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The Rise of Lyari's Boxing Scene Karachi, Pakistan – Over a few breezy winter weeks in Karachi, boxing coach Younus Qambrani sent a steady stream of WhatsApp messages from his neighbourhood of Lyari – videos, photos, old newspaper clippings that together formed an extensive archive of how he teaches girls to throw a punch. Challenging Stereotypes To millions of followers of Bollywood, the Indian film industry across the border, Lyari is synonymous with brutal gang warfare waged against a perpetually grey background. However, to Lyari locals, the neighbourhood is much more than the backdrop to blood and gore: It is a melting pot of cultures and tradition, rooted in history far deeper than Bollywood has dared to explore. The Data Analysis Lyari has a population of nearly 950,000 people, packed into about three percent of the Dutch city's land area. The neighbourhood has survived British colonialism, the partition of the subcontinent, and nearly eight decades in independent Pakistan. The Impact Analysis Lyari's colonial history and diverse working-class cultural hub have been overlooked in media representations. The neighbourhood has consistently been at the heart of labour movements, and a base of support for reformers, anti-colonial activists and later campaigns for the rights of Pakistan's various ethnic groups. The Prediction As Lyari's reputation and image are mangled by Bollywood, those who know the neighbourhood also turn to its history for support. With its legion of young boxers, Lyari's not defenceless. Qambrani's club, where girls are trained to box, is a testament to the neighbourhood's potential beyond gang violence.

The World Cup 2026 Group StructureA record 48 teams will contest this summer's World Cup, with 12 groups making up the first stage of the tournament. Twelve seeded teams are spread out across the groups, including the three host nations and eight top-ranked countries. The four highest-ranked teams – Spain, Argentina, France and England – were placed in separate sections of a new tennis-style seeded tournament bracket.The Tournament Format and Seeding StrategyFIFA implemented a new format for the expanded tournament, with the top four nations placed in separate quadrants of the bracket. This means that if these teams finish first in their respective round-robin groups, they will avoid each other until the semifinals. The top two teams from each group will automatically proceed to the round of 32, where they will be joined by the eight best third-placed sides.Group Rankings from Hardest to EasiestGroup I: France, Senegal, Iraq, NorwayThe "group of death" at this year's World Cup appears to be Group I, with the four teams having the highest average FIFA ranking. France are one of the favourites to lift the title and are looking to make their third consecutive final appearance, while Senegal are one of the strongest African nations. Erling Haaland's Norway are dark horses and Iraq – who faced the most games to qualify – will be no pushovers.Favourites for automatic qualification: France and SenegalGroup F: Netherlands, Japan, Sweden, TunisiaWith an average world ranking of 26, including seventh-placed Netherlands, this group looks pretty tricky. Japan were the first nation to qualify for the tournament and recently beat England at Wembley, while Sweden boast the attacking threats of Alexander Isak and Viktor Gyokeres. Tunisia came through qualifying without conceding and will be looking to make the knockouts for the first time.Favourites for automatic qualification: Netherlands and JapanGroup L: England, Croatia, Ghana, PanamaCroatia have reached the final and semifinals in their last two World Cup finals and will once again aim for a deep run in the tournament. They face England in a mouthwatering opening fixture, as Thomas Tuchel samples tournament football with the Three Lions for the first time. Carlos Queiroz will look to use all his experience to guide Ghana through the group stage, while Panama head to the tournament as Central America's highest-ranked side.Favourites for automatic qualification: England and CroatiaGroup C: Brazil, Morocco, Haiti, ScotlandWith two teams in the top 10 of FIFA's rankings, this group looks to be pretty competitive. Brazil are not the powerhouse they once were, but Carlo Ancelotti's side will still be heavy favourites to qualify in top spot. Eventual African Cup of Nations champions Morocco will look to repeat their heroics from 2022 and are likely to be the biggest challengers to Brazil. Scotland and Haiti will likely battle for third place, but they could also spring an upset against the two higher-ranked teams.Favourites for automatic qualification: Brazil and MoroccoGroup K: Portugal, DR Congo, Uzbekistan, ColombiaPortugal and Colombia look like the strong favourites in this group, but do not count out playoff victors DR Congo or debutants Uzbekistan. Fabio Cannavaro will lead the Central Asian side at their first World Cup, with Manchester City's Abdukodir Khusanov amongst their ranks. Colombia made their first Copa America final in more than 20 years in 2024 and will look to push Cristiano Ronaldo's Portugal for top spot.Favourites for automatic qualification: Portugal and ColombiaGroup H: Spain, Cape Verde, Saudi Arabia, UruguaySpain are many people's favourites for this tournament, with La Roja looking to follow up their successful Euro 2024 campaign with another trophy. Their match-up with Marcelo Bielsa's Uruguay will be one of the games to watch in the group stages, with the two sides likely vying for top spot. Saudi Arabia showed that they can spring an upset at Qatar 2022 and they'll likely be battling Cape Verde for third place.Favourites for automatic qualification: Spain and UruguayGroup E: Germany, Curacao, Ivory Coast, EcuadorWhile the average FIFA ranking in this group is the second-lowest out of all the groups, this still looks like a challenging pool of teams. Germany are quietly on a good run of form and will be desperate to reach the knockouts after successive World Cup group stage exits. Ecuador will be looking to put on a strong showing this summer after finishing second in South American qualifying to Argentina. They have Chelsea's Moises Caicedo amongst their ranks. Ivory Coast have enjoyed recent Africa Cup of Nations success and beat France in a warm-up match, while debutants Curacao are an unknown quantity.Favourites for automatic qualification: Germany and EcuadorGroup J: Argentina, Algeria, Austria, JordanArgentina have been handed a kind draw this year, with the defending champions likely to emerge as group winners. Austria and Algeria are closely matched in the FIFA rankings and their game against each other is likely to decide second place in the group. Jordan may be making their debut, but they will not be easy opponents. They were runners-up in the 2023 Asian Cup and scored 32 goals in qualifying, remaining unbeaten on the road.Favourites for automatic qualification: Argentina and AustriaGroup A: Mexico, South Africa, South Korea, Czech RepublicThis looks to be one of the easier groups with an average FIFA ranking of 35. Cohosts Mexico will lean on home advantage and look to have a strong chance of finishing in the top two. South Korea were the only side to be unbeaten in Asian qualifying and should be battling for second spot with the Czech Republic, who are led by 74-year-old Miroslav Koubek. South Africa have never reached the knockout stages at the World Cup, but they could sneak a third-place passage into the round of 32.Favourites for automatic qualification: Mexico and South KoreaGroup G: Belgium, Egypt, Iran, New ZealandThis looks to be a pretty comfortable group for Belgium, even if the days of the "golden generation" are now in the past. None of their opponents have ever made it out of the group at a World Cup, with Rudi Garcia's side expected to come out on top. Egypt, led by star man Mohamed Salah, have never won a World Cup match but will fancy their chances against Iran and New Zealand. Iran's preparations have been chaotic given the US-Israel war on their country, and it is hard to predict the effect this will have on them, while New Zealand look set for an uphill struggle as the lowest-ranked team in the tournament.Favourites for automatic qualification: Belgium and EgyptGroup D: United States, Paraguay, Turkiye, AustraliaDespite having the second-highest average FIFA ranking, this looks to be one of the easier groups, with the cohosts handed a kind draw. The US are the top-ranked team at world number 16 and coach Mauricio Pochettino will be banking on Christian Pulisic to guide them out of the group. While this group lacks a standout star, it should be very competitive. Turkiye, who qualified via the playoffs, look most likely to finish in the top two alongside the US. Paraguay and Australia are the lowest-ranked teams in the group, but will both fancy their chances of getting out of the group.Favourites for automatic qualification: US and TurkiyeGroup B: Canada, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Qatar, SwitzerlandThis group has an average FIFA ranking of 42, the lowest in the tournament. But, much like Group D, what it lacks in quality it should make up for in competitiveness. Switzerland are the top-ranked team and have plenty of pedigree at making the knockout stages of major tournaments. Cohosts Canada have a miserable record at World Cup finals, but they'll be hoping that home advantage can spur them on under Jesse Marsch. Bosnia and Herzegovina knocked Italy out in the playoffs and will be eyeing up an automatic qualification spot from this group, while 2023 Asian Cup champions Qatar will also fancy their chances of springing a surprise or two.Favourites for automatic qualification: Switzerland and CanadaImplications for the Knockout StageThe new format with 48 teams creates additional pathways to the knockout stage, with the top two from each group plus the eight best third-placed teams advancing to the round of 32. This structure creates more opportunities for competitive teams to advance even if they don't win their group, potentially leading to more unpredictable outcomes in the tournament's early knockout rounds.Tournament Predictions and Key MatchupsWith the group stage now mapped out, several key matchups emerge that could define the early stages of the tournament. The opening match between England and Croatia in Group L promises to be a particularly compelling contest, as does the clash between Spain and Uruguay in Group H. Meanwhile, the relatively easier groups for Argentina and the United States suggest these teams may have smoother paths to the knockout stage, potentially giving them an advantage in the later rounds of the tournament.

The WHO-Africa CDC Collaboration The World Health Organization (WHO) and the African Union's health agency have announced a $518m plan to combat the deadly Ebola outbreak in conflict-ridden Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) and neighbouring Uganda. Ebola Outbreak Details WHO chief Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said on Friday that the plan, in collaboration with the Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention (Africa CDC), will run from June to November. It will cover emergency coordination, surveillance, testing, infection prevention, clinical care and community engagement. The Data Analysis The outbreak has infected at least 452 people in DRC, causing 82 deaths. In Uganda, authorities announced three more cases on Friday, increasing the total to 19, with two deaths. The Impact Analysis The current outbreak is bigger than the two previously recorded outbreaks of the Bundibugyo strain, in 2007 and 2012, according to the Africa CDC. Without robust public health responses, the current outbreak could become one of the largest ever Ebola crises ever documented. The Prediction Tedros expressed optimism that the WHO-Africa CDC health plan would bring the outbreak 'under control'. 'The objective is straightforward: we need to stop the outbreak where it is, support countries that are responding today, and ensure that neighbouring countries are ready to detect and act quickly if cases appear,' said Tedros.

The US Visa Processing Overhaul The United States is planning to centralize visa processing across Africa, reducing the number of embassies and consulates handling applications from about 50 locations to roughly 20, according to an internal US Department of State memo. Key Changes to Visa Processing Under the proposal, routine visa interviews would be moved out of many posts and concentrated in smaller regional hubs. Embassies are expected to remain open and continue their diplomatic work. Visa interviews would no longer be handled in many individual embassies and consulates. Applicants in affected countries would need to travel to another country to complete their visa interview. Cities like Nairobi, Johannesburg, Addis Ababa, Accra, and Dakar are expected to take on larger roles. The Data Analysis More than 540,000 non-immigrant visas were issued to applicants in Africa in fiscal year 2024. The proposal does not change the legal criteria used to approve or reject visa applications. The Impact Analysis Experts say higher travel costs, visa fees, and logistical hurdles could discourage some people from applying, particularly students, families, and small-business owners. The impact is likely to vary significantly across the continent. The Prediction Analysts say the visa-processing changes reflect a broader approach, placing efficiency, oversight, and security considerations at the center of policy decisions. The proposal comes as the Trump administration pursues a broader review of US government operations overseas.

Government Announces Restoration of Order Following Two-Day Mogadishu ClashThe Somali federal government declared on Friday that it had restored order in the capital after two days of heavy fighting between security forces and opposition militias. The violence, which began on Wednesday, had paralysed the districts of Abdiaziz and Hawlwadag before the authorities announced they were calm.Two-Day Street Fighting Between Government Forces and Opposition MilitiasThe confrontation erupted near the home of former Prime Minister Hassan Ali Khaire and later spread to the residence of former President Sheikh Sharif Ahmed. Both leaders have been spearheading an opposition push for timely elections, challenging President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud’s claim that parliament lawfully extended his term.Clashes intensified after a planned protest was blocked, leading to bursts of gunfire, explosions, and damage to residential buildings. Clan elders eventually mediated a cease‑fire, allowing Sharif’s convoy to withdraw to a secure airport compound.Casualties, Displacements and Estimated Economic LossesAt least 13 people killed and 189 wounded (UNHCR).Approximately 12,500 households fled their homes, with many civilians trapped during the fighting.Business losses in the capital estimated at $3.8 million (Central Bank deputy governor).Key commercial hubs such as Bakara market shut down; major thoroughfare Maka al‑Mukarama Road was sealed off.Implications for Somalia’s Political Stability and Humanitarian SituationThe unrest underscores the fragility of Somalia’s political framework, which has relied on clan elders and elite appointments since the 2012 state‑building process. Repeated disputes over presidential term extensions risk eroding public confidence and could trigger further security vacuums.Humanitarian agencies warn that the displacement of thousands and damage to infrastructure will strain already limited aid resources, prolonging the recovery of affected neighborhoods.What Lies Ahead for Somalia’s Governance and SecurityWhile the government’s declaration of calm signals a short‑term de‑escalation, the underlying power struggle remains unresolved. Opposition leaders have vowed to continue pressing for elections, and any delay could reignite violence.International observers, including the United Nations, are likely to increase diplomatic pressure for a transparent electoral timetable, while monitoring the humanitarian fallout to prevent a deeper crisis.

The Impact of the US Naval Blockade on Iran's Oil Exports Iran's crude oil exports fell to their lowest level in at least six years in May, as a United States naval blockade squeezes Tehran's most important source of income amid a fragile ceasefire between the two nations. The Blockade's Effect on Iranian Oil Revenues According to data from trade intelligence firm Kpler, Iranian crude oil and condensate exports fell from close to 2 million barrels per day (bpd) to below 300,000bpd in May. Using a conservative price estimate of $90 a barrel, exports of 300,000bpd would generate about $27m in revenue each day, or roughly $837m over the course of May. The Financial Impact on Iran The figures suggest Iran's oil revenues in May were approximately 84 percent lower than they were in March. If Iran expected monthly revenues on the scale of its March returns, it has lost $5.8bn over April and May. Iran's Oil Production and Storage For now, yes, Iran is still producing oil. However, Tehran is increasingly being forced to store the crude that it cannot sell. About 147 million barrels of Iranian crude and condensate are currently being held in floating storage. The Future Outlook Analysts say the blockade is ultimately a contest over which side can sustain economic pain for longer. While lower oil revenues could gradually undermine Iran's ability to finance military operations and support its wartime economy, the costs are not borne by Iran alone.

The LeadThomas Tuchel has officially confirmed Declan Rice as England's vice-captain for their upcoming World Cup campaign, ending speculation about leadership roles within the squad. The announcement comes after Jude Bellingham wore the armband during the second half of England's 1-0 victory over New Zealand, a decision Tuchel explained was purely based on the player with the most international appearances on the pitch at that time.The Leadership StructureWhile Bellingham captained England in their recent World Cup warm-up against New Zealand, Tuchel was clear that this was merely a situational decision. The German coach explained that Rice, a key member of England's leadership group, would have been the one to wear the armband had he been part of the matchday squad."I would say Declan is my vice-captain," Tuchel stated. "I was just thinking about it – whether it is an official thing or not. But I think we had this talk when Harry was not in camp with us. Was it against Wales? Did Harry miss a game against Wales? We started with Ollie [Watkins] and I think Declan was captain. That was where I told him."Rice previously captained England when Harry Kane was unavailable against Wales last October, demonstrating his importance to the team's leadership structure.Squad Selection StrategyEngland's preparation for the World Cup continues with their time in Florida focused on acclimatizing to the heat. Tuchel has adopted a cautious approach to selection, utilizing different XIs in each half against New Zealand and planning similar tactics for their final warm-up against Costa Rica.The head coach emphasized that there are 14-15 potential starters in his squad, with Bellingham being one of them alongside Morgan Rogers, who impressed during England's qualifying campaign. "He is," Tuchel confirmed about Bellingham's starting status. "He's one of the starters, he knows that, he's one of the starters but there are 14, 15 potential starters."The Arsenal contingent, including Rice, Eberechi Eze, Noni Madueke, and Bukayo Saka, arrived at England's pre-tournament base in West Palm Beach but their involvement against Costa Rica remains uncertain as Tuchel assesses their recovery time.World Cup OutlookEngland will face Costa Rica in their final warm-up match before opening their tournament against Croatia in Group L on June 17. Tuchel is still undecided on whether he will field his preferred starting XI for the Costa Rica match, indicating his focus is on getting players adequate minutes rather than perfecting the lineup."There will be players who only had 20 or 30 minutes and will play the next day again," Tuchel explained, highlighting his pragmatic approach to the final preparations.The team is also adapting to challenging conditions, with Kane noting that while the heat in Florida is a factor, it's not as significant as some might expect. "The drinks help. A lot of people talk about the heat but I don't think it will be as big a factor as people say," the England captain stated.

The Lead Microsoft's recent major pricing changes for GitHub Copilot have sparked what some are calling the 'Tokenpocalypse' - a fundamental shift in how AI companies charge for their services. As major AI players like Anthropic prepare for IPOs, the industry is moving away from heavily subsidized models toward more sustainable pricing, forcing businesses to confront the true costs of artificial intelligence. The Tokenpocalypse Begins The term 'Tokenpocalypse' emerged after Microsoft announced it would start charging more per token for GitHub Copilot rather than using a flat rate model. This shift reflects a broader industry realization that the current AI ecosystem is heavily subsidized by investor money, with costs that far exceed what customers are currently paying. p>As Sean O'Kane noted on TechCrunch's Equity podcast, this pricing change is inevitable: 'This whole ecosystem is heavily, heavily subsidized by investor money. And so stuff that seems like it has no cost is, in fact, incredibly expensive. And now we're going to get to a point where more of that cost is going to get passed on to the end consumer.' The Financial Reality Check Companies are already feeling the impact of these pricing changes. Uber, for example, went through a complete cycle in just a month and a half - from initially blowing through their AI budget to implementing caps and usage restrictions. This rapid adjustment highlights the financial challenges businesses face as AI costs become more apparent. The pricing mechanisms currently in place were established before solid business models had formed around AI technology. As Kirsten Korosec pointed out, 'The whole tokenmaxxing thing has become a thing, peaked, and now is seen disfavorably, within six months.' This rapid evolution of attitudes toward AI usage and pricing demonstrates how quickly the landscape is changing. The IPO Profitability Question As AI companies prepare for IPOs, they face awkward questions about profitability. Anthropic's upcoming S-1 filing will likely contain numerous token-related risk factors that weren't anticipated just months ago. The fundamental question remains: Can these AI labs reduce costs and advance technology enough to meet customers' willingness to spend? Sean O'Kane raised this critical point: 'Can these AI labs collapse that cost [and] progress the tech enough in a way that it eventually meets in the middle with customers' appetite for spending?' This question becomes even more pressing when considering that even premium pricing models like ChatGPT Plus at $20 per month still don't cover the true costs of advanced AI services. The Future of AI Business Models The path to profitability for AI companies may require transformations similar to what Uber underwent. Uber had to fundamentally change its business model, expand into new areas, and adjust its relationship with customers and drivers to achieve profitability. AI companies may need to make equally significant changes to their operations and value propositions. Meanwhile, government regulation is evolving alongside these market changes. President Trump recently signed a narrow executive order designed to give the government a chance to review powerful AI models, adding another layer of complexity to the rapidly shifting landscape. As Kirsten Korosec noted, the pace of change in the AI industry is unprecedented: 'That's why I'm really looking forward to some of these S-1 IPO registration statements, because of the risk [factors]. How do you even write these risks in, because they are evolving before our eyes, and day by day?'

The Fading Light of Football Excitement As the World Cup approaches, Iranian football fans are finding their excitement overshadowed by the country's economic crisis and ongoing conflicts. The nation's love for football, a universal language that can unite people across different backgrounds, is being tested by the harsh realities of everyday life in Iran. Economic Hardships Take Center Stage The economic situation in Iran has been deteriorating, with high inflation and unemployment rates affecting the daily lives of its citizens. The impact of international sanctions and the country's struggle to manage its economy have left many Iranians facing financial difficulties, which in turn has dampened their enthusiasm for the World Cup. The Intersection of Sports and Politics In Iran, sports, particularly football, often intersect with politics and national pride. The World Cup, being a global spectacle, offers a platform for the nation to showcase its talent and spirit. However, the current socio-economic challenges are making it difficult for fans to fully immerse themselves in the excitement of the tournament. A Glimmer of Hope Despite these challenges, football remains a source of hope and pride for many Iranians. The national team's participation in the World Cup is seen as an opportunity for the country to come together, albeit momentarily, and celebrate its sporting achievements. The resilience of Iranian football fans in the face of adversity is a testament to the enduring power of sports to unite and inspire. The Road Ahead As the World Cup progresses, it will be interesting to see how Iranian fans navigate their love for football against the backdrop of their country's challenges. The tournament serves as a brief respite from the economic and political tensions, offering a chance for the nation to focus on a different kind of victory – one that transcends borders and brings people together.