump’s repeated calls for the Federal Reserve to slash borrowing costs, likening the approach to the fiscal tactics of a “banana republic.”Trump has publicly urged the central bank to deliver the lowest interest rate in the world, arguing that cheaper financing would ease the service burden on the United States’ staggering $39 trillion debt.Speaking at an HSBC investor summit in Hong Kong, Yellen asked, “How often does the president of a developed country demand that interest rates be set to reduce debt‑service costs? This is what you hear in a banana republic.” She warned that such political meddling could unleash inflation if the Fed’s independence is compromised.The Fed, under Chair Jerome Powell, last lowered its policy rate in December to a range of 3.5 %–3.75 %. However, policymakers are growing uneasy about inflationary pressures, especially as the ongoing Iran conflict threatens oil supplies.Powell is slated to step down next month, but his successor—Trump’s nominee Kevin Warsh—has yet to secure Senate confirmation. Powell has indicated he will remain in his role if a replacement is not confirmed, and he may continue as a Fed governor until a pending Department of Justice investigation concludes.Trump has openly dismissed the idea of Powell staying on, telling Fox Business that he would “have to fire him” if the chair does not leave. Powell, for his part, describes the DOJ probe as a “pretext” aimed at pressuring the Fed to cut rates.Warsh, who argues that potential productivity gains from artificial intelligence could justify lower rates, faces skepticism from Yellen, who doubts he commands the same respect as former Fed chair Alan Greenspan. She noted, “Greenspan was widely respected for his expertise; I don’t think Warsh walks in with that level of credibility.”Trump’s broader effort to reshape the Fed board includes an attempt to remove Governor Lisa Cook, who is currently facing a Supreme Court case over alleged mortgage fraud.Meanwhile, finance ministers and central bankers have gathered in Washington for the International Monetary Fund’s spring meetings. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey warned that rising oil prices, driven by the Iran conflict, constitute a “major supply shock” that central banks must assess carefully.The IMF has cautioned that a prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz could trigger a global recession, underscoring the interconnected risks of geopolitical tensions, sovereign debt, and monetary policy decisions.

The IMF has cautioned that the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, particularly the escalation of tensions between Iran and Israel, poses a substantial risk to global economic stability. The fund's half-yearly fiscal monitor report highlights that global debt levels are on track to increase due to the war's impact on energy and food prices, higher government borrowing costs, and slower economic growth.Against this volatile backdrop, the IMF has warned that governments may be forced to choose between cushioning the cost of living shock and maintaining sound public finances. The fund's report notes that global debt levels have already risen to almost 94% of GDP and are projected to reach 100% by 2029, a level not seen since the aftermath of World War II.The IMF emphasizes that any energy support schemes to shield households and businesses from the impact of higher energy prices should be targeted and temporary, focusing on those most exposed and least able to absorb price increases. The fund also cautions against using further borrowing to cushion the blow, suggesting that governments should instead reallocate spending within existing limits and prioritize crisis-related spending.The report highlights the risks associated with higher debt and interest costs, which could eventually force governments to make tougher choices or destabilize debt markets. The IMF points to the UK's experience with Liz Truss's 2022 mini-budget as an example of how market confidence can be lost when fiscal policies are perceived as unsustainable.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has issued a warning that a closure of the Strait of Hormuz could lead to a major energy crisis. The strait, located between Iran and Oman, is a critical passage for global oil shipments, making it a vital artery for the world's energy supplies.A disruption in this region could have significant implications for the global economy, potentially leading to higher oil prices and increased volatility in energy markets. The IMF's warning underscores the importance of maintaining stability in this critical region.

US President Donald Trump has threatened to revise the trade deal between the US and UK, signed last year, citing the 'sad state' of their relations. The deal, which cut some US tariffs on cars, aluminium, and steel, was described by Trump as 'better than I had to' and 'can always be changed'.The strained relations between the two countries are largely due to sharp differences over the US approach to the Middle East, particularly the conflict with Iran. UK ministers have expressed frustration and anger over the economic fallout of the US decision to go to war with Iran, which could trigger a global recession.UK Chancellor Rachel Reeves has voiced her frustration, stating that the US launched strikes without a clear idea of its objectives. Keir Starmer, the UK leader, has also expressed his concerns, saying he is 'fed up' with Trump's actions causing energy bills to rise.Trump, in an interview with Sky News, accused Britain of not being supportive during the Iran conflict, saying 'they were not there when we needed them'. He also suggested that a permanent ceasefire with Tehran could be struck before King Charles's state visit to the US later in April.The IMF's spring meetings will focus on the crisis in the Gulf, with the organisation cutting Britain's economic growth forecast due to the conflict. The Bank of England governor, Andrew Bailey, has stated that the UK is better placed to deal with the fallout due to its resilient banking system.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has revised its global economic growth forecast downward to 3.1 percent this year, citing the impact of rising tensions between the United States and Iran on energy and food costs worldwide.The downgrade comes as Iran has retaliated against US and Israeli actions by closing the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint for oil and gas supplies, and attacking energy infrastructure in the region. This has driven up oil prices and squeezed oil and gas supplies, affecting countries reliant on these imports.The IMF's new forecast represents a slowdown from its earlier projection of 3.3 percent growth, made before the escalation of tensions. It also marks a decline from 3.4 percent growth in the previous year. The fund warns that some regions and countries will be hit harder than others.Iran's economic outlook saw one of the largest country-level revisions, with a forecast contraction of 6.1 percent in 2026, down from an initial small growth forecast. The IMF also cut GDP growth forecasts for Saudi Arabia from 4.5 percent to 3.1 percent.The IMF's Chief Economist, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, noted that the current hostilities in the Middle East pose significant policy trade-offs, including fighting inflation and preserving growth. The fund anticipates higher global inflation at 4.4 percent, up 0.6 percentage points from its January forecast.Experts warn that continued strains in the Strait of Hormuz could worsen inflationary pressures. For instance, a sustained $60 increase in gas prices above the average price could put the US firmly in recession territory.Oil prices have dropped on hopes of resumed talks between Iran and the US, with Brent crude futures falling to $95.02 per barrel and West Texas intermediate crude dropping to $91.84. However, prices remain much higher than before the Iran war.