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With the Strait of Hormuz effectively shut and strategic oil reserves being drawn down at record speed, the global energy system is edging toward a chaotic “non‑linear adjustment.” A timely US‑Iran agreement could halt the slide and restore market confidence.Why Oil Markets Are Teetering on a Tipping PointThe market has bounced around the $100 mark since Iran’s retaliation to Operation Epic Fury. Although prices have not yet reached historic peaks, the underlying dynamics point to an imminent crisis:Record coordinated release of strategic oil reserves has bought temporary breathing room.Some Gulf production is being rerouted through pipelines, bypassing the strait.China’s import decline suggests stockpiling and demand shifts.Numbers Showing the Strain: Prices, Stocks, and Consumer CostsThe International Energy Agency (IEA) reports oil stocks are being depleted at a “record rate.” Analysts such as Hamad Hussain warn that if the strait stays closed, OECD inventories could hit “critically low levels” by the end of June, pushing Brent to $130‑$140 a barrel.Research by Jeff Colgan (Brown University) estimates U.S. consumers have already absorbed an extra $40 bn (≈$300 per household) in gasoline costs since the conflict began.Broader Economic Ripple Effects of Prolonged TensionsThe Washington‑based Institute for International Finance (IIF) notes the shock is spilling beyond crude:LNG, refined products, fertilisers, and freight costs remain elevated.Supply reliability across the global production system is now “tighter and more fragile.”GDP forecasts for oil‑importing economies are being revised downward as inflationary pressure mounts.Even if marine traffic resumes, the IIF expects only a “partial normalisation,” leaving the energy system vulnerable.What a US‑Iran Agreement Could Mean for Energy StabilityA comprehensive deal that reopens the strait would likely:Restore confidence, causing spot prices to retreat from peak levels.Allow inventories to rebuild, averting the “operational stress” scenario warned by Natasha Kaneva of JP Morgan.Mitigate the second‑phase shock affecting LNG, fertilisers, and industrial inputs.Conversely, continued stalemate could trigger “demand destruction,” with consumers cutting back, airlines trimming schedules, and refiners throttling throughput—shifting the market from a managed to a forced adjustment.

The Final Day ShowdownHello, good morning and good day. We're back with another Matchday live for the final day of the Premier League season!After Arsenal wrapped up the title on Tuesday after Manchester City drew with Bournemouth, eyes turn to the bottom of the table where we'll finally discover who survives out of West Ham and Tottenham. There's also the small matter of who pinches the final Champions League spot between Liverpool and Bournemouth. All ten matches start at 4pm so set your watches.We'll also be covering the major stories of yesterday, including Hull's dramatic injury-time winner to seal promotion to the Premier League, as well as Celtic securing the domestic double, and Charlton beating Leicester on penalties to gain promotion to the WSL.And finally, if you weren't happy with England's World Cup squad, I've got good news. Pep Guardiola hasn't ruled out one day managing the national side. Stick with us for the latest updates and news from around the football world and send me an email with your thoughts.Today's Premier League FixturesBrighton v Manchester UnitedBurnley v WolvesCrystal Palace v ArsenalFulham v NewcastleLiverpool v BrentfordManchester City v Aston VillaNottingham Forest v BournemouthTottenham v EvertonSunderland v ChelseaWest Ham v LeedsKey Points to WatchOur writers have done the rounds on the ten things to keep an eye on during the final day of the season. Many things to keep an eye out for (ten, to be precise) but I'm with Will Unwin that the real jeopardy is to be found at Turf Moor where Burnley and Wolves will duke it out to see who finishes rock bottom of the table.

The Lead The Cannes Film Festival's award winners have sparked controversy, with some critics questioning the jury's decisions. Romanian film-maker Cristian Mungiu's 'Fjord' won the Palme d'Or, while Andrey Zvyagintsev's 'Minotaur' was a standout for many critics. The Event Details This year's Cannes Film Festival saw a number of notable wins, including Pawel Pawlikowski's 'Fatherland' taking the best director prize and Emmanuel Marre's 'Notre Salut' winning best screenplay. However, some critics felt that the jury's decisions were not entirely justified. The Data Analysis 'Fjord' won the Palme d'Or, despite some critics finding it to be a moderate film. 'Minotaur' won the runner-up Grand Prix, with many critics praising its substantial and clear-sighted storytelling. 'The Dreamed Adventure' took the third place jury prize, with some critics finding it to be an interesting and valuable choice. The Impact Analysis The controversy surrounding the awards highlights the challenges of selecting winners from a diverse range of films. The festival's reputation for showcasing innovative and groundbreaking cinema means that the jury's decisions are always closely scrutinized. The Prediction As the film industry continues to evolve, it will be interesting to see how the Cannes Film Festival adapts to changing tastes and trends. One thing is certain, however: the festival will continue to be a major platform for filmmakers to showcase their work and gain international recognition.

The Lead: Guardiola's Future Remains OpenPep Guardiola has left the door ajar for a potential England national team management role, following his departure from Manchester City after a decade of unprecedented success. The 55-year-old coach confirmed he has "no definite plans" and intends to take a break from management to spend time with his family and reflect on his career.Guardiola's Post-Manchester City PlansGuardiola's final match as Manchester City manager will be Sunday's visit of Aston Villa to conclude the season. The Spanish coach has made it clear he needs a rest after 17 years of continuous management at Barcelona, Bayern Munich, and Manchester City. He will first take up an ambassadorial role for the City Football Group, which owns Manchester City.When asked specifically about the England job, Guardiola was non-committal: "I don't have any absolute plan about my future. I go to rest and recover the time I missed with my kids, even though they are grown, and do many things I've not done that I want to do."Pressed on whether this meant he might consider the England role, Guardiola responded: "Yeah – [but] nobody cares," indicating he's not making any immediate decisions about his next coaching position.Impact on England's National TeamGuardiola's potential availability could significantly impact England's national team setup. With Gareth Southgate's contract expiring after Euro 2024, the Football Association may consider high-profile candidates to lead the team into future tournaments. Guardiola's tactical expertise and proven success at the highest level would make him an attractive candidate if he decides to pursue international management.However, Guardiola has traditionally favored club management and has never managed a national team before. His preference for working with players daily and implementing specific tactical systems might not align with the part-time nature of international football.Manchester City's TransitionGuardiola's departure marks the end of an era for Manchester City, having led the club to numerous Premier League titles and domestic trophies. The club now faces the challenge of finding a successor who can maintain their competitive edge while navigating the ongoing 115 charges of financial wrongdoing brought by the Premier League.Guardiola defended the club throughout these proceedings, stating: "I trust them [the club] and I spoke with them and I trust how they behave and what they did." He indicated he might comment further once the charges are resolved, though he acknowledged it would be difficult.Guardiola's Legacy at Manchester CityDuring his decade-long tenure, Guardiola transformed Manchester City into one of Europe's dominant forces, implementing his distinctive possession-based style and building multiple title-winning teams. His departure leaves a significant void that the club will need to fill carefully to maintain their success.Future Outlook for GuardiolaWhile Guardiola has ruled out immediate management, his eventual return to football could take several forms. International management with England or another national team appears to be a possibility he's willing to consider. Alternatively, he might take a longer break before returning to club football, possibly in a different league or with a new challenge.Whatever path he chooses, Guardiola's next move will be closely watched by football fans and administrators worldwide, given his proven track record of success and innovative approach to the game.

Record Numbers Face Extreme Heat in MeccaMore than 1.5 million Muslim pilgrims have gathered in Mecca, enduring extreme temperatures as they prepare for the annual Hajj pilgrimage. The faithful are facing one of the hottest Hajj seasons on record, with temperatures soaring above 45°C (113°F) in some areas.The Pilgrimage Amid Record TemperaturesThe Hajj, one of Islam's five pillars and mandatory for able-bodied Muslims at least once in their lifetime, is taking place under extraordinary heat conditions. Pilgrims are performing the Tawaf, the circumambulation of the Kaaba, and other rituals while dealing with the intense Meccan heat. Saudi authorities have implemented measures to protect pilgrims, including misting fans, expanded shade structures, and extended operating hours for public transportation.Health Challenges and Safety MeasuresThe extreme temperatures have led to health concerns, with reports of heat-related illnesses among pilgrims. Saudi health authorities have reported hundreds of cases of heat exhaustion and dehydration. Emergency medical teams have been deployed at key sites, with field hospitals established to handle the influx of patients. The Saudi government has also issued public health advisories, urging pilgrims to stay hydrated, avoid peak sun hours, and wear appropriate clothing.Economic Impact on Saudi ArabiaThe Hajj generates significant economic activity for Saudi Arabia, with an estimated $12 billion in annual revenue from the pilgrimage. The influx of pilgrims supports various sectors including hospitality, transportation, retail, and religious services. This year's Hajj comes as Saudi Arabia continues its Vision 2030 development plan, which aims to diversify the economy beyond oil and increase religious tourism.Climate Challenges for Future PilgrimagesClimate change is increasingly affecting the Hajj experience, with rising temperatures in Mecca posing long-term challenges. Scientists predict that without significant mitigation measures, temperatures during Hajj could become life-threatening within decades. Saudi Arabia is exploring technological solutions, including climate-controlled facilities and alternative scheduling, to ensure the pilgrimage's sustainability in the face of global warming.Global Significance and Religious ObservanceThe Hajj represents one of the largest annual human gatherings worldwide, symbolizing unity among Muslims from diverse backgrounds and nationalities. Despite the challenging conditions, pilgrims expressed determination to complete their religious obligations, describing the experience as spiritually transformative. The event underscores the intersection of religious tradition and environmental challenges in the 21st century.

The Lead: Spygate Fallout at WembleyKim Hellberg lamented the recent spygate saga as the "toughest two weeks" of his life after his reinstated Middlesbrough side missed out on Premier League promotion at Wembley. Boro became the first team in Football League history to be defeated in both the playoff semi-final and final, after his team replaced Southampton, who were thrown out of the competition for spying on rivals' training sessions.The Championship Final DramaHull's 1-0 win, courtesy of Oli McBurnie's injury-time goal, returned them to the Premier League after a nine-year absence, with Hellberg left to rue a "rollercoaster" for his Middlesbrough side. "It has been tough," he said. "It's been draining emotionally. But there is no excuse. Hull scored a goal today and you have to congratulate them. We were ready to play the game. It's been two heartbreaking losses in one week. When the game ends you feel very empty."The Spygate ControversySergej Jakirovic had described his Hull team as "collateral damage" in a spying episode in which they played no part. Having prepared to face Southampton for a week, he had to switch plans a few days before the final. Nonetheless, he insisted he saw the funny side of a saga that means Southampton begin next season with a four-point deduction."When I heard for the first time, I start to laugh because what you can spy?" he said. "To send a guy to do this, I don't understand."Hull's Unexpected JourneyHull's promotion came just a year after avoiding relegation to League One on goal difference, and operating with a two-window transfer fee embargo that left them able to sign only free agents. Concentration will now turn to the Premier League and how to avoid the instant relegation they experienced last time they played in the top flight."We will try to add better players than we have right now," said Jakirovic. "But I think these main players who bring us to the Premier League can stay and help us as well. We just have to add better players than we have. Sunderland's recipe is great because they brought dynamic players with pace and speed. I'm ready for everything. We have a nice budget. We will see."

Roster Announcement: Zendejas In, Tessmann OutClub América winger Alejandro Zendejas is on the United States' 26-man roster for this summer's World Cup, while Lyon defensive midfielder Tanner Tessmann is not included. The selections are the most notable new information gleaned from head coach Mauricio Pochettino's full World Cup roster, which was obtained by the Guardian and is authentic according to multiple sources with knowledge of Pochettino's selections.The roster confirms Zendejas's selection and Tessmann's omission, along with the inclusion of Borussia Mönchengladbach's Gio Reyna and the omission of Real Salt Lake's Diego Luna, both attacking midfielders, choices that were first reported by the Athletic. US Soccer declined to comment on the roster, which will be officially announced Tuesday at a nationally televised event in New York City.Reyna's Redemption: Past Controversies OvercomeReyna has been included despite playing only 520 minutes for Mönchengladbach this season, though he featured in the club's final five league matches. Pochettino has repeatedly praised the 23-year-old and singled him out as a player he's willing to include regardless of club form.During the 2022 World Cup, Reyna found himself at the center of one of the most dramatic and bizarre moments in men's national team history, having nearly been sent home from the tournament for behavioral issues. Not long afterwards, Reyna's parents became ensnared in a prolonged public falling out with US coach Gregg Berhalter. The situation has cast a shadow over Reyna in the years that followed.Sebastian Berhalter, the son of the former USMNT coach, is also on the roster. The 25-year-old never represented the US at the youth international levels, but forced his way into Pochettino's plans on the back of his considerable development since joining the Vancouver Whitecaps in 2022. Berhalter made the MLS Best XI last year as the Whitecaps' chief orchestrator en route to the club's first MLS Cup berth and first run to the Concacaf Champions Cup final. Berhalter also gives this team a dead-ball specialist, able to consistently place corner kicks in dangerous areas.Notable Exclusions: Luna and Tessmann Left BehindDespite being a key contributor throughout the USMNT's buildup to the World Cup, Diego Luna did not make the roster. He was the subject of frequent praise from Pochettino for his aggressiveness on both sides of the ball and scored four goals in 17 appearances in 2025, emerging as a breakout star. Despite missing March camp as he returned from an injury, Luna has returned in great form with four goals and two assists in seven MLS appearances (six starts) since 1 April.The 22-year-old also featured widely in promotional pushes ahead of the tournament, including a glitzy ad by tournament rights holder Fox. A spokesperson for the federation said earlier this week that Pochettino had nothing to do with the players selected to appear in those advertisements, some of which were produced months ago.The 28-year-old Zendejas is among Liga MX's most dangerous forwards, with 12 goals and seven assists in 2,443 minutes to lead Club América's attack. Despite his form, Pochettino has given Zendejas just 139 minutes across six appearances, with his most recent shift coming on 9 September against Japan.Tessmann, 24, suffered a muscle strain at Lyon two weeks ago but was still expected to be included in the roster. It's not immediately clear whether Tessman's exclusion is injury-related. The FC Dallas academy product appeared in 29 league matches for Lyon this season, starting 22 of them.Squad Composition: Strategic Balance for Tournament SuccessAs it stands, there are only four central or defensive midfielders on Pochettino's squad, with Weston McKennie joining Berhalter, Cristian Roldan and Tyler Adams. McKennie had seemed likely to play further upfield after his attacking midfield deployment in the March window.The defensive corps has gained the extra number, with 10 defenders picked to split time among four or five starting slots. Center-back Chris Richards is on the roster after Crystal Palace's manager announced he would miss the team's league finale this weekend with torn ligaments in his ankle. Missing among the central defenders is Noahkai Banks, the dual-national who left his international status in limbo and declined a US call-up in March as he weighed interest from Germany.Chicago Fire goalkeeper Chris Brady joins Matt Freese and Matt Turner on the roster. Brady, 22, is among the most in-form keepers in MLS and has been called into national team camp several times but never capped. Brady is the presumed No 3 behind Freese and Turner.In total, 13 members of Pochettino's squad have made their second World Cup roster, with the other half is comprised of first-time selections.Final Steps: Pre-Tournament Schedule and Roster ConfirmationThe USMNT will play their final two matches prior to the World Cup against Senegal on 31 May and Germany on 6 June. Managers must submit their rosters to Fifa by 1 June and are only able to change their squads after officially naming the 26-man roster in "exceptional cases", a loosely defined circumstance which must be approved by Fifa's medical committee.Complete USMNT 2026 World Cup RosterGoalkeepers (3): Chris Brady* (Chicago Fire, 0 caps/0 goals), Matt Freese* (New York City, 14/0), Matt Turner (New England Revolution, 53/0)Defenders (10): Max Arfsten* (Columbus Crew, 18/1), Sergiño Dest (PSV, 37/2), Alex Freeman* (Villarreal, 15/2), Mark McKenzie* (Toulouse, 27/0), Tim Ream (Charlotte FC, 80/1), Chris Richards* (Crystal Palace, 36/3), Antonee Robinson (Fulham, 52/4), Miles Robinson* (FC Cincinnati, 38/3), Joe Scally (Borussia Mönchengladbach, 24/0), Auston Trusty* (Celtic, 6/0)Midfielders (4): Tyler Adams (AFC Bournemouth, 52/2), Sebastian Berhalter* (Vancouver Whitecaps, 11/1), Weston McKennie (Juventus, 64/12), Cristian Roldan (Seattle Sounders, 45/0)Attacking midfielders/wingers (6): Brenden Aaronson (Leeds United, 57/9), Christian Pulisic (Milan, 84/32), Gio Reyna (Borussia Mönchengladbach, 36/9), Malik Tillman* (Bayer Leverkusen, 28/3), Tim Weah (Marseille, 49/7), Alejandro Zendejas* (Club América, 13/2)Strikers (3): Folarin Balogun* (AS Monaco, 25/8), Ricardo Pepi* (PSV, 35/13), Haji Wright (Coventry City, 20/7)

The Evolution of the Office LunchIt's 12.30pm as I write this. My mind is preoccupied with moving my fingers from key to key on my ageing laptop, a task I paused briefly to remove a hair from the screen. Then, I scratched my leg again, which kicked up another hair. I should get back to work, but I can't concentrate. Why? Because I'm incredibly hungry. It is, after all, lunchtime – the most worthless part of any work day.It is not that there's shame in lunch. It's just that we're not programmed to eat at a certain time. We're all different and the whole concept of the office lunch is obsolete nonsense in 2026. Let it go.The Industrial Roots of the Midday MealBig Lunch (or alternatively, the Lunch Industrial Complex) will tell you otherwise. Lunch is considered a fundamental element of the work day. It is legally mandated here in California, after all. But it is also something people who work in offices look forward to. It's a moment to step away from the invisible chains that attach us to our computers for an hour or so of normal human behavior. Back when I worked in an office, I would look at my phone and think, if I can just make it to noon, I'll be OK. Lunch was like a little treat to break up the monotony of corporate life. In some jobs, there was even a free lunch to make the whole thing even more appealing. You can't leave the office. You don't even have to leave the office!I wasn't around for most of the 20th century, but according to TV shows like Mad Men, the old days of lunch meant meandering to a classy steakhouse and getting drunk off martinis, then plopping on to a chaise longue until the buzz wore off. I would happily endorse that version of lunch, but that's not what we are being presented with today. The modern office lunch is about convenience and expediency. It's being hustled through a Sweetgreen to collect your biodegradable bucket of vegetables so you can get back to your desk before your next meeting.The Economic Impact of Changing Lunch HabitsThe work day lunch is merely a distraction from your unenviable reality, offering the illusion of choice while reinforcing the plain and simple fact of your need to earn a living performing a series of tasks you hate. Shall I have pizza or Mexican food? No, I mustn't. I shall have a salad, lest I become a walking man-beast made primarily of partially digested carbohydrates.Lunch, as a concept, evolved from light refreshments as a leisure activity to a meal equal to the other two, thanks to the rapid rise of industrialization in the 19th century. Lunch became a crucial break from mining coal or assembling car parts. I don't need nearly as much of a break from designing PowerPoint slides or responding to an email that's "just following up on my previous request". Patience, yes. But that's a different story.So, we have rendered this middle child of a meal (not as nourishing as breakfast and not as fun as dinner) a culinary pariah tied directly into emotional desire. Lunch is the vestigial tail of the Industrial Revolution. I no longer look forward to noon like an over-caffeinated child anticipating Christmas morning. Maybe I'll have a small snack – nuts, a protein bar, crudites. I might even read or go for a walk. I recognize my privilege here, that I'm not mandated to be anywhere or do anything I don't want to do. I can occupy myself with other pursuits that are more nourishing than a buffalo chicken wrap. But the fact remains that my job is still as active as any office worker's. As in, not at all. I prefer a big, nutritious breakfast or a nice, early dinner.The Changing Landscape of Office DiningIf I have to meet someone socially or professionally during the day, or if my stomach is screaming at me, I'll eat. (In my fantasies, my stomach sounds exactly like my mother, a topic to unpack another time.) But without the peer pressure of needing to make use of my hour of mandated leisure time by filling my mouth with overpriced junk (or gossiping with co-workers), I can truly be free. The office lunch is a scam perpetrated by venture capitalists with big dreams of franchising their various "elevated" takeout dining experiences. But automation, economic malaise and the collapse of the urban business district are going to make these places even more useless. Sweetgreen's business is cratering for these very reasons. As the economy suffers, fast food is growing in popularity again, but fast food is not the answer.Places like Sweetgreen, Pret a Manger or Cava sustain themselves on the concept of lunch being connected to leisure: with your hour of free time, you should have a meal, even if it's food you don't even particularly enjoy consuming. I'm not saying don't eat lunch; rather that the break you receive from the drudgery of employment should be spent on pleasurable activities. If that means eating, great. But don't do it just because you think you have to. I say we should normalize taking a nap in the afternoon. Not a Mad Men-style snooze caused by excessive alcohol consumption, but a rest from the all-consuming stimulus of modern life. Get rid of the cubicles and unused couches in the various open-plan tech spaces and put in beds. Give me a teddy bear and one of those caps cartoon characters wore at night.The Future of Workplace DiningAnd now … I'm done typing. I can go eat something. Why am I eating in the afternoon? Am I some kind of hypocrite?No.It's because I didn't eat breakfast.

The Influence of Big Tech on Trump's AI Executive Order Only hours before Donald Trump was set to sign a long-awaited executive order on Thursday that would have called for a government safety review of new artificial intelligence models before their release, the president abruptly backed out. Despite growing public backlash to the technology and experts warning new models will pose critical security risks, Trump vowed the US government would not slow down the AI race. The Event Details During a meeting with reporters on Thursday, Trump cited both American dominance and competition with China and as his reasoning behind the reversal. "I didn’t like certain aspects of it, I postponed it," Trump said of the executive order in the Oval Office. "We’re leading China, we’re leaving everybody, and I don’t want to do anything that’s gonna get in the way of that lead." The Data Analysis Trump’s postponing of the order was a victory for tech leaders who have long opposed AI regulation and spent millions lobbying against it. The decision was also the direct result of their influence, according to reports from multiple news outlets, with tech billionaires including Elon Musk, Mark Zuckerberg and former White House “AI czar” David Sacks personally urging Trump to reverse course in private phone calls. The Impact Analysis The AI industry has greatly benefitted from Trump’s anti-regulation stance. The president has publicly embraced industry leaders including OpenAI CEO Sam Altman while appointing others such as Musk and Sacks to prominent government positions. In December the president signed an executive order seeking to block any state attempts on regulating AI, giving well-worn tech industry talking points about opposing bureaucracy and combating China as his rationale. The Prediction Less than a month after the first reports that the White House was considering vetting AI models, the prospect of the Trump administration creating any stringent AI regulations once again appears extremely unlikely. The threat of a global breakdown in cybersecurity joins disinformation, mass surveillance, as concerns that are not being addressed.