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Politics May 28, 2026

Yemen's former leader Abd-Rabbu Mansour Hadi dies in exile at 80

Yemen's former president Abd-Rabbu Mansour Hadi, who fled house arrest by Houthi rebels and spent h…
Death of Yemen's Exiled Leader Marks End of an EraYemen's former president Abd-Rabbu Mansour Hadi, who fled house arrest by Houthi rebels and spent his final years in exile in Saudi Arabia, has died at age 80. Yemen's presidency confirmed the death, with state-run Yemeni TV reporting that Hadi died at his residence in Riyadh on Thursday.Former President's Life in ExileHadi was the internationally recognized president of Yemen who led a fractured government mostly from exile for eight years as the country descended into civil war and famine before stepping down in 2022. He fled to Saudi Arabia in 2015 as war erupted between the Iran-backed Houthis, who had forced the government from the capital Sanaa, and a Saudi-led coalition.The government announced three days of mourning, during which flags will be flown at half-staff. Hadi is survived by his wife, Hala, and six children.Human Cost of Yemen's ConflictAlthough a UN-brokered ceasefire is largely holding, the war has killed hundreds of thousands of people through direct and indirect causes. Last year, 19.5 million people needed aid, the United Nations reported. Yemen remains divided between the Houthi-controlled north and the government-run south, which includes a patchwork of factions.Political Vacuum in Divided YemenRashad al-Alimi, the head of the Presidential Leadership Council – the leadership body of Yemen's internationally recognized government – said Hadi believed in the Yemeni people's "right to a just state, freedom and human dignity." "He led the battle to defend the republican system," al-Alimi said on social media.Hadi took office in 2012 after a long stint as vice president to Ali Abdullah Saleh, who reluctantly ended his 33 years in power during Arab Spring protests. He handed over his powers – reportedly under Saudi pressure – to the newly formed Presidential Leadership Council in April 2022.Uncertain Path for Peace in YemenHadi, a career military officer, was waved through as the sole candidate in an election in which he won 99.8 percent of the vote. His presidency was thwarted with spells of unrest, with his opponents accusing him of favoring the country's eastern oil-rich provinces at the expense of the mountainous heartlands dominated by Houthis. After the Houthis overran the capital in 2014, they placed Hadi under house arrest in early 2015 before he escaped in February of that year.
#Abd-Rabbu Mansour Hadi #Yemen #Houthis
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Sports May 28, 2026

Barcelona signs Anthony Gordon for £70m, bringing unpredictability to their attack

Barcelona has signed Anthony Gordon from Newcastle for £70m, bringing a direct and intense playing …
The Lead Barcelona has completed the signing of Anthony Gordon from Newcastle for £70m, a move that brings a direct and intense playing style to their attack. The 25-year-old England winger is known for his turbo-charged talent and ability to terrorize defenses. Gordon's Playing Style Gordon is a versatile right-footed forward who is arguably at his best on the left but capable of playing across the frontline. He is aggressive and direct, reveling in accelerating into space behind defenders and pressing relentlessly from the front with rare intensity. His playing style is not without risk, as he often forces defenders into taking gambles they would prefer to avoid. The Data Analysis In 26 league games for Newcastle, Gordon contributed six goals, three of them penalties, and only two assists. However, in the Champions League, he scored 10 times in 12 appearances and contributed two assists. His performance in the Champions League has drawn praise from top managers, including José Mourinho. The Impact Analysis Gordon's signing is part of Hansi Flick's plan to keep Madrid firmly in their place. His arrival brings unpredictability to Barcelona's attack, and his ability to interchange positions with other forwards could make their attacking trio more formidable. However, Gordon's inconsistency and sometimes selfish play may pose a risk for Flick. The Prediction If Gordon can refine aspects of his game and diplomatic skills at the Camp Nou, he could become a key player for Barcelona. Meanwhile, Newcastle seems poised for an even more dramatic reinvention, with their sporting director pursuing several new signings to strengthen their squad.
#Barcelona #Anthony Gordon #Newcastle
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Sports May 28, 2026

IOC President Coventry’s Anti‑Prize‑Money Remarks Ignite Global Athlete Outcry

IOC President Kirsty Coventry sparked a social‑media firestorm by declaring athletes should not be …
IOC President Kirsty Coventry sparked a social‑media firestorm by declaring athletes should not be paid prize money at the Games, prompting a wave of criticism from Olympians worldwide.Coventry’s anti‑prize‑money stance fuels athlete criticismDuring an interview with New Zealand outlet Sport Nation, Coventry said, “I don’t believe in paying athletes… I come from a small country… I still don’t think we should be paying athletes at the Olympic Games.” She added that the IOC should focus on talent identification and support for athletes from smaller nations. The remarks arrived on her first Oceania visit as the first woman and first African chief of the IOC.Prominent athletes responded on Instagram, with Cameron McEvoy calling the timing “inopportune” after the controversial Enhanced Games offered lucrative payouts. Former champions Filippo Magnini, Grant Hackett, Roland Schoeman, and others echoed the sentiment that athletes sacrifice without financial reward.Financial figures underline the controversy$12.4 b – total revenue generated by the IOC in the 2021‑2024 cycle.74 % – portion of that revenue redistributed back into international sport.$250,000 – prize awarded per gold medal at the Enhanced Games.$1 m – bonus earned by swimmer Kristian Gkolomeev for a “world‑record” at the same event.$350,000 – reported annual salary for the IOC president.Broader impact on Olympic governance and athlete rightsThe backlash has revived calls for an athletes’ union and a review of the IOC’s use of athletes’ name, image, and likeness (NIL). Critics point to the World Athletics decision to award $50,000 for Olympic gold as a benchmark, while questioning why the IOC, which commands billions, does not adopt a similar model.Former champion Greg Rutherford and Paralympic star Hunter Woodhall labeled the stance “embarrassing” and urged faster formation of a union. The debate also intersects with recent controversies over gender‑verification policies and past financial scandals involving the former president Thomas Bach.What’s next for IOC compensation policies?Analysts suggest the mounting pressure could force the IOC to explore NIL‑type arrangements or introduce modest prize pools to retain athlete goodwill. If the union movement gains traction, the organization may face a governance overhaul similar to the NCAA’s 2021 NIL reforms.Until a concrete policy shift is announced, the conversation around athlete compensation is likely to dominate Olympic discourse in the lead‑up to the 2028 Los Angeles Games.
#Kirsty Coventry #IOC #Athlete Compensation
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Tech May 28, 2026

RSI is the new AGI — and it's just as hard to pin down

Recursive self-improvement (RSI) has become the latest buzzword in AI, with researchers and startup…
The Rise of Recursive Self-Improvement in AIThe word "recursion" is the latest buzzword in AI circles. Two separate startups have taken on the name, and many more have started referencing recursive self-improvement (RSI) in their roadmaps. Like AGI before it, RSI has become a three-letter byword for a cataclysmic AI takeoff – even if there's still a little disagreement about what it exactly means.In basic terms, RSI refers to an AI system that can continuously upgrade itself. Once AI systems can manage the upgrade cycle better than humans, the process can become a closed loop, limited only by the compute power they can access, and humans are no longer necessary or even helpful.Scary or not, that's a vision that a lot of AI labs are eager to chase.Key Players Pursuing Recursive SystemsEarlier this month, well-known AI researcher Richard Socher launched the aptly named Recursive Superintelligence with RSI as an explicit goal. "Our main focus is to build truly recursive, self-improving superintelligence at scale," Socher told TechCrunch at launch, "which means that the entire process of ideation, implementation, and validation of research ideas would be automatic."A number of other prominent researchers are already chasing that same goal, hoping for a breakthrough that will make recursive self-improvement possible.One of the most prominent is Andrej Karpathy, a legendary figure from Tesla and OpenAI, who is using agent swarms to train LLMs on simple tasks for a project he calls Auto-Research. Karpathy has been unusually open about the project, tweeting about milestones regularly and making the building blocks available through a public GitHub repo. So far, the work has mostly been confined to making minor improvements on a GPT-2 scale model — as Karpathy noted in March, "It's not novel, ground-breaking 'research' (yet)" — but it's been enough to convince lots of other researchers to follow the RSI dream. And with Karpathy now working on pre-training at Anthropic, he will have plenty of opportunity to apply the idea at a larger scale.Adaption — founded by Cohere and Google alum Sara Hooker — recently launched a similar tool called AutoScientist in an effort to automate frontier training. Like Karpathy's auto-researchers, the system trains agents to make incremental improvements — but for Adaption, the goal is to make it easier to train a full-scale frontier model. If those same researchers start to push the frontier forward, the system could quickly spiral into something very much like RSI.Disarray founder Doris Xin drew more specific RSI interest when her self-trained machine learning agent took home 28 medals in a recent Kaggle competition, beating out many human-trained agents. As she sees it, the major challenge is reliability."I would argue, given infinite compute and infinite time horizon, we are already there," Xin told me. "I want to make an argument that this is not a creative endeavor, really. It's just a lot of meat-and-potatoes engineering."The Current State of Self-Improving AIThere's also plenty of evidence that the AI industry isn't very close to recursive systems in any meaningful way — and is still grappling with talking to a wary public about its progress. So Google CEO Sundar Pichai basically admitted in a recent podcast interview."It's a continuum, and we are all definitely making progress," Pichai said. "But in the way people describe RSI, that would represent a next level of acceleration and would have a lot of implications, but we aren't quite there yet."But the continuum includes an awful lot of self-improving AI systems.In January, one of Anthropic's lead programmers for Claude Code estimated that "close to 100%" of his team's code was written by the tool — a frank admission that Claude Code was literally writing itself.Just because engineers are using an AI tool doesn't mean the tool can replace them — but Anthropic seems to be getting close to replacing engineers too. In a recent survey tied to the Mythos preview, five out of 18 Anthropic engineers believed that, with harness improvements, this version of Mythos could soon substitute for an L4 engineer — a midlevel programmer who can take on involved projects without supervision.Still, there were some of the same weaknesses you might expect."Some of Claude's major reported weaknesses compared to an L4 include: self-managing week-long ambiguous tasks, understanding org priorities, taste, verification, instruction-following, and epistemics," the report reads.In other words, its weaknesses are everything involved with self-direction, which is the cornerstone for RSI. But sure, for everything else, Claude is ready to step right in.Expert Perspectives on RSI TimelinesJust like the AGI term before it, the AI industry also can't tell us how far away it is from showcasing a meaningful recursive system. When Georgetown's Center for Security and Emerging Technology assembled a group of experts to study RSI last year, the group found a major split in assessments — some expecting an imminent "superintelligence" style explosion while others expected slower progress and an eventual plateau. But all agreed that recursion made the future especially difficult to predict.Helen Toner, director of CSET and a former board member at OpenAI, told TechCrunch that simply using AI tools to do AI research isn't enough to qualify as RSI. "They're just using AI for as much as they can," Toner told TechCrunch. "And I think that is different from the classic definition of RSI, which is really that there are no humans needed."Toner pointed to a recent post by METR's Ajeya Cotra, which distinguishes different milestones on the path to the AI research takeover. One step, which Cotra calls "adequacy," would come when the system can still perform research after all humans are removed — even if the resulting research isn't as valuable or efficient. "Parity" comes when an AI-only system is as good at research as a human-only system. "Supremacy," the final stage, comes when an AI-only system outperforms a collaborative system between humans and AI.Ultimately, Cotra concludes that AI is very close to the adequacy threshold of being able to produce some work on its own — similar to the incremental changes made by Karpathy's Auto-Research system. "I wouldn't be totally shocked if you told me this milestone had already passed, and I expect it to happen in the next couple years," Cotra wrote.She was less clear on when parity will come, but once it does, she thinks it would "massively accelerate the pace of AI progress, leading to AI research supremacy within another year."The Challenges Ahead for Recursive AIWith so much of AI built on scaling laws, there's a strong tendency to think RSI will follow the same curve. Toner thinks that many of those pursuing AI research and development via RSI "think of it as a pretty smooth ladder, where you can just keep scaling up."But even if AI researchers are able to make incremental improvements like Karpathy's auto-researchers, there will be larger challenges in handing off the whole process of research. Toner put it in terms of the history of computing, which has seen human beings handing off more and more of the process while still directing things from the top."We went from machine languages to assembly language and compiled languages; you're getting further and further from the guts of the computer," Toner said. "But the human is still, in some intuitive sense, running the show."Moving beyond that paradigm will take significant challenges, both in engineering and alignment. But even with the massive investments happening, there's no infinite compute available — and the basic trade-off between human labor and machine intelligence will be hard to overcome.The Future of Recursive Self-ImprovementAs for a total recursive AI system of apocalyptic visions? The only thing researchers essentially agree on is that, like AGI, it's not here yet.
#Recursive Self-Improvement #AGI #AI Research
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Politics May 28, 2026

Anti-Immigrant Anger Swells in South Africa as Migrants Are Forced onto Streets

Anti‑immigrant sentiment is intensifying across South Africa after local authorities began clearing…
Anti‑immigrant anger is reaching a new peak in South Africa as municipal officials ordered the removal of makeshift camps that housed thousands of migrants, leaving them exposed on public streets. The move has ignited protests, a surge in xenophobic incidents, and a heated debate over the nation’s immigration policy. Escalating Xenophobic Tensions After Forced Evictions City councils in Johannesburg and surrounding townships issued eviction notices this week, citing health and safety concerns. Residents of the cleared camps report being given less than 24 hours to vacate, with many forced to sleep on sidewalks or in overcrowded shelters. Evictions began on 2026-05-25 across three major informal settlements. Local NGOs estimate that over 5,000 migrants were displaced. Community leaders claim the actions were taken without adequate consultation. Limited Data Highlights a Growing Crisis Official statistics on the displacement are scarce, but available reports point to a sharp rise in xenophobic activity: The South African Police Service logged a noticeable uptick in hate‑crime complaints in the past month. Human‑rights groups note an increase in verbal and physical attacks targeting foreign nationals. Economic analysts warn that prolonged unrest could deter foreign investment. Political Fallout and Social Cohesion at Risk The government’s response has split opinion. While some politicians defend the evictions as necessary for public order, opposition parties and civil‑society groups accuse the administration of stoking xenophobia. President Cyril Ramaphosa called for “orderly migration management” but avoided direct criticism of local authorities. Opposition leader John Steenhuisen demanded an immediate halt to evictions and a review of immigration policy. International bodies, including the UN, have urged South Africa to uphold the rights of migrants. Potential Policy Shifts and International Scrutiny Analysts predict that sustained pressure could force the government to adopt a more coordinated approach: Implementation of a national framework for temporary housing of displaced migrants. Increased funding for community‑integration programs to mitigate xenophobic sentiment. Possible sanctions or aid reductions from foreign partners if human‑rights violations continue. Until concrete measures are taken, the risk of further unrest remains high, and South Africa’s reputation as a regional hub for trade and tourism could suffer.
#South Africa #Migrants #Xenophobia
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Tech May 28, 2026

Last Chance: Save Up to $410 on TechCrunch Disrupt 2026 Tickets

TechCrunch Disrupt 2026 is taking place from October 13-15 at San Francisco's Moscone West. Early B…
The Final Days of Early Bird Pricing Time is running out to secure discounted tickets to TechCrunch Disrupt 2026. Early Bird pricing ends tomorrow, May 29, at 11:59 p.m. PT. After that, prices for the highly anticipated tech conference will increase. Unlock Savings of Up to $410 By registering now, you can lock in savings of up to $410 on your pass or up to 30% on group passes of 4+. Why Attend TechCrunch Disrupt 2026? TechCrunch Disrupt 2026, taking place from October 13–15 at San Francisco’s Moscone West, is a premier event for startups, investors, and tech enthusiasts. Here’s what you’ll gain by attending: Founder Pass: Accelerate growth with the right insights, tools, and connections. Meet investors aligned with your startup. Investor Pass: Discover standout startups and expand your portfolio with curated access. Use matchmaking tools to make every conversation count. Don’t Miss Out The window to the lowest ticket rates of the year is closing at 11:59 p.m. PT tomorrow, May 29. Register now to secure your ticket with up to a $410 discount.
#TechCrunch #Disrupt 2026 #San Francisco
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Sports May 28, 2026

Tactical Battle: Arsenal's Full-Back and Midfield Strategy Against PSG's Wings

The Champions League final between PSG and Arsenal hinges on tactical matchups, particularly Arsena…
The Tactical Chess Match of Champions League FinalIt would be easy to look at Saturday's Champions League final between Paris Saint-Germain and Arsenal and see it as a battle of attack versus defence, of beauty against pragmatism, of French elan against English doughtiness, as some sort of tussle for the soul of football. But it would not entirely be true. And where, after all, was the honour at Agincourt? In the vainglorious charges of the dashing French cavalry or the stoic defiance of the British archers arrayed, naked from the waist down, behind their defensive stakes?The final promises to be a fascinating tactical contest between two teams with contrasting approaches but complementary strengths. PSG's devastating wings, featuring players like Desiré Doué and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, will test Arsenal's defensive resolve, while Arsenal's set-piece prowess could provide their route to goal.PSG's Dominant Possession vs Arsenal's Defensive ResilienceThe statistical comparison between the two teams reveals contrasting strengths. In the Champions League this season, Paris Saint-Germain have averaged 63.4% possession, higher than anybody apart from Barcelona; Arsenal's figure is 52.6%, the 11th-highest of the 36 sides who made the league stage. PSG's pass completion has been 89.3% to Arsenal's 85.7% (third-highest to 14th-highest). PSG have scored 44 goals to Arsenal's 29. But on the flip side, Arsenal have conceded six goals to PSG's 22 and won 13.4 aerial duels per game to PSG's 9.4 (sixth-highest to 29th-highest).These figures suggest that PSG will dominate possession, while Arsenal will likely sit deep and look to counter-attack. However, that was not how either leg of the semi-final between the teams last season played out: PSG shaded possession at the Emirates and Arsenal at the Parc des Princes as they chased the game.The Full-Back Dilemma for ArsenalThe biggest danger to Arsenal is probably a counterattack. Most opponents sit deep against PSG, especially in Ligue 1, but the evidence of PSG's wins over Chelsea, Liverpool and Bayern Munich is that they are lethal in transition. Arsenal cannot let Desiré Doué or Khvicha Kvaratskhelia get a run on whoever they have at full-back. Both are rapid, supreme dribblers and terrifyingly direct.Full-back is an issue for Arsenal, especially on the right. Ben White is out with a knee injury and Jurriën Timber is doubtful with a groin problem sustained against Everton in mid-March. Martín Zubimendi started at right-back against Crystal Palace but it would seem more likely that Cristhian Mosquera operates there if Timber has not recovered, if only because he is a more natural defender.Riccardo Calafiori has seemed Mikel Arteta's preferred option on the left. His role will be twofold: to stop Doué and to invert into midfield, particularly out of possession, to try to prevent the counter. It may be that Myles Lewis-Skelly is used ahead of Zubimendi alongside Rice, in part because he is familiar with playing at left-back and so could help double up on Doué, or would be comfortable covering for Calafiori were he caught upfield.Midfield Strategies to Counter PSG's WingsAlthough PSG have scored more goals from non-penalty set plays than Arsenal in the Champions League this season (eight to five), it probably is reasonable to assume that corners and free-kicks offer Arsenal's best chance of a goal. But to counter PSG's midfield dominance, Arsenal may need to embrace a more aggressive approach.The first leg of PSG's semi-final against Bayern was remarkably open, almost basketball-like in its end-to-end attacking. But that should not necessarily be regarded as characteristic. PSG can at times seem a little sloppy, too reliant on their attacking prowess, but their performance away to Bayern, when Fabián Ruiz returned, showed how effective PSG's midfield can be. And that means either that Arsenal have to sit deep and accept PSG will dominate the ball or that they need to ensure their midfield has a destructive edge.Lessons from Previous EncountersChelsea's success against PSG in the Club World Cup final perhaps offers, if not a template, then at least inspiration for how Arsenal can hurt the defending European Champions. Enzo Maresca's approach was asymmetric, using Cole Palmer almost as an inside-right, haunting the channel between Nuno Mendes and the left-sided centre-back while getting in behind the left-back wherever possible.On the left, Marc Cucurella regularly tucked into midfield, just as Calafiori surely will, with Pedro Neto tracking back almost as a wing-back to check Achraf Hakimi's thrusts in support of Doué. If Arteta sees things similarly, that is probably more of a job for Leandro Trossard than Eberechi Eze, who may end up on the bench if Arteta, as he surely must, prefers 4-3-3 to 4-2-3-1.Keys to Victory in Saturday's FinalThere is an irony in this. The stereotype of Arsenal this season has been of a defensive side reliant on set plays, but that is not entirely accurate; rather they are a side whose defensive qualities have been highlighted because of deficiencies of creativity and attacking quality. But to beat PSG, it may be that they have to embrace the narrative and be the side critics say they are.Arsenal's right-back situation remains critical. White links better with Bukayo Saka than any of Arsenal's other full-backs, and Timber is as tactically astute as any player in the squad. Unless Timber is fit, the right-back issue is likely to diminish them from a defensive and an attacking point of view.The final will come down to which team can impose their tactical approach most effectively. Can Arsenal's defense contain PSG's devastating wings, or will PSG's midfield dominance prove too much for Arsenal to handle? The answer will determine who lifts the Champions League trophy on Saturday.
#Arsenal #PSG #Champions League
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Politics May 28, 2026

English Town Braces for Crucial By-Election That Could Determine UK's Future Leadership

A by-election in Ashton-in-Makerfield, a northern English market town, could determine the UK's fut…
The Lead-Up to the By-Election In a scenario few could have predicted, voters in a northern English market town near Manchester could determine the United Kingdom’s future political leadership. The surprise resignation of the Labour Party’s Ashton-in-Makerfield MP Josh Simons in late February left the supposedly safe seat open, paving the way for the popular mayor of Manchester, Andy Burnham, to step in. The Event Details If he wins the seat in a crucial by-election set for June 18, he could ultimately topple embattled Prime Minister Keir Starmer. Standing in his way are the voters, many of whom Burnham has yet to convince of his credentials for the job, and the right-wing insurgent Reform UK party, which has promised to “throw everything” at the election in a bid to block Burnham’s path to the UK Parliament. The Data Analysis Makerfield has been a safe Labour seat since its creation in 1983, but Starmer’s party lost all eight of its local council seats there to Reform in May during local elections. Recent local council elections in May 2026 saw a shift, with Reform UK winning 49.8% of the area's vote compared to Labour's 24.3%. The Impact Analysis The constituency is difficult to categorise, political scientists said. It neither fits the stereotype of the declining industrial towns of northern England nor carries much of the metropolitan optimism typified in the soaring glass tower blocks of the nearby Manchester city centre. Instead, it is best understood as “a place in-between”, political science Professor Rob Ford wrote in his blog last week. The Prediction Few observers have been brave enough to call the current contest. However, while political scientists are puzzled, 61-year-old resident Tracy Walker, who works in a charity shop, is resolute. “I want Andy Burnham. … I think we should give him a go. He’s from the north,” she said, contrasting Burnham with the long line of premiers from the country’s south.
#Andy Burnham #Keir Starmer #Labour Party
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Politics May 28, 2026

Why has Trump threatened to bomb Oman, amid Iran war escalation?

President Trump has threatened longtime ally Oman with military force over potential involvement in…
The LeadUnited States President Donald Trump has threatened longtime ally Oman with military force if it gets involved in the dispute over shipping access to the Strait of Hormuz, as Washington's war on Iran once again risks engulfing the Middle East. Trump's threat to "blow up" Oman came as Muscat reportedly held talks with Iran about overseeing passage through the strategic waterway that handles more than 20 percent of the world's global oil traffic.Trump's Unprecedented Threat Against a Key Ally"Nobody is going to control it," Trump said of the strait during a cabinet meeting in Washington. "It's international waters, and Oman will behave just like everybody else, or we will have to blow them up." This direct threat against a country with which Washington has had relations for more than 200 years has sent shockwaves across the region and drawn international criticism.While Hormuz is an international strait, most of it is located solely in Iranian and Omani territorial waters – not international waters – with parts of its outlying areas reaching United Arab Emirates (UAE) territorial waters. This geographical reality complicates Trump's assertion that the waterway is purely international.The Strategic Importance of the Strait of HormuzAs the only route for Gulf oil producers to ship exports to the open ocean, the strait has served as a free international maritime route for decades. Following the US-Israeli joint attacks on Iran on February 28, however, Tehran closed the waterway and began to assert sovereignty over it, including charging tolls of as much as $2m per ship at times.Under international maritime law, countries are not permitted to charge tolls to shipping passing through natural straits such as Hormuz, even where they are not in international waters. Countries can, however, provide services to shippers, such as insurance, maintenance and docking assistance.Regional Implications of Trump's ThreatShortly before Trump's comment, Iran's state television reported that Iran and the United States were close to agreeing on a memorandum of understanding (MOU) under which Tehran and Muscat would jointly control the strait. The proposal designates payments for passing vessels, framed as "fees for services" rather than "tolls."While the Trump administration has called the claims of such an MoU "a complete fabrication," analysts say his threat suggests that an understanding between Iran and Oman is precisely what the US president is trying to avoid."What Washington wants to prevent is the normalisation of Iranian control over Hormuz, dressed in administrative and legal clothing and given Arab cover by a US ally," Muhanad Seloom, non-resident senior fellow at the Middle East Council on Global Affairs, told Al Jazeera.International Reaction and Legal ConcernsCritics called the threat reckless. Raed Jarrar, the advocacy director at the US-based rights group DAWN, likened the US president's comments to those of a "mafia boss.""The UN Charter prohibits the threat of force against any state, and that prohibition binds the United States exactly as it binds everyone else," Jarrar told Al Jazeera. "Threatening to 'blow up' an Arab country because its waters happen to sit along an oil route Washington wants reopened is the same lawless logic that produced this war in February."Samir Puri, a visiting lecturer in war studies at King's College in London, said Trump's threat to Oman was "really surprising" and warned that it would "send shockwaves across the region."Oman's Diplomatic Role in the US-Iran ConflictOman has played a unique role in the region as a mediator between the US and Iran. Omani Foreign Minister Badr Albusaidi was a key mediator in US-Iran nuclear talks before the war on Iran began. Just before the US-Israeli joint attack on Tehran in February, Albusaidi had been meeting US officials, including Vice President JD Vance, to facilitate negotiations about the future of Tehran's nuclear programme.Unlike other US allies in the Gulf, such as Qatar, Bahrain and the UAE, Oman does not host US forces. It was nevertheless dragged into the conflict when Iran launched attacks on US military assets and energy infrastructure across the Gulf region in the early days of the war.Future Outlook for the RegionSeloom, from the Middle East Council on Global Affairs, said Oman is "one Gulf state that is simultaneously a US security partner and Iran's most trusted Arab interlocutor.""In peacetime, that ambiguity is an asset. In wartime, it becomes a liability, which is precisely the inversion now playing out," he told Al Jazeera.The analyst argued that joint Iran-Oman control over Hormuz was "more posture than probability." "Oman's real interest is not co-owning Iran's blockade; it is brokering the strait's reopening," he said.Still, according to Seloom, the prospect of Iran and Oman jointly shaping the future of the Strait of Hormuz alarms the US president for three reasons: "It would turn Iran's grip on the chokepoint into a permanent post-war fact rather than a temporary act of war; it would set a precedent that littoral states can metre and monetise an international waterway, eroding the freedom-of-navigation principle the United States underwrites worldwide; and it would hand Tehran a strategic win that outlasts any ceasefire."
#Donald Trump #Oman #Iran
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