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The Lead The World Health Organization (WHO) chief has embarked on a critical visit to the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) as the region grapples with an ongoing Ebola crisis. WHO's Response to the Ebola Outbreak The WHO Director-General's visit underscores the organization's commitment to supporting the DRC in its fight against the Ebola outbreak. The WHO has been working closely with local health authorities to contain the spread of the disease. The Current Situation in DRC The Ebola outbreak in the DRC has presented significant challenges, including insecurity in the affected areas and the risk of the virus spreading to neighboring countries. The WHO's visit aims to bolster the response efforts and ensure a coordinated approach to tackling the crisis. The Impact on Global Health The Ebola crisis in the DRC has implications for global health security, highlighting the need for continued vigilance and cooperation among nations to prevent the spread of infectious diseases. Future Outlook The WHO's efforts, in collaboration with local and international partners, are crucial in controlling the outbreak and preventing future health crises. The organization's visit to the DRC is a significant step towards achieving this goal.

Day six of the 2026 French Open saw a whirlwind of third‑round action across all courts, with top seeds facing tough opponents and several matches turning into early classics.Opening the Third Round: Seeds Collide on Day SixNovak Djokovic vs João Fonseca – a high‑stakes encounter for the Serbian’s 25th Grand Slam bid.Iga Swiatek (four‑time champion) vs Magda Linette – a Polish derby on Court Chatrier.Karolina Muchova vs Jill Teichmann – Muchova’s power game on display.Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges – Rublev looking to extend his lead.Marta Kostyuk vs Viktorija Golubic – a test of the Ukrainian’s recent Madrid form.Scorelines and Key Moments from the CourtsRublev led 5‑4 in the first set, breaking Borges at 4‑3 before serving for the set at 6‑5.Borges saved two break points to level the set at 5‑5, forcing a tense finish.Kostyuk broke Golubic to love at 3‑3, marking Golubic’s first double‑digit game loss at Roland Garros.Swiatek held serve comfortably early, while Linette pushed back with aggressive baseline play.Muchova displayed a mix of power and creativity, holding her serve against Teichmann with a 6‑4 first set.Implications for the Grand Slam RaceThe outcomes on day six tighten the draw for the men’s and women’s titles. Djokovic’s win would place him within striking distance of a historic 25th major, while a loss could open the door for a new champion. Swiatek’s performance will be a barometer for her title defence; a slip could see her overtaken by emerging contenders like Linette or even the teenage Mirra Andreeva. Rublev’s momentum suggests a deep run, but the resilience shown by Borges signals potential upsets.What to Expect on the Final Days of Roland GarrosWith the quarter‑finals looming, expect tighter matches as fatigue sets in on the clay. Djokovic will likely face a fresh opponent who survived the Fonseca test, while Swiatek’s next round could pit her against a fellow Grand Slam hopeful. The women’s draw remains wide open, especially if Muchova continues her aggressive play. Fans should watch for breakthrough performances from younger talents such as Alex de Minaur and Alex Michelsen, who could become dark horses in the closing stages.

Investors priced in the possibility of a cease‑fire between the United States and Iran, sending the world’s key oil benchmarks lower and sparking a broad rally across Asian stock markets.Oil Prices Slide as Peace Draft Sparks Market OptimismThe market reaction followed a draft peace agreement circulated by Donald Trump and reported by Axios, which suggested a 60‑day extension of the cease‑fire. Analysts at Deutsche Bank noted “mounting optimism about an end to the conflict,” shifting sentiment away from stagflation concerns.Price Movements: Brent Down 1.3% and WTI Down 1.4%Brent crude futures fell 1.3% to $91.54 a barrel, on track for a 17% monthly decline since early May.West Texas Intermediate (WTI) dropped 1.4% to $87.64 a barrel, 7% below the week’s peak of $94.70.Regional Market Reactions: Asian Gains and European StabilityJapan’s Nikkei 225 rose 2.5%.South Korea’s KOSPI climbed 3.6%.Hong Kong’s Hang Seng gained 0.9%.China’s CSI 300 slipped 0.45%.UK’s FTSE 100 opened 0.1% higher; the broader Stoxx Europe 600 up 0.3%.U.S. S&P 500 had risen 0.6% the previous day, pushing the index to a new record high.U.S. 10‑year Treasury yields fell to 4.45%, supporting bond price gains.What the Next Weeks Could Hold for Energy MarketsIf the tentative cease‑fire holds, oil demand forecasts could be revised upward, limiting further price declines. However, lingering uncertainty over the strait of Hormuz and Iran’s nuclear ambitions means volatility may persist. Traders will watch for official confirmations from the U.S. vice‑president JD Vance and any concrete steps to reopen the strait, which could stabilize supply and temper market swings.

The Drone Incident in RomaniaRomania and its NATO allies have reacted angrily after a Russian drone crashed into an apartment building in eastern Romania, injuring two people. The foreign ministry in Bucharest on Friday labelled the crash of the drone, part of an overnight attack aimed at Ukraine, a serious violation of international law and called on NATO to accelerate the transfer of anti-drone capabilities.The incident is just the latest incursion along the alliance's eastern flank, raising concern that the risk of an open confrontation between Russia and NATO states is rising.Technical Details of the CrashRomania said the overnight drone was tracked by radar in its airspace before crashing onto the roof of a residential building in the city of Galati. Two F-16 fighter jets and a helicopter were scrambled, as authorities issued emergency alerts to residents. Two people suffered minor injuries and several residents were evacuated after a fire was triggered by the crash.Geopolitical RamificationsThe incident is just the latest of several, as the war in Ukraine has spilled over into neighbouring NATO countries, raising fears of potential escalation. Estonia, Lithuania and Latvia, as well as Finland have all reported repeated incursions into their airspace in recent months. Drone incursions sparked a government collapse in Latvia earlier this month.Shortly after the crash, Bucharest called for NATO to speed up the transfer of anti-drone capabilities. Outgoing Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan also said that Romania would, within hours, sign a contract which will give it anti-drone defences under the EU's SAFE programme.Diplomatic ResponsesOn Friday morning, Romania summoned the Russia ambassador. "We will officially communicate the consequences that this lack of responsibility on the part of the Russian Federation will have for the diplomatic relations between our countries, as well as the next steps at the European level regarding sanctions packages," Foreign Minister Oana Toiu wrote on social media.President Nicusor Dan stated that Romania will not accept that the war of aggression waged by Russia against Ukraine be transferred to its citizens, and added that he had asked the foreign ministry to present without delay a series of measures regarding the country's relationship with Russia, "proportionate to this very serious situation."International CondemnationNATO allies and others joined the chorus of anger. French Minister for European Affairs Benjamin Haddad said the incident highlighted the threat Russia poses to European security, noting that French troops are stationed in Romania."Regardless of whether it was on purpose or the result of ineptitude, Russia is still dangerous and we must defend ourselves against it," Polish Foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski told the Reuters news agency. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said the incident showed that "Russia's war of aggression has crossed yet another line".A NATO spokesperson also condemned "Russia's recklessness" on social media. Ukraine's Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha pledged "Ukraine stands firmly by Romania" as he branded Russia a threat to the Black Sea region and the wider European continent.Escalation ConcernsUnited Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres warned that the escalating attacks risk spiralling "out of control", with "unknown and unintended consequences". He said more civilians had been killed in the first four months of this year than during the same period in the previous three years, and called for diplomacy, immediate de-escalation and "a full and unconditional ceasefire".Concern that the war is threatening to spillover is building as Russia escalates hostilities in a bid to ward off rising political and economic pressure at home. Ukrainian forces reported that they shot down 217 drones overnight on Friday. Russia attacked with 232 drones and one ballistic missile. Hits were recorded in 14 areas, the air force said.Russia's Strategic PosturingMoscow has said it plans "systematic strikes" on Kyiv and has issued a barrage of threats at Ukraine's European allies, listing facilities in Europe that it said are involved in manufacturing drones and components for Ukraine. Moscow's Foreign Intelligence Service recently warned the Baltic nations that their NATO membership won't protect them from retaliation should they allow Ukraine to launch attacks from their territory, with analysts warning that the risk of an open confrontation between Russia and NATO states is rising.Article 5 Under ScrutinyThat heightens concern regarding NATO's Article 5 collective defence clause, which President Donald Trump has hinted the United States may not honour in some cases. However, the alliance's Secretary General Mark Rutte insisted on Friday that NATO will defend all of its territory."Russia's reckless behaviour is a danger to us all," he wrote on social media. "Last night showed yet again that the implications of their illegal war of aggression don't stop at the border." "We will continue to strengthen our deterrence and defence at home and continue our support for Ukraine as they defend against Russia's aggression," he added.

The Netherlands' World Cup Quest: Breaking the Final Jinx The Netherlands enter the 2026 FIFA World Cup with a talented squad that has been unbeaten in qualifying, yet carries the weight of history as three-time runners-up who have never lifted the trophy. Coach Ronald Koeman returns for his second stint at the helm, hoping to guide this more cohesive Dutch side beyond the final hurdle that has eluded previous golden generations. Reijnders: The Midfield Engine Manchester City's Tijjani Reijnders has emerged as the Netherlands' midfield heartbeat, establishing himself as one of Europe's finest midfielders. After two outstanding years at AC Milan where he was named Serie A Best Midfielder, he has adapted well to life under Pep Guardiola. While his five goals and two assists in 28 Premier League appearances don't tell the full story, his all-action style—linking defense and attack, breaking up opponents' play, and providing a classy presence on the ball—makes him indispensable for the Netherlands. When he performs well, the team typically follows suit. A Solid Foundation with Injury Concerns The Dutch boast a formidable defensive core led by Liverpool legend Virgil van Dijk, complemented by Micky van de Ven, Jurrien Timber, and Jan Paul van Hecke. In midfield, Ryan Gravenberch provides both defensive stability and attacking threat, while Cody Gakpo offers significant danger out wide and in front of goal. However, the squad faces significant injury concerns, with playmaker Xavi Simons ruled out for the tournament after an ACL rupture, Memphis Depay struggling with a hamstring injury, and Jurrien Timber sidelined with a groin issue. These absences could severely impact the team's balance and creativity. Koeman's Challenge: Managing Talent and Egos Returning to the national team for a second stint, Ronald Koeman faces the delicate task of balancing world-class talent with a squad that has inconsistencies. After previous Dutch sides were undermined by fractious egos and strong personalities, this current squad appears more cohesive. Koeman's experience as both a player and manager, coupled with his popularity with the players, positions him well to navigate these challenges. His ability to integrate the returning Depay while managing the fitness concerns of key players could determine the Netherlands' fate in the tournament. Group Stage: A Path to the Knockouts Drawn in Group F alongside Japan, Sweden, and Tunisia, the Netherlands should have a relatively comfortable path to the last 32. The opener against Japan presents the toughest challenge, as the Japanese side is considered a dark horse after defeating England at Wembley. Sweden, despite a poor qualifying campaign, possesses dangerous players like Victor Gyokeres and Anthony Elanga. The final match against Tunisia should be more straightforward, though the North Africans have a reputation for being obdurate opponents in major tournaments. World Cup Prediction: Last 16 Hurdle While the Netherlands boast undeniable talent, Al Jazeera predicts they will fall at the last 16 stage. The squad lacks the elite quality and cohesion to become a team greater than the sum of its parts. Historical patterns suggest the Dutch often underperform in major tournaments despite their star players, and the current injury concerns further diminish their chances of finally breaking their final curse and lifting the trophy. Netherlands' Group Stage Fixtures June 14: Netherlands vs Japan (Dallas, United States), 4pm ET (20:00 GMT) June 20: Netherlands vs Sweden (Houston, United States), 1pm ET (17:00 GMT) June 24: Tunisia vs Netherlands (Kansas City, United States), 7pm ET (23:00 GMT) Squad to Watch Goalkeepers: Bart Verbruggen (Brighton), Robin Roefs (Sunderland), Mark Flekken (Bayer Leverkusen) Defenders: Jurrien Timber (Arsenal), Micky van de Ven (Tottenham), Virgil van Dijk (Liverpool), Nathan Ake (Manchester City), Jorrel Hato (Chelsea), Denzel Dumfries (Inter), Jan Paul van Hecke (Brighton) Midfielders: Ryan Gravenberch (Liverpool), Tijjani Reijnders (Manchester City), Frenkie de Jong (Barcelona), Teun Koopmeiners (Juventus), Marten de Roon (Atalanta), Quinten Timber (Marseille), Guus Til (PSV Eindhoven), Mats Wieffer (Brighton) Forwards: Brian Brobbey (Sunderland), Memphis Depay (Corinthians), Cody Gakpo (Liverpool), Justin Kluivert (Bournemouth), Noa Lang (Galatasaray), Donyell Malen (Roma), Crysencio Summerville (West Ham), Wout Weghorst (Ajax)

Israel's Mental Health Crisis: Trauma and Societal TransformationAfter more than two years of relentless bombardment and war – from Israel's operations in Gaza and the Hamas-led assault on southern villages in October 2023 that preceded it, to the country's successive wars and strikes on Iran, Lebanon, Syria and other neighbouring states – analysts, observers, and numerous studies from within Israel have concluded that the country has become moulded by trauma.A recent survey by Maccabi Healthcare Services found that about one-third of Israelis believe they need professional mental health support. Among those who have served in the army, as either conscripts or reservists, the picture is even starker.Rising PTSD Cases and Mental Health EmergenciesIn January, Israel's Defence Ministry reported a near-40 percent rise in the number of post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) cases among its soldiers since September 2023, with a 180 percent increase expected by 2028. The government has not published the number of soldiers discharged due to mental health over the same period, despite a legal obligation to do so, Israeli media has reported.Earlier this month, Magen David Adom, Israel's paramedic service, launched a dedicated mental health emergency service after registering a 45 percent spike in the number of calls it was receiving. The majority, it said, were linked to the continued strain of the country's multiple wars.The Statistical Surge in Mental Health IndicatorsThe number of suicides, a key indicator of mental health, has sharply increased across society as a whole, but particularly among the military, with 78 percent of military suicides in 2024 linked to combat operations in Gaza, the occupied West Bank and Lebanon, The Jerusalem Post reported in February.Incidents of domestic violence, as well as mental health conditions such as depression and stress, have all spiked since what many in the country regard as its endless series of wars began in October 2023, as well.Societal Brutalization and Political ShiftsIsrael's President, Isaac Herzog, appeared to acknowledge the trend in late May, referring to the increase in violence across Israeli society itself, including that perpetrated by rampaging Israelis from illegal settlements against Palestinians in the occupied West Bank, and the spike in violence targeting Christians.Speaking at an awards ceremony, he said, "I wish I could speak today only about unity. But to my great sorrow, we are living through days in which violence is not the only thing rearing its head. Alongside it, at the margins of our magnificent Israeli society, a terrible process is creeping in – a terrible process of brutalisation. It is a slow and disturbing process, one that threatens to enter the mainstream of Israeli society, and we will not allow it.""October 7 was like a switch, and the trauma it caused is widespread and ongoing," Tuly Flint, an Israeli mental health practitioner and combat veteran, told Al Jazeera. "People's sense of security was shattered," he said, arguing that the gap between past conflicts and the present ones had created a false sense of safety, alongside misplaced confidence in Israel's military and technological superiority."People have lost confidence in their society, government and institutions," Flint said, describing the sense of institutional betrayal among those who relied on the state for protection, or the moral injury experienced by those who lived through the consequences of its failure to do so. "In some cases, this has led people to embrace right-wing politics, adopt a more forceful response to perceived threats, and lose trust in government," he added.Trauma's Long-Term Implications for Israel's FutureHowever, the degree to which these trends began on October 7, 2023, is unclear, analysts and observers say. Violence has been intrinsic to Israel since its founding in 1948, analysts, such as the noted Israeli sociologist Yehouda Shenhav-Shahrabani, told Al Jazeera, with the events following October 7 merely giving new impetus to existing currents."October 7 was like a new beginning," Shenhav-Shahrabani said. "People create beginnings to erase the trauma of the past. Giving trauma a start date helps explain it."Recounting a conversation he had with his friend, the late Lebanese novelist, Elias Khoury, who had described to him his idea that Israelis need to experience defeat to become "more human" and less hubristic, Shenhav-Shahrabani said, "I'm not sure that's happened. October 7 was a defeat, and since then, Israelis have become even more fascist."There was always a fascist element to zionism, but more liberal strands, such as kibbutzim, obscured it. However, since October 7, it's become more apparent. You can see it everywhere," Shenhav-Shahrabani, who has given up teaching in response to endless criticism from a growing number of right-wing students, said.How its current trauma will shape Israel going forward is unclear, Zahava Solomon, a professor at Tel Aviv University who has researched the phenomenon for the past 40 years, said.Trauma can motivate a society to be strong and aggressive, or to always seek negotiation, she said. For Israel, the past trauma of the Holocaust has, she said, instilled in society an absolute sense of victimhood, one imprinted upon its citizens from the cradle and for whom the mantra of "never again" has become second nature.As for the Palestinians, who have experienced their own victimhood, this carries "dire consequences" for the future.For Flint, however, still on the front line of managing the fallout from the wars' collective trauma, "There's no cure"."There's just recovery. Once people have crossed that threshold, that's it."

The Lead: Asian Markets React to Diplomatic DevelopmentsAsian stocks are rising today amid hopes of a US-Iran peace deal and the potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, a critical shipping route that has been impacted by regional tensions. The positive market sentiment comes as US President Donald Trump has circulated a draft peace agreement among allies, including Israel, which could significantly alter the geopolitical landscape in the Middle East.The Event Details: US-Iran Peace Proposal TermsPresident Trump has shared a draft peace agreement for the war with Iran, similar to proposals circulating throughout the Middle East. The key provisions include:Opening the Strait of Hormuz to commercial shippingLifting the US blockade of Iranian portsProviding Iran with access to up to $12 billion (£9 billion) in frozen assetsTargeting the return of commercial shipping in the strait to pre-war levels within 30 daysAnticipating negotiations lasting up to 60 days on Iran's nuclear programThe Data Analysis: Market Performance and Oil ImpactAsian markets are showing strong gains across the board:Japanese Nikkei: +2.65%Hong Kong's Hang Seng: +0.9%South Korean Kospi: +3.6%TSMC (chip maker): +2.6%Samsung Electronics: +6%SK Hynix: +0.6%Concurrently, oil prices have declined, with Brent crude falling approximately 1% to $93.02 per barrel. The price drop reflects investor calculations about the potential impact of the Strait of Hormuz reopening on global oil supplies.The Impact Analysis: Regional and Global Economic ImplicationsThe potential peace deal between the US and Iran could have far-reaching implications for global markets and regional stability. The reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, through which approximately 20% of global oil trade passes, could significantly impact energy markets and shipping routes. Additionally, the lifting of port blockades and access to frozen assets could stimulate Iran's economy and create new trade opportunities in the region.The rally in Asian tech stocks, particularly semiconductor manufacturers, suggests that while geopolitical tensions are easing, enthusiasm for artificial intelligence and related technologies continues to drive market sentiment in the region.The Prediction: Market Trajectory and Upcoming Economic IndicatorsAs diplomatic negotiations progress, markets will likely continue to react to developments in the US-Iran peace process. The coming weeks will be critical as the 60-day negotiation period on Iran's nuclear program unfolds. Investors should also monitor upcoming economic indicators that could influence market sentiment:French inflation report (7.45am BST)Spanish inflation report (8am BST)Andrew Bailey speech at the Reykjavik 2026 economic conference (9.20am BST)Germany inflation report (1pm BST)Canadian Q1 2026 GDP (1.30pm BST)The interplay between geopolitical developments and economic data will likely shape market direction in the coming weeks.

Victor Wembanyama delivered a dominant 28‑point, 10‑rebound, 3‑block night to push the San Antonio Spurs past the Oklahoma City Thunder 118‑91, tying the Western Conference semifinals at 3‑3 and setting up a winner‑takes‑all Game 7 in Oklahoma City.Spurs Force Decisive Game Seven with Wembanyama’s 28‑Point PerformanceThe Spurs surged early, opening a 9‑2 lead after a quick three‑pointer from Julian Champagnie and two buckets from Wembanyama. A barrage of eight three‑pointers in the first quarter set the tone, while a 20‑0 run in the third quarter blew the game open. The Thunder struggled, missing 13 straight shots and scoring only 13 points in the third period.Stat Sheet: 28 Points, 10 Rebounds, 3 Blocks and a 20‑0 RunVictor Wembanyama: 28 points, 10 rebounds, 3 blocksDylan Harper (bench): 18 pointsSpurs three‑pointers Q1: 8 (most in any postseason quarter this year)Spurs third‑quarter run: 20‑0Final score: Spurs 118, Thunder 91What This Means for the Western Conference LandscapeThe victory keeps the Spurs alive for a first‑ever back‑to‑back NBA Finals appearance since the Golden State Warriors in 2019. For the Thunder, the loss erases a chance to become the first team to clinch the conference on the road this postseason. Meanwhile, the New York Knicks await the Western champion after sweeping the Cavaliers and 76ers.Looking Ahead: Game Seven Preview and Potential NBA Finals MatchupCoach Mitch Johnson warned his squad to expect a hostile environment in Oklahoma City, while Thunder coach Mark Daigneault emphasized execution in the final showdown. If the Spurs carry their defensive intensity, they could force a historic Finals rematch with the Knicks; a Thunder win would give them a chance to rewrite the narrative of a defending champion’s resilience.

Ethiopia's Contested Election LandscapeAddis Ababa, Ethiopia – Ethiopia will hold general elections on June 1, 2026, with Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed's governing Prosperity Party (PP) widely expected to secure a decisive victory. A fragmented opposition and violence in parts of the country could keep millions from voting, raising questions about the legitimacy of the electoral process.In the capital, Addis Ababa, the ruling party has closed major roads, including Meskel Square in the city centre, to stage large rallies for supporters, while opposition parties say they have been barred from holding comparable gatherings.Election Dynamics and Government Campaign StrategyThe electoral board claims more than 50 million people have registered to vote out of a population of at least 130 million, though critics dispute these figures, pointing to large parts of the country affected by conflicts in regions including Amhara and Oromia, as well as lingering instability following the Tigray conflict.Several of the country's most populous regions, including Amhara, Oromia, Gambella and Tigray, remain unstable after a civil war that ended in 2022, killing an estimated 600,000 people and displacing millions.Regional Conflicts and Electoral Legitimacy"The polls are primarily a symbolic exercise intended to confer legitimacy on the incumbent," Kjetil Tronvoll, professor at Oslo New University College and an expert on Ethiopia, told Al Jazeera. "Multiparty elections in Ethiopia have never been a genuine contest with the real possibility of changing government, neither under the Ethiopian People's Revolutionary Democratic Front (EPRDF) nor under the PP.""With the exclusion of Tigray, the challenge is far bigger than it appears on the surface," Tronvoll said, adding that it reflects Ethiopia's political and territorial crisis. "It is a consequence of the federal government's lack of territorial control and the erosion of federal authority over political institutions in the region."Suppression of Opposition and Media ControlMany opposition voices have been pushed out of formal political space, with armed movements active across Amhara, Oromia and other regions. Tigray has been excluded entirely from the election, as the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF), a banned but influential political actor in the region, consolidates its authority.Opposition leader Mistresilasie Tamerat, 23, who heads the Ethiopian People's Revolutionary Party (EPRP), says she has been repeatedly denied permits and venues to organize rallies, an issue also highlighted by the Ethiopian Human Rights Commission (EHRC), a government-established human rights body.Press Freedom Under SiegeMuch of Ethiopia's media and journalists have been warned against critical coverage of the upcoming election, while the media regulatory authority has come under scrutiny for its actions against the press, including the reported deportation of journalists and restrictions affecting outlets such as The Economist and The Africa Report.Ethiopia now ranks 145th out of 180 countries in Reporters Without Borders' 2025 Press Freedom Index, alongside Eritrea, North Korea and Iran near the bottom of the ranking. Addis Standard, a leading critical online publication, has had its licence withdrawn, while The Reporter newspaper, the country's largest-circulation paper, has been warned to align its reporting with government narratives.Diminished Public Engagement and Future OutlookDays before the vote, the mood in Addis Ababa is subdued. There are few campaign signs beyond those of the governing party and little visible political activity, reflecting a mood shaped by double-digit inflation and an influx of displaced people fleeing insecurity elsewhere in the country.Even music perceived as critical of the government, including songs by popular artist Teddy Afro, is increasingly absent from public spaces and radio broadcasts, residents say. For many Ethiopians, the election represents a continuation of the status quo rather than a genuine opportunity for political change, with the government's control over institutions and public space ensuring its anticipated victory.