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Executive Overview: Rise of a Paramilitary PowerhouseThe article examines the emergence of the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) as a decisive actor in Sudan’s recent history, tracing its journey from a loosely organized militia to a state‑backed paramilitary organization that now commands significant political influence.From Janjaweed to RSF: The Organizational TransformationKey milestones in the RSF’s evolution include:2003‑2005: Formation of the Janjaweed militias during the Darfur conflict.2007: Official integration of Janjaweed units into the newly created RSF under the guidance of Mohamed Hamdan “Hemedti” Dagalo.2013‑2019: Expansion of RSF’s mandate beyond Darfur, taking on roles in border security, disaster response, and internal policing.Funding, Armaments, and Manpower: Quantifying the RSF’s GrowthAvailable data indicate a rapid scaling of resources:Estimated personnel: ~100,000 fighters by 2025.Annual budget: reported at $1.2 billion, sourced from state allocations, mining revenues, and private contracts.Armament profile: acquisition of heavy weapons, armored vehicles, and limited air support, often procured through regional networks.Regional Stability and Governance: Why the RSF MattersThe RSF’s growing clout has reshaped Sudan’s power balance:It operates as a parallel security apparatus to the regular army, influencing political negotiations.Its involvement in the 2023‑2024 civil unrest heightened concerns among neighboring states about spill‑over effects.International actors, including the United Nations and the African Union, have called for clearer oversight to prevent human‑rights violations.Future Trajectories: Scenarios for Sudan’s Security ArchitectureAnalysts outline three plausible paths:Integration: Formal merger of the RSF into the national armed forces under a unified command.Fragmentation: Continued rivalry with the army, risking prolonged conflict.External Mediation: International pressure leading to a power‑sharing agreement that limits RSF autonomy.Each scenario carries distinct implications for Sudan’s political stability, economic recovery, and regional security environment.

The Final Bow for Football's GreatestThe FIFA World Cup 2026 could be the final act for some of football's finest talents. Although some of this tournament's players will set a men's football record by appearing in their sixth World Cup, age is catching up, and other players have struggled with injuries.Cristiano Ronaldo - Portugal's Ageless WonderAlthough fitness has been one of Ronaldo's biggest strengths during his illustrious career, at 41, the Portugal forward knows his playing days are numbered. Numbers have always been on the former Manchester United and Real Madrid forward's side, though, and he fired in 30 in 37 matches for Al-Nassr this season, while his tally for Portugal currently sits at 143 goals.The second-oldest player at this year's tournament, only behind Scotland's 43-year-old Craig Gordon, Ronaldo heads to his record sixth World Cup, well aware it could be his final chance to lift the coveted golden trophy: the only one missing from his glittering cabinet.Lionel Messi - Argentina's Final ChapterLike Ronaldo, Messi is also off to his record sixth finals appearance, one where he will lead Argentina's defense of the title they won in Qatar four years ago. Argentina's all-time leading scorer and appearance holder, Messi, has struggled with injury in the build-up to the tournament, raising doubts about whether he will feature in each game and if his body can keep up with the gruelling demands of an expanded World Cup.The eight-time Ballon d'Or winner's impact and talent, however, are such that, even at 38, he remains the heartbeat of the football-crazy South American nation.Luka Modric - Croatia's Midfield MaestroAfter playing a key role in Croatia's run to the 2018 final and a third-place finish in 2022, Modric is ready for his fifth and final appearance at the World Cup. As the 40-year-old heads to the tournament after undergoing cheekbone surgery, the veteran knows the team still relies heavily on him for his playmaking prowess.The ageing midfielder, also the Balkan nation's captain, still enjoys a hero's status within a side that has often defied expectations on the global stage. Enjoy his magic in midfield before he bows out.Neymar Jr - Brazil's Comeback KingAt 34, Brazil's all-time leading scorer Neymar is much younger than Messi or Ronaldo, but unlike the two greats of the game, his place in the national team is not guaranteed. Neymar's comeback in the Brazil squad after a two-and-a-half-year hiatus electrified football fandom, and only time will tell whether it was a gamble or a tactical masterclass by coach Carlo Ancelotti.With a history of fitness issues, a series of injuries and mounting age (he would be 38 by the 2030 World Cup), what looks more certain is that this could be Neymar's fourth and final act at the tournament.Manuel Neuer - Germany's Goalkeeping LegendSuch is the "aura" of Neuer, as coach Julian Nagelsmann said last month, that the 40-year-old came out of retirement to be named Germany's first-choice goalkeeper for the 2026 World Cup. Back in the squad after nearly two years, fans will have a final chance to see him at the World Cup.Widely regarded as one of the greatest goalkeepers, Neuer has played at four World Cups, most notably having a key role in Germany's 2014 World Cup triumph on Brazilian soil.Mohamed Salah - Egypt's African StarArguably Africa's greatest player of all time, Salah became a global superstar on the back of his success at Liverpool, where he won nine trophies. At 33, and no longer at the peak of his powers, this could be the forward's second, and possibly final, World Cup.An underwhelming season and his subsequent departure from Liverpool may have tempered expectations. Yet Egyptians continue to place their faith in their beloved number 10, hoping he can inspire the nation and help deliver something it has never experienced before: the joy of celebrating a World Cup victory.Kevin de Bruyne - Belgium's Playmaking EngineA big part of Belgium's "golden generation" between 2014 and 2022, playmaker De Bruyne continues to flourish in his duties for club and country. Age, however, is starting to catch up with the playmaker, who turns 35 later this month.The Napoli midfielder's performance is central to Belgium's odds of a deep run at the 2026 World Cup, and he will be eager to drive them to a memorable finish in what will be his fourth and presumably final appearance at the tournament.Virgil van Dijk - Netherlands' Defensive LeaderExperienced centre-back van Dijk is not quite the force he was a few years ago, when he won the Champions League and Premier League in back-to-back seasons with Liverpool. The Netherlands captain turns 35 next month, and the Dutch could move on with a younger defensive core by the time the 2030 edition comes around.After reaching the 2022 World Cup quarterfinals and Euro 2024 semifinals, van Dijk will hope to take the team one step further in what will be his third finals.Sadio Mane - Senegal's Inspirational CaptainWidely regarded as one of the world's best wingers, Mane heads to the World Cup seeking to make up for the disappointing leg injury that denied him a shot at Qatar 2022. At 34, the Senegal international is far from the peak of his career, which saw him enjoy trophy-laden spells at Liverpool and Bayern Munich.Despite his mounting age, Mane remains the team's source of inspiration and creativity, and he was an integral part of the side that beat Morocco in the Africa Cup of Nations final – only for the result to be overturned due to Senegal's mid-game protest.Mane will feature in his third, and likely final, World Cup, given that the Teranga Lion has said the last AFCON was his last, although the coaching team have said they have not given up on changing his mind.Guillermo Ochoa - Mexico's Record-Setting GoalkeeperPart of an esteemed group which includes Messi and Ronaldo, Ochoa is also set to play at a record sixth World Cup. The goalkeeper, who will turn 41 next month, had not been part of the national squad in recent years, but was picked for the tournament, which is being co-hosted by his country, Mexico.Known for being a formidable figure in Mexico's previous World Cup campaigns, Ochoa will retire at the end of the team's run at the tournament.The FIFA World Cup begins on June 11. You can follow the action on Al Jazeera's dedicated World Cup 2026 page with all the latest news, match build-up and live text commentary, and keep up to date with group standings, real-time match results and schedules.

The Lead South Africa is facing a growing humanitarian crisis as foreign nationals are being forced out of their homes amid rising xenophobic sentiments. The situation has created an atmosphere of fear and uncertainty among immigrant communities across the country, with many seeking safety as tensions escalate. The Escalating Crisis Reports indicate that foreign nationals, including refugees and migrants from various African countries, have been targeted and displaced from their residences. The situation has been described as increasingly volatile, with community tensions reaching dangerous levels. Local authorities are struggling to contain the unrest while ensuring the safety of all residents regardless of their nationality. Regional Impact The displacement of foreign nationals is creating significant challenges for neighboring countries as well, as many affected individuals attempt to flee South Africa. The crisis is straining resources in border regions and raising concerns about regional stability. International organizations are monitoring the situation closely, with some expressing alarm at the rapid deterioration of conditions for immigrants in South Africa. Humanitarian Concerns The forced displacement has left thousands without adequate shelter, food, or basic necessities. Human rights organizations are calling for immediate intervention to protect vulnerable populations and prevent further violence against foreign nationals. The situation has raised serious questions about South Africa's commitment to human rights and its obligations under international refugee law. Future Outlook Without immediate intervention, the crisis threatens to deepen, potentially leading to widespread displacement and increased regional instability. South African authorities face the urgent challenge of addressing the root causes of xenophobia while protecting the rights and safety of all residents. The international community may need to step in with humanitarian aid and diplomatic pressure to prevent further escalation of the situation.

The LeadThe Southern Africa Litigation Centre (SALC) has initiated a significant legal challenge against South Africa's National Conventional Arms Control Committee (NCACC), arguing that arms exports to the United States may violate domestic legislation and international peace and security standards. The case represents a rare challenge to South Africa's arms export policies and comes amid already strained diplomatic relations between the two nations.Legal Challenge DetailsSALC filed its application in the North Gauteng High Court in Pretoria, seeking to either suspend or set aside the arms export permits granted by the NCACC. The organization contends that the committee failed to properly apply the standards set out in South Africa's National Conventional Arms Control Act, which requires authorities to refuse or withdraw permits where there is a risk that arms exports could contribute to human rights violations or undermine international peace and security.The legal challenge targets several high-level respondents, including the chairperson of the NCACC, the minister of defense, and the president of South Africa. At the time of the filing, the government had not issued a public response to the lawsuit.Financial Impact of Arms ExportsAccording to SALC, South Africa authorized arms exports worth tens of millions of US dollars to the United States in 2025 alone. The organization claims it had previously raised concerns with authorities regarding these permits but did not receive a substantive response, prompting the legal action.The financial value of these exports underscores the significance of the case, as it involves substantial economic interests alongside human rights and international security considerations.International Relations ImplicationsThe lawsuit emerges within a complex diplomatic context between South Africa and the United States, which have experienced differences on various issues including foreign policy, trade, aid policy, and international cooperation. While the legal challenge does not directly address diplomatic relations, it arises from and contributes to the broader international discourse on arms control and global security.Notably, SALC believes this case to be the first in South Africa to challenge arms exports to a permanent member of the United Nations Security Council on the basis of international law and human rights concerns, though this claim has not been independently verified.Future OutlookA hearing date has not yet been set for the case, and the High Court has not ruled on the merits of the application. The outcome of this legal challenge could potentially set a significant precedent for South Africa's arms export policies and its approach to international human rights obligations.The case also highlights growing global scrutiny of arms transfers and their potential human rights implications, particularly when involving major military powers and regions of geopolitical significance.

Escalation of Violence in Mogadishu Amid Election DelayGovernment forces and militias allied with the opposition opened fire in Somalia’s capital, Mogadishu, after President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud announced an extension of his term despite its expiry in May. The unrest forced residents to flee, damaged buildings and halted a planned anti‑government protest.Clash Between Government Forces and Opposition MilitiasWednesday: Fighting broke out in several neighbourhoods.Thursday morning: Heavy security presence; police described the attacks as “organised”.9:30 am Thursday (06:30 GMT): Violence subsided as talks began.Key participants included government troops, opposition‑aligned militias, and civilian demonstrators calling for a peaceful protest.Humanitarian Toll and Infrastructure DamageWhile official casualty figures remain unconfirmed, witnesses reported:Mortar shells striking residential houses, injuring at least one civilian.Armoured vehicles set ablaze.Deliberate disruption of electrical supplies.Photographs showed government forces positioned among civilians at a street junction, underscoring the proximity of combat to populated areas.Members of Somali government forces stand among civilians at an intersection before a planned protest against President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud over his decision to remain in office after his term expired last month [Feisal Omar/Reuters]Regional and International RepercussionsThe African Union, European Union and the U.S. embassy in Mogadishu issued statements urging restraint and expressing deep concern over the clashes in residential districts. The violence revives memories of previous term‑extension disputes, such as former President Mohamed Abdullahi Farmaajo’s 2021 overstay, which also sparked international condemnation.Outlook for Somalia’s Political StabilityWith talks underway but no clear resolution, analysts warn that continued use of heavy weaponry against civilians could further erode public trust and embolden insurgent groups like Al‑Shabaab. The next steps—whether a negotiated settlement or renewed repression—will shape Somalia’s trajectory toward either renewed conflict or a fragile political settlement.

Lead: A Nation Faces Its Own ‘George Floyd’ MomentEmer O’Neill, a 40‑year‑old Black Irish broadcaster, and the death of Yves Sakila have thrust Ireland’s denial of racism into the spotlight. Over two weeks, O’Neill endured verbal abuse, while Sakila’s fatal restraint in a Dublin department store has been likened to the 2020 U.S. incident that sparked global protests.Emer O’Neill’s Encounters and Yves Sakila’s Death Spark Nationwide OutcryMid‑May 2026 – Teenagers shouted “Go back to your country!” at O’Neill in a town south of Dublin.Same period – A man questioned whether she spoke English; a pub patron used the n‑word.15 May 2026 – Yves Sakila, a 35‑year‑old Congolese‑born Irish citizen, died after security guards knelt on his neck for over four minutes outside Arnotts.Following the death – Protests erupted, flowers placed at the scene, and calls for independent autopsies.Both incidents have been framed by activists as Ireland’s “George Floyd moment,” exposing a gap between the country’s historic solidarity with anti‑colonial causes and the lived reality of Black Irish residents.Discrimination Statistics Reveal Deep‑Rooted BiasCentral Statistics Office 2025 survey: 49 % of respondents identifying as Black Irish, Black African or other Black backgrounds reported experiencing discrimination.No arrests have been made in Sakila’s case, and police investigations have been referred to the ombudsman.Political figures: Former Taoiseach Bertie Ahern made anti‑immigration remarks; incumbent Taoiseach Micheál Martin declined to intervene.Rising Tensions Challenge Ireland’s Self‑Image as an Inclusive NationThe incidents have ignited a broader debate about Ireland’s immigration policy, the influence of far‑right rhetoric linked to figures such as former U.S. President Donald Trump, and the role of media in framing Black lives. Community leaders from the Africa Solidarity Centre and the nonprofit Black and Irish coalition argue that Irish identity is being weaponised to exclude visible minorities.Public vigils, counter‑protests outside Leinster House, and criticism of media outlets that label Sakila merely as a “Congolese man” illustrate a growing demand for systemic change.Future of Anti‑Racism Efforts in IrelandCalls for an independent investigation by special rapporteur Ebun Joseph and the pending second autopsy suggest legal scrutiny will intensify. If political leaders acknowledge the problem, Ireland may see the introduction of stronger hate‑crime legislation and mandatory bias‑training for security personnel. Conversely, continued denial could deepen community mistrust and fuel further activism.

Lead: Germany’s UNSC Setback Linked to Pro‑Israel PolicyGermany missed a temporary seat on the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) on 4 June 2026, with Foreign Minister Johann Wadephul hinting that Berlin’s unwavering support for Israel may have alienated enough member states to cost the vote.Germany’s Failed Bid for a UNSC SeatThe Western Europe and Others group had two seats up for election. Germany competed against Austria and Portugal. While Austria and Portugal secured the seats, Germany fell short.Election date: 4 June 2026Required two‑thirds majority: 127 votesGermany received: 104 votes (23 votes short)First loss after decades of rotating successVote Count and Historical ContextThe UNSC comprises 15 members – five permanent and ten elected for two‑year terms. Germany’s 104‑vote tally represents a 23‑vote deficit from the required 127‑vote threshold, marking the first time the country has missed a rotating seat since the post‑World‑War II era.Repercussions for Germany’s Diplomatic InfluenceAnalysts argue the defeat signals a waning of Berlin’s standing in multilateral forums, especially as its positions on Ukraine and Israel clash with the preferences of non‑aligned states. Domestic criticism has risen, with figures such as Alice Weidel (AfD) calling the result an “embarrassment” and Adis Ahmetovic (SPD) viewing it as a gauge of Germany’s international perception.Additional factors cited include Austria’s early campaigning, Portugal’s strong ties to the Global South, and Germany’s recent domestic crackdowns on pro‑Palestinian activism, which have attracted human‑rights criticism.What’s Next for Berlin in Multilateral ForumsGoing forward, Germany is likely to recalibrate its diplomatic outreach ahead of the next UNSC election cycle in 2027‑2028. Observers suggest a more nuanced stance on the Israel‑Palestine conflict and intensified engagement with African, Asian and Latin American delegations could restore some of the lost goodwill.Meanwhile, Chancellor Friedrich Merz may prioritize rebuilding Germany’s image as a balanced mediator rather than a staunch ally of any single party in the Middle‑East, to safeguard future bids for influential UN bodies.

England's Statistical Route to World Cup GloryWho will England have to beat to win the World Cup for the first time since 1966? While we can't predict the future, the Opta supercomputer provides probabilistic estimates of what could happen. Let's establish the "what if" scenarios and map out England's potential path to the final.Group Stage Probabilities and AdvancementEngland are the top seeds in Group L alongside Croatia, Ghana and Panama. According to Opta's 10,000 tournament simulations, England made it through to the knockout stage 96% of the time and won the group in 67.9% of simulations. They are the third-likeliest side to win their group behind only Spain (75.3%) and Argentina (73.0%).The supercomputer projects Croatia as the next-most likely to qualify alongside England (77.8%), above Ghana (49.7%) and Panama (39.4%). With eight teams able to qualify for the last 32 having finished third in their group, there's a strong chance only one team from Group L will be eliminated in the group stage.Last 32: The Likely Challenge of DR CongoIf England top their group, they will face one of the eight third-placed teams in the next round. The teams most likely to finish third in their groups are Côte d'Ivoire (Group E), Saudi Arabia (H), Senegal (I), Algeria (J) and DR Congo (K). Of the 495 possible combinations, England are most likely to face DR Congo on 1 July in Atlanta, which would happen in 66.7% of scenarios.DR Congo have only appeared in one previous World Cup, in 1974 as Zaire, when they lost all three games, failed to score and conceded 14 times. England have played eight matches against African sides at World Cups and have never lost (five wins and three draws), including a 3-0 win over Senegal at the last tournament in 2022.Last 16: The Mexican Challenge at AztecaWhat a test this would be for England. Mexico are the likeliest side to top Group A (47.8%) and will expect to defeat a third-place qualifier in the round of 32. That would mean England taking on Mexico in front of a partisan crowd at the Azteca in the capital.England's only previous World Cup meeting with Mexico came in similar circumstances, just with roles reversed. England were hosts when the teams met in the group stage in 1966, a match England won 2-0. Facing Mexico is far from a given, though. Group A does not contain any of the world's top 20 teams so could be very open and unpredictable.Quarter-final: The Brazilian HurdleAccording to the projections, England would most likely face Brazil in the quarter-finals on 11 July in New Jersey. Brazil have won the tournament five times – a record no other country can match – but they have not won it in 24 years. That wait is not as long as England's 60 years, though it's significant.If England progress to the semi-finals, there is a strong chance they will have to beat Brazil at an international tournament for the first time. England's previous four meetings with Brazil have seen them draw once, in the 1958 group stage, and lose in 1962, 1970 and 2002. A victory in the quarter-finals would take England into the semi-finals for just the fourth time.Semi-final: The Argentine Rivalry RenewedA win over Brazil could set up a semi-final with Argentina on 15 July in Miami. The Opta supercomputer projects that both Argentina and England will be two of the four teams in the World Cup semi-finals 9.2% of the time. For that to happen, both would have to win their group and then progress through three knockout rounds.England's previous World Cup clashes with Argentina have been packed with incident and controversy. This would be England's first tournament match against Argentina since David Beckham scored a match-winning penalty in their 2002 group-stage clash. To continue their journey in this tournament, England may have to do something that no other team has managed in World Cup history: beat Argentina in a semi-final.The Final: Breaking the Six-Decade DroughtShould England overcome these challenges, they would reach their first World Cup final since 1966. While the identity of their final opponent remains uncertain, the statistical analysis suggests that overcoming Argentina in the semi-final would be the most significant hurdle in their quest for glory. England have been eliminated in their last two World Cup semi-finals, losing to Croatia in 2018 and being defeated on penalties by West Germany in 1990. They have only played in one World Cup final and they won it.

The World Cup 2026 KickoffThe FIFA World Cup 2026 is set to begin on June 11 across North America with 48 teams competing over 39 days. The tournament will feature star players like Messi and Ronaldo and culminate in the final on July 19.North America's Historic TournamentFrom superstars Lionel Messi, Cristiano Ronaldo, Kylian Mbappe and Harry Kane to young guns such as Lamine Yamal, Arda Guler, Yan Diomande and more, football's brightest talents will assemble across the United States, Canada and Mexico. This marks the first time the World Cup will be hosted by three nations, expanding to 48 teams from the previous 32.Key Tournament DatesJune 11: Mexico vs South Africa – opening game of the 2026 World Cup in Mexico CityJune 12: Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina, USA vs Paraguay – opening matches of the other cohostsJune 14: Germany vs Curacao – Curacao become the smallest nation to play at a World CupJune 15: Spain vs Cape Verde – Cape Verde make their World Cup debutJune 16: Argentina vs Algeria, Austria vs Jordan – Argentina begin their title defence, and Lionel Messi starts his sixth World Cup campaign; Jordan play their first World Cup matchJune 17: Portugal vs Democratic Republic of the Congo, Uzbekistan vs Colombia – Portugal's Cristiano Ronaldo makes his sixth World Cup appearance; Uzbekistan play at a World Cup for the first timeJune 27: Group stage endsJune 28-July 3: round of 32July 4-7: round of 16July 9-11: quarterfinalsJuly 14-15: semifinalsJuly 18: bronze matchJuly 19: World Cup finalMust-See Group Stage MatchesIn order of their dates, here are some of the most anticipated group stage matchups:June 13: Brazil vs Morocco (Group C)June 14: Netherlands vs Japan (Group F)June 16: France vs Senegal (Group I)June 17: England vs Croatia (Group L)June 18: Mexico vs South Korea (Group A)June 20: Germany vs Ivory Coast (Group E)June 20: Netherlands vs Sweden (Group F)June 22: Norway vs Senegal (Group I)June 22: Argentina vs Austria (Group J)June 24: South Africa vs South Korea (Group A)June 25: Japan vs Sweden (Group F)June 26: Norway vs France (Group I)June 26: Uruguay vs Spain (Group H)June 27: Colombia vs Portugal (Group K)Global Impact and LegacyThe expanded format and three-nation hosting arrangement represents a significant shift in how the World Cup is organized and presented. This tournament will test FIFA's ability to manage logistics across multiple time zones and cultural contexts while maintaining the tournament's prestige and competitive integrity.The Future of Football's Premier EventAs football continues to evolve globally, the 2026 World Cup sets new precedents for scale and accessibility. The tournament's success will likely influence future expansions and hosting models, potentially establishing a new standard for mega sporting events in the 21st century.