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The Lead Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi has expressed doubt about the US's "seriousness" regarding talks to end the war in the region, despite receiving messages from President Donald Trump's administration indicating openness to new negotiations. The nuclear program deadlock remains unresolved, with Iran considering Russian proposals and seeking support from China and other BRICS nations. The Diplomatic Stance in New Delhi Araghchi made these statements during a media conference at a key BRICS meeting in India's capital, New Delhi. He emphasized that while Iran is open to negotiations, there remains significant distrust about US intentions. "We are in doubt about their seriousness, but the moment we feel that they are serious and they are ready for a fair and balanced deal, we will certainly proceed in the course of negotiations," Araghchi told reporters. The Nuclear Program Impasse The Iranian foreign minister confirmed that the issue of Iran's "enriched material" remains in deadlock, with the nuclear program likely to be "postponed" until later stages of any future talks. "For the time being, it is not under discussion, it's not under negotiation, but we will come to that subject in later stages," Araghchi stated. He confirmed having spoken with Russian officials about Moscow's offer to store Iran's enriched uranium, saying Iran may consider the proposal at an appropriate time. Regional and International Dynamics The Iranian foreign minister expressed openness to support from other countries besides Russia, particularly China, which has been affected by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. "We appreciate any country who has the ability to help, particularly China," Araghchi said. "We have very good relations with China, we are strategic partners to each other, and we know that [the] Chinese have good intentions, so anything that can be done by them to help diplomacy would be welcomed by the Islamic Republic." Meanwhile, President Trump has been in Beijing for talks with Chinese President Xi Jinping, with few signs of a breakthrough in resolving the conflict with Iran. BRICS Tensions and Geopolitical Fault Lines Araghchi also appeared to single out the UAE for blocking parts of a BRICS ministerial statement, blaming a member state that has "its own special relationship with Israel". "The only reason they stopped the final statement was their support for Israel and the United States in their aggression against Iran, which is very, very unfortunate," Araghchi said, highlighting the geopolitical divisions within the BRICS nations regarding the Iran conflict.

The Historical Reckoning: US and the Nakba Washington, DC – It is a question that reaches a fever pitch this time of year for Palestinian survivors and rights advocates: Can the United States government create just policy in the Middle East without a full accounting — or recognition — of Palestinian history? Thursday marks the annual day of remembrance for the Nakba, a period that began in 1948 with the mass expulsion of Palestinians and the creation of the state of Israel. Since then, Palestinians have endured decades of displacement and ethnic cleansing. But the US government does not recognise the Nakba, which translates to the "catastrophe" in Arabic, even as it continues to assert gargantuan influence over the region and maintains ironclad support for the Israeli government. The Nakba: A Historical Overview Under the second administration of President Donald Trump, the US has taken a further active role in Palestinian affairs, establishing the controversial "Board of Peace" to oversee the reconstruction of Gaza, even as it continues to take a permissive approach towards Israel's actions in the region. When faced with the question of whether the US can responsibly address Palestinian issues without acknowledging the Nakba, Khaled Elgindy, a senior fellow at the Quincy Institute, believes the answer is simple: No. "If you only acknowledge the humanity and suffering of one side, that forces you also to ignore historical realities that are still with us today," he told Al Jazeera. Elgindy said "political amnesia" has long defined the US government's approach to the Israel-Palestine conflict. The Human Cost: Numbers and Impact For decades, the US has supported Israel with billions in foreign assistance and military aid, despite the Israeli occupation of Palestinian territory and a system of segregation that rights groups say constitutes apartheid. Since October 7, 2023, Israel's war in Gaza has killed at least 75,000 Palestinians. Elgindy told Al Jazeera that the US has played a key role in underwriting the conflict. "For better or worse, mostly for worse, the United States is inextricably tied to the Palestinian issue," Elgindy said. A fundamental – if long delayed – corrective step would be recognition of the Nakba, he said. "It is a historical reality that Palestinians have a collective trauma that is part of their identity and part of their political psychology." The Legislative Push: Tlaib's Resolution On Thursday, US Representative Rashida Tlaib introduced a resolution to officially recognise "the ongoing Nakba and Palestinian refugees' rights". It was the fifth consecutive time she has put forward the bill, with the latest version carrying 12 co-sponsors, up from six when it was first introduced in 2022. In a video conference this week, she explained that it was necessary to draw attention to the Nakba, given that the human rights abuses against Palestinians continue. "Too many of my colleagues in Congress like to act like … the state violence against the Palestinian people began with [Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin] Netanyahu," Tlaib said. "We know that Palestinian history has been one of the ongoing Nakba and the ethnic cleansing campaign since the creation [of Israel] in 1948." All told, about 750,000 Palestinians were violently expelled during the Nakba, displaced to refugee camps across the West Bank, Gaza and neighbouring Arab countries. About 400 cities and villages were depopulated, with massacres committed in Balad al-Sheikh, Saasaa, Deir Yassin, Saliha and Lydda, among others. Shifting Attitudes in American Politics Like in past years, Tlaib's latest legislative effort is largely symbolic, with little chance of progressing in Congress, which remains predominantly pro-Israel. Still, the latest resolution comes amid signs of shifting public awareness, with polls showing increasing sympathy for Palestinians and a rise in negative views towards Israel's government. Polls have shown tanking support for Israel, particularly among Democrats, amid the war in Gaza. Attitudes in Congress have also shown significant, if more incremental, signs of change. Though support for Israel was once considered sacrosanct, legislation to block arms sales to the country has garnered growing support. In April, 40 Democrats in the 100-member Senate voted to block the sale of military bulldozers to Israel, a tool in the ongoing occupation of the Palestinian territories. While legislation to prevent the sale did not pass, advocates hailed the tally as "historic". Thirty members of Congress also challenged the longstanding US policy of "official ambiguity" towards Israel's alleged nuclear programme, a subject that had been seen as off limits for decades. The Historical Context: From Truman to Today Even acknowledging the Nakba on the May 15 anniversary remains controversial. The United Nations held its first-ever commemoration of the Nakba in 2023, marking the 75th anniversary. The US, the United Kingdom, Germany and 30 other countries had voted against a UN resolution recognising the event, though. The US subsequently did not attend the proceedings, with a spokesperson pointing to "longstanding concerns over anti-Israel bias within the UN system". Elgindy pointed out that, in the 1940s and 50s, President Harry Truman "spoke out about the terrorism and terror inflicted by Jewish militias and underground groups", even as his government was the first to recognise the state of Israel. Truman's administration, for instance, supported UN General Assembly Resolution 194, which established a so-called "right to return" for displaced Palestinian refugees – approximately six million are registered with UNRWA today. But Elgindy explained that, broadly speaking, the US acknowledgement of the Nakba declined in parallel with an increasingly full-bore embrace of Israel, beginning most forcefully under President Lyndon B Johnson in the 1960s. The Future Outlook: Recognition and Beyond Supporters of Tlaib's resolution have argued that its significance is as much practical as symbolic. "If policymakers don't factor in the Nakba and remedying it to the extent that it can be remedied today, they're simply going to be perpetuating an unjust status quo," Ruebner said. "Without understanding the crux of the matter, it's almost like trying to fit a square peg into a round hole." The Arab Center's Munayyer agreed that recognition "sets an example for things that we should be doing, not just in terms of recognising the past but also recognising the moment". "It shouldn't take us 80 years to recognise the Nakba in Palestine, and it shouldn't take us another 80 years to recognise the genocide that's taking place in Gaza," he said.

U.S. President Donald Trump is confronting a shrinking set of diplomatic and military choices as the fragile cease‑fire with Iran shows signs of unraveling.Escalating Tensions as the US‑Iran Ceasefire StallsOptimism for a new peace proposal evaporated this week, with both sides digging in and demanding the other concede first. Trump has described the April 8 cease‑fire as being on “life support,” while senior officials hint at a possible resumption of hostilities. Tehran’s demands – an end to fighting on all fronts, lifted sanctions, and recognition of its control over the Strait of Hormuz – have been dismissed by Trump as “garbage.”Polls and Market Numbers Reveal Growing Domestic PressureTwo‑thirds of Americans surveyed by Reuters/Ipsos say Trump has not provided a clear rationale for the war.Gas, oil and fertilizer prices are climbing, amplifying public discontent.Trump’s approval rating sits at 36%, down from 47% a year ago.The cease‑fire, in place since April 8, remains fragile, with recent missile and drone attacks on the UAE testing its limits.Strategic Consequences for the Middle East and US Global PostureA renewed US‑Israel bombing campaign could strain Washington’s ammunition stockpiles and divert attention from the Indo‑Pacific, where China remains a primary concern. The Center for Strategic and International Studies warns that the Iran conflict has already eroded US readiness for other confrontations. Moreover, Iran’s hardened stance and resilient military posture suggest that further escalation may not force the concessions Washington seeks.What Path Might Trump Take Next?Analysts argue Trump will have to prioritize either a nuclear‑deal concession or control of the Strait of Hormuz, likely favoring the former to protect energy markets. Any escalation risks a broader regional war and could become a decisive liability in the upcoming mid‑term elections. The most plausible scenario is a negotiated settlement that limits Iran’s nuclear program while leaving the Hormuz issue unresolved, allowing Trump to claim a diplomatic win while managing domestic political fallout.

The Lead A draft United Nations Security Council resolution calling for freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz has gained 112 co-sponsors, according to diplomatic sources. This development underscores the breadth of global concern over the closure of one of the world’s most critical shipping lanes. The Event Details The resolution, tabled by Bahrain and the United States, seeks to protect international waterways, commercial shipping and energy supplies, and to ensure the safety of seafarers. It also calls for an end to Iranian attacks on its Gulf neighbours. Qatar, Saudi Arabia and Kuwait have joined Manama and Washington as principal sponsors, while India, Japan, South Korea, Kenya, Argentina and most member states of the European Union have also signed on. The Data Analysis “The list takes up three full pages,” said Al Jazeera’s correspondent in New York, Gabriel Elizondo. “It’s essentially being co-sponsored by two-thirds of all 193 UN member states.” This level of support indicates a significant international consensus on the need to maintain freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz. The Impact Analysis The diplomatic push comes as peace negotiations between Iran and the US remain deadlocked. The US is demanding that Iran dismantle its nuclear programme and lift its restrictions on the strait. Iran has countered with calls for war reparations, an end to the US naval blockade of its ports and a ceasefire on all fronts, including in Lebanon, where US ally Israel is fighting Iranian-backed Hezbollah. The Prediction No date has been set for a vote on the resolution. However, with 112 co-sponsors, it is clear that there is significant international pressure on Iran to reconsider its stance on the Strait of Hormuz. The outcome of the vote will depend on the positions of key players such as China and Russia, which have voiced reservations about the draft but have not yet indicated whether they will veto it.

The President’s Departure and Upcoming Beijing SummitDonald Trump left the White House on May 12, 2026 aboard Marine One, bound for Beijing where he will meet Xi Jinping on Thursday and Friday. The trip marks his second visit to China as president and the first since his second term began on January 20, 2025.Contrasting Messages on Iran Amidst Trade FocusTrump gave mixed signals about the Iran‑Israel war, first saying a “long talk” will be held, then claiming Iran is “under control” and that the U.S. “won’t need any help.” Meanwhile, U.S. officials are downplaying the war’s prominence in the agenda.Trade Figures and Tariff Threats Highlight Economic StakesAbout 20 percent of global oil passes through the Strait of Hormuz, a route threatened by the conflict.Trump previously imposed tariffs of up to 145 percent on Chinese goods.In May 2026 he threatened a 50 percent tariff on China over a reported air‑defence shipment to Iran.Both sides aim to avoid a renewed tariff war and discuss new business deals, with CEOs Elon Musk and Tim Cook accompanying the U.S. delegation.Geopolitical Ripple Effects for US‑China‑Iran RelationsThe meetings are the first face‑to‑face exchange since the APEC summit in Busan (October 2025). China’s backing of Iran’s ballistic and nuclear programmes, and its alleged delivery of weapons, remain friction points. Xi is also expected to press on U.S. arms sales to Taiwan.What the Next Weeks May Hold for Bilateral TiesAnalysts expect the agenda to centre on trade, energy security, and mechanisms to keep the Strait of Hormuz open. A successful outcome could stabilize markets and temper Iran‑related tensions, while any stalemate may reignite tariff threats and deepen strategic mistrust.

The Fragile Ceasefire at Risk Islamabad has rejected allegations that it sheltered Iranian military aircraft from potential US strikes as the fragile ceasefire it helped broker between Washington and Tehran appears increasingly at risk. The diplomatic tensions come as US President Donald Trump dismissed Iran's latest peace proposal as "a piece of garbage" that he had not even finished reading, describing the month-old truce as being "on massive life support." Pakistan's Diplomatic Dilemma The Ministry of Foreign Affairs in Pakistan called the CBS News report about Iranian aircraft being moved to Pakistan Air Force Base Nur Khan "misleading and sensationalised," stating the aircraft had arrived as part of diplomatic logistics for talks in Islamabad between US and Iranian officials on April 11. Pakistan emphasized that both Iranian and US aircraft used the base during the ceasefire period, and any significant foreign military presence at the base would be impossible to hide. "The Iranian aircraft currently parked in Pakistan arrived during the ceasefire period and bear no linkage whatsoever to any military contingency or preservation arrangement," the ministry said, adding that Pakistan had "consistently acted as an impartial, constructive and responsible facilitator" throughout the process. Washington's Growing Skepticism Despite Pakistan's denials, concerns in Washington have grown. A CNN report suggested some Trump administration officials believe Pakistan has been sharing "a more positive version of the Iranian position with the US than what reflects reality" while questioning whether Islamabad was "aggressively conveying Trump's displeasure." US Senator Lindsey Graham, a Trump ally, called for "a complete reevaluation" of Pakistan's mediator role. However, analysts suggest the controversy is unlikely to significantly damage Islamabad's position. "Pakistan has done more than many had expected. Delivering a ceasefire in an environment marred by sheer distrust was no mean feat," said Syed Ali Zia Jaffery, deputy director at the Centre for Security, Strategy and Policy Research at the University of Lahore. Deadlock in Peace Negotiations The immediate trigger for the latest tensions was Washington's rejection of an Iranian peace proposal delivered through Pakistan on Sunday. Iranian state media said Tehran's terms included US war reparations, full Iranian sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz, an end to sanctions, and the release of frozen assets, while insisting nuclear negotiations be deferred. "I would say the ceasefire is on massive life support," Trump said in the Oval Office, describing the situation as one "where the doctor walks in and says, 'Sir, your loved one has approximately a 1 percent chance of living.'" Iranian officials rejected this characterization, calling their proposal "reasonable and generous" and insisting they had demanded "only Iran's legitimate rights." Regional and International Ramifications The core disagreements between Washington and Tehran remain unchanged. The US wants Iran to explicitly abandon its nuclear program and surrender its stockpile of uranium enriched to 60 percent, while Tehran insists nuclear negotiations can only follow the lifting of sanctions and the end of the US naval blockade imposed on its ports. Since the Islamabad talks ended without an agreement on April 12, Pakistan has continued to act as an intermediary, carrying proposals between the two sides. Qatar has also backed the mediation effort, with US Secretary of State Marco Rubio meeting Qatari Prime Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman bin Jassim Al Thani in Miami, Florida. Path Forward Amid Uncertainty Trump is expected to discuss the Iran crisis with Chinese President Xi Jinping during a visit to Beijing this week, as Washington hopes Beijing could use its influence with Tehran. China is Iran's biggest economic and strategic partner, and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi met Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi in Beijing last week. The Iranian foreign minister is also expected to attend a meeting of BRICS foreign ministers in India, alongside top diplomats from Saudi Arabia and Egypt. "For the ceasefire, this is actually stabilising. More parties with skin in the game raise the cost of collapse for everyone," said analyst Mohanad Seloom. Meanwhile, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu indicated that if Iran's nuclear material could not be removed through negotiations, Israel and the US agreed "we can re-engage them militarily." Former Qatari Prime Minister Sheikh Hamad bin Jassim Al Thani warned that the weaponisation of the Strait of Hormuz was "the most dangerous outcome" of the conflict, suggesting the crisis would outlast any ceasefire.

Day 74 of the Iran‑U.S. war saw Tehran’s parliamentary speaker, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, declare that Iranian forces stand ready to respond to any attack, while President Donald Trump labelled Iran’s latest diplomatic reply “stupid” and warned the fragile cease‑fire is on “massive life support”. The exchange has deepened uncertainty over a diplomatic breakthrough and raised the spectre of broader regional disruption. Escalating Rhetoric Marks Day 74 of the Iran‑US Standoff Trump rejected Iran’s response to his peace proposal, calling it “stupid” and “garbage”. Ghalibaf warned the United States would be “surprised” by Iran’s retaliation if attacked. Analyst Dania Thafer warned of a “high likelihood of escalation” as both sides appear to be speaking past each other. Sanctions, Seizures and Diplomatic Moves: The Numbers Behind the Tension The United States sanctioned 12 people and entities over Iranian oil sales to China. The United Kingdom announced parallel sanctions targeting similar actors. Iranian authorities seized six properties linked to ex‑football captain Ali Karimi, now living in exile. A defence ministers’ meeting hosted by the UK and France will bring together representatives from 40 countries to discuss security of the Strait of Hormuz. Regional Ripple Effects: Energy Flows, Trade Routes and Civilian Costs Disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz threaten global oil shipments, already inflating diesel and transport costs in the United States. Rising fuel prices are pushing up supermarket and transport expenses across the U.S., according to Al Jazeera’s Mike Hanna. Heavy U.S. military activity at Israel’s Ben Gurion airport is crowding civilian flights, raising ticket prices ahead of the summer travel season. Lebanese residents displaced by Israeli strikes face repeated evacuations and interruptions to children’s education. What Comes Next? Scenarios for the Next Weeks of the Conflict Diplomatic push: Trump’s upcoming trip to China could open a back‑channel for de‑escalation, but success hinges on reconciling core demands over Iran’s nuclear programme. Escalation risk: If either side escalates military pressure in the Hormuz corridor, shipping costs could spike further, deepening the global energy crisis. Sanctions spiral: Additional U.S. and UK sanctions may tighten Iran’s financial lifelines, prompting Tehran to adopt asymmetric retaliation tactics.

The LeadThe United States-Israel war on Iran is not the result of a sudden escalation but the culmination of a long-term Israeli agenda to violently reshape the Middle East, former Qatari Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Sheikh Hamad bin Jassim Al Thani tells Al Jazeera. Netanyahu's 'Illusion' and the US MisstepSheikh Hamad had warned of an impending conflict last year and urged Gulf states to push for a diplomatic resolution to resolve the crisis with Iran and prevent military strikes. He identified a push for a conflict with Iran and blamed it on a 'hardline faction' within Israel led by Netanyahu, who he said had been trying to drag the US into a war over Tehran's nuclear programme since President Bill Clinton's administration in the 1990s. The Strait of Hormuz: A New Global FlashpointAssessing Tehran's strategy, Sheikh Hamad said Iran successfully absorbed the initial military strikes of the war and subsequently dragged its feet on a settlement after realising it could leverage a new strategic advantage: the Strait of Hormuz. Calling the weaponisation of the waterway the 'most dangerous outcome' of the war, he warned that Iran is now treating the vital international chokepoint as its own sovereign territory. A Call for a 'Gulf NATO'In one of his most blunt assessments, Sheikh Hamad declared that the greatest threat to the Gulf is neither Iran, Israel nor foreign military bases but internal Gulf disunity. To counter this, he proposed the creation of a 'Gulf NATO', a joint political and defence project starting with a core group of strategically aligned Gulf nations with Saudi Arabia serving as its natural backbone. Gaza, Normalisation and a Late-1990s SecretTurning to the issue of Palestine, Sheikh Hamad condemned the killing of civilians on all sides but accused Israel of committing a 'moral and political disaster' in Gaza, where more than 72,500 Palestinians have been killed since Israel's genocidal war began in October 2023.

The Lead Oil prices have climbed after Donald Trump condemned Iran's response to US proposals to end the war as 'totally unacceptable'. The president's rejection of Tehran's overture triggered a jump in Brent crude, the international benchmark for oil prices, by as much as 4% on Monday to $105.50 a barrel, before easing back to settle at $103.50. Iran's Counter-Proposal The US had presented a peace proposal a week ago, said to consist of a 14-point memorandum of understanding that would reopen the strait of Hormuz, while setting a framework for further talks on Iran's nuclear programme. The Iranian counter-proposal reportedly suggested a shorter moratorium and included a refusal to accept the dismantling of its facilities. The Data Analysis The increase in tensions has added to fears that the oil prices could remain elevated for longer, as the strait of Hormuz – through which a fifth of the world's oil and gas supply normally passes – remains effectively closed. In the UK, the cost of government borrowing also rose amid fears for higher inflation – which can make it harder for central banks to cut interest rates. The Impact Analysis 'While there's some expectation that a major reignition of the war is less likely, given the US claims a ceasefire is still in place, severe supply constraints of commodities are set to continue,' said Susannah Streeter, chief investment strategist at the broker Wealth Club. 'With the crisis now into the 11th week, consumers, companies and countries are having to adapt to a world of constrained supplies.' The Prediction Trump is scheduled to meet China's president Xi Jinping in Beijing this week, with the two leaders expected to discuss trade, Taiwan and China's role in the conflict in the Middle East. The meeting may have significant implications for the global economy and oil markets.